Bitcoinprice
A tale for Bulls.Traders and some people are still biased bullish after we broke the long term support trend line , the market is trying to say something follow the trend MA's are curling down price is out of the weekly Ichimoku cloud my next confirmation of a longer term bear market will be if we have a monthly MACD cross ,3 day CMF going negative , weekly RSI going below 40 , Volume is drying up and it only picks up on the sell side, on the flip side people are misleading others to buy the dip if you are a pro you can buy the dip and get out but if you are a retail investor wait for the right moment let the scales tip, Next misleading fact institutions are buying lets be realistic here they are not stupid they have fund managers and TA analysts with vast years of experience and they wont buy in unless there are clear signs of reversal.
I am neither a Pera bull or a Perma bear , I just follow what the trend says. Now as I am doing this full time I'll keep on updating this chart every Sunday as the timing of this correction might change or a particular wave gets invalidated. Shorted my positions at 15500 and 13000.
Bitcoin projects to 5200 soonThe price is in the Liquidation price zone for weeks. We have seen the same structure for bitcoin back in 2012 where it came back to 0.618 fib before it started a bull run. Same could happen this time. Before the bull run, BTC will see its low at 0.618( 5200) then back to 10000 .
By November the price will project to 16000. By February 27000 the same will happen like that of the previous bull run. New High 100000 by 2021
BTC Inverse H&S Pattern Analysis Hello everyone this is my first post on Trading view hope this will work.
We can see Inverse H&S Chart in BTC but this chart is incomplete if it will complete with breakout we can see BTC on $5500
use stop loss on $3550 If the bears plunge below $3,550,we can see a fall to $3236.
Thanks For Watching
BTCUSD a new impulse growth or completion of IHSThis is an update to recent BTC analysis.
At 4-hour timeframe we can see that the price went out of the local descending channel via impulse growth waves. Subsequent corrective Elliott ABC movements brought the price at the upper edge of the channel.
If we take a closer look it can be seen that there are several positive signs:
1. Stoch RSI moves to Oversold zone
2. EMA 20 line which was a resistance after Moving Averages intersection became a support which is great for short term
3. After consolidation the price went up again which can be evaluated as 0-1 Impulse wave and the most important is that it bounces above the critical area where this assumption will be rejected.
Conclusion: if the price manages to bounce above $4 200 then we will have a new 5 impulse growth waves. Otherwise previous analysis holds and there should be movement to finish IHS
BITCOIN LONG-TERM VIEWBitcoin is going through massive pain areas as compared to the other cryptos, as it has been affected the most in this bearish time frame. We have given here the technical analysis for the long-term scenario and short-term scenario, with all of its possibilities. The price is volatile enough to move in any direction- up, down or sideways.
Bitcoin USD Live chart states that currently, Bitcoin is trading at $4140.28 with a market capitalisation of $62,477,511,147 and circulating supply of 17,429,512 BTC.
First, let us represent the long-term monthly time frame chart of Bitcoin live ticker- XBT/USD (BitMex) as per Bitcoin stock price, which covers both resistance and support levels with Bitcoin candlestick charts as well.
Long-Term Analysis (A Month Timeframe)
Bitcoin Long Term Analysis
Scenario 1: Bullish (Uptrend)
If the Monthly candle (December) closes with price above $3430 with decent buy volume then we might see the price the testing the "Resistance Zone 2" ranging from $4207-$4700 within few weeks.
Few other factors in confluence with the bullish scenario:
1) Stochastic RSI is in the Oversold Region (its a region where asset price is likely to rebound or bounce).
2) Selling Volume (red bars at the bottom of the chart) is declining i.e. sellers are getting exhausted.
Scenario 2: Bearish (Downtrend)
If the Monthly candle (December) closes with the price below $3430 with decent sell volume then we might see the price, the testing, the "Support (Buying) Zone 1" ranging from $2400-$2900 within few weeks.
If that support doesn't hold (no buying interest) then we might see "Support (Buying) Zone 2" followed by last "Support Zone 3".
Factors in confluence with Bearish Scenario
Support Zone 3 ranging from $1100-$1300 is the High of the previous Bull market cycle (2013) and might get a retest to follow market cycle rule (not mandatory but likely).
Scenario 3: Ranging Scenario
Bitcoin Ranging Scenario
One of the scenarios which people often ignore is that an asset ranges between two boundary zones for some weeks and months before moving into strong trends (Upward or Downward) just like Bitcoin did between price levels $5800-$6400 for 3 months (September-November'18) before making a major move downtrend to $3100 price level.
There are permutations and combinations you can apply between different zones (Resistance and Support) on the chart to form Ranging Zones.
These are areas where major market participants (Institutional Investors) accumulate before a big change in direction of the price.
Note: Monthly time frame charts illustrates the movement of price over a long-term horizon and are most often used by long-term investors.
Short-Term Analysis (Daily and Weekly)
Let's take both the bullish and bearish scenario for the short-term time frame.
Bitcoin Short Term Analysis
Scenario 1: Bullish (Uptrend)
If BTC close above $3650 Daily and the weekly frame shows a reversal pattern (Green Engulfing candle) we might enter at these levels ($3600) with a target around $4000+ which eventually might restest Resistance Zone ($4400-$5400) in the coming weeks.
Scenario 2: Bearish (Downtrend)
If BTC couldn’t break the previous support ($3600) turned resistance in the coming weeks then there are two Bounce(rebound) zone for Bullish reversal ranging from $1800-$2400 and $896-$1200 for coming weeks and month.
Now, we have reached the last segment of our analysis where we will mention the news and event analysis
Institutional bodies are getting interested in cryptocurrencies. One such example is the U.S. state of Ohio accepting tax payments. Merchants like Overstock, eGifter, Expedia, Shopify accept Bitcoins as payments and several people are testifying on social media how they purchased goods and services with cryptocurrencies such as BTC, ETH, and BNB.
The supply of Bitcoin is finite and limited to 21 Million hence the demand is not going down. Second, that the number of Bitcoins generated per block is set to decrease by 50% every 210,000 blocks. For example, if today each miner receives 12.5 Bitcoins for solving (mining) a block, after the next halving event they will receive only 6.25 BTC and so forth.
2018 was filled with rumors of institutional investors buying into cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Several times, the Bitcoin ETF has been rejected in 2018. But recently an SEC commissioner has started a Bitcoin ETF is definitely possible. In 2019, NASDAQ is going to work with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to launch Bitcoin futures in the first quarter of 2019.
Conclusion
While bull and bear markets are nothing new in the financial world and Bitcoin has been through the bear cycle before and recovered well from it with given time. Bitcoin is here to stay, it’s worth exploring the drops in value and equally fast recovery the currency has experienced. History shows that the top cryptocurrency has sustained much more rapid losses during a shorter period of time over the course of the past several years, and has not discouraged long-term investors.