Tech stocks may be in for another rallyApplied Fibonacci levels to IT index.
Index seems to be closing above it short term resistance oh 16086 level. A strong breakout above previous highs of 16130 will be a buying opportunity in Tech stocks like Techm Infy TCS Wipro Mindtree which have been strong.
Weaker rupee may be a trigger. But one should wait for a breakout and not hurry since they have rallied a lot this year.
CNXIT
TCS - Uptrend stalling?As you can see stocks has bee following the trend line and broken below recently.
It tried to pullback and failed despite weaker rupee.
And it is also creating a bearish head and Shoulder pattern at top which suggest and trend change which may be short term.
Sell below 2066 with stoploss of 2085 Target 2025
Mindtree at crucial levelApplied Fibonacci retracement to Mindtree. Stock seems to be following these levels.
Mindtree gave a breakout at 1100 levels a week ago. Given the trend stock could rally further to 1189 and 1214 levels.
Buy with a tight stoploss of 1150 and expect 1189 on Mindtree.
Nifty IT Medium term viewWe are looking at a 8 year Nifty IT chart
Lets see what the chart is trying to tell us...
- Between 2009 to 2015 the price has risen from 1933 levels to 12908 levels
- Since Jan 2009 till March 2015 the index has been making higher top higher bottom
- It is only after March 2015 that the index is seen making lower top lower bottom on a regular basis
Hence applying Fibonacci retracement level on the entire Bull cycle seen in NIFTY IT since Jan 2009 to March 2015 (roughly 75 months)
- It is further observed that since 2015 Price is trading in a Downtrend channel
- Blue trend line drawn from 2009 lows looks likely to be the Laxman Rekha (Make or Break line)
2 likely scenarios have been charted out...
Eventual target for NIFTY IT-8750-8600 zone which is 38.2% retracement level of the entire rise from 1933 levels to 12908 levels
- Time wise 38.2% of 75 months is 29 months giving us time till Sept 2017
- Channel support around Sept-Oct 2017 comes at 8750 levels
Things that one should consider before initiating a trade
- this is a medium term 6 months view
- Wait for the levels to come
- allow price behavior around key levels discussed in the chart to give further confirmation
- Understand the Risk involved & Reward potential
- Plan your trade accordingly
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"Be sure you put your feet in the right place, then stand firm." - Abraham Lincoln
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Take care and safe trading...!!!
Nifty ITIT industry has been in a bearish tone forming lower high - lower low since Q2-2015. The industry is under pressure with margins and visas followed by blow of Rupee appreciation.
For short term, 9,880-9,900 stands to be crucial support. The reverse Bullish AB=CD around 9,900 at rising trend line indicates reversal on cards. As per time analysis, the previous rise and fall took 55 trading days and if go by "history repeats itself", the reversal can take place on 25th April (+/- 2 trading days). RSI is back in an oversold territory.
TCS will be releasing results today which has weight age of ~45% in IT index will be important to watch. The above view on IT index will negate on a close below 9,800.
Will Nifty IT Continue the pattern for 8800 as Targets ??For Last 2 years NiftyIT is in a pattern where it Falls then Retraces 0.618 then moves back to 1.27 extension of the previous fall, Currently Nifty IT is at a very crucial point as it is at 0.618 retracement and at a long term downtrend line...
Shorts can be made for the targets of 8800...
CNXIT: POSITIVE CHANNEL SETUPIt is been observed on weekly chart that the price action is trending in a down trending channel where the price action reaches to the support levels of the channel and signalling buying at the levels. This indicates buyers coming back that are pushing the price action upwards. It shall now move the price to previous support levels which will now act as resistance.
Target: 10150
Stoploss: 9200
Risk Reward: 1:1
Tech Mahindra: Breaking Downward Trendline It is been observed on daily chart that the price action is breaking out from a downward trendline with an uptrend channel formation. It is slowly and gradually moving up the price levels while respecting the resistance and support levels of the said uptrending channel. It shall further move up to the next resistance level at around 460-65 levels.
Target: 465
Stoploss: 425