HINDCOPPER AnalysisAfter today's massive bloodbath, we've got HINDCOPPER on our radar for next 2-3 weeks.
So the view after the bloodbath today, i.e. on 13th March 2024, the view is clear that we're looking for fundamentally strong companies that are available at cheaper valuations.
We need to buy companies that are trading at a PE that is lower than the industry PE, that are running close to their Book Value, are not overvalued, both fundamentally and technically, and ofcourse we need to stay cautious in Small-Mid Cap segment.
So here, we have HINDCOPPER.
CMP- 234.90
Target- 275. (Ideally a zone, between 270-280)
Stoploss- A little below our buy zone, at 225.
Duration- 2-3 Weeks.
Risk-Reward is a massive 1:4!
It's really difficult to get such good trades in a crashing market like this.
Let's pray for this to work
Let me know what you think.
Commodities
Gold price adjusted strongly!Hello dear friends, let's find out about the price of gold today!
As predicted since yesterday, gold has experienced strong downward pressure after the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the United States. According to the CPI report, it increased by 3.2% compared to the same period last year in February, slightly higher than the predicted 3.1% by market participants. The core index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, came in at 3.8%, higher than the expected 3.7%, although lower than the 3.9% announced in January.
These data have helped the USD recover and suppress the upward momentum of this precious metal. Currently, gold is trading around $2159 and is still undergoing a corrective phase after reaching record highs.
In the short and medium term, gold is forming a cup and handle pattern and will soon face downward pressure after aiming for the resistance level of $2165. We can consider selling if gold reaches that level, with a profit target at the support level of $2145 - $2143.
Gold price today: Waiting anxiously!The Tuesday trading session holds significant importance for investors as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics prepares to release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February. This report is expected to provide fresh insights into recent inflation trends and guide the Federal Reserve's short-term monetary policy.
According to forecasts, the overall CPI may increase by 0.4% compared to the previous month, reflecting the impact of rising energy costs. This result is predicted to maintain an annual interest rate stability of 3.1%. Meanwhile, the core index is anticipated to rise by 0.3% monthly, causing a slight decrease in the year-on-year rate from 3.9% to 3.7%.
Gold prices fluctuated between 2175-2185 during yesterday's trading session, awaiting information from the CPI report set to be released at 7:30 PM tonight. It is expected that after the news, prices will break the current pattern and form a clear trend, enabling investors to devise short-term trading strategies:
Sell around 2185-2188, with a stop loss at 2191, targeting 2172-2175. Buy around 2173-2175, with a stop loss at 2169, targeting 2186.
Note: It is advised to close positions before the news is announced.
12 Mar ’24 — 10:43 candle gives me cold shivers!Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “If Nifty50 has to change its character, the price has to fall below 22295 and then below 22051 wherein the higher low will get violated.”
4mts chart
I was stunned by the Nifty50 and BankNifty price moves today. We started the day in line and then the 09.31 GREEN candle surprised me, a quick surge that took Nifty50 up by 134 points ~ 0.6% by 10.15. What followed was even scarier: a fall of 194 points ~ 0.87% by 10.43. A single candle moved 131 points ~ 0.59%. When was the last time you remember seeing Nifty move that much in a single 4-minute candle? We briefly violated the support of 22295 but got back in a quick time. From there on Nifty50 had no more aggressive swings and managed to close flat today.
On the higher time frame, the stance continues to remain bullish. As long as 22295 support holds, there is no meaning in revising the stance. One thing is sure, the sudden price moves we are seeing right now are quite indicative of a massive shift in fundamentals. Technical Analysis cannot detect the directional impact this early, but it would be prudent to keep an eye out for any possible clues. The small caps -1.98% and mid caps -2.55% are bleeding RED, and even some Nifty sub-sectors are also down by quite a bit - Realty -3.71%, PSU Banks -2.57%, media -1.85%, Metals -1.73%.
63mts chart
Gold price today: Become more cautious!The price of gold today did not decrease as previously predicted, instead it continued to move sideways and traded around the $2180 mark in the early hours of Tuesday. The market remained quiet on Monday due to a lack of significant news, resulting in no significant changes in the price of gold.
Gold still shows a long-term upward trend, but at the moment, it is significantly influenced by news, especially information about the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in the middle of this year.
During the week, the market will closely follow reports on retail sales, weekly jobless claims, and manufacturing data from the US. The future path of gold is still uncertain, so stay cautious and closely monitor the information. RKarina will continue to provide updates to support you!
What changes in the new gold price?Hello dear friends, let's find out about the gold price today and evaluate the strategy for this week!
Last week, we witnessed a strong surge in Gold and it surpassed its all-time high with a figure close to $2200. We expected it to correct its trend last week, but it seems that the buying side continues to push it higher, and it is currently trading around $2180 on the first day of the week.
The trend of this metal is still unclear, although the upward momentum is dominant, it is still heavily influenced by market news. Therefore, it is necessary to monitor and closely follow important information during the week.
Regarding prospects: The global gold price this week is likely to see investors taking profits after a continuous week of price increase, causing the gold price to turn downwards. However, this decrease is not significant as political tensions continue to escalate and the US dollar remains subdue
Naturalgas important levelsMoving inside a channel. Near term fundamentals doesnt favor sudden huge upmove but can move till the last downward breakout line before consolidating for the next upmove.
Real positivity is the increased demand for electricity generation which is happening and if thats the case with good summer heat, can see 250 by may or june itself.
Gold price today: Expect a gentle adjustment!Let's take a look at the exciting gold news of the week!
Since February 28th, the gold market has truly heated up, with prices soaring to new heights and gently landing around $2,160 per ounce in Friday's Asian session. The expectations of a Fed rate cut in June have breathed new life into the sails of gold prices. And it was none other than the suggestive remarks from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell before Congress that added fuel to the fire, making predictions of an interest rate reduction even more certain.
Looking back on a dazzling week for gold, it is not difficult to see that after the frenzy comes the cool breeze of adjustment. Personally, I predict that while gold has reached its peak of glory, it will not be able to avoid a certain "cooling down." Let's wait and see what gold will do next in this vast financial landscape.
Gold price today: Waiting for new jumps!The price of gold continues to rise to its all-time high around $2156 as Chairman Jerome Powell's comments reinforce expectations of monetary policy easing this year. Betting on interest rate cuts is driving up the price of gold, and everyone anticipates that the easing will happen soon, further supporting gold.
The non-farm payroll report for February, set to be released on Friday, is expected to provide clearer information on the timing of the US interest rate cut. According to a Reuters poll, economists forecast that the US created 200,000 jobs in the month. If the employment figures are weaker than expected, it could push the price of gold even higher, nearing $2,200 per ounce.
Gold eases from record top, focus on $2,150, US NFPGold price snaps seven-day winning streak while retreating from the all-time high (ATH) of nearly $2,165 to $2,156 early Friday. In doing so, the precious metal portrays the consolidation of recent gains ahead of the all-important US employment details for February amid the overbought RSI (14) conditions. It’s worth noting, however, that the bullion still trades above the immediate resistance-turned-support, namely the previous record high marked in 2023 around $2,150. Hence, the XAUUSD sellers need validation from the US jobs report as well as the $2,150 to retake control. Following that, a quick fall toward the late December 2023 peak of around $2,090 and the $2,065-64 support zone can’t be ruled out. Even so, the commodity bears need to remain cautious unless the quote offers a daily closing beneath three-week-old rising support and the 100-SMA, respectively near $2,050 and $2,022.
On the flip side, the Gold buyers stay in the driver’s seat and can aim for a 10-month-old ascending resistance line, close to $2,185 by the press time, during further upside. Should the quote manage to ignore the RSI conditions and remain firmer past $2,185, the $2,200 round figure will act as an extra filter toward the north. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD’s successful trading above $2,200 enables buyers to aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its moves between 2018 and 2022, around $2,336.
Overall, Gold price remains on the bullish trend but a pullback appears imminent unless the scheduled data fail to inspire US Dollar’s rebound.
Gold price today: Record high!Hello everyone, it's great to see you all again for today's discussion on the price of gold!
Currently, gold is trading around $2,145.560 per ounce, an increase of $17,995 per ounce compared to yesterday's price. This upward trend in gold continues today, driven by the expectation of monetary easing in the United States. Gold has strong potential for short-term growth as the Fed will not let the US economy weaken. The Fed is likely to soon cut interest rates, which will support gold.
However, gold also faces several risks as the precious metal is rapidly rising and reaching record highs. Profit-taking pressure may increase as a result. According to technical indicators, gold is currently overbought. This could mean a potential reversal to a downward trend if profit-taking activities intensify.
07 Mar ’24 — Another stable day, getting ready for next jump?Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “We are maintaining our bullish stance for tomorrow as well, but we are not expecting 22600 to be broken tomorrow.”
4mts chart
It was another perfect day for the option sellers, mostly the short straddlers. Nifty struck a narrow range today and had no special adventures. Looking at how Nifty50 traded today makes me remember the Cricket commentators saying “After hitting the first 2 balls for 6 & 4s, take singles and rotate strikes..”. Nifty50 did the exact same thing today. The rotations were in the sub-sectors and the market breadth was improving. Media, Metal, FMCG, Pharma, Consumption, and Commodities all did well today and the laggards were Banks and Energy.
Between the last expiry and today, Nifty50 rose 440pts ~ 2%. Most importantly it took out 2 support/resistance levels - 22051 and 22295. And we rewrote the ATH twice. As it looks everything looks GREEN on this side. Tomorrow will be a holiday in India, so our next market action will be on Monday. If US markets advance and take out their ATHs by then, we can expect a huge gap up in the next session. In case the Global macros weaken over the weekend - the Bull's party could be cut short too. Wish you a happy weekend.
63mts chart
Gold price today: Will the upward momentum continue?The price of gold (XAU/USD) has taken advantage of its recent upward momentum and reached a new record high around $2,152 on Wednesday. This price increase comes amidst expectations of an upcoming change in the Federal Reserve's policy. Comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell have reinforced these expectations, indicating that the central bank is likely to lower the benchmark interest rate by the end of this year. However, Fed Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari has tempered speculation of a more aggressive policy easing, providing some support for the US Dollar (USD) and preventing it from dropping to its lowest level since February. As a result, this has limited further gains for gold, especially when considering the excessive price increase on the daily chart.
At the same time, any significant adjustments in the price of gold seem unlikely due to the current geopolitical tensions. Furthermore, concerns about China's economic slowdown, as the world's second-largest economy, may continue to support this precious metal. Additionally, investors may exercise caution ahead of Powell's second testimony before the Senate Banking Committee and the release of monthly employment data in the United States.
XAUUSDWelcome back to a fresh discussion on the gold price for the upcoming week.
In the past week, gold has witnessed an impressive surge, continuously climbing from $2035 to $2088 and maintaining a stable price around $2080 in the early hours of Monday.
Looking ahead and building a strategy along with forecasts for this week: A survey involving 14 analysts revealed that none of them predict a decline in the gold price in the near future. Among them, 11 analysts, accounting for 79%, remain optimistic about the prospects of gold, while 3 analysts, making up 21%, hold a neutral stance towards this precious metal.
Regarding today's gold price forecast: Gold has started to undergo a price correction and shows a slight downward trend under the pressure of profit-taking from investors, decreasing by 0.15% in a day. This price breakthrough may lead to gold being retested at key support levels, so investors need to exercise caution to avoid being swayed by the price.
Long Position in Natural GasNatural Gas has broken important support zone of 160-165 this week & now trading at 135.
Natural gas is approaching its next major support zone of 128-120
CMP is 135 & I'm opening long position in futures. I'll add more position if 125-126 comes.
SL would be below 119
Targets I'm expecting are 158 and 167 which was support zone before & now a resistance.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Gold price increased dramatically at the end of the week!Hello dear friends, let's review the gold prices of the past week and discuss new strategies for the upcoming week with Kevin!
During the beginning of the week, gold prices remained relatively stable, mainly moving sideways around the $2030 mark with a resistance level at $2035. However, in the last two days of the week, gold gained strong buying momentum and broke through some significant resistance levels, continuously rising from $2025 to $2088 and currently pausing at $2082.
The international financial market has received economic updates from major economies such as the United States, Europe, and China. As a result, investors have been actively buying precious metals to protect their capital, pushing gold prices to the highest level in months.
Looking ahead to the next week's strategy:
Based on chart analysis, gold has surpassed the $2065 resistance level and is approaching $2090, but it is encountering some limitations as indicated on the chart. It is expected to experience a slight retreat as the new trading week begins, with a projected range of 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (which means testing the new support area around $2065 and testing the 34 and 89 EMA lines as the price has gone too far).
Wishing you all successful and enjoyable trading!
Gold price on the weekend of trading weekend!Hello everyone, let's strategize for the new day with RKarina! It can be observed that yesterday afternoon, the price of gold increased significantly, surpassing the important resistance level at 2035 USD and approaching the level of 2050 USD before stabilizing around the 2045 USD range in the first half of today.
In line with this, the core PCE of the United States decreased from 2.9% to 2.8% compared to the same period last year. The annual overall inflation rate also decreased sharply from 2.6% to 2.4%, in line with expectations. This data confirms that the process of inflation reduction continues, causing a decrease in US Treasury bond yields. As a result, financial investors are shifting their capital from bonds to precious metals. The price of gold in the world today has the momentum to continue rising.
Gold Spot - A Pattern is spottedThe chart shows the price is traveling in a descending parallel channel formation. This time reaching towards the upper levels of the channel. If rejected from the levels of 2044-2052, may be in a downtrend for further sessions. Possible targets are indicated on the charts.
This illustration is my personal view only, for learning and sharing purposes, not a piece of trading advice in any form.
All the best.
XAUUSD: little volatility, quiet tradingHello dear friends! What is your prediction for the movement of gold today?
Last night, gold briefly touched the $2025 mark before quickly recovering to stabilize around the $2035 range, facing challenges around this resistance level. Due to the narrowing Bollinger Bands, it is predicted that gold will have minimal volatility today, possibly fluctuating between $2038 and $2025.
Bull cross keeps Gold buyers hopeful ahead of Fed InflationThe price of spot Gold (XAUUSD) defends the previous day’s rebound from a weekly low despite lacking momentum around $2,035 early Thursday. In doing so, the yellow metal portrays the market’s anxiety ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, namely the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index. It should be noted that the sluggish MACD signals and steady RSI near 50.00 also depict the trader’s lack of conviction. However, the 50-SMA pierces off the 200-SMA from below and portrays a bullish moving average crossover, namely the Bull Cross, which in turn suggests a short-term upside bias of the market. The same highlights $2,042 as an immediate resistance ahead of an eight-week-old horizontal area surrounding $2,062-66 that holds the key to the bullion’s further advances. In a case where the quote remains firmer past $2,066, the late 2023 peak of around $2,088 and the $2,100 round figure will lure the XAUUSD bulls.
On the flip side, an area comprising the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA, around $2,028-26, restricts short-term declines in the Gold price. Following that, the $2,010 level and the previous monthly low of around $2,001 could test the XAUUSD bears before giving them control. In that case, the monthly bottom surrounding $1,984 and the late 2023 trough near $1,973 will be imperative to watch as the final defenses of the buyers.
Overall, the Gold buyers are in command ahead of the key US data but the upside room appears limited.
Xauusd todayHey everyone, let's delve into the current gold prices!
During the previous trading session, the price of gold remained steady, ranging from $2022 to $2025. Investors are eagerly awaiting fresh economic data from the United States in order to assess the future direction of interest rates as determined by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
At the moment, gold finds itself in a temporary stalemate, torn between expectations regarding interest rates and the demand for a safe haven amidst geopolitical tensions. The latest minutes from the Fed's policy meeting have revealed a general concern among policymakers regarding the risks associated with premature interest rate cuts, which has exerted significant pressure on gold.
In my opinion, there is a possibility that gold prices could rise to a range of $2040 - $2042 before experiencing a correction if it reaches the limit of its downward trend.