Clear upside direction in Banknifty for Indian Market. Soon ATHBanknifty has sustained above 50 sma and also has closed convincingly above the fibo channel of 78.6% on daily timeframe. Along with that long term trend and momentum indicators also have confirmed the bullishness. Once we see 50sma crossing above 200sma then the run will be extended and we will see an ATH after crossover happens on daily timeframe. The first target is 57600 and after that ATH
Candlestick Analysis
PAGEIND - BEARS READY TO TEAR JOCKEY DOWN TO 20% FALL???YES!!!!! Chart patterns made me think of the above titled opinion.
REASONS FOR MY IDEA
1.MONTHLY CANDLE BREAKDOWN WITH GOOD VOLUME
2. OCT 2022 Highs not tested even during 2024 bullish phase shows weakness
3. Weekly candle too shows a voluminous breakdown as shown below
4. 3 BLACK CROWS pattern in the daily time frame recently adds to the woes
5. I will mostly wait for the white trendline break for the entry.(though it is now at the resistance trendline , recent bullish candles may delay the down rally)
6. Given the sl , target are extreme levels.....will update after the white line breakdown.
LET THE MARKET DECIDE.....WE WILL WAIT AND WATCH!!!!!
This is just my opinion.....not a tip nor advice.
THANK YOU!!!!!!
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in ABBGo Long @ 5432.1 for Targets of 6510, 7015, 7520, and 8024.7 with SL 439.15
Reasons to go Long :
1. On a Weekly timeframe if we draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the recent swing low (point A) to the recent swing high (point B) then we see stock took support from the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
2. Besides, a bullish candlestick pattern Bullish Engulfing (marked with orange) is formed around the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
3. In addition to this there is a strong demand zone (marked with purple) which earlier was acting like resistance but now is providing support to the stock.
NACL Industries - Range Breakout Trade Setup🔥 NACL Industries - Range Breakout Trade Setup 🚀
📍 Breakout Level: ₹116
📍 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹121
📍 Stop Loss (SL): ₹96.5 (📉 Closing basis)
📍 Target 1 (T1): ₹166 🎯
📍 Target 2 (T2) (Positional): ₹255 🎯🎯
🔍 Why This Trade?
✅ Range Breakout 📈: Stock has broken out of a 3-year-old consolidation range!
✅ Big Money Inflow 💰: Breakout supported by high volume, indicating institutional buying.
✅ Bullish Pattern 📊: Formation of 3 White Soldiers on March 25 in DTF– a strong bullish signal! 🚀
✅ Sector Strength 🌱: Agrochemical sector is gaining momentum, boosting the stock.
✅ Price Action 🏆: Stock consolidated at all-time high levels before breaking out.
✅ Technical Strength 🛠️: Trading above key moving averages – momentum is on our side!
✅ No Overhead Resistance 🚧: No major hurdles ahead, potential smooth uptrend!
📊 Risk-Reward Calculation
🔹 Risk (SL at ₹96.5): ₹121 - ₹96.5 = ₹24.5
🔹 Reward 1 (T1 at ₹166): ₹166 - ₹121 = ₹45 🎯
🔹 Reward 2 (T2 at ₹255): ₹255 - ₹121 = ₹134 🎯🎯
🎯 Target 📏 Risk: Reward Ratio
T1 (₹166) 1:1.8
T2 (₹255) 1:5.4
📌 Trade Plan
👨💻 For Conservative Traders:
🔹 Entry: Small quantity at CMP (₹121) and add on successful retest of ₹116.
🔹 SL: ₹96.5 (Closing basis).
🔹 Target 1: ₹166 (Partial profit booking 📈).
🔹 Target 2: ₹255 (Hold for positional gain 🏆).
⚡ For Aggressive Traders:
🔹 Entry: Full deployment at CMP (₹121) if risk is well managed.
🔹 SL: ₹96.5 (Closing basis).
🔹 Exit Strategy: Trailing SL or partial booking at T1 (₹166), hold for T2 (₹255) 🚀.
⚠️ Key Risks to Consider
🔴 Fundamental Weakness: Poor ROCE (-0.04%) and ROE (-10.8%) → Purely technical trade!
🔴 Market Condition: 📉 Nifty still below 200 DMA, caution required!
🔴 Macroeconomic Factors: 🌍 Global uncertainties (e.g., Trump tariffs) may impact sentiment.
🚨 Final Note
📌 This is a high-risk, high-reward trade. Strict SL adherence is crucial! 🚨
💡 If you’re not comfortable with deep SLs, stay on the sidelines or enter lightly.
📈 Market remains uncertain—trade cautiously & manage risk wisely! 🛑
💬 What’s your take on this trade? Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️
🔹 Disclaimer: This is NOT financial advice. Do your own research before making any trade decisions. 📊
Bajaj Finserv in a bullish trend; Watch and trade?Bajaj Finserv has been in a good trend even when overall market remained negative, the stock has been trading around the recent highs.
There has been a Break out of the resistance zone but the market has formed a Tweezer top after the break out on the weekly charts.
If there is trend reversal of the indices, high chance of it forming new high while be there.
YTD the stock has posted 17% positive returns while the markets are down by the approximately the same percentage.
Major Resistance levels :-1860-19410
Possible Target levels (as per fibonacci levels) :- 2304, 2771
This can be the stock of the year. 20-40% return can be captured as per the holding capacity. Keep strict SL
Wait for the price action and trade as per the trading plan/setup.
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in Axis BankGo Long @ 1005.05 for Targets of 1123, 1182, 1275.35, and 1320.4 with SL 960
Reasons to go Long :
1. On a Weekly timeframe if we draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the recent swing low (point A) to the recent swing high (point B) then we see stock took support from the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
2. Besides, a bullish candlestick pattern Bullish Engulfing (marked with orange) is formed around the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
3. Also there is a strong Trendline (marked with green color) which supports the stock.
My Favorite Reversal Candle Pattern (Works Like Magic!)Hello Traders!
What if I told you that one single candlestick pattern could give you an 80% win rate — when traded with the right context and strategy? That’s right! Today, we’re talking about the powerful Engulfing Candlestick Pattern — backed by data, tested across timeframes, and loved by price action traders.
Let’s break it down properly so you can spot it, trade it, and win with it.
The Candle Setup: Bullish & Bearish Engulfing Patterns
Bullish Engulfing Pattern:
This forms at the end of a downtrend or pullback . A strong green candle completely engulfs the previous red candle’s body, signaling a shift from sellers to buyers.
This setup is most effective at key support zones, trendline bounces, or bullish reversals with volume confirmation .
Bearish Engulfing Pattern:
Seen after an uptrend or rally . A solid red candle engulfs the previous green candle’s body, showing a shift from buyers to sellers.
Best used near resistance levels, psychological zones, or after a parabolic price move .
Check the chart above to understand better!
Note: I’ve used real chart examples from the past to demonstrate Bullish & Bearish Engulfing patterns exactly as they appear in price action textbooks — so you can recognize them with clarity and confidence.
How to Trade the Engulfing Candle Effectively
Entry:
Enter above the bullish engulfing candle’s high (long) or below the bearish engulfing candle’s low (short) after the candle closes.
Stop Loss:
Place SL just below the bullish engulfing candle's low or above the bearish candle’s high.
Target:
Use a 1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratio, or set targets based on nearby support/resistance or Fibonacci levels.
When to Use:
Only trade engulfing patterns when they form at a confluence zone — such as support/resistance, trendlines, moving averages, or breakout retests .
Backtesting Insights
When tested across Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, and large-cap stocks on the 15 min, 1H, and Daily charts , the Engulfing pattern — when combined with structure — showed up to 80% success rate with proper risk management and discipline.
Rahul’s Tip
Don’t blindly trade the pattern—trade the location! Context is everything. Always confirm with structure and volume. Engulfing candles are powerful, but only when they appear where it actually matters.
Conclusion
The Engulfing Candle is one of the most reliable patterns if traded with patience and planning. Combine it with key zones and risk control , and it can become a high-probability weapon in your trading arsenal.
Have you used this pattern before? Share your success (or lessons) in the comments — let’s grow together!
Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern The Shooting Star is a key candlestick pattern that signals the end of an uptrend. It looks like a small body with a long upper shadow, and very little or no lower shadow. This pattern often appears at the peak of an uptrend and can indicate a potential reversal.
How to Identify the Shooting Star:
1) Long upper shadow: The upper shadow should be at least twice as long as the body.
2) Gap up: Price opens higher than the previous day’s close.
3) Small body near the bottom: The body of the candle is small and near the bottom of the price range for the day.
4) No lower shadow: The lower shadow is very short or nonexistent.
What It Means:
The market opens strong and pushes higher during the day, but by the end, the price falls back down, showing that sellers are starting to take control. This could indicate that the uptrend is losing momentum and a reversal might be near.
Confirmation:
Look for a bearish candle or a gap down the next day to confirm the Shooting Star pattern.
Key Insights:
1) The longer the upper shadow, the stronger the potential for a reversal.
2) A gap up followed by a Shooting Star can signal an even stronger reversal.
3) High volume on the Shooting Star day can increase the chances of a significant price change.
Example with AARTIIND (Daily Chart) 📊:
This is a daily time frame chart of AARTIIND, where a Shooting Star pattern is forming at the top of an uptrend. This visual example will help you better understand how the pattern works in real market conditions.
Tourism Finance Corp - Major Breakout in Progress!TFCI is showing a significant market structure shift on the weekly time frame (WTF) with strong confluence of technical signals! 📊
🔹 Lower Lows to Higher Low Transition:
Blue boxes indicate a series of lower lows, reflecting a prior downtrend.
The yellow box highlights a higher low, signaling a potential trend reversal!
🔹 Mother Candle Breakout:
The purple lines mark the high and low of the mother bar (key range).
Price is now breaking out from the upper side of the mother candle, confirming bullish momentum.
🔹 Counter Trendline (CTL) Breakout:
The orange line represents the main CTL on the weekly timeframe.
Price is successfully breaking out, indicating a potential trend shift to bullish!
Comment below your thoughts
Tata Technologies Stock: A Critical Moment AheadTata Technologies stock has recently been trading near its lifetime low. After reaching an all-time high of ₹1400, the stock dipped to its lifetime low of ₹626.65 and is currently at ₹698.
📊 Bullish Engulfing Pattern: On the weekly chart, the stock has formed a bullish engulfing pattern with volumes significantly higher than the average. This is a potentially strong reversal signal.
🔑 Key Support and Resistance Levels:
The stock has previously found support around ₹1000 multiple times. If the bullish engulfing pattern plays out, ₹1000 could act as a strong resistance going forward.
Target: If the pattern succeeds, the stock may move towards ₹1000 as a potential target.
Stop Loss: Our stop loss will be placed just below the low of the bullish engulfing pattern for a controlled risk strategy.
Max Financial Services Ltd – Trend Reversal in Play?🚀 Technical Analysis Breakdown:
The yellow trendline shows a long-term support, which has held well despite recent corrections.
The red downtrend line indicates a recent bearish phase, which has now been broken with a strong bullish candle.
The stock has bounced from the trendline support, showing signs of strength.
Above all the strong Pinbar candle looks amazing for a candle close .
🔎 Your Take? Do you see further upside or a pullback? Comment below! 👇
Positional or Longterm Opportunity in KfinechGo Long @ 918.55 for Targets of 1109.65, 1205.2, 1300.75, and 1491.85 with SL 439.15
Reasons to go Long :
1. On a Weekly timeframe if we draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the recent swing low (point A) to the recent swing high (point B) then we see stock took support from the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
2. Besides, a bullish candlestick pattern Bullish Hammer (marked with orange) is formed around the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
3. In addition to this there is a strong demand zone (marked with purple) which earlier was acting like resistance but now is providing support to the stock.
4. There is also a strong Trendline (marked with green) that is providing support to the stock.
Nifty 50 Weekly Analysis: Key Levels & Trend OutlookThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 23,350.40, recording a notable gain of 4.26%.
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
The critical range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation is 23,274 - 23,427.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support:
S1: 23,046
S2: 22,743
S3: 22,427
Resistance:
R1: 23,658
R2: 23,965
R3: 24,227
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 23,427 may attract buying interest, potentially pushing Nifty towards R1 (23,658) and beyond.
❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index slips below 23,274, selling pressure could increase, driving Nifty towards S1 (23,046) or lower.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Investors should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Bank Nifty Weekly Update & Key Levels📌 Weekly Recap:
Bank Nifty closed the week at 50,593.55, recording a strong gain of 5.27%.
Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone:
The crucial range to watch for potential trend reversals or continuation is 50,482 - 50,707.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels:
Support:
S1: 50,146
S2: 49,698
S3: 46,956
Resistance:
R1: 51,046
R2: 51,470
R3: 51,893
Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 50,707 could drive buying momentum, pushing Bank Nifty towards R1 (51,046) and higher.
❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 50,482, selling pressure may intensify, dragging it towards S1 (50,146) and lower support levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Investors should conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Kalyani Steels trendline breakout - D timeframeKalyani Steels after achieving the target of 1179.50 exited parallel channel and held support at 700 range. Bullish reversal happened at 704.20 (mar 3) and bullish reversal confirmation at 721 (mar 17). Dec 17 '24 ATH to Mar 3 '25 precisely 44.86% fall as anticipated. Now price chart in daily timeframe showing double bottom with inverted hammer (Mar 19) along with RSI double bottom breakout. Weekly chart piercing line (i think) candlestick pattern along with RSI +ve divergence.