BTCUSD probable Harmonic ReversalIt seems BTCUSD is in its reversal mode. As per harmonic patterns, it's not beyond $35000 in this run.
As per crab Harmonic pattern, it has already achieved the of XA leg i.e.1.618 level. Whereas it is just waiting to achieve the extreme level of projection of BC leg i.e. 3.618 level.
Crab
BTCUSD Corrective harmonic wave BTCUSD is in the built of a "Harmonic Deep Crab Pattern".
It seems the demand and supply of the asset have been in a very volatile zone.
If the asset breaks 30500 then the probability of the price to reach PRZ will be very high.
Now, this PRZ will work as a supply zone for a short period or create momentum to boost the asset to the given bullish target.
BTCUSD IS BULLISH - creating Harmonic Extended Crab Pattern BTC USD is creating an Extended Harmonic Patterns - The Crab Patterns
B point retraced XA by Fib 0.618 (13102) level
C Point is retraced AB between 0.786 and Fib 0.886 level.
Now D point in the process of forming the important Fib extension of XA which is 1.618 level ( 29000 )
That is the projection as of now for BTC-USD in this bull run.
Once it reaches 29000 level only then I can see the reversal.
On reversal CD will form an extreme wave, which will be any where from 2.24 /2.618/3.14/3.618 levels projection of BC.
NIFTYIt might be forming a THREE VALLEYS & A RIVER in hourly time frame. It has two bearish Harmonic Trading Patterns at 11875 (Deep Crab) and at 11975 (Alt Shark). "If" a REVERSAL were to occur from that zone then the downside expected levels could be 11750 / 11550 / 11400. The negation point would be at 12020
Bank Nifty - Bullish Crab Pattern - 15 min ChartHarmonic pattern likely to be formed in Bank Nifty. The same is coinciding with a strong support band of 21200-21050.
Enter trade only if positive RSI divergence is seen. Views negated below 21050.
Note - Views only for educational purposes, not a trade recommendation.
HINDUSTAN UNILEVERGSK will be doing a stake sale tomorrow in HINDUSTAN UNILEVER the price could be between 1950-1850. As per Harmonic Trading Pattern study 1825-1850 has a bullish Crab. It also would be a retest of the rising trend line from where it had made a Bullish Cypher earlier this year. The reversal from high's was picked via a bearish Ichimoku set up which had completed its downside target. (link mentioned below) Now the possibility of a bounce back and/or continuation of uptrend within the rising channel.
Auropharma – 831 to 750 - A crack!Auropharma – 831 to 750 What a crack!
Risky Traders – get ready to lose 4-5 points and gain 50+ points – closing statement in the video idea – “Once bitten twice shy” as of 4th Dec 2018.
If the stock moves in line as you expected giving us an exact entry as well to be precise 825-827 zone when it closed overnight at 821 levels has to be dream come true scenario for an analyst.
Flashback
Overnight (As of 4 - 6th Dec 2018) , Auro was moving within rising wedge –a common term used by traditional analyst until I came to know about wave analysis where the same structure was termed as “ending diagonal” – a overlapping structure which indicated that the upward structure could be ending soon.
Rising Wedge
When a financial instrument (which could be stocks, forex, commodities, bonds etc,) price has been rising over time, trendlines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to show a potential reversal point at a peak. This reversal point can indicate a bearish price point signal in which the security’s price is subsequently expected to reverse lower.
In our case the peak was 831 High and we got excellent selling opportunity close to the peak at 825-826 zone – High was 826.70/826.80- rest is the history
Target achieved – 794 as suggested over the video with small pause and breaks at 815 -810 zone.
This pattern is used by traditional analyst and wave analyst
Books – Technical Analysis -Edwards and Magee ,Wave Analysis - Frost and Prechter
Polarity Reversal = History Repeats
What happens is that history essentially repeats itself, but the role of price at that level changes from resistance to support and vice versa.
Polarity Reversal concept explained in my favorite book which was the first one I referred for the journey of technical analysis written by – Edwards and Magee.
Important Polarity Reversal zones in last week
790-792
777-775
Candlestick Analysis
Evening Star – 3 candlestick pattern as suggested in the book – Candlestick Analysis by Steve Nison
Steve Nison – Father of Candlestick Analysis.
Book – Candlestick Analysis by Steve Nison
Harmonic Analysis
Bearish Crab - Excellent Harmonic Structure occurring at 831 was an amazing clue
Book - Harmonic Analysis by Scott Carney
Trendline / Channels
Book – Technical Analysis by Edwards and Magee is the reference book.
Financial Astrology
Term used by financial astrologer- “Retrograde” was also updated in previous video idea of the Nifty Index – “Mercury, Markets and Mayhem below 10800” – Mercury retrograde runs till 6th Dec 2018 – if you haven’t gone crazy – don’t worry market will make you crazy.
Note-
As updated/suggested on 29th / 30th Nov 2018 in last Nifty Video Idea comment section –we expected to be cautious from 10950-11000 zone which was danger zone
What type of analyst are you? You just had to pick and execute –rest you were bound to enjoy the markets.
Finally, It was kaka’s blessing directly from Bollywood (Kaka – Late Rajesh Khanna) – stands out to be real tribute to this Bollywood actor in the creative way (audio clip) as updated in last video idea.
Thanks.
Learning Wyckoff Methods-Tracking The beast HDFCBAnkDisclaimer..Invested, no trading for last 3 years in this scrip..
Not an investing/trading recommendation
The next events will be updated below as it goes, presently phase C is going on, there should be a transition to phase d with the correction expected and LPS formation..
I nfo about wyckoff's schematics can be found out in this famous description by Jim Forte-"Anatomy of a Trading range "
static1.squarespace.com
THE HARMONIC PATTERNS SERIES: III THE CRAB PATTERNHi,
I am back with one more harmonic Pattern -- The CRAB
For a brief overview about harmonic pattern fundamentals, first go to the Post One of this series (link will be soon in the update section).
CRAB PATTERN
In the BAT and the Gartley the price action in the last leg did not stretch beyond the Point X but In this pattern last leg stretches beyond X. In this case it is the B-C projection which may sometimes (when D extends beyond 2.618 B-C) help in identifying the Pattern in advance.
X-A: A strong leg which ends at an important Support/Resistance level.
A-B: Should retrace between 38.2 to 61.8% of X-A.
B-C: Should retrace between 38.2 to 88.6 % of A-B. This leg should not extend beyond point A.
C-D: The most important leg to confirm the Crab pattern . C-D should retrace 161.8% of X-A and not more than that.
C-D=1.27 to 1.618 AB: Second important confirmation, C-D leg should complete between 1.27 to 1.618 times A-B
B-C Projection: Point D should be between 2.618 to 3.618 B-C projection. You can notice the difference between Bat, Gartley and Crab B-C projections.
Pattern completes at point D so it is the most important point in the pattern. If all the above conditions are valid, a reversal is expected from this point.
# In Bullish harmonic patterns an upward reversal is expected at point D, whereas in Bearish patterns a downward reversal is expected at point
D.
# Normally a buy/sell order is placed at point D, expecting some sort of reversal, and targets are placed at 38.2% and 61.8% of A-X.
# A complete reversal should not be expected at point D in any harmonic pattern . Only the further price can provide confirmations about trend reversal.
Trade safe, be healthy
Hit like/comment if this information is useful.
Regards
Bravetotrade