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Gold buyers keep eyes on US NFP, inverse Head and ShouldersEarly Friday, Gold price reverses the previous day’s pullback from a two-week high as traders await the US monthly employment data for July. That said, the recent bias supporting the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) frequent rate cuts in 2024 allowed the precious metal to remain firmer within an inverse Head and Shoulders (H&S) bullish chart formation. Apart from that, the bullion’s successful recovery from the 50-SMA, bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI conditions also underpin the upside bias about the spot Gold price known as the XAUUSD. With this, the Gold price appears well-set to rise within the aforementioned bullish chart formation. The same highlights a five-week-old support-turned-resistance line surrounding $2,480 as an immediate upside hurdle. Following that, the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern, close to $2,494 by the press time, quickly followed by the $2,500 threshold, will be crucial to watch. In a case where the quote manages to stay firmer past $2,500, it becomes capable of aiming for the theoretical target of the inverse H&S formation, namely the $2,700 psychological magnet. On the contrary, Gold buyers remain hopeful unless the quote breaks an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, near $2,381. Also restricting the bullion’s short-term downside is the 50-SMA support of around $2,365. In a case where the precious metal stays weaker past $2,365, it defies the bullish chart formation and becomes vulnerable to drop further toward the lows marked in June around $2,280. That said, the $2,300 and May’s bottom of $2,277 will act as additional supports to watch during the XAUUSD’s further downside. To sum up, the Gold price remains in the bullish trend and signals further advances ahead of the key US employment data comprising the widely known Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Hence, the scheduled data’s capacity to harm the XAUUSD buyers appears limited even with the upbeat outcome.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD 1/8/2024 after FOMC news? Looking at H1, we see that after this morning's FOMC news, we see that XAU has increased to the 2458 zone - As I analyzed in the previous plan, when the price breaks through the 2402 zone and then tests again and does not fall below this zone, the price will continue the 5-wave trend instead of the 3-wave ABC. - Regarding the trend, after the price follows the 5-wave model, the next wave target is the 2500 price zone as analyzed before. - Looking at the present, we see that wave 3 in the blue 5-wave structure is completing, and the price has now started blue wave 4 - Measuring the wave 4 target, we have the price zone of 2433. This will be the price zone we are waiting for as a BUY target - The target of wave 5 will be specifically determined by me after wave 4 is formed. With the current data, I am expecting wave 5 to end at the price zone of 2500 Trading plan BUYZONE: 2433 - 2430 SL: 2423 TP1: 2422 TP2: 2450 TP3: 2465 SELL ZONE: 2467 - 2470 SL: 2477 TP1: 2450 TP2: 2422 TP3: 2433
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 7/30/2024 How far will the price go? After the 5-wave downtrend structure, we are witnessing an increase from 2354 to 2402 - So we will have 2 cases either the 5-wave downtrend structure has completed wave C then we have the current increase as a 5-wave structure, case 2 is the 5-wave downtrend structure above has just completed wave 1 in the 5-wave structure of wave C so the current increase is wave 2 and will have an ABC wave structure. - We will have an important price to confirm that is the price of 2402, both cases need the price to break out through 2402. After the price breaks out through 2402 and the price returns below 2402, then we will lean towards the current situation being just a correction wave 2 in the 5-wave structure of the purple wave C. If the price breaks out through 2418, we will lean towards the possibility that this is a 5-wave increase structure and the possibility that the price will break through the peak of 2433. So at the 2418 area, this is the current area containing a large amount of supply, which will be a strong resistance level for the price, so when the price touches this area, there will be a reaction, and we will choose this area as the SELL target Trading plan SELL ZONE: 2415 -2418 SL: 2425 TP1: 2402 TP2: 2390 TP3: 2374 BUY ZONE: 2357 - 2354 SL: 2347 TP1: 2365 TP2: 2374 TP3: 2382
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 7/29/2024 Is the uptrend over? Looking at H1, we can see that the corrective uptrend may have ended. - The price will continue to move in a downtrend to complete the purple wave C as shown on the chart. During the move to the target price zone of wave C, we see that at the 2374 treble line, this is the previous breakout price zone and has not been retested, so there is still a very strong demand force in this price zone. - We expect the price to bounce back to the 2374 zone, so we will place a BUY order in this zone. Trading plan BUY ZONE: 2376 - 2373 SL: 2366 TP1: 2382 TP2: 2400 TP3: 2410 SELL ZONE: 2314 - 2417 SL: 2424 TP1: 2401 TP: 2382 TP3: 2365
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
Crude Oil rebounds toward 200-SMA as the key week beginsWTI Crude Oil posts more than 1.0% intraday gain early Monday, after declining in the last three consecutive weeks, as energy traders brace for a rollercoaster week comprising multiple central bank announcements and top-tier data. In doing so, the black gold takes clues from a nearly oversold RSI (14) amid cautious optimism in the market. However, bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 200-SMA keep the oil sellers hopeful of visiting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its December 2023 to April 2024 upside, near $75.30. Following that, a seven-month-old upward-sloping support line surrounding $74.40 will be a crucial level for the bears to conquer to keep the reins. In a case where the commodity prices remain bearish past $74.40, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the previous monthly low of around $72.40. Alternatively, the WTI Crude Oil buyers’ ability to provide a daily close beyond the 200-SMA hurdle of $78.40 won’t give them the throne as a downward-sloping resistance line from early July, close to $79.50, will challenge further advances. Also restricting the commodity’s run-up is the $80.00 threshold and a two-month-old horizontal resistance region near $80.30-60. If the energy benchmark manages to remain strong past $80.60, the 23.6% Fibonacci ratio of around $83.00 and the monthly high of $84.50 will lure the bulls. Overall, the market’s consolidation allows WTI crude Oil to lick its wounds but the bullish trend is far from the reach.
TVC:USOIL
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD 7/26/2024 Is there a pullback? Looking at H1, we see that the price breaking the 2382.5 zone has confirmed that the price is in the purple wave C - From the peak of 2433 to the bottom of 2353, we see a small 5-wave structure has been completed and now we see that the bullish recovery wave is continuing, we expect a corrective wave - The target of the rebound wave I measured at the price zone of 2402 and the price zone of 2411 - So this increase we expect is a rebound wave before the bearish wave continues to the target zone of the purple wave C - The target of the purple wave C we measured at the zone of 2334 and the zone of 2307 Trading plan BUY ZONE: 2366 - 2363 SL: 2356 TP1: 2382 TP2: 2394 TP3: 2402 SELL ZONE: 2310 - 2312 SL: 2320 TP1: 2400 TP2: 2390 TP3: 2382
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Gold price rebounds from 50-SMA ahead of Fed inflationGold consolidates weekly loss while posting a corrective bounce from the lowest level in 13 days as traders await the US Core PCE Price Index for June, also known as the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge. In doing so, the precious metal takes a U-turn from the 50-SMA but stays on the way to posting a second consecutive weekly loss after refreshing the all-time high during mid-July. Despite the latest rebound in prices, the commodity’s sustained trading below a month-old rising support line, now resistance near $2,428, joins the bearish MACD signals and steady RSI (14) line to keep the sellers hopeful. However, a clear downside break of the 50-SMA level of $2,359 becomes necessary to recall the bullion sellers. Following that, the 100-SMA level of $2,324 and an upward-sloping support line from early May, near the $2,300 threshold, appear as some of the last defenses of the buyers. It’s worth observing that lows marked in May and June around $2,285 and $2,277 will act as additional downside filters for the metal traders to watch during its declines past $2,300. Meanwhile, the 21-SMA level of $2,388 and the $2,400 threshold guard the immediate upside of the Gold price ahead of the support-turned-resistance line surrounding $2,428. Following that, May’s high of $2,450 and the latest peak surrounding $2,484 could entertain the XAUUSD bulls. However, an upward-sloping trend line resistance from early April, near $2,490 as we write, quickly followed by the $2,500 round figure, appear tough nuts to crack for the bullion buyers. To sum up, Gold is likely to remain pressured within a trading range established since April. However, the trend line breakdown can join upbeat Fed inflation to please short-term sellers.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
XAUUSD July 24, 2024 Where will the rally go? As in the previous day's forecast, after the 5-wave trend is the ABC correction wave - Looking at H1 we can label wave a and wave b as shown on the chart. Currently, we expect wave C to complete so we can enter orders - Wave C target we measure 2 targets: price range 2420 and price range 2433. - After completing the next abc correction, it will be a 5-wave pattern following the previous downtrend Trading plan SELL ZONE: 2431 - 2435 SL: 2440 TP1: 2411 TP2: 2394 TP3: 2382 BUY ZONE: 2476 - 2471 SL: 2466 TP1: 2382 TP2: 2394
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Gold increases sharply: Investors look for a safe place The US dollar rallied early Wednesday as risk-off sentiment dominated the market. Asian shares came under pressure after disappointing tech earnings reports from major companies such as Alphabet and Tesla. Alphabet achieved good revenue and profits but needed time to see results from its investment in artificial intelligence, while Tesla dropped 7% due to profits not meeting expectations and postponing the Robotaxi event. Fears of a Chinese economic slowdown also supported safe-haven demand for the greenback. On Tuesday, the US dollar rebounded significantly on market jitters ahead of important earnings reports from US companies and a sharp rise in Treasury yields. Investors take profits on USD short positions ahead of Wednesday's preliminary Global Manufacturing and Services PMI data. Weak PMI data could spark recession fears, creating fresh demand for the US dollar. Gold prices could benefit from this scenario if concerns about the US economy reinforce dovish Fed expectations. The market is currently pricing the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in September at a 97% probability. All eyes are on the US Q2 GDP report on Thursday and June PCE inflation data on Friday to monitor gold price movements. Note price range: Sell zones: 2424 - 2426 Stop loss: 2430 Take profit 1: 2414 Take profit 2: 2400 Sell ​​zones: 2440 - 2442 Stop loss: 2446 Take profit 1: 2430 Take profit 2: 2420
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mswhitetrader
Gold hesitates amid opposing market signals Gold prices (XAU/USD) struggled to gain during the Asian trading session Tuesday, although still above the lowest level of the past week. Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 election has increased Donald Trump's chances, suggesting a looser regulatory environment. At the same time, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) unexpectedly cut interest rates on Monday, which supported upbeat market sentiment and created a drag on gold, a safe-haven precious metal. . Dovish Fed expectations also played an important role in limiting losses for gold. The market currently believes that the Fed will begin lowering interest rates in September and could cut twice more by the end of the year. These predictions have led to a decline in US bond yields, putting pressure on the dollar and thereby supporting the price of gold, a non-yielding asset. Against this backdrop, investors should cautiously wait for further sell-offs before positioning for an extended pullback from recent record highs. Uncertainty about monetary policy and global economic factors continue to strongly influence gold prices, and investment decisions should be based on careful analysis of the current situation. Interesting price areas: Buy zone: 2367 - 2365 Stop loss: 2361 Take profit 1: 2375 Take profit 2: 2385 Sell zone: 2418 - 2420 Stop loss: 2424 Take profit 1: 2410 Take profit 2: 2400
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mswhitetrader
XAUUSD July 23, 2024 Where will the rising wave go? Looking at the H1 chart, we have a completed 5-wave bearish pattern - The target of wave 5 has been achieved near the price range of 2382 that I predicted yesterday - After completing the next wave 5, there will be 2 cases, the first case is that the price continues the 5-wave impulse wave pattern. The second case is the abc bullish correction pattern. - Regardless of the pattern, we now expect a price increase at least according to the abc correction pattern - The target of ending the correction wave will be specifically determined when the wave has completed at least 2 waves a and b. Based on current price data, I estimate the target of the correction wave is the price range 2433. - If this rally gets past 2453 then we will be leaning towards a trend rally to 2500 then I will update everyone. Trading plan BUY: 2491 - 2488 SL 2483 TP1: 2420 TP2: 2433 SELL ZONE: 2433 - 2436 SL: 2431 TP1: 2411 TP2: 2494
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
The gold market is full of risks, investors should be careful Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their losing streak for a third trading day, falling to nearly $2,410 during the European session on Friday. The precious metal is under profit-taking pressure after hitting a record high above $2,480 on Tuesday. The strong recovery of the USD and bond yields pulled gold prices lower. Expectations for Donald Trump to return as President of the United States have increased following his assassination. The prospect that President Joe Biden could abandon his re-election bid due to his health also boosted Trump's chances of winning. Trump, with his protectionist trade policies, has increased the attractiveness of the USD, contributing to downward pressure on gold prices. Political uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, along with demand for gold from central banks, could limit the decline in gold prices. Investors see any further price decline as a buying opportunity, based on expectations that prices will rebound once current negative factors are resolved. Price range to note: Buy zone: 2399 - 2401 Stop loss: 2395 Take profit 1: 2410 Take profit 2: 2420 Buy zone: 2391 - 2389 Stop loss: 2385 Take profit 1: 2390 Take profit 2: 2400
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mswhitetrader
What factors are holding back the increase in gold prices? Gold prices (XAU/USD) attracted buyers in early trading on Monday, ending a three-day decline from last week's record high. Dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race have caused some investors to cancel bets on a Trump victory. This reduces the strength of the US dollar and supports gold prices. In addition, concerns about slowing economic growth in China, geopolitical risks from the prolonged Russia-Ukraine war and conflict in the Middle East also contributed to raising gold prices. These factors continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, XAU/USD is yet to see a strong buying move as traders await US Personal Consumption Price Index (PCE) data on Friday. This data will provide clues about Fed policy, which will determine the near-term trajectory for gold prices. Note price range: Buy zone: 2392 - 2390 Stop loss: 2386 Take profit 1: 2400 Take profit 2: 2410 Buy zone: 2430- 2432 Stop loss: 2436 Take profit 1: 2420 Take profit 2: 2410
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mswhitetrader