From Novice to Pro: Navigating Support & Resistance Like a BossGreetings to all. I trust that you are all thriving in both your personal lives and trading endeavors. Today, I present educational content aimed at understanding the concepts of support and resistance in chart analysis.
Support and resistance are key concepts in technical analysis used to identify potential price levels where an asset's price might reverse, stall, or consolidate. They are often visualized on a price chart and are critical for traders making decisions about entry, exit, and stop-loss levels.
1. Support:
Definition: Support is a price level at which a downward trend may pause or reverse due to a concentration of buying interest.
Why it works: Traders perceive this level as a "bargain," increasing demand and preventing further price drops.
Visualization: On a chart, support levels often appear as a horizontal line or a sloping line below the current price where previous price action reversed or consolidated.
Breakthroughs: If the price breaks below a support level, it may indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
2. Resistance:
Definition: Resistance is a price level where an upward trend might pause or reverse due to selling pressure or profit-taking.
Why it works: Traders perceive this level as "expensive," reducing demand and increasing selling activity.
Visualization: On a chart, resistance levels are horizontal or sloping lines above the current price where the price struggled to move higher in the past.
Breakthroughs: If the price breaks above a resistance level, it may indicate the start of a new upward trend.
Common Characteristics of Support and Resistance:
Role Reversal: Once a support level is broken, it often becomes a new resistance level, and vice versa.
Psychological Levels: Round numbers (e.g., $50, $100) often act as strong support or resistance due to psychological significance.
Volume Confirmation : High trading volume near these levels reinforces their strength.
Types of Support and Resistance:
Horizontal Lines: Based on past price action.
Trendlines : Diagonal lines formed by connecting higher lows (support) or lower highs (resistance) in a trend.
Moving Averages: Dynamic levels that adjust with price movement, often acting as support or resistance.
Fibonacci Retracement: Levels based on mathematical ratios indicating potential reversal zones.
How to Use Support and Resistance:
Entry Points: Buy near support levels or after a breakout above resistance.
Exit Points: Sell near resistance levels or after a breakdown below support.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders just below support (for long positions) or above resistance (for short positions).
Today, I decided to share some educational content, as my previous posts have primarily focused on trade ideas. I hope that you all would find this educational material valuable and engaging. If you appreciate this type of content, I encourage you to show your support by liking this post and following me for more educational insights in the future.
Breakout
Advanced Trading With DataBase Part -2 #Nse #BseDefine Your Risk Tolerance and Goals: Before diving into options trading, assess your risk tolerance and establish clear trading objectives. Understand how much risk you’re willing to take on and what you aim to achieve.
Diversify Your Options Strategies: Spread your risk by using various options strategies. Consider covered calls, protective puts, and other approaches to safeguard your investments.
Set Entry and Exit Points: Determine specific levels at which you’ll enter and exit trades.
Having clear guidelines helps you avoid emotional decisions during market fluctuations.
Limit Maximum Risk Per Trade: When buying options, consider using debit spreads. These allow you to define your maximum risk upfront while still benefiting from potential gains.
Allocate Capital Wisely: Allocate a specific portion of your capital to each trade. Avoid overcommitting to any single position.
Diversify Across Underlying Assets: Spread your options positions across different stocks or indices. This diversification helps mitigate risk associated with individual assets.
Monitor and Adjust: Stay informed about market conditions and adjust your positions as needed. Be flexible and adapt to changing circumstances.
Stay Ahead: Essential Tips to Avoid Trading PitfallsHello TradingView Community!
I'm excited to share some valuable insights on trading pitfalls and how to navigate them effectively. Trading in financial markets can be a challenging journey, but understanding common pitfalls and methods to avoid them can significantly enhance your success. Here are 10 pitfalls traders often encounter and actionable strategies to help you steer clear of them:
Having No Trading Plan:
Entering trades without a plan can lead to impulsive decisions. Develop a clear trading plan outlining your goals, strategies, entry and exit points, and risk management.
Using Strategies That Don't Match Your Personality:
Align your trading strategies with your personality, risk tolerance, and lifestyle. A good match helps you stay consistent and focused.
Having Unrealistic Expectations:
Set realistic goals based on your initial capital and risk tolerance. Trading is not a quick path to wealth, so be patient and persistent.
Taking Too Much Risk:
Avoid over-leveraging and using excessive position sizes. Implement risk management techniques like stop-loss orders and diversification.
Not Having Rules to Follow:
Create a set of trading rules to guide your decisions. These rules provide structure and help you stay disciplined.
Not Being Flexible to Market Conditions:
Adaptability is key in trading. Monitor the markets and adjust your strategies as conditions change.
Failing to Take Responsibility for Your Results:
Own your successes and mistakes. This mindset empowers you to learn, grow, and improve your trading.
Being Addicted to Volatility:
While volatility can be exciting, avoid chasing it for thrills. Focus on making well-reasoned decisions based on your plan.
Not Having a Process to Keep Track of Your Performance:
Maintain detailed records of your trades and their outcomes. Analyze this data to identify patterns and refine your strategies.
Not Dealing with Your Emotional Risk:
Emotions can cloud your judgment in trading. Practice emotional intelligence and techniques like meditation or journaling to stay composed.
Neglecting Proper Research and Due Diligence:
Relying solely on tips or rumors can lead to poor decisions. Conduct thorough research and due diligence on potential trades and investments.
Overcomplicating Your Trading Strategy:
Complex strategies may not always lead to better results. Simplify your approach to focus on proven methods and avoid overanalyzing the market.
Ignoring the Importance of Continuous Learning:
The markets evolve, and so should your knowledge and strategies. Stay updated on market trends and continuously educate yourself to stay ahead.
There is no trade without a stop-loss:
This point emphasizes the importance of having a stop-loss in place before entering any trade. It highlights risk management as a fundamental part of trading, ensuring that you have a clear exit strategy to limit potential losses.
If you have to re-analyze charts after being in a trade, you might be going in the wrong direction:
This point underscores the importance of trusting your initial analysis and trading plan. It warns against second-guessing or changing your plan mid-trade, which could indicate you may be heading in the wrong direction.
By implementing these strategies, you can enhance your trading experience and improve your performance over time. Remember, successful trading is a journey that requires discipline, patience, and continuous learning.
I hope you find these insights helpful. Feel free to share your thoughts and experiences in the comments. Let's continue to support each other and grow as a community!
Happy trading!
RK💕
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
#StopLoss : The Safety Net You Need#StopLoss : The Safety Net You Need
Ever danced with volatility?
Without a stop loss, it's like tightrope walking without a net.
Here's why it's a MUST:
✅ Protect Your Fund: Keep that hard-earned Money safe
✅ Sleep Tight: Close your eyes without the market nightmares
✅ Plan Your Exit: Know when to bow out gracefully.
Remember, it's not just about making money; it's about keeping it too.
Like/Share if you also Agree with my Post.
How to find a BREAKOUT that has a high probability of success?The probability of a breakout getting failed is much higher than it's success rate.(A STOCK AT REST TRIES TO BE AT REST AND THE ONE IN MOTION TRIES TO BE IN MOTION like NEWTON's First Law Of Motion)
But breakout trades are the most rewarding trades in stock market.
So...if there was a method to find out a high probable successful breakout then it would have been a shade better to make money in the stock market.
Here I am with a tried and tested strategy to differentiate a fake breakout and a successful one: FOLLOW the below steps:
1.Choose a stock from an up-trending sector (At present sectors like ENERGY, PSUs, REALTY, FINANCIALS AND AUTO (Just started) are examples of up-trending sectors).
The reason for choosing a sector which is up-trending is that the liquidity is high in those sectors and thus increases the chance of the breakout by one shade.
2.The stock should be above 50 week EMA and above 200 EMA on a daily time frame and RSI should be above 60 (In daily time frame)
This is the reason why HEROMOTOCORP Trade is struggling a lot as it is below EMA 200.
3.The stock should breakout from a consolidation of STAGE 1 structure.
And if the stock is in prior uptrend followed by a consolidation and then a breakout again increases the chances like the recent one in RELAXO FOOTWEARS.
4.If the stock breaks out of multiple patterns like INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS,TRIANGLE,STAGE,PARALLEL CHANNEL,TRENDLINE(The more the number of patterns being broken the better the breakout is) One example of this is TRIVENI ENGINEERING Trade that I shared
5.The breakout should be backed with high volumes (AT LEAST EXCEEDING 20 MA)
6.The closing of the breakout should be strong (NO long wicks)
One more example I have is of INDIAMART Trade that I shared applying most of the concepts discussed above.
NOTE: The above discussed method only increases the probability of a breakout to be successful as no strategy in the market gives 100% successful trades, so managing the risk is as important as the strategy and I will post a tutorial soon for this also.
FOLLOW me to stay updated as soon as I upload it here.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
breakout trading !In technical analysis, a breakout refers to a substantial price movement of a financial instrument, such as a stock or commodity, surpassing a specific level of support or resistance. This occurrence is of paramount importance, as it frequently signifies the initiation of a new trend, offering traders and investors valuable insights for informed decision-making.
Outlined below are key aspects related to breakouts in technical analysis:
Definition: A breakout occurs when the price of an asset surpasses a well-defined level of support or resistance. The breakout can manifest as either an upward movement (bullish breakout) or a downward movement (bearish breakout).
Significance: Breakouts carry significance as they indicate a shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prevailing trend may be weakening or reversing, potentially giving rise to a new trend.
Types of Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: This occurs when the price surpasses a resistance level, signaling potential upward momentum.
Bearish Breakout: In contrast, a bearish breakout happens when the price drops below a support level, indicating potential downward momentum.
Volume Confirmation: Successful breakouts are often accompanied by an uptick in trading volume, serving as confirmation of the robustness of the new trend. Volume analysis is instrumental in validating the legitimacy of the breakout.
False Breakouts: It is important to note that not all breakouts lead to sustained trends. False breakouts can occur, wherein the price briefly breaches a support or resistance level but subsequently reverses. Traders commonly employ additional technical indicators or await confirmation before acting on a breakout.
Measuring Target: Traders frequently use the height of the pattern preceding the breakout, such as a triangle or rectangle, to estimate the potential price target. This aids in setting profit targets.
Common Chart Patterns Leading to Breakouts:
Triangles: Symmetrical, ascending, or descending triangles often precede breakouts.
Head and Shoulders: Both inverse and regular head and shoulders patterns can signal potential breakouts.
Rectangles and Flags: Consolidation patterns like rectangles and flags can lead to breakouts.
Role of Trendlines: Trendlines are commonly employed to identify potential breakout points. The intersection of a trendline with a support or resistance level is deemed a critical zone for a potential breakout.
Risk Management: Traders typically incorporate risk management strategies, such as setting stop-loss orders, to safeguard against false breakouts or adverse market movements.
In summary, breakouts in technical analysis are pivotal events offering valuable information to traders and investors about potential shifts in market trends. Effective breakout trading strategies involve confirmation, volume analysis, and meticulous consideration of various chart patterns.
A subset breakout pattern Observed a subset of the vcp/breakout pattern that's worked for me a few times.
1. Stock needs to be in an uptrend. As in the 10sma, 20sma, 50sma are all stacked and rising.
2. Price forms a "hump"
3. A shakeout at the end of the hump. Shakeout candle at minimum goes below 20sma, but closes in green at eod.
4. Next day breakout with huge volume. Try and get in about 5%-6%, before it runs away.
Traded it a few times. Specifically BSE on 1st Dec 2021. Seems good for 4-5days swing trading. Also, the setup doesn't seem to occur too often. The hump-breakout occurs quite often, but this hump-shakeout-breakout doesn't. The shakeout I believe makes weak hands exit, so the reliability is probably better. So that's the edge. And, if this seems like a no brainer setup I apologize.
Simple Combination of Price Action and Oscillator for Breakouts.👉 Introduction
Breakouts are crucial in trading because they offer opportunities for quick gains through momentum. However, trading breakouts can be challenging. Around 80% of breakouts fail due to market inertia—where markets tend to continue their existing behavior. When a range attempts to break a comfort zone, some participants defend their positions, causing temporary failure. But remember the fundamental nature: a range will eventually convert into a trend, and a trend will eventually revert to a range.
The Problem:- How Does A Breakout Fail?
If you know how a breakout fails then there may be some chance that you can avoid trading those setups.
🗯Let's look at the first chart of BECTORFOOD on a daily time frame, A two-month-long ascending triangle range has been formed With a horizontal resistance of 1250.
1. There are good reasons to trade the breakout.
a. An ascending triangle is an inherently bullish pattern.
b. The resistance is strong and very good to trade its breakout.
c. Volume was high before the breakout candle a good confirmation.
Still the breakout field why?
2.Volume Action Factor
👉Let's look at an hourly time frame, On 7th of February Price opened slightly gap up on good volume but the candle was not able to sustain the high, and then the price attempted to break the resistance again at the closing of the session but again bears pushed price down with high volume.
👉The next day Price went above resistance On dry volume and then the sell-off started.
3. Oscillator confirmation Factor
👉Oscillators work well in the range bound market it shows the upper and lower range movement.
👉If you look at the chart the price was making a new high but the RSI was forming a bearish divergence (marked by a red dashed line ), and it hit the overbought zone before the breakout.
👉The stochastic was also in the upper zone before the breakout indicating a peak of price movement.
4. Broader Market Factor.
👉Let's compare the movement with the broader market direction, On the 7th of February the NIFT50 index started to sell off there was pressure building from all-time high resistance.
👉So the BECTORFOOD also followed that move and fell more than the index.
One More Example:-
👉DHANI SERVICES chart, A clear resistance zone formed at 44.70 but if you see on the chart the oscillators got overbought On daily and hourly timeframes.
👉The volume action on the hourly timeframe also not good because when the price approached the resistance bearish volume increased and then the price went into consolidation and stochastic stayed in the higher zone and RSI started to decline from the overbought zone potential signal for weakness
The Solution
👉IBREALEST Hourly chart, Volume spiked before the breakout a good sign and the RSI and stochastics are approaching the overbought zone but they had not become overbought before the breakout, when the breakout occurred the volume was supporting and even on the small range candle the volume is equal to its previous candle.
Finally The Breakout Succeded.
👉By keeping these small and simple factors in mind while planning your trades you can minimize the wrong entries and also use price filtering methods like taking a trade on only closing basis of a particular candle above the resistance zone, And applying it with the concept of interpretation of chart pattern according to market phase idea published earlier
Thanks For Reading so far, I hope this idea added Some value.
Please like and comment.
Keep Learning,
Happy Trading.
Mastering the Symmetrical Triangle chart patternHello Friends,
Here we had shared Educational purpose post to understand & to master the Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern with real example on chart of the stock MARUTI.
Symmetrical Triangle Chart Pattern
A symmetrical triangle is a common chart pattern used by traders and investors to predict where the price of a stock or asset might go next.
What It Looks Like
Imagine two lines on a chart. One line is sloping up, and the other is sloping down. These lines meet at a point at the top of the chart. It looks like a triangle, where the lines squeeze together.
What It Means
Symmetrical triangles show that traders are unsure about where the price will go. It's like a coiled spring, ready to bounce in one direction.
Why It's Important
When the price breaks out of the triangle, either going up or down, it can be a signal of a big move. If it goes up, it's considered bullish (good for buyers). If it goes down, it's bearish (not so good for buyers).
Trading Tips
Wait for a clear breakout before making a trade. Don't rush.
Watch the volume (how many shares are traded). A big volume increase during the breakout is a good sign.
Be cautious of false breakouts – sometimes the price goes out of the triangle but then comes back in.
If you already own the stock, hold onto it until you see which way the breakout goes.
If you don't own the stock, consider buying after a reliable breakout in the direction of the major trend.
In simple terms, a symmetrical triangle is like a pause in the market where everyone is waiting to see which way it will go next. Traders use it to make decisions about buying or selling stocks or assets.
Setting Stop-Loss and Targets
Stop-Loss
A stop-loss is a predetermined price level at which you decide to sell your position to limit potential losses. When trading a symmetrical triangle pattern:
Place your stop-loss just below the lower trendline if you're buying (bullish breakout).
Place your stop-loss just above the upper trendline if you're selling short (bearish breakout).
The stop-loss helps protect your capital if the breakout goes against your trade.
Price Targets
Price targets help you determine where the price may move after the breakout. You can calculate potential price targets using the triangle's height:
Measure the height of the triangle (the vertical distance from the lowest low to the highest high within the triangle).
After a bullish breakout, add the height to the breakout point for an upside target.
After a bearish breakout, subtract the height from the breakout point for a downside target.
These targets can help you set realistic profit objectives. Keep in mind that they are not guarantees, but rather potential price levels where the asset might move.
Remember that trading involves Risk, and it's important to use risk management tools like stop-loss orders to protect your investments. Additionally, price targets provide guidance but don't guarantee specific outcomes, so it's essential to monitor the market's actual performance after a breakout and adjust your strategy as needed.
I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BACKTESTED PIVOT INTRADAY STARTEGY [INDIA MARKET TIMING]A Back-tested Profitable Strategy for Free!!
A PIVOT INTRADAY STRATEGY for 5 minute Time-Frame , that also explains the time condition for Indian Markets
The Timing can be changed to fit other markets, scroll down to "TIME CONDITION" to know more.
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is when ,
1) Price crosses above ema1 ,indicated by pivot high line in green color .
2) Price crosses below ema1 ,indicated by pivot low line in red color .
3) Candle high crosses above pivot high , is the Long condition .
4) Candle low crosses below pivot low , is the Short condition .
5) Maximum Risk per trade for the intraday trade can be changed .
6) Default_qty_size is set to 60 contracts , which can be changed under settings → properties → order size .
7) ATR is used for trailing after entry, as mentioned in the inputs below.
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
Leftbars ——————————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Rightbars —————————> Length of pivot highs and lows
Price Cross Ema —————> Added condition
ATR LONG —————————> ATR stoploss trail for Long positions
ATR SHORT ————————> ATR stoploss trail for Short positions
RISK ————————————> Maximum Risk per trade for the day
The strategy was back-tested on RELIANCE ,the input values and the results are mentioned under "BACKTEST RESULTS" below .
// ═════════════════════════ //
// ————————> PROPERTIES<——————— //
// ═════════════════════════ //
Default_qty_size ————> 60 contracts , which can be changed under
Settings
↓
Properties
↓
Order size
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The time can be changed in the script , Add it → click on ' { } ' → Pine editor→ making it a copy [right top corner} → Edit the line 25 .
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm .
The 'time_cond' specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 3pm , at the open of the next candle.
To change the time to close all trades , Go to Pine Editor → Edit the line 103 .
All open trades get closed at 3pm , because some brokers don't allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
NSE:RELIANCE
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 128 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
INPUTS can be changed for better back-test results.
The strategy applied to NSE:RELIANCE ( 5 min Time-Frame and contract size 60) gives us 61% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 6 months with a Profit Factor of 1.45 , Net Profit of 21,500Rs .
Sharpe Ratio : 0.311
Sortino Ratio : 0.727
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits.
The INPUTS are as follows,
1) Leftbars ————————> 3
2) Rightbars ——————— > 5
3) Price Cross Ema ———> 150
4) ATR LONG ——————> 2.7
5) ATR SHORT —————> 2.9
6) RISK —————————> 2500
7) Default qty size ——> 60
NSE:RELIANCE
Save it to favorites.
Apply it to your charts Now !!
FOLLOW US FOR MORE !
Thank me later ☺
Intraday Consolidation Breakout ExplainedOK let's get started ,
A Day Trading (Intraday) Consolidation Breakout Indication Strategy that explains time condition for Indian Markets .
The commission is also included in the strategy .
The basic idea is ,
1) Price crosses above upper band , indicated by a color change (green) is the Long condition
2) Price crosses below lower band , indicated by a color change (red) is the Short condition
3) ATR is used for trailing after entry
// ═══════════════════════════════//
// ————————> TIME CONDITION <————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════//
The Indian Markets open at 9:15am and closes at 3:30pm.
The time_condition specifies the time at which Entries should happen .
"Close All" function closes all the trades at 2:57pm.
All open trades get closed at 2:57pm , because some brokers dont allow you to place fresh intraday orders after 3pm .
NSE:NIFTY1!
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
// ————————> BACKTEST RESULTS ( 114 CLOSED TRADES )<————————— //
// ═══════════════════════════════════════════════ //
LENGTH , MULT (factor) and ATR can be changed for better backtest results .
The strategy applied to NIFTY ( 3 min Time-Frame and contract size 5) gives us 60% profitability , as shown below
It was tested for a period a 8 months with a Profit Factor of 2.2 , avg Trade of 6000Rs profit
Sharpe Ratio : 0.67
The graph has a Linear Curve with consistent profits.
NSE:NIFTY1!
// ═════════════════════════//
// ————————> INPUTS <————————— //
// ═════════════════════════//
For the Back-Tested results :
LENGTH ————————> 30
MULT_STDEV ——————> 3
ATR TRAIL ————————> 2
Save it favorites.
Apply it to your charts Now !!
Thank me later ;)
Stock about to breakout - Allcargo LogisticsThe stock is about to breakout from a big resistance from December 2015. The price tried to cross the resistance several times but was unable to do so. This time the volume has been rising as seen in the chart so there seems to be a very possible chance of a breakout.
Note - This is not a recommendation, it is just for education purposes. Trade at your own risk.
Basing and Breakout formation Basing : Its accumulation phase where smart money comes in, it acts as a base.
Here price may follow the previous trend or shows reversal
Always take partial position, don't get trap by infusing entire position.
Volume activity remains low and you may see some heavy buying at support.
Psychology : participants are not ready to participate actively, it lacks enthusiasm.
Breakout phase :
Here, It may break the support or resistance The bigger the base, the stronger the rally can be.
If it breaks resistance add up your position and if it breaks support cut out your position.
Psychology : Here you will see the moment in price activity with higher spikes in volume.
Here they get the direction.
ABC Pattern- Optimal Entry TechniquesHi,
This idea is about the very promising ABC pattern and the most optimal ways to enter into this pattern.
✅ABC Pattern
This is considered as a continuation pattern.
There has to be a strong trend up/down in the background.
Wave A: Minor correction against larger trend, usually not more than 5-10%
Wave B: Another attempt to push the price higher but could not break the previous highs
Wave C: breaks the low A but has less momentum than wave A. Weak stops are taken below A
I am presenting four techniques of entering into this pattern, in the anticipation of a continuation of the prevailing trend. The techniques used, however, depend upon the traders' appetite and temperament.
Let's start..
✅Minimum Risk Entry
>The entry point is near the low C
>C should have less momentum than A
>Price barely breaks the low A
>There are wicks at the low of Candles at C
>Stop is placed under the low of C, so less risk more reward potential
✅Confirmed Entry
>Entry is at the break of swing high B
>The price makes a higher-high so structural change is confirmed
>The break often comes with good volumes & strong closing candles
>SL under C is wider than 1 in this case
>This technique is used when, in wave C, there are few weak candle closings below A
✅Trendline Entry
>Entry is at the break of TL
>The break often comes with good volumes & strong closing candles
>SL is wider than 1 but lesser than 2. So less riskier
>This technique is used when, in wave C, there are few weak candle closings below A
✅ABC-W Entry
>A unique entry technique
>The price breaks deeply below B and then retests at W
>At this point it seems that price will continue down but
>The price could not hold down and again breaks out of W, giving us a breakdown failure entry
>You would see a usually sharper continuations as many traders, who entered short positions, would start exiting in a hurry
Stop loss in all the cases is placed under the low of wave C and trailed as per traders' time horizon. These are relatively small corrective patterns so you can expect sharp continuations and take targets measured equal to the strong impulsive move in the background.
I hope it was useful.
Thanks for reading.
@Bravetotrade
Three Genuine Triangle EntriesTriangles are very common and promising patterns. Normally they are considered as continuation patterns in the direction of prevailing trend. I am presenting here three useful entry techniques. None is better than the other and each one has its own strengths and weaknesses.
ANTICIPATION SETUP
As the name suggests, the trade is taken before the triangle breakout. It is in anticipation of a continuation breakout. Entry is taken at the third touch of the uptrendline.
Stoploss is fairly smaller, below previous swing low A, compared to other setups. Stop can be brought up to breakeven as soon as breakout happens.
As entry is taken before breakout, the chances of hitting the smaller stop are fairly high.
BREAKOUT SETUP
Entry is taken above the prior swing high B with stop below the recent swing low C as shown in the chart. The stoploss is relatively large but chances of hitting the stop is also relatively less.
CONFIRMATION SETUP
Many a times, after the breakout, price pulls back to the triangle for a retest. The entry is taken above the swing high E formed after the breakout as shown in the chart. Stop is kept below the recent retest swing low F or the last swing low D inside the triangle.
Stop may be large in this case but it comes with higher chances of a successful trade.
TARGETS
Target in all the three cases should be the height of the triangle, shown in the chart, as measured from the breakout point of the triangle.
PRO TIP
♦ The triangle breakout should occur within 1/3rd to 3/4th the length of the triangle (see chart). The late breakouts are not considered as valid continuations and may end up as a trading range.
♦ Ideally volume dries up as the price consolidates in a triangle. Volume starts picking up as the breakout occurs which is a good sign.
♦ Triangles setups are valid in both uptrend and downtrend.
I hope the above information would be helpful.
Thanks for reading 😉
How do Breakout traders get trapped?In the example above, note the following:
- Warning candles: Doji + Hammers + bearish candles indicating exhaustion and a lack of follow-up.
- A relatively higher volume on hammer & doji, which is never a good sign for a breakout because it indicates significant selling pressure.
- A bullish breakout must always be accompanied by a good follow-up, else it won't sustain. Bullish BO needs good bullish candles, NOT dojis.
Notice how a small wick (on the daily chart) looks like a clear liquidity hunt on lower time frames.
Underlying concepts:
1. The market was moving sideways and generating liquidity on both sides.
2. In general, when the market is ranging, different participants place orders with a different bias. Hence, there is liquidity on both sides.
3. For a bullish market, the price must form a series of higher highs and higher lows. Similarly, for a bearish market, the price must form a series of lower highs and lower lows.
4. Whenever the price reaches a resistance level, there are 2 types of traders that take positions:
- Those who short the level in anticipation of it acting as a resistance.
- Those who long early in anticipation of resistance being taken out.
5. The stop losses of these traders act as liquidity. A short position has a “buy order” as SL, whereas a long position has a “sell order” as SL.
6. In general, almost everyone is aware of how the retail participants place their stop losses. They are either:
- Above/below an important swing level such as a support, resistance, day high, day low, etc.
- Above/below a demand, supply candle.
- Above/below the candlestick pattern such as a shooting star, hammer, and doji.
- Above/below the charting pattern.
7. The market moves from one zone of liquidity to another.
8. As a retailer, you may not realize the importance of a small wick. The small wicks are more than enough to liquidate plenty of positions.
Psychology and Behind the scenes stuff:
1. When the price reached the resistance level, 2 types of traders started opening positions.
- Aggressive shorters who shorted in anticipation that the level will hold.
- Aggressive longers (those who don't wait for confirmation) who were waiting for the candle to close above the resistance.
2. Both of these traders opened their positions and placed their stop losses in the system.
3. The banks/institutions have fairly complex algorithms that can easily identify these positions.
4. The stops of these aggressive participants are taken out fairly easily and the market moves from one zone of liquidity to another.
Thanks for reading! Hope this was helpful. If you need a PDF of this post with all the charts and write-up, check out the signature section (under the post).
Disclaimer : This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
Rajat Kumar Singh (@johntradingwick)
Community Manager (India), TradingView
How to Trade an ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUTSTRUCTURE
--> ASCENDING TRIANGLE is a type of consolidation pattern formed after an Uptrend ( Markup Phase).
--> ASCENDING TRIANGLE is a triangular pattern with a flat horizontal Resistance on the top and a Trendline that connects atleast two Higher Low swings from the bottom to the top of the Triangle.
--> ASCENDING TRIANGLE is considered to be a Bullish Pattern because the Swing Lows are getting shifted Higher signifiying the Sellers loosing the strength .
LOGICAL REASON BEHIND THE PATTERN
--> As the ASCENDING TRIANGLE is having the flat horizontal Resistance on the top , There are stack of STOP-LOSS-ORDERS just above the horizontal Resistance. When some Strong Buyer punches a heavy buying order, The order Triggers all the STOP-LOSS-ORDERS which were placed above the horizontal Resistance turning the sellers as buyers.
--> Seeing the Breakout various New Traders and Algo's place more buying orders and the price tend to move higher.
Example
--> Take the example of the crypto GMTUSDT .
--> Initially the crypto was in the Mark-Up phase.
--> Later this crypto entered into the Consolidation phase by making ASCENDING TRIANGLE as the consolidation pattern.
--> $0.82 was the horizontal resistance established by this stock.
--> The Lows started shifting up from $0.5 to $0.7 to $0.75 showing loss in seller strength .
--> The Price started sustaining above the POC (Point of Control) showing buyers strength.
--> When Price Breached $0.82 all SL orders were Trigerred and the crypto gave the breakout with volume .
--> The price moved higher as new Traders and Algo's placed more buying orders .
Target and Stoploss
--> Target would be the Depth of the Ascending Triangle, Projected above the Resistance Breakout as mentioned in the Example Screenshot.
--> Stoploss would be placed below the Breakout Candle LOW .
A Comprehensive Guide to Rectangle Formation.Introduction:
Price trends do not usually reverse on a dime. uptrend and downtrend are typically separated by a transitional period or trading range, and trading range formation signal trading opportunities for traders.
The trading range separating rising and falling price trends discussed here
is a pattern known as a rectangle.
This post will cover these questions:
1. Types of a trend reversal.
2. Rectangle formation.
3. consolidation rectangles.
4. Significance of a rectangle pattern.
5. Retracement moves
6. What when a rectangle fails?
1.Trend reversal
The turning point between the bull and bear phases is termed a reversal pattern.
# Reversal patterns at market tops are known as distribution because the security is said to be “distributed” from strong, informed participants to weak, uninformed ones.
# Price patterns, including rectangles, that develop at market bottoms are
called accumulation formations where the security passes from weak, uninformed participants to strong, informed ones.
a.Horizontal or transitional reversal.
An oil tanker takes a long time to slow down and then go into reverse. The same is normally
true of financial markets. Generally speaking, the longer the trend, the more
time spent in the reversal (turnaround) process. This transitional or horizontal phase has great significance
because it is the demarcation between a rising and a falling trend.
b. Reversal on a dime without warning.
This type of reversal is the exception to transitional reversal and they are the highly emotional market that changes without warning.
2. Rectangle formation.
The figure shows the price action at the end of a long rising trend. price starts to move in a trading range between Point A and Point B.
Point A can be identified as a resistance area after the price backed of two times from Point A.
Point B can be identified as a support area after the price moved up two times from Point B.
one can draw horizontal trendlines or Box on the chart to mark the level.
At this point, the demand/supply relationship comes into balance in favour of the sellers whenever the price
reaches A, and the demand/supply relationship comes into balance in favour of the buyers when the price reaches B.
Finally, prices fall below point B signals a trend reversal and the sellers are dominating the market.
3. consolidation rectangles.
If the rectangle following an uptrend is completed with a victory for the buyers as the price pushes through the upper line A , a reversal does not develop because the breakout above A reaffirms the underlying trend. In this case, the corrective phase (trading range) associated with the formation of the
rectangle temporarily interrupts the bull market and becomes a consolidation pattern.
In the figure, a breakout to the upside makes this pattern a continuation rectangle.
#the prevailing trend is in existence until it is proved to have been reversed.
4. Significance of a rectangle pattern.
i. Time Frames
The longer the time frame, the more significant the pattern. A pattern that
shows up on a monthly chart is likely to be far more significant than one
on an intraday chart, and so forth.
the longer a pattern takes to develop in a particular time frame, the greater its significance within that
time frame.
# Most of the time the larger pattern will be more important, but not every time. In technical analysis, we are dealing in probabilities, never certainties.
ii.Volume Considerations.
volume is an important independent variable that can help us obtain a more accurate reflection of crowd psychology. volume shrinks during the formation of pattern and blastoff on successful breakout/breakdown of the price.
iii. Measuring implications:
The depth of the pattern is projected in the direction of the breakout from the breakout point
5. Retracement moves.
Many times when the price breaks out from the rectangle, the initial move is followed by a corrective move back to the breakout point. This is known as a retracement move, and it offers an additional entry point for left out players who pushes the prices again in the breakout direction.
6. What when a rectangle fails?
One of the first things that should be done upon entering any business venture is to weigh the possible risk against the potential reward. the same is true in the financial markets.
*Amatures on breakout only focuses on potential profits.
*Professionals always consider the risk as an equal.
this means when opening a new position you have to consider the risk to reward ratio and decide prior to opening the position what type of price action would cause you to conclude that the breakout was a whipsaw.
Some price action to consider to identify a whipsaw (fake breakout).
a.50% rule.
It very much depends on the chart. If there are no obvious support points, many traders believe that a penetration of the 50 percent mark is the place to exit. In this case, the 50 percent mark is the central point between the two horizontal lines that make up the rectangle.
b. Trendline support
using price action trendline to identify if the trend is valid or has been breached.
c. Stop below/above the opposite line of breakout/breakdown.
one can set a stop above the resistance line if the short-sell position is triggered.
or set a stop below the support line if the long position is triggered.
d. False breakouts:
Shrinking volume on an upside/downside breakout.
Hope you found this helpful and I sincerely hope you find a ton of good rectangle formations to trade-in!
Happy Trading!
Trading is like Kids Playing with ABC:Ducon Infratech Trade PlanDear all,
The above chart presents a simplicity of trading, its the heart and soul of trading, let it be a trend following system or investor or day trader or scalper -its as easy as kids ABC
Let me explain my points with the simple yet powerful setup with above chart and more examples:
Points to consider in every setup(conservative)
- Consolidation
- Breakout(A)
- Consolidation
- Retest(B)
- Continuation(C)
- Breakout - As we all know every tick in the market is a confirmation of fight between bulls and bear as bulls want to take prices higher and bears hammer the prices lower, breakout can be understood as a winning the battle and taking the prices higher. And we just have to join the WINNING SIDE in this case its BULLS
- Consolidation - Consolidation can be understood as a laying the foundation for a strong building. In stock market we know it as Flag, triangle, rectangle etc
- Retest - Its like price reversing back to the breakout level & consolidates again and forms patterns as flag, triangle, rectangle etc
- Continuation - Price again breaks out of the consolidation zone and continues
some of the live Nifty examples are mentioned below for better understanding
Some of the Bank Nifty charts for ready reference
Breakdown - retest from bottom & continued lower
Breakout and twice retest
Views are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
"Always Respect Risk"
Happy Trading
Jai Hind
Consolidation and BreakoutSimple strategy to determine whether a market is in trend or not.
Breakout implies trending of market.
Consolidation shows market is range bound.
Scaling in 4 times the time frame will show the activity in details and Entry into the market can be done in smaller time frame.
This strategy is suitable for both Range traders as well as trend traders.
Possible entry exit will be shown in next link.
How to find SL levels using BREAKOUT INDICATORLearn how to determine SL levels using BREAKOUT INDICATOR.
This indicator not only helps in finding BREAKOUT trades but also helps you determine SL levels, target levels and much more. Combining with 44EMA you can take your trading to the next level.
The best part is that it works on any script, be it cryptocurrencies, commodities or indices.
Never take a SL during the first 15 minutes of market opening, as chances of reversal are high and market is very volatile during that time.
Use alerts on Tradingview to know whenever SL hits.