Part 1 Support and ResistanceThe Role of Options in Financial Markets
Options exist because they provide flexibility and risk management tools. Their role includes:
Hedging: Protecting portfolios from adverse price movements (insurance against loss).
Speculation: Betting on price direction with limited capital.
Leverage: Controlling large positions with small investment.
Income Generation: Selling options to earn premium income.
Arbitrage: Exploiting price differences between markets or instruments.
Why Traders Use Options
Options serve different purposes:
Investors: Hedge portfolios (e.g., protective puts).
Traders: Speculate on price moves (buying calls/puts).
Institutions: Manage risk exposure across assets.
Market Makers: Provide liquidity and earn spreads.
Psychology of an Options Trader
Trading is not just numbers, it’s emotions.
Fear and greed drive bad decisions.
Over-leverage leads to blowing up accounts.
Patience and discipline are more important than intelligence.
A successful trader has a trading plan, risk management, and psychological control.
Chart Patterns
Part 1 Candlestick PatternIntroduction to Options
Options are one of the most fascinating and versatile instruments in financial markets. Unlike traditional investments where you buy and hold an asset (like stocks, bonds, or commodities), options give you choices — hence the name. They allow traders and investors to speculate, hedge risks, generate income, and create strategies that fit different market conditions.
At their core, options are derivative contracts. This means they derive their value from an underlying asset (like a stock, index, currency, or commodity). If you understand how they work, you gain the ability to control large positions with relatively small capital. That’s why options are often referred to as “leverage instruments.”
However, with great power comes great responsibility. Options can be rewarding, but they also involve risks that many beginners overlook. Learning options trading is like learning a new language: at first, the terminology may seem overwhelming, but once you understand the basics, it becomes logical and structured.
History & Evolution of Options
Options are not a modern invention. Their roots go back thousands of years.
Ancient Greece: The earliest recorded use of options was by Thales, a philosopher who secured the right to use olive presses before harvest. When olive yields turned out abundant, he profited by leasing the presses at higher prices.
17th Century Netherlands: Options became popular in the Dutch tulip mania, where people speculated on tulip bulb prices.
Modern Options: Organized option trading as we know it started in 1973 with the creation of the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Alongside, the Black-Scholes model for option pricing was introduced, which gave traders a scientific framework to value options.
Today, options are traded globally — from U.S. exchanges like CBOE, CME, and NASDAQ to Indian platforms like NSE’s Options Market. They’ve also expanded into forex, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
Trading Master Class With ExpertsHistory & Evolution of Options
Options are not a modern invention. Their roots go back thousands of years.
Ancient Greece: The earliest recorded use of options was by Thales, a philosopher who secured the right to use olive presses before harvest. When olive yields turned out abundant, he profited by leasing the presses at higher prices.
17th Century Netherlands: Options became popular in the Dutch tulip mania, where people speculated on tulip bulb prices.
Modern Options: Organized option trading as we know it started in 1973 with the creation of the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Alongside, the Black-Scholes model for option pricing was introduced, which gave traders a scientific framework to value options.
Today, options are traded globally — from U.S. exchanges like CBOE, CME, and NASDAQ to Indian platforms like NSE’s Options Market. They’ve also expanded into forex, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
Why Traders Use Options
Options serve different purposes:
Investors: Hedge portfolios (e.g., protective puts).
Traders: Speculate on price moves (buying calls/puts).
Institutions: Manage risk exposure across assets.
Market Makers: Provide liquidity and earn spreads.
Risk Management in Options Trading
Options can wipe out capital if not managed properly. Key practices include:
Position Sizing: Never risk more than a fixed % of capital.
Stop Loss & Exit Rules: Define risk before entering.
Diversification: Avoid concentrating all trades on one asset.
Understanding Margin: Selling options requires large margin because risks are unlimited.
Hedging: Use spreads to limit risk.
PCR Trading StrategiesCommon Mistakes & Myths about Options
Myth: Options are only for experts. (Truth: Beginners can use basic strategies safely.)
Mistake: Treating options like lottery tickets.
Mistake: Ignoring time decay and volatility.
Mistake: Over-trading due to low cost of buying options.
Future of Option Trading
Algo & Quant Trading: Algorithms dominate global options volume.
Retail Boom: Platforms like Zerodha, Robinhood, and Binance bring retail investors into options.
AI & Machine Learning: Predictive models for volatility and pricing.
Global Expansion: Options on new assets like carbon credits, crypto, and ETFs.
Conclusion
Option trading is a powerful tool — a double-edged sword. It can be used for risk management, speculation, or income generation. To master options, one must:
Learn the basics (calls, puts, pricing).
Understand strategies (spreads, straddles, condors).
Respect risk management and psychology.
Stay updated with market trends and regulations.
With proper discipline, options can transform how you interact with markets, offering opportunities that stocks and bonds alone cannot.
Part 2 Support and ResistanceOption Trading Strategies
This is the most exciting part. Strategies range from simple to complex.
Beginner Strategies
Covered Call: Hold stock + sell call → generates income.
Protective Put: Hold stock + buy put → insurance against fall.
Cash-Secured Put: Sell put with enough cash reserved to buy stock if assigned.
Intermediate Strategies
Vertical Spread: Buy one option, sell another at different strikes.
Straddle: Buy call + put at same strike → profit from volatility.
Strangle: Buy call + put at different strikes.
Advanced Strategies
Iron Condor: Combines spreads to profit in low-volatility markets.
Butterfly Spread: Profit from limited movement near strike.
Calendar Spread: Exploit time decay by buying long-term and selling short-term options.
Risk Management in Options Trading
Options can wipe out capital if not managed properly. Key practices include:
Position Sizing: Never risk more than a fixed % of capital.
Stop Loss & Exit Rules: Define risk before entering.
Diversification: Avoid concentrating all trades on one asset.
Understanding Margin: Selling options requires large margin because risks are unlimited.
Hedging: Use spreads to limit risk.
AVANTEL 1 Week ViewKey Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages: The stock is trading above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), indicating a long-term uptrend.
Stochastic RSI: The stochastic RSI is in the overbought zone, suggesting potential for a short-term pullback.
MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is above the signal line, supporting the current bullish momentum.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: ₹134.33
Resistance: ₹143.30
EIHOTEL 1 Day View📈 Daily Support & Resistance Levels
Based on recent data, here are the critical levels:
Support Levels:
S1: ₹402.15
S2: ₹396.05
S3: ₹388.93
Resistance Levels:
R1: ₹412.75
R2: ₹417.25
R3: ₹423.35
These levels are derived from standard pivot point calculations and provide insight into potential price reversal zones.
🔍 Technical Indicators Overview
RSI (14-day): 55.79 – Neutral, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
MACD: 7.41 – Suggests a bearish trend, as the MACD line is above the signal line.
Moving Averages:
5-day EMA: ₹399.37 – Slightly below the current price, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
20-day EMA: ₹391.96 – Above the current price, suggesting medium-term bullish momentum.
50-day EMA: ₹381.97 – Above the current price, reinforcing the medium-term bullish outlook.
🧭 Trend Analysis
The stock is trading above its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, which typically indicates a bullish trend. However, the MACD suggests a potential short-term bearish phase. Traders should monitor the support and resistance levels closely for potential breakout or breakdown opportunities.
Divergence SecretsPsychology of an Options Trader
Trading is not just numbers, it’s emotions.
Fear and greed drive bad decisions.
Over-leverage leads to blowing up accounts.
Patience and discipline are more important than intelligence.
A successful trader has a trading plan, risk management, and psychological control.
Options in Different Markets
Options exist in many markets:
Equity Options (stocks like Reliance, TCS, Tesla, Apple).
Index Options (NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, S&P500).
Commodity Options (Gold, Crude, Agricultural products).
Forex Options (EUR/USD, USD/INR).
Crypto Options (Bitcoin, Ethereum).
Regulatory Aspects & Margin Requirements
In India, SEBI regulates options trading.
Margin requirements are high for sellers due to unlimited risk.
Exchanges like NSE and BSE provide liquidity in equity & index options.
Globally, SEC (USA) and ESMA (Europe) govern options.
Derivatives & Options TradingPart 1: What Are Derivatives?
Definition
A derivative is a financial contract whose value depends (or is derived) from the value of an underlying asset, index, or interest rate. For example:
A wheat futures contract derives its value from wheat prices.
A stock option derives its value from the stock price of a company.
A currency forward derives its value from the exchange rate of two currencies.
Thus, derivatives do not have standalone intrinsic value—they only exist because of their relationship with something else.
History of Derivatives
Derivatives are not new. In fact, they date back thousands of years:
Ancient Greece (600 BCE): The philosopher Thales used an early version of an option contract to secure the right to use olive presses.
17th Century Japan: The Dojima Rice Exchange in Osaka was the world’s first organized futures market.
19th Century USA: The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) formalized futures contracts in commodities like wheat and corn.
20th Century: Derivatives expanded beyond agriculture into financial assets like stocks, bonds, and interest rates.
Today, derivatives markets are global, electronic, and worth trillions of dollars daily.
Part 2: Types of Derivatives
Derivatives can be classified into four major categories:
1. Forwards
Private agreements between two parties to buy/sell an asset at a future date at a predetermined price.
Customized and traded over-the-counter (OTC).
Example: A coffee exporter enters into a forward contract with a U.S. buyer to sell coffee at $2 per pound in six months.
2. Futures
Standardized contracts traded on exchanges.
Legally binding to buy/sell an asset at a set price and date.
Highly liquid, with margin requirements for risk management.
Example: Nifty 50 futures in India or S&P 500 futures in the U.S.
3. Options
Contracts giving the buyer the right (but not obligation) to buy or sell the underlying asset at a set price before/at expiration.
Two types:
Call Option → Right to buy.
Put Option → Right to sell.
Traded globally on exchanges like NSE (India), CME (USA), etc.
4. Swaps
Agreements to exchange cash flows, often involving interest rates or currencies.
Example: A company with floating-rate debt may enter into an interest rate swap to convert it into fixed-rate payments.
Part 3: Understanding Options in Detail
Among all derivatives, options stand out because of their flexibility, leverage, and strategic use.
1. Basic Terms
Underlying Asset: The stock, commodity, or index on which the option is based.
Strike Price: The pre-agreed price at which the option can be exercised.
Premium: The price paid by the option buyer to the seller (writer).
Expiry Date: The date on which the option contract ends.
Call Option: Right to buy the asset at the strike price.
Put Option: Right to sell the asset at the strike price.
2. Call Options Example
Suppose Reliance stock trades at ₹2,500. You buy a Call Option with a strike price of ₹2,600 expiring in 1 month.
If Reliance rises to ₹2,800, you exercise the call and buy at ₹2,600 (profit = ₹200 per share minus premium).
If Reliance falls to ₹2,400, you simply let the option expire (loss limited to premium).
3. Put Options Example
Suppose Infosys trades at ₹1,600. You buy a Put Option with strike price ₹1,550.
If Infosys drops to ₹1,400, you sell at ₹1,550 (profit = ₹150 minus premium).
If Infosys rises above ₹1,550, you let it expire.
4. Option Writers (Sellers)
Unlike buyers, sellers have obligations.
Call Writer: Must sell at strike price if buyer exercises.
Put Writer: Must buy at strike price if buyer exercises.
Writers earn the premium but face unlimited risk if the market moves against them.
Part 4: Option Pricing
Options pricing is complex because it depends on several factors. The most widely used model is the Black-Scholes Model, but conceptually:
Factors Affecting Option Premium:
Spot Price of Underlying – Higher stock price increases call premium, decreases put premium.
Strike Price – Closer strike to market price = higher premium.
Time to Expiry – More time = more premium.
Volatility – Higher volatility increases both call & put premiums.
Interest Rates & Dividends – Minor impact but factored in.
This combination of variables explains why options are dynamic instruments requiring constant analysis.
Part 5: Options Trading Strategies
Options are not only used for speculation but also for hedging and generating income.
1. Hedging
Example: An investor holding Infosys stock can buy a put option to protect against downside.
2. Speculation
Traders can bet on price direction with limited risk.
Example: Buying a call option before earnings announcement.
3. Income Generation
Option writers earn premiums by selling covered calls or puts.
Popular Option Strategies:
Covered Call – Holding stock + selling call option to earn premium.
Protective Put – Buying stock + buying put for downside protection.
Straddle – Buying both call & put at same strike → betting on volatility.
Strangle – Buying out-of-the-money call & put → cheaper volatility play.
Butterfly Spread – A limited-risk, limited-reward strategy based on three strikes.
Iron Condor – Popular income strategy using four legs (two calls + two puts).
These strategies allow traders to profit not only from direction but also from volatility and time decay.
Part 6: Risks in Derivatives & Options
While derivatives are powerful, they come with risks.
1. Market Risk
Prices can move unpredictably, leading to heavy losses.
2. Leverage Risk
Small moves in underlying can cause big gains/losses due to leverage.
3. Liquidity Risk
Some derivatives may be illiquid, making exit difficult.
4. Counterparty Risk
In OTC contracts, one party may default. (Exchanges reduce this via clearing houses).
5. Complexity Risk
Beginners may misunderstand how pricing works, especially with options.
This is why regulators like SEBI (India) and CFTC (USA) impose margin requirements and position limits.
Part 7: Global Derivatives Markets
Major Hubs
CME Group (USA): Largest derivatives exchange, trades in futures & options.
Eurex (Europe): Known for interest rate and equity derivatives.
NSE (India): World leader in options trading volume, especially index options.
SGX (Singapore): Popular for Asian index derivatives.
Indian Derivatives Market
Launched in 2000 with Nifty futures.
Now among the top in the world by volume.
Products include index futures, stock futures, index options, stock options, and currency derivatives.
Part 8: Real-World Applications
Hedging:
Farmers hedge crop prices with futures.
Importers hedge currency risk with forwards.
Investors hedge stock portfolios with index options.
Speculation:
Traders use leverage to profit from short-term moves.
Options allow betting on volatility.
Arbitrage:
Taking advantage of mispricing between spot and derivatives markets.
Example: Cash-futures arbitrage.
Portfolio Management:
Funds use derivatives to reduce volatility and enhance returns.
Part 9: Benefits of Derivatives & Options
Risk Management: Hedge against uncertainty.
Leverage: Control large positions with small capital.
Flexibility: Profit from direction, volatility, or even time decay.
Liquidity: Highly traded instruments (especially index options).
Price Discovery: Futures help determine fair value of assets.
Part 10: Risks & Criticism
Despite benefits, derivatives have faced criticism:
They were central in the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (credit default swaps).
Excessive speculation can destabilize markets.
High leverage magnifies losses.
Warren Buffett famously called derivatives “financial weapons of mass destruction” if misused.
Conclusion
Derivatives and options trading represent one of the most fascinating and powerful segments of financial markets. From their ancient roots in agricultural trade to their modern dominance in global finance, derivatives play a crucial role in hedging, speculation, and arbitrage.
Options, in particular, offer unmatched flexibility by allowing traders to design strategies suited to bullish, bearish, or neutral market conditions. However, with this power comes complexity and risk.
For investors and traders, the key lies in education, discipline, and risk management. Derivatives can either safeguard portfolios and create wealth—or, if misused, lead to catastrophic losses.
Thus, mastering derivatives and options trading is less about chasing quick profits and more about understanding risk, probability, and strategy in a dynamic market environment.
Risk Management & Position Sizing1. Introduction
Trading and investing are not just about finding opportunities; they are about surviving long enough to capitalize on those opportunities. Many traders focus solely on strategies, indicators, or news but fail to recognize that risk management and position sizing are the backbone of long-term success.
It doesn’t matter if you have the best strategy in the world—without proper risk control, even a few bad trades can wipe out your account. On the other hand, a mediocre strategy with strict risk management can still keep you profitable over time.
Risk management is about protecting capital, while position sizing is about optimizing growth while keeping risks tolerable. Together, they determine not just whether you survive in the markets but whether you thrive.
2. Understanding Risk in Trading
Before diving into methods, let’s define risk:
Risk is the probability of losing part or all of your investment due to adverse price movements or unforeseen events.
Types of Risk
Market Risk – Prices move against you due to volatility, trends, or sudden news.
Credit Risk – Counterparty default risk (important in derivatives, bonds, and broker dealings).
Liquidity Risk – Inability to exit a position at desired prices due to thin volume.
Operational Risk – Failures in trading platforms, execution errors, or broker malfunctions.
Psychological Risk – Emotional decisions driven by fear, greed, or impatience.
Why Risk Management is Vital
Preserves trading capital to stay in the game.
Reduces emotional stress and impulsive decisions.
Helps achieve consistency in returns.
Shields from black swan events like 2008 crisis or COVID-19 crash.
3. Core Principles of Risk Management
3.1 Preservation of Capital
Your first goal isn’t to make money—it’s to avoid losing money unnecessarily. Even legendary traders say: “Take care of the downside, the upside will take care of itself.”
3.2 Risk vs. Reward
Every trade has a risk/reward ratio. If you risk ₹1,000 and aim to make ₹3,000, your ratio is 1:3. Good traders avoid trades with poor ratios like 2:1 risk/reward in their favor.
3.3 Probability & Expectancy
Trading is a game of probabilities.
Win rate × average win – (loss rate × average loss) = expectancy.
Positive expectancy ensures long-term profitability.
3.4 Diversification
Don’t put all eggs in one basket. Spread risk across assets, sectors, and strategies to reduce portfolio volatility.
4. Position Sizing Explained
What is Position Sizing?
Position sizing is deciding how much capital to allocate to a trade. Too small, and profits don’t matter; too large, and losses can be fatal.
Fixed Lot vs. Variable Lot
Fixed lot: Always trade the same number of shares/contracts.
Variable lot: Adjust size based on risk percentage, volatility, or account growth.
Position Sizing Models
Fixed Dollar Model – Risking a fixed cash amount (e.g., ₹10,000 per trade).
Fixed Percentage Risk Model – Risking 1–2% of account per trade (most popular).
Volatility-Based Model – Larger positions in stable assets, smaller in volatile ones.
Kelly Criterion – Mathematical formula to maximize growth while avoiding ruin.
5. Techniques of Risk Management in Practice
5.1 Stop-Loss Strategies
A stop-loss is a pre-set exit to limit losses.
Percentage Stop: Exit if loss exceeds 2% of capital.
Volatility Stop: Use ATR (Average True Range) to set dynamic stops.
Chart Stop: Place below support or above resistance.
5.2 Trailing Stops
Move stop-loss as trade moves in your favor—locking in profits while letting winners run.
5.3 Hedging
Use derivatives (options/futures) to protect against downside risk. Example: Buy a put to protect long equity.
5.4 Risk/Reward Ratios
Always look for trades where potential reward is at least 2–3x the risk.
6. The Psychology of Risk Management
Fear: Causes premature exits.
Greed: Leads to oversized positions.
Overconfidence: Makes traders ignore risk rules.
Impatience: Pushes traders into random trades.
Discipline, emotional control, and sticking to rules are as important as technical skills.
7. Position Sizing Strategies in Detail
Stocks
Use 2% rule: Never risk more than 2% of capital on a single stock.
Diversify across industries.
Forex
Calculate pip value and lot size using risk per trade.
Adjust for leverage; avoid risking more than 1%–2% of account per trade.
Futures & Options
Higher leverage = higher risk.
Use margin calculations and hedge positions with spreads.
Crypto
Extremely volatile.
Use smaller positions and wider stops.
Only risk what you can afford to lose.
8. Risk Management in Different Trading Styles
Day Trading
Use tight stops and small risk (0.5%–1%).
Trade frequently but with discipline.
Swing Trading
Moderate position sizes.
Wider stops, risk around 1%–2% per trade.
Position Trading
Long-term view, smaller number of trades.
Can risk slightly higher (up to 3%) but diversify more.
Scalping
Extremely small risks (0.1%–0.5%).
High frequency requires strict discipline.
9. Common Mistakes in Risk Management
Risking too much capital in one trade.
Ignoring correlation (e.g., buying multiple tech stocks all exposed to same risk).
Over-leveraging.
Moving stop-loss further away instead of accepting loss.
Trading without a written plan.
10. Building a Personal Risk Management Plan
Define Risk Tolerance – How much are you comfortable losing?
Capital Allocation Rules – Max % per trade, per sector, per asset.
Position Sizing Method – Choose fixed % or volatility-based.
Stop-Loss & Exit Rules – Define before entering trade.
Review & Journal – Track results and refine rules.
Conclusion
Risk management and position sizing are not optional—they are mandatory survival tools. While strategies and market analysis help find opportunities, only proper risk control ensures long-term consistency and growth.
The most successful traders are not the ones with the highest returns, but those who stay in the market longest with steady risk-adjusted growth.
Remember:
Preserve capital first.
Risk small, grow steady.
Size positions wisely.
That’s the ultimate formula for success in trading.
Price Action & Market StructurePart 1: Understanding Price Action
What is Price Action?
Price action refers to the movement of price plotted over time, without relying heavily on indicators. It studies the open, high, low, and close of candles or bars, combined with patterns, to forecast future movements.
Traders use price action to:
Identify market sentiment (bullish or bearish).
Spot areas of support and resistance.
Recognize chart patterns like triangles, flags, or head & shoulders.
Time entries and exits without clutter.
Core Elements of Price Action
Candlesticks – Each candlestick tells a story of supply and demand in a given time frame.
Bullish candles show dominance of buyers.
Bearish candles reflect sellers in control.
Long wicks indicate rejection of certain price levels.
Price Swings – Highs and lows are critical. They reveal whether the market is making higher highs/lows (uptrend) or lower highs/lows (downtrend).
Support & Resistance – Price action revolves around zones where price repeatedly reacts.
Support: a floor where buyers step in.
Resistance: a ceiling where sellers dominate.
Trendlines & Channels – Connecting swing highs or lows provides insight into the prevailing direction and potential breakout points.
Chart Patterns – Price action often forms recognizable patterns:
Continuation patterns: flags, pennants, triangles.
Reversal patterns: double top/bottom, head & shoulders, rounding bottom.
Part 2: Understanding Market Structure
What is Market Structure?
Market structure refers to the framework of how price moves through trends and consolidations. It is the “map” of the market, showing whether buyers or sellers are in control and how momentum shifts.
The structure can be broken into three main types:
Uptrend (bullish structure) – Higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
Downtrend (bearish structure) – Lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL).
Sideways (range-bound) – Price oscillates between support and resistance without clear trend.
Why Market Structure Matters
It provides context before placing trades.
Prevents trading against the dominant flow.
Helps identify when trends are about to reverse.
Acts as the backbone of supply and demand zones.
Anatomy of Market Structure
Impulse and Correction – Markets move in waves.
Impulse: strong directional move (trending leg).
Correction: smaller pullback before continuation or reversal.
Break of Structure (BOS) – A key event where price breaks past previous highs/lows, signaling trend continuation or reversal.
Market Phases
Accumulation: Institutions build positions quietly (range).
Markup: Trend begins (sharp price rally).
Distribution: Positions are offloaded (range or topping pattern).
Markdown: Price declines as sellers dominate.
Part 3: Price Action & Market Structure Combined
When combined, price action and market structure become a powerful toolkit:
Identify Market Structure – Determine if market is trending up, down, or sideways.
Use Price Action Signals – Look for candlestick rejections, patterns, or false breakouts at key structure points.
Validate with Support/Resistance or Supply/Demand Zones – Enter trades where price reacts strongly.
Set Risk Management – Place stops beyond structure zones (swing highs/lows).
For example:
In an uptrend, wait for price to pull back to a support level, then look for bullish candlestick patterns (hammer, engulfing) to confirm entry.
In a downtrend, wait for a retracement to resistance, then look for bearish rejection candles.
Part 4: Key Price Action Patterns within Market Structure
Pin Bar (Hammer / Shooting Star)
Signals rejection of price levels.
Works best at structure zones (support/resistance).
Engulfing Candle
A strong reversal signal when a large candle completely engulfs the previous one.
Inside Bar
Market consolidation before a breakout.
Double Top / Double Bottom
Classic reversal structures.
Head & Shoulders
Bearish reversal pattern at market tops.
Breakout & Retest
Price breaks structure and retests before continuation.
Part 5: Advanced Concepts
Supply & Demand Zones
Institutions leave “footprints” in the form of supply (where heavy selling originates) and demand zones (where aggressive buying starts). Identifying these zones within structure gives high-probability trade setups.
Liquidity Hunts (Stop Hunts)
Markets often move to trigger retail stop-losses before continuing in the intended direction. Recognizing liquidity pools near swing highs/lows is critical.
Order Flow & Market Manipulation
Big players manipulate price briefly before pushing it in the desired direction. Price action analysis allows traders to see these traps.
Part 6: Practical Trading Approach
Step 1: Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Start with higher timeframe (daily/weekly) to identify major structure.
Drop down to lower timeframes (1H/15M) for entries.
Step 2: Mark Structure & Zones
Draw key swing highs/lows.
Identify supply/demand or support/resistance.
Step 3: Wait for Price Action Confirmation
Look for rejection wicks, engulfing patterns, or BOS signals.
Step 4: Execute with Risk Management
Risk only 1–2% per trade.
Place stop beyond invalidation level (swing high/low).
Step 5: Trade Management
Scale out partial profits at key levels.
Trail stop-loss in trending markets.
Part 7: Psychology Behind Price Action & Structure
Trading without indicators forces traders to “see the market naked.” This can be intimidating but also liberating. Success depends on:
Patience: waiting for structure alignment and confirmation.
Discipline: not chasing every move.
Confidence: trusting the simplicity of price action.
Part 8: Case Studies
Example 1: Uptrend Continuation
Market forms HH & HL.
Pullback to demand zone.
Bullish engulfing candle appears.
Long entry → ride trend until new resistance forms.
Example 2: Trend Reversal
Market breaks below previous HL (BOS).
Retest as new resistance.
Shooting star candle appears.
Short entry → ride markdown phase.
Part 9: Common Mistakes in Price Action & Market Structure
Trading without higher timeframe context.
Misidentifying ranges as trends.
Entering trades without confirmation.
Overcomplicating with too many trendlines.
Ignoring risk management.
Part 10: Conclusion
Price action and market structure together form the backbone of professional trading. Instead of relying on lagging indicators, traders learn to read the “story” of price and align with institutional moves.
Key takeaways:
Price action reveals real-time market psychology.
Market structure provides the framework for trends and reversals.
Combining them gives a high-probability edge.
Success depends on patience, discipline, and risk control.
In essence, trading with price action and market structure is about aligning yourself with the natural rhythm of the market. The more you practice, the clearer the story of price becomes, and the greater your confidence in executing profitable trades.
Finally the breakout is done or has it not?Stock has been in long consolidation phase with ibu and para prices making lower lows since over stocking post covid. With the new initiative taken by management and prudent cash allocation from covid times, the volumes speak of more than what the PAT showcases.
Technically on weekly charts on the first day of the week, a good volume is seen. Close at 20% would be essential for the continuous up move.
Lupin LtdDate 08.09.2025
Lupin
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
Brands
(1) Lupin Life
(2) Lupin Diagnostics
(3) Life Atharv Ability
(4) SciFlix
(5) Humrahi
(6) Pharmarack
Leadership
(1) Respiratory
(2) Diabetes Care
(3) Cardiac Care
Lupin has partnered with Amman Pharma for exclusive marketing and
commercialization of Ranibizumab, a biosimilar of Lucentis, in the Middle East region, including select territories of Jordan, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iraq, Lebanon, and other GCC countries
Sales Mix
(1) India 34%
(2) US 38%
(3) API 5%
(4) EMEA 10%
(5) ROW 4%
(5) Growth markets 9%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 89,467 Cr.
(2) Stock P/E 24
(3) ROCE 21%
(4) ROE 20%
(5) OPM 23%
(6) PEG 0.48
(7) Sales Growth 12%
(8) Profit Growth 63%
(9) Promoter 47%
(10) DII 25%
Regards,
Ankur
URJA a worthy penny stock??? detailed analysis - education only!short term speculative trade? - educational purpose
in the past the stock after touching longterm trendline bounces significantly
personally I'm allocation 1-2.5% of my total capital into this speculative trade with 50%+ sl
Momentum in Fundamentals:
FY24 saw total revenue grow from ₹39.58 Cr in FY23 to ₹44.47 Cr (+12.4%), and PBT rise 43.9% to ₹2.85 Cr. Net profit jumped 33.3% to ₹2.04 Cr.
On a nine-month basis (ending December 2023), net profit improved to ₹2.38 Cr from ₹1.89 Cr year-on-year. Margins (PATM) also increased to 7.49% from 6.41%.
Recent Quarterly Jump: In Q3 FY25, revenue surged to ₹14.35 Cr compared to ₹1.16 Cr the previous year. While net profit fell from ₹0.98 Cr to ₹0.36 Cr, the revenue growth was significant. Importantly, this spike triggered a 5% upper-circuit move in the stock.
ROE & ROCE Trends:Urja Global's Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) have been improving over the past two years—indicating increasing efficiency.
Low Leverage: The company maintains low debt and has zero promoter pledge, implying a cleaner balance sheet and lower financial risk relative to highly leveraged peers.
Stock Performance History:
Despite high valuations, its stock has delivered remarkable returns—~175% over one year and ~735% over five years (as of May 2024).
NIFTY Analysis 9 SEPTEMBER, 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amNifty 50 is showing short covering from the oversold zone (very important)
Nifty has closed near the fake 42.6% level, signaling a possible flat opening.
Expected opening zone today near 24805
Sustaining above 24805 may lead to consolidation
First breakout zone to watch. 24860.(very important)
If sustained above 24860, next upside move 24950.
Beyond 24950, the move may extend towards 24987 and 25137
If unable to sustain above 24752, risk of downside pressure increases
On 15-min chart, watch for a bearish bb band below side
If formed, Nifty may slip towards 24699
Breaking below 24699 may extend weakness to 24643
Further breakdown could test 24560.
Focus on 4-hour ,45 minut and 15- min patterns for clarity.high,low and closing is very important of last day
Gold Trading Strategy for 09th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Setup
🟢 Buy Setup
Condition: Enter long above the high of the 1-hour candle that closes above $3655.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $3667
🎯 Target 2: $3678
🎯 Target 3: $3689
🔴 Sell Setup
Condition: Enter short below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below $3616.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $3605
🎯 Target 2: $3595
🎯 Target 3: $3585
⚠️ Disclaimer
📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in Gold or any financial instrument involves risk, including potential loss of capital. Please do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold's historic rally continues!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Monday (September 8), spot gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range, currently trading around $3,597/oz. Influenced by exceptionally weak US non-farm payroll data, spot gold prices surged, reaching $3,600/oz in London, a record high. The market now believes there is approximately a 10% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September. Investors should be wary of the risk of a significant rate cut at this meeting. From a broader perspective, the fundamentals of international gold are exceptionally strong. Non-yielding gold has stood out in an environment of low interest rates and high uncertainty. This rally is not a flash in the pan; it is built on a solid foundation of multiple factors, including a weak US dollar and expectations of a global economic slowdown. Another major pillar of gold's gains is continued central bank buying. In addition to domestic US economic factors, international geopolitical turmoil has also provided strong support for gold. Gold traders are focused on this week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. If progress is made in combating inflation, this will strengthen the case for a rate cut at the September 16-17 meeting. Market sentiment for rate cuts has reached its limit. A slight rise in the CPI may lead to temporary caution in international gold prices, but the overall bull market remains intact.
Technical Analysis:
Non-farm payroll data fueled gold buying, extending the trend structure and reaching a new all-time high. Spot gold prices hit another all-time high, posting their strongest single-week gain. Weak US non-farm payroll data further heightened expectations of a Fed rate cut, and amidst growing global economic uncertainty, gold's strong rally has gained new momentum. The weekly chart showed a strong bullish trend. After seven consecutive daily gains, the eighth candlestick formed a small bearish retracing line, retracing to the 3516 level. After a correction, the 5-day moving average regained support. Following Friday's positive non-farm payroll data, gold once again broke through its all-time high, reaching the 3600 mark, driven by the convergence of technical and fundamental factors. The daily candlestick structure remains a buy signal! Price is trading within the upper Bollinger Band, with the RSI nearing the 80-day mark. The latest 10/7-day moving averages are moving upward to 3498/35. The daily and weekly trends remain bullish, but the RSI is approaching overbought territory, prompting caution for potential corrections. On the four-hour chart, price is trading within the upper middle Bollinger Band, with the moving averages remaining upward, maintaining its upward trend. The trading strategy for gold at the start of the week continues to be primarily buy-on-low.
Trading Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 3572-3575, stop loss at 3564, target at 3600-3620;
Short-term gold sell at 3636-3639, stop loss at 3648, target at 3590-3570;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 3572, Second Support Level: 3555, Third Support Level: 3538
First Resistance Level: 3600, Second Resistance Level: 3616, Third Resistance Level: 3636
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ANALYSIS
Hello colleague, how are you?
Today I bring you a different kind of analysis, designed to be understood on a purely visual level. Because when we're in front of the chart, in the arena, in the cage... there's no room for bullshit or distractions. Here, we fight, and whoever comes in with a confused mind always ends up crushed.
Trading is a ruthless game, like a game of chess. And the winner isn't the one who knows a thousand abstract theories, but the one who has clear ideas, simple concepts, and concrete results.
Think about it: there are few pieces on the chessboard, but the possible moves reach 10^120. That means there are more combinations in a game of chess than stars in our galaxy. An insane number. Yet, the winner isn't the one who gets lost in complexities, but the one who knows how to move those few pieces well with cunning, craftiness, and awareness.
Trading is nothing but this: a continuous battle between you and the market. It moves its pawns, it provokes you, it deceives you, it tries to screw you over. And you? You must observe, wait for its move, analyze it, imagine its counter-move, and only then react.
The tools are few and clear: liquidity, support, resistance, trend.
You don't need an infinite arsenal: you need the basics, the ability to interpret, and the coolness to respond.
I dedicate most of my time to the charts, studying the market, building indicators that actually work instead of complicating life. Over the years, I've understood that behind every strategy, every concept, every approach, there's always a common denominator: simplicity .
So remember this well, colleague: you hold the power in your hands, the power to decide. The market has made its move... what about you? How will you respond?
NEWS
✅ Ethereum is shining again as “digital oil” with a +200% rise in five months, driven by massive institutional investments via ETFs, making Bitcoin pale in comparison!
✅ ETFs and whales are pumping Ethereum: bullish flows and strategic accumulations are putting directional pressure on the price; it looks like it's set for the next push.
SECRETS
🔓 Ethereum is transforming into ultra-sound money: thanks to EIP-1559 and the Merge, it now burns more ETH than it issues daily, with emissions crushed to 1,600 ETH/day, compared to the 13,000 under PoW.
🔓 A core dev's wallet was cleaned out by a malicious AI extension: a sophisticated attack that rips ETH directly from the platform's tech heart.
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