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USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar vs. Swiss Franc) on the 4-hour timeframe...USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar vs. Swiss Franc) on the 4-hour timeframe. From my chart : The price is moving in an ascending channel. A green support zone has been marked near 0.8000 – 0.8020. The upper trendline of the channel is marked as the “Target Point.” That line aligns approximately with 0.8080 – 0.8090 on the chart. 📈 Potential target area: 0.8080 – 0.8090 ⚠ Note: This is a technical projection based on the channel breakout/continuation pattern visible on my chart. Price can fluctuate due to news or macroeconomic factors. Always manage risk with stop loss — in this chart, a stop might logically sit below the support zone (~0.8000).
Long
by HussaiN_JaNi
AUD/USD on a 30-minute timeframe (based on the visible labels)..AUD/USD on a 30-minute timeframe (based on the visible labels). Let’s break it down carefully: The pair AUD/USD is currently trading around 0.6518. The chart shows a bullish breakout above a descending trendline. The green zone marked looks like a demand/support zone. A target line is already drawn near the top of the chart, labeled “Target Point”. 🔍 Based on the chart: The “Target Point” appears to be at approximately 0.6600 – 0.6605 level. 🧭 Summary: Type Level Entry Zone Around 0.6500–0.6520 Target (TP) 0.6600 – 0.6605 Stop Loss (SL) Likely below the green zone, around 0.6480 💡 Interpretation: This setup seems to be a breakout + retest trade idea where the expectation is that AUD/USD will move upward about 80–100 pips toward the 0.6600 target area.
Long
by HussaiN_JaNi
1
SOL/USDT chart pattern..SOL/USDT The current price is around 205.5 USDT. There’s a clear ascending trendline (blue line). A breakout setup is indicated, with a marked “Target Point” near the top of the chart. That target level appears to be around 230 USDT — the horizontal green line my labeled “Target Point.” ✅ Summary: Current price: ≈ 205.5 Target price: ≈ 230 USDT Upside potential: about +12% from the current level. ⚠ Note: Watch for support around 200–202 USDT (the Ichimoku cloud zone). If SOL holds that level, continuation toward 230 looks likely. A breakdown below the trendline could invalidate the move.
Long
by HussaiN_JaNi
6
Policy Developments in Derivatives and Commodities MarketsIntroduction The derivatives and commodities markets are critical components of the global financial system. They provide essential tools for risk management, price discovery, and investment diversification. Derivatives—contracts whose value derives from underlying assets like commodities, equities, or currencies—enable participants to hedge against price volatility. Commodities markets, on the other hand, facilitate trading in raw materials such as oil, metals, and agricultural products. Over the past few decades, these markets have witnessed significant evolution in both their structure and regulatory frameworks. Policymakers and regulatory authorities across the globe have introduced reforms to enhance transparency, reduce systemic risk, and promote market efficiency. These policy developments have become increasingly important in light of financial crises, technological advancements, globalization of markets, and growing participation from retail investors. 1. Historical Context of Derivatives and Commodities Regulation The regulation of derivatives and commodities markets has evolved in response to market crises and structural changes. Historically, commodities trading, especially in agricultural products, was lightly regulated, primarily aimed at preventing fraud and market manipulation. In contrast, modern derivative markets grew exponentially in the 1980s and 1990s with the rise of financial engineering and complex instruments like options, swaps, and futures. Major events that shaped policy include: The 1987 Stock Market Crash: Highlighted the need for robust oversight of derivative instruments and their impact on financial markets. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis: Exposed systemic risks inherent in over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives markets, prompting regulators to focus on transparency, collateralization, and centralized clearing mechanisms. Commodity Price Volatility: Sharp swings in oil, metals, and agricultural products prices led to government interventions to stabilize markets, protect consumers, and ensure fair trading practices. These events underscored the importance of developing robust regulatory frameworks to safeguard market integrity while fostering innovation. 2. Objectives of Policy Developments Regulatory policies in derivatives and commodities markets aim to achieve several key objectives: Market Integrity: Preventing manipulation, insider trading, and fraudulent practices. Transparency: Ensuring that market participants have access to accurate and timely information about prices, trading volumes, and open positions. Financial Stability: Reducing systemic risk that arises from excessive leverage, interconnected financial institutions, and OTC derivatives exposures. Consumer Protection: Safeguarding investors, particularly retail participants, from misleading practices or excessive risk exposure. Promotion of Market Efficiency: Ensuring smooth price discovery and liquidity in the markets. Alignment with International Standards: Harmonizing domestic regulations with global best practices set by organizations such as the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO) and the Financial Stability Board (FSB). 3. Key Policy Developments in Derivatives Markets 3.1 Introduction of Central Clearing One of the most significant reforms after the 2008 financial crisis was the push for central clearing of standardized OTC derivatives. Central counterparties (CCPs) act as intermediaries between buyers and sellers, reducing counterparty risk. Regulatory frameworks such as Dodd-Frank Act (USA, 2010) and the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR, EU, 2012) mandated clearing of certain interest rate and credit derivatives through CCPs. Impact: Reduced systemic risk from bilateral exposures. Standardized collateral requirements. Improved market transparency. 3.2 Trade Reporting and Transparency Regulators worldwide have introduced mandatory trade reporting requirements to enhance transparency in derivatives markets. Trade repositories collect and publish data on derivative transactions, including notional amounts, counterparties, and trade dates. Examples of regulatory measures: Dodd-Frank Act: Requires real-time reporting of swaps transactions to swap data repositories. EMIR: Obligates EU market participants to report derivative trades to trade repositories. Impact: Increased market visibility. Facilitated monitoring of systemic risk and market abuse. 3.3 Margin and Collateral Requirements To mitigate counterparty risk, regulators have introduced margin requirements for both cleared and non-cleared derivatives. Initial margin protects against potential default losses, while variation margin ensures that daily gains and losses are settled. Impact: Reduced excessive leverage in derivatives trading. Promoted financial stability and investor confidence. 3.4 Standardization of Contracts Policy frameworks encourage the standardization of derivative contracts to facilitate central clearing and improve liquidity. Standardization covers contract size, settlement dates, underlying asset definitions, and documentation standards. Impact: Easier to trade on exchanges or through CCPs. Lower operational and legal risks for participants. 3.5 Risk-Based Supervision Regulators are increasingly adopting risk-based approaches to monitor derivative markets. This involves focusing on systemically important institutions, products, and trading strategies that could pose the greatest risk to financial stability. Impact: Efficient use of regulatory resources. Early identification and mitigation of systemic threats. 4. Key Policy Developments in Commodities Markets 4.1 Position Limits and Speculation Controls Excessive speculative trading can destabilize commodity prices. Regulators have introduced position limits to restrict the number of contracts a participant can hold in futures markets. These limits aim to prevent market manipulation and excessive concentration of risk. Examples: Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US sets speculative position limits for energy, metals, and agricultural contracts. Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) imposes position limits in commodity futures markets to curb volatility. 4.2 Market Surveillance and Anti-Manipulation Measures Commodity exchanges and regulators have strengthened market surveillance to detect and prevent price manipulation, spoofing, and front-running. Sophisticated monitoring systems track trading patterns in real-time to identify anomalies. Impact: Enhanced investor confidence. Reduced market distortions caused by artificial price movements. 4.3 Integration with Global Markets Globalization of commodities trading has prompted harmonization of regulations across borders. Policymakers focus on aligning rules regarding contract specifications, reporting, and settlement to facilitate international participation. Examples: Cross-border recognition of clearinghouses. Adoption of international standards on warehouse receipts and quality certification for agricultural commodities. 4.4 Commodity Derivatives for Hedging and Risk Management Governments encourage the use of commodity derivatives for legitimate hedging purposes by producers, consumers, and traders. Policy initiatives include reducing regulatory burdens for hedgers while monitoring speculative activities. Impact: Enhanced price discovery and risk management. Support for farmers, manufacturers, and energy companies in managing input costs. 4.5 Technological Innovations and Policy Adaptation Digital trading platforms, algorithmic trading, and blockchain-based commodity exchanges have transformed the market landscape. Regulators are adapting policies to address new risks, including cyber threats, algorithmic market manipulation, and transparency challenges in decentralized trading. Impact: Improved market efficiency and accessibility. Necessitated development of technology-driven monitoring tools. 5. Emerging Trends in Policy Development Sustainability and ESG Integration: Policies increasingly emphasize environmental, social, and governance (ESG) compliance. Commodity trading in carbon credits, renewable energy certificates, and ESG-linked derivatives is growing. Retail Participation Regulation: With growing retail interest in commodities and derivatives, regulators are introducing education initiatives, leverage limits, and product suitability requirements. Cross-Market Risk Management: Integrated policies are addressing interconnected risks between derivatives, commodities, and other financial markets. Global Coordination: Bodies like the IOSCO and FSB coordinate policy frameworks to prevent regulatory arbitrage and systemic instability. 6. Challenges in Policy Implementation Despite significant reforms, regulators face several challenges: Complexity of Derivative Products: Highly customized contracts are difficult to monitor and standardize. Global Market Fragmentation: Different jurisdictions have varied regulatory standards, creating arbitrage opportunities. Technological Disruptions: High-frequency trading, AI-based strategies, and decentralized exchanges introduce new risks. Balancing Innovation and Risk: Policymakers must ensure that innovation is not stifled while protecting market participants. 7. Conclusion Policy developments in derivatives and commodities markets have transformed these markets into safer, more transparent, and efficient mechanisms for risk management and investment. Central clearing, trade reporting, margin requirements, and position limits have enhanced market integrity and financial stability. Regulatory emphasis on transparency, standardization, and risk-based supervision has reduced systemic threats while fostering investor confidence. As these markets continue to evolve with globalization, technological innovation, and ESG integration, policymakers must remain agile. Future regulatory frameworks are likely to focus on harmonizing global standards, enhancing surveillance capabilities, promoting sustainability, and safeguarding retail participants. Effective policy development in derivatives and commodities markets not only mitigates risks but also ensures that these markets continue to serve as vital tools for price discovery, hedging, and economic growth.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
#SilverBees Doubled – Parabolic Move! #SilverBees 🚀 #SIP Strategy Delivers 💯%+ Returns 🥈🔥 On April 4, 2025 , suggested starting SIP in SilverBees at 89.72. 📉 The very next trading day , it dipped to 77.55 , a quick test of conviction. 📈 Since then, it’s been a parabolic rally to 180, with no looking back! ✅ Patience paid off ✅ SIP in commodities works, just like in stocks ( if started at the right time ) ✅ Real assets like silver can be powerful wealth creators ⚠️ Going forward, be prepared for volatility. After such a sharp move , price swings and corrections are normal. Stay disciplined and focus on your strategy. 🥈 Silver continues to shine. Are you riding the trend? #SilverBees | #SilverETF | #Silver | #SIP | #ETF | #CommodityInvesting | #SmartInvesting
NSE:SILVERBEESLong
by Stocks_Mario
1
Gold → Ready for the Next Bullish WaveGold (XAUUSD) continues to gain momentum as shifting global conditions drive investors toward safer assets. The ongoing uncertainty in financial markets, coupled with renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and interest rate adjustments, has strengthened gold’s long-term appeal. Recent market behavior reflects consistent institutional demand, with traders positioning ahead of potential monetary easing cycles. As confidence in traditional currencies weakens, gold remains a preferred store of value for both investors and central banks. Structurally, the market is maintaining a healthy uptrend, showing controlled corrections within a broader bullish framework. The latest price movements suggest that momentum is building for another upward phase, possibly targeting new historical zones if global instability persists. In summary, gold’s outlook stays constructive — supported by both macroeconomic sentiment and steady technical momentum. How do you see the XAUUSD trajectory evolving — continuation of growth or a major pause ahead?
TVC:GOLD
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. Retail Sales & Fed RemarkXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is trading around the ₹4,110 mark, consolidating after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week. Traders are now shifting focus to U.S. Retail Sales data and a series of Federal Reserve remarks due later today — both key drivers that could influence near-term expectations for the next rate decision. After last week’s soft inflation signals, gold initially extended higher, but rising Treasury yields and cautious sentiment ahead of today’s macro releases have slowed momentum. Any hawkish Fed tone or stronger consumer spending data could weigh on XAUUSD, triggering a liquidity sweep from the premium zones before the next accumulation phase begins. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure shows a confirmed BOS on lower timeframes, signaling the end of the previous impulsive leg. • Price currently sits within a Mitigation Zone (4117–4110), reacting to prior imbalance after a clean sweep of internal liquidity. • The Premium Liquidity Zone (4217–4215) aligns with a Rejection Block and is likely to act as a short-term Sell Zone. • Below, the 4056–4058 area marks a Buy-Side Support, overlapping with a previous ChoCH and internal discount OB. • Expect a short-term sell reaction from premium zones before a possible bullish mitigation bounce off support. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4217–4215 SL: 4224 TP targets: 4200 → 4175 → 4160 🟢 Buy Setup: 4056–4058 SL: 4050 TP targets: 4070 → 4090 → 4100+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing either setup. • Be cautious during Fed remarks — volatility spikes are common around liquidity levels. • If price reacts impulsively from 4217 with displacement, partial shorts are favored. • Conversely, if 4056 holds and forms clean bullish structure, it could serve as the base for the next expansion leg. ✅ Summary Gold is likely to engineer a liquidity grab in the premium zone (4217–4215) before retracing into the mitigation area near 4056–4058, where smart money may accumulate long positions. The day’s direction will hinge on how markets interpret upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed tone — expect volatility and false breaks before the true directional move forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD | Bulls Maintain Weekly ControlGold continues to display firm momentum as investor confidence remains stable despite short-term fluctuations. The latest weekly candle structure shows price holding within a steady consolidation range, signaling accumulation rather than weakness. Market behavior suggests large participants are preparing for another expansion phase after absorbing liquidity in the lower zones. Institutional interest remains evident, with consistent buying pressure observed on dips, indicating sustained optimism for further growth. The current behavior aligns with broader market sentiment favoring safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. Overall, Gold retains its dominance as capital flows stay supportive of the uptrend, positioning the metal for renewed strength in the upcoming sessions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
4
Gold 1H – Potential Liquidity Sweep Before Fed SpeechesXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold remains steady near ₹4,065, as traders eye upcoming U.S. PPI data and Fed officials’ speeches later today for new guidance on the inflation outlook. The recent rise in Treasury yields has slightly capped gold’s upside momentum, but underlying safe-haven demand persists amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty. If the PPI print shows softer inflation, gold could attract renewed buying; however, a hotter reading may spark another liquidity sweep lower before any sustained rally. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • ChoCH confirmed at 4060+, showing potential exhaustion in the current short-term uptrend. • Price tapped the premium zone (4080–4078), aligning with previous liquidity and imbalance — ideal for a short-term sell setup. • A BOS formed at 4017, opening the way for retracement toward the discount zone (3999–3997). • The 3997–3999 area is a strong demand zone, overlapping with a prior ChoCH and liquidity void — a potential reversal area for bulls. • Expect a liquidity grab at 3990 before a bullish reaction if structure holds. 🔴 Sell Setup: 4080–4078 SL: 4087 TP targets: 4040 → 4015 → 4000 🟢 Buy Setup: 3999–3997 SL: 3990 TP targets: 4035 → 4060 → 4100+ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before triggering entries. • Avoid over-leverage during Fed speech hours — price may fake out around liquidity levels. • If price sweeps 4080 liquidity and rejects impulsively, partial short entries are favored. • Conversely, if 3997 holds firm with strong bullish structure, watch for re-entry confirmation to ride the next expansion. ✅ Summary Gold is currently playing within a premium-to-discount framework, as smart money may engineer a sweep of 4080 liquidity before driving price down toward 3997–3999 to collect buy-side orders. After that, a strong bullish reaction is expected from the demand zone if macro conditions (like soft PPI or dovish Fed tone) support it. Stay patient — structure confirmation is key before entering either direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold–Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI Toward 4060 TargetTimeframe: 30-minute chart (XAU/USD – Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) Market Structure: Price made a structural low (SMT) around the $$$ liquidity zone. A Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred as price broke above short-term highs. POI (Point of Interest) Zones: High Probability POI: Previous accumulation zone that caused a bullish impulse. Extreme POI: Current demand zone (around 3960–3980), where price is rebounding. Current Price Action: Price has reacted bullishly from the Extreme POI. The breakout above MSS signals possible continuation to the upside. Target Zone: The shaded grey target area (~4060–4080) aligns with previous liquidity highs. Bias: Bullish short-term bias toward 4060–4080 zone, assuming the demand zone holds. Break below Extreme POI would invalidate the setup and suggest deeper retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DavidFX02
1
CRUDE OIL By KRS ChartsDate: 2nd July 2025 / 19:35 Why Crude Oil ? 1. Starting with 1H Tf. Accumulation is visible with LLs to Sideways and now HHs & HLs 2. Crude oil Price is currently in Buy Zone with strong support. 3. Recent Gap Dow is likely to be Shakeout for Buyers. 4. In Bigger Timeframe price has made Low in March is likely to be the bottom as per Wave thoery. 5. After that bottom price on Higher low side price accumulating. 6. From Here it seems like bullish side trades will be better option for Crude Oil for Targets which are mentioned in Chart. (Medium Term View).
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by KRSCharts
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
#MCXCrudeOil Weekly – Breakdown into Major Support Zone#MCXCrudeOil Weekly – Breakdown into Major Support Zone CMP: 5,246 Crude Oil has broken down from a descending triangle with a confirmed weekly close below 5,308 , triggering target of 4,636 . This move unfolds within a larger falling wedge pattern , adding confluence and signaling potential volatility ahead. This breakdown aligns with two key confluences : 📉 The falling wedge lower trendline. 🟠 A major historical demand zone at 4,692 – 4,499 , which was previous resistance turned strong support on multiple occasions. This make-or-break support zone could act as: 🔄 A reversal zone , potentially triggering a bullish breakout from the wedge. 📉 Or, if breached, it may invalidate the wedge and lead to extended downside. Key Levels: Resistance: 5,903 & 6,184 (price action + wedge top) Support: 4,692 – 4,499 (confluence zone) Breakdown Target: 4,636 (descending triangle pattern) Watch weekly candle behavior near this zone closely for signs of either rejection or continuation . #CrudeOil #MCXCrude #ChartPatterns #FallingWedge #DescendingTriangle #PriceAction #BreakdownAlert #SwingTrading #CommodityTrading 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by Stocks_Mario
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade near the ₹4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks. Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style) • The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement. • The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse. • The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup. • The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875 SL: 3866 TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132 SL: 4141 TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions. • Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events. • Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation. • Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries. Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely. With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops. 🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering. Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND? Hello trader, The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control. Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD) The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled: Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch. Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter. Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272). Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618). 🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH) Sell entry 4000 – 4002 SL 4008 TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923 Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG) SL 4036 TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960 Buy Scalping 3926 – 3928 SL 3921 TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990 Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908 SL 3895 TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988 Export to Spreadsheet 🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors: Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal. CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility. Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level. 📌 Conclusion & Recommendations Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030). Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing. 👉 Follow me for detailed updates and the latest trading plans during the session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. CPI DataXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader ________________________________________ 📈 Market Context Gold prices remain steady around $3,975, as traders await the U.S. CPI data release later today — a key event that could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move. If inflation cools, the dovish sentiment may boost gold’s safe-haven appeal; however, a hotter CPI print could trigger renewed dollar strength and short-term pressure on XAUUSD. Market volatility is expected to spike near the release, so liquidity grabs and false breaks are likely before the true direction forms. ________________________________________ 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style) • The recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirms short-term bearish control after breaking the bullish structure near 4017. • FVG Sell Zone (4015–4017) aligns with premium imbalance and prior liquidity — ideal for short setups if price retests that zone. • BOS to the downside was confirmed at 3960, showing sellers in control. • The discount zone 3908–3910 is a strong demand area where buyers may step in after liquidity sweep below 3910. ________________________________________ 🟢 Buy Zone: 3908–3910 SL: 3900 TP targets: 3920 → 3940 → 3960+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4015–4017 SL: 4022 TP targets: 4000 → 3985 → 3970 ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entering either side. • Use partial position sizing around CPI release — volatility may cause large wicks. • Watch for liquidity hunts near 3980–3990 before CPI, then confirm structure direction. ________________________________________ ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating below key resistance while awaiting U.S. inflation data. Smart money may engineer a liquidity sweep toward 4015–4017 (FVG) before resuming the bearish leg into 3910. However, if CPI comes in softer than expected, buyers may defend 3908–3910, sparking a recovery back toward 3980+. 🔔 Stay alert around CPI release hours — expect manipulative price action and confirm structure breaks before committing to directional trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Silver: Bearish Engulfing – Is the Top In?#Silver View: Just like Gold, Silver has formed a strong Bearish Engulfing pattern on the daily chart, potentially signaling a temporary top in the current trend. While it’s still early to confirm a full reversal, the price action suggests caution for bulls. ✅ Confirmation: A daily close below 143,900 (today's low), especially with increased volume, would confirm the pattern and likely trigger further downside momentum. ❌ Negation: If Silver manages to close above 153,388 (today’s high), the bearish structure will be invalidated. 🎯 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 153,388 (pattern high) Support: 143,900 (pattern low) Stay alert for follow-through candles and volume spikes in coming sessions. #Silver | #XAGUSD | #BearishEngulfing | #CandlestickPatterns | #TechnicalAnalysis | #PriceAction | #SilverAnalysis 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
MCX:SILVER1!
by Stocks_Mario