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Gold Structure Update – Bulls Still in Control next 4518++Hello everyone, gold is trading inside a clear rising channel, and the structure remains bullish with higher lows intact. After the recent upside move, price has pulled back toward the lower side of the channel, which is a normal and healthy move in a strong trend. This pullback is happening exactly where buyers are expected to step in. As long as price holds above the marked support zone, the probability still favors upside continuation, not breakdown. Strong trends usually pause, shake out weak hands, and then continue. For now, there is no sign of trend failure. Only a clean break and acceptance below support would change the view. Until then, this remains a buy-on-pullback market, not a place to panic or chase. Key Levels to Watch Buy Zone: 4466–4463 Stop Loss: Below 4445 1st Target: 4480 2nd Target: 4500 3rd Target: 4518 Bias: Bullish above support Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If this update helped, like and follow for regular updates.
TICKMILL:XAUUSDLong
by TraderRahulPal
1
SAIL - Weekly - LongThis is a weekly chart of the SAIL, so it is useful for positional or swing trading. First, let’s understand the trend based on the markings. Earlier on the left side, the stock was making lower highs and lower lows, which clearly shows a downtrend. This phase is marked with “lower low” arrows. After that, the selling pressure reduced and the price started stabilizing. From the middle of the chart onward, you can see the structure changing. The stock started making higher lows. This is the first sign that the downtrend is ending and accumulation is happening. Later, the price moved above the 20 EMA and started respecting it as support. Each dip near the 20 EMA formed a higher low, which confirms a trend shift from downtrend to uptrend. Now, focus on the 20 EMA. In the recent candles, price is staying above the 20 EMA. The candle marked as “elephant bar above 20 EMA” shows strong buying interest. A large green candle closing above the moving average usually indicates strength and momentum returning to the stock. As long as price stays above the 20 EMA on a weekly closing basis, the trend remains positive. Resistance and breakout view. There was a clear resistance zone around the 139–140 area. The price has now moved above this level, which is marked as “resistance broken”. When an old resistance is broken, it often turns into support. This breakout improves the probability of further upside. Volumes analysis. Volume was relatively low during the sideways and base formation phase. Recently, volume has expanded on the bullish candle, which is marked as “high volumes”. This is important because a breakout with higher volume shows genuine participation and not just a weak bounce. Rising price with rising volume supports the bullish view. RSI analysis. RSI is around the 60–65 zone. This indicates strength but not overbought conditions. RSI staying above 50 usually supports an uptrend. Since RSI is rising and comfortably above 50, it confirms positive momentum. There is still room for upside before RSI reaches extreme levels. Overall trend conclusion. The structure has shifted from lower lows to higher lows. Price is above the 20 EMA, resistance is broken, volume is supporting the move, and RSI confirms strength. All these signals together indicate a bullish trend on the weekly timeframe. Entry plan. A safer entry would be on a small pullback towards the broken resistance zone or near the 20 EMA, around 138–142, if price shows support in this area. Aggressive traders can also enter on a weekly close above the breakout level if the next candle holds above it. Stop loss placement. Stop loss should be below the recent higher low or below the 20 EMA on a weekly closing basis. A practical stop loss zone would be around 128–130. This keeps you protected if the breakout fails. Targets and risk management. The first target can be near the previous swing resistance around 155–160. If momentum continues, the next positional target can be near 168–170. Risk only a small portion of your capital on this trade, ideally 1–2 percent. Position size should be calculated based on the distance between entry and stop loss. Do not move the stop loss upward too quickly; let the trade breathe as long as the price respects the 20 EMA. In simple words, this chart shows a clear trend reversal into an uptrend. Patience, disciplined entry near support, and strict risk management are the key to trading this setup safely.
NSE:SAILLong
by PowerOfTA
2
XAUUSD (H1) – Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed, caution POC.Market overview Spot gold has pushed above $4,470/oz, extending its strong performance after setting multiple record highs throughout 2025. The broader bullish backdrop remains intact, supported by trade-war concerns, ongoing geopolitical instability, and accommodative monetary policy across major economies. Strong and persistent buying from central banks continues to underpin gold’s long-term outlook into 2026. Technical view – Inverse Head & Shoulders On the H1 chart, gold has clearly formed an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure: Left shoulder: Formed after the initial sharp sell-off Head: A deeper liquidity sweep with strong rejection Right shoulder: Higher low, showing sellers losing momentum Neckline / POC zone: Around the 4460–4470 area, where price is currently reacting The breakout above the neckline confirms bullish intent. However, price is now trading around a POC (Point of Control), which is often prone to psychological reactions and choppy price action. Key levels to watch Bullish continuation zone Holding above the neckline keeps the bullish structure valid. A clean acceptance above the POC opens the door for continuation toward higher liquidity and Fibonacci extension targets. Pullback & risk zone Liquidity risk: 4333 – 4349 If the market fails to hold above the neckline, a deeper pullback into this liquidity zone is possible before buyers step back in. Fundamental context Gold’s recovery is driven by trade-war fears, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of looser monetary policy globally. Central bank demand remains a key pillar supporting prices. In 2026, gold performance will continue to be influenced by USD valuation, overall risk sentiment, and central bank policy decisions. Lana’s trading approach No chasing near the POC. Expect reactions and fake moves. Prefer buying pullbacks rather than entering at highs. If price holds above the neckline with strong structure, bullish continuation remains the main scenario. If the neckline fails, wait patiently for liquidity to be taken lower before looking for new buy setups. This analysis reflects Lana’s personal market view and is for study purposes only. Always manage risk carefully. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
2
SMALL CAP INDEXHello & welcome to this analysis The index appears to be ending a wedge pattern near an Ichimoku cloud resistance with future Kumo bearish. It also has a slanting channel upper trendline resistance approaching. The wedge would be considered broken below 17775, downside levels where it could then retrace to would be the Ichimoku Base line near 17400 and if that fails to hold it could further retrace till 16600 where it would form a Bullish Harmonic Gartley. The PRZ of the Gartley coincides with a gap up area and the slanting channel lower trendline. This bearish view would be invalid above 18150 All the best
NSE:CNXSMALLCAPShort
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
1
ETHUSD | Premium Zone Reaction After Impulsive Rally (SMC Short Market Context Ethereum has delivered a strong impulsive move to the upside, breaking previous structure and expanding aggressively from the discount region. Price is now trading inside a higher-timeframe premium zone, where distribution is likely to occur. This area aligns with smart money profit-taking after a strong expansion phase. Technical Confluence Strong bullish displacement from HTF demand Price now trading above equilibrium (premium) Reaction near previous supply / imbalance zone Loss of momentum at highs → signs of exhaustion Ideal area for mean reversion / pullback Trade Plan Bias: Short (counter-trend, mean reversion) Entry: From premium / supply zone Stop Loss: Above premium high (invalidation) Targets: TP1: Equilibrium (50% retracement) TP2: Previous demand / imbalance zone Risk-to-reward remains favorable due to elevated entry location. A strong candle close above the premium zone will invalidate the short bias and indicate continuation of bullish expansion. Disclaimer: only for educational purpose. my entry: 3188.91 sl: 3239 tp: 3050 to 3080
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by IITian_Wizard
Learning Fundamental Market AnalysisA Complete Foundation for Smart Investing Learning fundamental market analysis is one of the most important steps for anyone who wants to understand how financial markets truly work. Unlike short-term price-based trading methods, fundamental analysis focuses on the real value of an asset, the economic forces behind price movements, and the long-term sustainability of businesses, sectors, and economies. It is the backbone of investing used by institutions, long-term investors, portfolio managers, and even policymakers. At its core, fundamental market analysis answers a simple but powerful question: What is the true worth of an asset, and is the market pricing it correctly? What Is Fundamental Market Analysis? Fundamental market analysis is the study of economic, financial, and qualitative factors that influence the value of financial instruments such as stocks, bonds, currencies, commodities, and indices. It evaluates everything from a company’s earnings and balance sheet to interest rates, inflation, government policies, and global economic trends. The goal is to identify whether an asset is: Undervalued (price below intrinsic value → potential buy) Overvalued (price above intrinsic value → potential sell) Fairly valued (price reflects fundamentals → hold or avoid) Why Learning Fundamentals Is Essential Fundamental analysis provides clarity and confidence in decision-making. While prices may fluctuate daily due to news or speculation, fundamentals act as an anchor. Key benefits include: Understanding why markets move, not just how Identifying long-term investment opportunities Reducing emotional and impulsive trading decisions Building conviction during market volatility Aligning investments with economic cycles In uncertain markets, fundamentals separate informed investors from speculators. Core Pillars of Fundamental Market Learning 1. Economic Analysis (Macro Fundamentals) Economic analysis studies the overall health and direction of an economy. Markets are deeply influenced by macroeconomic variables, making this the first layer of fundamental learning. Important economic indicators include: GDP growth – Measures economic expansion or contraction Inflation – Impacts purchasing power and interest rates Interest rates – Influence borrowing, spending, and asset prices Employment data – Reflects economic strength and demand Fiscal and monetary policy – Government spending and central bank actions For example, rising interest rates often pressure equity markets while supporting currency strength. 2. Industry and Sector Analysis Not all industries perform equally at the same time. Sector analysis helps investors understand which industries benefit from current economic conditions. Key considerations: Business cycle stage (early, mid, late, recession) Demand-supply dynamics Technological disruption Regulatory environment Competitive intensity For instance, infrastructure and capital goods often perform well during economic expansion, while FMCG and healthcare tend to be defensive during slowdowns. 3. Company Analysis (Micro Fundamentals) Company-level analysis is the heart of equity fundamental learning. It involves evaluating a firm’s financial health, profitability, management quality, and future growth prospects. Key financial statements studied: Income Statement – Revenue, expenses, profit margins Balance Sheet – Assets, liabilities, debt, equity Cash Flow Statement – Operating, investing, and financing cash flows Important metrics include: Earnings growth Return on equity (ROE) Debt-to-equity ratio Profit margins Free cash flow Beyond numbers, qualitative factors such as management integrity, brand strength, corporate governance, and competitive advantage play a crucial role. Fundamental Analysis Across Asset Classes Stocks Focus on earnings, growth potential, valuation ratios, and industry position. Bonds Analyze interest rates, inflation, credit ratings, and issuer stability. Currencies Driven by interest rate differentials, trade balances, capital flows, and economic stability. Commodities Influenced by global demand, supply disruptions, geopolitics, and weather patterns. Each market uses the same fundamental principles but applies them differently. Valuation: Estimating True Worth A critical part of fundamental learning is valuation—determining intrinsic value. Common valuation methods include: Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Price-to-Book (P/B) Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Dividend Discount Model (DDM) Valuation does not predict short-term prices but helps investors assess risk versus reward over time. Fundamental Analysis vs Market Noise Markets often react to headlines, rumors, and emotions. Fundamental learners develop the ability to filter noise from substance. Examples: A temporary price drop due to negative news may create a buying opportunity if fundamentals remain strong. A sharp rally without earnings growth may signal overvaluation. This discipline helps investors stay rational when others panic or chase trends. Time Horizon and Fundamental Thinking Fundamental market analysis is best suited for: Medium to long-term investing Portfolio building Wealth creation strategies Strategic trading aligned with macro trends It complements technical analysis by providing direction, while technicals help with timing. Risk Management Through Fundamentals Understanding fundamentals reduces risk by: Avoiding weak or overleveraged companies Recognizing economic downturn signals early Diversifying across sectors and asset classes Aligning investments with global trends Fundamental learning emphasizes capital preservation before profit maximization. Common Mistakes Beginners Make Ignoring macroeconomic context Focusing only on ratios without understanding the business Overreacting to short-term earnings misses Confusing price growth with value creation Neglecting debt and cash flow analysis Learning fundamentals is a gradual process that rewards patience and consistency. The Long-Term Power of Fundamental Market Learning Fundamental analysis builds a framework for lifelong investing. It helps investors think independently, evaluate opportunities objectively, and avoid herd mentality. Over time, those who master fundamentals: Develop strong market intuition Make disciplined investment decisions Build resilient portfolios Achieve sustainable wealth growth Conclusion Learning fundamental market analysis is not about predicting tomorrow’s price—it is about understanding value, economics, and business reality. It transforms market participation from speculation into informed decision-making. In a world of fast information and constant market noise, fundamentals provide clarity, stability, and strategic advantage. Whether you are an investor, trader, or financial enthusiast, mastering fundamental analysis is a cornerstone skill that shapes long-term success in financial markets.
NSE:COALINDIAEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Bitcoin buy recommended on Friday 94000 target hit 98000 next Parameter Data Asset Name/LTP Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) LTP: $94,046.91 Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart) 💰 Current Trade BUY ON DIPS Active. T1: $95,500, T2: $98,000, SL: $91,200. 📈 Price Movement 🟩 +2.74% (+$2,505). Day High: $94,232. Low: $91,541. 🌊 SMC Structure 🟩 Bullish: Trend Continuation. Demand Zone raised to $91,500 (Previous Resistance). 🌊 Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟩 Liquidity: Bears trapped at $93,000 breakout. Next Liquidity Pool: $98,500 (Nov Highs). 💰 Probability 82% (Bullish - Strong ETF Inflows + War Narrative) 💰 Risk Reward 1 : 2.5 💰 Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Very High) 💰 Max Pain 🟩 Bullish: $90,000 (Price squeezing Option Sellers). 📈 Trend Direction 🟩 Bullish: Strong Uptrend. Price > 20, 50, 200 EMAs. 📊 DEMA Levels 🟩 Bullish: Price >> DEMA 20 ($92,100) & DEMA 50 ($90,500). 📈 Supports (Technical) S1: $93,000 (Flip Zone) 📈 Resistances (Technical) R1: $94,250 (Day High) 📊 ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 Bullish: RSI (14): 71.40 (Overbought but Strong). ADX: 26.7 (Trend Building). 🌊 Market Depth 🟩 Bullish: Bid wall thickening at $93,800. ⚠️ Volatility (ATR) 🟥 High: ATR (14): $439. High Volatility expected. ⚠️ Source Ledger 🟩 Verified: Barchart, TradingView, CoinMarketCap (Jan 5 Live Data). 🌊 Open Interest (OI) 🟩 Long Buildup: OI +1.46% (Rising participation). 🌊 PCR (Put Call Ratio) 🟩 0.95 (Bullish bias; Call buying dominating). 🌊 VWAP 🟩 Bullish: Price ($94,046) > VWAP ($93,200). 🌊 Turnover/Volume 🟩 High: $37.20B (24h Volume) - Active Participation. 📊 Harmonic Pattern 🟩 Bullish: "Cup and Handle" breakout on 4H chart. 🌊 IV/RV 🟥 Rising: Implied Volatility increasing due to macro events. 🌊 Options Skew 🟩 Bullish: Call Skew; OTM Calls ($100k Strike) expensive. 🌊 Vanna/Charm 🟩 Positive: Dealers hedging upward moves. 🏛️ Block Trades 🟩 Active: Large OTC buys reported (~$353M Inflows). 🏛️ COT Positioning 🟩 Bullish: Institutional Longs increasing (CME Report). 🔗 Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive: Correlated with Gold (+2.9%) & Tech Stocks. 🏛️ ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows: Strong Inflows into IBIT and FBTC today. 💰 Sentiment Index 🟩 Greed: (Score: 72) - Market optimism returning. 🌊 OFI (Order Flow Index) 🟩 Bullish: Aggressive Taker Buy orders. 🌊 Delta 🟩 Positive: Cumulative Delta (CVD) trending up. 🌊 VWAP Bands 🟩 Bullish: Price breaking above +2 SD Band. 🔗 Rotation Metrics 🟩 Leader: Crypto outperforming Traditional FX. 🌊 Market Phase 🟩 Expansion: Price Discovery Mode. 🌊 Gamma Exposure 🟩 Positive: Dealers long gamma, dampening dips. 🔗 Intermarket Confirmation 🟩 Bullish: Ethereum > $3,200; Solana > $135. ⚠️ Upcoming Event Risk 🟨 Medium: US ISM Services Data (Tomorrow).
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
3
Auropharma at crucial levelAs per the daily chart, the price is forming an inverted head and shoulder pattern. The price should sustain the zone 1250 - 1260 to move up. Today's movement shows, the bulls have the strength to give a movement. If the price opens above 1230 and shows bullish strength, buy above 1236 with the stop loss of 1224 for the targets 1246, 1258, 1272 and 1286. If the price has a pullback towards the 1200 zone and shows bullish strength, buy above 1206 with the stop loss of 1196 for the targets 1218, 1232, 1246, 1258, 1272 and 1286. Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
NSE:AUROPHARMALong
by vanathi
Profits from Calls and PutsUnderstanding Calls and Puts A call option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy an underlying asset (such as a stock, index, or commodity) at a predetermined price called the strike price, on or before a specified expiry date. A put option gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying asset at the strike price within the same time framework. The seller (or writer) of the option takes on the opposite obligation. In exchange for assuming this risk, the seller receives a premium, which is the price of the option. This premium is central to how profits and losses are generated. Profit Mechanism in Call Options Profits for Call Buyers Call buyers profit when the price of the underlying asset rises above the strike price plus the premium paid. The logic is straightforward: if the market price exceeds the strike, the option gains intrinsic value. For example, if a trader buys a call option with a strike price of ₹1,000 and pays a premium of ₹20, the break-even point is ₹1,020. Any price above this level before expiry results in profit. The higher the price rises, the greater the profit potential. One of the most attractive features of buying calls is unlimited upside potential. Since there is no theoretical cap on how high a stock or index can rise, the profit from a call option can grow significantly, while the maximum loss is limited to the premium paid. Profits for Call Sellers Call sellers profit when the underlying asset stays below the strike price or does not rise enough to offset the premium received. In this case, the option expires worthless, and the seller keeps the entire premium as profit. Call selling is often used in range-bound or mildly bearish markets. However, the risk is substantial. If the underlying price rises sharply, losses can be unlimited because the seller is obligated to sell the asset at the strike price regardless of how high the market price goes. Profit Mechanism in Put Options Profits for Put Buyers Put buyers profit when the price of the underlying asset falls below the strike price minus the premium paid. A put option increases in value as the market declines, making it a powerful tool for bearish speculation or portfolio protection. For instance, if a trader buys a put option with a strike price of ₹1,000 at a premium of ₹25, the break-even point is ₹975. Any price below this level generates profit. As the price continues to fall, the value of the put increases. The maximum profit for a put buyer occurs if the underlying asset falls to zero. While this is unlikely for most stocks or indices, it highlights the strong downside leverage that puts provide. The maximum loss, once again, is limited to the premium paid. Profits for Put Sellers Put sellers profit when the underlying asset remains above the strike price or does not fall enough to overcome the premium received. If the option expires out of the money, the seller retains the entire premium as income. Put selling is often considered a bullish or neutral strategy. Many investors use it to generate regular income or to acquire stocks at lower prices. However, the risk lies in sharp declines. If the underlying asset collapses, the put seller may face significant losses, limited only by the asset price reaching zero. Role of Premium, Time, and Volatility Profits from calls and puts are not determined solely by price direction. Three major factors influence option pricing and profitability: Time Decay (Theta) Options lose value as they approach expiry. Buyers suffer from time decay, while sellers benefit from it. This is why option sellers often profit in sideways markets where price movement is limited. Volatility (Vega) Higher volatility increases option premiums. Call and put buyers benefit when volatility rises after they enter a trade, while sellers profit when volatility contracts. Intrinsic and Extrinsic Value Profits are influenced by how much intrinsic value an option gains and how much extrinsic value remains. Traders who understand this balance can time entries and exits more effectively. Profiting in Different Market Conditions Bullish Markets: Call buying and put selling are commonly used to profit from upward price movement. Bearish Markets: Put buying and call selling are preferred to benefit from falling prices. Sideways Markets: Option sellers profit from time decay by selling calls or puts, or by using neutral strategies. High-Volatility Markets: Option buyers often benefit due to expanding premiums, while sellers must be cautious. Risk–Reward Characteristics One of the defining features of calls and puts is their asymmetric risk–reward structure. Buyers have limited risk and potentially large rewards, making them suitable for directional bets and event-based trades. Sellers, on the other hand, enjoy high probability trades with limited profit potential but carry larger and sometimes unlimited risk. Successful options traders balance this trade-off by position sizing, risk management, and sometimes combining calls and puts into structured strategies. Strategic Use of Calls and Puts Calls and puts are rarely used in isolation by experienced traders. They are often combined to create spreads, hedges, and income strategies. However, even as standalone instruments, they provide powerful ways to express market views with precision. Investors use puts as insurance against portfolio declines, while calls are used to gain leveraged exposure without committing large capital. Traders exploit short-term price movements, volatility changes, and time decay to generate consistent profits. Conclusion Profits from calls and puts arise from a deep interplay between price movement, time, and volatility. Call options reward bullish expectations, while put options benefit bearish views or serve as protection. Buyers enjoy limited risk with high reward potential, whereas sellers generate steady income by taking on higher risk. Understanding how and why profits are generated from calls and puts allows traders to choose the right strategy for the right market condition. When used with discipline, proper risk management, and a clear market view, calls and puts become not just speculative tools, but essential instruments for professional trading and long-term investing.
NSE:INDIAVIXEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Cipla at a Decision ZoneCipla has bounced from a clear support cluster and printed a strong bullish candle , closing back above both the 50-DMA and 200-DMA . This shows buyers are active and defending lower levels. Momentum is also improving, with RSI moving back above 50 , supporting the short-term bounce . However, price is now testing a key resistance / supply zone , and the broader structure is still sideways . The 50-DMA is flattening and drifting toward the 200-DMA , so trend confirmation is still missing . Bullish only if: Price holds above resistance and sustains above key averages . Risk remains if: Price gets rejected and slips back below the moving averages . For now, this is a decision zone , not a clear trade setup . Patience is key . Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:CIPLA
by WaveXplorer
1
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 06/01/2026A flat to mildly cautious opening is expected in Nifty 50, with price currently trading near the 26,240–26,260 zone, which is acting as a short-term decision area. After the recent up-move, the index has paused near this zone, indicating profit booking and consolidation rather than fresh aggressive buying. This confirms that the market is waiting for a clear directional trigger before committing to the next move. On the upside, a sustained move above 26,250 will be the key bullish trigger. If Nifty manages to hold above this level, long positions can be considered with upside targets at 26,350, 26,400, and 26,450+. A clean breakout and acceptance above 26,250–26,300 may invite follow-through buying and continuation of the broader bullish structure. On the downside, if the index fails to sustain and breaks below 26,200, selling pressure may increase. In such a scenario, short trades can be planned with downside targets at 26,150, 26,100, and 26,000-, where strong support is expected to emerge. Until a decisive breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should remain disciplined, focus on level-based execution, and avoid aggressive trades during this consolidation phase.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
Reliance ending diogonal in wave 5Reliance Industries Limited – Ending Diagonal in Wave (5) | Structure from April 2025 The advance in Reliance from the April 2025 low has unfolded as a clear impulsive structure. With Wave (1) through Wave (4) in place, the ongoing rise appears to be Wave (5) of the larger sequence. The internal structure of the current leg shows overlapping price action within a rising wedge, indicating a fifth-wave ending diagonal: Overlapping sub-waves Loss of upside momentum near highs Price respecting diagonal trendline boundaries These characteristics typically appear at the terminal stage of a trend. If this interpretation is correct, Wave (5) is either complete or in its final phase. A decisive breakdown below the lower diagonal boundary would confirm the end of Wave (5) and signal the start of a corrective ABC phase. Key takeaways: Ending diagonals imply trend exhaustion, not strength Risk increases for fresh longs at this stage Post-diagonal corrections are usually swift and deep
NSE:RELIANCEShort
by bijoy2526
EURUSD – Liquidity Sweep + Break of Descending ChannelTimeframe: 1H Bias: Bullish Reversal Concepts Used: Liquidity Sweep • Discount Pricing • Reversal Structure • FVG • Channel Break Trade Idea Summary EURUSD has swept major sell-side liquidity below the previous swing low and immediately reacted from a deep discount demand zone. After the liquidity grab, price broke out of the descending channel, indicating a possible shift toward bullish order flow. if Price also tap into an imbalance (FVG) and has shown a clean corrective retest of the breakout level. All these confluences point toward a higher probability long continuation. 🟢 Long Setup Details Entry: 1.17140 – 1.17160 Stop Loss: 1.16830 (below the liquidity sweep zone) Take Profit: 1.17800 (premium zone / upper imbalance fill) Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:3.5 Trade Narrative ✔ Price took out liquidity below the major lows ✔ Strong bullish displacement afterwards ✔ Retesting the channel trendline + equilibrium zone ✔ Price trading from discount toward premium ✔ Clean inefficiency above acting as magnet As long as EURUSD holds above the retest zone, bullish continuation toward the premium area is expected. This setup remains valid until price breaks below the liquidity sweep low. Disclaimer: For Educational Purpose
Long
by IITian_Wizard
XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand 4312, Supply 4436XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01) Market Context Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, yet short-term price action shows pullback pressure after premium liquidity was elected near 4440. As markets brace for ongoing USD direction from macro catalysts (Fed commentary, U.S. jobs data, Treasury yields), institutional participation is oscillating between liquidity hunts and controlled re-accumulation. Global risk sentiment and safe-haven bids are intensifying as traders weigh inflation trajectory with central bank pivot expectations — leading Gold to exhibit rotational distribution behavior rather than clean continuation. Controlled swings and sweep-driven moves dominate price progression. This environment favors engineered liquidity access and inducement, not blind breakout chasing. Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Higher-timeframe bullish bias with short-term corrective displacement. Key Idea: Expect structural engagement near HTF demand (~4312–4314) or internal supply liquidity (~4434–4436) before meaningful displacement sequences. Structural Notes: • HTF bullish structure remains intact • Recent CHoCH confirms corrective leg • Buy-side liquidity above recent highs is targeted • Supply cluster near 4436 acts as engineered lure • Demand confluence aligns with institutional accumulation Liquidity Zones & Triggers • BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 • SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Institutional Flow Expectation Liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → internal supply retest → expansion Execution Rules BUY GOLD 4314 – 4312 | SL 4304 Rules: ✔ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5–M30 ✔ Clear upside BOS with impulse candles ✔ Entry via refined demand OB or FVG fill Targets: • 4370 — initial displacement • 4410 — internal supply test • 4440+ — extended run if USD weakens SELL GOLD 4434 – 4436 | SL 4444 Rules: ✔ Reaction into internal supply cluster ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH confluence ✔ Downside BOS with momentum shift ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB Targets: • 4390 — first discount zone • 4350 — deeper pullback • 4314 — HTF demand scan Risk Notes • False breaks favored near thin Asian session volume • Macro catalysts (U.S. data, Fed speakers) may spike volatility • Avoid entries without MSS + BOS confirmations • Stops triggered by engineered liquidity hunts Summary Gold remains structurally bullish, but today’s edge lies in disciplined entries and liquidity awareness: • A sweep into 4312–4314 may reload longs with targets up to 4410–4440, or • A reaction near 4434–4436 provides a fade opportunity back into discount. Let liquidity initiate the move. Let structure confirm. Smart Money sets traps — retail chases them. Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
1
NIFTY : Trading plan for 07-Jan-2026 (Timeframe: 15-min | Gap consideration: 100+ points) Key Levels to Track (from chart) Upper Resistance / Extension: 26,392 Last Intraday Resistance: 26,320 Opening Resistance (Gap-up case): 26,250 Opening Support / Resistance (Pivot): 26,183 – 26,175 Opening Support (Gap-down case): 26,042 – 26,080 Last Intraday Support: 25,983 Lower Extreme Support: 25,839 🧠 Context: After a strong prior up-move, price corrected and is now hovering near a pivot band (26,183–26,175). Expect whipsaws early; clean direction needs acceptance above/below the pivot. 🟢 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens above 26,250, the market signals bullish intent but immediately faces overhead supply. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-ups near resistance often see early profit booking. Sustainable upside requires price acceptance (holding above levels on a 15-min close), not just a spike. Plan of Action: Avoid the first 10–15 mins; let volatility settle. Sustain above 26,250 → test 26,320 (last intraday resistance). Acceptance above 26,320 opens path toward 26,392. Repeated rejection near 26,320 → expect pullback toward 26,250 → 26,183. Options idea: Bull Call Spread (ATM buy + OTM sell) to reduce theta risk near resistance. 🟡 2. FLAT OPENING If NIFTY opens inside 26,175–26,250, expect a range-bound start. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Flat opens inside a pivot zone reflect indecision. Direction emerges only after a range expansion with volume. Plan of Action: Above 26,250 → bullish bias toward 26,320. Failure at 26,250 keeps price rotating within 26,183–26,175. Break & hold below 26,175 shifts bias toward 26,080 → 26,042. Wait for 15-min close + volume before committing. Options idea: Iron Fly / Narrow Strangle (light size) if range persists. 🔴 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ Points) If NIFTY opens below 26,175, sentiment turns cautious. 🎓 Educational Explanation: Gap-downs into support can trigger panic selling, followed by either short covering or continuation. Confirmation matters. Plan of Action: First watch zone: 26,080–26,042. Sustain below 26,042 → downside toward 25,983. Break of 25,983 increases probability of 25,839. Strong bullish rejection from 26,080–26,042 may offer intraday bounce longs. Options idea: Bear Put Spread (avoid naked puts near supports). ⚙️ Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 🛡️ Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. Prefer spreads near major levels to manage theta & IV. Use time-based exits if premium stalls for 15–20 mins. Book partials early; trail the rest. No revenge trades after SL. 🧾 Summary & Conclusion Above 26,250: Bulls active; hurdles at 26,320 → 26,392 26,175–26,250: Choppy pivot → patience pays Below 26,175: Weakness toward 26,080 → 26,042 → 25,983 Trade reaction at levels, not predictions 🚦 ⚠️ Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This content is for educational purposes only. Markets involve risk—consult your financial advisor before trading.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
WELSPUNLIV | Weekly chart study | OpportunityWelspun Living in very well pinned as a short-term technical highlights, backed by a strong breakout structure on higher timeframes. 🔹 Key Points 📈 Buy Zone: ₹142 – ₹145 🎯 Targets: ₹162 – ₹170 🚨 Stop-Loss: ₹134 ⏳ Expected Duration: 3–4 weeks 📈 Why This Setup Looks Bullish ✔️ Trendline Breakout: The stock has broken above a long-term downward trendline on the weekly chart, signalling the end of a corrective phase and the beginning of a fresh upward move. ✔️ Volume Confirmation: The breakout is supported by rising volumes, indicating strong buyer participation and institutional interest. ✔️ Momentum Turnaround: RSI has broken out of its own downtrend, confirming improving momentum and increasing bullish strength. 📌 What This Means for Traders The structure favours short-term momentum continuation rather than a long-term investment. If the setup plays out, the stock offers a potential upside of ~13%–18% from the this zone. Strict adherence to the stop-loss is essential to manage downside risk. ⚠️ Note This is a technical study only, based on price action and indicators. Not a long-term recommendation.
NSE:WELSPUNLIVLong
by apstockanalysis
5
ITC Monthly Chart Analysis - Monthly&Quaterly Demand SetypITC Limited has recently shown a strong correction from its highs near ₹400+, retracing towards a key Monthly Demand Zone, indicating a potential accumulation area for long-term buyers. 🧩 Chart Structure & Key Levels: Entry Zone (Monthly Demand): ₹339 – ₹336 Stoploss Zone: Below ₹324 Target Zone: ₹398 – ₹400 🔍 Technical View: Price has retraced back into a fresh Monthly Demand Zone, where institutional activity (buying interest) was visible previously. The zone aligns with previous breakout levels, increasing its importance as a potential demand re-entry area. The strong bearish move has pushed ITC into an oversold region, and the stock is now testing long-term support near its 20-Month SMA. The risk–reward ratio for this setup looks attractive, with potential upside toward ₹398+ if demand holds. 💡 Trade Plan & Outlook: If price sustains above ₹336, we can expect renewed buying momentum from the demand zone. The first confirmation would come once the price closes above ₹345 on the lower timeframes. The setup aligns with the Demand–Supply trading framework, focusing on institutional footprints rather than retail emotions. “Markets move from demand to supply. When price revisits institutional demand with structure intact, it offers high-probability entries. ITC’s monthly setup perfectly reflects this concept.” This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any trading decisions. #ITC #StockMarketIndia #TechnicalAnalysis #DemandSupply #SwingTrading #PriceAction #TradingStrategy #NSE #AkitenAcademy #SahilArora #TradeWithSahil
NSE:ITCLong
by SahilArora077
Gold Trading Strategy for 07th January 2026🟡 GOLD TREND TRADING PLAN (INTRADAY) 📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Continuation) ✅ Condition: Buy only if 1-Hour candle CLOSES above 4519 💰 Entry: Above 4519 (after confirmation close) 🎯 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 4529 🎯 Target 2: 4540 🎯 Target 3: 4555 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below the 1-Hour candle low or as per risk management 📌 Logic: Strong hourly close above resistance indicates trend continuation Momentum buyers expected above 4519 📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown) ❌ Condition: Sell only if 30-Minute candle CLOSES below 4475 💰 Entry: Below 4475 (after confirmation close) 🎯 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 4460 🎯 Target 2: 4450 🎯 Target 3: 4435 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above the 30-Minute candle high 📌 Logic: Breakdown below support on 30-min timeframe Indicates short-term bearish pressure ⚡ GOLD SCALPING STRATEGY (FAST TRADES) 🔻 SCALPING SELL (Rejection Play) 📍 Zone: Around 4419 ❌ Condition: Price shows rejection on 15-Minute candle Sell on BREAK of the LOW of rejection candle 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above the high of rejection candle 🎯 Target: 💵 5 to 10 points OR 🔄 Trail stop loss to ride momentum 📌 Best For: Quick scalp trades High volatility sessions 🔺 SCALPING BUY (Rejection Play) 📍 Zone: Around 4419 ✅ Condition: Price shows bullish rejection on 15-Minute candle Buy on BREAK of the HIGH of rejection candle 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below the low of rejection candle 🎯 Target: 💵 10 to 15 points OR 🔄 Trail stop loss for extended move 📌 Best For: Momentum scalping Strong reversal confirmations ⚠️ DISCLAIMER 🚨 This content is for educational purposes only. 🚨 Not a buy or sell recommendation. 🚨 Trading involves risk. Please trade with proper risk management & position sizing. 🚨 Consult your financial advisor before trading in Gold / Commodities. If you want, I can:
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
BTCUSD Price Structure & Key LevelsBTCUSD is showing a clear recovery after an earlier corrective decline. Price found strong buying interest around the 86,000–86,500 zone, where selling pressure weakened and the market began forming higher lows. This behaviour signalled a shift in control from sellers to buyers. The bullish shift was validated once price achieved a Break of Structure above previous resistance. Following this move, BTCUSD continued to build a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, confirming an active bullish trend. The upward movement is supported by impulsive candles, while pullbacks remain shallow, indicating stable momentum rather than distribution. During the rally, multiple Fair Value Gaps were left behind, created by strong directional movement. Key demand areas are visible around 91,200–90,800 and further below near 89,200–88,800. These zones may attract buyers again if price retraces, as they represent areas of price imbalance. On the upside, price is reacting near the 94,200–94,400 resistance band, which aligns with prior highs and short-term liquidity. A sustained hold above this zone may allow continuation toward the 96,000 region, while rejection here could lead to a healthy pullback into previous demand without changing the overall trend. In summary, the market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the most recent higher low, with attention on reactions at highlighted support and resistance levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and uncertainty.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by SwingTrade_Concept
Capitulation Zone Hit, Strong Base Building with RSI DivergenceCapitulation Zone Hit, Strong Base Building with RSI Divergence Price has corrected sharply from the top and is now trading near a major longterm demand zone around the previous accumulation base. This zone earlier acted as a strong launchpad for a big rally making it structurally important again. The recent fall shows clear capitulation behavior strong red candles with a volume spike indicating panic selling and weak hands getting flushed out. Such moves often mark the end phase of a correction, not the beginning. On the indicator side RSI is forming a bullish divergence. While price made lower lows, RSI failed to do so and is turning up from oversold territory signaling selling pressure is weakening and momentum loss on the downside. Current price action suggests base formation, not breakdown. As long as this demand zone holds, probability favors sideways consolidation followed by a recovery move rather than further sharp downside. The upside structure shows a large mean reversion potential, with the previous supply zone near the highs acting as a long-term reference. A sustained move above the base range can open space for a gradual trend reversal, not a V-shaped move but a structured one. Overall, this is a high-risk-to-reward zone where patience matters. The chart is shifting from distribution to stabilization, and the next few weeks of price behavior will decide whether this base converts into a fresh accumulation phase.
NSE:KAYNESLong
by Marketik