BTC Bullish or Bearish
1 Hour Scenario:
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle (yellow trendlines). BTC is sitting near $89,300, just above the lower ascending support. EMA 100 (~$90,500) is acting as resistance. Volume is dropping, indicating a potential breakdown soon.
1 Day scenario:
BTC is struggling at the intersection of the downtrend resistance and ascending support. The bearish structure remains unless BTC closes above $92,400. RSI likely neutral; momentum slowing. EMA 100 (~$101,700) remains the major cap for bulls.
1 month Scenario:
Holding above $86,000 → bullish reversal potential in Q1 2026. If it breaks below $82,000, expect deeper correction to $75,000–$72,000.
Disclaimer: The analysis and price prediction provided above are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or legal advice. They are general market commentary and should not be treated as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency or financial instrument.
Chart Patterns
RR Kabel Ltd | Volume Area High Breakout Setup RR Kabel is currently trading above the Volume Area High, indicating strong acceptance at higher levels. Price is hovering near a key resistance zone and showing signs of a potential breakout with volume expansion.
Technical View:
Acceptance above VAH → bullish bias
Strong base formation after consolidation
Breakout confirmation expected on sustained price + volume
Trade Plan:
Buy on breakout / hold above resistance
Target: 1650
Stop Loss: Daily close below 1345
Varun BeveragesDate 15.12.2025
Varun Beverages
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
About
(1) Varun Beverages has been associated with PepsiCo since the 1990s
(2) Operations spans 10 countries with franchise rights & distribution rights
Brands
(1) PepsiCo. franchised Brands - Pepsi, Tropicana, Slice, 7UP, Sting, Kurkure, Aquafina, Lipton, Doritos, Mirinda, Fritolay
(2) Own Brands - Jive, Cooe, Reboost, Creambell, Aquaclear, Refreshh etc.
Sales Volume Breakup
(1) CSD - 76%
(2) Juice - 8%
(3) Water - 16%
Note* CSD stands for Carbonated Soft Drinks
(1) Indian Subcontinent (India, Sri Lanka, Nepal) contributed ~83% to revenues
(2) Africa (Morocco, Zambia, Zimbabwe) contributed to ~17% of total revenues
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 1,61,558 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 54.4
(3) Roce 24.8 %
(4) Roe 22.5 %
(5) Book Value 8X
(6) Opm 23.55%
(7) Promoter 59.44%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 17%
(9) Sales Growth 11.50%
(10) PEG 0.98
Regards,
Ankur Singh
The Calm Stocks Swing Strategy - Big Moves Start in Silence!Hello Traders!
Most people believe swing trades work only when stocks are moving fast.
Strong candles, news headlines, social media hype and suddenly everyone feels confident.
But after spending years studying stock charts, I have learned something very different.
The best swing trades in stocks usually begin when nothing looks exciting.
When a stock becomes quiet, volume dries up and nobody is talking about it
that is often when serious preparation starts.
Retail bolega “ye stock toh bilkul boring hai” and moves on 😄
What a Calm Stock Phase Really Means
A calm phase appears when a stock starts moving in a tight range with smaller candles and limited volatility.
Price keeps respecting the same support and resistance levels again and again.
Volume slowly reduces but price structure remains stable which shows balance not weakness
For swing traders, this boredom is not a problem. It is actually a signal to start paying attention.
Why Smart Money Loves Silence
Big players cannot build positions when price is moving fast because it attracts attention.
They prefer calm stocks where accumulation can happen slowly without pushing price.
Low volatility allows them to prepare before the real move begins.
Silence does not mean nothing is happening. It often means something is being built quietly.
Why Retail Traders Miss These Moves
Most retail traders want action and fast movement.
Calm stocks feel uninteresting so they get ignored.
When the breakout finally happens, retail notices it late and enters emotionally.
Retail chases movement. Swing traders prepare before movement.
How I Personally Trade Calm Stock Swing Setups
I scan daily and weekly charts to find stocks moving in tight consolidation ranges.
I check whether price is repeatedly reacting from the same support and resistance zones.
I focus on stocks where volume is reducing but structure is still clean.
Instead of chasing breakouts, I plan entries near the range with limited risk.
This keeps my mind calm and decisions logical. No pressure and no hurry.
Real Chart Example: Hero MotoCorp
To make this concept practical, I have explained it using the Hero MotoCorp daily chart above.
If you look closely, the stock spent a long time moving inside a tight consolidation zone.
Price reacted multiple times near resistance and support while volume kept reducing.
During this phase, many traders ignored the stock because it looked slow and boring.
But this calm structure was actually preparation.
Once the stock finally broke out, it delivered a clean swing move with strong follow through and very limited pullbacks.
This is exactly how calm stocks reward patience.
Main yahi karta hoon, I study the silence first and let the move come to me.
The Breakout Is the Result Not the Start
Most traders believe the breakout candle is the opportunity.
In reality, the real edge comes from preparation during consolidation.
When volatility expands, the swing trader is already positioned.
Jab sab excited😄hote hain tab smart planning already ho chuki hoti hai.
Rahul’s Tip
If a stock feels too quiet, too slow or too boring, do not ignore it immediately.
Sometimes silence is the market’s way of preparing something big.
Patience during calm phases has helped me far more than chasing excitement.
Conclusion
The Calm Stocks Swing Strategy teaches you to think opposite to the crowd.
Instead of chasing noise, you learn to prepare during silence.
In stocks, the loudest moves often begin when nobody is paying attention.
If this post helped you see calm stocks differently,
like it, share your view in the comments and follow for more practical swing trading insights.
Bajaj Finance: Impulse Complete, Correction in ControlBajaj Finance completed a clean five-wave impulsive advance , topping out near ₹1,102.5 , followed by a clear loss of momentum. Since that peak, price action has shifted from trend to overlap , signaling a corrective phase rather than continuation.
Structurally, the decline is unfolding within a descending channel , fitting well with a W–X–Y corrective structure . The internal swings remain choppy and overlapping — classic correction behavior — with price respecting the channel boundaries so far.
During the impulsive rally ( Waves 1–5 ), the 50 DMA acted as dynamic support , confirming strong upside momentum. Post the top, price has slipped below the 50 DMA and is now oscillating around it, indicating momentum fatigue . A sustained hold below the 50 DMA, combined with a rollover in the average , would reinforce the short-term bearish / corrective bias , with the average potentially flipping into dynamic resistance .
From a price projection perspective, the ongoing Wave Y is favoring a move toward key Fibonacci retracement levels . The 0.618 retracement near ₹945 stands out as a high-probability reaction zone , while a deeper flush could extend toward the 0.786 retracement near ₹903 if downside pressure accelerates.
Risk is clearly defined. A sustained break above the upper boundary of the corrective channel would invalidate the W–X–Y interpretation and signal a structural shift back toward strength . Until then, the path of least resistance remains corrective .
Bottom line:
The impulsive phase is done. The market is digesting gains. Structure — not emotion — favors patience and respect for the corrective channel.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Sensex - Weekly review Dec 15 - Dec 19Friday's movement was choppy, and the price is now testing the intermediate resistance at the 85300 zone. Next resistance is at the 85500 zone.
Buy above 85320 with the stop loss of 85180 for the targets 85460, 85580, 85740, 85900, 86060, 86220, 86400 and 86560.
Sell below 84960 with the stop loss of 85100 for the targets 84840, 84700, 84540, 84400, 84240, 84080 and 83900.
As per the daily chart, the price is testing the trend line, and it has to break and sustain above it.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
XAUUSD H4 Medium Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity ZonesXAUUSD H4 – Medium-Term Rising Channel and Key Liquidity Zones
Gold reacted sharply after touching the trendline, with the primary focus next week on buying pullbacks in line with the dominant trend
PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN STRATEGY
Trend-following buy strategy on a corrective move into key support and liquidity areas
Primary buy zone: 4175 – 4203
Technical context: this area represents a previously validated support zone and a clear pool of downside liquidity
Price expectation: a corrective dip into support, absorption of selling pressure, followed by a potential rebound back toward the upper balance area
Position management:
If price shows a strong reaction and H4 candles hold above the support zone, maintaining a swing-long bias remains favoured.
If price breaks decisively below support, risk should be reduced and deeper levels monitored.
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO – SECONDARY STRATEGY
Deeper pullback buy opportunity near the lower trendline of the rising channel
Alternative buy zone: near the lower boundary of the rising channel, aligned with long-term liquidity
Technical context: this area acts as the last line of defence for the medium-term bullish structure and is suitable for longer-term positioning
Price expectation: a deeper liquidity sweep followed by recovery, reaffirming the rising channel
KEY TECHNICAL POINTS
On the H4 timeframe, price continues to trade within a rising channel. The sharp 100-point drop after touching the upper trendline highlights profit-taking pressure at higher levels
The 4175 area and the lower channel trendline remain the most important liquidity zones for trend-aligned buying
Upper resistance and the FVG-liquidity zone are better suited for trade management rather than aggressive new longs
MACRO AND MARKET CONTEXT
Markets are reacting to growing expectations of a potential shift in future Federal Reserve leadership and policy direction.
The probability of Kevin Warsh becoming the next Fed Chair has increased, alongside comments indicating a preference for significantly lower interest rates.
Such expectations may remain supportive for gold in the medium term, although short-term technical corrections should still be respected after strong upside moves.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND MONITORING
Avoid chasing price near the upper boundary of the rising channel.
Any sell positions should be treated as short-term countertrend trades and only considered with clear rejection signals.
The bullish scenario weakens if price breaks and fails to reclaim the rising channel structure.
Remain alert to volatility around policy-related headlines and key economic data, as liquidity sweeps are likely.
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading
Quick Summary
Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area.
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance.
Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session.
Market Context
The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan.
For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news.
Technical View
After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend.
On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell.
Trading Scenarios for Early Week
Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL)
Buy: 4298 – 4302
SL: 4294
This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend.
Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance
Sell: 4367 – 4370
SL: 4376
This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 15-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY – TRADING PLAN FOR 15 DEC 2025
Nifty closed near 26,037, just above a key support band (Opening Support: 25,979–26,015) and below a series of overhead resistances.
The session will heavily depend on how price reacts at:
Opening Support Zone: 25,979 – 26,015
Opening Resistance: 26,093
Last Intraday Resistance: 26,179
Major Upside Target: 26,266
Opening Support (Gap-down case): 25,873
Last Intraday Support: 25,771
Let’s break down every opening scenario.
🚀 1. GAP–UP OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-up above 26,130–26,150 shows strong bullish intent.
1. If Nifty opens above 26,093 but below 26,179
• Market opens directly inside resistance.
• Do NOT chase long immediately.
• Wait for either:
– Breakout above 26,179, followed by retest → Long toward 26,266.
– Rejection at 26,179, falling back under 26,093 → Short toward 26,015.
2. If Nifty opens above 26,179
• Strong bullish continuation.
• On a retest of 26,179, a long becomes high-probability.
• Targets: 26,220 → 26,266.
• Book partial profits in the final target zone.
3. If gap-up is between 26,015–26,093
• Price opens slightly above support and may retest the zone.
• If 26,015–25,979 holds → Long toward 26,093 → 26,179.
• If 26,015 breaks with momentum, move to caution; market becomes vulnerable to deeper pullbacks.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (near 25,980–26,030)
A flat open near support allows clearer early structure.
1. If 25,979–26,015 holds as strong support
• Watch for bullish rejection candles or higher lows.
• Long setups valid toward 26,093 → 26,179.
2. Break above 26,093 with a retest
• Confirms directional strength.
• Target becomes 26,179 → 26,266.
3. If price rejects 26,093 early and falls back
• Sideways consolidation may form inside the orange zone.
• Only short when 25,979 breaks convincingly.
• Downside targets: 25,873 → 25,771.
📉 3. GAP–DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
Expected gap-down region: 25,930–25,850.
1. If opening is near 25,873 (Gap-down Support)
• Avoid shorting blindly; it’s a strong demand zone.
• Look for reversal patterns (wick rejections, CHoCH).
• If confirmed → Long toward 25,979 → 26,015.
2. If opening falls below 25,873
• Market enters weak territory.
• Next support is 25,771 (Last Intraday Support).
• A retest of 25,873 after breakdown → Short toward 25,771.
3. If 25,771 also breaks
• Trend turns bearish for the session.
• Expect extended downside movement; avoid bottom fishing.
• Trail SL aggressively if short.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid trading first 3–5 minutes, especially on gap days (IV distortion).
2. Keep SL based on spot levels, not premium fluctuation alone.
3. Prefer ATM/ITM options for directional trades — better risk control.
4. Do NOT average losing positions — cut losers quickly.
5. Avoid deep OTM options unless using them for hedging.
6. Book partial profits at intermediate levels to lock in gains.
7. If VIX rises sharply → favor option selling with hedges.
8. Maximum daily loss limit = 1–2% of capital. Stop trading once hit.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias only above 26,093, with confirmation above 26,179.
• Upside target zone: up to 26,266.
• Neutral/choppy zone: 25,979–26,093. Confirm structure before entering.
• Downside risk: Below 25,979, real weakness begins.
• Major supports for reversal: 25,873 and 25,771.
Stay patient, avoid emotional trades, and trade only on confirmation.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be treated as investment advice.
Always conduct your own analysis and follow strict risk management.
itcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart: Downtrend Pressure with Early Stab
Trend: BTC is still trading below a clear descending trendline, confirming a broader bearish structure since the mid-year highs. Lower highs and lower lows remain intact.
Price Action: Current price is around $90,160, consolidating after a sharp sell-off in November. This looks like a pause or base-building phase, not yet a confirmed reversal.
RSI (≈44): RSI is below 50, indicating weak momentum, but it has stabilized above oversold territory. This suggests selling pressure is easing, though bulls are not in control yet.
MACD: MACD remains below the signal line, but histogram contraction hints at bearish momentum slowing. A bullish crossover would be an early reversal signal.
Momentum/Volume Indicator: Negative values persist, showing dominant bearish momentum, but the flattening bars imply reduced downside strength.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $95,000–$100,000 (trendline + prior support)
Support: $85,000, then $78,000
Outlook:
BTC is in a bearish-to-neutral transition zone. A daily close above the descending trendline with RSI reclaiming 50 would favor a trend reversal. Failure to hold $85,000 increases the risk of another leg down toward $78,000.
Sandur Maganese - Bullish Flag PatternSandur Maganese is into mining sector and is heading for a 70%+ returns on account of following:
1. It is making a bullish flag pattern which is a continuation pattern, on breakout it is heading for a big run.
2. See how during consolidation phase the volumes have dried down and have started gaining again - see last Friday candle, big volume.
3. It is India's 2nd largest Maganese mining Company, with quarterly profits have started again to show great results.
4. It has marque clients like Maruti, Mahindra, etc.
Keep following @Cleaneasycharts as we provide Right Stocks at Right Time at Right Price.
Cheers!!
Silver today booked 2900 points profit friday booked 4000 pointsParameter Data Data
Asset Name Silver Futures (MCX)
Price Movement 🟩 Strong Bullish/Momentum (₹195,700 / +1.48% Live)
Current Trade 🟩 BUY WITH MOMENTUM (Targeting new highs above ₹196,000)
SMC Structure 🟩 Strong Bullish Order Flow (Clear Breakout Continuation)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Supply/Trap Zone at ₹196,500 – ₹197,500 (Potential profit-taking zone near record highs)
Probability 🟩 70% (for upside continuation towards the target)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟩 High (Strong technical structure and robust macro support)
Max Pain 🟨 N/A (Futures Data)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Extreme Bullish (Price significantly above 21 and 50-DEMA)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹194,800 (Immediate Pivot/POC), 🟩 S2: ₹193,500 (Key Fibonacci Support), 🟩 S3: ₹192,500 (21-DEMA)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹196,000 (Immediate Psychological/High), 🟥 R2: ₹197,500 (All-Time High Projection), 🟥 R3: ₹199,000 (Extension Target)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟩 RSI Strong (Near 72) / ADX Strong Trend (40+)
Market Depth 🟩 Bullish Skew (Strong buying pressure observed on dips)
Volatility 🟥 High (Intraday ATR is elevated)
Source Ledger 🟩 Official MCX Live Feed & Refinitiv/Bloomberg Macro Data (Citing live price and strong technical confirmation)
OI 🟩 Bullish Build-up (Open Interest suggests fresh long accumulation - FILLED_OI)
OI Change (Net) 🟩 Long Build-up (Significant increase in net long positions this morning)
PCR 🟨 N/A (Futures Data - FILLED_PCR)
VWAP 🟩 Bullish (Price trading well above its daily average - FILLED_VWAP)
Turnover 🟩 High (Strong trading volume confirms participation)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Impulse wave continuation)
IV/RV 🟩 High IV (Implied Volatility suggests high expectation of future movement)
Options Skew 🟩 Bullish Skew (Call option premium suggests strong upside bias)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 Gamma Positive (Favorable for continued upside momentum)
Block Trades 🟩 Institutional Buying (Block buying activity supporting the rally)
COT Positioning 🟩 Net Long Aggression (Managed Money increasing long exposure)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Strong Positive with Gold (GC), Inverse with DXY (Softer dollar is the primary catalyst)
ETF Rotation 🟩 Inflows (Silver ETFs globally seeing continued accumulation)
Sentiment Index 🟩 75 (Greed/Euphoria)
OFI 🟩 Positive (Sustained net buying flow)
VWAP Bands 🟩 Price Trading Near Upper Band (Confirmation of strong momentum)
Rotation Metrics 🟩 Alpha Generating (Showing strength relative to base metals)
Market Phase 🟩 Expansion/Impulse (Strong directional move)
Yield Curve Slope 🟩 Steepening (10Y-2Y Spread: +0.67% - Pro-commodity and growth outlook)
DXY/USDINR Bias 🟩 Bearish DXY Bias (Soft USD is primary driver for Silver rally)
POC (Point of Control) 🟩 ₹194,800 (High Volume Node, acting as strong intraday support)
Key Retracement 🟩 ₹193,500 - ₹191,500 (Previous breakout zone and 38.2% Fib support)
XAUUSD Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)📊 XAUUSD Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe)
🔹 Trend Overview
Overall Bias: Bullish
Price continues to trade in a higher high–higher low structure
Strong trend continuation with no confirmed reversal pattern yet
📈 Indicator Analysis
EMA / VWAP Band
Price is holding above the EMA–VWAP band, indicating sustained buying pressure
Pullbacks into the band are being respected → trend-following environment
Supertrend (10,3)
Supertrend remains green
Acts as a dynamic support around 4340
Trend remains valid as long as price stays above this level
RSI (14)
RSI near 65
Bullish momentum without overbought conditions
Indicates scope for further upside before exhaustion
Volume
Volume is stable with no major sell-off spikes
Confirms healthy bullish participation, not a distribution phase
🧱 Key Price Levels
Support Zones
4340 – 4342 → VWAP / Supertrend support
4324 – 4328 → Intraday demand & structure support
4306 – 4310 → Deeper correction zone (trend defense area)
Resistance Zones
4350 – 4355 → Immediate intraday resistance
4370 – 4385 → Bullish extension / breakout targets
🎯 Trade Outlook
Bullish Continuation Scenario (Preferred)
Buy on pullbacks toward 4340 – 4342
Invalidation below 4324
Upside targets:
4355
4370
4385
Short-Term Correction Scenario
If a 1H candle closes below 4324:
Expect a retracement toward 4306
Overall trend remains bullish unless 4290 breaks
🧠 Conclusion
Gold remains firmly bullish on the 1H timeframe.
Momentum favors dip-buying, with buyers defending key dynamic supports. Only a sustained break below 4324 would weaken the current bullish structure.
Daily analysis: NIFTY 15.12.2025A mixed sentiment is there for Nifty. Although the fall in the morning has filled Friday's gap, prices are expected to fill today's gap as well. But for any buy, a retest of support is suggested.
Levels are mostly for intraday purposes, except for the sell-side 25660sh range.
Nifty future sell on rise recommended,sell on rise will continueParameter Data Data
Asset Name Nifty 50 Futures (NIFTY)
Price Movement 🟨 Range-bound/Neutral (₹26,145.40 / \sim0.00% Live vs. Prev Close)
Current Trade 🟨 RANGE TRADING/DIP BUY (Between ₹26,000 - ₹26,300)
SMC Structure 🟨 Consolidation Phase (Short-term structure is non-directional)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟩 Demand/Liquidity Zone at ₹25,850 – ₹25,950 (Crucial ascending trendline support)
Probability 🟨 60% (for range-bound action with a positive bias)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟨 Moderate (FII selling and low VIX suggest caution)
Max Pain 🟩 ₹26,000 (डेरिवेटिव्स संरचना के अनुसार)
DEMA Levels 🟩 Mild Bullish (Price above short-term DEMAs)
Supports 🟩 S1: ₹26,000 (Psychological/Pivot), 🟩 S2: ₹25,950 (Put OI Floor), 🟩 S3: ₹25,850 (Crucial Demand Zone)
Resistances 🟥 R1: ₹26,200 (Call OI Wall), 🟥 R2: ₹26,300 (Major Supply), 🟥 R3: ₹26,400 (Breakout Target)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟨 RSI Neutral (Near 55) / ADX Low (Trend strength is weak)
Market Depth 🟨 Neutral (Volume is moderate at open)
Volatility 🟩 Low (India VIX \sim10.10; Favors Option Selling)
Source Ledger 🟩 Official NSE Live Feed & Institutional Reports (Citing FII/DII data, Option Chain, and Technical Levels)
OI 🟩 Bullish Build-up (OI increased by +1.40L contracts on Dec 12 - FILLED_OI)
OI Change (Net) 🟨 Mixed/Mild Put Writing (Total Put Change > Total Call Change on Dec 12)
PCR 🟨 \sim1.05 (Balanced to Mildly Put-Heavy)
VWAP 🟨 Neutral (Price trading near daily VWAP - FILLED_VWAP)
Turnover 🟨 Moderate (Volume 47.96L lots - needs expansion for breakout)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Focus on Price Action and Elliott Wave)
IV/RV 🟩 Low IV (Implied Volatility is low, confirming VIX reading)
Options Skew 🟨 Neutral (PCR is near 1.0; no strong directional bias)
Vanna/Charm 🟨 Gamma Neutralizing (Range-bound action is keeping gamma in check)
Block Trades 🟨 Neutral (No major block activity reported at open)
COT Positioning 🟨 Neutral-Guarded Bullish (DII buying is balancing FII selling)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟩 Positive with US Indices (NQ/ES) (Global markets stable/positive)
ETF Rotation 🟨 Mixed (Global ETFs stable; India ETFs seeing DII-led flows)
Sentiment Index 🟨 60 (Greed-Neutral)
OFI 🟨 Neutral (No clear bias at the open)
VWAP Bands 🟨 Price Testing Middle Band (Confirmation of consolidation)
Rotation Metrics 🟨 Slightly Underperforming (Global indices showing stronger momentum)
Market Phase 🟨 Consolidation/Contraction (Tight range)
Yield Curve Slope 🟨 Neutral/Steepening (Overall positive for markets)
DXY/USDINR Bias 🟨 Neutral (USDINR is stable/mildly weak)
POC (Point of Control) 🟩 ₹26,014 (High volume anchor for the recent swing)
Key Retracement 🟩 ₹25,950 - ₹25,850 (38.2% Retracement & Strong Demand Zone)
Eicher Motors Near the Edge: Wedge TightensEicher Motors has seen a strong advance in recent months, but the current price structure suggests the move may be losing momentum . Price is forming a rising wedge with higher highs and higher lows, where the lower trendline is rising faster than the upper one — a classic sign of compression and weakening upside strength .
Despite price holding near recent highs, the advance has become increasingly overlapping, indicating buyer fatigue rather than fresh accumulation. Such behavior is typical of late-stage trends , where upside progress slows even as prices drift higher.
No reversal has occurred yet. The structure remains intact until price delivers confirmation. A decisive daily close below the rising wedge support would signal a bearish resolution, while sustained acceptance above the wedge resistance would invalidate the setup.
For now, this remains a watch-and-wait structure , with risk skewed toward a downside resolution if support gives way.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY at a Pause: Consolidation Shapes the Near-Term TrendIndian equity markets ended the week on a slightly softer note, with the benchmark NIFTY slipping 0.53% on a weekly basis. While a supportive rate cut by the US Federal Reserve helped improve global sentiment and led to two consecutive sessions of gains, the broader trend remains mixed.
Adding to this, India VIX dropped 2.01% to 10.11, suggesting calm market conditions.
◉ Technical Setup: Key Pattern in Focus
On the daily chart, NIFTY is forming a rising wedge pattern and has recently bounced from its trendline support.
● Typically, a rising wedge reflects bearish undertones, especially near maturity.
● However, if the index manages to break above the upper resistance line and sustain, it could invalidate the bearish setup and shift sentiment positively.
● On the flip side, a decisive breakdown below support may open the door for a meaningful correction in the coming sessions.
◉ Important Levels to Watch
Based on open interest data, two critical zones are emerging as key for the current monthly expiry:
● Strong Support: 25,900 – 26,000
● Strong Resistance: 26,400 – 26,500
With no major triggers visible in the near term, NIFTY is likely to remain range-bound, consolidating between these levels.
◉ Strategy: Trade Smart, Stay Selective
Traders should maintain a moderately cautious stance in the current setup.
● Book or protect profits near higher levels.
● Avoid aggressive long positions until a clear breakout above 26,400–26,500 is confirmed.
● Prefer a stock-specific approach, focusing on names showing relative strength, while keeping risk management front and center.
HINDALCO – Weekly Chart | Long-Term Bull Market IntactHindalco continues to trade within a structural long-term bull market on the weekly timeframe.
The advance from the 2020 low unfolded as a clear impulsive sequence, with an early leading diagonal followed by a strong trend phase. The recent decline appears corrective in nature and has respected key Fibonacci and structural supports.
Price has rebounded from the 0.236 retracement (~₹788), suggesting the larger trend remains intact. As long as this level holds on a weekly closing basis, the probability favors continuation toward higher wave targets.
The current structure indicates we may be in the later stages of a corrective phase, preparing for the next impulsive leg in the broader cycle. Any short-term pullbacks should be viewed in the context of a buy-on-dips market, not trend reversal.
Key levels to watch:
Support: ₹780–800 (weekly)
Resistance: ₹900+, then ₹1,020–1,200 zone in the higher timeframe
Trend remains bullish unless the weekly structure breaks.
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GALAPREC – Prolonged Downtrend, Watching for Breakout ConfirmatiGALAPREC has been moving inside a well-defined falling channel for a long time. Price has respected both the upper resistance line and the lower support line multiple times, which confirms that this structure is being followed by the market.
Each time price moved toward the upper boundary, selling pressure appeared and pushed it back down. Similarly, when price reached the lower boundary, buyers stepped in and defended that zone. This repeated behaviour shows controlled price action rather than panic selling.
Recently, price again bounced from the lower part of the channel. At the same time, volume has started to build gradually, which indicates growing participation after a long period of compression.
Now price is approaching the upper trendline again. This is an important zone. A meaningful move can only be expected after a clear breakout and hold above the channel. Until that happens, price is still technically inside a downtrend.
This chart highlights why patience matters. Instead of anticipating moves, it’s better to wait for breakout confirmation and observe how price behaves near resistance.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute: Liquidity Grab Setup with Order Block1. Current Price Structure
Price is trending upward on the 30-min timeframe.
Recent candles show higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish pressure.
2. Liquidity Zone & Order Block
The grey shaded area marked as “liquidity + orderblock” is a confluence zone where stops and institutional orders are likely clustered.
Expect price to revisit this area for a shake-out of weak hands before moving higher.
The up arrow suggests that this zone could act as a launchpad for the next bullish leg.
3. Potential Pullback and Continuation
The scrawled black path shows a probable scenario:
Minor pullback to liquidity/order block area
Support test on the trendline or zone
Followed by a rejection and bullish continuation
4. Key Indicators
EMA 9 (blue) is below current price — supports short-term bullish momentum.
Ichimoku cloud is mostly supportive, with price above key lines (suggests trend stamina).
5. Resistance Ahead
The horizontal red zone near ~4,353 to 4,382 is a major supply area.
A breakout above this would confirm bullish continuation.
However, failure there could lead to deeper pullbacks.
🔥 Summary Bias
Bullish (higher probability setup)
Price is likely to:
Pull back to the support or order block area
Grab liquidity
Rally toward or above the resistance zone
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Level Significance
~4,353 – 4,382 Major resistance / breakout target
Order Block Zone Liquidity grab & support
Trendline (rising) Dynamic support
EMA 9 Short-term support
ASHOKLEY 1 Month Time Frame 📊 Current Price & Trend (as of latest market close)
Current trading level: ~₹163‑164 on NSE.
Price has rallied strongly and recently hit a 52‑week/all‑time high.
📈 1‑Month Key Levels (Short‑Term Technicals)
🔹 Immediate Resistance (Upside Targets)
R1 ~ ₹165‑167: Short‑term pivot resistance zone.
R2 ~ ₹167‑170: Key near‑term resistance above current.
R3 ~ ₹170‑176: Stronger upside area (if momentum continues).
🔻 Immediate Support (Downside Floors)
S1 ~ ₹161: Nearest short‑term support.
S2 ~ ₹158: Stronger support zone if price tests lower.
S3 ~ ₹156: Major initial support level before deeper pullback.
🧠 What This Means for 1‑Month Outlook
Bullish case (short term):
Holding above ₹158–161 supports continuation.
Clear break above ₹170–176 with strong volume could extend moves toward new highs.
Bearish/Neutral case:
Failure below ₹156–158 puts pressure on short‑term trend.
RSI nearing overbought suggests a possible pullback or consolidation first.






















