Gold: Buyers await triangle breakout, Fed inflationGold prices are currently stable within a triangle pattern that's been forming for a week. Traders are waiting for the US Core PCE Price Index data for August, which is the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. Gold prices have been fluctuating around last week’s record high, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest mixed signals.
Buyers are optimistic…
Even though gold doesn’t have strong upward momentum right now, last week’s rebound from a key support level, combined with weak US data and a dovish Fed outlook, keeps buyers hopeful. Uncertainty about the global economy and central banks cutting rates also supports this optimism.
Key technical levels to watch…
Gold’s movement is currently limited between $2,530 and $2,504. If it breaks above $2,530 and stays above the recent peak of $2,532, it could move towards $2,600. The triangle pattern suggests an intermediate target of around $2,590.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the stated triangle’s bottom line, close to $2,504, will need validation from the $2,500 psychological magnet and the previous resistance line stretched from mid-July, now support around $2,472, to convince Gold sellers. Even so, a two-month-old ascending trend line surrounding $2,427 will act as the final defense of the buyers.
What next?
Gold is on a positive path and could reach new highs, especially amid the dovish Fed outlook. Even if the upcoming US inflation data is strong, it might only cause a short-term dip, which could be a new buying opportunity.
Commodities
XAUUSD 3/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price has reached the target of wave 4 that we expected and then decreased near TP3. Once again I would like to congratulate all of us on continuing to have a big win near Full TP3.
- So now the price is completing the down wave 5 to then continue to increase
- Looking at the overall correction, we can easily identify that this is a complex correction with many intertwined correction structures.
- In a complex correction trend, it is difficult for us to determine when the new trend starts. But with real trading, we only care about the setups that qualify for our trading, I will not try to predict each wave accurately
- Currently, I expect the target of wave 5 to end at the price zone of 2487 - 2484 and this is also our BUY target
- Above, I see 2 large supply concentration zones, which are the 2507 - 2510 zone, this zone is the target zone, the last time the price approached this zone, it was pushed down very quickly, and the 2525 - 2528 zone, looking at the chart, we see that the price was pushed down very deeply after approaching this zone last Friday. and these 2 zones are also our SELL target zones
BUY ZONE: 2487 - 2484
SL: 2477
TP1: 2499
TP2: 2507
TP3: 2518
BUY ZONE: 2471 - 2469
SL: 2461
TP1: 2485
TP2: 2499
TP3: 2510
SELL ZONE: 2507 - 2510
Sl: 2517
TP1: 2500
TP2: 2487
TP3: 2470
SELL ZONE: 2525 - 2528
SL: 2535
TP: 2518
TP2: 2510
TP3: 2500
GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.GOLD: Bullish - FLAG detected + Breakout of the range.
1- A "Head Shoulders" has been detected and we did a perfect Take profit ( TP1) at 2 395$.
2- When we break a range the Take profit should be the Height of the range.
Then the TP2 is expected around 2 518$.
3- Plus we can also consider that the range is like a flag and then the TP3 ( green arrow) is expevted around 3 030$
The red horizontals are retracements regarding ICHIMOKU levels .
However a retracement Fibonacci gives a target lower around 2 100$.
Be careful
XAUUSD 9/2/2024 price continues to decrease?
Looking at H1, we see a sharp decline on Friday last week to the 2494 area, signaling that this is wave 3 in the red 5-wave trend above.
- According to the 5-wave structure, the price is currently completing wave 4 and then the price will continue to move in a downward trend to complete wave 5. The target is measured for wave 4 at the price range of 3507 - 2510, this will be our SELL target price range.
- After reaching the target of wave 4, the price continues to move to complete the target of wave 5. Then we measure the target of wave 5 at the range of 2487 - 2484, this is our BUY target price range.
Trading Plan
SELL ZONE: 2507 - 2510
SL: 2517
TP1: 2499
TP2: 2493
TP3: 2487
BUY ZONE: 2487 -2484
SL: 2477
TP1: 2494
TP2: 2499
TP3: 2509
XAUUSD 8/28/2024 Has the price started a new trend?
Looking at H1, we see a completed 5-wave structure followed by a correction structure. Currently, we have 2 possibilities that can happen with the current price structure
Case 1, we have a Flat correction structure with peak B equal to peak 5 as shown on the chart. Then we need to wait for the price to complete wave C to be able to trade. In this case, it is confirmed when the price breaks through the 2503.9 zone
- Case 2 is that the price has completed the ABC correction wave at the 2503.9 price zone and the price is currently in a 5-wave uptrend structure. If so, we have the current correction wave as correction wave 2 in a new uptrend structure, then we expect the price to break through the 2526.6 zone to create a new higher peak. And this case is confirmed when the price breaks through 2526.6.
Combining the possibilities we have the following trading targets. Pay special attention because the current price structure is still unclear, requiring us to manage the transaction closely.
SELL ZONE: 2536 - 2539
SL: 2546
TP1: 2527
TP2: 2519
TP3: 2523
BUY ZONE: 2512 - 2509
SL: 2502
TP1: 2519
TP2: 2531
TP3: 2536
BUY ZONE: 2498 - 2495
SL: 2488
TP1: 2509
Tp2: 2519
TP3: 2531
HINDUSTAN ZINC POSSIBLE ELLOIT WAVE COUNTSHINDUSTAN ZINC LTD after so many year of consolidation have shown huge volume and workout from 300 to almost 900 there after it come to retracement in range of 480 to 500.
Breakout with huge volume and future prospects and vision of company it may reach target's as shown in chart analysis.
CRUDEOIL Levels // 45 Min Support and ResistanceHello Everyone 👋
# On TradingView, the levels for Crude Oil include:
Support: 7180-7160, 7120, 7000 (Solid support, even in OI data)
Resistance: 7250-7275, 7300, 7400.
For MCX Crude Oil, the intraday analysis suggests:
Support: Calculated using commodityquant’s advance pivot point formula
Resistance: Valid only for today’s session on a 5-15 minute chart
XAUUSD 26/8/2024 Will the uptrend continue?
Last week we saw a special increase on Friday.
- This increase confirmed the completion of the ABC correction wave and the price continued to increase.
- Looking at the current uptrend, we see a structure of short candles with weak momentum. So this could be a big wave 1 in the uptrend structure. Looking at the bullish wave structure, we see that there are 5 black waves
- Currently, I am leaning towards the black ABC correction structure
- Looking at the chart, we see that the black wave A has been completed and the price is currently completing the black wave B
- The target for completing the black wave C is I predict at the price range of 2500 - 2497 or the price range of 2489 - 2486, this will be my BUY target
- Above, we see that there is still a very strong supply zone at the price range of 2531 - 2534, this is the old peak, so if the price wants to surpass the old peak, it needs to absorb all of this supply. So I will set the SELL target down here
Trading plan:
SELL ZONE: 2531 - 2534
SL: 2541
TP1: 2519
TP2: 2509
TP3: 2500
BUY ZONE: 2500 - 2407
SL: 2400
TP1: 2509
TP2: 2519
TP3: 2530
BUY ZONE: 2489 - 2486
SL: 2479
TP1: 2499
TP2: 2509
Tp3: 2530
26th August GOLD PREDICTIONGOLD has changed from a downtrend to an uptrend after the speech of FED Chairman POWELL. After the price failed to break the resistance at 2517-2519, it is predicted that there will be a slight recovery to 2507-2502 and continue to increase.
My plan for GOLD :
BUY LIMIT 2507-2503
SL 2500
TP1 2514
TP2 2517.5
TP3 2521
TP4 OPEN