Bitcoinusd
ETHUSD: The pair is at an inflection point. ETHUSD: The contract is into dominant down trend. The RSI is taking resistance at the bear market extreme with a NR formation. 196.50 is a strong pivot level. The contract needs to register a close above it to establish a trend change (as a double bottom is noticed). However any failure to move above 196.50 will lead to resumption of the trend down again. The probable southward targets are 152, 140 & 134.
What happens after BIG-BERAS? Bitcoin TutorialHere in this tutorial/analysis we'll look at accumulation which happens before a next Big leg-up. You can find notes on the chart itself, I'll just explain what happens in terms of Thrust and Momentum during these accumulation phases. White line is line of bears and it measures the momentum (Price difference divided by time taken) of the move while its slant-ness shows the Thrust of the whole move.
In current scenario you can see how bears are losing momentum after every move. To keep this theory validated we should not print any Lower low from here and go sideways for time being to weaken even more bears.
Remember this thesis will work on higher timeframe chart which has gone through a significant price decline over time. BASICALLY USEFUL IN SPOTTING REVERSALS.
You can check out the previous bottom which occurred in Jan-Feb 2019 by sliding left in the chart.
Don't miss the great buy opportunity in BTCUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (9325.90). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. BTCUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 40.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 10175.20
TP2= @ 10994.65
TP3= @ 11803.00
SL= @ 8940.00
BITCOIN LONG-TERM VIEWBitcoin is going through massive pain areas as compared to the other cryptos, as it has been affected the most in this bearish time frame. We have given here the technical analysis for the long-term scenario and short-term scenario, with all of its possibilities. The price is volatile enough to move in any direction- up, down or sideways.
Bitcoin USD Live chart states that currently, Bitcoin is trading at $4140.28 with a market capitalisation of $62,477,511,147 and circulating supply of 17,429,512 BTC.
First, let us represent the long-term monthly time frame chart of Bitcoin live ticker- XBT/USD (BitMex) as per Bitcoin stock price, which covers both resistance and support levels with Bitcoin candlestick charts as well.
Long-Term Analysis (A Month Timeframe)
Bitcoin Long Term Analysis
Scenario 1: Bullish (Uptrend)
If the Monthly candle (December) closes with price above $3430 with decent buy volume then we might see the price the testing the "Resistance Zone 2" ranging from $4207-$4700 within few weeks.
Few other factors in confluence with the bullish scenario:
1) Stochastic RSI is in the Oversold Region (its a region where asset price is likely to rebound or bounce).
2) Selling Volume (red bars at the bottom of the chart) is declining i.e. sellers are getting exhausted.
Scenario 2: Bearish (Downtrend)
If the Monthly candle (December) closes with the price below $3430 with decent sell volume then we might see the price, the testing, the "Support (Buying) Zone 1" ranging from $2400-$2900 within few weeks.
If that support doesn't hold (no buying interest) then we might see "Support (Buying) Zone 2" followed by last "Support Zone 3".
Factors in confluence with Bearish Scenario
Support Zone 3 ranging from $1100-$1300 is the High of the previous Bull market cycle (2013) and might get a retest to follow market cycle rule (not mandatory but likely).
Scenario 3: Ranging Scenario
Bitcoin Ranging Scenario
One of the scenarios which people often ignore is that an asset ranges between two boundary zones for some weeks and months before moving into strong trends (Upward or Downward) just like Bitcoin did between price levels $5800-$6400 for 3 months (September-November'18) before making a major move downtrend to $3100 price level.
There are permutations and combinations you can apply between different zones (Resistance and Support) on the chart to form Ranging Zones.
These are areas where major market participants (Institutional Investors) accumulate before a big change in direction of the price.
Note: Monthly time frame charts illustrates the movement of price over a long-term horizon and are most often used by long-term investors.
Short-Term Analysis (Daily and Weekly)
Let's take both the bullish and bearish scenario for the short-term time frame.
Bitcoin Short Term Analysis
Scenario 1: Bullish (Uptrend)
If BTC close above $3650 Daily and the weekly frame shows a reversal pattern (Green Engulfing candle) we might enter at these levels ($3600) with a target around $4000+ which eventually might restest Resistance Zone ($4400-$5400) in the coming weeks.
Scenario 2: Bearish (Downtrend)
If BTC couldn’t break the previous support ($3600) turned resistance in the coming weeks then there are two Bounce(rebound) zone for Bullish reversal ranging from $1800-$2400 and $896-$1200 for coming weeks and month.
Now, we have reached the last segment of our analysis where we will mention the news and event analysis
Institutional bodies are getting interested in cryptocurrencies. One such example is the U.S. state of Ohio accepting tax payments. Merchants like Overstock, eGifter, Expedia, Shopify accept Bitcoins as payments and several people are testifying on social media how they purchased goods and services with cryptocurrencies such as BTC, ETH, and BNB.
The supply of Bitcoin is finite and limited to 21 Million hence the demand is not going down. Second, that the number of Bitcoins generated per block is set to decrease by 50% every 210,000 blocks. For example, if today each miner receives 12.5 Bitcoins for solving (mining) a block, after the next halving event they will receive only 6.25 BTC and so forth.
2018 was filled with rumors of institutional investors buying into cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin. Several times, the Bitcoin ETF has been rejected in 2018. But recently an SEC commissioner has started a Bitcoin ETF is definitely possible. In 2019, NASDAQ is going to work with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to launch Bitcoin futures in the first quarter of 2019.
Conclusion
While bull and bear markets are nothing new in the financial world and Bitcoin has been through the bear cycle before and recovered well from it with given time. Bitcoin is here to stay, it’s worth exploring the drops in value and equally fast recovery the currency has experienced. History shows that the top cryptocurrency has sustained much more rapid losses during a shorter period of time over the course of the past several years, and has not discouraged long-term investors.