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Gold Trading Inside Channel – Key Support & Resistance Levels!Hello Traders! Gold is currently moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 30-min chart. Both buyers and sellers are respecting the levels of this channel, giving us clear trading opportunities. Key Observations Price has tested the upper channel resistance multiple times, facing rejection near $3,710–$3,720. The lower channel support around $3,650 has been well respected, creating strong buying reactions. A minor resistance trendline is now forming, which could temporarily limit upside momentum. Short-term path suggests: rejection from minor resistance → retest of channel bottom → potential bounce back toward the upper channel. Trading Plan Bullish bias remains intact as long as Gold holds above $3,650 channel support. A bounce from support may target $3,710–$3,720 zone again. If support breaks, deeper correction may follow. Rahul’s Tip Always wait for confirmation near channel edges. Trading inside the channel can be tricky, but respecting support and resistance gives you high-probability setups. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile 👉 If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself Gold Market Outlook Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players. The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently. Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667) • Entry: 3,669 – 3,667 • Stop Loss: 3,660 • Targets:  TP1: 3,680  TP2: 3,690  TP3: 3,700+ 👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639) • Entry: 3,641 – 3,639 • Stop Loss: 3,632 • Targets:  TP1: 3,655  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,685+ 👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698) • Entry: 3,700 – 3,698 • Stop Loss: 3,707 • Targets:  TP1: 3,690  TP2: 3,680  TP3: 3,670 👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate Cut Hello fellow traders, The most anticipated event of September is now clear: the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the first reduction this year. Market expectations also indicate the possibility of another 50 basis points cut in the upcoming meeting. In his speech, Chairman Powell highlighted the “dual risk” – inflation could rise further while employment shows signs of weakness. Technical View Gold has formed an H1 candle closing below the rising price channel, signalling a possible violation of the medium-term uptrend. The buying side failed to maintain momentum after the rate cut news, showing caution in entering at elevated price levels. Medium-term investors may consider waiting for a lower price to enter fresh longs. However, the downside is not fully confirmed, as price is still hovering around the ascending trendline → selling directly at current levels still carries certain risks. Trading Scenarios Sell Strategy Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628 (Stop loss can be moved to breakeven if price reacts well, to hold positions longer). Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628 Buy Strategy Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672 Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended) Conclusion Gold is currently in a sensitive phase after the Fed’s decision to cut rates. Traders must watch price action carefully around major support and resistance levels to confirm a clearer direction. Stay tuned to this outlook — I will continue to provide updates as the market structure evolves. Follow along to receive the fastest scenario changes as price action develops.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply zones, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defence. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685) Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665. • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711) Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610) Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680) • Entry: 3,678 – 3,680 • Stop Loss: 3,685 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,675  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,665 👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702) • Entry: 3,704 – 3,702 • Stop Loss: 3,711 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,670  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,640 👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,616–3,618) • Entry: 3,616 – 3,618 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favourable risk/reward from deep demand. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favour short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade lighter size until direction clarifies post-news.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sell ​​XAU/USD now at 3688.00 level and take a stop loss of 3703.00 and the targets will be as follows. Entry range 3691.00 to 3687.00 Take Profit 1 = 3673.00 Take Profit 2 = 3665.00 Take Profit 3 = 3655.00 Take Profit 4 = 3645.00 Stock Loss 3703.00 Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position: Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point. Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk. Take Profit Levels: Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone. Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry. Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal. Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds. Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3. Conclusion Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NaviPips
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping through the key $3,700 level. Price briefly touched 3,702 before retreating back into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs on both sides. With the Fed policy decision expected at 1 AM VN time, volatility is likely to spike. The market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tensions, but short-term positioning indicates possible liquidity grabs before a clear directional move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H) • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703) Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660) Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630) Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based) 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665) • Entry: 3,674 – 3,665 • Stop Loss: 3,660 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,685 o TP2: 3,695 o TP3: 3,700+ 👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638) • Entry: 3,636 – 3,638 • Stop Loss: 3,630 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,655 o TP2: 3,670 o TP3: 3,680+ 👉 High risk-to-reward setup if stops are hunted before Fed decision. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694) • Entry: 3,696 – 3,694 • Stop Loss: 3,703 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,690 o TP2: 3,685 o TP3: 3,680 👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but the Fed decision risk suggests smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay flexible: short from premium zone (3,696–3,694), and defend longs at demand zones (3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638). Use lighter position sizing until post-Fed clarity emerges.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAGUSD Step-by-step entry plan for XAGUSD 1. We have our Daily Point of Interest (POI) - On the daily a zone that contains: * a fair value gap (FVG), * a break of structure (BOS) that previously acted as resistance and is now expected to act as support, and * support from the 44 SMA. 2. Wait for price to return to the Daily POI - Only consider the setup if price actually comes back into that daily POI zone. 3. Switch to the 1-hour timeframe to refine the entry - Look for a shift in structure on the 1-hour (i.e., evidence that momentum is shifting bullish: BOS to the upside, higher highs/higher lows). 4. Confirm a 1-hour fair value gap forms - The structure shift on 1-hour should create a 1-hour FVG (a short intraday imbalance). 5. Wait for the 1-hour FVG to be filled - Let price fill that 1-hour FVG (price moves into/through the gap). 6. Look for a bullish confirmation on the filled 1-hour FVG - After the fill, require a clear bullish formation on 1-hour (examples: bullish engulfing candle, strong demand candle, a higher-low + rejection wick). 7. Enter on the 1-hour bullish confirmation - Enter when price breaks the confirmation level (e.g., breaks above the local 1-hour high formed by the bullish setup) or on a confirmed bullish candle close per your entry rules.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AryanDixit
3
FED countdown | Buy at support, Sell at resistanceXAU/USD – 17/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context 18/09, 01:00 (US time): FED rate decision + Dot Plot → policy outlook for upcoming meetings 01:30: Powell’s speech – the key market focus Market consensus: FED almost certain to cut -25bps. However, the -50bps scenario still exists → if it happens, it will be a “big boost” for Gold During Asia–Europe session, Gold faced early profit-taking, dropping quickly to 3,677 – 3,675, reflecting caution ahead of the FED ⏩ Captain’s Summary Gold is making a technical pullback before the FED. Medium-term trend remains bullish, but patience is needed to wait for better Buy entries. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) Nearby OB: 3,693 – 3,695 (short scalp) ATH Zone: 3,717 – 3,720 (strong resistance, potential heavy selling) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Shallow Dock: 3,656 – 3,657 (short-term) Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (trendline confluence + old BoS) Market Structure Multiple BoS confirm bullish trend Price retracing to support, likely to bounce back and test 3,693 – 3,717 Break above 3,720 → confirms new ATH 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,656 – 3,657 SL: 3,648 TP: 3,675 – 3,693 – 3,717 Buy Zone 2 Entry: 3,629 – 3,630 SL: 3,618 TP: 3,656 – 3,690 – 3,717 ⚡ Sell (only at resistance) Sell Zone OB Entry: 3,693 – 3,695 SL: 3,705 TP: 3,690 – 3,685 - 3680 - 368x - 36xx Sell Zone ATH Entry: 3,717 – 3,720 SL: 3,727 TP: 3,715 – 3,710 – 3,705 - 37xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “Before the FED countdown, profit-taking waves pulled the Golden ship toward Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,656 – 3,629) . Yet the main current still flows north, the bullish trend remains intact. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,693 – 3,720) is the big wave, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Sailors must stay patient – the FED wind could be the force to propel Gold to new peaks.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to Hold Super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC 📊 Market Context Gold (XAUUSD) has recently moved out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is now trading in the 3,684–3,690 range. The market structure is bullish after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS). Still, imbalances remain below the present price level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement before further upside continuation. Liquidity pools are forming around 3,721–3,725, which increases the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near the FOMC. 🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective) Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS. Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited). Liquidity Pools: Buy-side liquidity: 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone). Sell-side liquidity: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone). 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones 3,686.88 (Immediate resistance) 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone) Support / Buy Zones 3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest) 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone) ✅ Priority Scenario – BUY Entry 1 Buy Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest) SL: 3,661 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 2 Buy Limit: 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) SL: 3,648 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 3 Buy Limit: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity) SL: 3,618 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade) If the price touches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before revisiting the lower buy zones → look for rejection patterns. Enter SELL if bearish confirmation appears. SL: 3,730 TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676 ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes Expect high volatility during FOMC – liquidity traps are very likely. Reduce lot size before the news release to minimise risk. Take trades only with confirmation (avoid blind buys/sells). Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
XAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & ShouldersXAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & Shoulders: Two Key Levels 3657 / 3627 Hello Traders, Gold opened the week with a bounce of over 20 points from the rising trendline and is now consolidating within a Pennant, which aligns with a small Head & Shoulders structure on the H1 chart. At the moment, the market is waiting for a breakout and confirmation to establish a clearer direction. Pattern: A narrowing Pennant Flag alongside an H&S (left shoulder – head – right shoulder). Key Zones to Watch 3655–3660: Crucial reaction zone (trendline + Pennant top). 3627: Critical support — a break below would invalidate the short-term bullish structure. Fibonacci Levels: 1.618 in the mid-range, 2.618 lower — possible targets for a deeper correction. MACD (12,26,9): Histogram has turned negative → short-term bearish momentum has the edge, though clear confirmation is still pending. Trading Scenarios Bullish Setup Entry: Retest around 3654–3657 Targets: 3663 – 3670 – 3680 → 3695 Stop: Below 3648 Bearish Setup Entry: Sell directly on breakdown, or wait for a retest near 3671–3674 Targets: 3663 – 3650 – 3633 – 3615 → 3595 → 3568 → 3540 Stop: Above 3679 the market is currently pricing in near certainty of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17th September, while the probability of a 0.50% cut still remains on the table. If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I’ll update the outlook as soon as the price structure changes — follow me to get the latest setups first.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED & US Politics : S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence. Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin. Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court. US Economy : 6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator. Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance) 3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668 OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645 Strong Low: 3611 (deep support) Market Structure : After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged. Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722. If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy 1 (FVG) Entry: 3666 – 3668 SL: 3657 TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x Buy 2 (OB) Entry: 3643 – 3645 SL: 3632 TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x ⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone Entry: 3722 – 3724 SL: 3732 TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodayI would like to share my personal view on gold for the day. The overall trend in XAUUSD continues to be very strong, with the price consistently making fresh highs over the past two weeks. Buying interest has remained steady across sessions, while any corrections have been short-lived, mostly visible on the M15–M30 timeframes. Yesterday, gold broke out of the Pennant pattern on the upside and is now consolidating near 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level aligns with an important Fibonacci zone, providing further technical confirmation. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to conclude near 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a level which has acted as reliable support in the past. After that, gold may enter its final Wave 5, with the potential to move towards the 3,740+ region. Trading setups for consideration: Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744 Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650 Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP will be decided based on the price structure at that time Important levels to keep in focus: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger price reactions and could be useful for intraday scalping opportunities. This is my personal outlook on gold for today. I hope it will be helpful to fellow traders in making better trading decisions. Kindly share your feedback in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
GOLD LONG IDEA AT BOTTOM 1400PIPS IN NONFARM BUY GOLD 3314 +900PIPS BUY GOLD 3344 +500PIPS 📊 Today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m: ✅ 0.3% (same as forecast and previous). → Wage growth is steady, no extra inflation pressure. Non-Farm Employment Change: ❌ Actual: 22K vs Forecast: 75K vs Previous: 79K → Job creation has fallen sharply, showing slowdown in the US economy. Unemployment Rate: ✅ Actual: 4.3% (as expected, higher than 4.2% previous). → Labour market conditions are getting weaker, unemployment rising. 🔎 Market Impact US Dollar (USD): Weak NFP data is negative for the dollar. Higher unemployment increases chances of the Fed cutting rates earlier. Gold (XAU/USD): Positive for gold: Weak USD supports higher gold prices. If the Fed turns dovish, safe-haven demand for gold will strengthen. Gold may gain strong momentum on expectations of rate cuts. Equities: Wage inflation is stable, so no fresh inflation worries. Equity markets may take it positively as Fed could soften policy. 📌 Key Takeaway NFP weak → Bearish USD Gold bullish, upside momentum possible EUR, GBP likely to gain on USD weakness Equities may stay supported
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
2
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?On the 4H timeframe, Gold is consolidating just below 3,600 after a strong bullish rally. The current structure shows price pausing near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This indicates engineered sweeps are likely before the next major move. 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H): 🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone at intraday discount; potential continuation level. 🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if rejection happens. 📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance area likely to get filled. 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction Entry: 3,572 – 3,574 Stop Loss: 3,565 Take Profits: TP1: 3,585 TP2: 3,595 TP3: 3,605 👉 Demand block in line with bullish order flow. Watch for a liquidity sweep and rejection to fuel trend continuation. 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction Entry: 3,530 – 3,528 Stop Loss: 3,537 Take Profits: TP1: 3,520 TP2: 3,510 TP3: 3,500 👉 Intraday supply/pivot area. Best suited for quick scalp trades against the trend, targeting downside liquidity. 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias stays bullish, but intraday shorts can work for scalping purposes. The cleaner setup is to buy from 3,572–3,574 for continuation towards 3,600+. Smart money may attempt a liquidity sweep at 3,530 before pushing higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Ahead of FOMC: Holding the Bullish Structure, Eyeing 3,700Hello everyone, gold is heading into a very sensitive week with the upcoming FOMC decision on rates and policy guidance. On the H1 chart, price just broke out to 3.68xx with a strong candle and improved volume, now consolidating just below 3,690–3,700 – a psychological barrier and session high. The broader trend remains upward as gold trades above a rising Ichimoku cloud, while clear support steps form below: 3,662–3,665 as the nearest floor, 3,648–3,642 as a deeper defense, and the 3,635–3,625 cloud zone as intraday trend protection. As long as gold holds above 3.66x, I favour a high-probability accumulation setup to retest 3,690–3,700; if H1/H4 candles close above 3,700, the next target could extend to 3,715–3,730. On the news side, the midweek FOMC is the key trigger. A dovish Powell and dot-plot could soften USD and yields, giving gold a chance to break 3,700. A hawkish tone, however, may spark profit-taking and pull gold back to 3,662–3,665 or even 3,648–3,642 to test demand. Labour data, manufacturing reports, and the BoE decision will also shape sentiment. With US figures lately underwhelming, markets lean toward a softer Fed stance, which underpins gold. I tilt bullish, watching reactions around 3,665 and 3,645 as FOMC headlines hit. Do you think the Fed will sound dovish or hawkish this week? Drop your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640. • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection • Entry: 3,656 – 3,658 • Stop Loss: 3,663 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,645  TP2: 3,640 👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity. 🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,672 – 3,674 • Stop Loss: 3,679 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,640 👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,614 – 3,612 • Stop Loss: 3,607 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,640  TP3: 3,655 👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658 • Swing sells at 3,672–3,674 • Discount buys at 3,614–3,612 Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Fresh Highs, Hot Headlines , Is a Pullback Next?Gold broke out of its recent range yesterday and is now trading at new all-time highs, showing strong follow-through momentum. On the weekly pivot chart, price is currently testing Weekly R1, with the next key level being the psychological 3700 resistance. While the technical structure remains bullish, today’s headlines from major gold newsletter are a reminder that sentiment is running extremely hot. When you start seeing mainstream media comparing gold rally to 1979 and celebrating retail traders wins, it often signals that we’re entering a frothy phase. With the FOMC decision approaching, the risk of a short-term shakeout or healthy correction is definitely on the table. A close back below the breakout zone could trigger profit-taking, while holding above R1 would keep the path open for 3700 and beyond. For now, 3625–3650 remains the key support area, and as long as price holds above this zone, the trend stays firmly bullish but we should stay cautious and avoid chasing too aggressively at these levels until we get clarity from the Fed. Personally I am expecting some cool down after FOMC .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
GOLD DAILY PLAN 15/09: SMC & Wyckoff Logic🔎 Market Overview Market Structure (SMC): Price is currently moving inside a short-term descending channel but is showing signs of Wyckoff accumulation around the 3620–3635 zone (Liquidity BUY). This is a key support area. Wyckoff: After a supply test, price is likely to consolidate and then push higher to sweep liquidity above (Liquidity SELL at 3688–3703). Liquidity Zones Liquidity BUY: 3595–3592 (major demand area) Liquidity SELL: 3688–3703 (profit-taking & potential reversal zone) 📌 Key Levels Resistance: 3668 – 3688 – 3703 Support: 3634 – 3629 – 3622 – 3617 🟢 BUY Plan (Primary Setup) Entry: 3595–3592 Stop Loss (SL): 3587 (below Liquidity BUY) Take Profit (TP) targets: TP1: 3615 TP2: 3625 TP3: 3635 TP4: 3645 Open TP: 3685 (extended Wyckoff target) 🔴 SELL Plan (Counter-trade) Entry: 3698–3701 (Liquidity SELL zone) Stop Loss (SL): 3706 (just above breakout trap) Take Profit (TP) targets: TP1: 3690 TP2: 3680 TP3: 3670 TP4: 3660 Open TP: 3650 ⚡ Scalping Strategy Enter only on confirmation signals at Order Blocks (OB) or Liquidity Zones. Prioritise BUY trades at support and SELL trades at resistance. Apply strict risk management: risk no more than 1–2% per trade. ✅ Conclusion Main directional bias for the day: BUY from 3595–3592, targeting the 3685–3700 region. At Liquidity SELL 3688–3703, short-term SELL setups can be considered with targets back to 3660–3650.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
5
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656) • Entry: 3,658 – 3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,651 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,675+ 👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613) • Entry: 3,615 – 3,613 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678) • Entry: 3,676 – 3,678 • Stop Loss: 3,683 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,645 👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025: Weekly trend outlook, gold still has enough conditions for the possibility of continued price increases. Basic news: After surpassing the 3670 USD/ounce mark, the highest level in history, the gold price has entered a correction phase, in the context of the market focusing on monitoring the policy moves of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the margin to 4 - 4.25%. However, the scenario of the Fed cutting 50 basis points is still considered, because this could cause the USD to plummet and push gold to skyrocket. Technical analysis: The sideway range of 3600 - 3660 is still holding. Currently, we will wait for trading points at the 2 edges of the sideway range, but the priority is still mainly trading according to the trend. Important price zones today: 3600 - 3605 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: Sideway. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3600 - 3602 SL 3597 TP 3605 - 3615 - 3635 - 3665 - OPEN. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3618 - 3620 SL 3615 TP 3623 - 3630 - 3650 - 3665. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665 SL 3668 TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume). Wish you a new week of safe, effective and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
Gold faces early selling pressure | Main trend still Buy🟡 XAU/USD – 15/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED rate cut probabilities this week : -25bps : 96.4% (up from 89.1%). -50bps : only 3.0% (down sharply from 10.9%). Trump : Announced more sanctions on Russia, urged NATO to stop buying Russian oil; also emphasized “the possibility of significant FED rate cuts.” Key event today : New York Manufacturing Index at 1:30 (US time). ⏩ Captain’s Summary : The sharp drop in -50bps expectations caused early selling pressure on Gold this morning. But overall, FED is still certain to cut rates and inflation is cooling → the bigger trend continues to favor Buy . 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3665 – 3670 (Weak High & upper cap). Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : 3623 – 3603 – 3587. Market Structure : On H1, Gold is moving within a tightening triangle with EqH and EqL . Main trend stays bullish, but needs a retest of support before rallying toward 3665 – 3670. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3623 – 3625 SL: 3612 TP: 3640 – 3650 – 3660 – 3665+ Buy Zone 2 (FVG) Entry: 3603 – 3605 SL: 3592 TP: 3620 – 3640 – 3655 – 3665 Deep Buy Zone Entry: 3587 – 3590 SL: 3575 TP: 3610 – 3630 – 3650 ⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone Entry: 3665 – 3670 SL: 3678 TP: 3655 – 3645 – 3635 – 36xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship faces headwinds this morning as sailors reduce expectations for a -50bps cut. But the larger sail remains filled with dovish FED winds, steering the voyage north. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3623 – 3603 – 3587) is the safe dock to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3665 – 3670) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . The main journey still favors Buy , waiting for the FED to blow more tailwind into the Golden sails.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent