Dollarindex
DXY DowntrendOn Weekly Basis:
Dollar Index (DXY) reversed from high of 114.77 There is a support at 102 on weekly charts. DXY entered into bear cycle as there is a Death Cross where 50 DMA crossed over 200 DMA downwards. One can be cautious and it may provide a good chance of pullback in bear cycle. It is a sell from long term point of view. There is a death cross over at 200 DMA, happened on 1st week of January, 2023. It is reaching an oversold position. It may pullback to 104.50 but charts look very pessimistic.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
Dollar Index - The Last PushDXY has a 5 wave decline on Weekly charts & Wave 5 have formed a ending diagonal today's push could mean end of Wave A so now a 3 wave or 7 wave pullback can take us back to 110 levels confirmation will be Weekly close above 105.35 (40 WEMA Red Line) & this bounce in $ should see some selloff in Commodity & Equity.
BTCUSD SELL IDEALook for occasional retest and confirmation, trade is simple
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Reason for why should you watch Hindalco !!Hindalco has given a breakout today & it's also at a good level to catch
Why Hindalco is a Buy? NSE:HINDALCO
Reason for Buy:-You can see metals are Inversely Proportional to Autos.
Even as of now, metals are standing stronger when volatility comes in the market.
This gives the Idea that the demand for metals is more than the supply, making the price move Higher.
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Reason for why should you watch TCS !!TCS has given a breakout today & it's also at a good level to catch
Why TCS over all other IT Stocks NSE:TCS
Reason: Strength
When all others were in sell-off facing selling Pressure. It was the only standing man. Where the candles were forming was quite demanding.
Similarly, I've told some stocks in the Nifty Infra setup NSE:ULTRACEMCO NSE:GRASIM
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Follow for your learnings, not just for what I said
RBNZ Rate DecisionReserve Bank Of New Zealand
Interest rate decision:
The Consumer Price Index CPI rose by 7.2% in September 2022, it's fall from August's print but still higher than experts thought which the consensus is 6.5.
Economists expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to lift the cash rate by a record 75bps while money markets wager a roughly 65% probability for the biggest ever rate point hike this month.
Guys my take on this rate saga are:
I'm bullish with NZDJPY, NZDUSD, NZDCHF, if the bank increase its OCR by 75bps.
I'm bearish with NZDJPY, NZDUSD, NZDCHF, if the bank increase its OCR by only 50bps.
Because the New Zealand Dollar needs an upward revision to the Bank's rate hike trajectory and Hawkish rhetoric from the governor Adrian Orr to resume it's March towards 0.6250 against US Dollar.
GBPUSD BULLISH FORECASTGBPUSD has been in global bearish trend due to dollar's high, but dollar seems to start correcting, and the close resistance are broken, and from the chart you can find next resistance target for buyers.
Wait for the daily candle closure above the resistance being tested, then retest and find buying confirmation using lower time frames.
My views for Dollar Currency Index According to my analysis and with major news events coming up, My opinion on DXY is looking bearish.
Why do I feel so?
- Change of Structure in higher timeframe
- We have been in a long upward cycle. CHoC may lead to short term correction
- We have a demand zone in the bottom. we I expect the price to bounce off.
Again, these are my views for the week. Thank you.
Dollar Index will probably move down from this levelDollar Index reached an important level. Low probability of a good up move from here. Thus it looks like this is time for USD to probably pause for a few months as compared to other currencies. Upside first target complete in weekly chart.
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The index is currently calculated by factoring in the exchange rates of six foreign currencies, which include the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), Canadian dollar (CAD), British pound (GBP), Swedish krona (SEK), and Swiss franc (CHF).
Red more : www.investopedia.com
DXY CONSOLIDATION PATTERNDollar index is consolidating in the big time frame We are still for the news to get the breakout or the breakdown the further movement in different currency pairs , commodities , equity will be directly depend on it and break on either side will give a start to new bearish cycle or the bullish cycle for dollar index.
As per my view we will be going higher towards 120-128 levels in short term .
US Dollar Index - are we ready for new all time high ?US Dollar index has recently completed his fall of wave 4 inside the bigger degree wave 3, and now possibly wave 5 has been started of bigger degree wave 3, Inside 5 it has completed wave 1 and wave 2 of 5, and possibly started to unfold smaller degree wave 1 of 3 of 5, now should retrace as wave 2 of 3 of 5, it would be a buying opportunity with invalidation level of 111.9040, One can go long in dip of wave 2, or can go long on breakout above wave 1's high, in both scenarios stop loss could be same as invalidation level 111.9040, which is nothing but low of wave 1, because as per waves principle wave 2 will never retraces 100% of wave 1.In 1 hour time frame RK's Mass psychological cloud is suggesting to go long only, Because it's above cloud, so don't go short.
possible wave counts on 1 hourly chart
possible wave counts on 4 hourly chart
possible wave counts on Daily chart
RK's Mass Psychological cloud in 4 hour
RK's Mass Psychological cloud in 1 hour
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