Dollarindex
My views for Dollar Currency Index According to my analysis and with major news events coming up, My opinion on DXY is looking bearish.
Why do I feel so?
- Change of Structure in higher timeframe
- We have been in a long upward cycle. CHoC may lead to short term correction
- We have a demand zone in the bottom. we I expect the price to bounce off.
Again, these are my views for the week. Thank you.
Dollar Index will probably move down from this levelDollar Index reached an important level. Low probability of a good up move from here. Thus it looks like this is time for USD to probably pause for a few months as compared to other currencies. Upside first target complete in weekly chart.
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The index is currently calculated by factoring in the exchange rates of six foreign currencies, which include the euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), Canadian dollar (CAD), British pound (GBP), Swedish krona (SEK), and Swiss franc (CHF).
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DXY CONSOLIDATION PATTERNDollar index is consolidating in the big time frame We are still for the news to get the breakout or the breakdown the further movement in different currency pairs , commodities , equity will be directly depend on it and break on either side will give a start to new bearish cycle or the bullish cycle for dollar index.
As per my view we will be going higher towards 120-128 levels in short term .
US Dollar Index - are we ready for new all time high ?US Dollar index has recently completed his fall of wave 4 inside the bigger degree wave 3, and now possibly wave 5 has been started of bigger degree wave 3, Inside 5 it has completed wave 1 and wave 2 of 5, and possibly started to unfold smaller degree wave 1 of 3 of 5, now should retrace as wave 2 of 3 of 5, it would be a buying opportunity with invalidation level of 111.9040, One can go long in dip of wave 2, or can go long on breakout above wave 1's high, in both scenarios stop loss could be same as invalidation level 111.9040, which is nothing but low of wave 1, because as per waves principle wave 2 will never retraces 100% of wave 1.In 1 hour time frame RK's Mass psychological cloud is suggesting to go long only, Because it's above cloud, so don't go short.
possible wave counts on 1 hourly chart
possible wave counts on 4 hourly chart
possible wave counts on Daily chart
RK's Mass Psychological cloud in 4 hour
RK's Mass Psychological cloud in 1 hour
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Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
CRUCIAL NFP DATA AHEAD!!!Market are betting on fed rates in today mainly. If NFP comes stronger than expected, markets might plunge giving fed signal to raise interest as economy is healthy. However of it comes weak, markets will speculate fed might slow down rates. US Dollar Index could rebound towards the 114.80 high.
During last OPEC meet on Wednesday OPEC decided in its first one-on-one meeting since 2020 to cut production by up to 2 million barrels per day from November. Oil prices have fallen to around $90 a barrel from $120 in early June, amid growing fears of the prospect of a global economic recession. However, still not knowing how long will it last and with what intensity, predictions are useless for now.
On the other side US opposes such a move, as OPEC keeps oil prices high, resulting in inflationary pressures on consumers and production costs. More specifically, President Biden is disappointed by OPEC's short-sighted decision to reduce production quotas while the global economy deals with the continuing negative effects of Putin's invasion of Ukraine. At a time when maintaining global energy, supplies are of the most importance, this decision will have the most negative impact on low- and middle-income countries that are already struggling with high energy prices. At Biden's direction, the Energy Department will release another 10 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve into the market next month.
As per opinion looking at the history US do not have a tendency to remain quiet after this big opposing move however based on current situation they not declare straight economic wars against each other however the COLD WAR has already been started and rumours are coming that all the upcoming moves from US are taken under the same considerations, now the Big question arises here is today's NFP will really be based on country's conditions or the it will be based on the Running conflict between other countries, Let's wait for few more hours and we have our answers,
For more details and further discussion on this matter even on any other market knowledge feel free to DM us...
SILVER VIEW silver is sell on rise as there is no change in the fundamentals yet so break above the given resistance line is not seen in near future so we continue to drop in the downward channel also it depends on the behaviour of dollar index and cpi data of usa so upcoming Data can be used as a trigger for change in the fundamentals and can help silver to get above the resistance and shine again Till the time we are experiencing low industrial demand.
Dollar Index (DXY) to end correction and start fresh upmoveTVC:DXY has been moving perfectly as per Elliott waves. It has completed an impulse and now in correction. It has already corrected near 50% which is also close to previous degree wave 4. Worst case we might do 61.8% around 107. Once we get a positive daily close from here, it would be reasonable to assume next impulse has started. What does this mean for equities and cryptos? They'll take a dive as soon as DXY upmove starts.
DXY set for Decisive MoveOn Daily Basis:
US Dollar Index (DXY) is correcting after it achieved the target of 109.29 as predicted in earlier published idea. 105.50 is a near term support level which is a test of DXY for further next decisive move. The trend is bullish right now and it should take the support of 105.50 with next probable target of 112 to 114. RSI on weekly basis has come down and on monthly basis it has scope to go to extreme overbought position which means it will be a final up leg. Usually it is volatile top. August or September may prove to be a blow off top in DXY. The ultimate target of 120 may not be ruled out.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
Inverse Correlation Between BTC and US Dollar Economic narratives and dialogues covering crypto and traditional market trends have discussed the hypothesis of inverse correlation between Bitcoin and the US Dollar. As the world’s largest cryptocurrency was created with the vision of decentralized substitution for centralized fiat currencies, we have seen the hypothesis becoming true in the past couple of days. As reflected in the chart, BTC is definitely thriving on a weaker dollar.