URJA a worthy penny stock??? detailed analysis - education only!short term speculative trade? - educational purpose
in the past the stock after touching longterm trendline bounces significantly
personally I'm allocation 1-2.5% of my total capital into this speculative trade with 50%+ sl
Momentum in Fundamentals:
FY24 saw total revenue grow from ₹39.58 Cr in FY23 to ₹44.47 Cr (+12.4%), and PBT rise 43.9% to ₹2.85 Cr. Net profit jumped 33.3% to ₹2.04 Cr.
On a nine-month basis (ending December 2023), net profit improved to ₹2.38 Cr from ₹1.89 Cr year-on-year. Margins (PATM) also increased to 7.49% from 6.41%.
Recent Quarterly Jump: In Q3 FY25, revenue surged to ₹14.35 Cr compared to ₹1.16 Cr the previous year. While net profit fell from ₹0.98 Cr to ₹0.36 Cr, the revenue growth was significant. Importantly, this spike triggered a 5% upper-circuit move in the stock.
ROE & ROCE Trends:Urja Global's Return on Equity (ROE) and Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) have been improving over the past two years—indicating increasing efficiency.
Low Leverage: The company maintains low debt and has zero promoter pledge, implying a cleaner balance sheet and lower financial risk relative to highly leveraged peers.
Stock Performance History:
Despite high valuations, its stock has delivered remarkable returns—~175% over one year and ~735% over five years (as of May 2024).
Community ideas
Market Breadth Breakout – Tracking NSE MomentumThis TradingView chart analyzes the NSE Index with a focus on market breadth, highlighting the percentage of stocks above their moving averages. The chart showcases a recent breakout above key breadth levels (44.0 and 50.0), signaling improving momentum and a potential trend reversal. Visual trendlines track advancing participation, offering insight into market strength and possible continuation if breadth values sustain above these thresholds. This setup helps traders identify early signs of bullish sentiment before price confirmation.
Nifty - Multi time frame analysis Sep 9Today, the price did not gain strength and moved in the range of 24700 to 24900. And 25000 is a psychological level. This type of nearby support/resistance can give choppy movement unless the price shows strength from the opening.
Support levels are 24500, 24600. Resistance levels are 24900, 25000.
We can buy if the price opens at support with bullish strength.
If the opening is flat, buy above 24820 with the stop loss of 24770 for the targets 24860, 24920, 24980, 25020, and 25080.
Sell below 24680 with the stop loss of 24730 for the targets 24640, 24600, 24540, 24500, 24460 and 24420.
As per the daily chart, the price is moving in a range, and it also has nearby trendline resistance.
Strong movement can happen if the trend line is taken with strength.
As per the hour chart, if the price does not gain strength when breaking the range it has formed today, then the expiry will be in range.
Expected expiry day range is 24400 to 24900.
Bullish Iron Condor on Nifty (30th September 2025 expiry)Hello Traders!
Just like we shared the August Iron Condor setup, here comes the fresh plan for September expiry.
Nifty is trading around 24,840 and we are witnessing a defined range between 23,750 – 25,500.
Such ranges are perfect for premium eating strategies like the Iron Condor, where time decay works in our favour as long as the index stays inside the zone.
So here’s the September plan:
Position Details
Sell 2 lots 24,700 PE @ 140.30
Buy 2 lots 24,400 PE @ 71.60
Sell 2 lots 25,500 CE @ 53.95
Buy 2 lots 25,750 CE @ 22.95
We expect Nifty to consolidate between 23,750 – 25,500 as per our technical chart analysis .
200-DEMA is acting as dynamic support
Strong resistance capped near 25,500 – 26,270
Until a breakout happens on either side, premium sellers can stay in control
This Iron Condor gives us a balanced risk-reward setup and benefits from time decay while keeping risk well-defined.
Why I Like This Setup:
Limited loss , defined by hedge positions
High probability of success as long as Nifty remains in the range
Best suited for traders focusing on consistent income from option writing
Rahul’s Tip 👉 Discipline in trade management is always more important than the setup itself.
For income-based option strategies, always check for:
Key events and news (policy, RBI, FED, budgets, etc.)
Breakout signals beyond short strikes
Quick exit or adjustment if market moves out of range
Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only . Please manage your risk and position sizing wisely.
Avoid large quantities at once – it’s always better to scale in gradually once the range confirms.
COALINDIA-buy for 10 % move bullish points visible on Coal India Ltd (NSE: COALINDIA) 4H chart:
1. Breakout and Retest
Price broke out above a consolidation zone (marked as 1. breakout).
It later came back and successfully retested the breakout level (point 2), confirming it as support.
2. Positive Divergence
The RSI shows higher lows while price made equal/lower lows (point 3).
This indicates bullish divergence → momentum is shifting upward despite price weakness.
3. Moving Average Signals
Inside bar above 18 EMA (point 4): This shows strength and trend continuation potential.
Price action is currently defending the 200 EMA (point 6), meaning the long-term trend support is holding.
4. Bullish Candlestick Patterns
Bullish engulfing bar (point 5): A strong reversal candle pattern after consolidation.
Inside bar breakout above EMA: Suggests accumulation before an upward push.
5. Flag Pattern
After the bullish engulfing bar, price formed a flag pattern near the 200 EMA (point 6).
Flags are typically continuation patterns, suggesting further upside.
6. Volume Support
On the retest and engulfing bar, volumes are elevated, confirming genuine buying interest.
✅ Summary:
Breakout + successful retests
Positive divergence
Bullish engulfing + inside bar above EMA
Price holding above 200 EMA with a flag pattern
All these are strong bullish confluences pointing to potential continuation toward the marked target zone (~₹429).
VIPIND UPMOVE Classic Elliott wave VIPIND UPMOVE Classic Elliott wave
Idealised Elliott wave in progression Wave 4 completed, 5th wave projected target between 540 to 630 price.
This analysis holds valid till price does not fall below price 400, else the move will be considered as corrective rise ABC with 5-3-5 wave formation, further correction will come prices will fall.
Let's wait and watch.
Trade with due deligence.
Astral Ltd – Trendline Breakout & Upside TargetsAstral Ltd has broken out of a long-term falling trendline, indicating a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Price is trading above the safe entry level of ₹1,453 and holding strong. Sustaining above ₹1,514 may confirm further upside targets.
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
Pattern: Downtrend Breakout
Safe Entry: Above ₹1,453
Stay Invested Above: ₹1,514
Resistance turned Support: ₹1,590
Volume strength will be key for confirmation
🎯 Upside Target Levels:
Target 1: ₹1,662
Target 2: ₹1,724
Target 3 (Reversal Zone): ₹1,770 – ₹1,812
Swing Target: ₹1,949
⚠️ Downside Risk Levels (if breakout fails):
₹1,411
₹1,369
₹1,316
₹1,234
📈 Strategy Outlook:
A positional buying opportunity emerges above the breakout zone. Traders may consider entering above ₹1,453 with a stop-loss below ₹1,411. Holding above ₹1,514 adds confidence for higher upside targets.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Do your own research before trading or investing.
Motherson Sumi Wiring - Double Bottom & Head & Shoulder PatternMotherson Sumi Wiring is looking for a 50% jump from current price. Following are the factors:
Technical Analysis:
1. On weekly time frame, it is making a Double Bottom Pattern
2. On Weekly time frame it is making a Head & Shoulder Pattern
3. A confluence point along with strong weekly candle will take this price upwards
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Strong player in harness wiring
2. Supplying in top 10 automobile models - auto sector is in strong uptrend
3. New factories - Haryana, Pune and Gujarat - already clocked 200cr from these green field projects
A must in your portfolio.
Keep following @Cleaneasycharts as we provide "Right Stocks at Right Time at Right Price"
Cheers!!
G Power – Weekly Breakout with Gap-Up and Strong VolumeTechnical View:
Stock has given a decisive breakout on the weekly chart, accompanied by a gap-up opening, which adds conviction.
Volume spike indicates strong institutional demand backing the move.
Relative strength vs Nifty has turned positive, showing clear outperformance compared to the broader market.
The chart also shows a rounded base formation before the breakout, signaling accumulation.
Immediate support zone can be considered around ₹610 (stop-loss reference), while sustaining above ₹700–720 keeps momentum intact.
Market Context:
Power and industrial stocks are seeing strong inflows as capex and infrastructure cycles accelerate in India.
CG Power’s strong breakout highlights it as one of the sector leaders to watch.
Conclusion:
CG Power is displaying technical strength with volume confirmation. If momentum sustains, the stock has potential to deliver strong returns in the medium term.
Welspun Living – Bullish Reversal | Swing Trade SetupWelspun Living (NSE: WELSPUNLIV) is showing a potential bullish reversal after bouncing off a long-term descending trendline support. This level has previously triggered strong upward swings.
The chart also shows a bullish RSI divergence, indicating waning selling momentum. A breakout above immediate resistance (~₹115–₹117) could lead to a swing move towards ₹125–₹130.
Key support lies at ₹105. Watch for volume confirmation and RSI strength for entry validation. 📈
Please note : This chart reflects my analysis only—not a trading recommendation. Always conduct your own research before acting and consider your risk tolerance. You’re responsible for your own investment decisions.
KEC International: Bullish Structure with StrengthSince April 7th, the price structure of KEC International has demonstrated a notable bullish trend reversal, characterized by the formation of higher highs and higher lows along an ascending trendline. This pattern is often interpreted by technical analysts as a sign of strengthening upward momentum.
A recent Fibonacci retracement, drawn from the swing low to the swing high of the current rally, revealed a pullback to the 38.2% level—a zone commonly viewed as a potential support area within a prevailing uptrend. The stock responded positively to this level, rebounding and subsequently closing above the 61.8% retracement level, which is another key technical threshold.
Interestingly, the price has retested the 61.8% level and held firm, suggesting that this area may be acting as a support base. Additionally, the stock has managed to close above its 200-day EMA, a long-term trend indicator that many market participants use to assess broader directional bias. A sustained position above the 200 EMA is generally considered constructive from a trend-following perspective.
From a structural standpoint, based on current chart dynamics, the next potential resistance zone appears to be near ₹948, while the suggested support level is around ₹780 . These levels are derived from historical price action and technical confluence zones, and may serve as reference points for monitoring future price behaviour.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Market conditions are subject to change, and trading decisions should be made based on individual research, risk assessment, and consultation with a licensed financial advisor.
Greaves Cotton (Daily Timeframe) - Will it BreakOut or Not?Greaves Cotton since it's Double-Top formation has been in a downtrend. A key support level has become a resistance zone, which it's been trying to BreakOut few times. The stock has been forming Higher Lows for a while now. Few attempts to BreakOut has been futile. The recent BreakOut attempts been with huge volume spikes. Short-term EMAs are in positive cross-over state.
If it's able to BreakOut then the possible upside target is around 244. If not, we can expect the stock to go down to 198 levels.
Keep monitoring.
Premier Explosives Limited (NSE: PREMIER) Analysis -1WWeekly Chart Analysis
✅ Support Zone: Strong base around ₹388–400 held well with a liquidity sweep.
📈 Rising Volumes: Indicating accumulation and strong buying interest.
🔻 Downtrend Line: Stock approaching breakout zone near ₹632–635.
📌 Entry Zone: Around ₹517–525 (current levels).
⛔ Stoploss: ₹388 (below liquidity sweep & support).
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: ₹635 (trendline breakout + resistance zone)
Target 2: ₹895 (major upside potential once breakout sustains)
⚖️ Risk-Reward: Favorable setup with strong upside vs limited downside.
📌 Trading Plan
Enter near current levels or on dips to ₹510–520.
Keep SL at ₹388 (weekly closing basis).
First profit booking at ₹635, ride further towards ₹895 if momentum sustains.
#PremierExplosives #SwingTrade #WeeklyChart #BreakoutSetup #VolumeAnalysis #TrendlineBreak #LongSetup #RiskReward #NSEStocks #TradingView
POLYCABThis analysis is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.
Polycab is showing gradual bullish momentum, supported by a trendline reversal and trading above a key support level. The stock is currently in a minor consolidation phase, which may signal accumulation before a potential breakout.
Given the technical setup, there's a high probability of continued upward movement. However, to manage risk effectively, it's essential to use a stop-loss strategy.
Dixon Inverted HnSDixon Technologies is making a inverted Head n shoulder in the daily timeframe.
One can look for taking an entry at the retest of 17300-17320. Support can be considered at todays low. Keep a Check on the Chart and you will get to see how a head n shoulder is made.
Usually the Support for a HnS is right shoulder low so mid term traders can consider that level.
Follow for such more Analysis.
Jai Shree Ram.
VIPIND Price ActionVIP Industries is trading around ₹420 at the end of August 2025, showing relative stability despite recent operational headwinds. The company reported a decline in both revenue and profitability for the June quarter, with net sales falling to approximately ₹561 crore and a posted net loss of about ₹13 crore. This downturn was influenced by weaker demand, one-off costs, and significant de-growth in certain sales channels, though management indicated structural efforts and cost controls limited the impact on margins.
The stock’s price-to-book ratio remains elevated at over 9, and the company is not currently paying dividends, focusing resources on supporting its brand and operations. Despite these challenges, VIP Industries continues to maintain a strong brand presence and an extensive market reach in the luggage segment. Its market capitalization stands near ₹6,000 crore, and the stock is trading at about 9.2 times book value, reflecting modest investor optimism about a potential business recovery.
Technically, the share price is consolidating well above the yearly low but remains below the 52-week high, with trading volumes indicating ongoing investor interest. Near-term performance will depend on management’s success in reviving e-commerce channels, sustaining cost discipline, and capitalizing on a potential pickup in travel-related demand. The company’s medium-term outlook remains cautious but could improve if growth resumes and operating performance stabilizes.
Garuda Construction – Cup & Handle Breakout | Swing Trade PlanGaruda Construction has given a textbook Cup & Handle breakout backed by strong volume and solid fundamentals.
Technical Analysis
A Cup & Handle pattern has formed with a neckline breakout above ₹200.
Stock closed strongly at ₹216.33 (+9.66%) with massive volume (7.5M vs 3.1M avg) - confirms institutional buying.
Price is trading above 20 EMA (₹200) and 50 EMA (₹188) → strong uptrend.
Weekly timeframe also shows a fresh breakout, adding higher timeframe confluence.
Structure remains bullish as long as it holds above ₹200 demand zone.
Fundamental key area
Construction & Engineering segment seeing strong order inflows, aiding medium-term growth. Strong QoQ Growth: Latest quarter (Jun-25) revenue jumped 55% to ₹125 Cr.
ROE ~29%, OPM ~29% → excellent efficiency.
Balance Sheet: Debt levels appear very low, improving stability.
Valuation: Mid-cap with growth momentum, attractive vs large-cap peers.
Swing Trade Plan
Entry Zone: ₹212–216
Stop Loss: ₹198 (below neckline + demand zone)
Targets:
T1: ₹225 (early booking)
T2: ₹240 (swing continuation)
T3: ₹260 (Cup & Handle measured move)
Risk–Reward: Up to 1:2.4
Note: This is an educational swing trade analysis based on price action + fundamentals. Not financial advice — do your own due diligence before trading.
Support and Resistance Concept- Bank NiftyThis article concentrates on Support and resistance concept from investment perspective with Bank Nifty monthly chart example.
Let us first understand a few things:
⚪ In simple terms, a resistance is a level from where price rejects significantly because sellers dominated buyers. Contrastingly, support is a level from where price bounces significantly because buyers dominated sellers.
⚪ Secondly, when price breaks out of resistance, it usually pulls back, and the same resistance zone starts acting as support. The opposite is true for support, once broken it starts acting as resistance as the price pulls back into it. This happens due to several reasons of demand and supply and trader psychology which I am not going to discuss here, may be later in some other article.
Keeping in mind these two simple basic concepts, let’s discuss Bank Nifty chart.
➞ Price creates a significant resistance in Jan 15. It took two years for the market to break out of this resistance again. Now we assume that when the price will pull back to this level in future, it will act as support- the role reversal. So, price creates another significant resistance in Dec 19 and fall sharply to Jan 15 highs in Mar 20. The price was held at this level offering a juicy investment opportunity.
➞ Now we have Dec 19 highs as significant resistance and we assume that when the price breaks out of this level and pulls back, that level will act as support. Price creates another significant level in Oct 21 and retraces back to Dec 19 highs and took support to resume higher.
➞ Same behavior can be seen in Mar 23, Oct 23, Jan 24 and Jan 25 retests of previous resistance zones.
⚪ We can infer from this behavior that the trend resumes higher and market creates a new high each time the price tests previous resistance.
⚪ Also, the trend continues as long as the previous support level (swing low) is not broken.
➞ In this backdrop, as the market is pulling back and approaching a previous resistance level (53000 or so), we can assume that it may again act as support and the market resumes higher after a successful retest.
⚪ However, we should never ever go for blind buys and wait for the buyers to actually show up on lower timeframes like weekly or daily charts. Its best to patiently wait and then react rather than pulling the trigger in hope.
⚪ Fyi, I have drawn the horizontal support and resistance lines from the highest closes of the swing highs (and not from the wick tops). My experience with support and resistance says that this is a more reliable way to play with support and resistance.
I hope you learnt something from this analysis.
Do boost and comment to encourage for more writeups in coming days.
Liquidity Grab Completed – Bulls Back in Control?Liquidity Grab Completed – Bulls Back in Control?
Key Technical Insights:
Resistance Rejection: Price sharply rejected the 120K – 123K resistance zone, confirming this area as a key supply level.
Bearish Liquidity Flow: After rejection, BTC flowed within a descending liquidity channel, continuously taking out internal supports before finding a base.
Previous Support → Liquidity Sweep: Around 108K, price executed a strong liquidity sweep, triggering stop hunts below prior support, then showing a bullish reaction.
Market Structure Shift Incoming: The sweep suggests a potential accumulation phase, where institutions collect orders before pushing price higher.
Upside Targets: If price holds above the reclaimed support at 112K, bullish momentum could aim for 116K – 118K in the near term ⭐.
⚠️ Risk Consideration: A failure to sustain above 108K would invalidate the bullish outlook, opening room for deeper downside.
📌 Summary:
BTCUSD is transitioning from a liquidity-driven decline into a possible reversal phase. The liquidity sweep at 108K could mark the start of a bullish leg if structure confirms with higher highs. Traders should monitor 112K as the short-term pivot point.
ENDURANCE TECH LOOKS GREATThe stock has been forming an cup and handle pattern lately.
It has a good consolidation of more than one year , the fundamentals are flourishing as well making it a perfect pick for a quick gains
The 2987 level acts as a crucial resistance for the stock , upon breaching that the stock can give more than 40% returns
hindalco bearish biashindalco on daily frame is on a major resistance level and has also reacted postively to the resistance by rejecting upward movemnt.
hindalco also made a double top pattern on 4hours timeframe
hindalco news is postive but not reacted much , i would suggest wait and watch this any further downaward price movemnt, you can go for short
GOLD(XAUUSD) Forming a pennant / ascending triangle 📌 Gold (XAUUSD)
Forming a pennant / ascending triangle with strong resistance near $3,390 – 3,400.
Volume is declining, suggesting indecision.
RSI holding above 50 but not powering higher → momentum is slowing.
MACD flatlining, no fresh bullish impulse yet.
👉 Breakout above $3,400 needed for continuation. Breakdown below $3,340 risks correction.
Weekly High Turns Support: Can Gold Push Higher?We have seen a good momentum / continuation since Friday’s sharp rally and is now holding firm above the previous week’s high at 3378, turning it into immediate support. The weekly pivot at 3353 adds another solid support layer below, while the rising trendline support is keeping the bullish structure intact. As long as these levels hold, buyers seem in control, and the price action suggests that bulls are not ready to give up recent gains.
On the upside, the next hurdle is around the 3400–3410 zone, which could act as near-term resistance. For sellers, any breakdown below the pivot (3353) would be a high-probability setup for downside pressure, while a break below the trendline would be a lower-probability but still valid bearish signal. Until then, the path of least resistance remains tilted to the upside with steady bullish momentum.






















