HOW PRICE REACTS TO DEMAND liquidity zones play a crucial role in shaping market moves. When price hits a demand or supply zone, it's often just the beginning of a liquidity hunt. We frequently see price spiking to these areas to “sweep” liquidity—essentially taking out stop losses and trapping both buyers and sellers who enter too early.
Typically, the market likes to form structures such as double bottoms or double tops, which attract breakout traders. But more often than not, price reverses unexpectedly after these formations, trapping breakout traders on the wrong side. After these liquidity sweeps, the market gathers the fuel it needs to move with purpose, often correcting imbalances left behind from rapid moves.
This collected liquidity enables a strong, healthier momentum in either direction. So, patience is key—waiting for confirmation of liquidity grabs at resistance or support zones gives a stronger signal and often provides safer entry points.
Chart Patterns
GOLD ANALYSIS FOR 5TH NOV <ELECTION PREDICTION>Gold Technical Analysis Update
At the moment, gold is hovering around a key order block area, showing some attempts to hold this level. We've seen price action break highs but with significant retracements, often pulling all the way back to previous swing lows. However, notably, these retracements aren't resulting in any candle closures below these lows, which could imply sustained support.
For potential longs, a break above the minor resistance could open up some upside opportunities. However, keep in mind the target here is limited, likely reaching only the recent swing high. For shorts, we would need a decisive break and retracement below the major order block to confidently enter. My suggestion? Wait for a solid break of the swing highs before considering longs to reduce risk exposure.
US Elections and Market Volatility
With the U.S. elections in play, the market is set to become highly volatile. This environment is ideal for stop-loss hunting, with rapid buying and selling likely on both sides of the market. My advice? Today might be a day to stay out and watch the action from the sidelines. The market could swing unexpectedly, so protect your capital by avoiding any trades.
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BTC TRADE LOGIC 4TH NOVGold Trade Recap: Order Block, Break of Structure & FVG Entry
In this trade, we observed gold struggling to create higher highs at a key order block. The price demonstrated a change of character by breaking structure and making a lower low, signaling a potential shift in trend.
Trade Setup and Execution
We patiently waited for a retracement and noted strong rejection at the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This entry offered high confluence, as it aligned with our strategy. Target profit was set at the 4-hour resting liquidity level, providing a clean 6.5R trade with zero drawdown—a highly efficient setup.
note: trade was entered only once i had 15,5,3 min time frame confirmation
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REASON I DONT LIKE SL ENTRY CONCEPTTrade Analysis on Higher Time Frames and Entry Execution:
Starting from a higher time frame, we identified a significant order block, indicating a potential area for price reaction. Moving down to the 15-minute time frame, we observed that price was struggling to break its recent high, signaling potential resistance at that level. After the high was eventually broken, we held back, waiting for either a retracement or for price to fill any imbalances created in the process.
Once these conditions were met, I identified a strong entry signal with a bullish engulfing candle, complemented by a break of recent highs on a smaller time frame. Confident in the setup, I entered the trade. Price quickly moved towards my take profit, so I decided to secure the trade by moving my stop-loss (SL) to the entry point.
However, as often happens, price pulled back, hitting my SL at entry before moving back in my favor to hit the original take profit (TP) target.
This example shows the drawbacks of using trailing stops or moving SL to entry, particularly in scenarios where price is volatile or experiences quick pullbacks. For me, setting a predefined SL and TP without adjustments tends to yield the best results, reducing the risk of being stopped out prematurely in strong setups.
GOLD SL LEARNING 4TH NOVIn our recent trade, we observed gold holding below a key order block while consistently forming lower lows, unable to break previous highs. This behavior often signals potential for a buyer trap. Based on our strategy, we noted two critical indicators of a trap:
Double Bottom Pattern: When gold forms a double bottom near the lows, it’s often an 80% probability trap for buyers, encouraging premature long positions.
Trendline Breakouts: A breakout without breaching highs can also act as a setup to lure buyers, especially when price aligns with an order block.
Trade Execution Plan
price was at order block , our plan was to enter short once gold broke the recent lows, expecting the setup to confirm the downward momentum and trap buyers who anticipated a reversal. We had solid confirmation across the 1, 3, and 5-minute time frames. However, after entry, a bullish engulfing candle formed on the 15-minute chart, pushing price into sideways movement and eventually hitting our stop-loss.
Market Context & Takeaways
In volatile markets, it’s challenging to wait for higher time-frame confirmations as the market moves quickly, demanding timely risk-taking. Losses are part of the process, and our strategy remains sound with consistent results. In the last 7 days, I’ve recorded only 2 stop-losses, with all other trades hitting take-profit targets.
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Technical Analysis Part - 3Volume can confirm divergence signals by indicating the strength and conviction behind price movements. High volume during divergence signals strengthens the reliability of the signal, while low volume may indicate weaker market sentiment.
The basic rule of thumb is that an RSI value over 70 indicates a stock is “overbought” and may see its price fall in the future. Meanwhile, an RSI value of 30 or lower can mean that the price could go up. An RSI of 50 is often seen as neutral, meaning the stock has not been either overbought or oversold.
Technical Analysis Part - 2The RSI provides immediate signals for buying and selling, helping you understand whether an asset is overbought or oversold. RSI readings below 30 signal buy opportunities, indicating the asset is undervalued. Conversely, RSI readings above 70 signal sell opportunities, suggesting the asset is overvalued.
Volume can confirm divergence signals by indicating the strength and conviction behind price movements. High volume during divergence signals strengthens the reliability of the signal, while low volume may indicate weaker market sentiment.
Technical Analysis Part - 1An RSI divergence occurs when price moves in the opposite direction of the RSI. In other words, a chart might display a change in momentum before a corresponding change in price. A bullish divergence occurs when the RSI displays an oversold reading followed by a higher low that appears with lower lows in the price.
The RSI provides immediate signals for buying and selling, helping you understand whether an asset is overbought or oversold. RSI readings below 30 signal buy opportunities, indicating the asset is undervalued. Conversely, RSI readings above 70 signal sell opportunities, suggesting the asset is overvalued.
Technical Analysis Part - 4The MACD is a momentum indicator that can be used to anticipate changes in market sentiment. However, it is not foolproof: experienced traders look to other metrics, such as trading volume, for a more complete perspective on market sentiment.
Key Takeaways
The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is a popular momentum indicator that is used in technical analysis.
The MACD is calculated by comparing exponential moving averages in a security's price.
The MACD line is charted alongside a nine-day moving average of the MACD line, called the signal line, and a histogram representing the difference between these two curves.
Traders use the MACD histogram to anticipate changes in market momentum.
MACD analysis can still generate false price predictions. Experienced traders use additional metrics and fundamental analysis to support their forecasts.
The down trend may continue till 23350 Details mentioned in the chart are price action setups, as per Al Brooks books
I am still learning and this is by no means a recommendation
The head and shoulder reversal is working well.
The only problem can be a spike and channel pattern( bear) on 1 hour time frame which has a 75% probability of breaking to the upside
Expect nifty to reach 23350, in a week or two
GOLD ANALYSIS 4TH NOVStructure & Retracement: Price has broken structure and retraced back below. A minor order block is acting as support.
Short Setup: If price breaks this order block, retests it, and the lows start breaking on a short time frame, consider shorts. Watch for signs of trapped sellers with wicks below the order block.
Long Setup: If price creates higher highs with an engulfing candle on a lower time frame, you can look for longs, targeting the upper liquidity zones.
Key Candle Analysis: Monitor the 15-minute candle closely to gauge strength. Aim to minimize your stop loss as much as possible.
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Midcap nifty select trades and targets - 05/11/24Hello Everyone. The market was in a bearish mode today. If the market opens flat then we can see continuation of trend. If it opens gap up then we need to see the resistance level to break before looking for CE trades. If it opens gap down then look for PE trades after support zone is broken. Let the market settle in first 15 to 30 minutes then look for directional trades. Book profits every 20 points as we are getting very few trending moves.
Bank nifty trades and targets - 5/11/24Hello Everyone. The market was in a bearish mode today. If the market opens flat then we can see continuation of trend. If it opens gap up then we need to see the resistance level to break before looking for CE trades. If it opens gap down then look for PE trades after support zone is broken. Let the market settle in first 15 to 30 minutes then look for directional trades. Book profits every 70 points as we are getting very few trending moves.
Nifty trades and targets for - 5/11/24Hello Everyone. The market was in a bearish mode today. If the market opens flat then we can see continuation of trend. If it opens gap up then we need to see the resistance level to break before looking for CE trades. If it opens gap down then look for PE trades after support zone is broken. Let the market settle in first 15 to 30 minutes then look for directional trades. Book profits every 30 points as we are getting very few trending moves.
Ambuja Cement 50Ema below
Price is trading below 50Ema and once price going below and trading below 566 we will see a fall till 555,
So flat opens and 566 below 15min candle closes then 561.20 as 1st tgt then 555-551 next tgt can be seen,
For any buying let price sustain and trade above 576 for atleast 30mins then we can see 580.20-581.10tgt can be seen,
If gap up or gap down opens then wait for 30mins then wait for 30mins mark high &low then trade on side price goes.
Note:- the Rectangle box at 566-561 is fib.golden ratio zone and here price can reverse or can continue as per Ema and candle stick pattern price is weak so we may be able to see 555 level or more.
This analysis is valid for only 5/11/2024 and will try to update under comments tab if there’s any price movement or any levels.
Taj GVK Hotels cmp 323.55 by Daily Chart view*Taj GVK Hotels cmp 323.55 by Daily Chart view*
- Support Zone 283 to 289 Price Band
- Stock Price is trending well above Rising Support Trendline
- Daily basis Support at 304 > 263 > 232 with Resistance at 357 > 389 > ATH 422.65
- *Symmetrical Triangle Breakout in a making with Huge Volumes surge by demand based buying*
Silver Buy for 34.5, 35, 37 TargetsMany Reasons why Silver is an attractive Buy Now :
1. Inverted H&S getting formed, and Buyers patience is getting tested. Moreover Sellers will be Stuck for Long time untill Jan 2025 Mid at these levels
2. Strong support at 32.50, 32.10, 31.80 in Silver
3. Inverted H&S being formed in Silver, and not breaking previous ATH Swing Zone towards downside
4. Iran is all prepared to attack Israel gain, as per Satellite Imagery, and Geopolitics news published.
5. Huge Buy by Bigtime Bullish Companies on Comex today.
6. NFP Data from Friday : Reaction of 12k Jobs vs 178k Jobs is still pending. These days reactions to such data come in 2-3 trading days, when Retailers think, Data was already discounted.
Silver Buy for 34.5, 35, 37 Targets with SL 31.80 is currently the best best..
Impact of US Elections will come subsequently, untill Jan 5th - 15th when exactly who is President Elect is chosen by Electoral Candidates. In past 5 times, majority party didn't have their Presidential Candidate, converted to President who actually took oath.