Nifty - Selling at the Channel Top-9850 Disclaimer
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All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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Trading Strategy
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Plan A
Bullish Butterfly Pattern Valid & Active - Once 9200 crosses & holds as support
Target 1 - 9400
Target 2 - Above 9400 for 9500
Target 3 - Above 9500 for 9600
Plan B
Reaching in the zone 9600- 9750 - Traders should be careful of Resistance zone formed for Island Reversal Pattern -The most important zone
Resistance in 9600- 9750 - Stops in that zone -preferably sell below 9600 or close to 9700 or 9750 levels (Note- No selling above 9700 & No selling above 9750)
Downside Targets
Target 1 - 9400
Target 2 - 9200
Target 3- Sell Only below 9125-9150 only for 8900 /8700
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Previous Ideas Video Link
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Wonder Waves Part 1 - Nifty - Wonder Waves -Picking The Bottoms at 7700
Wonder Waves Part 2 - Nifty -Wonder Waves Part 2-Can Patterns Repeat from Bottoms 8055
Wonder Waves Part 3 - Nifty - Wonder Waves Part 3- Traditional Patterns (Target 9600)
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Thanks for watching this video & your precious time - Have wonderful week ahead
Crab
Nifty - Wonder Waves Part 3- Traditional Patterns (Target 9600)Disclaimer
-----------------------------
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, or individual’s trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
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Trading Strategy
Plan A -
Buy once crosses & strictly holds above 9150 for 9350-9400 target zone
Plan B -
Buy once crosses & strictly holds above 9400 for 9600 - 9700 target zone
Plan C -
Sell If Strictly holds below 9700 for 9400 / Below 9350 for 9150 / Below 9125 for 8700 / Below 8675 for 8400 / Below 8350 for 8250 / Below 8250 for 8000-8050
Plan D -
Consider Selling -If Holds below 8050 - Target 7500-7550 & Below 7500 for 6900
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Snapshot - 26th April 2020
Auropharma – 831 to 750 - A crack!Auropharma – 831 to 750 What a crack!
Risky Traders – get ready to lose 4-5 points and gain 50+ points – closing statement in the video idea – “Once bitten twice shy” as of 4th Dec 2018.
If the stock moves in line as you expected giving us an exact entry as well to be precise 825-827 zone when it closed overnight at 821 levels has to be dream come true scenario for an analyst.
Flashback
Overnight (As of 4 - 6th Dec 2018) , Auro was moving within rising wedge –a common term used by traditional analyst until I came to know about wave analysis where the same structure was termed as “ending diagonal” – a overlapping structure which indicated that the upward structure could be ending soon.
Rising Wedge
When a financial instrument (which could be stocks, forex, commodities, bonds etc,) price has been rising over time, trendlines drawn above and below the price chart pattern can converge to show a potential reversal point at a peak. This reversal point can indicate a bearish price point signal in which the security’s price is subsequently expected to reverse lower.
In our case the peak was 831 High and we got excellent selling opportunity close to the peak at 825-826 zone – High was 826.70/826.80- rest is the history
Target achieved – 794 as suggested over the video with small pause and breaks at 815 -810 zone.
This pattern is used by traditional analyst and wave analyst
Books – Technical Analysis -Edwards and Magee ,Wave Analysis - Frost and Prechter
Polarity Reversal = History Repeats
What happens is that history essentially repeats itself, but the role of price at that level changes from resistance to support and vice versa.
Polarity Reversal concept explained in my favorite book which was the first one I referred for the journey of technical analysis written by – Edwards and Magee.
Important Polarity Reversal zones in last week
790-792
777-775
Candlestick Analysis
Evening Star – 3 candlestick pattern as suggested in the book – Candlestick Analysis by Steve Nison
Steve Nison – Father of Candlestick Analysis.
Book – Candlestick Analysis by Steve Nison
Harmonic Analysis
Bearish Crab - Excellent Harmonic Structure occurring at 831 was an amazing clue
Book - Harmonic Analysis by Scott Carney
Trendline / Channels
Book – Technical Analysis by Edwards and Magee is the reference book.
Financial Astrology
Term used by financial astrologer- “Retrograde” was also updated in previous video idea of the Nifty Index – “Mercury, Markets and Mayhem below 10800” – Mercury retrograde runs till 6th Dec 2018 – if you haven’t gone crazy – don’t worry market will make you crazy.
Note-
As updated/suggested on 29th / 30th Nov 2018 in last Nifty Video Idea comment section –we expected to be cautious from 10950-11000 zone which was danger zone
What type of analyst are you? You just had to pick and execute –rest you were bound to enjoy the markets.
Finally, It was kaka’s blessing directly from Bollywood (Kaka – Late Rajesh Khanna) – stands out to be real tribute to this Bollywood actor in the creative way (audio clip) as updated in last video idea.
Thanks.