Orbit Exports Breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on RSI close below 30 (or use any other method of your liking)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
After a consolidation since October 2018, NSE:ORBTEXP has given a breakout today. Buy with a stop just below ₹126 (one can use a fixed percentage stop loss (e.g. 20% below the buy price) as well).
Strengths: -
1. TTM Sales growth is at 102%, TTM Profit growth is at 332%, June quarter sales growth is at 158% and profit growth is at 520%
2. 10 year average ROE more than 15%
3. Debt to equity at 0.24(less than 1 is good), Interest Coverage at 14.8(greater than 3 is good), Current Ratio at 2.14(greater than 1.5 is good)
4. ICRA has reaffirmed the ratings of the company on 21st July 2022 (please go through the credit rating report for better understanding)
5. ADX > 30 on daily chart
6. Debtor days came down from 102 to 76 in March 2022
Weaknesses: -
1. Stock is trading at 2.37 times of its book value
2. The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -1.16% over past five years
3. Company has a low return on equity of 8.20% for last 3 years
4. Dividend payout has been low at 11.8% of profits over last 3 years
5. FIIs decreased stake from 0.18 in March 2022 to 0.02 in June 2022
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered. Do trade or invest at your own risk, I am not responsible for any losses and won't claim anything from your profits either. Take financial advices from your advisors before jumping in.
Consolidation
Target 2 achieved in Wonderla | 35% Big Mover This idea is a follow-up to Wonderla
You can check the Link to Related Ideas ( Detailed analysis done in 4th Aug Video )
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only. Our intention is not to give any financial advice, don't take any decision without consulting your financial advisor.
Consolidation is the time to accumulate a stockBharti Airtel has been consolidating for the past 1 year in the price range of 780 - 630.
This is the time to accumulate this stock and pyramid your position only when the stock given a weekly breakout above 780.
A weekly closing below 630 - 590 range will be our signal to exit the stock.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis of Ambuja cements1. Stock is in a good up trend
2. Had a healthy retracement and formed bullish candle in monthly time frame
3. Trendline break out in daily time frame
4. Consolidation after trendline break out
5. Head and shoulders pattern inside the consolidation.
MY ENTRY
50% position at the support area
Rest of the position after a breakout of the neck of head and shoulder pattern
"This is not a call, this is just my view on the stock. Please trade sensibly"
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Target 1 achieved in Wonderla | 6% mover This idea is a follow-up to Wonderla
You can check the Link to Related Ideas ( Detailed analysis done in 4th Aug Video )
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only. Our intention is not to give any financial advice, don't take any decision without consulting your financial advisor.
JK Paper breakout1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on RSI close below 30 (or use any other method of your liking)
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
After a consolidation since 18th April 2022, NSE:JKPAPER has given a breakout today. Buy with a stop just below ₹364.
Strengths: -
1. TTM Sales growth is at 61% and TTM Profit growth is at 107%
2. 5 year and 3 year average ROE more than 15%
3. Interest Coverage at 8.90 (greater than 3 is good) and Current Ratio at 1.56 (greater than 1.5 is good).
4. Dividend yield at 1% (consistent dividend payer since 2016)
5. DIIs increased stake from 0.24 in September 2020 to 5.86 in June 2022
6. ADX > 30 on daily chart
7. Credit rating agency has reaffirmed the ratings of the company on March 2022 (please go through the credit rating report for better understanding)
Weaknesses: -
1. The company has delivered a poor sales growth of 8.59% over the past five years
4. Debt to equity at 1.05 (less than 1 is good), FCF to CFO at only 3.58%
5. Borrowings increased to 3137Cr in March 2022 from 2736Cr in March 2021 (borrowings continuously increasing since March 2018)
6. FIIs decreased stake from 4.73 in June 2021 to 3.43 in June 2022
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered. Do trade or invest at your own risk, I am not responsible for any losses and won't claim anything from your profits either. Take financial advices from your advisors before jumping in.
Nifty 50Rules
1. global sentiment negative
2. war was not end
(Chart Shows Bear Flag)
(2 days Consolidation )
1.IF Tomorrow gap up 15 min candle should be green or if touches support .. if we can see the price action for buying side and buy the CE and exit at the target price
2.If Open in flat wait for the range break Up side or downside the take the trade
3.if gap down cross 15183.00 wait For close the 5 min or 15 min candle the crossed 15183 buy the Pe and wait for the target
But as per logic . every time reversal it will take consolidation 60% win rate for up check the previous data
dates 17 march 2022
dates 13 may 2022
Note . this just prediction. market can happen anything
Studing Consolidation Phase This is hourly timeframe.
This is how I analyze the consolidation only technically.
From fibo. recent top to bottom, Nifty is taking resistance 0.38 fibonacci level.
Let's pointout the short trend and understand each.
1] Nifty started consolidating 6th May 2022.
It started falling, gone sideways for sometime and gave bounce back.
2] And it tested the 16400 zone. As it was a straight one side move, it was obvious it will give a retracement.
3] But it was again a one side move, this time downward, and tested the recent bottom.
Here, we witnessed a sharp upmove from bottom to top and again to bottom.
4] Again from 20th May, a sharp upmove towards resistance.
5] Tested and fallback this week.
6] Bounce backed again and now near resistance zone.
In all of these short term trends, we can see thick bullish and bearish candles in phase 1 and 5.
Though bulls failed in these phase.
Almost each phase has 1) bullish and bearish belt hold
2) bullish and bearish marubozu
Except phase 2,6 no bearish candlestick of this type.
These opposite candlestick patterns occurance multiple times tells us that market is now choppy, highly volatile.
Outcome of analysis:
In current market situation, bulls and bear are almost equally powerful.
Choopy moves indicates the aggression and dominating will.
This how I analyze a consolidation.
Breaks it down in trend zones and study each, and keep in back of the mind each one's outcome,
and try to anticipate, every possibility. And how much is the chance of taking it place by looking at
bull and bears behaviour.
Note : This is my own analysis and is for information purpose only.