Breaking All-Time Highs: A Journey into TRENT's Price Action 🚀Hey traders! 🌟 Ready to embark on an exciting journey into the world of TRENT's recent price action? We've got a breakout, some zones, and a plan to trade! Let's dive in.
TRENT has made a historic move, breaking all-time highs with impressive volume. 📈
we observe the formation of a Demand Zone – the classic rally base rally (RBR) pattern.
RBR Zones: After an upward move and consolidation, another rally occurs. In our case, it's the Demand Zone. Currently, TRENT is inside the RBR zone, testing the breakout level.
TRENT is testing its breakout level with low volume, and now residing in the RBR zone. Consider initiating buy trades within this zone, aligning with the broader bullish trend.
The stage is set for potential upward momentum from the RBR zone.
📚 Remember, this analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered analyst. Trade responsibly.
Demand Zone
Agrochemical stock pick before budgetSharda cropchem has been consolidating near strong demand zone of 400-420.
Stock has bounced from trendline which indicates confluence of support bounce
Stock can reverse before budget as chemical stocks have shown strength.
Low risk high reward trade. Stock has good fundamentals as well to hold for longer time horizon.
If you like my analysis, please like it and follow me for more such trading ideas.
Early signs of support reversal in Alkyl aminesAlkylamines seems to have bottomed up after a significant correction in the stock from around 4800 levels to 2150 levels.
Currently, stock is on a very strong support from which the previous rally had started.
This high growth stock is a superb pick at this level for swing and positional trade.
However, there is a risk that it can be retracement of next correction wave to follow.
Kindly trade as per your own analysis.
strong support level for buying stock is near its long term support level
already buying is seen in last two trading session when stock is at support
also stock gaining volumes at this support level
stock Price to earning is 8.9 where industry PE at 26.3
book value of stock is 499 current running price of stock is 444
good opportunity for investors also to buy and hold
Mastering Demand Zones : A Deep-Dive !!
Mastering Demand Zones: Advanced Techniques in Stock Market Analysis
Introduction to Demand Zones:
In the realm of technical analysis, demand zones play a crucial role in assessing price movement and making informed trading decisions. A demand zone, also known as a support zone, is a price range on a chart where a particular asset, such as a stock, has historically experienced buying interest and a halt or reversal in its declining price trend.
Demand zones are essential tools for traders and investors as they provide valuable insights into potential price levels where buyers are likely to enter the market, thereby preventing the price from falling further.
By recognizing demand zones and understanding their significance, traders can make more informed decisions, manage risk effectively, and capitalize on potential trading opportunities. However, it's important to remember that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market conditions can change rapidly, so using demand zones in conjunction with other analysis tools is advisable.
Defination: (What is Demand Zone)
In the stock market, a "demand zone" refers to a specific price range on a price chart where there is a higher likelihood of increased buying activity or demand for a particular stock or asset. It's a concept often used in technical analysis to identify potential areas of support where prices might reverse or bounce higher. Here's a simple explanation:
Imagine a stock's price chart, and you notice that within a certain price range, the stock has consistently found buyers and reversed its downward movement. This range, where buying interest is strong enough to halt or reverse a decline, is referred to as a demand zone. It's a level where traders believe the stock is attractively priced, leading to increased buying pressure.
A demand zone typically forms because traders remember that the stock performed well in that price range in the past, making them more likely to buy if the price revisits that level. Traders often use demand zones as potential entry points for buying a stock because they anticipate that prices could rise from that area due to increased demand.
It's important to note that demand zones are not foolproof predictors of price movements. They are just one tool in the arsenal of technical analysis that traders use to make informed decisions. The effectiveness of demand zones depends on various factors, including market conditions, overall trend, and the strength of buying interest.
Overall, understanding demand zones can help traders identify potential support levels where buying activity might increase, but it's essential to consider other technical indicators and market factors for a comprehensive trading strategy.
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Chapter 1: Fundamentals of Demand Zones
In the vast landscape of the stock market, demand zones represent not only a point of intersection between price movements and investor psychology but also a nexus of potential trading opportunities. To comprehend demand zones is to unravel the intricate interplay of market dynamics and human behavior, a synthesis that lies at the heart of successful technical analysis.
Central to understanding demand zones is recognizing the core economic principle of supply and demand. When a stock undergoes a price retracement during a downtrend, buyers perceive the lower prices as an invitation to participate. As buyers enter the market, their collective demand counters the existing selling pressure, creating an equilibrium and, consequently, a demand zone. This zone marks an area on the price chart where bullish sentiment prevails and offers an optimal juncture for traders to intervene.
The historical evolution of demand zones is a journey that traverses time, reflecting the evolution of market psychology and trading practices. From the rudimentary interpretations of supply and demand in ancient markets to the sophisticated analysis enabled by modern technology, the concept of demand zones has evolved into a multifaceted tool in the arsenal of the astute trader.
This chapter paves the way for an in-depth exploration of advanced technical analysis through the lens of demand zones lets take an example now,
For Example;
In the bustling realm of the Indian stock market, consider "ABC Ltd," a prominent company that has been experiencing a downtrend in its stock price. As the stock retraces and heads toward a crucial level of ₹1,500, a demand zone materializes. This zone represents a psychological and strategic juncture where buying interest has historically surged.
The fundamentals of "ABC Ltd" remain strong, including positive earnings reports and market sentiment regarding the company's future prospects. The demand zone around ₹1,500 becomes a focal point as traders and investors anticipate a reversal in the downtrend. This illustrates the fundamental principle that demand zones encapsulate the equilibrium between supply and demand, acting as pivot points for price reversals.
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Chapter 2: Technical Tools for Identifying Demand Zones
Embarking on the quest to identify demand zones requires a comprehensive arsenal of technical tools, each contributing a unique facet to the intricate mosaic of price movements. Among these tools, support and resistance levels emerge as bedrocks of price action analysis. Support levels, often synonymous with demand zones, represent historical points where price declines were halted and reversals were initiated. Conversely, resistance levels demarcate zones where price advances were stymied, underscoring their importance as potential areas of market reversal.
The Fibonacci retracement is another pivotal tool that elevates demand zone identification to a refined art. Derived from the Fibonacci sequence, these retracement levels mark potential demand zones by assessing the relationship between a price retracement and significant ratios. Overlaying these ratios on the price chart unveils previously hidden levels that might serve as demand zones.
Volume analysis steps into the spotlight as a complementary tool, painting the canvas of demand zones with intricate strokes. Analyzing the intensity of trading activity within demand zones provides a nuanced understanding of the commitment behind each price point. These tools, when woven together, form a comprehensive tapestry of demand zone analysis that goes beyond surface-level identification to discerning the potential strength and impact of each identified zone.
Lets take an example now,
For Example;
Applying technical tools to the case of "ABC Ltd," we find that the stock has consistently found support around the ₹2,000 mark in the past. Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, we note that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with this support level. This confluence underscores the potential demand zone at ₹2,000 as a significant area where buying interest could surge.
Adding volume analysis to the equation reveals that historically, increased trading volume has accompanied price bounces near ₹2,000, suggesting heightened market participation and potential accumulation. Combining these technical tools provides a comprehensive view of the demand zone's strength and potential impact on price movements.
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Chapter 3: Characteristics of Strong Demand Zones
Recognizing the chasm between mere price levels and robust demand zones is the hallmark of a seasoned trader. Strong demand zones boast an array of characteristics that set them apart and signify their potential significance in the broader market landscape.
"Multiple touches" emerge as a defining trait of potent demand zones. These are zones where the price has rebounded multiple times, highlighting the consistency of buying interest. The cumulative effect of these touches validates the zone's status as a significant level, indicating that it holds sway over market participants.
Volume amplifies the impact of demand zones, turning the spotlight onto the intensity of market conviction. Heightened trading volume within a demand zone infuses it with a surge of energy, underlining the collective sentiment that bolsters the buying interest within that zone.
Moreover, the entwining of psychological price levels with demand zones enhances their magnetism. When a demand zone coincides with a round number or a historically significant high or low, it resonates with traders, inviting their attention and potentially catalyzing buying activity.
This chapter equips us with the acumen to sift through the market landscape and identify not just any demand zone, but those endowed with the attributes of strength and reliability.
lets take an example now,
For Example;
For "ABC Ltd," the ₹1,200 level emerges as a robust demand zone. Over time, the stock has repeatedly bounced off this level, creating a trail of multiple touches. Each touch signifies consistent buying interest, validating the psychological significance of the ₹1,200 demand zone.
Additionally, substantial trading volume has consistently accompanied these price bounces, indicating a broad market consensus on the importance of this demand zone. Furthermore, the demand zone aligns with a historically significant low point for the stock, reinforcing its strength. These characteristics collectively amplify the potency of the ₹1,200 demand zone.
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Chapter 4: Advanced Confirmation Techniques
Identifying demand zones is only the beginning; validation through advanced confirmation techniques lends an additional layer of assurance and precision to trading decisions. Among the most potent tools in this arsenal are bullish candlestick patterns. These patterns visually encapsulate the sentiment shift within a demand zone, transforming bearish pressure into bullish momentum.
The engulfing pattern, a classic candlestick formation, encapsulates this sentiment reversal by engulfing the previous candle's range. This dramatic change in price direction within a demand zone signifies a shift in market dynamics.
Divergence analysis adds a dimension of complexity to confirmation techniques. By comparing price movement with an oscillator like the RSI, traders gain insights into market behavior dynamics. Positive divergence, characterized by the price moving downward while the oscillator trends upward, hints at an impending reversal of bearish sentiment.
Mastery of these advanced confirmation techniques equips traders with an artful finesse to separate true demand zones from fleeting fluctuations, positioning them to navigate the market with heightened accuracy. lets take an example now,
For Example;
In the scenario of "ABC Ltd," let's assume the stock price has approached the ₹1,800 demand zone. A bullish engulfing candlestick pattern emerges within this zone, marking a powerful shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. This visual confirmation is an indication that buyers have overtaken sellers within the demand zone.
Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exhibits positive divergence during this time frame. As the stock price trends downward, the RSI moves in the opposite direction, signaling potential upward momentum. This dual confirmation through candlestick patterns and divergence analysis boosts the credibility of the ₹1,800 demand zone as a potential reversal point.
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Chapter 5: Risk Management Strategies
Within the realm of trading, where volatility and uncertainty reign, effective risk management assumes paramount importance. Demand zones, while offering alluring opportunities, also carry inherent risks. Navigating these intricacies necessitates a comprehensive approach that encompasses various risk management strategies.
Central to this approach is the art of placing stop-loss orders. By situating these orders slightly below a demand zone, traders shield themselves from the specter of false breakouts. This strategic placement ensures that even if a demand zone fails to hold, potential losses are contained.
Position sizing enters the equation as a cornerstone of risk management. Traders allocate capital in proportion to their risk tolerance and account size, preventing overexposure to a single trade. The principles of risk-to-reward ratios further contribute to a balanced approach, ensuring that the potential rewards of a trade are commensurate with its risks.
In a realm where uncertainty looms, effective risk management strategies serve as the rudder that steers the trader's ship, guiding them through the ebb and flow of the market's tides. lets take an example now,
For Example;
Suppose you decide to trade "ABC Ltd" with the demand zone at ₹2,500 in mind. To manage risk effectively, you set a stop-loss order just below the demand zone, at ₹2,480. This buffer guards your trade against potential false breakouts and limits potential losses.
Position sizing comes into play as well. You allocate a portion of your capital for this trade based on your risk tolerance and overall account size. This ensures that your exposure remains within acceptable limits and aligns with your overall portfolio strategy. By managing risk through these strategies, you protect your capital and minimize potential downsides.
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Chapter 6: Demand Zones in Different Market Environments
The dynamic nature of markets mirrors the shifting winds, prompting traders to adapt their strategies to different environments. Demand zones, as malleable indicators, respond in unique ways to various market conditions, underscoring their versatility.
In a trending market, demand zones operate as veritable launchpads, propelling prices further in the direction of the trend. Here, demand zones transform into essential support levels that act as stepping stones for continued price movement.
In contrast, the world of sideways markets presents a different challenge. Demand zones within a sideways range serve as both potential entry points and zones of caution. As prices oscillate within a confined range, demand zones offer traders the chance to participate in potential breakouts or capitalize on range-bound price action.
Volatility ushers in a realm of both opportunity and danger. Demand zones become focal points of not only entry but also vigilance. In this environment, traders must remain nimble, ready to adapt their strategies in response to rapid market shifts. lets take an example now,
For Example;
Now consider "ABC Ltd" in various market environments. In a trending market, the ₹1,600 demand zone acts as a catalyst for trend continuation. As the stock retraces to this level, it offers an attractive entry point for traders looking to capitalize on the ongoing uptrend.
During a sideways market phase, the ₹2,200 demand zone takes on a unique role. It acts as a pivot for price oscillations within the range, offering potential buy and sell opportunities. As the stock tests the upper or lower boundaries of the range, this demand zone could signal a potential breakout or reversal, highlighting its versatility.
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Chapter 7: Incorporating Demand Zones into Your Trading Plan
The culmination of demand zone mastery lies in the integration of this knowledge into a holistic trading plan. A comprehensive strategy that incorporates demand zones can serve as a compass, guiding traders through the tumultuous waters of the stock market.
This chapter walks us through the process of crafting such a trading plan.
Setting objectives is the first step, aligning trading goals with personal aspirations and risk tolerance. Establishing clear risk thresholds guards against unforeseen market shocks, ensuring that trading remains within predefined boundaries.
The harmonious integration of demand zone analysis with other technical and fundamental tools is pivotal. This convergence results in a strategy that's not only robust but also adaptable, capable of navigating a range of market conditions. lets take an example now,
For Example;
Integrating demand zone analysis into your trading plan for "ABC Ltd," you set clear objectives. Your goal is to achieve a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio for each trade. Considering the demand zone at ₹2,200, you set your stop-loss at ₹2,180 and identify a profit target at ₹2,260. This alignment between demand zone analysis, risk management, and profit-taking strategy ensures a comprehensive and calculated approach to trading.
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Chapter 8: Case Study and Practical Example
The true litmus test of knowledge lies in its application. This chapter dives headfirst into the practical realm by presenting a series of case studies that illuminate the effectiveness of demand zone analysis. Real-world scenarios—ranging from triumphant victories to humbling challenges—offer readers a firsthand glimpse into the art of demand zone trading.
For example.
Persistent Systems.
In a recent case in the Indian stock market, "Persistent" encountered a demand zone around ₹4620-4760. The stock's price had been declining, but within this demand zone, a bullish pinbar candlestick pattern formed. This marked a shift in market sentiment, as buyers stepped in and overpowered sellers.
Adding to the confirmation, the RSI displayed positive divergence, hinting at an imminent price reversal. Subsequently, "Persistent" rebounded from the demand zone, validating the power of demand zone analysis combined with advanced confirmation techniques in real-world scenarios.
This case study unravels the dynamic interactions between demand zones and price movements, capturing the essence of trading in action. By observing the strategies employed and the outcomes achieved, we can gain an experiential understanding that transcends theoretical knowledge.
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Switch on the Geyser. Time to Shower with Deepak FertilizerPE Ratio is 8 while Sector PE ratio of 53
- Company has delivered good profit growth of 49.7% CAGR over last 5 years
- Annual Revenue rose 47.7%, in the last year to Rs 11,384.7 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth for the last fiscal year was 17.2%.
- Annual Net Profit rose 78.4% in the last year to Rs 1,210.1 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth for the last fiscal year was 5.9%
- Mutual Fund Holding increased by 0% in the last quarter to 1.4.
- Return on Equity for the last financial year was 23.9%.
Negative:
- Quarterly Net profit fell 74.6% YoY to Rs 110 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth YoY for the quarter was -45.1%.
- Promoter Pledges rose 7.5% QoQ taking the total promoter holding pledge % to 22.6%.
Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals Corporation Ltd is a manufacturer of fertilizers and industrial chemicals with products in industrial chemicals, bulk and specialty fertilizers, farming diagnostics and solutions, technical ammonium nitrate and value added real estate, which includes India’s 1st & largest concept retail destination for Home Interiors & Design. Company is also investing in cloud computing, process automation, mobile apps, unified communication, and collaboration tools.
New Products in FY22
a) Company launched Crop Nutrient Solution brand Croptek with 3 crop specific grades Croptek Onion, Croptek Sugarcane, Croptek Cotton, and also launched Crop Specific and stage specific brand Solutek for fertigation
b) Company's IC business unit launched 8 different products for disinfection solutions in the hospital segment
Operational Highlights - Q4FY23
a) Acid business achieved a capacity utilization of 89% while the IPA business reached 98%. CNB Bulk (NP + NPK) had a capacity utilization of 55%
b) Company developed a technology to manufacture Pure DIPE from crude DIPE first time in India and has completed the commercial trial successfully
c) Steel grade Nitric acid for steel pickling application has completed its multi-stage commercial trials successfully and will soon be launched commercially
Capex - FY23:
a) Ammonia:
It has a capacity of 128,700 MTPA and company plans to increase it to 628,700 MTPA. For that, it has planned an Investment of Rs. 4,350 Cr. Company, through its stepdown subsidiary Performance Chemiserve Ltd, is setting up an ammonia manufacturing facility of 1,500 MTPD at Taloja
b) TAN:
Technical Ammonium Nitrate has a capacity of 486,900 MTPA which is planned to increase to 862,900 MTPA by H2 FY26 with an Investment of Rs. 2,201 Cr
Granules Demand ZoneThe short term group of ema's shows some contraction in ema's indicates a pause in the uptrend. The price will resume its trend on the breakout of 365. It could be a good opportunity for a fresh entry in the demand zone of 345 to 350 with a stoploss level 335.
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Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Thanks
Er. Simranjit Singh Virdi
LALPATH LAB quality gemLALPATH LAB has given breakout from a longterm pricewise and timewise correction
it has clearly break the supply zone in daily tf as well as in weekly tf
one can go long from here
put STOPLOSS BELOW 2300 AREA OR BELOW 20EMA IN DAILY TF OR 200DEMA CLOSING BASIS ONLY
always trade with your own conviction
THIS IS JUST FOR EDUCATION AND LEARNING PURPOSE
hope u guys like the idea
Latent view can be a potent multibagger!Latent view was one of the highest rated stock during its IPO listing which had got 300x subscription. The overhyped IPO market of 2021 has trapped many investors in multiple stocks including Latent view.
However, we can see some positive bounce in the stock from the demand zone of 310-320 after a major consolidation near the same.
A short term trendline breakout is also visible. The stock can be added on dips at 355, 344 with a SL of below 310 WCB for minimum target of 430.
My observation of the stock is that The consolidation structure is similar to Happiest minds which has given multibagger returns after consolidation breakout. Can we see the same in this stock? only time can tell!
Idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered as a recommendation.
UPL: Supply turned demandUPL(United Phosphorus Ltd.) has been declining over the past few sessions & has recently entered a supply turned demand area on weekly timeframe
Earlier in 2021, 650 was a key resistance and later on we saw a momentum filled breakout with high volumes after which the stock has been consolidating since then. For now 630 seems to be a good accumulation level as it has been tested as a support many time during this accumulation phase and below which we have higher chances of seeing further downside so it is a crucial level to watch for!
For value investors after such a long accumulation phases the breakout of the pennant can be a better opportunity as risk is high as per now.
On the fundamental side, the company has good amount of cashflows and is fairly priced at price to book ratio of 1.6 times
SETUP:
Entry near 630 keeping a strict stop loss near 595 & target up to 740 is a decent risk to reward setup.
Kindly do your own research. Thanks a lot for reading!
nIFTY IMPORTANT LEVELS /ZONES FOR 10 august iNDEX witnessed a strong recovery from lows
the stunning recovery led to improved sentiment and buying across the board
now since 3rd day in a row Nifty witnessed sustain above 20 ema area we can see the upmove to pick up from here
levels to watch : 19550 on downside will emerge as buying zone
while 19700 -19750 could act as a level of profit booking
Confluence of support in this medical lab stockDr Lalpathlab has corrected significantly post its all time high of around 4200.
As seen on the chart, the stock is standing on a crucial support trendline and also has recently bounced from its strong demand zone in weekly time frame.
RSI positive divergence can also been seen in the chart.
This stock can touch levels of around 2330, 2600 in medium term.
Kindly trade as per your own analysis since idea is shared only for educational purposes.
NIFTY50 - Don't PanicThe blue lines indicate the strong trendlines where the price could take support.
As all can see, the chart has respected most of the Fibonacci levels very well including the strong 1, 1.618 and 2.
My expectation of the short term reversal zone was from the upper half of the 1.618 to 2 zone. Expect some correction next fortnight but it should be a good chance to look for accumulating quality stocks.
Nifty near to its Reverse pointAs a usual concept, a demand zone is shown.
So if NIFTY reverse from the 50% retraced line, expected targets are shown.
If not reversed, it may go till 61.8% and possible to reverse.
If it moves below the 61.8% line, possible to continue the down trend.
(Note that present RSI is 40.08, which is not actually gives a reverse sign.)
Disclaimer: As usual, it is not a recommendation.
Nifty 50 - 05 July 2023I have been explaining the levels and logics behind my trades in my videos.
Live market, Post market analysis and Next trading session's Detailed Analysis has been posted in my YouTube channel.
Please do watch my old videos in Daily Analysis Playlist to understand the Entry and Exit criteria.
Do follow and subscribe if you like the analysis.
I expect the market to be Bullish tomorrow.
Trade or invest according to your analysis. This is just my view.
<----- 3MRT Trading ----->