LIC – High Probability Breakout Setup!After a long consolidation, LIC is now approaching a falling trendline breakout with strong bullish momentum.
This is a high probability breakout setup supported by price action and structure.
📌 Plan:
✅ Entry: 900–910
❌ Stoploss: 844
🎯 Targets: 970–985 / 1068 / 1172
Highlights:
Multiple rejections at the trendline – now testing again 🔄
Strong base with trend reversal expected 📊
Favorable Risk–Reward for swing traders ⚡
Holding Duration: As per Target & Stoploss ⏳
📈 A breakout above 910 could open the gates for a strong rally ahead!
#LIC #NSEStocks #BreakoutSetup #SwingTrading #PriceActionTrading #TrendlineBreakout #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketIndia #TradingView #RiskReward
Chart Patterns
JKPAPER Price ActionJK Paper Limited (JKPAPER) closed today at ₹385.50, up 3.34% from the previous close of ₹373.05. The stock traded between ₹372.60 and ₹392.95, showing solid buying momentum and trading above its 50-day average of about ₹374, and 200-day average near ₹359.
Technically, JKPAPER is in a moderate uptrend with positive momentum, supported by strong volume and close above short-term averages. The stock faces near-term resistance around ₹395, with strong support around ₹370. Momentum indicators suggest continued bullish bias but overbought conditions could lead to temporary consolidations.
Fundamentally, JK Paper benefits from steady demand in the paper and packaging sector along with improving operational efficiency. The company reported stable revenue growth and improving margins recently, supporting positive sentiment. The medium-term outlook looks constructive if the stock sustains above support and breaks resistance decisively.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in SAMMAANCAP
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
“Nifty 50 Key Levels & Trade Zones 1st Oct 2025”
“Follow me and like this post for more learning tips!”
24890 → Above 10m closing → Short Cover Level (CE Safe Zone)
24790 → Above 10m hold CE (Entry Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Risky Zone)
24718 → Above 10m hold → Positive Trade View
Below 10m hold → Negative Trade View
24570 → Above Opening S1 hold CE (Buy Level)
Below Opening R1 hold PE (Sell Level)
24470 → Above 10m hold CE (Buy Level)
Below 10m hold PE (Sell Level)
24333 → Above 10m hold CE (Safe Zone)
Below 10m hold UNWINDING Level
BANKINDIA Pyramid set upBank of India (BANKINDIA) closed today at ₹123.35, up 3.79% from the previous close of ₹118.85. The stock traded in a range between ₹118.90 and ₹123.85 on strong volume, showing renewed buying interest. It is trading above its 50-day moving average (~₹114.67) and 200-day moving average (~₹110.67), indicating bullish momentum.
Technically, the stock is in an uptrend with immediate support at ₹119 and resistance around ₹130, the recent 52-week high. Momentum indicators like RSI suggest moderate strength, with room to move higher before overbought conditions. The price action is supported by a solid market cap and improving financials, aligning with positive sentiment in the banking sector.
Overall, Bank of India shows a robust short to medium-term outlook, with potential for further gains if it sustains above current support and builds upon buying momentum. Watch for any breakouts above ₹130 for acceleration, or a dip below ₹119 that may trigger some consolidation.
GMR Airports Ltd – Bullish Bounce from Support ZoneThe chart of GMR Airports Ltd (Daily timeframe) is showcasing a well-respected ascending channel pattern, where price is currently bouncing off the lower support trendline, indicating a continuation of the bullish structure. This setup provides a compelling long opportunity if confirmed with price action.
• Uptrend Channel Structure Remains Intact
GMR Airports has been moving within a clearly defined uptrend channel with multiple touches at both resistance and support zones. The current bounce is happening near the support line, which has previously acted as a strong reversal point — suggesting that buyers are stepping in again.
• Twizzer Bottom Candlestick at Support
A key bullish candlestick pattern, the Twizzer Bottom, has formed right at the trendline support. This candlestick combo is known for reversal potential, especially at critical zones like this. The confluence of support + reversal pattern adds strong conviction to the bullish setup.
• EMA Support Alignment
The price also aligns closely with the 50-day EMA (blue line) and is above the 200-day EMA (red line) — a typical bullish sign in trend-following strategies. This alignment reinforces the uptrend bias and increases the odds of an upside continuation.
• Upside Targets Clearly Marked
- The initial target is placed at ₹93+, which corresponds to the last swing high.
- Target 2 is marked at ₹97+, aligning with the 52-week high.
- If price breaks through the upper resistance channel with momentum, the final target may extend higher, potentially entering price discovery mode.
• Risk Management is Well Defined
- The stop-loss is marked below ₹85, just under the previous swing low and trendline support.
- A close below this level will indicate a long setup failure, and the structure will need re-evaluation.
- This gives a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing traders entering at current levels.
• Conclusion – Watch for Momentum Confirmation
If follow-through buying occurs in the coming sessions, this could lead to a sharp upward move back toward the upper channel resistance. Traders should wait for volume expansion and strong candle closure above ₹88 for further confirmation. The overall bias remains bullish until the lower channel is broken convincingly.
SINDHUTRAD Price ActionSindhu Trade Links Ltd (SINDHUTRAD) closed today at ₹28.25, registering a gain of 4.4%. The stock traded between ₹26.62 and ₹29.38 during the session, with an opening at ₹27.40. Trading volume was strong, showing 6.2 million shares exchanged, above its average daily volume.
SINDHUTRAD is currently in an upward trajectory, outperforming its 50-day and 200-day averages, which stand at ₹26.29 and ₹22.36 respectively. The price is still some distance below its 52-week high of ₹39.29 but has rebounded significantly from a low of ₹13.00 this year. Technically, momentum is positive and short-term bullish, supported by higher trading turnover and sentiment.
On the valuation front, the current price-to-earnings ratio is 235.4, indicating aggressive pricing and high expectations for future growth, but it is also a warning for possible volatility if earnings do not improve. Market capitalization stands at ₹4,356 crore.
Immediate support is observed near ₹26, while resistance is at ₹29.50, today’s high. Sustained moves above resistance could trigger further upside, while a reversal below support may lead to consolidation or profit booking. Overall, the trend remains favorable, with upward bias, as long as price holds above key support zones.
NATIONALUM Price ActionNational Aluminium Company Ltd (NATIONALUM) closed today at ₹213.87. The stock rallied strongly, rising nearly 5% during the session and trading in a range between ₹204.20 and ₹215.40. Today’s large volume signals solid investor participation and bullish momentum, while the price sits near the upper end of the daily band.
Technically, NATIONALUM remains in a clear short-term uptrend, outperforming its sector with recent moving average crossovers strengthening the bullish case. The key support is now located near ₹204, which was today’s low, and resistance lies at ₹224—the stock’s upper circuit limit. Momentum indicators are in positive territory, reflecting strong buying interest, but short-term traders should be aware that overbought readings could invite some consolidation or profit booking.
On the fundamental side, the company’s financials show robust quarterly revenue and profit growth, with strong operating margins and minimal debt. As a major aluminum producer, NATIONALUM benefits from stable commodity prices and high export demand. Overall sentiment is upbeat, suggesting potential for further gains if market conditions remain supportive and the company sustains its operational efficiency.
Part 4 Institutional TradingThe Structure of an Option Contract
Every option contract has certain key components:
Underlying asset – The stock, index, or commodity the option is based on.
Strike price – The agreed-upon price at which the asset can be bought or sold.
Expiration date – The last date when the option can be exercised.
Premium – The cost paid by the buyer to the seller.
Lot size – The standardized quantity of the underlying represented by one option contract.
Example:
If you buy a Nifty 20,000 Call Option at ₹200 premium, one lot size is 50.
Total cost = ₹200 × 50 = ₹10,000.
You gain if Nifty moves above 20,200 (strike + premium).
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesIntroduction
Financial markets have evolved significantly over the last century, offering a wide variety of instruments to investors and traders. One such instrument is options, which provide flexibility, leverage, and hedging opportunities. Unlike straightforward investments such as stocks or bonds, option trading involves contracts that derive their value from an underlying asset—making them part of the broader derivatives market.
For professional traders, options are indispensable for hedging risk, generating income, and leveraging market moves. For retail participants, they represent both a fascinating opportunity and a high-risk tool that requires discipline and knowledge.
This guide explains option trading in detail, starting from the basics and moving into advanced strategies, risks, and practical applications.
PRAENG Pyramid Set upPrajay Engineers Syndicate Ltd (PRAENG) traded mildly positive today, with prices fluctuating within a narrow range around ₹20. The stock continues its recovery from recent lows, showing incremental gains over the past few sessions. Short-term technical indicators suggest the price is trading above its 20-day moving average, signaling some regained bullish momentum, but the overall trend remains sideways.
Momentum signals such as RSI are moderately positioned, indicating neither strong buying nor oversold conditions. Volume is stable but not exceptionally high, which points to limited participation and tempered volatility. Support for PRAENG is near ₹18, reflecting the base built over the last month; resistance appears at ₹22, where previous rallies have stalled.
Fundamentally, the company has delivered modest improvement in sales and managed to reduce operational losses recently, but overall business and industry headwinds persist. The medium-term outlook stays neutral, with further upside possible if the stock can close above the ₹22 resistance zone on higher volume. Conversely, a drop below support may trigger another leg down in price.
Asian Paints: Short Setup — Bearish Reversal SignalAsian Paints shows signs of a potential short opportunity after forming a bearish reversal pattern (Rising wedge) on the daily chart. The stock failed to sustain above the resistance near 2600, Formed a Double top pattern. The RSI is showing bearish divergence, signaling weakening momentum. hinting at a possible downtrend initiation.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate support at 2450 (swing low)
Further downside target around 2320 if support breaks decisively
Trade Plan:
Enter short below 2450 on confirmation of bearish candle close.
Stop loss above 2500 to limit risk from false breakdown.
Target 2320 for conservative exit or trail stop as price moves lower.
Disclaimer: Risk management is crucial in this volatile market, so keep position sizing appropriate. This analysis is intended for educational purposes and not financial advice.
MFSL Multi time frame AnalysisMulti-timeframe confluence analysis offers traders a robust edge through straightforward yet highly effective methodology.
Based on that MFSL is a strong Buy on dips stock based on powerful breakout of previous ATH and the current market structure.
Targets are derived from #Pattern #breakout and #Fibonacci levels.
Bullish Pennant in formation.
Disclaimer: Above analysis shared for educational purpose only.
Bullish Iron Condor on Nifty (30th September 2025 expiry)Hello Traders!
Just like we shared the August Iron Condor setup, here comes the fresh plan for September expiry.
Nifty is trading around 24,840 and we are witnessing a defined range between 23,750 – 25,500.
Such ranges are perfect for premium eating strategies like the Iron Condor, where time decay works in our favour as long as the index stays inside the zone.
So here’s the September plan:
Position Details
Sell 2 lots 24,700 PE @ 140.30
Buy 2 lots 24,400 PE @ 71.60
Sell 2 lots 25,500 CE @ 53.95
Buy 2 lots 25,750 CE @ 22.95
We expect Nifty to consolidate between 23,750 – 25,500 as per our technical chart analysis .
200-DEMA is acting as dynamic support
Strong resistance capped near 25,500 – 26,270
Until a breakout happens on either side, premium sellers can stay in control
This Iron Condor gives us a balanced risk-reward setup and benefits from time decay while keeping risk well-defined.
Why I Like This Setup:
Limited loss , defined by hedge positions
High probability of success as long as Nifty remains in the range
Best suited for traders focusing on consistent income from option writing
Rahul’s Tip 👉 Discipline in trade management is always more important than the setup itself.
For income-based option strategies, always check for:
Key events and news (policy, RBI, FED, budgets, etc.)
Breakout signals beyond short strikes
Quick exit or adjustment if market moves out of range
Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only . Please manage your risk and position sizing wisely.
Avoid large quantities at once – it’s always better to scale in gradually once the range confirms.
Bitcoin – Let’s Play the Resistance Game at 114,500Bitcoin on the 1-hour chart has entered a critical resistance zone around 114,200–114,500. Price has rallied strongly from the recent lows near 113,000, but now faces a major supply area. The structure suggests that BTC could face rejection here and move back toward the support zone near 112,600 if sellers step in.
As long as price stays below 114,500, this resistance remains valid. A clean breakout above this level with strong momentum would invalidate the bearish view and open the path for higher levels. On the downside, holding support near 112,600 will be key for buyers to maintain control.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
👉 If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
September 29 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There are no Nasdaq indicators released today.
I developed a strategy based on the rising pattern.
*Red finger movement path:
One-way long position strategy
1. $111,597.2 long position entry point / Stop loss if the purple support line is broken
2. $113,733.7 long position first target -> Good second target
If the strategy is successful, the 112,8K level indicated
can be used as a long position re-entry point.
Up to the first section below, the price is moving sideways to the right.
From the bottom section touch, there's a high probability of a decline to the Gap 8 retracement level.
Please check the bottom support line and section 2 indicated below.
Up to this point,
I ask that you use my analysis for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, with a focus on principled trading and stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
XAUUSD – Gold Daily Plan | Sharp Drop, What’s Next?Gold printed a sudden 70+ point drop from 388x to 380x, leaving traders questioning:
– Was this a big player manipulation?
– Or simply institutional profit taking?
Key reaction zones will define if Gold holds above 3800 or dives deeper.
📍 Critical Levels
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
387x → Strong resistance where sellers may step in.
🟢 BUY Zones
3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First demand zone.
375x (Fibo Support Zone) → Strong liquidity pocket, potential reversal.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Idea
Entry: 387x
Targets: 3800 → 3780
SL: Above 3888
2️⃣ BUY Idea
Entry: 3780 – 375x
Targets: 3838 → 387x
SL: Below 3745
⚡ Trading Notes
High volatility expected near 3800 psychological mark.
Stick to zone trading – avoid mid-range traps.
Monitor USD strength; any spike could pressure XAU further.
💬 Discussion
Do you think Gold will break below 3800 or bounce back to test 387x? Drop your views 👇
The Unstoppable Rise of GoldTechnical Analysis (XAU/USD):
Gold is trading around $3,816, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at $3,797, $3,759, and $3,718. As long as price stays above the $3,718 zone (major support), the bullish structure remains intact.
The chart indicates two bullish scenarios:
A direct continuation higher from current levels.
A potential retest of the $3,797 – $3,759 zone before another push upward.
Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between $3,860 – $3,900, with further momentum potentially extending beyond $3,925.
Fundamental Analysis:
Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold.
Inflation Hedge: Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand.
Central Bank Purchases: Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward $3,759–$3,718 may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
USD/JPY H4 – SMC Mapping & Trading Plan1. Market Structure
Overall trend: bullish, with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside.
Currently in a corrective pullback, retesting demand zones.
Strong liquidity resting below around 146.000 (Buy Zone Liquidity).
2. Key Zones
Sell Zone (Supply/CP):
148.500 – 148.800
Supply zone aligning with stoploss hunt above.
Demand Zones (Buy Side):
147.200 – 147.500 → short-term reaction zone.
146.000 – 146.300 → strong liquidity pool + CP Order Buy zone.
3. Trade Logic (SMC Flow)
Scenario 1 (Short Setup):
If price pulls back into 148.500 – 148.800, expect bearish reaction.
SL: above 149.000
TP: demand zone at 147.200 or deeper at 146.000.
Scenario 2 (Long Setup after liquidity sweep):
If price sweeps into 146.000 – 146.300, this zone is key liquidity + CP Order Buy.
Expect strong bullish reaction → Buy setup.
SL: below 145.800
TP: 149.000 – 149.500
4. Market Psychology
Sellers: may capitalize on pullback into supply to load shorts.
Buyers: likely waiting for liquidity sweep around 146.000 to accumulate long positions and push higher.
Flip Zone: once a supply/demand zone breaks, it often flips into a new reaction area.
✅ Summary Plan
Sell Zone: 148.5 – 148.8 → TP 147.2 / 146.0
Buy Zone: 146.0 – 146.3 → TP 149.0 – 149.5
EUR/USD is entering a decisive SMC zone – Big move loading...📊 EUR/USD H4 – SMC Mapping & Trading Plan
1. Market Structure
Main trend: bearish (after clear CHoCH and BOS).
Price has formed Equal Highs (EQH) → strong liquidity above.
Untested liquidity zone below (OBB) → expectation for price to sweep down.
2. Key Zones
Supply Zone (OBS + FVG):
1.18100 – 1.18200
This supply aligns with the Fair Value Gap.
Expecting price to retest this zone and reject downward.
Demand Zone (OBB):
1.16500 – 1.16650
Strong demand zone combined with liquidity resting below previous lows.
3. Trade Logic (SMC Flow)
Scenario 1 (Short Setup):
If price reaches the OBS + FVG (1.1810 – 1.1820) area,
Expect bearish reaction → Sell setup.
SL: above 1.1830.
TP: demand zone at 1.1650.
Scenario 2 (Long Setup after liquidity sweep):
If price taps into OBB (1.1650 – 1.1665) and holds,
Expect bullish reaction → Buy setup targeting 1.1750 – 1.1780.
SL: below 1.1630.
4. Market Psychology
Buy side: attempting to push higher but likely just a pullback to fill FVG and sweep liquidity above EQH.
Sell side: in control after BOS to the downside, targeting demand below.
Flip Zone: once supply is broken, it may flip into a new reaction zone (support).
✅ Summary Plan
Sell Zone: 1.1810 – 1.1820 → TP 1.1650
Buy Zone: 1.1650 – 1.1665 → TP 1.1750
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves1. Introduction to Options
An option is a financial contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price, called the strike price, before or on a specified expiration date. Unlike stocks, options do not represent ownership in a company; instead, they are derivatives whose value is derived from the underlying asset (stocks, indices, commodities, or currencies).
There are two primary types of options:
Call Option: Grants the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Put Option: Grants the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Options can be American style (exercisable any time before expiration) or European style (exercisable only on the expiration date).
2. Key Terminology in Options Trading
To trade options effectively, you must understand the key terms:
Strike Price (Exercise Price): The price at which the underlying asset can be bought (call) or sold (put).
Premium: The cost of buying an option. Determined by factors like intrinsic value, time to expiration, volatility, and interest rates.
Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract becomes invalid.
In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM if the stock price > strike price; a put is ITM if stock price < strike price.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM): A call option is OTM if the stock price < strike price; a put is OTM if stock price > strike price.
At-the-Money (ATM): The stock price is approximately equal to the strike price.
3. How Options Work
Options allow investors to control a larger number of shares with relatively small capital. Let’s look at an example:
Example:
Stock price of XYZ Ltd.: ₹1,000
Call option strike price: ₹1,050
Premium: ₹50
Expiration: 1 month
If the stock rises to ₹1,200, the call option holder can exercise the option, buy at ₹1,050, and sell at ₹1,200, making a profit of ₹150 per share (minus the premium of ₹50, net profit = ₹100).
If the stock stays below ₹1,050, the option expires worthless, and the loss is limited to the premium paid.
This limited-loss feature makes options attractive for hedging.
4. Participants in Options Market
Options trading involves different market participants with varying objectives:
Hedgers: Use options to protect their existing investments from adverse price movements. For example, a stock investor buys a put option to safeguard against a potential fall in stock price.
Speculators: Seek profit from price movements without owning the underlying asset. They take higher risk for potentially higher rewards.
Arbitrageurs: Exploit price discrepancies between options and the underlying assets to earn risk-free profits.
5. Option Pricing Models
Option pricing is critical for traders. The two most commonly used models are:
Black-Scholes Model (for European options):
It calculates the theoretical value of options using factors such as stock price, strike price, time to expiration, volatility, and risk-free interest rate.
Binomial Model:
Uses a step-by-step approach to evaluate options, useful for American options due to their early-exercise feature.
Factors Affecting Option Premiums:
Intrinsic Value: Difference between the underlying price and strike price.
Time Value: Additional value due to remaining time until expiration.
Volatility: Higher volatility increases premiums.
Interest Rates and Dividends: Can influence option pricing.