Buy!
Risk Management trade in Reliance.Hi there!
Let's talk about this small trade in Reliance.
Reliance CMP:- 2524.05
-->From 30th sep to 1st Dec Reliance has formed HH and HL and was in Uptrend .
-->Since then Price is in correction and approached 0.618 Fib level of that up wave.
What's in my mind?
-->If we observe the price action there is an untested demand zone at this 0.618 Fib area.
-->If we observe the upper 2 arrows those mentioned candles and and their volumes saying that there was some distribution happened may be reason for this correction
-->If we observe the bottom arrow that mentioned red candle with high volume is a support breakdow n and may be the stop losses of previous long trades
What's my point?
-->Even if price continues to move down I'm expecting a pull back before that and this Idea is actually trading that pull back.
-->If my analysis goes wrong and price breaches this demand area I will exit with my stop loss and enter at next demand areas with new confirmations.
Entry setup:
Enter Long: 2480
Stop Loss : 2425 (70 rupees per share and one can plan their risk accordingly)
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
***If you like my analysis let me know by giving boost or a comment.
I will be updating.
Nifty Buying at Demand areaAggressive entry model because we will enter without confirmation.
pros: Small Stop loss and High reward
Cons: Does not need to respect the demand area and it may break it
Managing the trade:
If the trade goes in our way
*Exit half Quantity @1:1 Risk/Reward Target and Shift to SL to cost
*Exit Half of the remaining with 1:1.5 or 1:2 Risk/Reward (by looking at momentum) and trail the SL.
*Exit remaining with trailing Stop loss.
*SECURING THE TRADE AND PROTECTING THE CAPITAL SHOULD BE YOUR FIRST PRIORITY.
*NOT A SUGGESTION VIEWS ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
***If you like my analysis let me know by giving boost or a comment.
I will be updating.
ONGC: Channel trade potentialONGC
- This is a follow up on my previous idea when stock was trading at 140 odd levels
Chart set up
- The stock seems to have given a fresh breakout on hourly charts from yellow channel channel
- 21 hour EMA and 63 hour EMA around 148 / 146 respectively
Target potential for the stock 156-158.50
Use the 21 hour or 63 hour EMA as important Support level to watch out for
Risk Profile
The set up provides a risk::reward ratio of 1::3
Trust the idea helps in planning your trade.
Take care & safe trading..!!!
To trade with me, hit the Like button and Follow
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Tata Steel: Technical Analysis at it's very best...!!! 🙂🙂I have been trading Tata Steel since October 2022 and In the month of November this is what was posted for Tata Steel
The stock was trading at 104.75
- Target given was 113 / 118 / 122
- also had suggested the importance of Green Line acting as support ( Click on the above chart for detailed analysis of November 2022)
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You can see now that Tata Steel has respected the levels identified with the help of Technical Analysis to perfection
- green line provided the support
- yellow zone acted as resistance for a good time
- once above that, today it has given a big breakout trading 6% up for the day at 119.45
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Our expectation was Tata Steel to hit our targets around mid December. It has achieved it in 1st week of January 2023. Not bad I guess....
In this difficult market, the idea has provided a nice 15% profit in little less than 2 months.
Fixed Deposits will take 2 years to give that kind of returns.
What more do you want from Technical Analysis. I sincerely hope the idea has helped you guys.
If bought earlier, consider to book partial profits and Trail SL to 116. Book full profits as we get closer to red Line of Resistance.
Let me know if you find the analysis and insights helpful.
Do hit the Like button (itna haq toh banta hai 🙂) and Follow for more ideas like these...!!!
Take care & happy trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Tata Steel: Showing signs of strengthTata Steel
In my previous take I had suggested a Call short position given the set up at that time being bearish. That strategy played out well...
Now the stock is at same level, however, In the current set up,
- the stock is trading above 21 day EMA and 63 day EMA
- the stock has tested the time and so far is managing to stay above the May 2022 low
The stock is showing signs of strength.
- Once above 252 day EMA which is currently around 107, the stock can potentially move towards 113 / 118 / 122 (Time looks ripe for the stock to retest the red line of Resistance
Pattern gets invalidated if closing below the green line on weekly closing basis or for 3 consecutive days.
Take care & safe trading..!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
IOC: Retest of breakout done. Target 84-85 IOC
Chart setup
- Level of 73 acted as resistance between July 2022-Sept 2022
- breakout was observed in late November 2022
After a month the stock has again come back to retest 73 odd levels
If the level is with held the stock can look to propel towards 84-85 odd levels and sequentially towards 90 odd levels
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My strategy
Consider buying Jan expiry 75 Call option between 1.6-2.1
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Understanding reward potential and Risk profile
Any upside above 77 is the profit
On the downside max downside at cmp is of 1.9 points per lot
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Do let me know if you find the analysis and insights helpful.
To trade with me, Do Like and Follow for getting more trading ideas like these...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Gail: Triangle Breakout Gail India
Return potential - 8-10% / 15-16.5%
Risk: 3-6%
Risk::Reward ratio is 1::3 / 1::2.5
- Rest Every thing mentioned in the chart. Use it to plan your trade accordingly...!!!
Do let me know if you find the analysis and insights helpful.
Like and Follow for more ideas like these...!!!
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
Nifty: At 50 day EMA and my trading viewNifty
In my last take on Nifty futures when it was at 18687, I had given a target of 18258.
I exited from the trade in Futures very early ( I too am human and can get scared sometimes) and then went with some Call short position for better risk management.
If you see the Nifty Futures chart now...
Nifty futures made a low of 18231 / 18223 and so far has managed to stay above 18258 odd levels on closing basis. (400 plus points... Not bad to get the levels right at least from analysis angle)
Coming to Nifty Spot chart we see 50 day EMA at 18191 and Nifty managed to stay a tad above so still there is hope for the Bulls for a late Santa Claus rally.
Put Call Ratio is at 0.61
Given the set up, and data parameters, I would not consider any short positions for now.
My trading setup:
I would consider taking a bullish stance for the next 1 - 2 week with 18114 / 18080 in Nifty spot as my SL.
If I see things favorable (on the downside Nifty should not breach 18114 -18080 levels), I would consider selling Put options as it provide some margin of safety.
On the upper side if Nifty manages to take out 18244-18262) on hourly chart, I might consider some aggressive bets on the long side as well with 50 day EMA or 18178 as my SL .
Pharma sector showed some promise today and could be the dark horse going forward. Keep a watch on the sector.
Do let me know if you find the analysis and insights helpful.
Like and Follow for more ideas like these...!!!
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be
HPCL: A breakout candidateChart set up
- We are looking at weekly chart of HPCL
- after facing downward pressure from Line of resistance 4 times, it finally gave a breakout on the 5th occasion
- currently it is back retesting the breakout
- stock has support at 224 / 216 / 204 odd levels
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Trading plan
Target for the given set up
Short term - 259
Medium term - 296 / 318 (28 / 38% ROI potential)
Keep SL at
for extreme short term traders 223
for short term traders 216
for medium term perspective -203
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Understanding reward potential and risk profile
At minimum we are looking at 13% reward potential against a loss risk of 3-6%
( Risk :: Reward ratio 1::2)
At the highest target level we are looking at a reward potential of approximately 38% against a loss risk of 12%
(Risk:: Reward ratio 1::3)
______________________________________________________________________________________________________
Do let me know if you find the analysis and insights helpful.
Like and Follow for more ideas like these...!!!
Take care & safe trading...!!!
Disclaimer
- The view expressed here is my personal view
- Past performance is not a guarantee for future predictions
- I have been wrong in the past and can be wrong again in future too
- Use this for educational purpose
- Any decision you take, you need to take responsibility for the same
- It's your hard earned money. Treat it wisely
- Trade / Invest keeping in mind your trading style, goals and objectives, time horizon & risk tolerance
- if trading in F&O, understand that F&O trading involves risk
- Do take proper risk management measures
- Do your own analysis and consult your financial adviser if need be