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XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Fed WeekXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Fed Week: prioritize Sell at VAH, Buy only when reaching discount price area 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold retested last week's peak and then dropped immediately, indicating that buying pressure at high price levels remains cautious – investors are not ready to "chase the price." The current structure does not clearly show a long-term trend, but in the short term, there are signs of distribution around high price levels, favorable for selling scenarios according to Volume Profile. Today, Brian prioritizes watching for a Sell after the price fills the FVG and touches the VAH, while also preparing a Buy scenario at a lower area if the market sweeps liquidity strongly. 2. Volume Profile & price structure The VAH area around 4,233–4,235 coincides with the FVG area above: This is where large volumes were previously traded, making it easy for profit-taking/sell-off forces to appear. Below, the sell-side liquidity levels are spread around 4,200 – 4,175 – 4,140, coinciding with the lows of previous sessions. The area 4,172–4,175 is a good balance zone for the Buy scenario: below it is a cluster of liquidity and just above a broader Buy zone around 4,140 on the chart. 3. Trading plan for this week Scenario 1 – Sell according to Volume Profile (priority) Entry Sell: 4,233–4,235 (VAH + FVG) SL: 4,241 TP1: 4,215 TP2: 4,200 TP3: 4,175 TP4: 4,140 Idea: wait for the price to fill the FVG and touch the VAH, observe the H1/M15 candle reaction. If there is a clear rejection signal (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…), activate the Sell order. This is a short-term play, based on volume & liquidity, not a chase sell when the price is in the middle of the zone. Scenario 2 – Buy when the price reaches the discount area Entry Buy: 4,172–4,175 SL: 4,165 TP1: 4,195 TP2: 4,220 TP3: 4,245 TP4: 4,290 Idea: if the price is strongly sold off sweeping through the sell-side liquidity areas, the area 4,172–4,175 can become a good demand zone to catch the rebound, especially when a nice candle reaction appears on H1. This is a "catch the rebound" buy position in the context of this Fed week, requiring disciplined SL. 4. Macro context – Why is the market hesitant? Last Friday, gold jumped to 4,260 USD and then quickly fell to 4,200 USD, mainly due to the sharp rise in US bond yields as the market awaited the Fed meeting. Although the market still prices in a high probability of the Fed cutting 25 bps, sentiment is divided by the "hawkish rate cut" scenario: The Fed cuts but maintains a tough tone on inflation → yields are unlikely to fall deeply, gold is easily sold at high levels. USD maintains its range, US economic data is relatively stable, causing money flows to "not dare to all-in" on gold before the dot-plot and Powell's speech. Therefore, this week is the Fed's week: the short-term direction of gold will depend heavily on the policy message, especially the expected reduction path for next year. Follow to receive the earliest articles from Brian
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Real-Time XAG/USD Chart Analysis: Bullish Momentum Builds TowardFOREXCOM:XAGUSD Real-Time XAG/USD Chart Analysis: Bullish Momentum Builds Toward $60 As of December 8, 2025 (Intraday: Early Trading) Current Price: 58.31 USD (Down ~0.08% from previous close of 58.36; trading range: 57.59–58.74) Asset: XAG/USD (Silver Spot vs. US Dollar) Key Context: Silver's consolidating just shy of its all-time high of 59.42 hit earlier this week, with fresh ETF inflows and tightening physical inventories underscoring the uptrend. Amid Fed rate-cut bets and robust industrial demand (solar, AI), the technical setup leans Strong Buy—a pullback could be a gift for longs eyeing new records. Quick Macro Snapshot Tailwinds: Weaker USD from softer PCE inflation and labor data, plus record SLV ETF inflows (highest in 10 years). Supply crunch on Shanghai exchanges at multi-year lows, with green tech demand projected to drive deficits. Silver's 2025 YTD gains now at ~83%, outpacing gold's rally. Headwinds: Overstretched speculative positioning could spark profit-taking; hawkish Fed signals next week might cap upside if yields rebound. Technical Breakdown Pulling from daily and 4H charts, the bias is firmly bullish despite minor intraday dips: Trend & Moving Averages (Strong Buy): Daily: Price well above rising 200-day EMA (~55.00) and 50-day EMA (~50.00), with all major MAs aligned bullish. 200-hour EMA at 56.30 provides dynamic support. 4H: Golden cross intact on EMAs; buyers defending the ascending channel. Implication: Uptrend channel from October lows holding; retest of $59+ imminent on volume pickup. Momentum Indicators (Neutral with Bullish Tilt): RSI (14): 50.82 (Neutral)—cooled from overbought but no divergence yet, leaving room for extension. MACD (12,26): Recently slipped negative below zero line (bearish histogram), signaling short-term downside momentum, but line still above signal overall. Stochastics (9,6): ~65 (Buy territory); not overbought. CCI (14): Neutral (~0); Williams %R: -45 (Mild buy). ADX (14): 28 (Moderate trend strength, bullish direction). Implication: Momentum pausing after the ATH push, but neutral RSI avoids sell signals—watch for bullish crossover. Volume & Volatility: ATR (14): ~0.85 (Elevated vs. recent avg., indicating volatility spike post-breakout). Bull/Bear Power: Bulls dominant (+0.45), with options flow heavy on calls. Pivot Points & Key Levels (Classic):LevelPriceTypeR359.50ResistanceR259.20ResistanceR159.00ResistancePivot58.15NeutralS157.50SupportS256.50SupportS356.20Support Support Cluster: 56.20–56.50 (200h EMA + key zone; break below eyes 55.25 weekly support). Resistance: 59.00–59.35 (recent ATH; clear for $60+ push). Fibonacci: 61.8% extension from Oct lows targets 60.50. Weekly Outlook Broader uptrend: Strong Buy on MAs; Triangle pattern resolving higher, with potential test of 55.25 support before rally to 60.65–68.05. YTD doubling makes $65 realistic if Fed cuts materialize. Risk: Drop below 56.20 could accelerate to 54–55 (prior resistance-turned-support), but low probability amid deficit forecasts. Bias: Buy the dip—industrial tailwinds and ETF momentum point to $60 by quarter-end. Trade Takeaway: Long above 58.15 pivot (stop below 56.50). Target R1 at 59.00 for 1:2 risk/reward. Squad, silver's stealing gold's thunder—$60 next, or Fed-induced pause? What's your play? #XAG #SilverAnalysis #SignalSquad
TVC:SILVER
by SignalSquad
Why Gold Hits Your SL🌟 Why Gold Hits Your SL 😭💛📈 Gold is one of the most aggressive and volatile assets in the market — and if you’ve ever wondered “Why does gold ALWAYS hit my stop-loss before moving in my direction?”, this post explains the real reason. Let’s break it down clearly 👇 🔶 1. Gold Loves Liquidity — Not Levels 💦💰 Gold doesn’t move based on your support/resistance lines. It moves based on liquidity, meaning: Where traders place stop-losses ❌ Where pending orders sit 🎯 Where large institutions want to fill positions 🏦 Your SL is simply sitting where everyone else puts theirs, which makes it prime liquidity. 🔶 2. XAUUSD Spikes Are Designed to Collect Orders ⚡💥 Gold often creates sudden: Wicks Fake breakouts Quick pumps or dumps Sharp candle spikes These moves are NOT random — they’re engineered to: 🔸 Trigger stop-losses 🔸 Activate pending buy/sell orders 🔸 Grab liquidity before the real move This is why your SL gets hit by $1–$3 before price completely reverses. 🔶 3. Gold Moves Session-by-Session 🕒🌍 Gold behaves differently depending on the time of day: Asia session → Slow, tight range London session → First big manipulation New York session → Volatility explosion + real direction Most SL hunts take place when London opens or when NY session begins ⚠️🔥 🔶 4. Clean Highs & Lows = SL Magnets 🧲📌 Gold LOVES attacking: Previous day’s high/low Asian range high/low London session extremes Double tops & bottoms Round numbers (like 4000 / 4050 / 4100) These areas hold thousands of stop-losses. So before gold takes a real direction — it sweeps them first. 🏹😈 🔶 5. The Classic Gold Pattern: Trap → Reversal → Expansion 🔁🚀 Most XAUUSD moves follow this sequence: 1️⃣ Sweep liquidity 😭 2️⃣ Fake breakout 😈 3️⃣ Sharp rejection 👋 4️⃣ Real trend begins 🚀 If you’ve ever seen price: Break a level Wick hard Then reverse the entire move That’s gold performing a liquidity grab. 🔶 6. How To Avoid Getting Stopped Out ✔️ Here’s what actually helps: 🌟 A. Don’t put SL exactly at obvious levels Move it beyond common liquidity zones. 🌟 B. Wait for the sweep before entering Let gold perform the trap first. 🌟 C. Trade reaction — not prediction Look for re-entry after the wick forms. 🌟 D. Use sessions to your advantage Avoid placing SL right before London/NY opens. 🌟 Final Words Gold isn’t hunting you — it’s hunting liquidity. Your job is simple: 👉 Stop placing stops where everyone else does 👉 Let gold sweep liquidity first 👉 Then catch the real move Trade smarter, not tighter. 💛⚡
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
3
Gold 1H – Will 4242 Displace or 4170 Unlock the Next Leg?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (04/12) 📈 Market Context Gold squeezes into engineered liquidity as Donald Trump signals policy authorization for ultra-compact car production in the U.S., adding risk-on volatility to USD narratives. Markets may front-run sentiment shifts into commodities like gold. Expect fast bilateral sweeps before institutions reveal intent. On H1, structure toggles between premium supply at 4242–4244 and discount demand at 4170–4168. The next directional leg requires MSS + BOS + displacement confluence. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes Liquidity Zones & Key Triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Bias invalidation only via structure break + displacement validation. Expected Sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4242 – 4244 | SL 4252 Rules: ✔ Zone tap 4243 → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15) ✔ Clean bearish BOS down + candle displacement ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement Targets: 1. 4200 – 4190 2. 4182 – 4176 3. 4170 – 4168 🟢 BUY GOLD 4170 – 4168 | SL 4160 Rules: ✔ Sweep under 4169 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up ✔ Displacement candle away from discount ✔ Wick rejection into FVG fill / OB retest confirm Targets: 1. 4186 2. 4210 3. 4242+ ⚠️ Risk Notes • Both sweeps = traps until BOS + Displacement confirms intent • No averaging inside compression • SL = structural invalidation only • Reduce size during headline-driven spikes 📍 Summary Two institutional paths today: • 4243 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4170 or • 4169 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into 4242+ Trade the structure. Let price narrate the intent. Patience = edge. 🚀 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & TrendlineXAUUSD – Brian | Volume Profile & Trendline: prioritize Sell, wait for a “good deal” in the liquidity zone 1. Market snapshot On H1, gold is touching the trendline just as yesterday's scenario – this is an area where strong price reactions may occur. The current structure shows that the price is gradually distributing below the trendline, with no clear signal that buyers have regained control. In the short term, Brian prioritizes the Sell scenario, utilizing the POC – VAH – FVG areas of the Volume Profile to find entry points. 2. Volume Profile – Key price areas to note Short-term POC/VAH area around 3,488–3,492 (according to his chart): This is an area where dense trading occurred, the profile “bulges” out, indicating strong market interest. When the price returns to this area, a reaction is expected – suitable for entering orders in the current priority direction. Sell-side liquidity below: If gold cannot hold the POC/VAH area and is pushed down, the liquidity area below will become a reasonable target for the next downward move. Gold is likely to fluctuate sideways on Friday to close the weekly candle below the trendline, then consider a clearer break at the start of next week. 3. Trading scenario for next week Scenario 1 – Prioritize Sell at the Volume Profile area Main mindset: When the price returns to the POC/VAH areas above, prioritize finding short signals instead of chasing buys. Watch for clear candle reactions (long upper tail, pin bar, engulfing…) at the thick profile area. Target: Gradually close towards lower liquidity areas (sell-side liquidity) below. Depending on price behavior, the target can be expanded if selling pressure intensifies at the start of the week. Scenario 2 – Break trendline & buy the retracement If gold decisively breaks the downtrend line, closes above, and maintains the new structure: Then, the strategy will shift to buying the retracement at the trendline itself (now acting as support). The POC/VAL area below will then become a reasonable “buy zone” to follow the new upward trend. In summary: before a clear break occurs, Brian still prioritizes selling at high liquidity areas, rather than rushing to catch the bottom. 4. Fundamental context – Large capital still supports gold Central banks are increasing gold purchases: In October, global central banks net purchased +53 tons of gold, the highest level since 11/2022. This figure increased by +194% compared to July, marking the third consecutive month of increased purchasing speed. This indicates: Short-term selling pressure may appear around the trendline/resistance, but long-term capital flow still favors gold. Any deep declines later may still attract buying power from large institutions. 5. Risk management suggestions Maintain the mindset: Sell is the current priority scenario, not the only option – if the structure changes, be ready to switch to buy. Do not overlook the nearest liquidity/swing low area to place SL – avoid dragging SL too far due to emotions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Market Flow Points Toward Higher LevelsGold Market Flow Points Toward Higher Levels Gold continues to display a controlled upward trajectory characterized by steady accumulation and orderly price expansion. The recent sessions show a consistent pattern of demand absorption, where each corrective phase is met with renewed buyer engagement, preventing deeper retracements. This suggests that the market remains comfortably positioned within a bullish environment, supported by ongoing interest from medium-term participants. Price flow has transitioned away from the aggressive liquidation seen earlier in the month and is now driven by a more balanced rotation between buyers and short-term profit-takers. Despite this rotation, the dominant pressure remains upward, as visible through the repeated failure of sellers to extend declines. Momentum flows indicate that buyers are gradually reclaiming lost ground after every corrective cycle, signaling stable confidence in higher valuations. Market behavior also reflects a pattern where liquidity beneath short-term swing points is routinely harvested before upward expansion resumes. This action shows that deeper market participants continue to optimize entry points by collecting orders during brief moments of weakness. Once these orders are filled, price rapidly rotates back upward, revealing that underlying demand remains unshaken. Current positioning suggests that Gold is in a preparation phase for another expansion leg. Price is stabilizing in a compression zone where volatility temporarily narrows before a directional drive. Historically, such compression within an established upward environment often precedes continuation, especially when buyers demonstrate willingness to defend even shallow pullbacks.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold 1H – 4262 Sweep Drop or 4188 Hold the Floor?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (03/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading into policy-driven liquidity engineering as former White House adviser Kevin Hassett gains renewed spotlight after public commentary from former U.S. President Donald Trump referencing potential Federal Reserve leadership influence. Expect sharp liquidity sweeps both sides before institutions commit. Technically, H1 price coils between premium and discount extremes, and the next leg unlocks only after MSS (CHoCH) + BOS + displacement validation. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current phase = liquidity-rich compression at H1 extremes Liquidity zones & key triggers • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 Institutional idea: sweep above premium → bearish MSS + valid BOS down → FVG/OB retest → delivery into discount. • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 Institutional idea: sweep below discount → bullish MSS + BOS up → FVG/OB retest → demand expansion. • 🟡 Equilibrium / Chop: no trading unless structure proves intent. Expected sequence = Sweep → MSS/CHoCH → BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (unchanged methodology, matching your zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 Rules: ✔ Price taps 4266 zone → bearish MSS/CHoCH (M5–M15) ✔ Confirm clean bearish BOS down with displacement ✔ Enter on FVG fill or OB retest after displacement Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 2. 4225 – 4215 3. 4186 – 4184 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 Rules: ✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish MSS/CHoCH + BOS up ✔ Confirm displacement away from discount ✔ Enter on wick rejection + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation Targets: 1. 4215 2. 4240 3. 4265+ ⚠️ Risk Notes • Both sweeps = traps until BOS + displacement proves intent. • No averaging inside compression. • SL = structure invalidation only. • Reduce lot size during volatility spikes from headline risk. 📍 Summary Two institutional routes today: • 4266 sweep → bearish MSS/BOS → retest → delivery into 4185 or • 4185 sweep → bullish MSS/BOS → retest → expansion into new 4266+ Trade the structure. Let price narrate intent. Patience = edge. 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+XAUUSD–Volume Profile buy scenario around 4,200, target 4,265+ Brian – Prioritize buying with the trend, use VAL to position entry Market snapshot At the end of the US session yesterday, gold had a strong increase and then stabilized, currently moving sideways around 4,216 on H1. The structure is still an uptrend, the current decline is mainly a technical correction within the value area. On the chart, the 4,264–4,265 area is marked as important resistance, where if broken, the medium-term uptrend could be unleashed more strongly. Volume Profile & key price areas The VAL (Value Area Low) of the Volume Profile is currently around 4,200 – this is an area where the market has previously accepted a large volume of trades, suitable for trend-following buys. A deeper support area is around 4,164 (Supportsides on the chart), where buyers have previously intervened very clearly. Above: 4,265 – confirmed resistance, if broken will strengthen the scenario of gold heading to higher price areas, matching the "super cycle 5,000 USD" story in the long term. Trading plan for next week (according to H1 & Volume Profile) Priority scenario – Buy at VAL with the trend Buying area: around 4,200 (VAL of Volume Profile). Can flexibly range 4,198–4,203 depending on spread and market conditions. Idea: wait for the price to pull back to the VAL area, observe H1 candle reactions (long lower tail, rejection candles...) before entering the order. Immediate targets: TP1: area 4,240–4,245 TP2: 4,265 – important resistance marked as "important resistance, confirming medium term increase". If the price closes clearly above 4,265 and successfully retests, consider holding part of the position or finding additional entry points, according to the scenario of expanding to higher areas in the new cycle. Defensive scenario – Deep support If the 4,200 area does not hold, the 4,164 area will be the next support to watch. Closing H1/D1 below 4,164 will be a signal to reduce short-term expectations and wait for a new structure instead of trying to "buy every dip". Fundamental context – Reasons gold is still supported Gold is heading for its best growth year since 1979, with an increase of over 60% in 2025 – this is the context of a true bull market, not just a recovery wave. YTD performance of XAU outperforms BTC, showing that large capital flows prioritize stability and gold's safe haven role. Current supporting factors: US bond yields cooling, USD weakening. Geopolitical tensions escalating, Russia–US negotiations have not brought clear breakthroughs. The market prices in nearly a 90% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the next meeting, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. Follow Brian to share the Gold scenario together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
7
Gold H1 – Will 4278–4280 Trigger a Drop Into 4170 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (01/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December. Spot gold recently surged past $4,230/oz — hitting a multi-week high — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength, soft U.S. macro data, and dovish comments from Fed officials have fueled speculative buying in gold. Technically, gold remains elevated, hovering inside a rising channel — similar to what’s shown on your chart. Price compression following strong displacement suggests a consolidation before the next institutional move. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~ 4278–4280 (near upper channel resistance) — aligns with your SELL zone. • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~ 4172–4170 (near lower channel support / trendline) — aligns with your BUY zone. • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel / recent consolidation zone — avoid trading blindly here unless structure breaks. Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion Given the macro tailwinds (weak USD, rate-cut odds), gold remains primed for a directional move once structure confirms. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4278 – 4280 | SL 4288 • Thesis: A liquidity sweep at channel top / premium zone followed by engineered bearish displacement — capturing liquidity before a reversal. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price touches 4280 zone • Bearish CHoCH / MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry ideally on FVG fill or after order-block retest post-BOS • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 area (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (mid-channel retest) 3. 4175 – 4172 (lower channel + buy zone) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4172 – 4170 | SL 4162 • Thesis: Discount-origin tap near lower channel support / trendline — smart money likely to accumulate for next leg up, especially amid dovish Fed sentiment. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): • Price dips into 4170 zone • Bullish CHoCH / MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 1. 4225 – 4230 (first reaction / mid-channel) 2. 4255 – 4265 (upper mid-channel) 3. 4278 – 4280+ (premium liquidity retest) ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside the mid-channel chop zone without structural confirmation — no “blind” entries. • Do not treat sweeps (top or bottom) as trend entries — these are often traps. • Use tight SL (structure invalidation), avoid averaging in consolidation. • Given potential volatility from macro headlines or a USD bounce, consider reducing lot size. Summary Gold is currently riding macro tailwinds — weak USD + Fed rate-cut odds — but from a technical perspective, it’s compressed inside a rising channel. The day’s price action may be a classic Smart Money liquidity hunt: either a sweep at 4278–4280 leading to a sharp drop toward 4170, or a retracement to 4170 that sets up a fresh bull leg. Only trade after structural confirmation (CHoCH / BOS + retest) — avoid “trend-hop” entries. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 1H – Can 4265 Breakout or Trap Into 4185?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (02/12) 📈 Market Context Gold continues its impressive rally as markets price in a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December. Spot gold recently surged — reflecting multi-week highs — as the US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened. The backdrop is increasingly dovish: fading USD strength and rate-cut odds have kept gold bid. From a technical perspective, price sits compressed at the channel top, signaling liquidity plays before the next institutional leg. Macro tone from Powell’s opening remarks on ForexFactory adds volatility fuel. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Distribution within rising channel Liquidity zones & key triggers • Premium liquidity zone (sell-opportunity): ~4265–4267 (upper-edge pool of liquidity) • Discount liquidity zone (buy-origin / re-entry zone): ~4186–4184 (demand liquidity near prior displacement base) • Equilibrium / chop zone: mid-channel compression → no blind trading unless structure validates direction Expected Smart Money sequence Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → FVG/OB Retest → Expansion Gold remains primed for a directional move only after structure confirms intent. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4265 – 4267 | SL 4275 • Thesis: Liquidity sweep above equal highs at premium edge, followed by engineered bearish BOS confirming institutional selling intent. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price pokes 4266 zone → bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on FVG fill or OB retest after BOS validation • Targets: 1. 4245 – 4240 (first reaction) 2. 4225 – 4215 (channel EQ retest) 3. 4186 – 4184 (full delivery into discount) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4186 – 4184 | SL 4176 • Thesis: Discount liquidity tap at institutional base, buy absorption after sweep + bullish BOS signaling new intraday demand. • Entry rules (must wait for confirmation): ✔ Price sweeps 4185 → bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up (M5–M15) ✔ Entry on rejection wick + FVG fill or OB retest confirmation • Targets: 4. 4215 5. 4240 6. 4265+ ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes • Avoid trading inside mid-range without CHoCH/BOS validation — sweeps are traps until proven by MSS + BOS. • Use SL for structure invalidation only — no averaging in compression. • Reduce lot size during Powell’s delivery window; macro impulses can run both sides of liquidity fast. 📍 Summary Gold is coiling at highs for liquidity. Either Powell triggers a 4266 sweep → bearish BOS → delivery, or price hunts 4185 discount → bullish BOS → continuation. Trade the structure, not the narrative — wait for CHoCH & BOS + retest to unlock expansion. 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) – Daily & H4 Update | 03 Dec 2025Yesterday’s session delivered exactly the kind of two-way volatility we often see when a strong trend starts to lose momentum. Gold opened with early selling pressure, dropped sharply, and filled the bullish Fair Value Gap (between roughly 4170–4200 before finding buyers. The 4200 psychological round number held firm as dynamic support, and more importantly, yesterday’s daily candle closed comfortably above it, a clear sign that bulls are still defending this zone aggressively for now.However, the broader context remains cautionary. As highlighted yesterday, we printed a very narrow Central Pivot Range positioned near the top of the recent range. Price ultimately closed below this CPR, which is typically a bearish development and suggests the aggressive bullish momentum we saw through November is fading, at least in the short term.Current Technical Structure Immediate resistance cluster sits at 4245-50. A convincing H4 close above 4230 (Fib level for recent drop) would be the first meaningful sign of renewed bullish strength. The real confirmation of trend continuation comes only with a decisive break and daily close above 4245–4250 (R1 and the recent range high). Until that happens, the path of least resistance leans lower within this ascending channel. Key Levels to Watch TodayBullish scenario Hold above 4230 → potential retest of 4250–60 H4 close > 4230 → opens 4245–4250 and possibly 4280 (R2) Daily close > 4245 → resumes the broader uptrend targeting 4300+ Bearish scenario Failure to sustain today’s CPR (4198–4203) on an intraday basis increases downside risk Break and close below 4198–4200 → high-probability move toward Previous Day Low ~4165 Loss of 4165 exposes S2 ~4130 and potentially the lower levels Summary & Bias As long as 4200 hold, the structural uptrend remains valid . That said, the narrow-top CPR, repeated failure at 4245–4250, and yesterday’s close below CPR all point to waning momentum. base case for the next 24–48 hours is continued range-bound/two-way action between 4165–4250 unless we get a clear daily close outside of this zone. A sustained break below 4198–4200 would shift near-term bias to bearish with 4165 and 4130 as logical downside targets. Conversely, bulls need to reclaim and hold 4230+ quickly to keep the November uptrend alive.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Breaks Trendline – Bulls Back in Control!Hello Everyone let's analyse Gold as it has broken above its falling trendline resistance, signaling a possible shift from short-term weakness to bullish momentum. After several attempts, the price finally managed to close above the trendline with increasing volume, showing that buyers are stepping in again. Currently, Gold is retesting the previous resistance turned support zone around $4200–$4205. As long as price holds above this level, the structure remains positive, and the next upside targets could be seen toward $4260–$4270. Short-term traders can look for confirmation candles near support before entering. A clean retest followed by bullish continuation can offer a good risk–reward setup. On the other hand, if the price breaks back below $4190, momentum could slow down again. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal
1
Gold Faces Critical Resistance: Will Bulls Break Through or FadeGold is currently trading around 4,217, , as bulls continue to struggle with a persistent resistance zone that has proven difficult to crack. . The $4,240-4,250 level has emerged as a significant ceiling for gold price, repeatedly rejecting bullish advances over recent sessions. Multiple attempts by buyers to establish a foothold above this area have been met with aggressive selling pressure, creating major resistance for the current rally. The repeated failures at this level suggest strong conviction from bears defending this zone. Today's Central Pivot Range (CPR) formation presents a narrow range, which historically signals an imminent volatility expansion. A narrow CPR often acts as a coiled spring the tighter the compression, the more explosive the eventual breakout. This technical setup demands heightened attention to risk management and position sizing. Key Technical Levels to Watch The ascending trendline (black diagonal) provides dynamic support Bullish Order Block: $4,170-4,200 zone Bullish Case: A convincing breakout and close above 4,250 would invalidate the recent resistance and likely trigger stops from short sellers, potentially fueling a rapid move toward the R2 level at $4,290. The key word here is "sustain" we need to see buyers hold gains above resistance, not just spike through momentarily. Bearish/Consolidation Case: Failure to breach 4,250 could lead to profit-taking and a drift back toward the $4,200 level. A break below the ascending trendline would be a more significant warning sign, potentially opening the door to a test of the $4,170-4,200 order block. Loss of this support zone could accelerate selling toward $4,150. Breakout traders: Wait for a decisive close above $4,250 with strong volume before entering long positions, targeting $4,275-4,300 Range traders: Look for mean reversion plays within the $4,200-4,240 range Trend followers: Watch for trendline support holds for continuation long entries
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
MCX CRUDE OIL (DEC-25) — Bullish Trend Setup IdentifiedA fresh Bullish Trend Entry Zone has been detected on MCX Crude Oil DEC-25, indicating a potential upside continuation from the demand zone. 📈 Trade Setup 🟢 Entry Range: 5370 – 5390 🔴 Stop Loss: 5430 🎯 Target 1: 5270 🎯 Target 2: 5170 📊 Chart Explanation Crude Oil has recently shown strong accumulation behavior near the lower demand band. Price is now entering a bullish reversal range, supported by: Prior demand zone retest Higher-low structure Increasing bullish momentum Buyers absorbing supply near 5370–5390 This setup indicates a possible swing move towards the 5270 and 5170 zones. ⚠️ Risk Management Keep SL strictly at 5430 Position sizing is crucial as volatility remains high This analysis is for educational purposes—trade with discipline 📌 Summary Crude Oil DEC-25 is showing a clean bullish continuation structure. If price sustains above the entry zone, we may see a strong move toward the mentioned targets.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Short
by Adijohn
XAUUSD Positional Long with SL#Gold Positional Trade Outlook Gold is currently pulling back after a sharp rally, offering #positional traders an opportunity to build entries gradually with the target upto prev ATH or rejection. Price is approaching key demand zones, so follow a scaled stop-loss (SL) structure to manage risk effectively. Consider building positions in phases as price reacts to each support level: SL1: 4,008 – Early protective stop for light entries SL2: 3,930 – Medium-risk level for second build-up SL3: 3,886 – Deep stop for long-term positional holds Stick to disciplined risk management, add positions only on confirmations, and allow the trend structure to guide your exposure.
CFI:XAUUSDLong
by earnwhileulearn
XAUUSD is skyrocketing after the Adam & Eve pattern!OANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. Below, I’ll explain the reasons and how to easily recognize it. The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! You could say it's more "masculine." On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine." Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators. This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that's truly hard to forget.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
XAUUSD - GOLD - Trying to catch TOP is like chasing your crush# Here are the key factors currently supporting gold: Momentum remains bullish: #GOLD has gained as markets increasingly price in a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Gold continues to be regarded as a safe-haven and hedge asset. Amid economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and sustained demand from central banks and investors, gold retains its primary drivers. # Here are the key technical levels to watch over the next month: According to recent chart data: The immediate support region is approximately $4,110–$4,010, which serves as a pivot zone. A break below this level could lead to further downside toward $3,817–$3,683. On the upside, a breakout above $4,282–$4,325 could pave the way for a move toward $4,450–$4,550. Target-6 If the current bullish momentum persists and supportive fundamental conditions remain in place, gold may target the level marked as 6 on the chart. #Here are the factors most likely to influence the movement of XAU/USD in the near future: 1. U.S. interest rates and Federal Reserve policy. 2. U.S. economic data and inflation figures. 3. Strength or weakness of the U.S. dollar: Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar typically supports higher gold prices. 4. Geopolitical risk and global uncertainty: Global instability, trade tensions, or major macroeconomic concerns often drive investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset. Conclusion Gold will remain strong as long as key support levels hold and market sentiment remains favorable. With momentum in its favor, any dips are likely to present buying opportunities, while a clean breakout could initiate the next leg higher. ~ Disclaimer ~ High Risk Investment Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors. Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading. This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by renderwithme
1
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory 4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion. Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 SL: 4130 TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+ Rationale: • Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf • Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep 🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247 SL: 4255 TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning. • Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers). • Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed. Summary Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility. Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins. 🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts. Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity. Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction. Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) • Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020. • The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops. • A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution. • The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation. • Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction. 🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008 SL: 4000 TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220 Rationale: • Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity • Confluence of demand + structural mitigation • High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion 🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227 SL: 4235 TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction • Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries. • Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events. • Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop. ✅ Summary Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion. Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups. Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation. 🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold (XAUUSD)15-Min Chart Update | Support Zone Holding StronglyHello guys, Gold continues to respect its rising channel structure, moving between the rising support and resistance trendlines. After a minor correction, the price has once again bounced from the rising support trendline, showing strong buying interest near the lower boundary of the channel. This area around $4145–$4150 is acting as a short-term support zone, and as long as price stays above it, the bias remains bullish. A continuation of this move could push Gold higher toward the upper channel resistance near $4180–$4185. On the other hand, a clear breakdown below this support zone may trigger a quick pullback toward $4130–$4120, where fresh buying could appear again. Overall, the structure remains positive, and buyers are defending the support well. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal
Gold H1 – Will 4212 Hold and Drop to 4160 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is currently trading within a rising institutional channel after strong H1 displacement. The market is compressing into a liquidity-rich consolidation phase — a classic Smart Money trap environment before engineered expansion. What Smart Money desks are targeting today: • Expectation of USD strength shaping bearish bias • Liquidity sweeps above internal range highs • Consolidation fakeouts to induce retail mis-positioning • CHoCH/BOS confirmation required before real directional move The chart shows equal liquidity zones positioned at premium (sell opportunity) and discount (re-entry buy region). 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Current state = Accumulation / Redistribution phase Liquidity map highlighted zones: • Premium liquidity zone: 4212 – 4214 (target for short trap) • Discount liquidity origin zone: 4165 – 4163 (higher timeframe demand re-entry) • Equilibrium / Chop zone: 4180 – 4195 (no trade unless displaced) • Trendline support: ~4173 region (must break for downside continuation) Expected sequence: Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴 SELL GOLD 4212 – 4214 | SL 4222 Thesis: Liquidity sweep at premium highs before bearish displacement Entry activation rules (must wait): • Price taps 4214 liquidity pocket • Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Entry taken at FVG fill or order block retest after BOS Targets: 1. 4200 (first reaction) 2. 4187 – 4185 (BOS retest zone) 3. 4170 (channel mid-equilibrium) 4. 4165 – 4163 (H1 demand retest / profit core) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4165 – 4163 | SL 4143 Thesis: Discount origin tap for impulse continuation buy Entry activation rules (must wait): • Price sweeps into 4163 pool • Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • Strong bullish rejection wick + FVG fill confirmation Targets: 1. 4185 – 4187 reclaim zone 2. 4200+ institutional expansion target 3. 4212+ premium revisit ⚠️ Risk Management • Avoid trading inside 4180 – 4195 unless displaced • Do NOT interpret sweeps as trend entries — they are traps • SL = structure invalidation, no averaging in consolidation • Reduce size during monetary headlines unless MSS confirms 📝 Summary Gold is currently in engineered liquidity mode. Expect either: • Sweep 4214 → MSS/BOS down → drop into 4163 discount retest, or • Tap 4163 → bullish MSS/BOS up → expand toward 4200 – 4212+ Today = confirmation-based execution only, not trend chasing. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader