JIO FINANCIAL SERVICESHello & welcome to this analysis
The decline from May 2024 till Mar 2025 appears to be an Elliott Wave corrective ABC that went on to make its all time lows breaking the previous one made in Oct 2023.
The rally in Mar 2025 was a Leading Diagonal Impulse Wave 1
It was followed by Wave 2 - a corrective ABC which did a 88% retracement giving a double bottom in early April 2025.
From there started the strongest & most reliable Elliott Wave - 3 that lasted the full month of April 2025.
Since Wave 2 was deep the corrective Wave 4 did a zigzag and ended quickly mid May 2025.
The terminal wave 5 of the larger Wave I is coming to an end around 275 - 280.
This could lead to another round of corrective ABC which could be the larger Wave II in the making. Likely levels till where it could retrace its formation could be 255 at least, 240 probable & 205 hopefully maximum. Anything below Mar 2025 lows will make the Impulse wave rise as invalid.
On the other hand, if the current wave continues to sustain beyond 285-290 then it could be unfolding a Wave 3 extension that could lead to much higher levels.
Conclusion
For buyers - wait for it to sustain above 285-290 to add, else wait for a dip to 255 - 240 and then review
For sellers - between 275-280 wait for a bearish candle follow through keeping 285-290 as a stop loss.
All the best
Bluechips4u
BANK NIFTYHello & welcome to this analysis
The index is completing its pullback forming a falling trendline.
It has good support between 54500-54000 while the trendline breakout would happen above 55500.
The upside potential for this expected breakout is 57500-58000
One could either wait for the trend line breakout or buy this last leg of dip.
Whenever Bank Nifty rallies it accelerates the Nifty trend also along with other sectors. Rarely does the index move in isolation.
All the best
NIFTY ITHello & welcome to this analysis
NIFTY IT (CNXIT) appears to have completed in
Monthly from 2016 lows an impulse 5 waves up
Weekly shows a running flat wave 4 followed by sub waves of the terminal 5th wave
Daily indicates post the impulse an ABC corrective ended (ending)
is this A of abc down after a monthly 5 up or is it wave 2 complete with this ABC?
It is too early to say the latter. Normally the corrective tends to retest the start of the preceding sub wave 4 that is around 31000 but that is not mandatory as per Elliott Wave rules.
An early indication of which wave is unfolding will depend on how the sub waves come out now, either they will be corrective, then it would be B of abc or they will be impulse then wave 2 has ended and index is into Wave 3.
Interesting days ahead for IT index
All the best
SMALL CAP INDEXHello & welcome to this analysis
The index gave a sharp bounce back like the rest of the market and is now near a cluster resistance - monthly, weekly & daily @ 16900.
It could consolidate in this zone before trying a breakout for 17500 else dip down to 16000 where it has good support.
Fresh buying in small caps at current levels for short term should be done with caution else wait for breakout above 16900 or dip down to 16000 approx.
ICICI BANKHello & welcome to this analysis
A bearish Harmonic Crab pattern has been activated in the daily time frame suggesting downside levels till 1350-1300 probable if it starts sustaining below 1390 which is a line of support as of now.
Its made a gap down today, any pullback till the gap area could witness another round of selling.
The pattern negates above 1465
CRUDE Hello & welcome to this analysis
WTI OIL is at the PRZ of a bullish Harmonic Cypher pattern suggesting a bounce/reversal from current levels.
Crude (MCX) however does not have any bullish harmonic patterns at the moment, normally, we do see them in sync, however, this time maybe due to a strong INR the pattern is not seen.
One can take a trade tracking USOIL / WTI either above $57.85 (60m close) with swing low as stop loss or take a bullish trade here with $55.95 as stop loss.
The targets are 38-50-62 Fibonacci levels as marked in the chart
All the best
USD INRHello & welcome to this analysis
USDINR topped out on 10th Feb @ 88 to see a sharp reversal all the way till 4th April when it formed a bullish Harmonic Deep Crab pattern @ 85 that too lead to a more sharper bounce back till 9th April when it formed a bearish Harmonic Reciprocal ABCD pattern near the top end of the slanting channel.
From there we have witnessed yet another steep downward move which is currently resting at the lower end of the slanting channel. Failure to hold 84.45 - 84.35 could lead to a further downward move till 83.70 where it would attempt to form a bullish Harmonic ABCD pattern that could coincide with DXY bullish harmonic pattern near 95.
So if you have exposure to currency for any reasons whatsoever - overseas trips, college fees, business, commodities trading, etc - this might be of help to you.
Disclaimer - Not a trading advise, kindly do your study carefully before taking a decision
IOCHello & welcome to this analysis
A deep 6 months correction lead to the formation of a Bullish Harmonic Crab pattern in March 2025 post which during accumulation (consolidation) phase formed an Inverse Head & Shoulder.
A 38% retracement of the bullish harmonic pattern has been done and now its completing a pullback of the IHS breakout by retesting the neckline.
Potential upside levels are 145 and 160 for both the IHS & Bullish Harmonic Crab
All the best
GOLD / SILVER SPREADSHello & welcome to this analysis
GOLD/SILVER (COMEX) ratio charts has done 1.62 Fibonacci of its Inverse Head & Shoulder breakout.
It has immediate parallel channel resistance near 109, if it breaks above it then next resistance is at 118 where it has a Bearish Harmonic Bat.
Current support is at 102, below that it could test the breakout level at 92
ZYDUS LIFE SCIENCEHello & welcome to this analysis
The co gets 50% of its revenue from USA where new policies appear to be hurting the top and bottom line of the stock.
Narrow range 840 - 950, wider range 650 - 1025.
Idea is to buy either after it sustains above 950 or near 650
Happy Investing and all the best with your trading
MphasisHello & welcome to this analysis
Stock could be forming a cup & handle pattern in the monthly time frame with the lower leg of the handle coming to an end.
2000 is an extremely important level for the stock in the short term, while it has loads of resistance between 2300-2800 on the upside as it attempts to complete the handle.
Overall weakness continues below 2000, else one could expect stock to rise steadily towards completion of the bullish pattern
GOLDHello & welcome to this analysis
GOLD (Comex) 4hrs is going to enter the potential reversal zone of a bearish Harmonic Shark pattern between $3135 - $3155. Pattern negates above $3167.
Probable retracement levels $3100 / $ 3075 / $3025 / 2950
If it sustains above $3170-$3200 it gets v strong and will attempt $3300
MIDCAP INDEXHello & welcome to this analysis
The index after a steep decline formed a bullish Harmonic Bat reversal pattern.
At the 50% retracement level it has formed a three candlestick bullish signal - Upside Tasuki Gap suggesting further upside.
As long as it sustains above 51500 it could continue its up move till 54500 that is the 62% retracement and above that 57500 that coincides with the trend line resistance.
All the best
SILVERHello & welcome to this analysis
Since May 2024, Silver (Comex) has surpassed $32.5 only once and failed on 4 attempts (including Fri - 14th Feb). Silver (MCX) has surpassed 96500 only once and failed on 3 attempts (one less due to $:INR impact).
Is this setup a complex H&S in the making (multiple shoulders)? I have my doubts on that because the weekly and monthly patterns are of a cup and handle formation with the latter in the process of currently shuffling out weak hands.
A daily close above 32.50 / 96500 would lead to a strong rally. Strong support now at $31 / 93500
Medium to long term view bullish, short term volatile - waiting for breakout
Regards
GOLDHello & welcome to this analysis
A bearish Harmonic Deep Crab formation took place in the 60m time frame, after an initial dip which formed bullish hidden RSI divergence in 60m time frame the pullback has now formed a bearish Harmonic Gartley in 15m time frame.
Sustaining below 88000 opens for 87500 and 86500.
Good risk reward set up for a bearish trade.
All the best
EMAMI LTDHello & welcome to this analysis
the market has taken a heavy toll across all sectors, not even sparing the defensive sector - FMCG.
What lies ahead for Emami, a fmcg co with established brands across several segments - I have in this video covered the stock across multiple time frames showing likely support areas and probable resistance areas keeping in mind the likelihood of more upside in the medium to long term based on the studies of Ichimoku & Fibonacci
Happy investing
COPPERHello & welcome to this analysis
Copper (MCX) is making a bullish Harmonic Seahorse breakout. A weekly close above 885 would activate it for a potential upside probable target of 1000. Post breakout if it slips below 700 the pattern will have become invalid.
Good risk reward set up currently for accumulation.
Stocks which could gain from increase in copper prices - Hind Copper, Hindalco & Vedanta.
Sectors which could get hammered from increase in copper prices since its a part of their raw material for manufacturing - White goods consumer durables manufactures, Electric cables and wire manufactures & Automobile manufacturers.
All the best
BOSCH, SAMVARDHNA MOTHERSON & SONA BLWHello & welcome to this analysis
Auto ancillary stocks at strong support levels suggesting a bounce/reversal from current levels with them forming Bullish Harmonic Patterns in weekly time frame
BOSCH - Alt Shark
MOTHERSON - Alt Shark
SONACOM - Cypher
Today's candle were very strong, one can look to add on follow through confirmation or on pullback, the risk reward appears decent at current levels.
In the video I have suggested possible levels of resistance on upside along with negation levels on the downside for each case.
All the best