Gold at Key Support — Will XAUUSD Bounce From 3900 - 3895?Gold is testing a crucial demand zone at 3900–3895, where buyers have previously stepped in.
If this level continues to hold, we could see a bullish intraday rebound play out.
📊 Trade Setup
Buy Zone: 3900 – 3895
Stop Loss: 3878
Target 1: 3924
Target 2: 3936
💡 Technical Outlook
Price action is hinting at renewed buying pressure around 3900, with candles showing wicks and slowing momentum on the downside.
This could indicate that bulls are defending this key zone, setting up for a short-term bounce toward the 3920–3935 area.
Watch for:
A bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick near 3895
Increasing volume confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–H1)
🧭 Bias
✅ Expecting a bullish bounce from the 3900–3895 zone
❌ Invalidated if price closes below 3878
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
Buygold
Gold Forecast — Market Turning BullishGold (XAU/USD) maintains a strong long-term bullish trend, supported by rising investor demand and global macroeconomic stability. After completing a healthy correction phase, the market is showing renewed strength, indicating a potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
Current price action reflects accumulation behavior among institutional traders, signaling confidence in gold’s long-term value growth. The consistent pattern of higher lows and steady momentum suggests that buyers are firmly in control, preparing for another upward expansion cycle.
From a fundamental perspective, global inflation concerns, a weaker U.S. dollar, and geopolitical tensions continue to support gold prices. Investors are increasingly seeking protection in safe-haven assets, which further strengthens gold’s long-term position in the market.
Technical structure and sentiment both align with a buy-side outlook, highlighting the potential for gold to extend gains as liquidity continues to build in the current price zones.
In summary, gold remains in a strong buying phase, with market data, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators all favoring sustained upward momentum.
Keywords: Gold forecast, XAU/USD analysis, gold long-term trend, gold price outlook, bullish gold market, gold accumulation phase, forex gold trading, gold price prediction 2025.
Pause for the Gold Rally#Gold Technical Analysis Report - USD
**Chart Analysis: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 3M**
**Current Price Level:** $2,618 USD
Key Observations:
Gold is currently testing a critical resistance level at 4380.399, which aligns with major Fibonacci extension levels identified on yearly and quarterly charts. The price action shows a consolidation phase after the recent rally, with the market displaying indecision around this significant technical barrier.
Technical Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement structure reveals multiple support zones below the current resistance. Should price face rejection at 4380.399, technical analysis suggests potential pullback zones at 3743, 3403, and 3166 based on the proportional PA (Price Action) alignment on higher timeframe charts.
Market Sentiment:
The long-term uptrend remains intact, with the price structure maintaining higher lows and higher highs from the 1999-2026 timeframe. Current momentum appears to be consolidating before the next directional move, typical of markets approaching significant resistance levels.
Trading Considerations:
Traders should monitor how price responds at the 4380.399 resistance. A break above this level could signal continuation toward 5410 (2.618 Fibonacci extension). Conversely, a rejection could lead to a retest of the identified support zones. Risk management is essential given the proximity to resistance and current consolidation phase.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
maintain uptrend, buy gold 3350Plan XAU day: 04 August 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) retain a subdued tone during the first half of the European session on Monday, although the absence of sustained selling pressure keeps the metal within reach of the one-week high recorded earlier in the day. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week with a modest recovery, partially retracing Friday’s decline triggered by softer-than-expected US employment data, supported in part by a rebound in US Treasury yields. This recovery exerts downward pressure on demand for the precious metal.
Nevertheless, the USD's upside remains limited amid increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume interest rate cuts as early as September. This anticipation continues to provide support for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, a broadly cautious market mood—driven by persistent trade uncertainties and heightened geopolitical tensions—reinforces the appeal of Gold as a safe-haven asset and advises restraint among bearish market participants
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulated price zone around 3350 - 3364, buying power maintained. Gold buying point following the uptrend line today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Support zone point: 3350 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
price increase, gold price towards 3385Plan XAU day: 14 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
An already fragile global risk sentiment has deteriorated further in response to renewed tariff threats from US President Donald Trump targeting two of the country’s major trade partners—Mexico and the European Union. In separate letters sent on Saturday to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, President Trump announced the potential for new tariffs, adding to more than 20 similar notices issued since last Monday.
This latest development has dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, as reflected in the broadly weaker tone across global equity markets, and may continue to provide support for safe-haven assets such as gold. However, mixed signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s near-term interest rate trajectory are preventing XAU/USD bulls from making aggressive moves or extending the recent rally to multi-week highs
personal opinion:!!!
Trade tensions between two major regions: the US and the EU, have made gold prices positive again, and market concerns that DXY and EURO will restrain each other's value.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3385 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price stabilizes above 3300Plan XAU day: 10 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have pared a portion of their modest intraday gains but continue to maintain a positive bias for the second consecutive day, trading around the $3,320 level during the early European session on Thursday. Ongoing uncertainties surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their potential implications for the global economy are keeping investors cautious. In addition, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates later this year continue to lend support to the non-yielding precious metal.
Meanwhile, the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting released on Wednesday indicated limited support for a potential rate cut as early as this month. This has provided a boost to the US Dollar (USD), which—alongside a broadly positive tone in equity markets—is capping the upside potential for gold as a safe-haven asset. As such, it would be prudent to await confirmation through sustained buying interest before anticipating further gains, as market participants turn their attention to upcoming US Weekly Jobless Claims data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials for near-term trading cues
personal opinion:!!!
Market accumulates, sideways above 3300 waiting for US unemployment news today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
support zone point: 3307 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
NF news and gold buying pressurePlan XAU day: 03 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are struggling to build on a modest intraday rebound from the $3,340 area, holding relatively steady near the upper boundary of the weekly range during the first half of the European session. Market participants appear cautious, opting to await the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) potential rate-cut trajectory. This data is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping near-term demand for the US Dollar (USD) and could provide significant directional impetus for the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Weak DXY is still the driving force for gold price to increase and recover around 3400, along with NF news not very positive for USD
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3395 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price recovered break 3340, price increasedPlan XAU day: 02 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold Demand in China Expected to Rise Further
"Gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated between modest gains and slight losses during the first half of the European session on Wednesday, remaining below the one-week high reached the previous day. The US Dollar has regained some positive momentum, appearing to break a seven-day losing streak that had brought it to its lowest level since February 2022. This renewed strength in the greenback is acting as a headwind for the precious metal. Additionally, a broadly positive risk sentiment in the market is seen as another factor limiting the upside potential for the safe-haven asset.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price continues to recover after breaking the 3340 price zone, buying power maintained before ADP-NF news today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3366 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Policy instability, DXY falls sharply, gold recoversPlan XAU day: 01 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold Demand in China Expected to Rise Further
"In the first quarter of the year, China recorded a net export of 36 tons of gold to Hong Kong, reflecting a growing domestic demand for gold despite elevated prices. The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policy has likely been a significant contributing factor. As a result, gold has seen increased appeal among Chinese investors as both an investment asset and a safe-haven store of value. In contrast, demand for gold jewellery likely remained subdued due to persistently high prices."
"China aims to expand its exploitable gold reserves by 5 to 10 percent by 2027, potentially in response to rising domestic demand, according to a statement from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released early last week. The country also plans to boost gold production by more than 5 percent over the next two years. While China is already the world’s largest gold producer, it continues to rely on imports to satisfy internal demand.
personal opinion:!!!
Trump administration's policy instability caused the dollar to lose value and gold to fall sharply. Gold is on the way to recovery, returning to the price range of 3366.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3366 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Bears up 3366 , waiting for GDP ! XAUUSDPlan XAU day: 26 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers for the second consecutive day on Thursday and maintains its positive momentum during the first half of the European session. The US Dollar (USD) continues to face strong selling pressure amid reports that US President Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, raising concerns about the central bank’s future independence. Additionally, growing expectations that the Fed may resume its rate-cutting cycle as early as July have pushed the USD to a more than three-year low, which supports demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
European session buying pressure helped gold price successfully break 3340, continuing the upward trend 3366
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price short growth: price zone 3345Plan XAU day: 25 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
US President Donald Trump criticized both Israel and Iran for violating a full ceasefire agreement shortly after it was announced. Moreover, media reports indicated that the recent US airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities likely did not destroy the core components but only delayed Tehran’s program by a few months. Trump, however, reiterated that Iran’s nuclear sites were completely destroyed.
Nonetheless, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran appears to be holding for now, with both sides declaring victory in the conflict and warning that they are prepared to resume hostilities if attacked. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play and is likely to continue supporting the safe-haven appeal of Gold ahead of key US macroeconomic data releases later in the week.
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulation price zone: 3300 - 3335 is being maintained in the Asian and European sessions. Pay attention to selling pressure in the liquidity zone 3345.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3345; 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Fibonacci extension, sell gold 3375Plan XAU day: 23 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains its bearish tone during the first half of the European session, although it lacks strong momentum due to mixed fundamental signals. The US attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities on Sunday increases the risk of a wider conflict in the Middle East and reinforces the US Dollar's (USD) position as the global reserve currency. In addition, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish stance is seen as another factor supporting the greenback and putting downward pressure on the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price recovered and continued to accumulate, using extended fibonacci to find selling points to adjust wave 4 on H1 frame
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3375 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
BUY 3375 , sideway H1, gold price accumulatesPlan XAU day: 18 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Heading into the key central bank event risk, the disappointing US macro data released on Tuesday pointed to a softening economy and reaffirmed bets that the Fed will lower borrowing costs in September. This keeps a lid on the overnight US Dollar rally to the weekly peak.
The US Census Bureau reported that Retail Sales declined by 0.9% in May, compared to a 0.7% contraction expected and a 0.1% dip in April. Moreover, US Industrial Production fell short of estimates and contracted by 0.2% in May, following a revised 0.1% increase the previous month
personal opinion:!!!
sideways fluctuation in the price range of 3370 - 3395, gold price waiting for the result of keeping interest rates unchanged and continuing to accumulate around 3400
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Buy point: 3375 , 3338
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Accumulate and then hit 3500 soonPlan XAU next week: 16 June - 20 June 2025
Related Information:
Recently, US President Trump told Axios that Israel’s attack could help him reach an agreement with Iran. He urged Iran to make a deal, adding, 'There has already been great death and destruction, but there is still time to bring this slaughter to an end, with the next planned attacks expected to be even more brutal.'
The University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment report for June showed that households are becoming more optimistic about the economy. The Sentiment Index increased from 52.2 to 60.5, while inflation expectations declined for both the one-year and five-year outlooks—from 6.6% to 5.1%, and from 4.2% to 4.1%, respectively.
personal opinion:
Gold prices will tend to accumulate at the beginning of the week around 3400, news of Middle East tensions will push gold prices back to 3500 by the middle of next week.
Important price zone to consider :
sell point: 3500, 3536
buy point: 3410, 3376
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold 03/08 Triple bottom patternThe dollar rose past the Fitch cut, taking support from much stronger-than-expected payrolls data released by ADP. The reading followed data earlier this week that showed some signs of a U.S. manufacturing and construction recovery.
The data spurred bets that the Federal Reserve will have enough economic headroom to hike rates further and keep them there - a scenario that bodes poorly for gold and metal markets.
At the 45m frame, we can see a triple bottom formation. we can hit short, I will place a buy order at the 1931-1934 support zone.
What is your idea? You can comment below. Thanks a lot














