Piramal Enterprises Ltd - Value Investing?Piramal Enterprises Ltd - Analysis
The stock is displaying a promising bullish candlestick pattern , signaling a potential halt to its recent downtrend and a possible upward turn in the short term.
There is price and psi divergence seen on daily chart, which is positive indication.
Moreover, the stock seems to present an appealing value investment opportunity based on two crucial valuation metrics:
Price/Book Ratio of 0.69 : This indicates that the stock price is relatively low compared to the company's book value, reflecting a potentially undervalued asset.
Price/Cash Flow Ratio of 14.12 : This ratio suggests that the share price is reasonably low when weighed against the company's generated cash flow, indicating a potentially favorable investment in terms of cash flow generation.
Additionally, the Earnings Yield of 18% signifies the return the company generates on each invested dollar, indicating a relatively robust performance in generating earnings.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
Divergencetrading
Dilip Buildcon Ltd forms Bottom Triangle/Wedge + Divergence
A Bottom Triangle/wedge shows two converging trendlines as prices reach lower highs and higher lows.
The price breaks above the upper trendline with a noticeable increase in volume, confirming this bullish pattern as a reversal of the prior downtrend.
There is divergence seen Price vs RSI and Price Vs MACD .
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade
RSI DIVERGENCE - RADICO KHAITANNSE:RADICO - DAILY CHART ANALYSIS
The price was heading down, making lower lows.
Initially, the RSI indicator was following the price too.
on daily chart its seen that the RSI starts making higher lows while the price is still heading down.
That’s when divergence pattern appears.
After a bullish divergence, the price will tend to change from a downtrend to an uptrend.
PLEASE NOTE THAT:
This chart analysis is only for reference purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Banknifty spot heading to channel top...!!In above 30 min chart of banknifty we have given elliott wave count.
Banknifty made high near 44499 and when it made high that time macd and rsi both
shown negative diversgence which given a hint of coming correction in banknifty.
This correction is started in form of wave ABC which seems completed near channel support of 43345 where macd and rsi both given a positive divergence which giving hint of correction is completed on down side and soon may resume upside move.
Currently banknifty is paused near the middle of the channel which confluences with 200sma at
43887 and important fib ratios as shown in chart.
Banknifty moving above 200sma will give boost too bulls and doors will open up for channel top
44300.
NOTE : We are assuming that correction of Wave ABC completed at 43345 and impulsive wave 1-2-3-4-5 underway of which wave 2 is on .. once completed sharp wave 3 to start (crossing of 200sma will hint the same)
Divergence: A Retrospective Divergence Trading is lucrative as the price movement following a divergence is with high momentum, hence rewarding with decent Risk:Reward.
The common way is to add conventional RSI and check for divergence . However we often found that many of the vanilla RSI divergence signals are conveniently ignored by the following price action.
Then the question is: Does RSI divergence fakes out? OR with the confluence of something other stuff we can more accurately identify these sorts of divergence and hop into it happily with lucrative Risk:Reward.
Potentially the Volume Profile (more specifically: The Fixed Range Volume Profile) identified high liquidity zones (classical term: Point of Control , PoC ) are the area where one should look out for a potential RSI divergence.
We have picked up the FX_IDC:USDINR last 5 months Daily chart and followed this analysis tecnique:
Analysis Methodology:
Use Daily (or something like hourly/4-hour etc.) normal candlestick.
Identify the swings in the chart (high, lows).
For each swing, apply Fixed Range Volume Profile free TradingView indicator (available under Technicals > Profile, 2nd from top)
The PoC (Point of control) is visible in the chart. You may mark it in the chart with a horizontal line (or a rectangle). That's the liquid-most zone .
If you see some other areas other than PoC area (technically called Value Area ) are showing decent liquidity (comparable to PoC, say within 60% of PoC), then mark that area also with a horizontal line.
Add a RSI. Cleanout everything other than just the RSI line chart.
Change the main price chart from normal candle to line chart.
Once you see the price is in the high liquidity zone, check the price and the RSI together. See if there is a divergence.
Positive/Bullish Divergence : Price is making a lower-low, but corresponding RSI levels are not making lower-low (either same or making higher low).
Negative/Bearis Divergence : Price is making higher-high, but corresponding RSI levels are not making higher-high (either same or making lower high).
Hidden Divergence : No need to consider too much. Spotting a normal RSI divergence is good enough.
That's it. Once you find out the divergence, take a Positional Trade in the opposite direction of trend. (means +ve divergence Long / -ve divergence Short). Hold it with the SL of the Highest Point of the high liquidity zone (which you have marked earlier) and ride the reversal movement with trailing the stop loss.
In last 5 months USDINR, we can see it happened at least thrice. So it's powerful. Lesser number of quality trades.
Divergence Cheat Sheet / Types of DivergenceWhat is divergence?
Divergence is a method used in technical analysis when the direction of a technical indicator, usually some form of oscillator ‘diverges’ from the overall price trend. In other words, the indicator starts moving in the opposite direction to the price and the trading oscillator signals a possible trend reversal.
Once divergence appears, there is a higher chance of a reversal, especially if divergence appears on a higher time frame.
Oscillator indicator for divergence patterns is Weis Wave Volume, macd, the RSI, CCI, or stochastic OBV.
Types of divergences
There are 4 types of divergence, which are broadly classified into two categories:
1) Regular or Classic Divergence
2) Hidden Divergence
With each of these two categories, you have a bullish or a bearish divergence. Therefore, the four types of divergences are summarized as:
1) Regular Bullish Divergence
2) Regular Bearish Divergence
3) Hidden Bullish Divergence
4) Hidden Bearish Divergence
Divergence patterns indicate that a reversal is coming soon and becoming more likely but this is not an instant change. The more divergence there is visible, the more likely a reversal does become. Here are some guidelines:
The entry can not be taken on the basis of divergence indicator alone.
It’s best if a trader mixes the divergence indicator pattern with their strategy.
Use Higher time Frames.
NIFTY MIDCAP DIVERGENCENSE:NIFTY NSE:CNXMIDCAP NSE:CNXSMALLCAP Diverging for couple of days. Ideally the broad market shall start picking up.
While Nifty is getting selling pressure near the Highs today. Midcap and Smallcap Index getting buying near support zone.
Midcap and Smallcap shall start picking up from here on.
The Broader Market Indices must converge with the Mainstream Index Nifty 50.
Inter-market Divergence is not sign of healthy trend. Longer the time the divergence prevails it leads to trend reversal.
As Nifty and Bank Nifty are near the Highs along with other Indices. Broader Market Indices and stocks shall pick up the trend now.
What is divergence?If you have been in the market for some time, you may have heard of something called “divergence” . Today we are going to share an informative write-up along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this important trading concept. This post will also lay the groundwork for future posts about related topics.
Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand various concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading!
We are going to cover the following topics:
1. What is divergence?
2. What are the different types of divergence?
- Bullish divergence or Positive divergence
- Bearish divergence or Negative divergence
Introduction
When the price of a stock moves in a certain direction, the momentum oscillator should also move in the same direction.
Example : When the Price makes a higher high, the momentum oscillator should also make a higher high. This is called convergence since both the price and the momentum are converging in the same direction.
In a few circumstances, the momentum oscillator and the price do not move in tandem. This is called Divergence.
What is Divergence?
When the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, it is called divergence. Divergence warns about potential underlying weakness in the current trend. The price may or may not reverse at the exact occurrence of the divergence.
Different types of Divergence
Broadly, divergence can be classified as positive or negative. Positive divergence is also known as “Bullish divergence”, while the negative divergence is typically called “Bearish divergence.”
1. Bullish divergence / Positive divergence
A bullish divergence occurs when prices fall to a new low while the oscillator fails to reach a new low (exception being hidden bullish divergence). Positive divergence signals that the price could start moving higher soon. It has two sub-types:
i) Regular Bullish divergence
ii) Hidden Bullish divergence
Some exhibits of Bullish divergence:
Exhibit 1: Regular bullish divergence
Exhibit 2: Hidden bullish divergence
Exhibit 3: Bullish divergence followed by a subsequent reversal
2. Bearish divergence/Negative divergence
A bearish divergence occurs when the price rises to a new high while the oscillator fails to reach a new high (exception being hidden bearish divergence). Negative divergence signals that the price may soon start falling to lower levels in the future. It also has two sub-types:
i) Regular Bearish divergence
ii) Hidden Bearish divergence
Some exhibits of Bearish divergence:
Exhibit 1: Regular bearish divergence
Exhibit 2: Hidden bearish divergence
Exhibit 3: Bearish divergence followed by a subsequent reversal
Thanks for reading! As we mentioned before, this isn't trading advice, but rather information about a tool that many traders use. Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. :)
– Team TradingView
Divergence Masterclass 2 - Bullish divergenceIn the last thread, we discussed the basics of divergence. In this thread, we are going to learn about the positive divergence a.k.a Bullish divergence. I'll cover it in 3 parts:
1. What is bullish divergence?
2. Types of bullish divergence
3. Subtypes with illustrations
So, let's move ahead!
What is Bullish divergence?
A bullish divergence occurs when prices fall to a new low while the oscillator fails to reach a new low. It indicates that the selling pressure is decreasing and the bulls may soon control the market. Generally, a bullish divergence occurs at the end of a downtrend.
Bullish divergence is mainly of 2 types:
1. Classic bullish divergence – In this case, the price and the oscillator always either forms a lower low or an equal low. Considering these cases, the classic divergence consists of 3 subtypes. The classic divergence occurs at the end of a bearish trend and indicates that a trend reversal may occur soon.
2. Hidden bullish divergence – In this, the price forms a higher low, but the oscillator forms a lower low. Hidden divergence occurs during the correction phase of a trend and is a possible sign for a trend continuation.
So, combining all the above cases, there are only 4 types of Bullish divergence. You don’t have to memorize the names, it’s just a waste of time. Try to understand the underlying logic.
1. Strong Bullish Divergence.
The price makes a lower low but the oscillator makes a higher low. This means that the sellers are not selling at the same momentum i.e. the selling momentum is decreasing.
Price: Lower Low(LL)
Oscillator: Higher Low(HL)
2. Medium Bullish Divergence
The price makes a double bottom, almost the same level as the previous low and the oscillator makes a higher low. This indicates that at the same price levels, the momentum is increasing.
Price: Equal Low(EL)
Oscillator: Higher Low(HL)
3. Weak Bullish Divergence
In a weak bullish divergence, the price makes a lower low but the oscillator has almost the same low levels. This means, even though the price is decreasing, the momentum is intact.
Price: Lower Low(LL)
Oscillator: Equal Low(EL)
4. Hidden Bullish Divergence
The hidden bullish divergence occurs at less frequency as compared to the other types. In this, the price forms a higher low, but the momentum oscillator forms a lower low. This indicates that even at a decreasing momentum, there is enough buying going on to push the price up.
Price: Higher Low(HL)
Oscillator: Lower Low(LL)
Pro Tip:
1. For bullish divergence, we only look at the LOWS .
2. Don’t memorize the cases. Just understand that if the divergence is occurring at the lows, then the price will reverse in the opposite direction i.e. it will go up. Hence, you just have to spot the divergence, regardless of the name.
Please leave your feedback, it'll help me to create better content. Cheers!
Divergence Masterclass 1 - What is Divergence? Hello all, today we are going to learn about divergence. A simple topic, which often confuses the newbies. I'll keep this thread short since this will lay the groundwork for the upcoming threads. Please go through this thread before proceeding to the next threads.
Foreward
In this thread, I would explain the following as easily and briefly as possible:
1. What is divergence?
2. What are the different types of divergence?
Introduction
When the price of a stock moves in a certain direction, the momentum oscillator should also move in the same direction. Eg. When the Price makes a higher high(HH), the momentum oscillator should also make a higher high(HH). This is called convergence since both, the price and the momentum are converging in the same direction.
In a few circumstances, the momentum oscillator and the price do not follow the same path. This is called Divergence.
What is Divergence?
When the price of an asset is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, it is called divergence. Divergence warns about the underlying weakness in the current trend. The price may or may not reverse at the exact occurrence of the divergence.
Different types of Divergence
Broadly, divergence can be classified as a positive and negative divergence. The positive divergence is also known as the Bullish divergence, while the negative divergence is called a Bearish divergence.
1. Bullish divergence/Positive divergence
Positive divergence signals that the price could start moving higher soon. It is of 2 types:
Regular Bullish divergence
Hidden Bullish divergence
Some illustrations of Bullish divergence:
2. Bearish divergence/Negative divergence
Negative divergence signals that the price may soon start falling to lower levels in the future. It is of 2 types:
Regular Bearish divergence
Hidden Bearish divergence
Some illustrations of Bearish divergence:
Conclusion:
I hope you may have got a better idea about divergence now. I'll post the next thread explaining bullish and bearish divergence separately as I didn't want to clutter this thread.
Useful Tips:
1. You should not rely on divergence solely, as it doesn't provide timely trade signals.
2. Divergence can last a long time without a price reversal occurring.
3. It may NOT play out sometimes. Hence, it is just like any other indicator which has a probability of working out but NOT a certainty.