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NIFTY 8% | 120 BANKNIFTY 6% | 95 NIFTY1! 4% | 55 BANKNIFTY1! 3% | 47
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INVERTED POLE FLAG IN AMBUJA CEMENT
AMBUJACEM
, 1DShort
AMBUJACEM: INVERTED POLE FLAG IN AMBUJA CEMENT
Updated 

SUMMARY -stock has created inverted pole flag pattern which is bearish -ultracemco results have been subdued -all cement stocks are taking a beating -ultracemco sets the bar -now the stock is a high beta -volatility is huge -will play the stock thru options -please wait for the stock to break and close below 500 -it will open up a move towards...

INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
BANKNIFTY1!
, 75
BANKNIFTY1!: INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE

GLOBAL MARKET UPDATE -us mkt rallied big time due to noise of 25 bps rate hike only from feb -fed voting members chance in tone -us bond yield and dollar index indicating the pivot is near -nasdaq outperformed rest of the indicies -china open play still active -its clear fpi investment in chineese stocks have increased -7 day holiday in china due to festive...

INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
NIFTY
, 1D
NIFTY: INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE

GLOBAL UPDATE -dollar index has fallen sharply below 103 level on the verge of testing 100 -s&p 500 breaking major bearish trendline in daily chart -ready to break above its 200-dma -nasdaq already rallied 1000 points from bottom -dow jone tested 200-dma and now moving forward on the verge of breaking swing high -china reopening play putting pressure on curde...

INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
NIFTY
, 30
NIFTY: INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE

GLOBAL UPDATE:- -all major market on friday rallied after us jobs data -remember jobs data was bad -but the important part was jobs created on lower wages -wages and average earnings have fallen down -plus the pmi data came negative -rising jobs+falling wages was cheered by the market -it indicates soft landing -so now looking the charts on friday of us mkt...

BANKNIFTY INVERTED PATTERN VISIBLE
BANKNIFTY1!
, 75Long
BANKNIFTY1!: BANKNIFTY INVERTED PATTERN VISIBLE

-index has seen inverted head and shoulder pattern in lower time frame -banknifty as discussed in index weekly update had made it clear -a move above 43550 will lead to major short covering and retest of previous all time high -trailing my buy with yesterday low as stop DISCLAIMER:- -please consult your financial advisor -this is not a recommendation -please...

BANKNFITY TECHNICAL WEEKLY UPDATE
BANKNIFTY1!
, 1D
BANKNIFTY1!: BANKNFITY TECHNICAL WEEKLY UPDATE

TECHNICAL VIEW -banknifty has relative strength as compared to nifty -index outperformed with 21% return in 2022 and is expected to continue -psu bank will be the value play -still have to catch with private banks -outperformance of small private banks (RBL,FEDERAL BK etc) will continue with psu banks -lending banks will continue to perform in rising interest...

NIFTY FIRST WEEKLY UPDATE OF THE YEAR
NIFTY1!
, 1D
NIFTY1!: NIFTY FIRST WEEKLY UPDATE OF THE YEAR

Dear members sorry for not posting analysis on regular basis in the second half of the year this new year i will try to change the habit and be regular in posting -will post in new format from here on -will have regular weekly update -will try to give out more positional and better risk-reward trades -global update on weekly basis LETS BEGIN THE YEAR...

INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
NIFTY1!
, 1D
NIFTY1!: INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE

GLOBAL UPDATE -go read the previous week analysis -you will get an idea we got 80% of the forecast right -we knew 75 bps were factored -what we did not know is that powell will destoy the slogan of fed pivot -we knew after the event was over market will resume the rally in indian market -wall street also made a smart recovery -european markets are not worth...

INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
NIFTY
, 1M
NIFTY: INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE

GLOBAL UPDATE -we had a discussion two weeks ago in our small community -we discussed that usa market may have bottomed out with 75 bps rate hike factored in nov -the reason being that markets in usa usally bottom out six months ahead of fed pivot -market has now factored in the worst -mid-term election coming up in the america -dollar index negative...

INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
BANKNIFTY
, 1D
BANKNIFTY: INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE

GLOBAL UPDATE -DXY again back@113 -DOLLAR/INR is above 82.8 might open above 83 -watchout out for european bond market -geopolitical situation is worsening -crude oil price rising again after opec meet -wall street trading near 52k-week low THINGS TO WATCH THIS WEEK -the week again we have "cpi" on thursday -we have fed minutes on wednesday but will have...

NIFTY AND BANKNIFTY WEEKLY UPDATE
NIFTY1!
, 1D
NIFTY1!: NIFTY AND BANKNIFTY WEEKLY UPDATE

GLOBAL UDPATE -s&p 500 near a crucial junction now -near its 200-wma -lehmann brother like collapse in credit suisse and deustche bank doing the rounds -market hitting peak pessimism -record shorts in american markets -usaully in s&p 500 a dip below 200-wma is bought heavily -emergency fed meet(rumors doing the round) and lot of fed speakers lined up -in...

NIFTY CRUCIAL UPDATE (must read)
NIFTY1!
, 1D
NIFTY1!: NIFTY CRUCIAL UPDATE (must read)
Updated 

-us market near 200-wma -spy has also broken previous low -in previous update i had indicated dollar index is crucial for us -if dxy broke 110 we will move towards dot.com crash level of 120 (2000-01) -us mkt is in complete bear grip INDIAN MARKET UPDATE -the term decoupling was used by me for the first time in june -today it is visible that we are now...

INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
NIFTY
, 1D
NIFTY: INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
Updated 

1)GLOBAL UPDATE -American markets are in focus globally -bearish trendline breakdown in weekly chart -bearish engulfing on weekly chart -fed meet on wednesday -80% have factored 75 bps rate hike -20% now are factoring 100 bps rate hike -wall street is preparing itself for the volatility -major central banks are seeing pressure and are raising rate WHAT TO...

NIFTY INDEX INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN
NIFTY
, 120Long
NIFTY: NIFTY INDEX INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER PATTERN
Updated 

SUMMARY:- -on 2 hourly chart the index has made an inverted pattern -today is expiry so move can be wild -we had discussed to re-enter in nifty above 17780 -on if we close above 177780 -good pattern if breaks opens up probability of a move towards 18100 -fii net long exposure is low -dxy reverted and has negative divergence on daily chart and weekly chart...

SBIN WEEKLY RECTANGE BREAKOUT POSSIBLE
SBIN
, 1WLong
SBIN: SBIN WEEKLY RECTANGE BREAKOUT POSSIBLE
Updated 

SUMMARY -look at the week chart of sbin -once a weekly close above 550 is achieved -positional trade opens up for 600-620-650 zone -banknifty breakout and will test new all-time high -diwali target again in sbin 620-650 -will update target -540 call option oi has seen 1.5m in short-covering -base is shifting higher DISCLAIMER *my views are not trade...

INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
NIFTY
, 1D
NIFTY: INDEX WEEKLY UPDATE
Updated 

*GLOBAL UPDATE -wall street had a great week -we have a bullish engulfing pattern on weekly chart -a clear ascending triangle pattern can be seen in weekly and daily chart -although the current move can be seen as a short-squeeze -the rally in usa market was lead by weakened dollar and fall in crude oil prices -we had discussed it last time that we have...

NIFTY AND BANKNIFTY WEEKLY UPDATE
NIFTY
, 1DLong
NIFTY: NIFTY AND BANKNIFTY WEEKLY UPDATE

!!good morning members!! -back with a weekly update global observation -dollar index above 110 which is bad -we have discussed this higher the dollar index fii will pull money -but the daily chart in dollar index is showing negative divergence -which indicates a top in dollar index is near USA MARKET UPDATE -index...

BANKNIFTY POSSIBLE FLAG PATTERN BREAKOUT ON THE CARDS
BANKNIFTY
, 1D
BANKNIFTY: BANKNIFTY POSSIBLE FLAG PATTERN BREAKOUT ON THE CARDS
Updated 

SUMMARY -the index is giving a very bullish signal on daily chart -a possible bullish flag breakout -after the bloodbath on wall street indian markets have recovered nicely -if pattern breaks one can initiate a positional trade on banknifty index -the view is till diwali so planning is important -ideal scenario is to go long in banknifty above 39500 some of...

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