Gold in Bears' ControlI am watching the recovery in gold, currently trading around $2,586/oz. With the USD rising sharply after President-elect Donald Trump's victory and expectations of higher inflation, the Fed is likely to maintain high interest rates. This is creating significant pressure, making it difficult for gold to continue to break above the 34-EMA and 89-EMA.
In addition, comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell about not being in a hurry to cut interest rates further reinforced the USD's bullish momentum and reduced the appeal of gold. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between Ukraine and Russia remain a slight support factor for the precious metal's safe-haven status.
Personal view
Key resistance: $2,600–$2,625, which the price needs to break above to generate upside momentum.
Potential support: $2,550, which is an important area I will wait to test.
If the price fails to surpass $2,600, I believe there is a high possibility of a further decline to $2,550, consistent with the current market scenario. I will prioritize a short-term selling strategy in the resistance zone.
Buy-sell
Price compression signals a strong trendCurrently, EUR/USD is trading around 1.0540, in a clear price compression zone. The 34 and 89 EMAs still show that the downtrend is dominant. The price remaining below these EMAs further reinforces the selling pressure in the market.
Technical analysis:
Nearby resistance: 1.0560 - the 34 EMA zone, where the price may face strong selling pressure if approached.
Nearby support: 1.0520 - this is an important support level, if broken, it will trigger a stronger downtrend.
Price pattern: The price is forming a symmetrical triangle structure, suggesting a possible breakout in the near future.
Personal view:
I see the market waiting for a decisive breakout. If it breaks below 1.0520, the next downside target will be 1.0480. Conversely, if the price breaks above 1.0560, it is likely to test 1.0600. However, with the downward pressure from the strong USD, I am leaning towards the bearish scenario.
Trading Strategy:
Sell: On a break below 1.0520, target 1.0480.
Buy: On a break above 1.0560, target 1.0600.
GBP/USD Faces Strong Selling, Downtrend May ContinueLooking at the 4-hour chart of GBP/USD, I notice that the pair is in a clear downtrend, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both sloping down, indicating strong selling pressure. The current price is approaching the bearish support line below the 1.2740 area.
The psychological resistance zone around 1.2800 – 1.2850 has been tested several times but failed to break above. This shows that the selling pressure is still dominant and is likely to push the price further down if there are no signs of strong support.
My trading plan is to wait for a small correction to the resistance zone of 1.2800. If the selling pressure persists in this area, I will consider entering a short position with the target of approaching the lower support zone around 1.2700 or lower. Conversely, if price breaks and goes above 1.2850, I will re-evaluate my strategy.
Next Target Fibonacci ExtensionLooking at the USD/JPY 4-hour chart, I see that the uptrend remains quite strong, with the price trading above both the 34 EMA and the 89 EMA, suggesting that the bullish momentum continues to hold. Based on the Fibonacci extension analysis, I am particularly interested in the 1.618 level around 157.00, which could be the next key resistance.
I expect a short-term correction before continuing the uptrend towards this target. If the price falls towards the 0.618 Fibonacci support near 154.00, this would be an ideal opportunity to look for a long entry. Conversely, if the price breaks above 157.00, the uptrend could be further reinforced, while if the momentum weakens, the price could trade sideways around the EMAs.
EUR/USD Under Pressure, Wedge Signals More WeaknessLooking at the EUR/USD 4-hour chart, I see the pair forming a falling wedge pattern, signaling a possible continuation of the downtrend. With both the 34 and 89 EMAs above the price and sloping down, this suggests that selling pressure is still dominant.
In the short term, a key support level could be found around 1.0500. If EUR/USD breaks this support level, it is likely to continue falling further, aiming for further targets in the 1.0400 area. Conversely, if there is a bounce from the bottom of the wedge, the pair could retest the resistance at the top of the wedge pattern.
Gold prices fall sharply due to pressure from USD World gold prices are under downward pressure in the context of a stronger USD and rising US bond yields. The US CPI index in October increased by 0.2%, pushing inflation in the year to 2.6% as expected. This, along with the possibility of new taxes from the administration of President-elect Donald Trump, is making investors believe that the FED may pause interest rate cuts, leading to gold prices falling for four consecutive sessions.
On the morning of November 14, the world gold price fell to 2,573 USD/ounce, down 46 USD from the previous session's high of 2,619 USD/ounce.
On the daily chart, the gold price has broken the uptrend channel and is currently continuing to decline. The next support levels are at 2,492 USD and 2,444 USD/ounce. If the price holds above this support level, a short-term recovery may occur. However, if the price continues to break these levels, the downtrend is likely to continue.
Gold Hits 7-Week Low Amid Rising Yields and Dollar PressureGold prices are under pressure as the US dollar strengthens, US Treasury yields rise to 4.5%, and demand for gold from China declines. In the recent trading session, gold prices fluctuated sharply, falling to a 7-week low of $2,599/ounce. Market sentiment is gradually losing confidence in gold, with many investors selling off to preserve capital.
In addition, US stocks also weakened as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 both fell, adding more pressure to gold. If factors such as the US dollar do not decrease and gold demand does not recover, the possibility of gold prices continuing to decline is still very high in the short term.
In the short term, gold prices are likely to continue to be under downward pressure if the US dollar maintains its strength and US bond yields remain high. The nearest important support level could be the $2,580/ounce area. If the price breaks this level, the downtrend could extend to lower levels, towards the $2,550 area. Conversely, if there is significant buying pressure, gold could recover slightly, but the possibility of maintaining a strong upward momentum is low as economic factors remain unfavorable for this precious metal.
EUR/USD: Double Top Pattern Signals Strong Bearish MomentumLooking at the current EUR/USD chart, I see that a double top pattern has formed, marking a strong reversal in the trend. After hitting the resistance zone at 1.1200, the price rejected that high and dropped to the support zone around 1.0700. Currently, the pair is within this support zone, but there are signs of further downside.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are both pointing down, reflecting that the downtrend is still dominant in the medium and long term. This shows that selling pressure is very strong and the price is likely to continue to correct further down.
If the support zone at 1.0700 is completely broken, my next target is expected to be around 1.0500. This is an important psychological support zone, and if it continues to fail, selling pressure will push the price down even lower. In the short term, I will wait to see if the price recovers slightly, but the main strategy is still to wait to sell when the price breaks the support levels.
EUR/USD Potential Support Break in Descending Triangle PatternBased on the current EUR/USD chart, I notice that the pair is moving within a descending triangle pattern, a potential sign of a continuation of the downtrend. This is reinforced by the position of the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, both of which are sloping down and above the current price. This bearish bias suggests that selling pressure is overwhelming the market.
With EUR/USD continuing to decline within the triangle, I believe that there is a possibility that the price will break the support at the lower edge of the triangle, especially since the pair has failed to break above the 34 EMA. The next important support level could be around 1.0600. If it breaks, EUR/USD is likely to continue to decline further.
Gold Faces Sharp Downward Pressure as USD, Stocks Sink CapitalLooking at the recent gold price chart, I noticed that the downward trend of gold is becoming clearer. Currently, gold is trading around 2,622 USD/ounce, marking a significant decline, especially when the USD Index rose to 105.5 points. With the strength of the USD reaching its highest level in more than 4 months, gold prices have been under great pressure from the greenback.
Another important factor is the impact from the energy and stock markets. Crude oil prices fell to 68 USD/barrel, combined with the recovery of US stocks, creating momentum for capital flows into assets with more attractive returns, reducing the attractiveness of gold.
In addition, demand from China also contributed to increasing pressure on gold prices. The Chinese central bank has suspended gold purchases for six consecutive months, reducing demand. As a result, investors quickly took profits and sold gold, contributing to this sharp decline.
In the short term, I believe the next support level for gold could be around $2,600/ounce. However, given current macroeconomic factors and pressure from other markets, gold is likely to continue to struggle to maintain its growth momentum.
GBP/USD Facing Bearish Pressure, Testing Key SupportLooking at the GBP/USD chart, I see that the pair is in a downtrend and is facing a strong resistance zone around 1.2920. The price has formed a descending structure with lower highs and lower lows, along with moving below the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating that the bearish momentum is still strong.
The key support zone is currently located in the range of 1.2880–1.2900, which could act as a buffer in the short term. If the price breaks this zone, GBP/USD could continue its downward trend, with the nearest target at 1.2800.
Conversely, if this support zone holds and buying pressure appears, I will be watching for a possible recovery to the 1.2950 resistance zone. However, I still favor the bearish scenario due to pressure from the larger trend and weakening bullish momentum.
USD/JPY Faces Resistance, Upcoming Trend May Correct DownLooking at the USD/JPY chart, I notice that the pair is currently approaching a strong resistance zone near 154.0. The price has reached this zone and is showing signs of turning around, which could signal a weakening of the current bullish momentum. Furthermore, both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA are below the price, indicating that the uptrend is still in place, but it seems to be starting to weaken as it meets resistance.
Given the current situation, I am looking at a short-term downside correction in USD/JPY. If the pair fails to break above the resistance at 154.0 and continues to be under selling pressure, we could see the price fall to the support zone around 153.0 or lower. This is the area that I will be looking at for buying opportunities if the price shows signs of recovery.
USD/JPY Double Top Pattern PredictionFrom my observation on the USD/JPY chart, there are signs that the pair may be forming a double top pattern. The current key top is around 156.0 – this is a strong resistance level that the price has reached twice without being able to break out. This is a warning sign for a possible reversal, especially when buying pressure starts to wane.
With the double top pattern, if the price drops and breaks through the support area near 152.0, I think there is a high chance that the pattern will be confirmed. In this scenario, the downtrend could continue, and the price could head towards the lower support area around 151.0. That would be a point where I would consider entering a short position if the downtrend is confirmed.
Gold Faces Strong Selling Pressure, Heading Towards Key SupportGold is facing strong selling pressure below a descending trendline defined by lower highs. All three approaches to this trendline were rejected, indicating strong short-term selling pressure.
With the current selling pressure, I think there is a high possibility that the price will continue its downtrend and head towards a strong support zone around $2,650/ounce. If this support zone is broken, the downtrend could push the price further down, towards $2,620 or even lower.
EUR/USD Bearish Pressure, Testing SupportLooking at the current EUR/USD chart, I see that the pair is facing some pretty clear bearish pressure. After a sharp decline, the price has reached the support zone around 1.0700 and is currently showing signs of a slight recovery. However, it is worth noting that the resistance zone near 1.0800 - 1.0820 above, combined with the 34 and 89 EMAs, is likely to create strong selling pressure for EUR/USD.
If the price fails to overcome this resistance level and shows signs of weakness, I expect a new bearish wave to form, pulling EUR/USD back down to the support zone at 1.0700 and possibly even lower to 1.0580. This is the next important support zone that I will be watching closely.
In the current situation, my trading strategy will be to wait for price reaction at the resistance zone of 1.0800 - 1.0820. If price rejection signals appear, I will consider short-term sell orders with the nearest target at 1.0700 and a potential further target at 1.0580.
Gold Price Tests Upward Channel SupportLooking at the current gold price chart, I see that the price is in a stable upward channel, with support near the 34-day EMA and the lower trend line. Gold is currently correcting near the lower boundary of the channel around $2,670, and this could be a key point to watch to see if the price bounces.
If the price holds and recovers from this area, I think the next target would be the $2,800 area at the upper boundary of the channel.
GBP/USD Waiting for Breakout in Downward ChannelGBP/USD is currently moving within a downward channel with resistance around 1.3000 and support at 1.2850. If the price breaks the upper channel boundary, an uptrend could be formed, with the target of reaching higher highs. Conversely, if the support at the lower boundary is broken, the downtrend could resume, pushing the price lower. The EMAs (34 and 89) are sloping downwards, indicating weak bullish momentum. Traders should keep a close eye on the channel boundaries to determine the next move.
Gold Price Plunges Under Pressure From Rising USD and US StocksThe current chart shows that gold prices are under great pressure as the USD Index surged to 105.12, making the USD stronger. This has reduced the attractiveness of gold to international investors. In addition, optimism about the US economic outlook under President Donald Trump and expectations that the FED will pause interest rate cuts have also contributed to the decline in gold prices.
The next important support level is at the $2,620/ounce area, a price level that has previously produced a rebound. If the price falls to this level, this could be the point where traders wait to see if there is enough buying pressure to create a temporary recovery. However, if the price breaks the $2,620 level, the price is likely to continue to fall further, towards lower support levels such as $2,600 or $2,580/ounce.
Given the current economic factors and the growth outlook of the USD, gold may continue to be under pressure in the coming time, especially when the demand for holding USD is still increasing.
EUR/USD Breaks Upward ChannelBased on the current chart of EUR/USD, the price has broken the upward channel and is in a downward correction trend. With the current selling pressure, EUR/USD is likely to continue falling towards the support zone around 1.0700 – 1.0720. If the price continues to be under pressure and fails to overcome the resistance at 1.0800, a deeper decline scenario is very likely.
Continued Bullishness in Ascending Channel PatternThe USD/JPY chart is currently tracking a clear bullish channel, with repeated bounces after each minor correction. Having just touched the lower boundary of the channel, the pair has shown signs of recovery, breaking above the nearest resistance level. This makes me confident in the possibility of a continuation of the bullish momentum, especially since the EMAs (34 and 89) are also starting to show an upward crossover, supporting the uptrend.
The Growing Attraction in a Volatile WorldThe gold price chart shows a clear upward trend since the beginning of September, with the EMA 34 and EMA 89 both signaling a strong upward momentum. The weakening of the USD, along with global economic stimulus measures and political tensions, have pushed gold prices higher.
Especially in the context of major central banks around the world - from the US to Europe, and the People's Bank of China - all spreading monetary support packages like spring rain, further fueling the desire to invest in gold. Gold remains a safe haven and attractive asset in the current unstable context. Investors need to closely monitor market developments to seize opportunities and adjust strategies promptly.
EMAs Support Bullish MomentumEUR/USD is showing signs of recovery, with the price trading near the resistance at 1.1200. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA have both undergone a crossover phase, which is usually a positive signal, suggesting that the bullish momentum could continue. The current chart shows the pair breaking out from lower levels, heading towards the resistance levels above.
Based on the current EUR/USD chart and the bounce from recent support levels, the prediction is that the pair could continue to rise in the short term. The crossover of the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, coupled with the price currently testing the resistance zone around 1.1200, suggests that the bullish momentum could continue. If the price successfully breaks above 1.1200, the next target could be the 1.1250 area.