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Beyond Technical Analysis

XAG/USD Set for Decline After Finishing Wave YSilver has completed a clear 5-wave upward move, ending near the 51.23 zone, which likely marks the completion of Wave C of the corrective structure. Price action shows rejection from the upper trendline, signaling that buying momentum is fading. This suggests the start of a new A–B–C corrective decline, where Silver could first drop toward 48–47 levels before any temporary bounce. The overall structure remains bearish in the short term unless the price breaks above the 52.76 invalidation zone. In simple terms: rally looks complete → downside correction likely ahead. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
OANDA:XAGUSD
by Money_Dictators
7
BTC current week update and explanation BTC is still inside a short-term downtrend but is showing signs of base formation / potential reversal. BTC has lower highs and lower lows = still technically bearish. EMA 20 ≈ slightly below EMA 50 → still bearish crossover. But candles are hovering near the EMAs, meaning bearish momentum is weakening. Volume is flat to decreasing during price drops — indicating seller exhaustion. If a breakout occurs on strong volume, it’ll be a strong bullish confirmation. BTC is currently trading below a descending trendline, showing the sellers still in control. A daily candle close above $107K would signal a potential trend reversal. The information and analysis provided are for educational and informational purposes only. This does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by nikhilvishwakarma322
Bajaj Finserv: Resistance Breaks, Q2 Results AwaitTechnical Analysis Bajaj Finserv Limited has delivered an impressive super bullish rally since 2010, establishing itself as a blue-chip financial services stock. Multiple times since 2021, the stock faced resistance at the ₹2,000 level, which acted as a psychological and technical barrier. However, recent strong year-on-year performance enabled the stock to decisively break above this resistance, and the ₹2,000 level is now acting as support - a classic bullish signal of role reversal. Currently trading at ₹2,112, the stock is well-positioned above its previous resistance. Adding strength to the bullish setup, both the EMA-44 and Supertrend indicators are signaling bullish momentum, providing technical confirmation for the breakout. Tomorrow's Q2 FY26 results announcement serves as a crucial catalyst that could determine the next directional move. Entry Strategy: Current levels offer opportunity with ₹2,000 support holding firm. Monitor Q2 results for confirmation. Targets: Target 1: ₹2,200 Target 2: ₹2,300 Target 3: ₹2,400 Stop Losses: Minor Support: ₹2,000 (previous resistance, now support - be cautious if breached) Major Stop: ₹1,800 Below ₹1,800, no more expectations on this stock. Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25) Total Income: ₹35,439 Cr (↓ -3% QoQ from ₹36,595 Cr; ↑ +13% YoY from ₹31,480 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹21,124 Cr (↓ -12% QoQ from ₹23,868 Cr; ↑ +7% YoY from ₹19,655 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹14,315 Cr (↑ +12% QoQ from ₹12,728 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹11,825 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹7,204 Cr (↑ +20% QoQ from ₹6,002 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹5,968 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹5,329 Cr (↑ +12% QoQ from ₹4,756 Cr; ↑ +27% YoY from ₹4,209 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹17.46 (↑ +15% QoQ from ₹15.14; ↑ +30% YoY from ₹13.39) Fundamental Highlights Bajaj Finserv delivered stellar Q1 FY26 performance with consolidated PAT surging 30% YoY to ₹5,329 crore, driven by robust performance across lending, insurance, and financial services verticals. The company's profit before tax jumped 21% YoY to ₹7,204 crore with total income rising 13% to ₹35,451 crore. Subsidiary Bajaj Finance (51.39% holding) reported exceptional growth with PAT up 22% YoY to ₹4,765 crore and AUM reaching ₹4.41 lakh crore (up 25% YoY). Customer franchise expanded to 106.51 million, adding 4.69 million new customers in Q1 alone, with new loans booked surging 23% to 13.49 million. Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance delivered impressive 76% YoY surge in shareholders' PAT to ₹171 crore, with VNB increasing 39% to ₹145 crore driven by product restructuring and favorable mix. Bajaj Allianz General Insurance posted 15% PAT growth to ₹660 crore with gross written premium up 9% to ₹5,202 crore. Market cap stands at ₹3.45 trillion with EPS of ₹17.30 reflecting 31.1% QoQ and 30.1% YoY increase. The company operates 43 million EMI Network Cards and runs digital platforms like Bajaj Finserv Markets driving cross-selling opportunities. Strategic diversification across lending, life insurance, general insurance, asset management (₹25,011 crore AUM), and emerging ventures in health, direct wealth management creates multiple growth engines. Capital adequacy ratio at healthy 21.96% provides growth capital while maintaining strong balance sheet. Conclusion Bajaj Finserv's decisive breakout above ₹2,000 resistance backed by strong Q1 FY26 showing 27% PAT growth and 30% EPS increase validates the bullish thesis. Subsidiary Bajaj Finance's 25% AUM growth to ₹4.41 lakh crore and 4.69 million customer additions demonstrate operational strength. Tomorrow's Q2 FY26 results serve as critical catalyst for the next leg toward ₹2,400 target. EMA-44 and Supertrend bullish signals provide technical confirmation. Critical support at ₹2,000 and major stop at ₹1,800 offer clear risk management levels for this diversified financial services powerhouse. Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
NSE:BAJAJFINSV
by Alice Blue
Astral: EMA Breakout Powers Fresh RallyTechnical Analysis Astral Limited showcases an exceptional wealth creation journey spanning two decades. The stock has delivered a super bullish rally from below ₹4 to reaching ₹2,454 - representing an extraordinary 600x+ growth over 20 years. Over the past 5 years since 2021, the stock has established strong support in the ₹1,200-₹1,300 zone, tested multiple times. Currently trading at ₹1,577, the stock achieved a significant technical milestone yesterday with a decisive breakout above the EMA-44 level. The EMA-44 has acted as resistance multiple times in the past, making this breakout particularly significant. Adding to the bullish setup, the Supertrend indicator is also signaling bullish momentum, while quarterly results have been positive, providing fundamental support to the technical breakout. Entry Strategy: Go long above ₹1,600 with breakout confirmation. 🎯Targets: Target 1: ₹1,800 Target 2: ₹2,000 Target 3: ₹2,200 🚫Stop Losses: Critical Support: ₹1,200-₹1,300 zone (tested multiple times over 5 years) If the ₹1,200-₹1,300 zone is taken down, no more expectations on this stock. 💰Q2 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q1 FY26 & Q2 FY25) Total Income: ₹1,577 Cr (↑ +16% QoQ from ₹1,361 Cr; ↑ +15% YoY from ₹1,370 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹1,321 Cr (↑ +12% QoQ from ₹1,176 Cr; ↑ +14% YoY from ₹1,160 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹257 Cr (↑ +39% QoQ from ₹185 Cr; ↑ +22% YoY from ₹210 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹180 Cr (↑ +64% QoQ from ₹110 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹149 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹135 Cr (↑ +71% QoQ from ₹79 Cr; ↑ +24% YoY from ₹109 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹5.02 (↑ +66% QoQ from ₹3.02; ↑ +23% YoY from ₹4.09) Fundamental Highlights Astral Limited delivered exceptional Q2 FY26 performance with shares surging nearly 6% following strong results. Revenue grew 15.1% with profit rising 24%, driven by plumbing volumes surging 20.6% and adhesives/bathware growing double digits. Market cap stands at ₹41,805 crore (down 12.5% in 1 year) with annual revenue of ₹6,017 crore and profit of ₹505 crore. Stock is trading at 11.1 times book value with promoter holding at 54.2%. The company is executing strategic capacity expansion with Hyderabad greenfield plant (70,000 MT capacity) and new Kanpur facility coming up in FY26. Total planned capex of ₹300-350 crore annually in FY25-FY26 to be funded through internal accruals. Astral expects consolidated revenue growth of 10-12% per annum in FY25 and FY26, supported by plumbing volume growth of 17% and adhesives revenue growth of 15-20%. Gross margins improved to 39% in FY24 from 33% in FY23 due to favorable raw material costs. The company has successfully diversified into paints, faucets, sanitary ware, and valves through strategic acquisitions. Bathware business expected to achieve operating breakeven in FY26. Strong brand franchise backed by sustained advertising and IPL sponsorships driving market penetration. ✅Conclusion Astral's remarkable 20-year journey from ₹4 to ₹2,454, backed by strong Q2 FY26 showing 71% QoQ PAT growth and 15% revenue increase, validates the growth thesis. Yesterday's EMA-44 breakout with Supertrend bullish signal creates compelling technical setup. Strategic capacity expansion with 70,000 MT Hyderabad plant and Kanpur facility provide growth visibility. Plumbing volumes surging 20.6% and gross margins at 39% demonstrate operational strength. Entry above ₹1,600 targets ₹2,200 levels with ₹1,200-₹1,300 zone providing strong support base tested over 5 years. Disclaimer: tinyurl.com
NSE:ASTRAL
by Alice Blue
forist Trade Setup: Forist Stock Entry Price: ₹943 Stop Loss (SL): ₹929 Target Price: ₹1040 Description: Forist stock shows strong bullish momentum with potential for an upward breakout. Entry is planned at ₹943, confirming strength above key support levels. A protective stop loss is placed at ₹929 to limit downside risk. The initial upside target is set at ₹1040, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders can monitor volume and price action near resistance zones for confirmation
NSE:FORTISLong
by hardikptl794
Eurchf bearish /SHORT --- 📉 EUR/CHF – Momentum shifts & premium short bias The pair is showing renewed dominance of aggressive sellers, enabling a breach of key support range — buyers’ interest remains muted. Coupled with reduced inflation in Switzerland and a lowered fair-value estimate from UBS, the bias tilts decisively downward. 🔻 Entry / Stop / Targets Entry (Short): around ~0.9313 –– as price re-tests the premium supply zone. Stop-Loss: just above the 0.9326 level, invalidation of the supply zone. Take-Profit (TP): primary TP near ~0.9210 (next major support zone). Alternate TP: deep target ~0.9170 if momentum accelerates. 🎯 Trade Rationale Structure: supply zone (≈0.9313-0.9326) holding, prior support now acting as supply. Volume: heightened selling volume confirms break lower in test phase. Macro + fundamentals: UBS lowers fair value for EUR/CHF to ~1.05 amid Swiss inflation deceleration = underlying risk-to-downside pressure. Technical: range break below ~0.9320 triggers next leg down. ✨ Messaging for audience Trade with precision — a premium short zone has been identified, stop is tightly defined, target offers strong risk-reward. This is not just a pullback — it’s a power move where sellers are in control. Position now for the follow-through. ---
Short
by Bang2bang
US Dollar Weakness Likely After Final Push UpDXY has completed a complex corrective W–X–Y pattern, with the final leg (Y) recently topping near the 100.50 zone. Price has failed to break above the invalidation level, suggesting the uptrend is losing strength. This signals that the dollar may have finished its corrective phase and could now start a fresh bearish wave targeting lower zones near 97–98. The overall structure indicates that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish. In simple terms: rally is likely over → downside move toward new lows expected next. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
TVC:DXYShort
by Money_Dictators
Tata Steel: Resistance Test Awaits Q2 Catalyst🔍 Technical Analysis Tata Steel Limited has demonstrated a strong bullish rally spanning three decades, establishing itself as a blue-chip steel sector leader. Over the past year, the stock has been facing persistent resistance in the ₹184-₹187 zone, tested multiple times without a decisive breakout. Currently trading at ₹181, the stock is positioned just below this critical resistance zone. Interestingly, while quarterly revenue shows a slight drop both QoQ and YoY, EPS has demonstrated positive growth - indicating improved profitability and operational efficiency despite revenue headwinds. The Q2 FY26 results scheduled for announcement day after tomorrow (November 12, 2025) serve as a crucial catalyst. Positive results could provide the fundamental support needed to break through the stubborn ₹184-₹187 resistance zone and trigger the next leg of the rally. Entry Strategy: Wait for Q2 results and breakout confirmation above ₹187 before initiating positions. 🎯 Targets: Target 1: ₹190 Target 2: ₹195 Target 3: ₹200 Risk Assessment: If resistance is not taken out post Q2 results, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25) Total Income: ₹53,178 Cr (↓ -5% QoQ from ₹56,218 Cr; ↓ -3% YoY from ₹54,771 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹45,751 Cr (↓ -8% QoQ from ₹49,659 Cr; ↓ -5% YoY from ₹48,077 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹7,428 Cr (↑ +13% QoQ from ₹6,559 Cr; ↑ +11% YoY from ₹6,694 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹3,067 Cr (↑ +39% QoQ from ₹2,200 Cr; ↑ +29% YoY from ₹2,377 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹2,007 Cr (↑ +67% QoQ from ₹1,201 Cr; ↑ +118% YoY from ₹919 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹1.66 (↑ +60% QoQ from ₹1.04; ↑ +116% YoY from ₹0.77) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights Tata Steel delivered exceptional Q1 FY26 performance with PAT surging 118% YoY to ₹2,007 crore despite 3% revenue decline, showcasing remarkable operational efficiency. The company reported strong Q2 FY26 operational data with crude steel production reaching 5.67 million tons (up 8% QoQ and 7% YoY). Q2 FY26 domestic deliveries grew robustly by 20% QoQ and 7% YoY to 5.56 million tons, driven by normalized operations post G Blast Furnace relining at Jamshedpur. Branded Products & Retail vertical achieved best-ever quarterly volumes of approximately 1.9 million tons, demonstrating strong retail demand. Market cap stands at ₹2,23,766 crore with the stock delivering impressive returns: up 5.8% in one month, 20% in three months, 30% in six months, and 34% YTD. The company reported 7.3% YoY increase in operating profit for Q1 FY26 with EBITDA of ₹74,560 crore. European operations showed turnaround with Netherlands reporting 1.67 million tons production and 1.54 million tons deliveries. UK operations targeting Q4 FY26 breakeven with Electric Arc Furnace project construction underway at Port Talbot, representing £1.25 billion decarbonization initiative. JP Morgan maintains overweight rating with ₹180 price target (17% upside potential), while other brokerages project revenue/EBITDA growth CAGR of 8%/26% over FY25-27E. Steel prices anticipated to have bottomed out with China's stimulus measures expected to benefit the sector. ✅ Conclusion Tata Steel's three-decade bull run approaching critical ₹184-₹187 resistance zone, backed by exceptional Q1 FY26 showing 118% PAT surge and 116% EPS growth despite revenue decline. Strong Q2 operational data with 8% production growth and 20% delivery increase provide positive momentum ahead of November 12 results announcement. UK breakeven target by Q4 FY26 and European turnaround add to growth visibility. Stock trading at attractive 7.2x FY26E EV/EBITDA with analyst targets of ₹180 suggest 17% upside potential upon resistance breakout. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Stock markets are subject to risks.
NSE:TATASTEELLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
1
Bajaj Finserv: Resistance Breaks, Q2 Results Await🔍 Technical Analysis Bajaj Finserv Limited has delivered an impressive super bullish rally since 2010, establishing itself as a blue-chip financial services stock. Multiple times since 2021, the stock faced resistance at the ₹2,000 level, which acted as a psychological and technical barrier. However, recent strong year-on-year performance enabled the stock to decisively break above this resistance, and the ₹2,000 level is now acting as support - a classic bullish signal of role reversal. Currently trading at ₹2,112, the stock is well-positioned above its previous resistance. Adding strength to the bullish setup, both the EMA-44 and Supertrend indicators are signaling bullish momentum, providing technical confirmation for the breakout. Tomorrow's Q2 FY26 results announcement serves as a crucial catalyst that could determine the next directional move. Entry Strategy: Current levels offer opportunity with ₹2,000 support holding firm. Monitor Q2 results for confirmation. Targets: Target 1: ₹2,200 Target 2: ₹2,300 Target 3: ₹2,400 🚫 Stop Losses: Minor Support: ₹2,000 (previous resistance, now support - be cautious if breached) Major Stop: ₹1,800 Below ₹1,800, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25) Total Income: ₹35,439 Cr (↓ -3% QoQ from ₹36,595 Cr; ↑ +13% YoY from ₹31,480 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹21,124 Cr (↓ -12% QoQ from ₹23,868 Cr; ↑ +7% YoY from ₹19,655 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹14,315 Cr (↑ +12% QoQ from ₹12,728 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹11,825 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹7,204 Cr (↑ +20% QoQ from ₹6,002 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹5,968 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹5,329 Cr (↑ +12% QoQ from ₹4,756 Cr; ↑ +27% YoY from ₹4,209 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹17.46 (↑ +15% QoQ from ₹15.14; ↑ +30% YoY from ₹13.39) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights Bajaj Finserv delivered stellar Q1 FY26 performance with consolidated PAT surging 30% YoY to ₹5,329 crore, driven by robust performance across lending, insurance, and financial services verticals. The company's profit before tax jumped 21% YoY to ₹7,204 crore with total income rising 13% to ₹35,451 crore. Subsidiary Bajaj Finance (51.39% holding) reported exceptional growth with PAT up 22% YoY to ₹4,765 crore and AUM reaching ₹4.41 lakh crore (up 25% YoY). Customer franchise expanded to 106.51 million, adding 4.69 million new customers in Q1 alone, with new loans booked surging 23% to 13.49 million. Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance delivered impressive 76% YoY surge in shareholders' PAT to ₹171 crore, with VNB increasing 39% to ₹145 crore driven by product restructuring and favorable mix. Bajaj Allianz General Insurance posted 15% PAT growth to ₹660 crore with gross written premium up 9% to ₹5,202 crore. Market cap stands at ₹3.45 trillion with EPS of ₹17.30 reflecting 31.1% QoQ and 30.1% YoY increase. The company operates 43 million EMI Network Cards and runs digital platforms like Bajaj Finserv Markets driving cross-selling opportunities. Strategic diversification across lending, life insurance, general insurance, asset management (₹25,011 crore AUM), and emerging ventures in health, direct wealth management creates multiple growth engines. Capital adequacy ratio at healthy 21.96% provides growth capital while maintaining strong balance sheet. ✅ Conclusion Bajaj Finserv's decisive breakout above ₹2,000 resistance backed by strong Q1 FY26 showing 27% PAT growth and 30% EPS increase validates the bullish thesis. Subsidiary Bajaj Finance's 25% AUM growth to ₹4.41 lakh crore and 4.69 million customer additions demonstrate operational strength. Tomorrow's Q2 FY26 results serve as critical catalyst for the next leg toward ₹2,400 target. EMA-44 and Supertrend bullish signals provide technical confirmation. Critical support at ₹2,000 and major stop at ₹1,800 offer clear risk management levels for this diversified financial services powerhouse. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor and conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Stock markets are subject to market risks.
NSE:BAJAJFINSVLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
2
Astral: EMA Breakout Powers Fresh Rally🔍 Technical Analysis Astral Limited showcases an exceptional wealth creation journey spanning two decades. The stock has delivered a super bullish rally from below ₹4 to reaching ₹2,454 - representing an extraordinary 600x+ growth over 20 years. Over the past 5 years since 2021, the stock has established strong support in the ₹1,200-₹1,300 zone, tested multiple times. Currently trading at ₹1,577, the stock achieved a significant technical milestone yesterday with a decisive breakout above the EMA-44 level. The EMA-44 has acted as resistance multiple times in the past, making this breakout particularly significant. Adding to the bullish setup, the Supertrend indicator is also signaling bullish momentum, while quarterly results have been positive, providing fundamental support to the technical breakout. Entry Strategy: Go long above ₹1,600 with breakout confirmation. 🎯 Targets: Target 1: ₹1,800 Target 2: ₹2,000 Target 3: ₹2,200 🚫 Stop Losses: Critical Support: ₹1,200-₹1,300 zone (tested multiple times over 5 years) If the ₹1,200-₹1,300 zone is taken down, no more expectations on this stock. 💰 Q2 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q1 FY26 & Q2 FY25) Total Income: ₹1,577 Cr (↑ +16% QoQ from ₹1,361 Cr; ↑ +15% YoY from ₹1,370 Cr) Total Expenses: ₹1,321 Cr (↑ +12% QoQ from ₹1,176 Cr; ↑ +14% YoY from ₹1,160 Cr) Operating Profit: ₹257 Cr (↑ +39% QoQ from ₹185 Cr; ↑ +22% YoY from ₹210 Cr) Profit Before Tax: ₹180 Cr (↑ +64% QoQ from ₹110 Cr; ↑ +21% YoY from ₹149 Cr) Profit After Tax: ₹135 Cr (↑ +71% QoQ from ₹79 Cr; ↑ +24% YoY from ₹109 Cr) Diluted EPS: ₹5.02 (↑ +66% QoQ from ₹3.02; ↑ +23% YoY from ₹4.09) 🧠 Fundamental Highlights Astral Limited delivered exceptional Q2 FY26 performance with shares surging nearly 6% following strong results. Revenue grew 15.1% with profit rising 24%, driven by plumbing volumes surging 20.6% and adhesives/bathware growing double digits. Market cap stands at ₹41,805 crore (down 12.5% in 1 year) with annual revenue of ₹6,017 crore and profit of ₹505 crore. Stock is trading at 11.1 times book value with promoter holding at 54.2%. The company is executing strategic capacity expansion with Hyderabad greenfield plant (70,000 MT capacity) and new Kanpur facility coming up in FY26. Total planned capex of ₹300-350 crore annually in FY25-FY26 to be funded through internal accruals. Astral expects consolidated revenue growth of 10-12% per annum in FY25 and FY26, supported by plumbing volume growth of 17% and adhesives revenue growth of 15-20%. Gross margins improved to 39% in FY24 from 33% in FY23 due to favorable raw material costs. The company has successfully diversified into paints, faucets, sanitary ware, and valves through strategic acquisitions. Bathware business expected to achieve operating breakeven in FY26. Strong brand franchise backed by sustained advertising and IPL sponsorships driving market penetration. ✅ Conclusion Astral's remarkable 20-year journey from ₹4 to ₹2,454, backed by strong Q2 FY26 showing 71% QoQ PAT growth and 15% revenue increase, validates the growth thesis. Yesterday's EMA-44 breakout with Supertrend bullish signal creates compelling technical setup. Strategic capacity expansion with 70,000 MT Hyderabad plant and Kanpur facility provide growth visibility. Plumbing volumes surging 20.6% and gross margins at 39% demonstrate operational strength. Entry above ₹1,600 targets ₹2,200 levels with ₹1,200-₹1,300 zone providing strong support base tested over 5 years. Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:ASTRALLong
by Rupesh_Chidharala
Silver Correction Ending: Major Drop AheadSilver (XAG/USD) has completed a 5-wave decline, marking the end of Wave (A)/(1) near the 45.53 level. Since then, price has been retracing upward in a complex W–X–Y corrective structure, which appears to be forming the final leg of Wave (B)/(2). The rise is losing strength near the upper channel, hinting that bulls may soon exhaust. Once Wave (B)/(2) finishes, the next big move is expected to be a strong bearish Wave (C)/(3) decline targeting lower zones near or below 45. In simple terms: last leg of correction nearly done → next big drop ahead. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
by Money_Dictators
2
A daily wrapGrowth worries and Valuation Fears Two themes ran the show last week: America’s once-mighty growth showing signs of fatigue, and investors rediscovering their fear of heights when it comes to stock valuations—all against the backdrop of a record-breaking government shutdown that’s kept official data in the dark longer than most TV reboots last. The US economy looked like a mixed salad—plenty of green but dressed with uncertainty. With the shutdown nearing 40 days, hopes of a clean economic rebound were fading. Challenger’s job cuts data added salt to the mix, showing October layoffs at 20-year highs, with AI and corporate caution blamed. Meanwhile, consumer confidence slid to just above its historical floor. Yet somehow, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model is still strutting around at 4.0% growth—perhaps it didn’t get the memo. Fedspeak” was abundant but not harmonious. Some officials are still seeing inflation monsters under the bed, while others are losing sleep over the job market. The divide is widening—more duet than chorus. UK Across the pond, the Bank of England delivered a small surprise by standing pat on rates (5-4 vote) but hinting it’s ready to cut next—suggesting inflation may finally have peaked. Central bankers elsewhere largely hit replay on last week’s script. China In China, October’s trade numbers hinted at the limits of “pivoting away from the US.” Exports to non-US markets rose 3.1%, but a 25% drop in shipments to the US dragged total exports down 1.1%. Even Beijing’s redirection efforts seem to have hit a yield curve. Meanwhile, the US Supreme Court began debating the legality of certain executive-imposed tariffs. Early questioning suggested skepticism from the bench—but no verdict is expected soon. Lawyers everywhere are sharpening pencils and patience alike. Markets: AI Angst and Data Drought Equities stumbled as AI valuation panic reemerged, pushing the Nasdaq to its worst week since April. The 10-year Treasury yield wobbled mildly between 4.05% and 4.16%, while gold stayed shiny but subdued ($3,940–$4,030). The real rollercoaster was Bitcoin, whipsawing between $99k and $111k—because apparently, gravity is optional in crypto land. Oil quietly clocked out below $60 a barrel. The Week Ahead The shutdown saga rolls on, which means another week without CPI, PPI, or other vital data—like driving blindfolded with only private surveys as headlights. Expect attention on the NFIB small business survey, ADP employment data, and a flurry of Fed speeches, as officials try to sound informed without actual information. Elsewhere: • Japan’s BoJ minutes may reveal internal political pressure to delay its long-teased rate hike. • Europe gets the ZEW survey, ECB’s latest economic outlook, and some lagging indicators (GDP, trade, jobs, and German inflation). • UK focus shifts to labor data and wage growth, critical for the Bank of England’s next move, with several MPC members on speaking duty. The US-China trade deal, sealed in Kuala Lumpur and Busan, still holds—much to the surprise of cynics betting on diplomatic self-sabotage. the AI bubble chatter refuses to deflate. A recycled Sam Altman quote calling AI investments a “bubble”, coupled with an MIT study claiming 95% of corporate AI bets aren’t profitable, had investors clutching their neural networks. Never mind that both were old news—markets rediscovered them like lost episodes of a bad reality show.
TVC:SPX
by rajkaz
Billions on Broccoli: What Is the Secret of Sprouts?The Redoubling is my own research project on TradingView, which is designed to answer the following question: How long will it take me to double my capital? Each article will focus on a different company that I'll try to add to my model portfolio. I'll use the close price of the last daily candle on the day the article is published as the initial buy limit price. I'll make all my decisions based on fundamental analysis. Furthermore, I'm not going to use leverage in my calculations, but I'll reduce my capital by the amount of commissions (0.1% per trade) and taxes (20% capital gains and 25% dividend). To find out the current price of the company's shares, just click the Play button on the chart. But please use this stuff only for educational purposes. Just so you know, this isn't investment advice. Here is a detailed overview of Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. NASDAQ:SFM : 1. Main areas of activity Sprouts Farmers Market is a U.S.-based retail company specializing in fresh, natural and organic foods. The company operates a chain of grocery stores designed to offer a “farm‑stand” experience — with a focus on produce, health‑oriented products and a curated selection of lifestyle‑friendly items. It falls within the consumer retail / food‑retailing industry, and its business segments revolve around grocery retailing of natural and organic food products in the U.S. 2. Business model Sprouts generates revenue primarily through its retail grocery operations (business‑to‑consumer, B2C). Customers visit Sprouts stores to purchase fresh produce, packaged organic/natural goods, deli, bakery, frozen foods, and other grocery items. The company also invests in new store openings and same‑store sales growth to drive expansion and profitability. In addition, it engages in store footprint expansion (new locations) and efficiency efforts (store size optimization, margin improvement) as part of its model. 3. Flagship products or services While “products” in retail are many, key aspects of Sprouts’ offering include: Fresh produce at the heart of its stores (“farm‑stand heritage”). Natural, organic and lifestyle‑friendly grocery items — including plant‑based, gluten‑free, keto/paleo‑friendly options. Grocery store services including deli, bakery, dairy, meat/seafood, bulk foods. Despite the lack of a public breakdown of revenue by category, the company's focus on high-margin, health-oriented products is its competitive advantage. 4. Key countries for business Sprouts’ operations are entirely within the United States. The company runs more than 400 stores across multiple states. Because the market is U.S.-centric, the most important region is the domestic U.S. consumer market — particularly states where Sprouts has high density, and where natural / organic grocery demand is strong. 5. Main competitors Key competitors for Sprouts include other U.S. grocery chains that either emphasize natural/organic products or general supermarkets with strong fresh/health‑focused assortments. Examples include: Whole Foods Market (owned by Amazon) – a major natural/organic specialist. Kroger Co. – large general‑grocery chain that also competes on fresh/healthy products. Publix Super Markets – regional player with store brands and emphasis on fresh/better food experience. Wegmans Food Markets and other premium supermarket chains. Competition arises on product mix, pricing, store experience, fresh/produce quality, and loyalty offerings. 6. External and internal factors contributing to profit growth External factors: Rising consumer demand for natural, organic and health‑oriented foods: Sprouts’ own commentary highlights that its “better‑for‑you” product assortments attract customers willing to spend more. Growth in same‑store sales and new store openings: In a recent period Sprouts reported growth in same‑store sales and net sales. Favorable macro trend toward fresh/healthy foods, lifestyle‑driven eating and premium grocery experiences. Internal factors: Store optimization: The company has discussed improving its margin structure and optimizing capital expenditures (CapEx) per store. Curated product mix and lifestyle‑oriented offerings (plant‑based, gluten‑free, etc.) which could allow higher margin than mass grocery. Loyalty programs and marketing aimed at increasing customer retention, basket size and frequency of shopping. For example, upgrades in product assortment and loyalty initiatives were emphasized in analyst commentary. 7. External and internal factors contributing to profit decline External factors: Highly competitive retail grocery market: margin pressures from national chains, discounters and online grocery. Inflation and increases in input costs (food, labor, energy) can squeeze margins if price increases aren’t fully passed to consumers. Economic downturns or shifts in consumer spending could reduce premium/health‑oriented grocery purchases. Supply chain disruptions, regulatory changes (e.g., organic certification costs, import/export tariffs) could raise costs or limit product availability. Internal factors: Execution risk in expansion: opening new stores requires capital and the risk that new locations may underperform. Margin risk if rising wage/benefit costs erode profitability or if discounting becomes necessary to compete. Dependence on a “better‑for‑you” positioning; if that niche gets commoditized or competitors copy the model, Sprouts could lose differentiation. Possible over‑reliance on U.S. market (lack of international diversification). 8. Stability of management Executive changes over past 5 years: A comprehensive list of CEO, CFO, or Chairperson changes was not found in readily accessible sources during this screening. Sprouts’ investor relations materials, however, emphasize strategic initiatives and capital allocation decisions, such as a substantial share repurchase program. Impact on corporate strategy and culture: The company appears to have a stable strategic focus on natural/organic fresh groceries, margin improvement, and store growth; the capital‑allocation decisions (store openings, CapEx discipline, share buybacks) suggest a coherent investment priority. For example, their presentation notes a “structurally improved margin profile”. If leadership turnover has been modest (i.e., no major disruption publicly noted), then strategic continuity is probably intact. However, without detailed executive change logs I cannot conclusively assess management stability beyond what is implied by ongoing strategy consistency. The company demonstrates steady long-term growth in earnings per share and total revenue, supported by strong working-capital discipline: days sales outstanding appear excellent, the debt-to-revenue ratio remains healthy, and operating, investing, and financing cash flows are solid. Medium-level indicators such as return on equity and gross margin show consistent improvement, while the operating expense ratio is trending positively, and both payables and inventory efficiency remain strong, though the current ratio shows no progress and requires monitoring for liquidity balance. With a P/E of 15, the valuation appears reasonable and reflects a sound margin of safety at current multiples. Despite the market's turbulent reaction to the latest financial statements, no critical news has been identified that could undermine stability or indicate risks of insolvency. Considering a diversification coefficient of 20 and a deviation of the current stock price from its annual average by more than 8 EPS, a 10% capital allocation was made at the closing price of the last trading day, maintaining a well-balanced portfolio position and a disciplined exposure aligned with diversification principles.
NASDAQ:SFMLong
by Be_Capy
RADICO Price ActionRADICO (Radico Khaitan Ltd) has recently shown a moderate recovery after a corrective phase, supported by buying interest near major moving average support zones. Price action indicates consolidation with a slight bullish bias, as the stock is forming higher lows and attempting to break key resistance levels. RSI momentum is gradually improving from oversold territory, while MACD and Stochastics reflect early signs of upside momentum, though not yet confirmed by strong volume. Short-term trend remains cautious but positive as long as the stock holds above its 20-day moving average. Immediate resistance levels are observed at previous swing highs, with successful breakout likely to trigger a fresh upward move. Conversely, a sustained drop below recent support could restart the corrective trend. Price action near channel boundaries and reaction to news/events may create short-lived volatility, but the overall bias is shifting towards accumulation and gradual recovery unless a sharp downside reversal occurs.
NSE:RADICOLong
by KamalKJoshi
1
TIINDIA Price Action structure with fundamental analysisFundamental analysis of Tube Investments of India (TIINDIA) focuses on several core aspects: TIINDIA is a leading player in the engineering sector, specifically known for automotive components, bicycles, and metal-formed products, with diversified interests in financial services and defense. The company has shown consistent revenue and profit growth over recent years, driven by strong operating efficiency, robust product demand, and expansion into new business segments. The balance sheet demonstrates healthy capital structure: low debt-to-equity ratio, strong reserves, and active capex deployment for modernization and growth projects. High return on equity, stable asset turnover, and rising EBITDA margins reflect management’s focus on profitable growth and cost discipline. Recent trends include: - Diversification into electric vehicle ancillary and defense manufacturing. - Strategic acquisitions and partnerships to boost scale and technology. - Consistent dividend payouts supported by cash flow generation. - Sensitivity to raw material costs (steel, metals), which can impact margins during volatile periods. - Strong position within Indian automotive and infrastructure cycles, supported by government push for manufacturing and exports. Overall, TIINDIA’s fundamentals point to resilience, sector leadership, and capacity for long-term growth, though cyclical risks and commodity price movements should be monitored. The management’s focus on product innovation, financial prudence, and operational expansion continues to support positive outlook for investors.
NSE:TIINDIALong
by KamalKJoshi
Nifty 50 Price Action Analysis & Trade IdeaNifty 50 Price Action Analysis & Trade Idea The current Nifty 50 15-minute chart depicts consolidation after a sharp drop and a subsequent bullish recovery. Key levels are indicated with daily open, high, low, close, and structural resistance. #### Technical Analysis - Price attempted to reclaim the previous day's close (Pdc: 25,510.80) and found resistance near the previous day’s high (PdH: 25,551.25). - Strong buying emerged from the previous day’s low (PdL: 25,318.45), showing rejection and a bullish impulse from the support zone. - Price remains range-bound between 25,443.15 (PdO) and 25,551.25 (PdH), with momentum favoring a bullish breakout above the PdH for continuation. #### Trade Plan | Trade Setup | Entry | Stop Loss | Target | Rationale | |-------------|------------------|--------------|----------------|-----------------------------------------| | Long | 25,555 (Above PdH) | 25,510 (Below PdC) | 25,679 (Next resistance) | Bullish momentum above resistance; upside continuation | | Short | 25,440 (Below PdO) | 25,485 (Above PdO) | 25,318 (PdL support) | Rejection from resistance; downside movement to prior demand | #### Trade Management - If entering long above 25,555, watch for sustained volume and momentum confirmation; reduce risk if price fails to close above PdH. - If short below 25,440, monitor for rapid rejection back above PdO to exit quickly. *** **Summary:** Nifty 50 has formed a clear price action range following strong support and resistance tests. A breakout above PdH opens up the next resistance, while breakdown below PdO targets previous demand. **Levels:** Entry: 25,555 | Stop loss: 25,510 | Target: 25,679 Risk management and patience are key – let the price confirm direction above/below the marked levels before execution.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradeAXN