Commodities
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area
- So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction
- Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure
- The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target
- After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target
- We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone
Trading plan
SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583
SL: 2590
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2562
TP3: 2551
SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600
SL: 2607
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2562
BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448
SL: 2561
TP1: 2562
TP2: 2570
TP3: 2579
BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525
TP1: 2541
TP2: 2551
TP3: 2562
XAUUSD 18/9/2024 gold price has ended the correction?
Looking at H1, we have a sharp and fast-moving wave 3, followed by a corrective wave 4
- According to the Elliot wave principle, wave 2 is simple, wave 4 is complex and takes more time, so we are in wave 4.
- I temporarily label the small waves in wave 4 so that we can predict the end of wave 4
- Currently, looking at the price target of wave 4, we have the price range of 2565 - 2562 and the second target price range is the range of 2451 - 2448
- Looking at the structure of wave 4, we have a complex structure consisting of a Flat wave combined with a zigzag structure WXY. Looking at the wave 4 structure, we see that the correction structure may be sufficient and we expect the price to continue to increase according to wave 5
- The correction process of wave 4 is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks out through the 2590.188 zone, then we have the target zones of wave 5 above, which are the 2600 - 2603 zone and the 2616 - 2619 zone
Our trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2579
TP2: 2590
TP3: 2600
BUY ZONE: 2451 - 2448
SL: 2441
TP1: 2561
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2590
SELL ZONE: 2600 - 2603
SL: 2700
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2565
SELL ZONE: 2616 - 2619
SL: 2716
TP1: 2600
TP2: 2590
TP3: 2579
Gold Faces Resistance at 2,588 USD, Awaiting Fed SignalsGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 2,577 USD, facing strong resistance at 2,588 USD.
If it fails to break through this level, the price may correct down to the support zone at 2,530 USD.
The 34 EMA and 89 EMA, located at 2,551 USD and 2,524 USD respectively, are providing support for the bullish trend.
If the price holds above support, gold may continue its rise towards the 2,560 USD level.
The RSI is currently at 75.42, indicating increasing selling pressure. The upcoming Fed meeting decisions will play a crucial role in influencing gold prices.
Gold: Pullback remains elusive beyond $2,570, US data, Fed eyedGold snaps three-day winning streak while retreating from an all-time high, marked the previous day, as traders await the US Retail Sales and monetary policy announcements from the Federal Reserve (Fed), scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. In doing so, the precious metal eases from the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its July-September moves.
Buyers remain optimist
Gold’s recent dip comes as the RSI (14) moves back from the overbought zone and marked failure to break through the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension level on prices. Sellers are also eyeing a potential bear cross on the MACD. Despite this, gold remains above the two-month-old resistance line near $2,570, keeping buyers hopeful with dovish expectations from the Fed.
Technical levels to watch
For intraday sellers, the $2,570 level is key as it has turned into support. If gold continues to decline, the 50% and 38.6% Fibonacci Extension levels around $2,560 and $2,540 could be next obstacles. Below these, the bears might target the month-old resistance line and an upward trend line from early August, near $2,525 and $2,515, respectively. However, gold buyers will stay optimistic unless the price clearly falls below the 200-SMA level at $2,487.
On the flip side, if gold breaks above recent peaks around $2,590, it could target the $2,600 level before approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at $2,610. If gold buyers push past $2,610, the focus will shift to the 100% Fibonacci Extension near $2,650 and then the $2,700 mark.
Sellers need a strong motive to retake control
Overall, gold remains bullish despite the recent pullback. For sellers to gain control, they would need not only a drop below the 200-SMA but also strong US data and a hawkish stance from the Fed.
Advanced Divergence Trading"Welcome to SkyTradingZone "
Hello Everyone 👋
Video Information -
Hello , Everyone lets start the Journey of Advanced Divergence Trading
In this video, we are going to look at divergence.
What is divergence?
Divergence is basically
when the market is creating
higher highs and higher lows, and
the RSI is creating the opposite.
(Divergence can happen in
both downtrends and uptrends.)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Q What divergence does, it's basically
telling you that the trend is weakening.
This is in a downtrend, and the RSI,
the divergence, is basically telling you
that this downtrend is weakening and
there could be a possible reversal soon.
So normally when divergence
is happening, you normally see
The market creates basically a curve.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Structure is always key
It doesn't matter the strategy
you use, structure is always key.
So what you want to see is that
breaker structure to say that the trend
is changing because structure changed.
Note- Normal Tip From our side try to learn Liquidity and order block
Gold is a totally save stock to invest money for long timeGold is a totally save stock to invest money for long time
Support and resistance levels are important concepts in technical analysis,
commonly used by traders to make informed
decisions about buying and selling assets
Here are the current support and resistance levels for gold (XAUUSD):
Support Levels:
$1,910: This level has shown strong buying interest recently.
$1,880: Another significant support level where buyers have stepped in.
Resistance Levels:
$1,950: This level has been a strong resistance point.
$1,980: Another key resistance level where selling pressure has been observed
Gold Hits Record High Above 2,570 USDXAUUSD is trading around 2,578 USD after breaking through a key resistance level.
The upward trend remains strong with solid support at 2,560 USD.
There is a possibility of a pullback to this support zone before continuing the rise toward 2,612 USD.
In terms of news: The 10-year US Treasury yield remains in the red, below 3.7%, as markets reassess the likelihood of significant Fed rate cuts, which is boosting XAUUSD higher.
Gold: Prices renew all-time high under $2,600, but expect bumpsGold prices hit a fresh record high around $2,570 early Friday as it extends the previous day’s upside break of a three-week-old resistance, now support around $2,525. This rise is fueled by increasing expectations of significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve and a push against a rising trend line from mid-July.
A bumpy road for the bulls ahead…
Despite the Fed's rate cut hopes supporting gold, an eight-week resistance line and an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index) suggest a possible price pullback. Additionally, a potential bounce in the US Dollar, especially with upcoming reports on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations, might give gold buyers a temporary pause. Nevertheless, the breakout above resistance and bullish MACD signals keep the buyers optimistic.
Technical levels to watch…
To continue climbing, gold prices need to break above a two-month resistance line around $2,570. If successful, gold could quickly reach the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) level of the bullion’s late July to early September moves near $2,581 and then target $2,600. If gold surpasses $2,600, it could aim for the 78.6% and 100% FE levels around $2,610 and $2,650, respectively.
If prices pull back, they might first test the 50% and 38.2% FE levels near $2,560 and $2,540. A key support level at $2,525 could also come into play. If gold drops below $2,525, it might struggle to hold above $2,500 and $2,470, making those levels significant for potential declines.
What next?
Gold buyers are expected to remain strong, thanks to anticipated rate cuts from major central banks like the Fed. However, there might be a temporary dip in prices before the next rally.
Gold Hits 2,570 USD Peak, Support at 2,521 USDGold is currently trading around its all-time high near 2,570 USD after a strong rally fueled by rising expectations of a significant Fed rate cut.
The 34 and 89 EMA lines show that the upward trend is still intact, though a short-term correction is possible.
Key support levels lie at 2,501 USD and 2,521 USD, where investors may find buying opportunities.
Gold could rise to the 1.618 level, where it will face psychological resistance before continuing upward towards the next target at 2.618.
XAUUSD: Breaking the Resistance Zone!Gold prices are currently fluctuating within a clear resistance and support range. At present, the price is positioned between the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, indicating a tug-of-war in the trend.
The 34 EMA and 89 EMA are converging, signaling a potential trend breakout as the price moves out of this range.
The key resistance level is around 2,525, a zone where prices have previously been rejected, indicating strong selling pressure.
There are two main support levels: one near 2,470 (Support 1) and another closer at 2,489 (Support 2). The price has tested Support 2 once and is showing signs of retesting it.
If the price holds above the 2,489 support level and shows signs of a rebound, it may retest the resistance zone at 2,523.48. If this level is breached, the next target could be 2,538.21.
Trading Strategy: Wait for clear signals from price action as it reaches the critical resistance and support zones. If the price breaks out of these zones, consider trading in the direction of the new trend.
XAUUSD Awaits Break of $2,530 Resistance Under CPI PressureXAUUSD is in a mild uptrend, trading around $2,517 with a key resistance level at $2,530.
If the price breaks above this level, the uptrend could continue. However, failure to breach it may lead to a correction toward the $2,501 support level.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are still supporting the current uptrend, but if the price falls below them, a downtrend might resume.
U.S. economic news, especially the CPI report, will heavily impact gold prices, as a higher-than-expected inflation rate could strengthen the USD, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
XAUUSD 12/9/2024 will the gold price continue to decrease
Looking at H1, we see a complete Elliot structure has been completed including 5 main waves and 3 abc correction waves, I used purple to symbolize on the chart
- Following a complete structure is a new trend that coincides with the main trend with a 5-wave structure
- Currently, we predict that wave 1 in the new trend has been completed and wave 2 is being completed
- The target area of wave 2 I measured at the area of 2508 - 2505, we will use this price area as the target to BUY up according to wave 3
- At that time, we measure the target of wave 3 at least at the area of 2538 - 2541 and this price area will be our Sell target to catch the wave 4 correction down
- I still reserve a case that the current price wave 2 continues to adjust according to the abc structure that has not ended, then we will have a target BUY at 2494 - 2491
Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 2508 - 2505
SL: 2498
TP1: 2516
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2532
BUY ZONE: 2494 - 2491
SL: 2484
TP1: 2500
TP2: 2508
TP3: 2520
SELL ZONE: 2538 - 2541
SL: 2548
TP1: 2531
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2517
CPI news: Will it reach a new peak or maintain a sideways range?Market analysis for XAUUSD trading on September 11, 2024:
The trading session on September 10, 2024, continued the upward trend of gold, with corrective movements unable to change the direction. However, the H4 timeframe is currently in a sideways range; the area between 2525 - 2531 remains very strong. It is highly likely that during the Asian session, this resistance zone will not be broken.
Today's trading trend is: BUY.
Key price areas to note:
BUY zone: 2500 - 2505 and 2510 - 2513.
SELL zone: 2525 - 2531 and 2538 - 2542.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2510 - 2512
SL 2507
TP 2515 - 2520 - 2525 - 2530.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2500 - 2502
SL 2497
TP 2505 - 2510 - 2515 - 2525.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2525 - 2527
SL 2530
TP 2522 - 2517 - 2512 - 2505.
Wishing you all a successful trading day.😘😘😘😘😘😘😘😘😘
LONG TRADE IN CRUDE OIL - USOILSymbol - USOIL
USOIL is currently trading at 70.92
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying USOIL at CMP 70.92
I will be adding more if 69 comes & will hold with SL 67.50
Targets I'm expecting are 75.50 - 78
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Coal India showing a break down on the daily and weekly charts.Coal India has been trading in a parallel channel from Feb 2024 and the range has been broken and closing below it has been given on the daily and weekly basis.
The stock is trading around a support zone of 480-485. It is trading around the 100 ema levels on the daily charts and closed below 20 ema on weekly charts.
Entry in a bearish trade can be made once the market take a retest around the round number figure of 500 and forms a negative price action.
Clear pattern break down is there in the stock. Positional/swing trades can be initiated once there is a retest and break down of the support zone.
Entry :- Below 480
Targets :- 465
Stop Loss :- 490 (close on hourly charts)
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the trade.
Gold for the week starting 9th September 2024Gold is on the downward trend in 1,2,3,4 hr time frame, but on uptrend in day time frame.
Seems to be in consolidation mode between 2460 & 2530. Break on either side will give 100 points.
Buy if one hour candle closes ABOVE 2511 for a target of 2522 to 2525
Sell around 2500 to 2505 for a target of 2465 to 2460.
Disclaimer: This is my own view and is only for educational purpose. please do your analysis before taking any position.
Gold poised to surge on NFP and U.S. inflation data.Tonight, key figures for NFP, Employment Change, and the U.S. Unemployment Rate will be released. The labor market outlook is predicted to be negative, with Nonfarm Payrolls expected to reach only 164K and the unemployment rate to drop to 4.2%.
Average hourly earnings are forecasted to increase from 0.2% to 0.3%, indicating rising inflation pressure. This could cause significant volatility for the USD and push gold prices higher.
The 4H XAUUSD chart shows a breakout from the downtrend channel, with gold surpassing resistance at 2,526 USD and support from EMA 34 (2,505 USD) aiding the upward move.
Interestingly, after this breakout, gold is likely to continue toward the target of 2,550 USD, a level many investors are anticipating.
Stay updated with market news for more accurate trading. Wishing everyone successful trades.