Pullback Trading Strategy - RulesPullback Trading Strategy over 80% Success Rate
Rules
Moving Average - Price should above 200 Period Moving Average
Entry - 10 Period RSI Below 30
Exit - 10 Period RSI Above 50
Stop Loss - Recent Swing Low
I hope you understood the pullback trading rules.
Chart 1 : Reliance 9.68% Up
The price was clearly above the 200 Period Moving Average in the chart below, and the RSI 10 period was below 30, indicating that the pullback rule was satisfied.
Chart 2 : SBIN 9.4% Up
The price was clearly above the 200 Period Moving Average in the chart below, and the RSI 10 period was below 30, indicating that the pullback rule was satisfied.
Chart 3 : TCS 3.13% UP
Pullback rule satisfied
Chart 4 : Bank Nifty 2.51 % UP
Chart 5 : Wipro 3.76 % UP
I hope you enjoyed it. Please share and comment if you found this content useful.
Community ideas
Wyckoff Phases in PracticeWe all know that market moves in Phases. The four most popular phases are –
1️⃣Accumulation
2️⃣Markup
3️⃣Distribution and
4️⃣Markdown
Mr. Wyckoff analyzed these phases further, esp. Accumulation and Distribution, to understand the price behavior for potential opportunities to trade/invest in the market.
In this tutorial I am going to have a brief discussion about Accumulation-sub-phases of the market with the help of an example that I came across today.
✅ Phase A
🚩Starts after a major downtrend.
🚩Begins with a selling climax (SC) - Large down bars with abnormally high volume (see B).
🚩SC is followed by the largest rally in the major downtrend, associated with good buying volume. This Automatic Rally (AR) represents the change in character (ChoC) of the market - buyers taking over.
🚩Market retest the level B with a lower volume (supply) – Secondary Test (see D).
✅ Phase B
🚩Usually the longest phase.
🚩High volume during rallies (eg. E) and lesser during retracements.
🚩Even if volume is high during retracements, price fails to make new lows.
🚩More secondary tests (see F) held at the support zone (B and D).
🚩Market consolidates testing supply and demand with no particular direction – Consolidation.
✅ Phase C
🚩The smallest but most important.
🚩Usually ends with a Spring (not in the above case).
🚩You would see final shakeout of weak buyers. Price dips underneath the support zone (B, D and F) and reverse sharply back above support.
🚩Perhaps the best time enter for those who like to take low risk high probability trades.
🚩In the above case G was just another test of support Zone.
✅ Phase D
🚩You would see swift action in this phase. Wide up bars (with high volume) and small down bars (with low volume).
🚩This also represents the change in character which now differs from the consolidation phase.
🚩ChoC - Notice two blue rectangles and the price action in them.
🚩Price breaks the resistance zone (mostly the high of automatic rally).
🚩It again retests this resistance which now starts acting as support. This is called the Backup action.
🚩This is perhaps the best time for those who like to enter after confirmation.
✅ Phase E
🚀Accumulation is over and a trend is established.
Not all bear markets end with these accumulation-sub-phases. You may often see V-shaped recoveries just like what we experienced after March 2020 lows. But you will surely find some stocks or markets that moved in line with Wyckoff phases.
Thanks for reading.
Do like and comment.
📣Disclaimer: The views are personal and theoretical. Apply your own due diligence before making your investment decisions.
10 Reasons why Most traders lose moneyHey everyone!👋
Trading & investing is not easy. If it were, everyone would be rich.
Here are a couple of time-honored tips to help you get back to basics.
Lack of knowledge 📘
Many traders jump into the market without a thorough understanding of how it works and what it takes to be successful. As a result, they make costly mistakes and quickly lose money.
Poor risk management 🚨
Risk is an inherent part of trading, and it's important to manage it effectively in order to protect your capital and maximize your chances of success. However, many traders don't have a clear risk management strategy in place, and as a result, they are more vulnerable to outsized losses.
Emotional decision-making 😞
It's easy to feel strong emotions while trading. However, making decisions based on emotions rather than rational analysis can be a recipe for disaster. Many traders make poor decisions when they are feeling overwhelmed, greedy, or fearful and this can lead to significant losses.
Lack of discipline 🧘♂️
Successful trading requires discipline, but many traders struggle to stick to their plan. This can be especially challenging when the market is volatile or when a trader is going through a drawdown. Create a system for yourself that's easy to stay compliant with!
Over-trading 📊
Many traders make the mistake of over-trading, which means they take on too many trades and don't allow their trades to play out properly. This leads to increased risk, higher brokerage costs, and a greater likelihood of making losses. Clearly articulating setups you like can help separate good opportunities from the chaff.
Lack of a trading plan 📝
A trading plan provides a clear set of rules and guidelines to follow when taking trades. Without a plan, traders may make impulsive decisions, which can be dangerous and often lead to losses.
Not keeping up with important data and information ⏰
The market and its common narratives are constantly evolving, and it's important for traders to stay up-to-date with the latest developments in order to make informed decisions.
Not cutting losses quickly ✂️
No trader can avoid making losses completely, but the key is to minimize their impact on your account. One of the best ways to do this is to cut your losses quickly when a trade goes against you. However, many traders hold onto losing trades for too long, hoping that they will recover, and this can lead to larger-than-expected losses.
Not maximizing winners 💸
Just as it's important to cut your losses quickly, it's also important to maximize your winners. Many traders fail to do this, either because they don’t have a plan in place, telling them when and how to exit a trade. As a result, they may leave money on the table and miss out on potential profits.
Not Adapting 📚
Adapting to changing market conditions is paramount to success in the financial markets. Regimes change, trading edge disappears and reappears, and the systems underpinning everything are constantly in flux. One day a trading strategy is producing consistent profits, the next, it isn't. Traders need to adapt in order to make money over the long term, or they risk getting phased out of the market.
Overall, the majority of traders make losses because they fail to prepare for the challenges of the market. By educating themselves, developing a solid trading plan, and planning out decisions beforehand, traders can improve their chances of success and avoid common pitfalls.
We hope you enjoyed this post. Please feel free to write any additional tips or pieces of advice in the comments section below!
See you all next week. 🙂
– Team TradingView
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Investors' Holy Grail - The Business/Economic CycleThe business cycle describes how the economy expands and contracts over time. It is an upward and downward movement of the gross domestic product along with its long-term growth rate.
The business cycle consists of 6 phases/stages :
1. Expansion
2. Peak
3. Recession
4. Depression
5. Trough
6. Recovery
1) Expansion :
Sectors Affected: Technology, Consumer discretion
Expansion is the first stage of the business cycle. The economy moves slowly upward, and the cycle begins.
The government strengthens the economy:
Lowering taxes
Boost in spending.
- When the growth slows, the central bank reduces rates to encourage businesses to borrow.
- As the economy expands, economic indicators are likely to show positive signals, such as employment, income, wages, profits, demand, and supply.
- A rise in employment increases consumer confidence increasing activity in the housing markets, and growth turns positive. A high level of demand and insufficient supply lead to an increase in the price of production. Investors take a loan with high rates to fill the demand pressure. This process continues until the economy becomes favorable for expansion.
2) Peak :
Sector Affected : Financial, energy, materials
- The second stage of the business cycle is the peak which shows the maximum growth of the economy. Identifying the end point of an expansion is the most complex task because it can last for serval years.
- This phase shows a reduction in unemployment rates. The market continues its positive outlook. During expansion, the central bank looks for signs of building price pressures, and increased rates can contribute to this peak. The central bank also tries to protect the economy against inflation in this stage.
- Since employment rates, income, wages, profits, demand & supply are already high, there is no further increase.
- The investor will produce more and more to fill the demand pressure. Thus, the investment and product will become expensive. At this time point, the investor will not get a return due to inflation. Prices are way higher for buyers to buy. From this situation, a recession takes place. The economy reverses from this stage.
3) Recession :
Sector Affected : Utilities, healthcare, consumer staples
- Two consecutive quarters of back-to-back declines in gross domestic product constitute a recession.
- The recession is followed by a peak phase. In this phase economic indicators start melting down. The demand for the goods decreased due to expensive prices. Supply will keep increasing, and on the other hand, demand will begin to decline. That causes an "excess of supply" and will lead to falling in prices.
4) Depression :
- In more prolonged downturns, the economy enters into a depression phase. The period of malaise is called depression. Depression doesn't happen often, but when they do, there seems to be no amount of policy stimulus that can lift consumers and businesses out of their slumps. When The economy is declining and falling below steady growth, this stage is called depression.
- Consumers don't borrow or spend because they are pessimistic about the economic outlook. As the central bank cuts interest rates, loans become cheap, but businesses fail to take advantage of loans because they can't see a clear picture of when demand will start picking up. There will be less demand for loans. The business ends up sitting on inventories & pare back production, which they already produced.
- Companies lay off more and more employees, and the unemployment rate soars and confidence flatters.
5) Trough :
- When economic growth becomes negative, the outlook looks hopeless. Further decline in demand and supply of goods and services will lead to more fall in prices.
- It shows the maximum negative situation as the economy reached its lowest point. All economic indicators will be worse. Ex. The highest rate of unemployment, and No demand for goods and services(lowest), etc. After the completion, good time starts with the recovery phase.
6) Recovery :
Affected sectors: Industrials, materials, real estate
- As a result of low prices, the economy begins to rebound from a negative growth rate, and demand and production are both starting to increase.
- Companies stop shedding employees and start finding to meet the current level of demand. As a result, they are compelled to hire. As the months pass, the economy is once in expansion.
- The business cycle is important because investors attempt to concentrate their investments on those that are expected to do well at a certain time of the cycle.
- Government and the central bank also take action to establish a healthy economy. The government will increase expenditure and also take steps to increase production.
After the recovery phases, the economy again enters the expansion phase.
Safe heaven/Defensive Stocks - It maintains or anticipates its values over the crisis, then does well. We can even expect good returns in these asset classes. Ex. utilities, health care, consumer staples, etc. ("WE WILL DISCUSS MORE IN OUR UPCOMING ARTICLE DUE TO ARTICLE LENGTH.")
It's a depression condition for me that I couldn't complete my discussion after spending many days in writing this article. However, I will upload the second part of this article that will help investors and traders in real life. This article took me a long time to write. I'm not expecting likes or followers, but I hope you will read it.
Have a great day :)
@Money_Dictators
Why Grasim can blast a brief anaysis!!NSE:GRASIM is looking Good to enter if you want to invest in Nifty Infra for the upcoming weeks.
Even though volatility in the market has started to increase. It is stable and holding its levels Positively.
With every Swing in it, volatility is reducing & it can give huge returns in a shorter period.
One Can take Stop loss near the zone of 1760 (Tight SL) and 1700 as a (Loose SL)
Trade horizon can vary on movement of the stock, (Ideally 3-6 months)
I'll keep you updated here so make sure to follow for updates. and you can ask questions in the comments.
Follow for Such Ideas
'RESUME' the trend journey with a 'PAUSE' candleDefinition:- As the name suggests pause candle is the candle formed in between the trend, the change is usually opposite the trend
i.e. if the underlined script is moving in an uptrend then the pause candle will be of negative change and the color will be red and vice-versa.
The pause candle indicates a pause in fresh positions by market participants and an entry chance for players expecting reversals.
Also, it's an opportunity for new players to enter the trend i.e. for those who have missed the initial trend.
Rules or Characteristics of a pause candle:-
1. Prior candles should be aggressive i.e. large candles of the opposite color.
2. It is generally of very small size as compared to the previous one and of the opposite color.
3. Volume is considerably low as compared to previous candles.
4. The RSI level of the spot where this candle originates is usually between the band of 35-75.
The psychology behind the pause candle:- In the market everything has a cause and a reason similar pause candle also conveys its message to the market players.
The generation of the pause candle signifies that there is fatigue among the participants who were driving the stock or are taking some break.
Also, it alerts that new hands have entered into the trend and are trying to offer resistance. Those who are looking for reversals spot this candle and enter into
trade with the hope of reversals, they are generally weaker hands.
Bigger hands those who were the driving force of the trend also want the new player to enter the trend so that they hunt them down and resume the
rally at a lower price.
How to trade pause candle:- Now, as small players, we don't know what goes inside but try to predict the message through the candle. If a pause candle
is formed it doesn't mean the exhaustion of trend or reversal rather indicates a pause in fresh market position.
But, here the aggressive trader enters with trades opposite to the trend. At this stage, two cases arise, note talking for an uptrend:-
-> The next candle's high crosses above the high of the pause candle:
Maximum times this is the case that arises, here the candle after the pause candle crosses the high of the pause candle now what does this indicate?
The indication is that the trend drivers or bigger hands are active again and those who have taken a position against the trend are trapped and will
try to escape hence, the move will be much sharper as compared to the initial trend.
How to benefit in this case? When you spot such a pause candle that is formed after a continuous trend set it to alert candle and wait for the next candle
to form. If the next candle crosses the high of the pause candle take the position along the trend and your stop would be the low of the pause candle which is generally
too small and ride the sharper trend which is usually equal to the initial one.
-> The next candle's low crosses below the low of the pause candle:
Though not arises usually sometimes it does occur, here the candle after the pause candle crosses the high of the pause candle now what does this
indicate?
The indication is that the trend drivers or bigger hands are in the backseat and are not seeing further upside also there is a chance that they can book
profits at this level.
How to benefit in this case? When you spot such a pause candle that is formed after a continuous trend set it to alert candle and wait for the next candle
to form. If the next candle crosses below the low of the pause candle take the position against the trend and your stop would be the high of the pause candle which is generally
too small and ride the reversal trend which is usually half of the initial one. This case comes under the reversal candlestick patterns on which earlier an article was published
by me but here we are concerned about a pause candle after which rally resumes.
Here, is an example of a different scenario though it doesn't match the above said cases but still the background is of a pause candle.
HIL was trading above a rising trendline and suddenly breakdown the line after which we see continue 2-3 red candles following the candles a pause candle is
formed with all the above-discussed properties but rather than showing the sharp downfall it again forms a pause candle but note stop loss is not triggered.
Here 3-4 pause candles are formed and finally it breakdown all the low with a big red candle and then afterward we saw a huge, sharp downfall.
The motive to explain the above example was that though sometimes we don't see rapid action but if your stop is not triggered and the candles are with
the low volume then you can assure that a sharp move is pending and sooner or later it will happen.
Note: The only constraint is to identify the correct pause candle for which you can refer to the above-said rules are very important. Sometimes the candle after the pause candle
crosses both the high and low of the pause candle in that circumstance you have to check the color of the candle, for uptrend it should be green then you can
take the position else if it's red then wait for the next candle, and vice-versa for the downtrend.
Find a perfect Trend Line With this check listThere are many traders out there who trade trend lines. Mastering trend lines is not easy as it seems, with experience things changes with your perception about Trend Lines. What I learned from my experience is that it is important to find a trend line, but it is more important to filter it so that, we can trade only the potential opportunities. Here I do not say that those trades which we filter out will not work or we efficiently filter out those less profitable trades, because adding a filter in your system not only filter trades which are unprofitable but also filter out profitable trades.
You have to accept that you are leaving better for best.
So, what are the check points I follow to filter out Trend Lines,
1) Touches, I prefer more than three touches and I strictly follow it. See what happens with two touch the number of trades increases too much; I am not saying trend line with two touches does not work but that trend line cannot be of higher profit potential than 3 or four touches.
2) Distance between touches, it is stated that if touches have equal distance between them the trend line is considered as a good Trend Line, but i do not strictly apply if the touches are places at enough spacing and the distance between then approximately equal that it is a good Trend Line. I do check distances but not strict on it.
3) Apply your own logic, this is a very subjective thing, person to person it will vary. Every trader looks the same setup differently, setups will only work when his psychology matches with those setups otherwise it will not work. Build your own logic.
At last, I want to end this post by a quote I have in my mind.
"True Knowledge cannot be taught, it can only be caught."
Correlations between Nifty and DXY studyHello Friends, here we had shared just an observation on correlation between NIFTY and DXY which are clearly showing opposite directional runs from last couple of months, also we are assuming the wave counts on both, which are suggesting same patterns ahead along with good support by this correlation, this increases good chances of winning probabilities of our forecasting and analysis, this whole scenario helps in view building and analyzing charts.
I'll mention that this is for educational purpose only, and this is not for trading purpose . Thanks
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Divergence Cheat Sheet / Types of DivergenceWhat is divergence?
Divergence is a method used in technical analysis when the direction of a technical indicator, usually some form of oscillator ‘diverges’ from the overall price trend. In other words, the indicator starts moving in the opposite direction to the price and the trading oscillator signals a possible trend reversal.
Once divergence appears, there is a higher chance of a reversal, especially if divergence appears on a higher time frame.
Oscillator indicator for divergence patterns is Weis Wave Volume, macd, the RSI, CCI, or stochastic OBV.
Types of divergences
There are 4 types of divergence, which are broadly classified into two categories:
1) Regular or Classic Divergence
2) Hidden Divergence
With each of these two categories, you have a bullish or a bearish divergence. Therefore, the four types of divergences are summarized as:
1) Regular Bullish Divergence
2) Regular Bearish Divergence
3) Hidden Bullish Divergence
4) Hidden Bearish Divergence
Divergence patterns indicate that a reversal is coming soon and becoming more likely but this is not an instant change. The more divergence there is visible, the more likely a reversal does become. Here are some guidelines:
The entry can not be taken on the basis of divergence indicator alone.
It’s best if a trader mixes the divergence indicator pattern with their strategy.
Use Higher time Frames.
DCM- Descending Triangle PatternNSE:DCM 84.85
1. Descending Triangle Pattern formation
2. Breakout with strong two candlestick and volume
3. Next level to watch 90 and this is horizontal resistance and if price is able to break this level we will have fresh breakout
4. Support near 75 level.
#TechnicalAnalysiswithMrChartist
DABUR BREAKOUT RETEST ??Dabur India gives a super bullish move today and gives a strong breakout above strong resistance and closed above too but somehow I missed this move so what I am expecting now is that it will give a breakout retest on it's breakout zones of 580 levels so that could be good opportunity to enter in this stock with the target of 602 and 626 and the stop loss will be 567 the previous resistance hopefully this time it will act as a good support for this stock, One more possibility there is if it will retest breakout successfully so after it could come for test todays closing price after hitting the price of 602 that could be the good spot for second entry.. It is simple price action based idea once you will understand you will execute it better.
Long opportunity in SCHAND learning chart for begineersVery good Technical analysis learning chart for beginners
1. Schand is showing flag breakout retest an continuation pattern on daily TF.
2. 206 May act as major hurdle. If it crosses 206 with goo volume it may see 250 which is weekly resistance.
3. Volumes nees to be built up for uptren continuation.
4. short term traders must keep strict SL below 176.
Alerts: 3 reasons they can make you a better traderHey Everyone! 👋
We hope you’re enjoying Black Friday week and have helped yourself to some of the great discounts we are offering. We only do this once a year, so it really is the best time to get a plan!
Now, let’s jump into today’s topic: Alerts.
While alerts have a ton of potential applications when it comes to trading, they are often underutilized because it can take some time and ingenuity to build a system where they can work well. Let's take a look at some reasons why that investment is well worth it.
1. They can help build good habits 💪
Stop us if this sounds familiar: you hear an awesome investment story, and then immediately go out into the market and purchase the asset, with no plan in place.
While this can work, it’s not a great strategy for long-term success, because in reality, it can be extremely hard to sit in that position without a plan and trade it efficiently. You may choose to exit the position based on nothing more than momentary greed or fear, and moves like that can prevent consistency and long-term profitability.
Alerts are great because they can take out the guesswork of entering and exiting a position. Simply set alerts for the prices you would like, then place a trade if, and only if, the conditions are met. Then, let the market do its thing and let the probabilities work in your favor.
Alerts can turn the experience of trading from a constant search for ideas - and always feeling behind - into a relaxing job of waiting for your own pre-approved conditions to trigger before taking action. In short, alerts can make you much more well-prepared for the market’s ups and downs.
2. They increase freedom and reduce anxiety 🧘
There is a well-known maxim in trading and in life that states that negative emotions are felt twice as strongly as positive emotions. This factoid has lots of applications, but it can be especially useful to understand as a trader.
Consider the following investors:
- A dentist who checks quarterly reports from his brokerage
- A position trader who checks his positions once a month
- A swing trader who checks his positions once a week
- A Day trader who checks his positions once a day, if not more
Given the natural volatility that markets experience, which market participant is least likely to be mad or upset? The dentist. Why? Because he is receiving fewer data points from the market. Even world-class day traders are exposed to tens or hundreds of negative situations in their positions on a day-to-day basis as a result of volatility, which they cannot control. This level of negative stimulation can reduce mental health and trading effectiveness.
Alerts allow well-prepared traders with some edge to step back from the markets and allow the trades to come to them.
3. Our alerts don’t let anything fall through the cracks ✅
While the previous two points are benefits when it comes to price alerts, our alerts also step the game up considerably when it comes to user utility. Once you have setups that you like to trade, you can set alerts on trendlines, technical indicators, customizable scripts, and so much more, so you can ensure that your favorite setups aren’t being missed.
This can be as simple as a long-term investor setting RSI alerts on Dow 30 stocks, in order to buy dips in strong names, to as complex as an intraday futures spread scalper setting alerts for pricing inefficiencies within his top 40 contracts.
Our customizable alerts can really allow well-organized traders to capture every opportunity as they see it.
And there you have it! 3 reasons to take advantage of alerts, and all of the awesome benefits they bring.
Thanks for reading and stay well!
Love,
Team TradingView ❤️❤️
Do check us out on YouTube and Instagram for more awesome content!
BankniftyThe global market indicates a positive start. the market nature is neutral to slightly bullish. if the market breaks the previous day high, then we will expect a rally continuation. On the other hand, if the market breaks the previous day closing price, then we will expect the range-bond market to correction continuation.
Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not goodLet's break down the thought from the previous post in more detail. Obviously, to buy stocks, you have to have money, and if you are determined to become an investor, get ready to open your piggy bank. If you don't have savings, however, don't despair, there are other options.
I suggest you look at the following 4 options for acquiring the finances to buy stocks:
- Reduce your current expenses
- Sell unnecessary assets
- Increase your regular income
- And the option I don't recommend using at the start is to borrow.
I immediately stipulate that it is your, and only your responsibility how to apply the knowledge gained - to use something of the proposed or to go another way. I do not insist on anything. Rather, I am sharing information, but the decision is up to you in any case.
My opinion - always start with reducing your current costs, because the funds you save now give you a chance to increase your wealth in the future through investing. Make it a rule to plan your purchases in advance and buy only what is on your list. Don't go to the store without a list, otherwise you will buy more than you really need.
Next. Look at your possessions. Make a list of what you can sell without compromising your financial and mental well-being. Let what you don't need now serve to increase your wealth in the future.
Increasing your regular income is probably the most time-consuming but feasible way to accumulate funds for investment. Many people are often faced with the problem of choosing between a job they love where they don't earn enough and a job they hate with a higher income or, even worse, a job they hate with a paltry income. In the latter two cases, I recommend becoming an active user of services that will help you find the job you want (but don't act in haste, don't quit a job you don't like right away). Remember our goal is to keep and increase our income, not lose it altogether. In the case of a job you love and don't make much money, think about how you can increase your income in your current job. Sometimes all you have to do is make up your mind and ask your employer for it. Even a small increase will help you start saving. And if you have both a job you love and a desired level of income, I congratulate you, you are truly lucky.
Moving on. Borrowing for investments is the riskiest option. I highly do not recommend it, especially at the beginning of your investing journey. You definitely should not take a loan from a bank or other financial institutions. The credit rate will only increase your costs, and the need to repay the loan every month will break your entire investment strategy.
If family, friends or acquaintances are willing to lend you money long-term and without interest, think about whether your lender is aware of the risks and whether you are aware of the risks associated with investing in stocks, and whether this person will demand the money back before the agreed upon deadline. Even if you have agreed on everything, write down all of the terms of such a private loan on paper, so it is easier to resolve any disputes.
I always insist that the investment is conscious, that you understand and are ready to bear the responsibility and risks. So if you have even the slightest doubt about the borrowing option - don't take it! Consider another option. Ideally - work out a step-by-step plan and accumulate the necessary amount of money gradually.
Introduction to Volume profile If you have been in the market for some time, you may have heard of a study called the “Volume profile” . Today we are going to take a deeper look at volume profile, along with a few example strategies. This post will also lay the groundwork for future posts about more advanced volume profile topics.
Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading!
The post will shed some light on the following topics:
→ What is volume profile?
→ Difference between traditional volume indicator and volume profile
→ Volume profile terminology
→ Different types of volume profiles
→ Example strategy
👉 What is Volume profile?
Volume Profile is an advanced charting study that displays trading activity at specific price levels over a specified time period. On the chart, it plots a horizontal histogram to reveal significant price levels based on volume.
Volume Profile, in essence, takes the total volume traded at a specific price level during the specified time period and divides it into either buy volume or sell volume, making that information easily visible to the trader.
👉 Difference between volume profile and traditional volume indicator
The core difference between the traditional volume indicator and the volume profile is how they consider volume with respect to time and price.
The traditional volume indicator plots histograms at specific times, without giving any relevance to the price levels. On the other hand, the volume profile gives importance to price levels without emphasizing on the time scale.
👉 Volume profile terminology
■ Point of Control (POC) – The price level for the time period with the highest traded volume.
■ Profile High – The highest reached price level during the specified time period.
■ Profile Low – The lowest reached price level during the specified time period.
■ Value Area (VA) – The range of price levels in which a specified percentage of all volume was traded during the time period. Typically, this percentage is set to 70% however it is up to the trader’s discretion.
■ Value Area High (VAH) – The highest price level within the value area.
■ Value Area Low (VAL) – The lowest price level within the value area.
■ High Volume Nodes (HVN) – Peaks in volume around a price level.
■ Low Volume Nodes (HVN) – Valleys in volume around a price level.
👉 Different types of volume profiles
TradingView currently provides 5 types of volume profiles. These are:
1. Auto anchored - Specifies the anchor of the volume profile calculation, i.e. how often the volume profile recalculates and where it starts.
2. Fixed range - Builds a profile using the custom anchors provided by the user.
3. Periodic - Sets the period for which the indicator builds volume profile, one profile for each new period.
4. Session (Normal and HD) - SVP displays a profile for all the market action that occurs within a session. If set to "All" (default), the indicator will consider the pre-market, main trading session and post-market as one session.
5. Visible range - Builds a profile considering all the visible data on the screen.
Please note that the Volume Profile is a paid-only feature that can be accessed by subscribing to one of our paid plans. If you need to upgrade your account, be sure to check out our Black Friday sale . You can get up to 60% off on subscriptions.
Example strategy
Just like with most other tools or studies, Volume Profile has a number of uses. There are many trading strategies out there using Volume Profile as a key component. Below are the basics of one such strategy which is based on comparing the current day’s opening price to the previous day’s Volume Profile.
👉 If the current day opens above the previous day’s value area (but still below the Profile High)
A sample setup is to look for the price to retrace back toward the Point of Control and then proceed to rise (the direction of the day’s open). Therefore during the retracement to the Point of Control, there is a buying opportunity.
👉 If the current day opens below the previous day’s value area (but still above the Profile Low)
Some traders may look for price to retrace back towards the Point of Control and then proceed to fall (the direction of the day’s open). Therefore during the retracement to the Point of Control, there is a selling opportunity.
👉 If the current day’s opening price is completely outside of the previous day’s profile (above the Profile High or below the Profile Low)
In general, this is seen as a possible runner in the direction of the opening price relative to the previous day’s profile range but different traders may look at it differently.
Thanks for reading! As we mentioned before, this isn't trading advice, but rather information about a tool that many traders use. Hope this was helpful!
See you all next week. 🙂
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Noiseless charting method , Ranko , Complete analysis I have made efforts in Explaining long term and short term analysis
i have also made efforts in explaining how to identify the trend and stay with the trend irrelevant to news or any ongoing incidents
One can look for Googling the Methods on Trading ranko and get a grip before taking the decisions
Good luck
SAIL steel author India possible Elliot wave countsTrend indicator macd for SAIL is turned negative now on daily time frame, also with price closed below 20DMA along with follow up seen in today's session,
price retraced up to 50% Fibonacci level of recent fall and turned back towards south. Also, possible Elliot wave counts are suggesting correction is pending ahead, if our counts are going correct then price can unfold wave C of wave Y of wave 2, then we can assume for target of 50 where wave C would be equal to wave A, fingers crossed, on the way upside 88 is an invalidation level for current view.
Possible wave counts on daily chart
Retraced 50% of recent fall
Price closed below 20DMA with followed up
Weekly upper band pressuring down, once it close below 20WMA then more bearish
20WMA is now crucial support level, once it breaks then more bearish
MACD in daily negative crossover
RSI in daily is down tick and below 50
RSI in hourly is below 40
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
How to Study Price and Wave volume RelationshipHi 👋
In this post I would try to throw some light on the Price & Wave Volume relationship (popularized by late David Weis).
This method may help trades in two ways:
1️⃣Ride the trend
2️⃣Picking the end of a rally
I came across this chart randomly and found that there are a few principles that I can discuss with the help of this chart.
Before reading any further I want to disclose that this technique was not originally developed by me. However, different authors may have different interpretations when it comes to some techniques of discretionary trading. This is a small piece of what I have learnt as a big follower of price action trading.
I don’t want to go for bar by bar analysis here due to time and space constraints, so I have marked a few important places (as numbers in green rectangles) that are important and need to be discussed.
The numbers in white are the cumulative wave volume in crores. This means just keep on adding the volume of each up bar until there is a reversal. I have taken the reversal a 2points on closing basis. Which means I keep on adding the volume until the price closes 2points below the close of the previous bar. The opposite is true for down waves.
🚀 Point1
If you look at the upwave preceding the downwave at point1, it is the sharpest of the rallies from March 2020 lows (scroll back the chart a bit). Also wave volume is the highest (37cr) compared to 10,19 and 18cr on previous upwaves.
At point 1 there is 10cr volume on the downwave, which is the highest on any downwave in the rally from Mar2020 lows. This is an alarming signal that sellers are getting active. But this may not impress us to liquidate our trades as we need further evidence to confirm this weakness.
🚀 Point2
Here we have very high volume accompanied by the widest bar (in the rally) but closing in the middle. These three things confirm here that sellers have stepped in and the stock is weakening.
🚀 Point3
There is a rally back to the highs but this time with lesser volume (29cr compared to 37cr) than preceding rallies. This is our second confirmation that buyers are turning there back at this level, at least for now. This is a sure exit opportunity for investors who bought at the lows.
🚀 Point4
There was a sharp reaction with huge volume of 31cr and very wide bar, closing off of its lows. At this point there is still confusion that the trend has reversed or not. If it was a reversal then there would have been a follow through of 31cr volume on the downside but it is not so. For the next 3 days price sustained above the low of this wide downbar.
🚀 Point5
The sellers again tried to push to the stock down but look at the volume in this wave. Are you getting it now? Its just 13cr instead of 31cr on the last downwave. This infers here that seller are not interested. So if seller are not interested then what will happen? Buyers will take over.
🚀 Point6
The sellers tested the level of 1, 4 and 5 a few more times, buyers holds it and that develops a support. There was a very strong rally (compared to rallies in the last one year) back to the highs and volume is again 23cr which is lesser than volume at previous highs.
Lesser volume could have 2 interpretations – there are less sellers this time and/or buyers are not interested.
🚀 Point7
The stock is back to the support again. But volume on downwaves is much lesser in relative terms. In fact, it decreasing from 13 to 4 and then 2cr (see chart). Where have the sellers gone? They don’t want to sell at the support.
🚀 Point8
Lack of selling leads to buying and eventually to new highs. Notice that there in very less volume at point 8 (only 4cr). This time sellers attempt (5cr) was failed quickly (without hitting support) and new highs were made outside resistance (developed at 2, 3 and 6).
At this stage, when the price is closing outside the resistance, I would expect more volume to come in. More volume at this stage would indicate that buyers are interested but that is not the case here.
🚀 Point9
Point 8 looked like a failed breakout attempt. The price fell back into the trading range (between support and resistance). If I look at volume here, it is 15cr on this downwave. In the immediately preceding fall with 17cr it touched the bottom end of the range but this time with 15cr it is just at the middle of the range. This signifies re-accumulation at point 9.
🚀 Point10
Re-accumulation lead to a rally back into resistance. We have 13cr as of now. Its too early to say, before this upwave ends, but 13cr is less (for me at this point) to push it any further. It seems holding back in the range.
🚀🚀 Final thoughts
This is a very nice and rare example showing both distribution (by the seller at resistance level) and accumulation (by the buyers at support level). Normally the price peeps outside the range on both sides and fails to follow through, until there is a decisive break on either side.
I hope you learnt something new in this post.
Now you can do one thing, press 🚀 to encourage me to write more educational stuff.
Thanks for reading.
fibonacci reversal trade / falling parallel channel patternhindpetro : 209.20
trade set up :
1. buy range 208 to 210
2. stop loss 196 on closing basis
3. targets : 215/ 225 / 238 / 245 / 266+
technical setup :
1. midpoint parallel channel support trade
2. falling parallel channel
3. fibonacci 78.6% reversal
4. trend line support
5. value pick
6. support & resistance trade