Dowjones
3rd Nov ’23 - The gap-up gave the trend change indication NiftyNifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “The levels have not changed from yesterday, the first resistance is at 19226 and the 2nd one is at 19310. I am staying neutral till 19226 is not taken out, seems like it could be even done in the forenoon session.”
The gap-up took out my resistance of 19226 and was forced to go long. I was eagerly waiting for the 19310 to get broken so that the bullish momentum was done and cemented. This did not happen as Nifty was out of steam by 11.00.
The 14.30 to 14.50 price action looked scary though, assuming the FIIs would have offloaded their selling positions in this window.
On the 1hr TF, Nifty has made an odd-looking W pattern, technically its a bullish sign but we need confirmation of the same by taking out the 19310 resistance soon. These bullish price moves could be highly shortlived as well because its just a reaction of market participants to the FED’s announcement yesterday.
Just for reference, I have pasted the SPX chart herewith. Could this relief rally be just another lower high in the making? When the global macros are that bad and the earnings are weak, there is every possibility for the bear run to continue. So if you are a bull, enjoy till it lasts.
DJI - Likely to start a wave 3 upwards? To make a new high?DJI has formed three sub-fractal i,ii, i,ii, i,ii since the impulse upwards since the Oct 22 bottom.
It should eventually materialize in a wave iii upwards i.e. 3 sub-fractals of iii,iv, iii,iv, iii,iv.
In all possibility the recent wave ii is complete in a five wave C downwards. Today's price action at NYSE opening would be crucial.
DJI AnalysisDJI technically downtrend
Analysis 1
DJI doesn't break the DAY and 1HR Trend line.
seems sell retracement.
once cross down and sustain 33500 means the fall down to 33350.... 33350 to 33200 is demand zone...if the demand zone invalided means the price fall down to 33000...
(a) sell stop risk entry 33600 safe entry 33450
targets 33350/33250/33150/33050
buy stop 33800.
Analysis 2
DJI breaks the trend line and sustain means.
Rally continues up to 34300.
there will be a 2 Supply zones.
1st Supply zone 33950 to 34050
2nd Supply zone 34160 to 34250
(b) buy stop risk entry 33820... Safe entry also same but after retracement from the trend line
targets 33950/34050/34150/34250/34320/34500
Stop loss 33650.
DOW JONESENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
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