EURUSD - 15M TIMEFRAME ANALYSISFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Commodities
Channel breakout with strong bullish candle in JSW Steel(Hindi)NSE:JSWSTEEL A strong channel breakout with a big bullish candle has emerged in JSW Steel with strong volume support. 44 EMA is also about to cross the bullish candle reaffirming the bullish signal.
A SL of 945-947 with a target of ATH and above is recommended.
The rest of the video is explained in Hindi
Gold levels for Trading Day 5th November 2024Gold Trading Strategy: Buy Above 2,744 / Sell Below 2,723
Current Price: 2,733.00 USD
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 2,744 on the one-hour candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 2,723 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 2,733.00 USD, just above the sell signal level.
The market is showing signs of bearish momentum, but it's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 2,4200 to 2,4250 levels, which could act as support.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 2,744 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions with targets at 2,760 and 2,780.
Sell: If the price breaks below 2,723 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions with targets at 2,700 and 2,680.
Disclaimer: This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Gold on US Election dayGold price is now breaching last week low and seems like can resume the ongoing correction. In lower side we have to watch weekly S1 (2710 also psychological level 2700) and weekly S2 (2685) for buying opportunities as overall price is still maintain the bullish bias.
On Intra day selling is good now under PDH.
Gold for the week starting 4th nov 2024Trading Strategy: Buy Above 2,745 / Sell Below 2,731
Current Price: 2,742.00 USD
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 2,745 on the one-hour candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 2,731 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 2,742.00 USD, just below the buy signal level.
The market is showing signs of bullish momentum, but it's important to monitor the price closely.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 2,745 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions with targets at 2,780 and 2,800.
Sell: If the price breaks below 2,731 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions with targets at 2,700 and 2,680.
Disclaimer: This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Gold back in range Gold price is now again entered in range area and we have to wait for breakout this range area for next move,
The uncertainty around the US presidential election and Middle East tensions might boost the safe-haven demand, supporting the gold price.
On volume profile we can see that the current price is trading under High Volume area, in Lower side if price breakdown Friday low then we can expect test at weekly S1 or at psychological support at 2700, In higher side the resistance is at weekly pivot (2750) and Friday High (2761) is main hurdle for bulls. To conclude this we have following trade opportunities for Intraday :
Currently we have to wait as price is in range:
and after range breakout:
For buy either wait for breakout on Friday High or wait for lower Levels near 2700-10 area.
For sell: Wait for breakdown the Friday Low
Gold flirts with sellers in a bullish channel ahead of US NFPGold is stabilizing after its largest daily decline in 15 weeks, as traders await Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. In doing so, the precious metal bounces back above the 50-SMA but struggles to reclaim its previous upward trend, signaled by a three-week-old rising wedge. Still, it remains within a bullish channel established since early August.
Bulls need conviction to retake control
Even with gold's recent bounce and its position within a multi-day bullish channel, Thursday’s confirmation of a rising wedge bearish chart formation, combined with bearish MACD signals and a lack of oversold RSI, raises concerns for buyers.
Key technical levels to watch
Gold buyers focus on the rising wedge's bottom near $2,762 to regain control. If they succeed, the next targets will be the wedge's top at around $2,796 and the bullish channel’s upper line at about $2,810. A firm move above $2,810 could lead to the bullion’s gradual rise toward $2,900 and potentially $3,000.
On the other hand, Gold sellers are looking at Thursday’s low of $2,731, with the previous weekly low of around $2,708 in their sights. Key levels for bears include the bullish channel bottom and the 200-SMA near $2,687 and $2,670, respectively. If gold drops below $2,670, it may be set for a decline toward the rising wedge target of $2,570.
Bulls in control, but sellers seek opportunities
The recent bearish chart pattern offers sellers a chance for short-term gains, especially if the US employment report impacts gold prices. However, buyers are expected to maintain their hold on the market.
XAUUSD | BTCUSD | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | FOREX | 30 OCT | HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
Gold near 2800Gold climbs to new ATH at 2,781 as mixed US data bolsters expectations of a Fed rate cut in November.
Last day candle is a good bullish candle and gold price moving higher today in continuation , price is now trading above weekly R1(2767) and testing rising wedge pattern resistance trendline on daily time frame , from here price can test psychological level 2800 or Monthly R2 (2811) and then we can expect some correction or profit booking as per daily TF ,right now there are two possibilities if we watch price action on higher time frame:
First one is that price can make good correction now after testing 2780-2800
Second one is that price can make another broad range( 2750,60 -2780,2800 ) on daily before next move .
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis going to reveal GDP for the third quarter today and core PCE data tomorrow which can add good volatility on Gold price for Intra day.
Gold near to ATHAfter gap down opening Gold price again trading near to ATH and price now sustaining on PWH on H1.
For sell we have to wait for rejection on ATH area (2755-59: for scalping only right now with tight SL on Intraday No confirmation, No sell) and for next move in higher side price need to breakout and need to sustain above this area and then we can look for buy in higher side towards weekly R1 and then R2.
For a safe sell I think better wait for price to close below 2738 (As wee have High volume support at 2738-40,H1 or H4) and in Higher side there is no major confirmation right now.
Silver’s breaking out of a multi-year consolidation?Silver’s breaking out of a multi-year consolidation? Sure, the charts are giving you that breakout signal—a classic rounding bottom pattern. It’s a textbook setup. But I’m telling you right now, don’t get pulled into the hype.
Silver isn’t your safe haven; that’s Gold’s job. When the world’s a mess, people don’t run to Silver. They run to Gold. Silver thrives when the global economy is expanding, when there’s industrial demand driving it. But let me remind you where we are: recession fears, global instability, geopolitical tensions. None of that screams “strong economy” to me.
You’re not betting on Silver breaking out of a chart pattern—you’re betting on a world that’s heading into turbulence. And the world today isn’t sending the message that industrial demand for Silver is going to boom anytime soon. So, unless you think we’re suddenly going to shake off all this uncertainty, you’re just gambling on hope.
Right now? The market doesn’t justify Silver. Gold is your shield when the storm hits. Silver? Not so much.
Gold portrays much-awaited pullback, focus on $2,710 & US dataEarly Friday, gold prices slipped after a brief bounce from a week-long support level, retreating from a point that has shifted from support to resistance. Traders are closely watching the September U.S. Durable Goods Orders. This movement highlights gold's defense against a mid-week rejection of a bullish trend, signaling the anticipated price pullback.
Sellers flex muscles
Gold is struggling to regain momentum, facing rejection from recent highs. With bearish signals from the MACD and an RSI close to 50, further declines in gold prices seem likely. However, strong support levels may challenge sellers' quest for lower prices.
Key technical levels to watch
In the past week, gold has seen multiple peaks and troughs, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) highlighting $2,715-$2,710 as a crucial support zone for sellers. Below that, the 38.2% Fibonacci Extension of gold's movements from September to October and the previous monthly high near $2,686 could attract bearish interest. Importantly, the upward-sloping trend line from early August and the 200-day SMA, around $2,657 and $2,638, respectively, will serve as final defenses for buyers before control shifts to sellers.
On the upside, gold buyers are looking for confirmation from the lower boundary of the bullish channel, around $2,753. A successful breakout could lead to a rise towards the recent peak of $2,758 and potentially up to the channel’s upper line near $2,790. The 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,772 and the $2,800 mark are additional upside filters to watch for the XAUUSD bulls.
Bulls run out of steam
Despite several strong support levels, the anticipated strength of the US dollar after upcoming economic data and recent technical consolidations indicate a potential short-term decline in gold prices. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact unless prices fall below $2,638.
Gold is in correction Gold price facing resistance at Fibonacci golden zone (2733-39: marked with red zone) and now moving towards the support area (green zone : at Wednesday low), under PDH and under resistance trendline sell is good towards the support area where price seems to be completing H&S formation and the neckline is at 2708-10 area, if price breakdown from H&S formation a good correction is expected.
On buying side we have to wait for breakout at PDH and breakout on the resistance trendline (Why Buying? because buying is still good if we go through the footprint chart ,if we watch last two days delta , the delta is negative but not strong enough to justify any deep correction as of now).
Silver DivergenceDivergence and Gold/Silver Ratio
Gold and silver are thought to move together, and often they do. There are periods where the Gold Trust (GLD) and Silver Trust (SLV) move in opposite directions and periods where one metal outperforms the other.
Gold is currently outperforming silver. Such discrepancies occur and are monitored by the gold/silver ratio. The gold/silver ratio shows how many ounces of silver it takes to buy an ounce of gold. Since 1975, the average is near 60; right now it stands near 80 ($1,187 divided by $14.99).
While gold outperformance, or silver's underperformance relative to gold, was very noticeable in early 2016, this has actually been going on for a long time. The outperformance has become even more pronounced since 2016. To start 2016, gold traded at $1,069 and silver at $13.80 -- the gold/silver ratio of 77.5. As of Oct. 2018, it's at 80. Gold prices have risen relative to silver prices quite steadily for years. This is mainly due to silver price weakness since peaking near $50 in 2011 (when silver outperformed gold).
Gold : Finally taking a breakAs discussed in yesterday's gold update that gold was due for a correction , accordingly we have seen a good correction in yesterday's trading session. Last day price close with a bearish Engulfing candle from a key level (Weekly R1) and now the major support as per volume (2738-40) is going to act as resistance area, also if we draw Fibonacci levels for last day candle we have now to major resistance in higher side for gold, one is at 2733 and another is 2739, so for intraday under these levels we can look for sell opportunities and we can look 2700 or low as our target .CPR is also descending today , any breach from PDL can result in continuation into lower side.
Gold Intraday PlanGold prices extended gains in yesterday trading session for the fifth day out of the last six and reached an all-time high at 2,748, just below of the psychological 2,750 mark. Geopolitical tensions and expectations that the Federal Reserve would continue to lower borrowing costs are helping gold bulls right now.
As per price action gold price Invalidated the Gravestone doji pattern that was formed in Monday trading session and sustaining the price over to major support area 2738-40 (As visible on Volume profile).Today price opened with small gap down which is indication that the current over extended bull run is somewhat exhausting and need a break/ pause ,so selling with calculated risk is seems to be favourable at current elevated levels and if price breakdown this support area on volume profile then we can expect a good correction towards 2700 or low.
Silver is going to continue the rally Up as Historic Trend showsChart Understanding:
-- XAUUSD is price of 1 ounce of Gold in USD. Also known as Spot gold price chart.
-- XAGUSD is price of 1 ounce of Silver in USD. Also known as Spot Silver price chart
Spot Gold to Spot Silver price ratio of last 20 years shows how silver will trend in the near future.
-- When graph goes down, Silver rises.
Analysis
-- Last time when silver was at an all time high $34 USD/ounce, the ratio was at 46:1.
-- The ratio fell below the lower band and thus silver prices fell as mean reversion came to effect.
-- This time, when silver is at $34 USD/ounce, the ratio is at 79:1.
-- If mean reversion will happen this time, then it means silver still has a lot of price hike to catch to attain that.
-- If ratio of 66 is to be attained, keeping gold price constant, the silver price needs to increase to $41.5 USD/ounce, which is an increase of roughly 23% from current price.
As such, silver seems to be a better bet in the current uncertain times to give good returns compared to gold. The historical valuation of both precious metals show that silver has long been lost in the valuation race and has lot to catch.
"A historical analysis by the World Gold Council shows that despite gold’s current higher market value, silver’s intrinsic value is higher due to its relative rarity — five times less abundant than gold (World Gold Council, 2023). As historical and intrinsic value factors realign, silver’s price could adjust to reflect its true worth, potentially exceeding gold’s value in the (distant) future."
natural gas longNatural gas has been in an uptrend on the daily charts for a while and after some correction on the daily time frame it has broken put from a head and shoulder reversal pattern on the hourly time frame. It is now re-testing the neckline support. This is a great entry point for a long in the commodity to capture the trend on the longer term time frame with a reasonable stop loss at the low below the right shoulder.
Gold : Due for correctionGold prices hit another record high during US session, yet it paused its advance amid elevated US Treasury bond yields and a strong US Dollar (But gold ignored the DXY move completely in last week).
On daily close as per price action we can see a gravestone doji which can open door for correction. So for today the plan is to sell under last day high , we can sell near CPR area(2722-2727) or wait for pullback to daily R1(2735) for possible sell opportunities, On lower side as you can see that price is currently in over elevated region and price did not tested the weekly pivot(2694) , so first we can expect a test at weekly pivot for this correction and then we have to watch how price going to react there .