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Gap up / gap down intraday strategy with simple entry / exitI get queries from a lot of people who don't want to study technical analysis much. They're just focused on getting a predefined trading strategy, which they can use effectively in the market without looking much at the charts . So, in this video, I share a strategy which has been given really good results and it works a lot of times and I believe the probability of this particular strategy is close to around 65 to 70%. It has simple entry and exit rules, and you can only apply this particular strategy when the market opens gap up or gap down. See, whenever the market opens gap up or gap down, there is high volatile period of the market during the beginning half an hour or an hour. And in that period of time,if you place a trade, then you have a good probability if market moves as per expectation. As you can see these days, nifty and back nifty have been creating gap up and gap down opening almost on a daily basis. In this case, the first rule is that if the market opens gap up by more than half a percent. So for example, if bank nifty opens gap up by more then 200 points. , then only you can apply this strategy. And on the other hand, if nifty opens gap up or gap down by more than 50 or 60 points, then only you should think of applying this particular strategy. Small gaps do not count in this strategy. So if bank nifty gaps down or gaps up by only 50- 60 points, then avoid this strategy altogether. See, whenever the market is opening gap up or gap down, there are two possibilities. The market might continue the current trend. For example, if the market opens gap up, the chances are that the market might move higher, or the other possibility is that the market might go sideways the whole day. So ,in this case, whenever you see the market opening gap up or gap down by more than half a percent, just have to follow this simple procedure. Just plot the 15 minute chart with a 20 exponential moving average. Why 20 exponential moving average because the market usually gets good support and resistance around the 20 moving average. You can expect the market to stall around the moving average for a lot of times if you take a trade. So ,you just have to plot the 15 minute chart, and if the market gaps up or gaps down, you just have to watch the first 15 minute candle. So if the market opens gap up and it forms a bullish candle. Then , what you can do is you can sell puts if price breaks the first 15M candle high. You can sell puts with the stop loss at the low of the candle. If the market comes below the low of the candlestick the first 15 minute bar, then you exit your position and book the loss. Why sell puts? The idea behind selling puts is that during the first 15-30 minutes, the volatility is on a very higher side during that period. And if at that point of time you start to sell options, then with the passage of time, as the market starts to move sideways, the volatility reduces. And, what occurs is a concept called IV Crush. The volatility starts to reduce very quickly and that will give you a benefit if you sell a put, even if the market goes sideways. So for example, the market formed a very big bullish candle, and the criteria is if it crosses the high of the candle ,sell puts . So, the whole day, if the market is moving sideways/upwards , the volatility crush will start to happen. And with the passage of time, you'll start to see the benefit of the IV Crush and the time decay. So this is a very handy strategy which you can apply. Always remember, keep the stop loss below of the first 15M candle. It's a very effective technique, and it's based upon gap openings. And ,the first 15 minutes usually tell us who is on the stronger side, who's winning , buyers or sellers. So make sure the gap is big and whatever bar is being formed in the first 15 minutes. If the bar is bullish, you sell a put If the price crosses the high of that candle stick, and stop plus below the low of that candlestick. It's an effective rule based strategy and you can back test it on nifty and bank nifty. And you can also check its reliability, its effectiveness, you can also add this particular strategy in your tool kit. So I hope this strategy will provide some sort of value to you in your trading. And if you find the video helpful, don't forget to like this and share it and also comment your thoughts. Thank you very much and take care.
Editors' picks
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
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UPL - Multi time frame AnalysisPlan A : Price is still below the trend line resistance and sustaining 688 - 692 will make the price to move towards 696,702. Plan B : Near by resistance 700 - 704. Price should sustain this zone to move to 710, 716 and 722. Plan C : If price shows bearish strength below 686 - 690, then price will move to 682,677, 672 and 666. Note : Understand the trend strength before taking any trade. If you are bullish look for bullish strengh and if you are bearish look for bearish strength. Dont change your view with each candle.
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NSE:UPL
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Adding Custom Watchlists in TradingViewHi This is my first video idea on this website and this is about adding watchlists. I have tried to keep things raw and simple so that everybody understands it. There might be some other methods, of course, for this purpose but this is the one that I prefer to use. This method works in India and I have taken reference lists from the NSE India website. Excuse me about the background noise if any. I hope it will be useful for some users.
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NSE:NIFTYEducation
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Why is Closing Price important? Why do I prefer taking trades at 3:25 p.m.? Most stock prices rise significantly after 3:25 or fall just before 3:25, forcing us to enter at a lower price. Second, we simply want to be as close to the closing price as possible because many intraday positions are squared off at 3:20 p.m. and the price remains somewhat volatile for the next 5 minutes. In my opinion, the most accurate price is at 3:25 pm, which is reflected in the stocks as well, as most of them close at or near the price at 3:25 pm. Until trading resumes on the following trading day, the closing price is considered the most accurate valuation of a stock or other security. There is a widely held belief that amateurs always open the market and professionals always close it. Opening prices can be influenced by a variety of factors, including global news, gap ups and downs, economic news, and so on. Furthermore, there is always a larger player than you working in the markets alongside you. By "bigger players," I mean people with a lot of money, also known as institutional investors or "smart money." They trade between 9:15 a.m. and 3:30 p.m., the same time as you. They face the same risk when dealing with billions of shares as you do when dealing with a single share. At night, anything can happen. He is basing his holdings on the day's closing price. As a result, it is the most important price. They are certain that it will not result in a gap the following day. The primary goal of looking at the closing price is to ignore intraday price movement because it allows us to avoid tracking the market for the entire day, make fewer but higher quality decisions, enforce discipline, and reduce the likelihood of false breakouts. There are numerous examples of the market trading in the positive all day but then dipping into the negative at the end. When such movements occur, it indicates that professional money is at work at the time. In most cases, they are probably better at predicting future events than most people, so they are relying on the closing price of their holdings. When looking at breakouts, we do not consider it very significant if the stock crosses above a certain level and then returns to the previous level. There are numerous intraday breakouts occurring in the markets, and tracking them is, in my opinion, a futile exercise because it is difficult to predict whether they will hold or not. As only a few people can spot a breakout in live markets, the closing price is the earliest option to enter a trade. 90% of traders will begin researching the stock after the market closes, putting you ahead of the competition and allowing you to capitalise on gap-up opportunities. It aids in determining whether or not the trend is sustainable. As a result, as you'll see, most of the charts are plotted solely on the closing price, implying that people's attention is drawn once the price closes above a certain level.
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