Investment_ Yes BankNamaste!
Yes Bank has been a favourite stock for retail public. Due to it's penny price, it attracts a lot of retail attention.
I think it is a good time to invest in Yes Bank because of following reasons.
1. According to me, any retail person will think of Yes Bank and Idea, if he has given a choice to buy some large-cap stocks. Generally, businesses like telecom, aviation, manufacturing, automobile, etc hasn't been a good wealth creators , just look at the history.
Whereas, pharma, banks and financial institutions, services (IT) and technology, etc has been very good wealth creators. So Idea being a telecom company, it is to be avoided for now. So we have only one choice left, that is Yes Bank.
2. Yes Bank suffered a huge huge downfall in the stock prices, when a fraud of around Rs 5000 crores has been reported. The promoters provided loans to the businesses, which had weak fundamentals and without determining repayment risks.
3. RBI doesn't want people to doubt on banking system , so it ordered (SBIN and LICI on behalf of the government) and others (HDFC, ICICI) etc to save the Yes Bank. Now SBIN is the largest shareholder with 30% holding in Yes Bank.
4. Banks has been a good wealth creators, thanks to booming economy and financial system of India. So, I thoroughly think that Yes Bank stock prices will rebound.
5. The worst case scenario would be, Yes Bank to be acquired by some other private bank. I don't think it will be acquired by SBIN or any other govt owned companies, because the government is already selling its stakes in public sector undertakings.
Just look at the worst case scenario at Satyam Computers. It had been acquired by Mahindra, at a penny price after reporting "window-dressing" of financial statements. Now, it's shareholders would have got Tech Mahindra shares and it is among the good wealth creators.
Conclusion: Investment at current prices is fine. Yes Bank might be a good pick for a portfolio, along with other strong companies to maximize overall returns. Some ventures capitals generally invest in around 10 risky start-ups, 8 of them fail but 2 of them multiply the capital 20 fold, they still make good money in the end. Yes Bank has a very high reward potential due to it's current price. Making money via investing requires patience, strong self discipline, risk appetite, etc, so invest wisely.
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Candlestick Analysis
Investment_ LICI (Life Insurance Corp)Namaste!
LICI has been hit hard for the mainly two reasons,
1. Previous performance of other IPO stocks such as Paytm, Zomato, Etc.
2. Current bearish sell-off (in over all global markets).
Investment Objective: If Nifty/Sensex give 10-12% annual average return, my goal is to beat the index. Means we will try to generate >12% annual return. We can include stocks with high risk and high reward (such as Paytm, Zomato and LICI) to make a portfolio, along with other blue-chip stocks so that, we increase our returns with a little increase in our risk. I would not advice investing more than 10% of your investment capital in each. Remaining 70% should be invested in other blue-chip stocks.
The logic: Look, there is always a resistance at the high of red candles. As you can see in the chart, this will be the 3rd attempt for a breakout. Each time the resistance get a hit, it becomes weaker and weaker. The probability of a breakout increases with the number of hits. So, Rs 669.40 is a most logical price for an entry. Always remember, our goal is to beat the index. As long as our basket of stocks performs well, we should be happy.
Disclaimer: Investment carries an element of financial risk. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets. Please do your due-diligence before investing.
Investment_ Muthoot FinanceNamaste!
Muthoot Finance is one of my favourite stocks in the finance sector. The formulae I use to calculate intrinsic value suggests this stock, whereas it somewhat fails in the valuation of Bajaj Finance, SBI Cards, etc.
It is trading at a PE (Price to earnings ratio) of 11.62, whereas Bajaj Finance is 51.29 and SBI Cards is 45.53.
In most cases, the lower PE is better. The intrinsic value stands around Rs 3000, assuming growth to be 17.2% YoY and 6.1% Indian treasury yields.
The reasons to buy this stock:-
1. Low PE and intrinsic value.
2. 1.75% Dividend Yields.
3. >20% correction in stock price.
Q: What price should I buy?
A: The current price of Rs 1144 is a good price.
Please do not invest more than 10% of your capital. I suggest many stocks, but it is your responsibility to choose your favourite ones.
Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets and may result in a loss. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Investment_ AmazonNamaste!
Amazon has corrected enough to look attractive to value investors. VI basically mean they will look for:
1. Low P/E ratio,
2. An long term up-trending stock (Amazon is that),
3. Fear in the markets, Etc.
Investors like Warren Buffet doesn't buy when the market is at all time high and people think it will keep going up in a straight line.
He and other value investors wait for an opportunity, when there is fear and it results in considerable fall in the stock prices. It's when they come in.
For Amazon, I can say with 100% confidence, value investors must be jumping in. This opportunity (because of correction) is rare and happens in 4-5 years approx. They are smart people and following them is a smarter decision. Amazon is definitely a buy, at current prices or at break of 118.
The most important rule in Investing is, never ever sell at a loss. There are only two possibilities in my opinion, either the company goes bankrupt, or you make money.
Disclaimer: Investment carries an element of financial risk. Investment does not guarantee a fixed return due to volatile nature of markets. Please do your due-diligence before investing. You are solely responsible for your decisions.
Siyaram silk millsSiyaram silk mills has been sideways for quite a long time now. And has made multiple attempts to break the long term resistance , the more time it spends near the resistance the weaker it becomes. Fundamentals are good and a good quarter in sales can do wonders. Volume on the down days are not big and on the up days are substantial.
CASTROLIND - Bullish Swing ReversalNSE: CASTROLIND is closing with a bullish swing reversal candle supported with volumes.
Today's volumes and candlestick formation indicates strong demand and stock should move to previous swing highs in the coming days.
The stock has been moving along the horizontal support for the past few days which is indicating demand.
One can look for a 8% to 13% gain on deployed capital in this swing trade.
The view is to be discarded in the event of the stock breaking previous swing low.
#NSEindia #Trading #StockMarketindia #Tradingview #SwingTrade
#GROBTEA Cha Da Time Lagda Grob Tea looks good as Positional Trade. After a long consolidation, stock is trading in a Inside Bar candle range of 978-825 for almost 4 months now, also smart money are leaving their footprints (check the volume bars). Expecting good move to come soon now.
Stoploss - (low risk)828, (high risk)780
*DISCLAIMER*
This analysis is only for educational purpose. I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst/Advisor. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any position and please use a Stop Loss for any Investments/Trading Positions. It is your hard earned money so give risk management your highest attention. Do take this disclaimer seriously.
Q&A_ MRPL, how did it move so violently and next move from here?Namaste!
I want you to pay attention towards 3 arrows.
1. Black arrow: This candle had an increased selling volume (resistance), which was broken by 3rd weekly candle followed by 2 weekly candles of consolidation.
2. Blue arrow: This is the candle where bulls entered with approx double the volume and were able to close above the high of blue candle.
3. The rally continues.
4. Orange arrow: 1st time, sellers were powerful enough to push the prices, up to the low of any high breaking green candle. .
Q: What could happen from here.
A: Profit booking will come as well as it has started from current prices. Look, the stock can not just go up and up. It is pending for profit booking, then it may consolidate for some weeks. Then another bullish momentum is expected.
Q: What should current position holders do?
A: a. You can book the profits right now, b. or you can trail your SL below low of high breaking daily green candle (keep trailing for future candles as well).
If following my decision you make profit, nobody cares, but if you followed my idea and sold, then stock moved another 100%, you will blame me. Reality is nobody can predict the top.
Disclaimer: You're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets, resulting in financial gains or losses. The analysis I've shared is for informational and educational purposes only.
Positional_ UltratechNamaste!
1. Ultratech looks good for a positional/swing trade.
2. Entry price and Stop Loss is marked on the chart. If the stock open gap up, then limit order at the entry price will be placed.
3. This trading idea is only valid till next 4 trading sessions. If entry doesn't execute till then, it will be cancelled.
4. Target can either be booked at 3 times reward, or can be trailed at a low break of high breaking green candle.
And be ready for a gap down in Nifty on next trading session (as SPX closed in red more than 2% last day).
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own. You're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets, resulting in financial gains or losses. The analysis I've shared is for informational and educational purposes only.
Positional_ BajajfinsvNamaste!
1. Bajajfinsv looks good for a positional/swing trade.
2. Entry price and Stop Loss is marked on the chart.
3. This trading idea is only valid till next 4 trading sessions. If entry doesn't execute till then, it will be cancelled.
4. Target can either be booked at 3 times reward, or can be trailed at a low break of high breaking green candle.
And be ready for a gap down in Nifty on next trading session (as SPX closed in red more than 2% last day).
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own. You're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets, resulting in financial gains or losses. The analysis I've shared is for informational and educational purposes only.
Positional_ ZomatoNamaste!
1. Zomato looks good for a positional/swing trade.
2. Entry price and Stop Loss is marked on the chart.
3. This trading idea is only valid till next trading session. If entry doesn't execute in next trading day, it will be cancelled.
4. Target can either be booked at 3 times reward, or can be trailed at a low break of high breaking green candle .
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article is of my own. You're solely responsible for any decision taken in the markets, resulting in financial gains or losses. The analysis I've shared is for informational and educational purposes only.