Bitcoin 1D Technical Commentary & Bias Path - Bitcoin is currently trading at 104,521$
- The previous weekly close for BTC wasn't bullish and the following print or the current candle print does not indicate any bullishness based on the current price behaviour
- The drawings indicate that Bitcoin printed a new ATH, trapped many retail longs, and deviated right below the ATH by publishing a strong bearish print
- The following print after the ATH liquidated many late longs and also showed high sellers interest getting aggressive, now we have 2 possible playouts for BTC
- 1st path shows we can fall and fill the inefficient gap at 97,000$ flip a market structure shift to bullish and then pierce fresh highs
- The 2nd path shows we can simply purge the 1st inefficient gap and pierce through the second one which will eventually cascade a lot of liquidation and then we can finally move higher by bringing in extreme Fear
Btcusdanalysis
Price is coiling. But I already know where it wants to go.15-minute chart, but the logic is macro.
We just printed a double top above 104,800 — but Smart Money didn’t take that high for fun. That was a clean liquidity raid followed by immediate rejection. The reaction wasn’t retail panic. It was engineered.
What followed was a controlled pullback into a micro-dealing range. I’m expecting one more sweep — a stab into the 103,728.4 zone. Why?
Because that’s where the 0.5 retracement meets the upper bound of a low-volume node. If price wants to rebalance, it’ll do it there — not randomly in mid-air.
If price respects that level and prints bullish structure, I’ll step in. First objective? 104,865. That’s the true inefficiency gap above the raid high — and the last unfilled void in this leg.
Execution logic:
🔑 Anticipated long trigger: 103,728.4
🧠 Deep discount final bid: 103,581–103,247 sweep (last grab)
🎯 Immediate TP: 104,865
❌ Invalidation: Full body break below 103,101
I don’t need candles to line up perfectly.
I just need price to return to value.
I trade what price must do — not what it might do.
BTC/USD Technical OutlookTechnical Analysis Summary:
1. Support & Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: ~$102,600–$103,500
✅ Price recently tested and bounced from this zone, supported by the 200 EMA (blue line).
Resistance Zone: ~$110,500–$112,000
🔼 This is the next major target area for bulls.
Mid-level Supply: ~$106,500–$107,500
⚠️ Price may face short-term resistance here (near the 50 EMA in red).
🔄 Moving Averages:
200 EMA (blue) at $102,648: Acts as strong dynamic support. Price bounce reinforces bullish sentiment.
50 EMA (red) at $106,798: Currently acting as dynamic resistance. A breakout above it would strengthen bullish continuation.
🕯️ Candlestick Behavior:
Multiple rejection wicks from the support zone indicate buyer strength.
Recent candle shows a bullish reaction, potentially forming a reversal pattern.
📈 Price Projection (as per the chart path):
Short-term pullback may lead into the $106,500–$107,500 zone.
If bulls maintain momentum and break above, we can expect a push toward $111K–$112K resistance.
✅ Conclusion:
Bias: Bullish
Trigger: Confirmed bounce from support + price reclaiming 50 EMA
Invalidation: Break below $102,600 with high volume would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Bitcoin Price Analysis – 1H Chart (BINANCE)📊 Bitcoin Price Analysis – 1H Chart (BINANCE)
Date: May 28, 2025
Pair: BTC/USDT
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
🏔 All-Time High (ATH) Rejection
🔴 Zone: ~111,800 – 112,000 USDT
BTC previously reached an ATH (marked in red) but failed to maintain momentum.
This level formed a double top pattern, a classic reversal signal.
📉 Key Resistance Zone
🟪 Range: ~109,500 – 110,500 USDT
Multiple rejections from this purple box indicate strong seller presence.
This area is now acting as a resistance barrier, preventing upward movement.
🔵 Support & Target Level
📍 Support Level: 106,622.06 USDT
🗨️ “when touch this level next target 100k”
The blue line represents a crucial short-term support.
The chart suggests a bearish move toward this level before a possible bullish reversal.
If price breaks below this, we could see further downside before any major rally.
🔄 Market Structure
🔹 BTC has formed a lower high structure, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
🔻 A head-and-shoulders pattern appears to be forming, which typically signals a reversal from bullish to bearish.
🧠 Trader Insight
📌 A drop to 106,622 USDT may act as a liquidity grab, potentially setting the stage for a major move upward.
⚠️ However, confirmation of a reversal (bullish signals, volume spike) will be critical before assuming a breakout to 100k as implied.
🔍 Conclusion
🚨 BTC is in a critical zone between resistance (~110,000) and support (~106,600).
📉 Near-term bias: Bearish → Targeting 106,622 USDT
📈 Medium-term possibility: Bullish rally only if support holds and sentiment shifts.
BTCUSDT Price Analysis – Potential Drop Incoming! 🔲 Chart Zones
🟥 Resistance Zone (~111,000–112,000):
Price has touched this zone multiple times and failed to break higher – this is a strong resistance area. 🚫📈
🟪 Support Zone (~101,000–102,000):
A historically strong demand area where price previously bounced up. 💪📉
🔍 Current Price Behavior
📊 Price Level: Around 108,666.66
🔄 The chart shows lower highs forming, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
📉 Bearish projection drawn (blue zigzag line) suggests a potential double top forming below resistance.
📉 What’s Expected?
🔵 Big Drop Alert! ⬇️
If the price fails to break above and gets rejected again, the chart predicts a sharp move down toward the support zone.
🎯 Target Area: ~101,000–102,000 (Support zone)
📌 Summary
🧱 Resistance holding strong
💤 Momentum slowing down
⚠️ Bearish move likely
🏹 Targeting support zone for potential bounce
⚠️ Trading Tip 🧠
Watch for confirmation before entering trades! A break below the recent lows could trigger a short opportunity, while a bounce near support could offer a buy setup. 🛑📈
ETH Consolidation ETH in a massive consolidation zone rigjt now.
We never broke wick high we got close and rejected. If btc pushes past ath and eth moves again this would be the third test and a massive squeeze.
Not trading this range right now until confirmations but keep an eye on that wick for now
BTC/USD Rebound in Play! | Key Support Holding, Eyes on $112K 📊 BTC/USD Technical Analysis
🗓️ Chart Date: May 25, 2025
🔍 Key Levels:
🔵 Support Zone: $106,800 – $107,300
Notably, price bounced twice in this region, indicating strong buying interest.
This area aligns closely with the 200 EMA (currently at $107,213.51), adding further confluence as dynamic support.
🔴 Resistance Zone: $111,800 – $112,300
Previous highs and consolidation make this a significant area where sellers may re-enter the market.
📈 Indicators:
🔵 EMA 200 (Blue): $107,213.51
Acts as a strong dynamic support; price bounced off it recently.
🔴 EMA 50 (Red): $108,182.91
Price is currently below the 50 EMA, suggesting short-term bearish pressure remains until this level is reclaimed.
🧠 Market Structure & Price Action:
After a sharp drop from the resistance zone, price found solid footing at the support zone.
Recent candles show rejection wicks from the downside, hinting at potential bullish reversal.
A breakout above minor consolidation and 50 EMA could trigger a bullish continuation toward the resistance.
📌 Forecast:
✅ If the price holds above the support zone and breaks above $108,200, we can expect a bullish move toward $112,000.
⚠️ However, a failure to break above the 50 EMA could lead to a retest of the support zone.
🧭 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
📥 Long Bias:
Entry: On confirmed breakout above $108,200
SL: Below $107,000
TP: $111,800 – $112,300
📌 Conclusion:
The chart setup suggests a potential bullish reversal 📈 from a key support zone, supported by EMA 200. Watch for a break above the 50 EMA for momentum confirmation.
🧠 Always confirm with volume and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis for the Week of May 26 - June 1#Current Price and Market Context (as of May 24, 2025):
Price: Bitcoin is trading around $103,000–$111,000, with recent consolidation near $103,000 after facing resistance at $105,000.
Market Sentiment: Bullish, with the Fear & Greed Index at 78 (Extreme Greed) and 28 technical indicators signaling buy versus 6 bearish signals.
Volatility: Bitcoin has shown increased volatility recently, with a 0.94% daily volatility estimate.
# Forecast for Next Week (May 26 - June 1, 2025)
--Bullish Scenario:
Probability: High (based on 73% bullish market sentiment and technical indicators favouring buy signals).
Price Target: $124,000–$127,000, with a potential push toward if resistance at $105,000 is decisively broken in weekly time frame
Catalysts:
Continued institutional inflows (e.g., $6.9B in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows over three weeks).
Sustained trading above key EMAs and support levels ($103,000–$106,000).
Bearish Scenario:
Probability: Moderate (due to overbought RSI and recent resistance at $105,000).
Price Target: A pullback to $100,000–$103,000, with a deeper correction possible to $95,000 if support at $103,000 fails.
-- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources and X posts. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
BTC/USD Bullish Setup: Double Bottom Breakout Targeting $110,000 Trade Setup Analysis
1. Support & Resistance Zones
Support Zone (Buy Zone):
Highlighted in purple, between $103,764 and $104,633, with a noted stop loss area near $104,061.
Resistance/Target Zone (Take Profit Area):
Around $109,878 – $110,002 labeled as “EA TARGET POINT”.
2. Double Bottom Pattern (Bullish Signal)
There are two orange circles at the bottom, indicating a double bottom pattern—often a bullish reversal signal.
This is supported by a neckline break near the entry point at $104,534.
3. Moving Averages
Two moving averages are displayed:
Likely a short-term MA (red) and a medium/long-term MA (blue).
The price crossing above both suggests bullish momentum.
4. Trade Plan
Entry Point: Around $104,534
Stop Loss: Below $104,061
Take Profit (Target): $109,878 – $110,002
Risk/Reward Ratio: High, given the tight stop and wide target.
📈 Price Projection
The blue arrowed path suggests:
A minor dip or consolidation near $104,534, followed by a strong upward move toward the target zone.
The movement outlines a classic cup-and-handle or double-bottom breakout pattern.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a bullish trading setup for BTC/USD with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The chart suggests:
Buying near $104,534
Stop loss just below support
Targeting a move to ~$110,000
BTC ready for continuation of UP move with a reward ratio of 5RSI Profile shows a positive trend for BTCUSD and and risk reward ration is above 5. Also a Bullish triangle pattern seems to reach near complete on BTC Chart. Price is above RSI Point of Control, hence a small SL below POC and target is near the Value area High.
Entry near 105600
Target near 108940
Sl near 104995
RR : 5.16
PS : Above is only for Educational purpose and does not constitute any financial advice. Do your Own Research.
Bitcoin 1D Technical Commentary Paths- Bitcoin is currently trading at 105,148$
- Bitcoin is trading at a crucial BUY SIDE Liquidity area where breakout traps are highly possible, ATH was 109,490$ one tap above that will make retailers open aggressive longs and make them super bullish too
- Bitcoin printed an impulsive move from 88,000 which led to large imbalanced candles getting printed and it eventually printed 2 Inefficient gaps which is likely to get filled
- We have 2 paths, we either print a new high and fill 96,000 before we move up again or else we move towards the inefficient gaps and then print a new all time high
Bitcoin Short Setup –Supply Zone Rejection Trade Plan (1H Chart)(BTC/USD – Technical Setup)
🔵 Trend Setup:
⬆️ Resistance Line – Price is struggling to break above this level.
⬇️ Support Line – Price bounced several times here before breaking down.
🟢 EMA 70 – Currently around 104,435.9, acting as dynamic support/resistance.
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 Stop Loss Zone:
107,488.4 to 107,402.4
(🚨 Strong resistance, limit losses!)
🟡 Entry Point:
106,026.8
(🟨 Inside the Supply Zone – Ideal for Sell)
🟦 Supply Zone:
106,026.8 to 107,402.4
(⚠️ High selling pressure expected here!)
🔵 Break of Structure (BOS):
Price broke below the rising support line
(📉 Bearish confirmation!)
🎯 Target Point:
99,000.0
(💰 Take Profit Target!)
🔻 Trade Idea:
SELL at 106,026.8
🛑 Stop Loss: 107,488.4
✅ Target: 99,000.0
Risk-Reward looks solid.
This is a short setup expecting a drop after a retest of the supply zone.
$BTC Facing Strong Rejection – Correction Ahead?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is showing clear rejection signs from the trendline near the key resistance zone around $107,000, replicating the December 2024 - January 2025 structure.
Hanging Man candle near resistance
Bearish RSI divergence
MACD bearish crossover
Weak buying pressure vs growing selling volume
Stochastic RSI fading out
one retest around 97000$
If $90K support breaks, watch out for a deeper drop toward $60K.
Market structure suggests a smart correction is brewing. Don’t ignore the signs.
bitcoin zonecould this pink line act as a mirror? Can we perhaps range sideways in this region for a while and then shoot up eventually? It appears it can happen. These prices are uncharted waters so nothing can be said for certain. But we can hope for the best. Perhaps while bitcoin ranges there will be an eth season
"BTC/USD Short from 104,855 – Target 93,159. Entry Point
104,855 USD is marked as the entry point (likely for a short position).
The current price is around 103,775 USD, slightly below the entry level.
2. Resistance Zone
Highlighted just below the entry point (~103,000–104,855 USD).
Price is currently testing this zone, possibly indicating a failed breakout or pullback setup.
3. Stop Loss
Placed around 104,807 USD, just above the resistance area, in a shaded purple zone.
Suggests the trade strategy is based on shorting near resistance with a tight stop.
4. Target
EA Target Point is marked at 93,159 USD.
Implies a projected downward move of about −11,264 USD (−10.76%) from entry.
5. Indicators & Tools Used
Moving Averages: 200-period (blue) and a shorter MA (red), showing bullish momentum.
Support/Resistance Zones: Multiple purple rectangles denote demand/supply areas.
Trend Lines: Used to capture recent bullish momentum; a break of the lower line may confirm a trend reversal.
6. Pattern Recognition
Series of lower highs forming after a strong uptrend could suggest bearish divergence or distribution phase.
The price appears to be stalling at the resistance area, aligning with a potential short setup.
🧾 Trade Setup Analysis:
Bias: Bearish (short position).
Entry: 104,855
Stop Loss: 104,807 (tight SL above resistance zone)
Take Profit: 93,159
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Roughly 1:10, which is aggressive and would require high conviction or confirmation
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) waiting for the level to hitBitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) measures Bitcoin’s market capitalisation as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap. It’s a key metric for understanding market sentiment, reflecting whether investors favor Bitcoin (BTC) over alt coins or vice versa. Technical analysis of BTC.D involves studying its chart patterns, indicators, and levels to gauge potential market trends, such as Bitcoin strength or alt coin season.
Chart for your reference
Bitcoin Technical Analysis: May 10, 2025# Current Price and Market Context
Price: Approximately $103,160, based on chart at posting time.
# Market Sentiment: Bullish, with 78% of technical indicators showing bullish trends and Fear & Greed Index at 73 (Greed).
Recent Performance: Bitcoin remains resilient, trading above key moving averages after a spring correction, with a strong bullish monthly trend. It hit an all-time high of $109,114.88 on January 20, 2025, but has since consolidated.
## My view: If weekly close exceeds $105,600, expect new all-time highs of $123,930–$127,482.
# Chart for reference
Bitcoin 4H Technical Analysis Bullish Continuation Toward $111kCurrent Price Context:
BTC/USD: $103,696.63
EMA (70): $96,211.07
Trend: Bullish 📈
---
Key Zones & Analysis:
1. RBR Zone (Demand Zone) 💙
Price Range: $95,435.39 – $97,986.81
This area is a bullish support zone where price previously consolidated before the breakout.
Potential entry/buy zone 📍
If price pulls back: Bounce expected here 🔁
🟦 RBR Zone:
🔵 97,986.81
🔵 96,211.07 (EMA support)
🔵 95,435.39
---
2. Resistance / Short-Term Supply 🟥
Small blue box above current price
May cause a minor rejection before a breakout
Keep an eye out for price action signals here 👀
🟥 Resistance:
🟥 ~103,700 – 105,000
---
3. Target Zone 🎯
Main Target Point: $111,415.32
Target Range: $111,281.04 – $112,959.60
If price breaks above resistance, this is the next major target
Take profit zone 💰
🎯 Target Area:
🔵 111,281.04
🔵 111,415.32
🔵 112,959.60
---
Possible Price Path:
1. 🔼 Break above current resistance
2. 🔁 Or pull back to RBR zone
3. 🎯 Final move toward target zone
(BTC/USD) 1H Trade Setup – Key Entry, Stop Loss & Dual TargetEntry Point: 95,431
Stop Loss: 95,264
Target Points:
Upside (Target 1): 100,674 (Potential gain: +5.36%)
Downside (Target 2): 86,614 (Potential loss: -7.57%)
Trade Setup:
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:0.7 (Not ideal; the reward is smaller than the potential loss)
Support Zones:
Highlighted in purple beneath the entry zone — this indicates a historically strong support area.
Resistance Zones:
The upper purple zone marks the next significant resistance around 100,000–100,795.
Technical Indicators:
50 EMA (Blue Line): Indicates mid-term trend support, currently holding price action.
Price Action: BTC appears to be retracing toward support after a bullish rally.
Interpretation:
The setup implies a long (buy) position with a very tight stop loss.
The price is nearing a support zone, and if it holds, there's potential for an upward move to the target at 100,674.
However, if price breaks below 95,264, a sharp drop to 86,614 is anticipated.
BTC/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical(BTC/USDT) analysis outlines a bullish outlook with key technical levels and scenarios. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Observations:
1. Trend Break and CHoCH (Change of Character):
The chart shows a clear break of the downtrend, confirmed by the CHoCH label — a common Smart Money Concept (SMC) signal indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
2. Key Zones Highlighted:
EVC-Buying Zone: Around 86,000 – 88,000 (aligned with EMA 200), marked as a strong accumulation area.
New Support Level: Around 92,000 – 93,000, potentially forming a bullish support after the recent rally.
Resistance Levels: Two major resistance zones near:
99,600 (intermediate resistance and target)
106,400 (final target)
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near 64, indicating strong momentum but not yet overbought — a potential sign of further upside.
4. Two Bullish Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Aggressive Bullish): BTC continues upward from the current level and breaks above resistance toward the 106,447 target.
Scenario 2 (Retracement Bullish): BTC dips to the new support or even into the buying zone (86–88k), then rebounds to reach the same targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Idea Summary:
The chart suggests bullish continuation, with potential pullbacks into strong demand zones. It supports both breakout and retracement entries, with targets at 99,632 and 106,447. If price holds above EMA 200 and RSI remains supportive, the upside thesis remains valid.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTC/USD 4H Chart Setup – Bullish Breakout Targeting $104K1. Trend Direction
⬆️ Uptrend Detected
* Price is forming higher highs and higher lows
* Trading inside a bullish channel
* Breakout potential above the top trendline.
2. Key Zones
🟦 Support Zone: $95,252.31
* Labeled as RBS + RBR ZONE
* Strong buy area → previous resistance turned support
* Perfect area to catch a bounce
📏 Support Line & Trendline
* Trendline keeps price supported along the climb
* Acts as a launch pad for the next move.
3. EMA 70 (📉 Red Line)
* Current value: $93,636.88
* Price is above EMA, showing strong bullish pressure
* EMA acts as dynamic support.
4. Trade Setup
🎯 Target Point: $104,000
🟦 Target Zone: $103,918.60 – $104,747.91
🔥 Entry Zone: $95,252.31 (marked blue box)
⚠️ Stop Loss: $94,091.28
* Positioned safely below support
* Good Risk/Reward Ratio.
5. Extra Cues
📅 Economic event icons near May 3–6 → Potential volatility ahead
⚡ Pullback in progress → May offer a buying opportunity.
Conclusion
🚀 Bullish Setup!
* Watch for a bounce from the blue demand zone
* Targeting $104K breakout
* Strong support + momentum = solid long opportunity.