Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Analysis: Bullish Breakout or Pullback? 🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 📈 Trendline Breakout: The descending trendline (white) has been broken, signaling a potential uptrend.
🔹 📍 Support & Resistance Zones:
🟢 Strong Support (~$80,349 - $82,000): 📉 If price drops, this zone could act as a bounce area. 🛑 Stop-loss is placed below.
🟡 Resistance (~$86,000 - $88,000): 🔄 Currently testing this level—either a breakout or a rejection could follow.
🔵 Next Target (~$94,000): 🚀 If Bitcoin pushes above resistance, this could be the next stop.
📊 Possible Price Action Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Path:
🟢 Breaks Above $86,000 → Targets $94,000 🚀
🔄 Small retest of support before continuing up 📈
❌ Bearish Path:
❌ Rejected at $86,000 → Pullback to $82,000 🔽
📉 If support fails, price may drop further
🎯 Conclusion:
🔥 Bullish Bias: 🟢 A breakout above $86,000 increases the chance of hitting $94,000+.
⚠️ Watch for retests! 🔄 A pullback before an upward move is possible.
🚀 Final Thought: If BTC **
Btcusdanalysis
BTC -15 min LONGTrendline:
There’s a clear ascending trendline acting as support.
Price is currently testing the trendline, which aligns with the Order Block zone.
Order Block:
The highlighted yellow zone marks a demand area (Order Block), suggesting a potential bounce if buyers step in.
Potential Setup:
Entry: Look for a bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer) within or just above the Order Block zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Place the SL slightly below the Order Block at around 84,050 to allow for minor wicks and volatility.
Target:
First target: Around 84,400 (recent high resistance level).
Second target: If momentum sustains, aim for 84,600 to 84,700 (next key resistance).
✅ Trade Plan:
Entry: ~84,150 (inside the Order Block)
SL: ~84,050
Target 1: ~84,400
Target 2: ~84,600
This setup follows the trendline and order block confluence, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
BTCUSDT EA MAN UPDATE > READ THE CHAOTAIN **BTCUSDT EA MAN Update – Analysis in English**
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### **BTC/USDT Analysis (15 min) – Bullish Trend in Sight**
#### **Key Observations:**
- **FVG Support Zone (Fair Value Gap):** The price has reacted positively to this zone and is showing signs of a bullish recovery.
- **EMA Confluence:** The price is currently below the 30 EMA (red), but a breakout above could confirm stronger bullish momentum.
- **Target Point:** The analysis anticipates a move towards **85,104 USDT**, possibly after a slight pullback to test the support zone.
If the price sustains above the 30 EMA and breaks through the minor resistance, the bullish target seems achievable.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup – March 15, 2025This is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trading setup on a 30-minute timeframe from TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
📌 Entry Price: 84,375
📌 Stop Loss: 85,500 (Red Zone - Risk Area 🚨)
📌 Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 83,429
TP2: 82,640
Final Target: 81,259
🔍 Analysis:
The trader is setting up a short position (expecting BTC to decline).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) seems favorable, as the target is much lower than the stop loss.
If BTC drops below 83,429, further declines toward 81,259 are expected.
If BTC breaks above 85,500, the trade is invalidated.
🛑 Conclusion:
A bearish trade setup looking for BTC to decline. 📉
Watch for confirmation of downward movement before entering.
BTC#21: Fear Index Rising. Will BTC Continue to Fall? 💎 💎 💎 BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC's decline has somewhat slowed down in recent days with a recovery from 78k. We will plan for BINANCE:BTCUSD next 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental Analysis:**
📊 The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 30 today, and the level is still fear
🚀 Cumulative net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs have dropped to their lowest level since January 2
📌 The market is still in a pessimistic phase about BTC's bullish outlook. The outflow of money from the market is not only due to BTC's decline but also due to concerns about an economic recession due to Trump's unstable policies.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: BTC's downtrend has shown signs of slowing down, but the main trend in frame D is still down. We will still need to wait for the price reaction in the resistance area to confirm.
🔹 **H4 frame**: The price trend is still down. The price reaction in the support area of 78K is not as strong as before, showing that market sentiment is still leaning towards the bears.
🔹 **H1 frame**: we are in a short-term correction. The target for this correction is the resistance area of 88-91K as you can see on the chart
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
As you can see from the multi-frame perspective, the main trend is still down, but we are in a short-term correction. We can choose to wait for the price to return to the resistance area to trade in line with the main trend or if the price has a slight recovery, set up BUY to seek profit. However, because the main trend is down, we need to stop loss fully and not be greedy when the price hits resistance because the price can return to the main trend at any time.
💪 **Wish you success in achieving profits!**
BTC AT CRITICAL LEVEL – BREAKOUT OR PULLBACK?🚀 BTC/USD – KEY BREAKOUT LEVELS AHEAD!
📌 Market Overview
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $84,593, rebounding strongly from support. The price is approaching a major resistance zone at $87,049 - $89,748, where a crucial reaction is expected.
Overall sentiment remains influenced by market psychology, institutional activity, and macroeconomic factors. BTC is still trading within a descending wedge pattern, signaling that the corrective phase is not over unless a breakout occurs.
📈 Technical Analysis – Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
🔺 $87,049 - $89,748: A strong supply zone; a breakout here could trigger a bullish move toward $92,000+.
🔺 $90,005 - $92,000: The next target if BTC successfully clears resistance.
🔻 Major Support Levels:
🔹 $82,000 - $80,000: A short-term support zone where buyers might step in.
🔹 $78,935 - $78,000: A critical support area—losing this level could lead to a sharp sell-off.
📌 Key Observations:
If BTC fails to break $87,000, a retracement toward $80,000 - $78,000 is likely.
A confirmed breakout above $87,000 - $89,000 could signal further upside momentum toward $92,000 or higher.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis – What’s Driving BTC?
🔥 1. Institutional Demand & Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains positive, but BTC needs stronger institutional buying to sustain further gains.
On-chain data indicates whales are accumulating BTC at lower price ranges, but resistance remains strong at $87,000.
Bitcoin ETFs are seeing steady inflows, providing fundamental support for long-term bullish momentum.
📊 2. Macroeconomic Factors & USD Impact
The DXY (US Dollar Index) is weakening, which is generally bullish for BTC.
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy remains a key factor—interest rates are expected to stay high until mid-2025, which could slow BTC’s momentum.
Recent CPI and PPI data indicate persistent inflation concerns in the US, boosting demand for BTC as a hedge.
💰 3. Whale Activity & Institutional Moves
On-chain data reveals significant BTC withdrawals from exchanges, signaling long-term accumulation.
If large buyers continue accumulating, BTC could push above $90,000.
However, if whales take profits near resistance, BTC may retrace toward $80,000 - $78,000 before another move higher.
⚡ Trading Scenarios
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above $87,000
If BTC closes above $87,000 with strong volume, expect a rally toward $90,000 - $92,000.
A further push could target $95,000 if bullish momentum sustains.
❌ Scenario 2: Rejection at $87,000 - $89,000
If BTC faces resistance, expect a pullback toward $82,000 - $80,000.
A deeper correction could test $78,000, where strong support lies.
📢 Conclusion – Watch for a Critical Breakout!
📌 BTC is testing a major resistance zone ($87,000 - $89,000)—a breakout could fuel further upside.
📌 Market sentiment remains positive, but a rejection could trigger a pullback toward $80,000 - $78,000.
📌 Monitor Fed policies, institutional activity, and on-chain trends for better trade positioning.
📌 Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a breakout or short position.
💬 Do you think BTC will break above $87,000, or is a deeper pullback coming? Share your views below! 🚀🔥
Bitcoin 1D Bear Market Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 82,249$
- Bitcoin has so far erased 24.98% from its All Time Highs and especially after Trump's presidency.
- Market Structure shift looks completely bearish, unless we flip above 96,000$ on a daily timeframe
- We have many inefficiencies left until 73,691$ and I have drawn those paths as well.
- The first path shows price filling the inefficiency and then taking out more liquidity to fall further and clear the fair value gap sitting at about 63,329$
- The second path shows we might not not fall below 73k after filling the inefficiency rather we start building a base before moving towards the upside.
- Market doesn't look good from a structure perspective be very selective when it comes to punching trades.
BitcoinBitcoin rising from $85,189 to $88,000 today implies an anticipated increase of about 3.3%. Given the current market conditions and recent price movements, such a rise is within the realm of possibility, though it would require a reversal of the current downward trend.
It's important to note that Bitcoin's price has experienced significant fluctuations recently. Following President Donald Trump's announcement of a U.S. strategic crypto reserve, Bitcoin's value surged by over 11%, reaching a high of $95,136. However, it remains below its record high of $109,135 achieved in January 2025.
BTC#20: BTC Analysis: Price SW In Triangle – Next Direction?💎 💎 💎As analyzed in the previous article, BINANCE:BTCUSDT gave a bad price reaction when touching the old resistance area of 95~96x. The current price is SW in the triangle. Let's analyze the next plan BINANCE:BTCUSD : 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Cryptocurrency Reserve that includes 200,000 BTC seized in criminal or civil cases. It will be held as a reserve asset and not sold. In addition, the Government will not purchase additional assets for the reserve.
🚀The Treasury and Commerce Departments may consider budget-neutral Bitcoin purchases. Agencies must provide full accounting books of digital assets to the Ministry of Finance. Regulatory crackdowns on crypto assets are ended
📌 From the above information, it can be seen that BTC and the top 5 coins in the market have been officially recognized as an asset. The legal framework will take time to complete. However, BTC will receive more attention and attention when the US government makes any purchase moves to hoard. This will lead to a huge demand for BTC in the near future.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: The price structure is still bearish, we have had a recovery phase to retest the resistance area and give a bad price reaction. It is entirely possible that BTC will go down to the support zone below
🔹 **H4 Frame**: We can see the price reaction more clearly. The continuous reaction of lower peaks in this area shows that the market sentiment is still dominated by the bears even though BTC has been recognized as a reserve asset.
🔹 **H1 frame**: The price is still SW in the triangle area in recent days. The price range is gradually narrowing as shown on the chart
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ At the present time, it is no longer suitable to wait for a BUY position. The price has tested the resistance area and reacted badly, so there is a high possibility that there will be a correction below the support area below at any time.
✅ The top priority is to trade in accordance with the main trend in the SELL direction. Although the information about the Reserve Fund has given a positive response, the government not buying more assets for the reserve is also a sign that short-term cash flow will be difficult to push into BTC, especially when tariff policies are giving negative reactions to the economy.
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
Bitcoin IN CME Gap after Fib circle encounter - what now ?
As mentioned in a previous post, PA got "hit" by the same Fib circle that rejected the 2021 Cycle ATH - the difference being that PA got THROUGH the Fib circle Before turning down and so now, we slide down the outside, in a position of strength to be able to move higher when wanted.
As can be seen on the Daily chart below
This has also brought PA into the CME Gap as expected
Currently, PA is recovering having filled only HALF the gap.
I fully expect PA to return and complete the fill at some point.
Also note the rising line of support that we are heading towards. If we carry on like this, we intersect with it on 3rd March, Next Wednesday at a price around 77400
We will have to wait and see what happens there but this is also where the 50 week SMA will be and so, as said previously, I am expecting PA to bounce strongly
But this is Bitcoin....We have to wait and see what happens and react accordingly.
A Drop Lower would take us out of the Mid 20% Drops we have been having this cycle as can be seen on main chart.
The Next line of rising support on this chart is around -40% and is around the 100 week SMA
I am not to sure we will go there..... But.................
Bitcoin PA to Fill CME Gap UPDATE - Extraordinary GamesLet me explain - A CME gap, or Bitcoin CME gap, is the difference between the trading price of Bitcoin futures contracts when the market closes on Friday and reopens on Sunday. This gap occurs because the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) is closed over the weekend while Bitcoin's spot market remains open, leading to price movements that are not reflected in the futures market until it reopens.
CME is old School Traditional Finance that uses Bitcoin. In fact, CME Group first started Bitcoin futures trading on December 18, 2017.
This was Way back when TradFi was putting Bitcoin down as a "Ponzi Scheme" and not many people had even heard of it.
And through its history, the CME Bitcoin Futures has often created Gaps for the reasons above. And these Gas ALWAYS Get filled. At Times, Rapidly as PA seems to bizarrely retreat to the Gap, Fill it and bounce back rapidly.
This can all be seen VERY clearly on the BTC1! ticker in TradingView. Go back through its history, you will see what I mean.
The Current Gap is, however, being fought over Very Hard by Bulls and Bears.
The CME Gap chart above shows you How Bulls have pulled the PA Back up just above the Gap.
Teasing the CME Bears
In my mind, I can see the Two Teams, New Age Finance wearing BITCOIN T-Shirts and the TradFi crew, wearing the "CME Gaps always get filled because we are Kings" T Shirts
The Daily chart shows us how the 200 day SMA acted as support just above the Gap
And the Weekly chart shows us how that 50 SMA ( red) just just out of reach on the other side of the Gap.
If we look at the Range from March - Sep 2024, we can see similar patterns.
The 2 rounded Tops , the slide down to a low.
We are currently seeing a bounce back, off the TOP of the CME Gap....PA can smell that gap, the Gap can smell BTC PA, just cannot touch it
This bounce may or may not reach the mid 90K before turning down again but it will turn down again, I am sure of that. PA is not ready to reach for New ATH
But See that Long wick down in summer 2024 ? This is what may happen to fill the Gap.
Ultimate though, We are waiting for the Weekly MACD to reach Neutral. THIS is what gives PA strength to reach higher, to a new ATH.
The CME would like that Gap filled BEFORE PA pushes up and out of Range
Because of this sharp drop in price recently, and if it continues, MACD could reach neutral by End of April ! and not June as previously
But to sustain this angle of decrease, PA would have to go as low as 55K, reaching the Long Term rising support ( Dotted line of the weekly chart. This is also where the 100 SMA ( Blue) Sits
I do not think that will happen but if PA Drops below 70K, I will begin to reevaluate my positions.
So, I expect Pa to bounce around for a while, as in the previous Range in 2024
For now, we see the Bulls and Bears Teasing each other over this CME Gap.
Who will win this battle. Will the BTC Bulls submit and allow the gap to be filled ?
I hope so, I have a buy order at 78200 ;-)
It maybe one of the last chances to buy BTC that cheap
Exciting days ahead
COME ON BTC BULLS>...
Bitcoin Daily just landed on the 200 SMA - what now ?Many people are expecting Bitcoin to Bounce off the 200 day SMA ( yellow & Arrowed)
But I just want to point out what happened last time we tanged for a long time.
We did NOT bounce of it untill PA was ready to
In fact, er fell below numerous times.
So, SORRY, don;t get your hopes up BUT we can watch and react.......
It may bounce but I doubt for long.....
Time will tell
BITCOIN TESTING $87K - FALSE OR TRUE BREAKDOWN?Symbol - BTCUSD
CMP 87100
BTCUSD has entered a risk zone, exhibiting a breakdown of the key support level. The market's attention is now on the bulls and their ability to maintain their defense. On the daily and weekly timeframes, the price is in a phase of global consolidation following a period of significant upward movement. The focus remains on the $90-91K range, a strong support area that aligns with the broader trend. Currently, a breakdown of support appears to be unfolding.
On the local timeframes (H1 - H4), the price is testing the support of the local channel, as well as the risk zone at 87,000. If the bulls are able to sustain their defense above 86,400 level, Bitcoin could potentially strengthen. In this scenario, the primary target would be $91-92K
Key support levels: 86,400, 85,530
Key resistance levels: 89,400, 91,600
Historically, the most significant price movements tend to occur after a false breakdown. However, the critical factor here is whether the breakout is genuine or false. In this case, confirmation is required — specifically, price consolidation above the key zones and levels.
Regarding my previous BTCUSD analysis, I had projected a decline to the $90K risk zone while Bitcoin was trading around $96-97K at that time. After some consolidation, the analysis proved accurate as Bitcoin dropped to the $90K range.
I believe this recent sell-off has disrupted the previous bullish structure, and a bearish structure is now beginning to take shape. I expect a retracement to the $91-92K range before the downtrend continues.
Is Bitcoins Range Box maybe hiding a bearish secret ? CAUTION ?
I have been talking about his range box that PA is in for a while and, at the same time, referenceing the previous 2 times PA has done this this Cycle.
But I also pointed out recently how this range is slightly different and possibly in a bearish way..
And I just found this on a 4 hour chart, which if true, could point towards PA taking a sudden drop to bottom of Range or Lower.
As you can see, PA has ranged across and just got rejected off the Upper trendline of a descending channel. The Fib Retracements levels seem to offer support
There is a vertical line on 1st April to give you a marlker to work on as main chart is a daily and this chart is 4 hour.
PA could continue to range horizontalyt till around 3rd March before hitting trend line again.
If PA tries to break out, it will hit it earlier.
In my head, I always have that Still open CME Gap at 77K - 82K
This is a perfect opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a discount if we get down there.
I do have an open SPOT BUY order at 78600 just in case. I would not expect PA to remain down there for very long, so I have placed my order above what I consider to be the possible Low.
None of this may happen BUT I find it prudent to be aware of all possibilities.