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BSE - Support Break with Bullish Recovery SetupSymbol: BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange) Timeframe: Daily Key Levels: ✅ Breakdown: 2500 (closed below) → Next support: 2300 → 2000 (major). ✅ Bullish Anchor: Price > 200 MA + ascending trendline (Jan 20, 2025 breakout now support). 📊 Technical Structure Critical Support Break: -Daily close below 2500 (confirmed breakdown of key support). -Next supports: 2300 (immediate) → 2000 (major swing low). Bullish Anchors: -Price above 200-day MA (long-term uptrend intact). Ascending Trendline Support: -Originating from Jan 20, 2025 (resistance until May 13 breakout). -Now acting as dynamic support (resistance-turned-support). Key Reversal Signal: Watch for reclaim of 2500 -Requires strong bullish candle + above-average volume. -Confirms failed breakdown and resumption of uptrend. 🎯 Trading Plan Scenario 1: Buy Dips (Conservative) Entry Zone: -Layer 1: 2300 (trendline + horizontal support confluence). -Layer 2: 2000 (swing low + 200 MA reinforcement). -Stop Loss: 1950 (below 2000 structure). -Targets: 2500 → 2700 → 2900. Scenario 2: Breakout Re-entry (Aggressive) Trigger: Daily close above 2500 with: Bullish candle (preferably >1.5% gain). -Volume ≥ 20% above 10-day average. -Stop Loss: 2450 (below breakout level). -Targets: 2700 → 2900 (measured move). ⚠️ Risk Management Position Size: ≤3% capital per trade. Invalidation Conditions: -Close below 2000 (invalidates bullish thesis). -Failed 2500 reclaim (weak volume/rejection candle). Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Conduct your own due diligence. Past performance ≠ future results. Risk capital only. 🔥 Boost if this analysis helps your strategy! 💡 Comment below any stocks you want me to analyse next!
NSE:BSELong
by Alert_Trader
Assuming the mindset of Warren Buffett, let us evaluate BSE Ltd.📊 1. Understand the Business (Circle of Competence) BSE Ltd. is one of India’s two major stock exchanges (along with NSE). It earns revenue from: Listing fees Transaction/clearing charges Data dissemination Subsidiary businesses (e.g., mutual funds, SME platform) 🔍 Buffett View: The stock exchange business is a monopoly-like, high-moat business with few players. It benefits from network effects – more listings attract more investors and vice versa. It has low capital requirements to grow and high operating leverage – very Buffett-friendly traits. 📈 2. Financial Health (Conservative Analysis) Let’s assume a financial breakdown based on known fundamentals (recent as of 2024-25): | Metric | Value | Buffett Interpretation | | ---------------------- | ---------------------- | ----------------------------------------------- | | ROE (Return on Equity) | >20% | Excellent – Indicates efficient use of capital | | Debt-to-Equity Ratio | Close to 0 | Strong – Buffett avoids debt-heavy firms | | Free Cash Flow | Positive, consistent | Good – Buffett loves cash-generating businesses | | Dividend Yield | 1.5%–2.5% | Moderate, not key, but shows surplus cash | | Earnings Growth | CAGR \~20–25% (recent) | Promising – but must sustain organically | 🔍 Buffett prefers stable and predictable earnings, and BSE shows that in its core exchange business, though it remains sensitive to market cycles. 🏰 3. Economic Moat BSE's Competitive Advantages: Brand heritage (Asia’s oldest exchange) Government regulations ensure limited competitors High switching costs for existing listed companies High margin data services, SME listings, and mutual fund platforms 🛡 Buffett’s View: > “I want a business with a durable competitive advantage.” > BSE fits this well. 👨‍💼 4. Management Quality Buffett places immense importance on management honesty and competence. BSE’s leadership has been conservative, focused on transparency and innovation (e.g., India INX, BSE StAR MF). Consistent improvement in digital platforms and growing relevance in mutual fund distribution indicates forward-thinking leadership. ✅ Buffett’s View: Passes the integrity and competency test. 🌏 5. Industry Outlook Indian capital markets are expanding. Retail participation, SIP inflows, and startups going public will grow exchange volume. Fintech and tech listings offer upside. Regulatory tailwinds from SEBI are improving transparency and scale. 📘 Buffett likes industries with tailwinds, and Indian capital markets are structurally growing. 📉 6. Technical Entry (Buffett seldom uses technicals but we’ll blend it) > "Price is what you pay. Value is what you get." Looking at the Fibonacci retracement levels from the chart: CMP: ₹2,456.70 38.2% Level: ₹2,337.15 →Potential entry zone 50% Level: ₹2,123.35 → Strong support / high conviction entry 61.8% Level: ₹1,909.50 → Ideal deep value buy (high margin of safety) 🟩 Accumulation Zone: ₹2,100 – ₹2,337 🛑 Stop-loss (Fundamental): ₹1,850 (below 61.8% retracement and key support) 🎯 Target (Intrinsic Value): ₹3,000–₹3,200 over 2–3 years (based on earnings growth) 📌 7. Intrinsic Value Estimation (Buffett’s Method) DCF-style rough estimate: EPS: ₹75 (assumed) Growth: 15% CAGR (conservative) Terminal PE: 25 (market average for strong moats) Holding period: 5 years Future EPS = 75 × (1.15)^5 ≈ ₹150 Target Price = 150 × 25 = ₹3,750 Present Value (with 12% discount) ≈ ₹2,120 – ₹2,350 🔎 Fair Value Range: ₹2,100–₹2,350 💵 Buy Below: ₹2,350 (for margin of safety) ✅ Final Verdict (Buffett Style Summary) | Criteria | Verdict | | ----------------------- | ---------------------------- | | Understandable Business | ✅ Yes | | Economic Moat | ✅ Strong | | Management Quality | ✅ Trusted & Competent | | Financial Strength | ✅ Excellent | | Industry Tailwind | ✅ Positive | | Intrinsic Value Range | ₹2,100–₹2,350 | | Current Price | ₹2,456 – Slightly overvalued | | Buy Recommendation | Wait for dip below ₹2,350 | | Stop Loss (Soft) | ₹1,850 | | Target (Long-Term) | ₹3,500+ |
NSE:BSELong
by Premcool
Infosys (INFY) Stock Forecast – March 2025Infosys (INFY) Stock Forecast – March 2025 Current Price: ₹1,619.50 Timeframe: Monthly Chart (1M) Technical Analysis & Forecast 1. Trendline Support: The stock is currently testing a key trendline support on the monthly chart. 2. Breakdown Possibility: If INFY closes below this trendline, it may head towards the ₹1,400 level, aligning with the S2 support zone. 3. Resistance Levels: The recent rejection from ₹1,850-1,900 suggests strong selling pressure at those levels. 4. Market Structure: Lower highs (LH) formation indicates a possible bearish continuation. Change of character (ChoCH) signals uncertainty in trend direction. 5. Indicators: Moving Averages: INFY is testing its long-term moving averages. A break below these could accelerate the downside. Volume & Momentum: Selling pressure has increased, and bulls need to reclaim key resistance levels for a recovery. My View INFY is taking trendline support this month. If this support is broken, we can expect ₹1,400 as the next downside target. However, if buyers defend this level, a rebound towards ₹1,750 is possible. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
NSE:INFY
by pvnm82
BSE : Trading Sideways with HIGH IV- Current Ratios : P/E ~ 84 (5 yr average of ~37.5), PEG ~ 5, P/BV ~ 21 (5 yr average of 3.2) - Technically, BSE has gone into a consolidation within a range of 6200 to 5000 since Dec-2024.. - Yesterday’s bounce was due to Goldman-Sachs purchase in the stock, and momentum can push it to test 6000-6200 levels soon. - A significant direction in BSE stock prices will only emerge, once it breaks this consolidation range. - However, this seems like a nice setup for Option traders to trade this range., as the Implied Volatility has also jumped significantly. #stoxsense #bse #learntradingwithsudhir
NSE:BSE
by stoxsense
BSE Possible Cup and Handle aheadNSE:BSE Possible Cup and Handle ahead a Close above 4990 to 5000 Will Confirm it. 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️If you have any questions about this stock, feel free to reach out to me. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:BSELong
by Karanshah137
Swing Trading Idea :: 02The daily chart forms a cup and handle pattern. The stock has recently made a higher high with volume buildup, a significant technical milestone, This indicates the potential for sustained upward momentum, especially as volume supported the breakout. The stock could face psychological resistance around INR 2000. If momentum continues and the stock decisively breaks above INR 2000, a further target could be set around historical levels. For a stop-loss level, consider placing it slightly below the retest level. These levels can be adjusted based on risk tolerance and evolving market conditions. Disclaimer: The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or any other types of advice or recommendations.
NSE:SASKENLong
by chaitanyajerripothula95
Mishtann Foods - Falling Wedge Breakout - Ascending ChannelMishtann Foods has recently broken out of a Falling Wedge pattern on Daily Timeframe, as shown in the Chart. The stock has also been moving in an Ascending Channel on Weekly timeframe and has recently taken support at the bottom of the channel and bounced from there. Support at the bottom of the Channel has been tested 3 times, as shown in the image. Looking good to me. What are your thoughts? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
BSE:MISHTANNLong
by gurinder1988
1
Gujarat Containers - Week - Breakout from Symmetrical Triangle?Analyzed the weekly chart of Gujarat Containers Ltd. (BSE: 523108), which is showing a promising breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern. As you can see, the price has broken out of the Trendline recently and has performed a retest as well. Bullish Divergence on Daily: Recently a Divergence was also observed on the Daily Chart where the Price made a Lower Low while the RSI made a Higher Low. The RSI has been on an upward trajectory since. This setup looks quite promising for a continued upward move. What do you guys think? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
BSE:GUJCONTLong
by gurinder1988
Everest Organics - Monthly - Ascending Channel - Bullish - LongEVEREST ORGANICS LTD. is exhibiting strong bullish signals on the monthly chart. Here is a detailed analysis of the key technical indicators and potential future movements: Ascending Channel: The stock has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel since early 2016. Support: The lower channel line has provided consistent support, marked by multiple bounces. Resistance: The upper channel line acts as resistance, tested multiple times. Recent Price Action: The stock recently bounced off the lower channel support around 120 INR and is showing signs of upward movement. This bounce indicates a potential continuation towards the mid-channel and upper-channel resistance levels. RSI Analysis: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 57.59, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI has been trending upwards, suggesting increasing buying pressure and potential for further gains. Disclosure: Invested at 149 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Please leave a Comment with your thoughts and analysis Boost the idea if you found it useful Follow me for more analyses!
BSE:EVERESTOLong
by gurinder1988
SENSEX presents a strong upward chart trend right nowThe current chart analysis for SENSEX presents a robust picture. There are no signs of a significant drop-off at this moment. However, in the event of a downturn, the next support zones are projected to be at 75074 and 74249. And major support zone is 72199. These figures could serve as critical benchmarks in case of a market correction. It's always important to monitor market trends and adjust investment strategies accordingly. Please note that this is a general analysis and individual investment decisions should be made based on personal financial situations and risk tolerance.
BSE:SENSEX
by joycryptoanalyst
BSE: bullish Flag breakout on daily chartHi, NSE:BSE has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume. MACD is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily and weekly time frames. In the current market scenario I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue. Complete price projection like entry, stoploss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose. Please share your feedback or any queries on the study. Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
NSE:BSELong
by raigvivek
3