GBPUSD recalls bears targeting 1.1400, UK CPI in the spotlightGBPUSD seesaws below 50-SMA after breaking the weekly support line, not to forget to mention the reversal from a three-week-old horizontal hurdle. The pullback also takes clues from the downside RSI and MACD to suggest further downside towards the yearly low marked the last week around 1.1400. It should, however, be noted that a 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of August 17 to September 13 moves, near 1.1280, could challenge the pair sellers afterward. If not then, the downward sloping support line from August 22, close to 1.1230 by the press time, will gain the market’s attention.
Meanwhile, the GBPUSD rebound remains elusive unless crossing the one-month-old horizontal resistance area near 1.1745-50. That said, the one-week-long support-turned-resistance around 1.1630 guards the immediate recovery. If at all the cable pair rises past 1.1750, the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.1890 could act as the last defense for bears, a break of which could give control to the buyers.
Overall, GBPUSD is back into the bear’s court and is likely to renew the yearly low ahead of the key UK inflation numbers.
Brexit
GBPUSD rebound appears necessary as cable traders await BOEGBPUSD fades the corrective pullback from a two-year low, as well as the 61.8% FE level of late March-May moves. Also supporting the bounce was the oversold RSI condition. However, the Bank of England’s (BOE) looming rate hike keeps buyers on their toes due to the “Old Lady’s” previous failures to impress. That said, the recovery moves currently need a clear upside break of the previous monthly low of 1.2155 to convince buyers. Should the BOE manage to favor the bulls, a run-up beyond the 1.2155 could aim for a seven-week-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding 1.2410-20. It’s worth noting that the cable pair’s run-up past 1.2420 remains doubtful as a descending resistance line from February precedes the 50-DMA, respectively around 1.2500 and 1.2610, to challenge the optimists.
On the contrary, the 1.2000 threshold acts as the immediate support ahead of the 61.8% FE level of 1.1960. During the GBPUSD pair’s weakness past 1.1960, the 78.6% FE and a downward slopping support line from March, around 1.1760 and 1.1700 in that order, will be crucial to watch as the RSI might have offered another corrective bounce by then. If not then the quote becomes vulnerable to testing the 100% FE level of 1.1510.
Overall, GBPUSD is likely to extend the latest recovery as traders position themselves for the BOE. However, the upside momentum remains elusive.
GBPUSD braces for fresh 2022 low with eyes on Fed, BOEA clear downside break of the six-week-old horizontal support keeps GBPUSD bears hopeful of further south-run ahead of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy meetings. That said, 1.2255-50 appears immediate support for the cable ahead of the yearly low surrounding 1.2150. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s sustained downturn past 1.2160 could make it vulnerable to further declines toward the 1.2000 psychological magnet. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late March to May moves, near 1.1950, might lure the bears.
Alternatively, recovery remains elusive until the quote remains below the recently broke support-turned-resistance, around 1.2400-2410. Even if the GBPUSD prices rise beyond 1.2410, a downward sloping trend line from February and the 50-DMA, respectively near 1.2570 and 1.2640, will be in focus. It’s worth mentioning that the pair’s successful run-up beyond the 50-DMA needs validation from May’s high near 1.2665 to convince the buyers.
Overall, GBPUSD is ready to extend the latest downward trajectory but the oscillators may test the bears and so do the central bankers. Hence, traders’ discretion appears more required.
GBPUSD bears attack 1.2480 support confluenceGBPUSD not only snapped a two-week uptrend by the end of Friday but also jostles with short-term key support around 1.2480, comprising 100-SMA and a fortnight-long support line. Descending RSI and sluggish MACD also suggest that the bulls ran out of steam, suggesting further downside ahead. Hence, bears appear hopeful of revisiting the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the April-May downside, around 1.2385, with the immediate battle to be won against 1.2480. Following that, 1.2330 and 1.2260 may entertain sellers before directing them to May’s low of 1.2155.
Any corrective pullback, however, needs validation from a downward sloping trend line from mid-April, surrounding 1.2600 by the press time. Also acting as an upward filter is May’s peak of 1.2666, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2770. In a case where GBPUSD buyers remain dominant past 1.2770, an upward trajectory towards April 19 swing low close to 1.2980 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, GBPUSD signals further downside but sustained trading below 1.2480 becomes necessary.
Rising wedge confirmation teases GBPUSD bearsAfter a rollercoaster ride on the BOE moves, GBPUSD bears flex muscles with eyes on Thursday’s UK Q4 GDP. The week’s start has already confirmed a rising wedge bearish pattern but the sellers need validation from 50-SMA 1.3490. Theory suggests a sustained downtrend past 1.3490 will recall 1.3330-25 levels on the chart. However, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of December-January advances near 1.3385 and the previous month’s low near 1.3355 may offer intermediate halts during the run-up.
Alternatively, corrective pullback remains elusive below the 200-SMA level of 1.3525, a break of which will direct GBPUSD buyers towards the 1.3600 threshold. It’s worth noting that a two-week-old rising trend line, forming part of wedge near 1.3635, can challenge the cable pair’s upside past 1.3600 but sustained trading beyond the same won’t hesitate to propel the rally towards 2022 peak surrounding 1.3750.
To sum up, GBPUSD consolidates recent gains but the bears need validation from data and chart both.
GBPUSD bears need validation from 1.3330A corrective pullback on Friday failed to lift GBPUSD beyond 50-DMA, not to forget a fortnight-old descending trend line. However, nearly oversold RSI conditions can challenge the cable pair’s sellers until breaking the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of September-December 2021 downside, near 1.3330. Should the quote remains weak past 1.3330, the 1.3280 level may offer an intermediate halt before dragging the quote towards the year 2021 bottom surrounding 1.3160.
Alternatively, the 50-DMA and aforementioned immediate resistance line, respectively around 1.3415 and 1.3450, guard the GBPUSD pair’s short-term rebound. Also acting as a nearby important resistance is the 100-DMA level of 1.3525. It should be noted, however, that the quote’s trading above 1.3525 will propel the quote’s run-up towards the 61.8% Fibo. level near 1.3625-30. That said, the 200-DMA level of 1.3720 acts as a last line of defense for the bears before the October 2021 peak surrounding 1.3835.
GBPUSD keeps bounce off 1.3270 key support, bears in chargeGBPUSD struggles to defend 1.3270 support convergence, comprising a descending trend line from late July and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) level of September 2020 to June 2021 upside. Even so, nearly oversold RSI conditions hint at a corrective pullback towards a short-term resistance line near 1.3375, a break of which will challenge the 20-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.3430. In a case where the cable rises past 1.3430 resistance, July’s low of 1.3570 and November 9 swing high near 1.3610 will be important to watch for further direction.
Meanwhile, GBPUSD bears will have a tough task breaking the 1.3270 support but following that a 100-pip fall towards October 2020 peak near 1.3175 can’t be ruled out. During the pair’s weakness below 1.3175, December 2020 trough and 78.6% Fibo. level, respectively near 1.3130 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be in focus. To sum up, GBPUSD sellers remain in command but 1.3270 offers a near-term key question to answer.
GBPUSD drops from 50-DMA ahead of BOE, Brexit talksGBPUSD bears retake controls on the key Thursday comprising Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy meeting and important Brexit talks in Paris. Technical set-up hints at further weakness on the pair’s inability to rise past 50-DMA, coupled with the bearish MACD signals. However, a clear downside break of a five-week-long support line, near 1.3615, becomes necessary. Also probing the sellers is the latest swing low surrounding August month’s trough close to the 1.3600 threshold. In a case where prices remain weak past 1.3600, July’s low of 1.3570 will act as a buffer before dragging the quote to the yearly bottom of 1.3410.
Meanwhile, a surprise positive fueling the pair above the 50-DMA level of 1.3705 will aim for a downward sloping resistance line from mid-September, around 1.3810. Following that, the 200-DMA level 1.3846 will be a tough nut to crack for the GBPUSD bulls before heading towards September’s peak of 1.3913 and the 1.4000 psychological magnet.
GBPUSD wavers around 200-SMA on Brexit fearsGBPUSD portrays sluggish market conditions as the bears jostle with the 200-SMA following Friday’s heavy fall, amid the escalating Brexit woes. Even so, the quote’s downside break of the 100-SMA, near 1.3720, keeps the bears hopeful of the further weakness of the cable pair. That said, lows marked during late September and early October, respectively around 1.3600 and 1.3550, will offer intermediate halts before directing the quote towards the yearly low of 1.3410, marked in September.
Meanwhile, corrective pullback beyond the 100-SMA level of 1.3720 will be challenged by a two-week-old resistance line, near 1.3815. In a case where the GBPUSD bulls manage to cross the 1.3815 hurdle, the highs marked during September and July, respectively around 1.3915 and 1.3985 will challenge the upside momentum. Also acting as an upside filter is the 1.4000 threshold. Overall, GBPUSD broke short-term key support on Friday and is likely waiting for bears to take control.
GBPUSD prints bullish flag as EU-UK jostle over BrexitGBPUSD buyers await for Brexit headlines as the Cable gyrates inside a bullish flag chart pattern on the four-hour play. The European Union (EU) diplomats aren’t likely to get a warm welcome in London on their arrival for Brexit talks. The reason could be linked to the comments from UK’s Brexit policymaker David Frost, conveying his discomfort with the bloc proposal for NI border. However, the Fed tapering concerns remain elevated ahead of Thursday’s US Q3 GDP and underpin the US dollar’s safe-haven demand. Hence, the quote is likely to remain firmer but further upside needs a clear break of 1.3815 hurdle. The same will confirm the bullish chart pattern, directing the pair further towards the 1.400 psychological magnet. During the rally, September’s peak of 1.3912 may probe the bulls.
Alternatively, the monthly support line near 1.3750 offers immediate support to the GBPUSD prices during the pullback, ahead of the stated flag’s support line near 1.3725. Should the quote remains weak past 1.3725, the 1.3700 round figure and 200-SMA level near 1.3685 may probe the bears before directing them towards the monthly low of 1.3430. Overall, GBPUSD bulls keep the reins ahead of important Brexit talks.
GBPUSD bulls eye another confrontation with 1.3618/24 hurdle Despite recently easing from 1.3575, GBPUSD stays above a one-week-old ascending trend line amid bullish MACD. On the fundamental side, the passage of the Brexit deal and US coronavirus (COVID-19) stimulus also favor the Cable buyers. Though, a downward sloping trend line from December 17, currently around 1.3620, becomes necessary for the GBPUSD bulls to keep the reins. Following that, September 2017 peak close to 1.3660 and March 2018 low near 1.3710 will be in the spotlight.
If consolidation moves break the immediate support line, at 1.3555, 200-SMA near 1.3350 and the monthly bottom close to 1.3190/85 could lure the GBPUSD sellers. However, the December 21 top around 1.3500 and last Tuesday’s low of 1.3303 can offer intermediate halts during the downside. To sum it all, GBPUSD may witness pullback in the short-term but the overall outlook remains bullish.
EURUSD, Weekly analysis, Oct 19-23Euro against Dollar pair, is looking bearish in the 3rd week of October, When you see the monthly chart, bearish Engulfing September month candle still expect to send the price down , in short term view, we can expect the price go down till 1.16 area this week
Note - Price action analysis for education purpose only
Sterling dip on Brexit headlines, another chance to buy on dipsYesterday, GBP decreased against the USD by 0.7 percent. Thursday witnessed another cascade of Brexit headlines develop, consequently bullying GBP/USD to lower levels on Thursday and erasing Wednesday’s gains.
The 1.31/1.3064 resistance zone on the H4 timeframe once again served sellers well, composed of the 1.31 handle, resistance from 1.3064 and August’s opening value at 1.3078. The key figure 1.30 surrendered ground, as did October’s opening value at 1.2925, to challenge 1.29 (located above Quasimodo support at 1.2865). Beyond here, 1.28 offers a reasonable target. Aiding the H4 resistance zone is a daily resistance level coming in at 1.3017, with downside on the daily timeframe pointing to trend line support, extended from the low 1.2075. Meanwhile, on the weekly timeframe, last week observed GBP/USD extend recent recovery gains from support at 1.2739 (a 2019 yearly opening value). Technicians will acknowledge 1.2739 blends with trend line resistance-turned support, extended from the high 1.5930. In terms of resistance, price has room to advance as far north as the 2020 yearly opening value at 1.3250.
Suggestion: BUY GBPUSD AT CMP 1.2890 SL BELOW 1.2800 TGT 1.2990/1.30
ELSE
SELL BELOW 1.2800 SL ABV 1.2890 TGT 1.1.2720
GBPUSD, Weekly analysis , Sep 7-11GBPUSD pairs has trended downward last week because of Strong USD towards end of the week, Inspite of strong USD, it shows some buying opportunity end of the last day, analysis looks like it may continue the bears favour atleast mid of the week.. expecting it may touch the support area of 1.31 area..