A quick alert for Nifty PUT buyers; 17/10/25All details in the video. Be alert for potential pitfalls in the market. If holding trades, make sure you know your exit points.
In my opinion, we have another high pending this Diwali 👍🏻
Beyond Technical Analysis
KAYNES Bearish IntradayAs we see this on 04HR time frame we can see Liquidity sweep / Bull Trap and price got rejected and as per price action looking a bearish move levels are marked on chart just a view not a Reco...
gold chart prediction(don't predict) after thoroghly analysing and using all the tools that i could use. I have made this chart putting everything in it so according to me gold wil go to maximum of 230700 in rs
MSTCLTD Price ActionMSTC Limited (MSTCLTD) is currently trading in the ₹511–₹544 range, having closed around ₹543 on October 16, 2025. The stock recently rebounded over 5% within two sessions after experiencing a multi-day decline. Typical intraday volatility fluctuates between 2% and 3%.
Short-term technical indicators are mixed, with daily moving averages showing mild bearishness, while weekly momentum indicators are turning slightly bullish. On a monthly basis, trend signals remain bearish and Bollinger Bands suggest mild negative pressure over broader timeframes. Key support is noted near ₹540, immediate resistance is around ₹548, and there is major volume support at approximately ₹540.5. If the price breaks below ₹518, it may invite further declines; conversely, moving above ₹548–₹551 could enable a rally toward ₹560 or higher.
Fundamentally, MSTC is a small-cap company with a market capitalization just under ₹3,850 crore. Latest financials show flat sales and subdued long-term growth, though multi-year returns have outperformed benchmark indices over three and five years. Current share price trades at a substantial premium to its estimated intrinsic value, resulting in a stretched valuation compared to historical averages. The company maintains consistent dividend payouts, with the latest declared at ₹4.5 per share in April 2025.
Overall, MSTCLTD is showing short-term optimism due to a price rebound, but technical setups and high valuations suggest caution. Sustained upward movement will depend on fundamental improvement and supportive broader market conditions.
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 17th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Thursday, October 16, the Sensex experienced a dramatic bullish breakout, surging to a 4-week high and confirming the continuation of its primary uptrend.
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Sensex is in a high-conviction bullish trend. The price has decisively broken out above the major supply zone of 82,300 - 82,500 and is now trading aggressively towards its next major target. The structure is a clear ascending channel, with strong bullish momentum evident across the chart.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 83,600. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the steep ascending channel and a strong resistance line.
Major Demand (Support): 82,400 - 82,600. This area, which includes the previous resistance and a key FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the new must-hold demand zone for the bulls.
Outlook: The short-term bias is aggressively bullish. The market is poised to challenge the 83,600 level and potentially move higher.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside. The price is trading strongly within a well-defined ascending channel. The close suggests very strong buyer conviction.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 83,600.
Immediate Support: 83,000 (Psychological level and the lower trendline of the channel).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms the powerful bullish momentum. The market closed right below the day's high after a brief rejection at the top of the channel. The structure suggests immediate follow-through strength is likely.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 83,600.
Intraday Demand: 83,200 (Recent consolidation zone).
Outlook: Aggressively Bullish.
📈 Trade Plan (Friday, 17th October)
Market Outlook: The Sensex is displaying aggressive momentum, led by private banks and financial services. The primary strategy will be to buy on continuation.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The strong breakout and close above the 82,600 zone favor continuation. The next major target is the upper channel boundary.
Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 83,600. Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 83,200 - 83,300 (the immediate support zone).
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 82,900 (below the lower channel trendline).
Targets:
T1: 83,850 (Extension target).
T2: 84,200 (Next resistance).
Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: High-risk. Only valid if sharp profit booking occurs, potentially triggered by mixed IT earnings or unexpected news.
Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 82,600.
Entry: Short entry below 82,600.
Stop Loss (SL): Above 82,900.
Targets:
T1: 82,300 (Major FVG support).
T2: 82,000 (Psychological support).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 83,200 - 83,600 zone.
Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 83,600.
Bearish Warning: A move below 83,000 suggests the rally is failing.
Major Event: Infosys, LTIMindtree, Wipro Q2 Results (will influence overall sentiment).
Line in the Sand: 82,600. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
Watch the following video for a Bank Nifty and Nifty outlook: Nifty targeting 25,800 amid strong Q2 numbers; SBI, Shriram Finance among top picks
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 17th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Thursday, October 16, the Bank Nifty experienced an extremely strong bullish breakout, confirming the continuation of its primary uptrend and putting the all-time high in sight.
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Bank Nifty is in a high-conviction bullish trend. The price has decisively broken out above the major supply zone of 56,700 - 57,000 and is now moving aggressively toward the historical all-time high zone. The large bullish candle on the 4H chart confirms that the consolidation phase is over, and the market is in a momentum-driven rally.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 57,500 - 57,750. This area represents the previous all-time high zone and is the immediate target.
Major Demand (Support): 56,700 - 57,000. This area, which was the critical resistance, is now the new must-hold demand zone for the bulls.
Outlook: The short-term bias is aggressively bullish. The market is poised to challenge and potentially surpass its all-time high.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the upside and the resumption of the primary steep ascending channel. The price made a strong move, leaving behind a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) in the 57,000 - 57,200 region, which could act as a bounce-back zone.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 57,500 (Upper channel trendline/ATH attempt).
Immediate Support: 57,200 (Upper boundary of the FVG/consolidation).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms the powerful bullish momentum. The price closed near the top of the steep ascending channel. There are no signs of weakness at the close, suggesting continuation is likely.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 57,500 - 57,600.
Intraday Demand: 57,200.
Outlook: Aggressively Bullish.
📈 Trade Plan (Friday, 17th October)
Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty is displaying aggressive momentum and is on a clear trajectory toward the all-time high. The primary strategy remains buy on dips.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The market is technically strong and leading the rally. Strong buying is expected to continue until the ATH zone is reached.
Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 57,600 (a sustained break of ATH) OR look for a dip entry near 57,200 (the immediate FVG/demand zone).
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 56,900 (below the major breakout level).
Targets:
T1: 57,750 (New historical high).
T2: 58,000 (Psychological target).
Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: High-risk. Only valid if the rally fails dramatically after hitting the ATH zone or if major unexpected news hits.
Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 56,700.
Entry: Short entry below 56,700.
Stop Loss (SL): Above 57,000.
Targets:
T1: 56,400 (Previous resistance, now support).
T2: 56,200 (Lower channel support).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 57,200 - 57,600 zone.
Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 57,600.
Bearish Warning: A move below 56,900 suggests a major reversal.
Line in the Sand: 56,700. Below this level, the short-term bullish momentum is lost.
Nfity Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 17th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Thursday, October 16, the Nifty experienced a powerful breakout, crossing the major resistance zone and closing near the day's high. The structure is now firmly bullish and aiming for higher targets.
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Nifty is now in a strong momentum phase. The price has decisively broken out above the 25,300 - 25,400 major supply zone, confirming the continuation of the bullish recovery. The candle has broken out of the ascending channel and is trading at levels not seen since the high in September.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 25,650 - 25,750. This area is the next significant resistance zone, aligning with the extended trendline (as seen on the 4H chart) and previous swing highs.
Major Demand (Support): 25,300 - 25,400. This area, which was the critical resistance zone, is now the new must-hold demand zone for the bulls.
Outlook: The short-term bias is strongly bullish. The rally is aggressive and the next target is near the 25,700 level.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows an exceptionally strong day, with the price making higher highs and higher lows and closing near the top. The bullish conviction is very high. The recent correction on Oct 14 was efficiently bought up at the FVG.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 25,650 (Upper channel trendline).
Immediate Support: 25,480 - 25,500 (Recent consolidation support and lower channel trendline).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms the powerful bullish momentum. The market consolidated around 25,450 and then broke out aggressively, closing at the day's high. The structure is a clear uptrend continuation.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 25,650.
Intraday Demand: 25,480 - 25,500.
Outlook: Aggressively Bullish.
📈 Trade Plan (Friday, 17th October)
Market Outlook: The Nifty is in a high-conviction bullish trend. The market is also digesting Q2 results from IT majors (Infosys, Wipro, LTIMindtree). The primary strategy will be to buy on dips for continuation.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The strong breakout and close above 25,300 - 25,400 strongly favor continuation towards the next major resistance.
Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 25,650 (breaking the upper channel). Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 25,480 - 25,500 (the immediate support/FVG zone).
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 25,400 (below the major breakout level).
Targets:
T1: 25,750 (Extension target).
T2: 25,850 (Major weekly resistance).
Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: Only valid if a sharp sell-off occurs, likely due to unexpected negative global news or disappointing market reaction to the full suite of IT earnings.
Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 25,300.
Entry: Short entry below 25,300.
Stop Loss (SL): Above 25,450.
Targets:
T1: 25,150 (Previous consolidation support).
T2: 25,000 (Psychological support).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 25,500 - 25,650 zone.
Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 25,650.
Bearish Warning: A move below 25,450 suggests profit-booking is aggressive.
Line in the Sand: 25,300. Below this level, the short-term bullish momentum is lost.
Time Cluster: Friday, Oct 17 is projected as a key time cluster for heightened momentum.
BITCOIN 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
BITCOIN Looking good for Downside..
When it break level 110338 and sustain.. it will go Downside...
SELL @ 110338
Target
1st 105685
2nd 100862
Enjoy trading traders.. Keep add this STOCK in your watch list..
Big Investor are welcome..
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Now the Buyer's trap on XAUUSD/Gold 16/10/25Last video, it was quite evident about the seller trap, and it gave a good 60USD run.
Now comes the example of a buyer's trap.
Technically, DXY is also set for a bullish run, hence prices are expected to pull back in GOLD/XAUUSD now.
The strategy for both sides of the trading plan is shared in the video.
Sensex Expiry Day Intraday Setup (16/10/2025) | 15-min TFHey traders! 👋 With today being the monthly expiry, we're set for some volatile moves. Here’s a clean price-action plan for the session based on the 15-minute chart.
The Big Picture:
All eyes are on the 82,400 level! This isn't just any level; it's the absolute battle zone for today. The price reaction here will give us our directional bias. 🎯
The Two Trading Scenarios:
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO: The Defensive Bounce
What to Watch For: Price dips to 82,400 and forms a clear Bullish Hammer 🛎 candle, showing rejection and buyer strength.
The Trigger: Wait for a GREEN candle to close above the high of that hammer.
The Trade:
Action: Go LONG.
Initial Target: 82,700
Upside Bonus: If we also get a breakout and close above the white descending trendline, the next target is 83,078! 🚀
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO: The Breakdown
What to Watch For: Price slices through 82,400 with a strong Thick Red Marubozu 📉 candle (big red body, tiny wicks). This shows powerful selling pressure.
The Trigger: Wait for the next candle to confirm the break by trading below the Marubozu's low.
The Trade:
Action: Go SHORT.
Target: 81,780
Final Word & Risk Management 🛡️
Patience is Key: Do not jump the gun! Wait for the clear confirmation candle after the initial signal.
Protect Your Capital: Always use a stop loss. For longs, place it below the swing low; for shorts, above the swing high.
This is Intraday: Manage your trade actively and don't carry this setup overnight.
Trade the plan, and let the price do the talking! 👍
Disclaimer: This is purely educational and based on price action. You are responsible for your own trades.
Simple Interpretation of Volume Footprint ChartsVolume footprint charts can be called as 'the eyes and ears' of the market. They truly reveal where the big orders are getting executed, the outcome of those orders and the possible future course of action.
To keep things simple, we may breakdown volume footprint charts with just two interpretations:
↳ Buyers may be interested in higher prices
Big orders and good bullish candle close or long wick at the bottom with higher close.
↳ Sellers may be interested in lower prices
Big orders and a bearish candle close or long wick at the top with lower close.
We can apply this interpretation to the key levels in the market to see which side is strong- buyers or sellers?
In this little backdrop, let's discuss the above chart.
It's a 2days chart of BPCL (I did that to accommodate more price action).
On a simple candlestick chart, you would see a breakout retest of 331 and the price is holding- giving a nice pullback trade if you missed the breakout trade.
However, footprint chart gives us more information about what is happening where.
First of all, the stock struggled near 331 resistance level even when the volumes were higher. Finally, it swept below a day low and broke out of resistance with good volumes.
Now what happened after the breakout of 331 blue resistance line?
Big-big orders were there but no good result. Hardly any candle with strong closing after the BO candle. This only means that sellers were active in the zone.
Then the price broke the 8-session low and notice big orders 2.74M and 3.52M at the break in the second last candle on the right. That's good for sellers, right?
But the big boys who were buying before or near the BO of 331 are now trying to protect their positions and hence the retest holds.
We have big orders in the same area- 3.33M, 4.75M and 2.94M shares traded though there is still one more day for this candle to close. We will get more information on it tomorrow.
If the price rallies from here, surely those who were selling in the 340-350 zone will try to protect their positions too and the ride may not be that smooth. More updates in the coming days.
This way footprint charts give more confidence if you are in a trade. It gives you a reason to enter or hold a trade.
Many times, keeping things simple works best in trading. Clear and straightforward analysis without extra indicators can give the good results.
But do you know one thing?
Every setup or edge works with a good position management and trade management. Otherwise, the best of the best trade may end up in a loss.
Trade safe, stay healthy.
Disclaimer: I don't have any position in this stock, and this is not a buy sell recommendation. This post is just for educational purpose.
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 16th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Wednesday, October 15, the Sensex experienced a strong bullish continuation and is positioned to re-challenge the recent high.
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Sensex has confirmed a strong bullish trend resumption, breaking out of the corrective descending channel that formed last week. The price is now trading within a clear ascending channel and has closed right below the immediate overhead supply.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 82,700 - 82,900. This area is the critical hurdle, aligning with the upper channel trendline and the recent swing high. A decisive breakout here is needed to target 83,000 and beyond.
Major Demand (Support): 82,000 - 82,200. This area, which includes the lower trendline of the ascending channel and the psychological 82,000 mark, is the must-hold zone for the continuation of the rally.
Outlook: The short-term bias is strongly bullish. The market is poised to challenge the 82,700 - 82,900 resistance band.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the upside, as the price broke the resistance trendline and the immediate swing high. The index is strongly in an ascending channel, confirming buyer conviction.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 82,800.
Immediate Support: 82,300 (Recent swing low/consolidation zone).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms the strong bullish momentum. The market has closed right at the 82,600 level, after successfully defending the 82,000 support. It is currently consolidating in a small bullish flag pattern at the top of the channel.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 82,800.
Intraday Demand: 82,400.
Outlook: Strongly Bullish.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 16th October)
Market Outlook: The Sensex is displaying strong bullish momentum and is positioned for a breakout towards new highs. The primary strategy will be to buy on continuation.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The market has confirmed a strong bullish reversal and is trading near the upper resistance band. Continuation is expected.
Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 82,800. Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 82,400 (the immediate support/FVG zone).
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 82,200 (below the lower channel trendline).
Targets:
T1: 83,000 (Psychological target).
T2: 83,300 (Extension target).
Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: Only valid if there is sharp profit booking or disappointing Infosys/Wipro/LTIMindtree Q2 results that causes the price to break the bullish structure.
Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 82,000.
Entry: Short entry below 82,000.
Stop Loss (SL): Above 82,300.
Targets:
T1: 81,800 (Major FVG support).
T2: 81,600 (Next major demand zone).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 82,400 - 82,800 zone.
Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 82,800.
Bearish Warning: A move below 82,200 suggests the rally is failing.
Major Event: Infosys, LTIMindtree, Wipro Q2 Results (will influence overall sentiment).
Line in the Sand: 82,000. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 16th October
Based on the charts and the market's performance on Wednesday, October 15, the Bank Nifty experienced a strong, volatile session, successfully defending a key support and confirming the continuation of its short-term bullish trend.
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Bank Nifty is in a strong bullish uptrend. The market dipped sharply on Monday but found buying interest at the lower trendline of the ascending channel and the 55,800 - 56,000 demand zone. The strong bullish candle on Wednesday (Oct 15th) confirmed the Market Structure Shift (MSS) back to the upside, breaking the corrective trendline.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 57,000 - 57,200. This area is the immediate overhead hurdle, aligning with the upper trendline of the channel and the psychological 57,000 mark.
Major Demand (Support): 56,200 - 56,400. This area includes the lower trendline of the ascending channel and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap), serving as the must-hold zone for the continuation of the rally.
Outlook: The short-term bias is strongly bullish. The market is poised to challenge the 57,000 resistance.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the upside. The price is trading within a steep ascending channel, having successfully retested and bounced off the lower channel trendline on the open.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 57,000.
Immediate Support: 56,600 (Recent swing low and FVG support).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms the strong bullish momentum. The market closed right at the upper end of its intraday range, and is currently consolidating in a small bullish flag pattern. The price is trading above the upper boundary of the previous corrective channel.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 57,000.
Intraday Demand: 56,600.
Outlook: Strongly Bullish.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 16th October)
Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty is displaying strong bullish momentum and is positioned for a move toward the 57,000 psychological mark. The primary strategy will be to buy on continuation.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The market has confirmed a strong reversal, and the sustained move within the ascending channel favors continuation toward the next major supply zone.
Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 57,000. Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 56,600 - 56,700 (the immediate support/FVG zone).
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 56,400 (below the lower channel trendline).
Targets:
T1: 57,300 (Previous all-time high zone).
T2: 57,600 (Extension target).
Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: Only valid if there is sharp profit booking or negative news that causes the price to break the bullish structure.
Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 56,200.
Entry: Short entry below 56,200.
Stop Loss (SL): Above 56,500.
Targets:
T1: 55,800 (Major FVG support).
T2: 55,400 (Major demand zone).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 56,800 - 57,000 zone.
Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 57,000.
Bearish Warning: A move below 56,400 suggests the rally is failing.
Major Event: Infosys, LTIMindtree, Wipro Q2 Results (will influence overall sentiment).
Line in the Sand: 56,200. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 16th OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Wednesday, October 15, the Nifty experienced a strong rebound, successfully defending a crucial support level and confirming a resumption of the short-term bullish trend.
Detailed Market Structure Breakdown
4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend)
Structure: The Nifty is firmly back in a bullish recovery phase. The price successfully defended the lower boundary of the steep ascending channel and the 25,050 support zone. The strong bullish candle on the 4H chart confirms that the correction seen on Monday/Tuesday was shallow and quickly bought up, reinforcing the overall uptrend.
Key Levels:
Major Supply (Resistance): 25,350 - 25,400. This area is the immediate overhead hurdle, aligning with the recent swing high. A decisive breakout here is needed to challenge the September high of 25,450.
Major Demand (Support): 25,050 - 25,150. This area, which includes the lower boundary of the ascending channel and the 9-period EMA, is the must-hold zone for the continuation of the rally.
Outlook: The short-term bias is strongly bullish. The market is poised to challenge the 25,400 resistance and attempt to test higher levels.
1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View)
Structure: The 1H chart shows a clear Market Structure Shift (MSS) back to the upside. The price broke the immediate swing high after defending the 25,050 level. The index closed strongly within its ascending channel.
Key Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 25,400.
Immediate Support: 25,250 (Recent consolidation zone and Order Block).
15-Minute Chart (Intraday View)
Structure: The 15M chart confirms the strong bullish momentum. The market closed with a small BOS on the upside, setting up for a bullish opening. The strong close suggests momentum is favorable for continuation. The price is trading within a bullish flag pattern.
Key Levels:
Intraday Supply: 25,400.
Intraday Demand: 25,250.
Outlook: Strongly Bullish.
📈 Trade Plan (Thursday, 16th October)
Market Outlook: The Nifty has shown strong resilience and has resumed its short-term rally. The focus is on a move toward the 25,400 resistance. Infosys, LTIMindtree, and Wipro Q2 results are due today, which will heavily influence the market.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Plan)
Justification: The confirmed bullish reversal, the recapture of key moving averages, and the sustained ascent in the ascending channel favor continuation.
Entry: Long entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close above 25,400. Alternatively, look for a dip entry near 25,250 (the immediate consolidation support).
Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss below 25,180 (below the recent swing low/FVG).
Targets:
T1: 25,450 (Previous swing high/upper channel).
T2: 25,550 - 25,600 (Next major target zone).
Bearish Scenario (Counter-Trend Plan)
Justification: Only valid if IT earnings disappoint heavily, leading to a breakdown of the short-term bullish structure.
Trigger: A decisive break and 1-hour candle close below 25,000.
Entry: Short entry below 25,000.
Stop Loss (SL): Above 25,150.
Targets:
T1: 24,900 (Major FVG support).
T2: 24,800 (Next support base).
Key Levels for Observation:
Immediate Decision Point: 25,250 - 25,400 zone.
Bullish Confirmation: A break and sustained move above 25,400.
Bearish Warning: A move below 25,180 suggests the bounce is failing.
Major Event: Infosys, LTIMindtree, Wipro Q2 Results. Volatility in IT stocks will be key.
Line in the Sand: 25,000. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is nullified.
Explaining the seller trap in XAUUSD/GOLDIt is an explanatory video about how sellers are trapped between market rumours and profit booking phases.
The gold chart is a classic example of this in the current scenario, where everyone is waiting to short Gold and gets trapped in the resulting volume.
Be careful with the trade setups.
I have mentioned the clear range of bullish and bearish continuation.
Deepak Nitrite Ltd: At a Crossroad After a Decade-long RallyTechnical Analysis
Deepak Nitrite has experienced an extraordinary rally over the past decade—from below ₹100 to a peak near ₹3,000 in October 2021. The ₹3,000–₹3,200 zone has repeatedly acted as resistance, while the ₹1,700–₹1,800 range has served as a strong support zone. Currently, the stock trades around ₹1,760, hovering near that support.
Lately, fundamentals have decelerated: after years of strong growth until ~2022, the company has faced negative year-on-year profits in recent periods. This makes the current technical zone even more critical: any push above ₹2,000 could reignite a rally, but entry should be confirmed with improving financials.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹2,300
Target 2: ₹2,600
Target 3: ₹3,000
If the ₹1,700–₹1,800 zone fails to hold, the bullish thesis would be invalidated—expect limited upside in that case.
FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23)
Total Income: ₹8,282 Cr (↑ ~7.8% vs ₹7,682 Cr; ↑ ~8% vs ₹7,972 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹7,682 Cr (essentially flat vs FY24; declined vs FY23)
Profit Before Tax: ₹953 Cr (↓ vs ₹1,102 Cr in FY24; ↓ vs ₹1,146 Cr in FY23)
Profit After Tax: ₹697 Cr (↓ from ₹811 Cr in FY24 and ₹852 Cr in FY23)
EPS: ₹51.12 (down from ₹59.45 in FY24 and ₹62.47 in FY23)
📌 Despite revenue growth, margins and net profits have contracted, under pressure from rising costs and operating inefficiencies.
Fundamental Highlights
The company has committed to a ₹8,500 Cr investment in PC resin/phenol capacity, aiming to vertically integrate and reduce dependency on external suppliers.
FY25 saw an 8% rise in revenue, reaching ₹8,366 Cr. However, net profit dropped ~14% to ₹697 Cr due to cost pressures.
Margins under stress: Gross margins compressed as input costs increased—impacting profitability despite revenue gains.
Valuation & Sentiment: JM Financial continues to rate Deepak Nitrite as a Buy, keeping the target at ₹2,305 amid expectations of turnaround.
Dividend & Financial Position: The company retains modest dividend payouts (~0.4% yield) with a payout ratio around 13%.
Balance Sheet: In FY25, a significant jump in long-term debt to ₹1,267 Cr raised leverage risks vs prior years.
Conclusion
Deepak Nitrite is perched at a pivotal level. While its long-term technical setup still holds promise, recent financial trends introduce caution. A break above ₹2,000 with improving fundamentals could trigger new upside, but a failure of the ₹1,700–₹1,800 support zone would cast doubt on future growth.
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Bajaj Finance: All-Time High Breakout Powers GrowthTechnical Analysis
Bajaj Finance Limited showcases one of the most spectacular wealth creation stories in Indian equity markets. Over the past two decades, the stock has delivered an extraordinary super bullish rally from below ₹1 to creating an all-time high of ₹1,042 today - representing an exceptional 1,000x+ growth over 20 years.
The stock reached its all-time high at ₹1,042 today and has pulled back slightly to trade at ₹1,019. The previous Q1 FY26 results were positive, setting a strong foundation for continued momentum.
Key support levels are established at ₹975 (recent support), ₹850 (next support), and ₹700 (major demand zone). The stock offers multiple accumulation opportunities based on position sizing at any of these levels.
With Q2 results announcement scheduled for this month-end, this presents another crucial catalyst. If positive results continue, it could validate the breakout and trigger the next rally phase.
Entry Strategy: Start accumulating at current levels or on dips to support zones based on position sizing.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,080
Target 2: ₹1,120
Target 3: ₹1,160
Stop Losses:
Recent Support: ₹975
Next Support: ₹850
Major Demand: ₹700
If support levels and demand zone don't sustain, no more expectations on this stock.
Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹19,524 Cr (↑ +6% QoQ from ₹18,457 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹16,100 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹5,992 Cr (↓ -1% QoQ from ₹6,026 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹4,956 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹6,614 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹5,879 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹5,460 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹6,368 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹5,647 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹5,265 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹4,765 Cr (↑ +5% QoQ from ₹4,546 Cr; ↑ +22% YoY from ₹3,912 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹7.56 (↑ +5% QoQ from ₹7.21; ↑ +20% YoY from ₹6.32)
Fundamental Highlights
Bajaj Finance delivered robust Q1 FY26 performance with 22% YoY net profit growth and strong operational metrics. The company reported exceptional Q2 FY26 provisional update showing strong growth momentum with AUM up 24% YoY and new loans up 26%.
Market cap stands at ₹6,45,116 crore (up 43.8% in 1 year) with annual revenue of ₹73,107 crore and profit of ₹17,633 crore. Promoter holding remains stable at 54.7%, indicating strong management confidence.
Customer franchise grew to 110.64 million as of September 30, 2025, from 92.09 million the previous year, representing significant 20.2% YoY growth. AUM climbed to ₹4.62 lakh crore in Q2 FY26, with quarterly increase of ₹20,800 crore, demonstrating robust business expansion.
New loans booked rose 26% YoY to 12.17 million in Q2 FY26, indicating strong origination activity. The deposit book continued expanding steadily to approximately ₹69,750 crore, providing stable funding base.
Asset quality remains superior with lower gross and net NPA ratios compared to peers in the NBFC space. The company operates 4,192 branches providing broader coverage and market penetration across India.
Conclusion
Bajaj Finance's remarkable 20-year journey from sub-₹1 to ₹1,042 all-time high, backed by exceptional Q1 FY26 fundamentals showing 22% PAT growth and strong Q2 provisional update with 24% AUM growth, validates the sustained growth thesis. Customer franchise expansion to 110.64 million and AUM reaching ₹4.62 lakh crore demonstrate market leadership. Multiple support levels at ₹975, ₹850, and ₹700 provide attractive accumulation opportunities. Q2 results scheduled for month-end could be the next catalyst for ₹1,160 target. Stock remains a core NBFC holding with strong fundamentals supporting premium valuation.
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DLF: Resistance Turned Support Awaits Q2 CatalystTechnical Analysis
DLF has demonstrated an impressive bullish rally over the past decade, transforming from below ₹100 to reaching an all-time high of ₹968 by April 2024 - representing an exceptional 9.7x growth in 10 years.
Post the peak, the stock entered a corrective phase, falling to ₹600 levels while forming lower lows and lower highs. The last lower high at ₹720 was decisively taken out with super positive Q4 results, propelling the stock to ₹887.
However, negative Q1 FY26 results triggered another fall, bringing the stock back to test the ₹720 level - which acted as resistance earlier. Currently trading at ₹740, this critical level transformation from resistance to support will determine the next directional move.
With Q2 results announcement scheduled this month, this presents a crucial catalyst. Positive results could validate the support and trigger the next rally.
Entry Strategy: Enter only post Q2 results if positive and ₹720 support holds with bullish confirmations.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹800
Target 2: ₹880
Target 3: ₹960 (All-Time High)
Stop Losses:
Critical Support: ₹720 (previous resistance, now key support)
If ₹720 level doesn't sustain or results disappoint expectations, no more expectations on this stock.
FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23)
Total Income: ₹7,994 Cr (↑ +24% YoY from ₹6,427 Cr; ↑ +40% from FY23 ₹5,695 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹5,885 Cr (↑ +37% YoY from ₹4,303 Cr; ↑ +48% from FY23 ₹3,969 Cr)
Financing Profit: ₹2,109 Cr (↓ -1% YoY from ₹2,124 Cr; ↑ +22% from FY23 ₹1,726 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹2,261 Cr (↑ +5% YoY from ₹2,151 Cr; ↑ +51% from FY23 ₹1,502 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹4,367 Cr (↑ +60% YoY from ₹2,724 Cr; ↑ +115% from FY23 ₹2,034 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹17.64 (↑ +60% YoY from ₹11.02; ↑ +115% from FY23 ₹8.22)
Fundamental Highlights
DLF delivered exceptional FY25 performance with PAT surging 60% to ₹4,367 crore and EPS growth of 60% to ₹17.64, demonstrating strong operational leverage. The company achieved record sales bookings of ₹21,223 crore in FY25, up 44% YoY.
Q1 FY26 results showed 18% profit growth to ₹763 crore with revenue doubling to ₹2,717 crore. Market cap stands at ₹1,83,470 crore with promoter holding at 74.1%. The company has set ambitious target to cross annual rental income of ₹10,000 crore in medium-term from commercial properties.
DLF plans ₹17,000 crore residential projects launch in FY26 and targets ₹20,000-22,000 crore in sales driven by strong demand in luxury segment. The company has 280 million square feet of development potential across residential and commercial segments.
Q4 FY25 posted robust 39% profit rise with 46% revenue growth, driven by record sales from luxury projects and steady rental performance. Analysts project rental income to grow at 11% annually over FY25-FY28, with JM Financial maintaining "Buy" rating at ₹1,000 target.
Listed developers including DLF are set for strong Q2 earnings with resilient pre-sales and margin growth. The company is on track to meet or beat FY26 pre-sales guidance despite seasonal monsoon weakness, backed by strong launch pipeline.
Conclusion
DLF's remarkable 10-year journey from sub-₹100 to ₹968 all-time high, backed by exceptional FY25 fundamentals showing 60% PAT growth and record ₹21,223 crore bookings, validates the long-term growth thesis. The critical ₹720 resistance-to-support transformation awaits Q2 results catalyst for direction. Ambitious ₹10,000 crore rental income target, ₹17,000 crore FY26 project pipeline, and 280 million sq ft development potential provide strong visibility. Technical setup favors ₹960 retest if Q2 results are positive and ₹720 support holds.
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NIFTY 50 PUT 25150 (20 OCT 2025) BUY SETUP ANALYSISChart Timeframe: 15-Minute
Instrument: NIFTY25 25150 PE
Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only)
use algo for placing order if you are not expet
yo can get multitime profit at this lavel .you can sell also at uper level
Buy Zone: Around 145.90
Enter when candle closes above green line
Confirm with volume or a strong green candle close
Stop Loss (SL):
Keep a 2-point SL from entry level
⚙️ If SL hits — don’t worry, re-enter again at the same level
You can retry max 3 times if the setup remains valid
Targets:
Target 1: 145.90
Target 2 (100%): 152.25
Max Profit Zone: 170.95
Use trailing stop above 157.50 for extended move
Sell / Exit Zone:
Exit or short near 157.50 if candle fails to close above this resistance
Rejection Rule:
Market may test level 2–3 times before breakout — wait for a confirmed close above green line
Trailing Strategy:
After 1st target hit → move SL near entry
After 2nd target → book partial profit
Above 157.50 → trail and hold for 170+
Disclaimer (Educational Purpose Only)
This setup is shared only for learning and educational purposes to understand price action, confirmation, and risk management.
It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Always confirm with your own analysis before taking any trade.
Who I'm Betting On Amid U.S.–China Trade TensionsThe Redoubling is my own research project, which is designed to answer the following question: How long will it take me to double my capital? Each article will focus on a different company that I've added to my model portfolio. I'll use the close price of the last daily candle on the day the article is published as the initial buy limit price. I'll make all my decisions based on fundamental analysis. Furthermore, I'm not going to use leverage in my calculations, but I'll reduce my capital by the amount of commissions (0.1% per trade) and taxes (20% capital gains and 25% dividend). To find out the current price of the company's shares, just click the Play button on the chart. But please use this stuff only for educational purposes. Just so you know, this isn't investment advice.
Here is a company overview of Silergy Corp. (Ticker: TWSE:6415 )
1. Main areas of activity Silergy Corp. is a fabless analog / mixed‑signal integrated circuit (IC) design company, with core strength in power management, signal-chain, and analog ICs used across consumer, industrial, automotive and computing segments. It positions itself with a “virtual IDM” model (i.e. outsourcing wafer fabrication while internally handling design, integration, and system-level functions).
2. Business model Silergy operates on a fabless IC design + licensing / product sales model. It designs analog, mixed-signal, and power-management chips, outsources manufacturing to foundries, then sells the finished ICs (and related services, such as reference designs, simulation tools, technical support). Its customers tend to be OEMs in consumer electronics, automotive, industrial applications, and computing, giving it a B2B business model.
3. Flagship products or services Key product lines include DC–DC regulators, AC/DC converters, power modules, LED drivers, battery management ICs, and signal chain devices (e.g. analog front ends). One notable acquisition is Teridian Semiconductor from Maxim, giving Silergy capabilities in energy‑metering / smart metering ICs. Silergy also invests heavily in R&D (with many engineers) and offers design / simulation support for its customers.
4. Key countries for business While headquartered (and significantly centered) in China (Hangzhou), Silergy also maintains key technology presence in Taiwan (its listing jurisdiction) and in the United States (technology / design offices in Santa Clara, CA). Given its customer base, it likely sells into global electronics markets (Asia, North America, Europe) through its design center networks.
5. Main competitors Silergy competes with global analog / power IC firms such as Texas Instruments, Infineon, ON Semiconductor, Analog Devices, Maxim Integrated (now part of Analog Devices), and other rising Chinese analog IC challengers. In particular, in the PMIC (power management IC) segment, these established global firms are strong incumbents.
6. External and internal factors contributing to profit growth External factors:
Rising demand for power-efficient devices (smartphones, IoT, electric vehicles, renewable energy systems) increases demand for analog / power management ICs.
Global electrification / green energy trends (e.g. energy management, battery systems) create new addressable markets.
The push for regional supply chain localization (e.g. China’s desire for domestic semiconductor capability) could favor Silergy.
Industry cycle recovery in semiconductors may lift demand and pricing conditions.
Internal factors:
Deep R&D investment and engineering talent allow Silergy to bring differentiated designs and higher integration.
Acquisition of Teridian gives it new capabilities and market reach in energy metering / smart grid space.
Its virtual IDM model keeps capital expenditure lower (no major fabs) and allows flexibility in scaling.
Strong relationships with foundries and customers, and its reference design / support offerings, can lock in customers and generate recurring design wins.
7. External and internal factors contributing to profit decline External factors:
Intense competition from entrenched analog / power IC giants that have scale, brand, and ecosystem advantages.
Price pressure in commoditized analog / power segments.
Volatility in semiconductor industry cycles, supply chain disruptions, or foundry capacity constraints.
Regulatory / geopolitical risks (e.g. U.S. export restrictions on advanced semiconductor tech to China) could hamper access or partnership.
Currency fluctuations, especially between TWD, USD, and RMB.
Internal factors:
Dependence on external foundries introduces operational and supply risks.
High R&D and design costs must be offset by sufficient sales volume; design failures or delayed product launches can be costly.
Execution risk in scaling new products / markets (e.g. smart metering) may stretch management.
If margins erode due to pricing or competition, profitability could suffer.
8. Stability of management Executive changes over the past 5 years:
Silergy was founded by a group of Silicon Valley veterans; among its key executives are Chen Wei (Chairman) and You Budong (Co‑CEO). While public filings do not emphasize frequent CEO turnover, as a relatively young and growth semiconductor company, leadership continuity has been fairly stable. (I did not find widely publicized recent CEO or CFO shake‑ups.)
Impact on strategy, priorities, culture:
The relative management stability seems to have supported a long‑term R&D and growth orientation. The acquisition of Teridian, expansion into U.S. design centers, and continued investment in analog / power domains suggest management has prioritized technological scale and geographic reach. The continuity in leadership aids consistency in corporate strategy.
Why am I going to add this company to my model portfolio?
I see growth in both earnings per share and total revenue. However, the days sales outstanding ratio has not changed. Although operating, investing, and financing cash flows are volatile, the balance sheet remains solid. The debt-to-revenue ratio, current liquidity, and interest coverage are all strong. Additional indicators, such as growing return on equity, a stable gross margin, lower operating expenses, and good payment terms, confirm the company’s resilience. The P/E ratio is 33.332, which I consider acceptable, given the company’s growth; however, continued execution remains important. I did not find any critical news that could affect the company's existence. With a diversification coefficient of 20 and a current stock price that deviates by more than 16 EPS from its annual average, I will allocate 15% of my capital to this company. This balanced decision is based on growth indicators and a strong balance sheet while maintaining caution due to the risks related to the external factors.
FOMO Trading – The #1 Killer in Crypto Market!Hello Traders!
Every bull run, the same story repeats, people buy when prices are high, panic when they drop, and wonder why they always lose.
It’s not the strategy or the market that fails, it’s FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) .
FOMO is the most powerful psychological trap in the crypto world, and it silently destroys more accounts than any other mistake. Let’s break it down.
1. What is FOMO in Trading?
FOMO happens when you see others making profits, and you jump in late out of fear of missing out.
You don’t analyze, you react emotionally.
By the time you buy, smart money is usually exiting, leaving you to hold the bag.
2. How FOMO Starts
Social media hype, influencer tweets, or fast-moving green candles create excitement.
Your brain says, “I’m missing this move, I need to enter now.”
That emotion makes you forget your plan, position sizing, and stop loss.
This is exactly when professionals take advantage, because they know retail is chasing.
3. The FOMO Cycle
You see price pumping → You buy high.
Price drops → You panic and sell low.
Price recovers → You feel regret and chase again.
Repeat, until your capital is gone.
4. How to Break the FOMO Habit
Remind yourself: the market will always give another opportunity.
Set rules, if a trade has already moved 5–10% without you, skip it.
Focus on setup quality, not speed.
Plan your trades when the market is calm, not when your heart is racing.
Rahul’s Tip:
The best traders are not the fastest, they’re the most patient.
Every missed trade teaches discipline; every forced trade teaches pain. Choose your lesson wisely.
Conclusion:
FOMO is not just a bad habit, it’s emotional trading disguised as “opportunity.”
The moment you stop chasing, your trading transforms from desperate to disciplined.
In crypto, the patient trader always outlasts the impulsive one.
If this post helped you see how FOMO affects your trading, like it, share your thoughts in comments, and follow for more real-world trading psychology insights!
Deepak Nitrite Ltd: At a Crossroad After a Decade-long Rally🔍 Technical Analysis
Deepak Nitrite has experienced an extraordinary rally over the past decade—from below ₹100 to a peak near ₹3,000 in October 2021. The ₹3,000–₹3,200 zone has repeatedly acted as resistance, while the ₹1,700–₹1,800 range has served as a strong support zone. Currently, the stock trades around ₹1,760, hovering near that support.
Lately, fundamentals have decelerated: after years of strong growth until ~2022, the company has faced negative year-on-year profits in recent periods. This makes the current technical zone even more critical: any push above ₹2,000 could reignite a rally, but entry should be confirmed with improving financials.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹2,300
Target 2: ₹2,600
Target 3: ₹3,000
If the ₹1,700–₹1,800 zone fails to hold, the bullish thesis would be invalidated—expect limited upside in that case.
💰 FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23)
Total Income: ₹8,282 Cr (↑ ~7.8% vs ₹7,682 Cr; ↑ ~8% vs ₹7,972 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹7,682 Cr (essentially flat vs FY24; declined vs FY23)
Profit Before Tax: ₹953 Cr (↓ vs ₹1,102 Cr in FY24; ↓ vs ₹1,146 Cr in FY23)
Profit After Tax: ₹697 Cr (↓ from ₹811 Cr in FY24 and ₹852 Cr in FY23)
EPS: ₹51.12 (down from ₹59.45 in FY24 and ₹62.47 in FY23)
📌 Despite revenue growth, margins and net profits have contracted, under pressure from rising costs and operating inefficiencies.
🧠 Fundamental Highlights
The company has committed to a ₹8,500 Cr investment in PC resin/phenol capacity, aiming to vertically integrate and reduce dependency on external suppliers.
FY25 saw an 8% rise in revenue, reaching ₹8,366 Cr. However, net profit dropped ~14% to ₹697 Cr due to cost pressures.
Margins under stress: Gross margins compressed as input costs increased—impacting profitability despite revenue gains.
Valuation & Sentiment: JM Financial continues to rate Deepak Nitrite as a Buy, keeping the target at ₹2,305 amid expectations of turnaround.
Dividend & Financial Position: The company retains modest dividend payouts (~0.4% yield) with a payout ratio around 13%.
Balance Sheet: In FY25, a significant jump in long-term debt to ₹1,267 Cr raised leverage risks vs prior years.
✅ Conclusion
Deepak Nitrite is perched at a pivotal level. While its long-term technical setup still holds promise, recent financial trends introduce caution. A break above ₹2,000 with improving fundamentals could trigger new upside, but a failure of the ₹1,700–₹1,800 support zone would cast doubt on future growth.
Zinccrucial update at weekly double top of 1 yearZinc made double top pattern in one year scenario now breifly analysis of this condition are below
Zinc hurdel as per pattern 300 if mkt sustain abv than next rally till 31--318++++ thna after may be touch 340++ or if mkt fail to cross pattern or stya blw 290 than expect dwn fall from 285--275+++ than sell on rise with 297 sl or let see.
now eyes on silver if this pattern follow than silver 7-10000 point dwn possible from 15900--158000@
