Distribution
GoldGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) – Bearish Wyckoff Distribution (Unorthodox) in Play
Gold is currently trading around $3273/oz and appears to be in Phase D of a Bearish Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #1 (Unorthodox) on the 4H chart. The price is showing signs of weakness, but a final upthrust toward $3370 can’t be ruled out before a deeper breakdown.
Key level to watch:
⚠️ Breakdown confirmation below $3260–3200 could open the gates for a sharper decline.
Bearish structure still unfolding – traders should stay alert for signs of a last bull trap before distribution completes.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Wyckoff #TechnicalAnalysis #CommodityTrading #PriceAction
Technical Analysis Report: SMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd1. Bullish Flag with Pole (June–July 2024)
Bullish Flag with Pole: A continuation pattern formed after a strong upward price move (the pole), followed by a short-term consolidation (the flag), signaling the potential for another breakout upward.
Price Action: Strong impulsive rally formed the flagpole, followed by a tight consolidation forming the flag 🚩.
Breakout: Confirmed with a high-volume breakout to the upside.
Target: Achieved a massive 40% gain in under a month.
Analysis: A textbook bullish continuation pattern; traders capitalized on early entry post-breakout.
2. Distribution Phase (August–October 2024)
Distribution Phase: A sideways trading range after an uptrend where smart money or institutions start offloading their holdings. Typically a precursor to a market reversal or downtrend.
Market Structure: After the sharp uptrend, price entered into a horizontal range.
Phase Characteristics: Low volatility, repeated rejections at resistance, high volume on down days—signs of distribution.
Interpretation: Institutions likely booking profits, signaling a potential trend reversal.
Trader Sentiment: Shifted from bullish to neutral/bearish.
3. Triple Top Formation (Within Distribution Phase)
Triple Top Pattern: A bearish reversal pattern marked by three failed attempts to break above a resistance level, indicating weakening momentum and a potential downtrend.
Resistance Level: Same peak tested three times without breaking.
Breakdown: Confirmed after the third top with a decisive drop.
Target: Achieved a "30% downside" move via "short selling", all within a month.
Insight: Classic reversal pattern, effectively timed with distribution.
4. Bearish Flag with Pole (During Triple Top Breakdown)
Bearish Flag with Pole: A continuation pattern during a downtrend. It starts with a sharp decline (pole), followed by a minor upward consolidation (flag), suggesting further downside.
Formation: Sharp decline (pole) followed by a brief upward consolidation (flag).
Breakdown: Continuation to the downside, achieving projected target.
Target: Fully achieved within the same downtrend cycle.
Conclusion: Reinforced the bearish sentiment and amplified the down move.
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5. Accumulation Phase + Triple Bottom (December 2024–April 2025)
Accumulation Phase: A market phase where a stock trades in a range after a downtrend, as buyers (often smart money) gradually build positions, typically leading to a bullish reversal.
A Triple Bottom is a bullish reversal chart pattern that forms after a downtrend, marked by three equal lows indicating strong support and a potential trend reversal to the upside.
Phase: 5-month Accumulation Phase
Pattern: Triple Bottom during this period indicated strong support and buyer presence.
Breakout: Occurred with a bullish breakout post third bottom.
Target: 20% upside achieved within a month post-breakout.
Observation: Long-term investors and smart money potentially entering positions.
6. Rounding Bottom in Progress (May 2025)
Pattern: Rounding Bottom (Still Forming)
Current Price Action: Gradual curve formation with decreasing volume on the left and increasing volume near the neckline— a bullish sign.
Expectation: Anticipated upside breakout in the coming days.
Outlook: If confirmed, this could mark the start of a new bullish cycle.
📌 Summary:
SMS Pharmaceuticals Ltd. has shown a textbook series of technical patterns—from trend continuations to reversals, distribution to accumulation, and now a potential new uptrend. Each phase was actionable, with clear breakout/breakdown points and well-achieved targets.
AMD Effect on the BankniftyThe chart clearly reflects how the big players have done stop loss hunting where most retail traders and investors have their stop losses below a consolidation. It is clearly seen that the big players induced false buying and dragged the prices all the way down first triggering all stop losses and now gearing up the market to take it up in the intended direction.
Dow theroy - NIfty50 !!NSE:NIFTY
This chart represents a technical analysis of the Nifty 50 Index in the I-hour time frame, showing key
phases and levels that traders monitor for decision-making. Here's the explanation in simpler terms:
1. Accumulation Zone:
This is the area marked in the first shaded box where the price is moving sideways within a
range (between support and resistance levels).
• In this phase, big players (institutions) are likely accumulating (buying) before the next move.
2. Breakout to Manipulation:
After the accumulation, the price broke out above the resistance level. However, this was
followed by a sharp reversal downward.
The sharp drop is labeled "Manipulation," where the market may have tricked traders into
thinking the price was going higher, only to push it down.
3. Support Levels:
• Several support levels are marked where the price found temporary stability and reversed
upward. These areas indicate where buying pressure overcame selling.
4. Distribution Zone:
• In the next shaded area, the price moved sideways again. This could indicate a "distribution"
phase where institutions are selling off positions after the price increased.
5. Future Projection:
The dotted line shows a possible future path where the price could rise again toward the
distribution area (marked as potential resistance).
Key Takeaways:
Sideways Movement: Indicates areas of balance between buyers and sellers.
Manipulation: A sharp move designed to trigger stop-loss orders or mislead traders.
• Future Trend: The chart suggests a bullish (upward) move if the price sustains above current
support levels.
Traders can use these observations to plan entries or exits around support/resistance levels while
being cautious of potential false breakouts.
asianpaintclearly someone is selling this stock in big quantity and making big exit.
stock is having distribution on daily chart and I don't rule out 2100
But pls be caution that wyckoff patterns takes lots of time and they are tough to trade considering the spikes in opposite direction of the trend.
CESCCESC price distribution is happening on 4 hour chart. it may trying to bounce upto 210 and then next LPSY may be formed and give fresh round of selling.
But pls be caution that wyckoff patterns takes lots of time and they are tough to trade considering the spikes in opposite direction of the trend.