DOLLAR INDEX - WILL IT BREAK DOWN OR CLIMB HIGHER?Symbol - DXY
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading within a key support zone, which has historically acted as a pivotal level for price action. A clear double top pattern has emerged on the larger time frame, signaling a potential bearish reversal. A breakdown below this support area would likely signify a shift in the short-term trend of the U.S. Dollar, with the potential for a move lower.
Despite this, there remains an underlying expectation in the global markets that the U.S. Dollar will stay elevated in the medium term due to factors such as President Trump’s policies, tariffs, and rising geopolitical fragmentation. However, much of this has already been priced into the currency, and the current price action is showing signs of weakness, suggesting that the Dollar may be poised for a pullback.
From a technical perspective, a decisive breakdown below the support zone would imply a trend change, with further downside potential. Traders and investors may need to reassess their outlook for the U.S. Dollar if this level is breached.
Key support levels: 107.60, 107.40
Key resistance levels: 108.35, 108.50
On the other hand, if the price holds above the support area and key upcoming data, such as the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI), continue to support the Dollar’s strength, there is potential for the index to continue its upward trajectory. In this alternate scenario, the previous bullish trend for the U.S. Dollar could resume, especially if these data points align with expectations and signal ongoing economic strength. Therefore, the outlook for the U.S. Dollar remains contingent on the price action at the current support level and upcoming economic data releases.
