Emotions vs. Logic: The Biggest Battle in Trading!Hello Traders!
In today’s post, let’s talk about one of the biggest battles every trader faces— Emotions vs. Logic . As traders, we often struggle between the two: the emotional side that wants to act impulsively and the logical side that urges patience and strategy. Let’s dive into why this battle exists and how to navigate it effectively.
The Role of Emotions in Trading:
Fear: Fear can make you exit a position too early, causing you to miss out on profits, or even worse, not enter a trade at all because you’re scared of losses.
Greed: Greed can make you hold on to a position longer than necessary, hoping for more profit, but ultimately leading to larger losses when the market turns.
Overconfidence: After a few successful trades, overconfidence can make you take larger risks without proper risk management, increasing the chances of significant losses.
The Role of Logic in Trading:
Strategy: Logic allows you to trade based on a well-thought-out strategy , which includes entry and exit points, stop losses, and profit targets.
Discipline: A logical approach requires following the trading plan without getting swayed by temporary market fluctuations.
Risk Management: Logic always keeps risk in check, ensuring that you don't take trades that go beyond your risk tolerance.
Balancing Emotions with Logic:
Understand Your Emotions: The first step is to back off and acknowledge your emotions. Are you acting out of fear, greed, or excitement? Understanding this can prevent you from making impulsive decisions.
Stick to the Plan: Once you have a clear strategy, trust the logic behind it. Emotions will try to cloud your judgment, but discipline and sticking to the plan will keep you on track.
Take Breaks: If you find yourself overwhelmed by emotions, take a break and step away from the screen. Giving yourself space will help you make logical decisions when you return.
Key Takeaways:
Emotions are natural but must be managed to avoid impulsive decisions.
Logic and strategy should guide your trades, ensuring consistency and discipline.
The balance between emotions and logic is the key to becoming a successful trader.
Conclusion:
The battle between emotions and logic is real, but understanding how to manage both is crucial for your trading success. Trust in your strategy, stick to your plan, and manage your emotions effectively to become a more disciplined and successful trader.
Educationalpost
BLUEPRINT to a SUCCESSFUL TRADERIf you want to go from Delhi to Mumbai, there are many stations that come in between. Just like that, a trader has to pass through several stages before achieving success. Knowing which stage you’re in is crucial—it helps you stay on track, avoid frustration, and progress systematically. This Post May Sound Basic, But It’s Extremely Important
Here are the 4 Stages of a Trader and how they define your journey:
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1. The Excitement Phase
- What It Feels Like:
You’ve discovered trading, and it feels like the gateway to unlimited wealth. Every win feels like a step closer to “quitting your job,” and losses are dismissed as bad luck.
- Reality Check:
This is the honeymoon phase. Without a plan or risk management, you’re trading on emotion, not skill. Big losses often serve as a wake-up call here.
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2. The Learning Phase
- What It Feels Like:
You’ve realized trading isn’t a game of luck—it’s a skill that requires discipline and study. You dive into books, watch tutorials, and experiment with strategies.
- Challenges:
- Information overload: Which indicator works best?
- Doubt: Am I even cut out for this?
- Outcome:
Progress is slow, but this is where the foundation for mastery is laid.
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3. The Frustration Phase (THIS STAGE LASTS LONGER THAN ONE CAN IMAGINE)
- What It Feels Like:
You’ve gained knowledge, but your execution isn’t consistent. Every win is wiped out by a bigger loss. Strategy-hopping becomes a vicious cycle.
- Why Most Quit Here:
The emotional toll of inconsistency is heavy. Many traders blame the market, their broker, or even themselves, concluding that trading “isn’t for them.”
- The Breakthrough:
This is a test of resilience. Traders who stick to the process and focus on discipline eventually push through.
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4. The Mastery Phase
- What It Feels Like:
Trading becomes systematic—a business, not a gamble. You’ve developed an edge, trust your strategy, and prioritize risk management.
- Key Characteristics:
- Discipline: You follow your plan without hesitation.
- Confidence: Losses don’t shake you because you know your edge works over the long term.
- Sustainability: Trading isn’t just profitable—it’s consistent.
- This Is True Success:
You understand the market isn’t a money-making machine; it’s a test of probabilities and discipline.
---
Why Knowing Your Stage Matters
Understanding where you are in this journey is like knowing which station you’ve reached on the Delhi-to-Mumbai train. It helps you prepare for what’s ahead and keeps you focused on reaching the destination.
So, ask yourself: Which stage am I in?
Let us know in the comments, and tag a fellow trader who’s on this journey with you.
How to find a BREAKOUT that has a high probability of success?The probability of a breakout getting failed is much higher than it's success rate.(A STOCK AT REST TRIES TO BE AT REST AND THE ONE IN MOTION TRIES TO BE IN MOTION like NEWTON's First Law Of Motion)
But breakout trades are the most rewarding trades in stock market.
So...if there was a method to find out a high probable successful breakout then it would have been a shade better to make money in the stock market.
Here I am with a tried and tested strategy to differentiate a fake breakout and a successful one: FOLLOW the below steps:
1.Choose a stock from an up-trending sector (At present sectors like ENERGY, PSUs, REALTY, FINANCIALS AND AUTO (Just started) are examples of up-trending sectors).
The reason for choosing a sector which is up-trending is that the liquidity is high in those sectors and thus increases the chance of the breakout by one shade.
2.The stock should be above 50 week EMA and above 200 EMA on a daily time frame and RSI should be above 60 (In daily time frame)
This is the reason why HEROMOTOCORP Trade is struggling a lot as it is below EMA 200.
3.The stock should breakout from a consolidation of STAGE 1 structure.
And if the stock is in prior uptrend followed by a consolidation and then a breakout again increases the chances like the recent one in RELAXO FOOTWEARS.
4.If the stock breaks out of multiple patterns like INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS,TRIANGLE,STAGE,PARALLEL CHANNEL,TRENDLINE(The more the number of patterns being broken the better the breakout is) One example of this is TRIVENI ENGINEERING Trade that I shared
5.The breakout should be backed with high volumes (AT LEAST EXCEEDING 20 MA)
6.The closing of the breakout should be strong (NO long wicks)
One more example I have is of INDIAMART Trade that I shared applying most of the concepts discussed above.
NOTE: The above discussed method only increases the probability of a breakout to be successful as no strategy in the market gives 100% successful trades, so managing the risk is as important as the strategy and I will post a tutorial soon for this also.
FOLLOW me to stay updated as soon as I upload it here.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
The Ultimate Beginners Guide to Day TradingHello everyone My name is d3ffyduck
I am today gonna post some cool and new tips For the beginners in Daytrading.
I am gonna divide things in Chapters so you'll learn it with ease
Read it till the end Hope You learn something
Chapter-1 Timeframe selection
The choice of the best timeframe for chart analysis in day trading can vary depending on a trader's strategy, preferences, and the market being traded. Different timeframes offer varying levels of detail and may suit different trading styles.For Example
1-Minute Chart: This timeframe provides very detailed information, showing price movements within one-minute intervals. I prefer Using it for precise entry and exit points In day trading
5-Minute Chart: Slightly less detailed than the 1-minute chart, the 5-minute chart still offers relatively short-term insights into price movements. I use to determine my momentum for the trade i want to hold for like 1-2hrs only
15-Minute Chart: This timeframe offers a broader view of the market compared to shorter intervals. I prefer it to determine my next day momentum of the market
Chapter-2 Support and resistance Using RSI
I know you all knows the basics for support and resistance but today i will show you the best way. Just open your chart and use RSI Indicator and we are going to mark the overbought areas high candle and oversold area lowest candle using it for different time frames.
Just a note from my side do not mark those areas again if there have already a support or resistance line in different time frame and also you can remove those level of S&R which did not hold well in different time frames
1-day time frame=I have marked the regions where the RSI turned in the overbought or oversold areas. As you can see, I have not marked the support and resistance levels since they were already established from previous market overbought and oversold.
4-hour Time frame=In this timeframe, we will only identify the levels that are above 70 and below 30 in the RSI. We'll skip the R&S that are already marked on the daily timeframe. To reiterate, please refrain from marking those levels again if we can observe that our resistance and support levels have already been established on the daily chart.
1-Hour Time Frame = I've set my preferred timeframe to a maximum of 4 to 5 months. I don't want to go below this timeframe as it will create more noise. Additionally, I'll remove the support and resistance levels that didn't react well for buyers and sellers at this point to make the chart look cleaner
Chapter-3 Determining the Trend
Here in this chapter we are going to use only 2 Things to keep everything simple:-
SMA+EMA 200= We are going to use simple indicator or just create yourself one indicator which plots both sma and ema with same 200 timeperiod.
Rules are simple
if below both ma look for short
if above both ma look for long
You can use it for 1hr and 15 min for day trading purpose
Trendlines- Trendlines are your best friend.They are the building block for your Chart pattern look for trendlines in 15 min tf for day trading purpose
Chapter-4 Significance of market opening closing,high,low
This is one of the important chapter for day traders and i am going to tell you how an opening closing high and low effect the whole day trade.
For Example
1-Open your Chart
2-Mark the opening ,closing highs and lows for previous 3-4 days
3-Those area are going to be area of interest
Tip for the beginners. Do not take any trades for the first hour From the opening of the day For example if your market opens in 9:15 am dont take trades until 10:00-10:15 cause of high volatilty
Another Tip for the beginners.If you prefer to take 2 trades a day close your previous 10:00 am trade At around 11:45am -12:15 pm and start looking for another one after that. the reason because i have seen this is the time for the most probable reversal or continuation of trend for the next leg of the day
Chapter-5 Significance of Gaps in the market
Gaps are one of the best way to decide what will be the market trend for the rest of the day
There are two type of gaps in the market 1-Gap up 2- Gap down
Tip for the beginners Only trade in the strong gap up or down and as i said before do not trade in the first hour of the opening
Ill show you some scenarios of gap Trading with respect to opening of the day
Scenario 1st strong gap up+ Stayed above above the gap and opening for the 1 hour(9 am-10am)
We can see we had a strong opening stayed above the gap up and open for atleast 1 hour so after this the trend is decided
Tip for the beginners Always follow strict Risk and Reward ratio like i use 1:1.5
Scenario 2nd strong gap up+ stayed below the gap and opening for the 1 hour(9 am-10am)
We can see we had a strong gap up and opening but price stayed below the opening for 1 hour so we took the short as dropped below previous closing/high
Similarly we can use this for gap down scenarios
Final tip from my side are:-
Do meditation for 15 min before trading hours
Always use stoploss
Use your preferred Risk Reward ratio like 1:1.5
Do not trade in opening Hour
Gaps are like your friend
Trends are like a path to success
Do not overtrade
Dont only rely on indicators there isnt any indicator which can make you rich
Use only basic indicators such as Ema,Macd,Rsi and ATR
PLEASE UPVOTE AND FOLLOW FOR MORE EDUCATIONAL CHARTS AND STRATEGIES
How to calculate stock weightage on index. #What is Stock weightage on an index ?
--> Stock weightage on an index is the relative importance of a particular stock in the index. It is calculated by dividing the market capitalization of the stock by the total market capitalization of all the stocks in the index.
-->The weightage of a stock in an index is important because it determines how much the stock will move the index when its price changes. A stock with a higher weightage will have a greater impact on the index's movement than a stock with a lower weightage.
How the stock weightage on an index is calculated ?
-->There are two main methods for calculating stock weightage on an index:
Market capitalization-weighted index: This is the most common method. The weightage of a stock in a market capitalization-weighted index is determined by its market capitalization. This means that the larger the market capitalization of a stock, the higher its weightage in the index. This is the most reliable and popular method to calculate stock weightage on an index.
Price-weighted index: In a price-weighted index, the weightage of a stock is determined by its price. This means that the higher the price of a stock, the higher its weightage in the index.
-->as an example, the stock weightage in Nifty Bank, like in any other index, is calculated using a free-float market capitalization-based method. Here's a simple explanation of how it's done:
Market Capitalization: The market capitalization of a company is the total market value of all its outstanding shares. It is calculated by multiplying the company's share price by the total number of outstanding shares.
Free-Float Market Capitalization : Free-float market capitalization considers only the portion of a company's shares that are available for trading in the open market. It excludes shares held by promoters, governments, and other strategic investors that may not be readily available for trading.
Weightage Calculation: To calculate the weightage of a stock in Nifty Bank, you take its free-float market capitalization and divide it by the sum of the free-float market capitalization of all the stocks in the index.
-->For example:
Let's say Nifty Bank comprises three stocks with the following free-float market capitalization:
Bank A: Rs. 50,000 crore
Bank B: Rs. 30,000 crore
Bank C: Rs. 20,000 crore
Total free-float market capitalization of Nifty Bank = Rs. 50,000 crore + Rs. 30,000 crore + Rs. 20,000 crore = Rs. 100,000 crore
-->Now, to calculate the weightage of each stock:
Bank A weightage = (Rs. 50,000 crore / Rs. 100,000 crore) * 100 = 50%
Bank B weightage = (Rs. 30,000 crore / Rs. 100,000 crore) * 100 = 30%
Bank C weightage = (Rs. 20,000 crore / Rs. 100,000 crore) * 100 = 20%
--> The stock weightage in Nifty Bank will be adjusted periodically based on the changes in the free-float market capitalization of the constituent stocks. As stock prices change in the market, the weightage of individual stocks in the index will also change to reflect their current market value.
All the best !!
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Pattern Identification by Considering Safety in Analysis!Pattern Identification on any Timeframe!
Importance of the Factor of Safety in Projected Target To avoid the Losses!
How to identify Patterns and Project the Target on the chart!
I have selected NVDA weekly chart for Technical Analysis. Here the Head and Shoulder pattern formed on the Top. We can see the previous trend of NVDA was an Uptrend so the probability of high that trend will get reversed after the neckline breakdown and the price has given breakdown to the neckline and it went down.
I have projected the downside target by projecting the head to neckline length below the neckline. But we all know that, the things which are given in a theory doesn't work 100% all the time. So to avoid the buffer between Theory and Practical I have projected the line parallel to the neckline from the projected taregt so we should exit our position without waiting for the Theoretical projected target. This is my personal view to exit from our existing position without waiting till the end. Most of the time what happens is price reversed before our projected target. That's the reason i am sahring this Educational Idea to achieve maximum profit by considering Factor of Safety or You can exit your trade by achieving 80% - 90% of your projected profit.
If you like this Educational Idea then Comment Below!
Thank you!
WHAT IS OPTION GREEKS ?NSE:BANKNIFTY
Introduction
Option trading is an exciting process and almost every market participant has at least experienced the thrill of trading options, almost all the time with unsatisfactory results.
To avoid such accidents an option trader seeks different tools to trade sucssessfully,
The most important of tools are the Option Greeks and they are usually the first metric looked upon by option traders.
What are Option Greeks?
Options are derivatives of underlying assets ( curd is a derivative of milk, so the change in the quality of milk will result in a change in the quality of the curd derived ) similarly, Greeks are a way to measure the sensitivity of the price of the option to various factors.
The price of the option premium does not always move in conjunction with the price of the underlying asset and it is important to understand the different factors that affect the change in the price of the premium. With the help of the option greeks, a trader will be able to measure the rate of change of different factors affecting the option premium.
# You can check the option greeks by using zerodha option chain or any other trading platform
What is DELTA?
The first Greek is Delta, which quantifies how much an option's price is projected to fluctuate for every $1 that the underlying securities or index changes in price.
For example,A Delta of 0.50 indicates that the option's price will fluctuate 50 point for every 100 point movement in the price of the underlying stock or index.
#Delta for call option ranges between 0 to 1 and for put option ranges between -1 to 0.
>ATM options have a delta of 0.5
>ITM option have a delta of close to 1
>OTM options have a delta of close to 0.
Delta = Change in option premium/ Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
#The following example should help you understand this better –
Nifty is currently trading at 16000
Option Strike = 15900 Call Option
Premium = 150
Delta of the option = + 0.60
Nifty is expected to reach 16200
What is the likely option premium value at 16200 ?
Well, this is fairly easy to calculate. We know the Delta of the option is 0.60, which means for every 1 point change in the underlying the premium is expected to
change by 0.60 points.
We are expecting the underlying to change by 200 points (16200 – 16000), hence the premium is supposed to increase by
= 200*0.60
= 120
the new option premium is expected to trade around 150 + 120 = 270
What ia gamma?
Gamma is used to measure the delta’s change relative to the changes in the price of the underlying asset.
If the price of the underlying asset increases by 1point, the option’s delta will change by the gamma amount.
The gamma value will also range between 0 and 1.
Gamma = Change in an options delta / Unit change in the price of the underlying asset.
What is Theta?
The Theta or time decay factor is the rate at which an option loses value as time passes. Theta is expressed in points lost per day when all other conditions remain the same.
theta is always shown as negative number because option value is depriciating as the time is passing.
Theta is the biggest enemy of option buyer cause it reduces the favourable outcome of option buyer by depriciating the option price.
for example,A Theta of -15 indicates that the option premium will lose -15 points for every day that passes by.
if an option is trading at Rs.290/- with a theta of -15 then it will trade at Rs.275/- the following day when other factors remain constant.
Theta = Change in an option premium / Change in time to expiry.
This is the graph of how premium erodes as a time to expiry approaches. This is also called the ‘Time Decay’ graph.
What is Vega ?
It is intended to tell you how much an option’s price should move when the volatility of the underlying security or index increases or decreases. It is the change of an option premium for a given change (typically 1%) in the underlying volatility.
1. Vega measures how the implied volatility (IV) of a stock affects the price of the options on that stock.
2. Volatility is one of the most important factors affecting the value of options.
3.A drop in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to lose value.
4. An increase in Vega will typically cause both calls and puts to gain value.
Vega = Change in an option premium / Change in volatility.
What can option Greeks do for you?
1.Help you measure the possibility that an option will expire in the money (Delta).
2.Estimate how much the Delta will change when the stock price changes (Gamma).
3.Get a feel for how much value your option might lose each day as it approaches expiration (Theta).
4.Understand how sensitive an option might be to large price swings in the underlying stock (Vega).
“With the help of Greeks, an options trader can make more analyzed decisions about which options to trade, which strike price to trade and when to trade.
Since there are a variety of market factors that can affect the price of an option in some way, assuming all other factors remain unchanged,
we can use Greeks and determine the impact of each factor when its value changes.”
I Hope you found this helpful.
Please like and comment.
Happy Trading!
How to compare relative performance between stocks and indices ?You can compare the relative performance by using the compare option on charts. The compare function tool is used to compare the market movements of two or more different symbols simultaneously. Popular use for a comparison chart is comparing two companies within the same sector.
Click on the Compare or Add symbol button (displayed as plus sign) on the toolbar along the top of the chart, search and add the indices/stock which you would like to compare. You will see a representation of the percentage comparison from the beginning price point to the current price.
To delete the comparison line right-click on it and click on ‘Remove’.
This example is comparison chart of Nifty Bank and Nifty PSU Bank.
After 12 years i.e. 1st November, 2010 - 7th November, 2022:
Nifty Bank - 214% Positive
Nifty PSU Bank - 31% Negative
Nifty PSU Bank has given breakout.
I hope this little information on comparing indices/stocks is useful. Please feel free to write any additional information in the comments section below.
Thanks and happy learning/trading.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Flag Pattern (Flag and Pole Pattern)A flag pattern is a trend continuation pattern, appropriately named after it’s visual similarity to a flag on a flagpole. Flag patterns can be bullish or bearish.
1. Flagpole: A line extending up from this break to the high of the flag/pennant forms the flagpole. The flagpole is the distance from the first resistance or support break to the high or low of the flag. The sharp advance (or decline) that forms the flagpole should break a trend line or resistance/support level.
2. Flag: A flag is a small rectangle pattern that slopes against the previous trend. If the previous move was up, then the flag would slope down. If the move was down, then the flag would slope up. The price action just needs to be contained within two parallel trend lines.
3. Break: For a bullish flag, a break above resistance signals that the previous advance has resumed. For a bearish flag, a break below support signals that the previous decline has resumed.
4. Volume: Volume should be heavy during the advance or decline that forms the flagpole. Volume contracts during the flag's formation and expands right after the resistance/support breakout.
5. Target: The length of the flagpole can be applied to the resistance break or support break of the flag to estimate the advance or decline.
Market Crash after a BULL MARKET? How to predict them?"HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF" is a very powerful mantra for success in STOCK MARKET.
Anyone can mint money in a bull market but THE ONE who protects his/her money before a market crash is the one who makes profits in the long run...
And the fun fact is that market gives enough chances to protect one's capital before the crash.
Here I am with one of the very few patterns which was common in both the major crash of 2008 and 2020 and in a mini crash of 1999.
This SETUP is very simple to read...yet a very powerful one
CONDITIONS TO QUALIFY IN THIS SETUP:
1.EMA 52 Slope should not be one directional upwards (CHECK IN BOTH DAILY AND WEEKLY TIME FRAME)
2.RSI-Sharp dip below 40
3.Triple Top as seen in the 1999/2008/2020 crash.
4.Breaking the bottom of the channel with gap down/low wick red candle.
LOOK AT THE MAGIC (1999 CRASH):
2008 CRASH:
2020 CRASH:
Now This was one such SETUP which was common in 2 MAJOR and 1 MINOR crashes in the data which is available on charts.
MARKETs can fell in many other bearish reversal setups like HEAD AND SHOULDERS as shown in the BEGINNING OF 2015 BEAR MARKET:
Many more reversal setups are there which are visible in most of the mini/major crashes that takes place in the market...I will look forward to share one by one all the possible reversal patterns to avoid confusion in reading and digesting the SETUPs...FOLLOW me to stay updated as soon as I upload them on my channel.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
Few learnings I want to share taking Adaniports daily chartFew learnings I want to share taking Adaniports daily chart as example:
EMA’s 13,50 and 200 are plotted in the chart. An ideal price should always be near to all EMA’s but due to demand and supply and various other factors, price revolves around the EMA’s. High demand or High supply will make these EMA’s move away from each other. But the fact is after some time they settle and come closer to each other. Smallest EMA moves faster and first than largest EMA which moves last and slow for all price action movements. These are the opportunities which traders need to profit buy entering at correct time to ensure appropriate and maximum profits are earned. It takes time, learnings, experience to understand these concepts for entry and exit.
From 2021 beginning the price is ascending constantly and taking 13 EMA as support. Instead of 13 EMA, 20 EMA can also be plotted. 13 EMA helps us for a day trading as well as for short and long terms, hence we used 13, 50 and 200 EMA to address the needs of all types of trading. When ever price goes far away from 13 EMA/20 EMA, it will comes back to test or take support before moving on. If 13 EMA/50EMA are above 200 EMA its considered as uptrend and if they are below 200 EMA, its considered as downtrend. In the current example since beginning of 2021, price is in uptrend hance 13 EMA is above 50 EMA and these two are above 200 EMA proving the uptrend. Once price reaches its high or demand lacks, price wont fall suddenly, it will consolidate for some time and then inches to touch the small EMA, here its 13 EMA and takes support (17th Mar) and then goes for a higher high (7th April 20201 example). If 13 EMA support is broken then price tends to go and touch 50 EMA and take support (22nd April) and then makes higher high (7th Jun). After this price couldn’t sustain but with a huge gap down it went and touch 50 EMA and skipped 13 EMA. These gaps will subsequently gets filled, in a few day or few weeks or few months but surely gaps get filled up (example 17th Oct and 18th Oct gap filled up). When price tends to go lower and if 13 EMA crossed 50 EMA from top then higher chances of price to touch 200 EMA or at least it will go very nearby to 200 EMA before reversing.
Flag pattern - Last two months (Mid Aug and Sep till Oct mid), we can see a flag pattern and it got broken on 13th Oct and price making highs covering earlier gaps. Now the probability of price touching earlier highs are very high. This is how we can use EMA’s to optimum and can have a proper entry and exit points for intraday, short term or long term trading.
Wicks – Now let’s talk about wicks, some people consider them and some won’t consider. Here we considered wicks and some learnings we want to share. When ever we see big wicks it means there are traders to buy or sell in that wick space. This means eventually that wicks will get filled up. Example, if you see 7th April/16th April there is a long wick on the up side and eventually it got filled up in over May
period. Color of candle doesn’t matter here when big wicks are made. Same way 14th Jun a hug wick on down side and got filled in couple of days.
Fibonacci – Two Fib levels are plotted to see how price respects them. 0.382 and 0.5 are crucial for a retracement and if support taken then price can move up. At the same time 0.618 if broken then the trend in retracement will continue.
Hope above information on EMA, wicks, Fib levels along with a flag break out example and also a trending up and down market we could learn from this example.
Disclaimer : This analysis is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
Please do like and share this idea. Thanks
The only FOUR stages of a stock's lifeSTAGE 1 (ACCUMULATION):
In this stage the stock consolidates in a narrow price range which usually lasts for months but in some cases years and then breaks on the higher side.
STAGE 2 (ADVACVING):
In this stage the stock price moves in a higher high and higher low structure.
STAGE 3 (DISTRIBUTION):
In this stage the stock price consolidates in a narrow range and then the price breaks on the lower side.
STAGE 4 (DECLINING):
In this stage the stock price moves in a lower high and lower low price pattern.
The only way to make big money is to identify these stages and buy the breakout at the right time.
I have also attached a diagram to show show the four stages. Please do have a look.
FOLLOW me for more such content ahead.Do hit the like button if you found my content useful.
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
Price Action with RSI and MACD - Trade with ConvictionFor the purpose of explaining the combined use of these indicators,
I have taken the example of TCS - TATA CONSULTANCY SERVICES, which recently gave a clear breakout.
Know your Lines! - By joining the recent highs and recent lows of a share price, we can identify if the share has a well tested Support & Resistance or not. I prefer those with a clear defined pattern simply because all traders are looking out for these levels and there is a pretty good chance they will hold good, if not, you will know its time to exit.
Catch the Support! - The key to any exchange profit is BUYING AT A LOW and SELLING AT A HIGH. While it might sound obvious, majority of people lose out because they FOMO in at a HIGH and then Sell at a Low to cut losses. Classic Failure Strategy. It is pretty normal if a stock is all abuzz in the market, but do not enter it based on the buzz, check if its already too late or not. If at all, buy at a pullback at Fibonacci levels 0.68 or 0.50 ( Higher Success Rate levels )
One Eye on the MACD! - What makes an Indicator exceptional is the number of people using it. RSI, MACD, STOCH are like the biblical indicators which you certainly want to check before taking a position. When the blue line of MACD cuts the signal line from below, and the price is around its support, chances are you will not repent going long.
RSI is your best friend! - RSI is very crucial to avoid buying at a high. When it is above 70( I prefer 80 ), it is better to wait for a pullback. In a bullish market, it usually bounces back from 50, but again it differs from share to share. Identify its key support and a bounce from that level around the price support when MACD is bullish, means its a good set up for a Long Position.
I also prefer to watch out for RSI and MACD divergence to see the momentum of the price. If the RSI or MACD is making lower HIGHS while the Share Price is making Higher HIGHS, it means the momentum is weaking and one must watchout for a nice pullback.
To summarise, Identify the Support and Resistance, Check if MACD has turned bullish when the pricce has pulled back to its support, Check if RSI has bounced from its support and preferably above 50 ( It means bulls are in control ). If everything checks out, it should be an ideal long setup.
I hope you take back something from the explanation, This strategy has almost everytime worked for me. I hope it does for you too.
Keep Learning :)
TATA POWER - No Target Enjoy AnalysisI can interpret an upcoming breakout in this chart is so many ways. This is why technical Analysis isn't difficult. One just needs to have an eye and correlate.
I'm not giving any Stop loss or Targets here. This is for you guys to interpret it the way you like and take your decisions. If it fails, this chart would tell you why it failed as well.
Those who want to learn can learn many things from this chart.
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Ascending Triangle Definition:
An ascending triangle is a type of triangle chart pattern that occurs when there is a resistance level and a slope of higher lows.
It is defined by two lines:
. A horizontal resistance line running through peaks.
. An uptrend line drawn through the bottoms.
The higher lows indicate more buyers are gradually entering the market and buying pressure increases as price consolidates moving further towards the apex.
An ascending triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern.
If price can break through the resistance level, that level will now act as a support level.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically, upward breakouts are more likely to occur, but downward ones seem to be more reliable.
In most cases, the buyers will win this battle and the price will break out past the resistance. But Sometimes the resistance level is too strong, and there is simply not enough buying power to push it through. Therefore you should be ready for movement in EITHER direction.
ENTRY:
We would set an entry order above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows.
TARGET:
Target is approximately the same distance as the height of the triangle formation.
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The 90-90-90 rule - Why do traders fail?"Many are called, but few are chosen". Ever heard this proverb?
This is certainly true for trading, in fact, there is even a rule in trading about this, the 90-90-90 rule. So what does this rule say?
"90% of traders lose 90% of their money in 90 days"
😱😱😱
That's right, statistics show that 90% of people who start trading lose the majority of their money in less than 3 months. But why is that so? In this post I will try to lay out the reasons for failure, if you are a new or struggling trader, I'm sure you'll find this useful. Let's get into it ...
🤯 EXPECTATIONS
•
Many start trading because they've seen or read about success stories, people becoming rich overnight, they might even have a friend who has been successful in trading and they think (to say it in Jeremy Clarckson's famous words) "How hard can it be?. With this approach, failure is imminent...
📐 NOT HAVING A PLAN
•
"If you fail to plan, you are planning to fail - Benjamin Franklin . Trading without a plan results almost certainly in failure. Your trading plan should include the definition of your setup, entry, stop loss, profit taking, trade management, risk management and money management.
🔄 NOT TESTING YOUR PLAN
•
OK, you have determined how you will trade, what defines your entries and exits, how much of your capital you will risk and how you will manage your trades. But do you know what is the expectancy of that plan? Do you know how much trades you will win on average, and how many you will lose? How much money can you expect to make?
Backtesting your plan, executing it flawlessly time after time on historical data will give you that information and the confidence to execute your plan time and time again without hesitation.
😱 EMOTIONS - THIS IS THE BIG ONE!
•
If did not take the time to create a trading plan and backtest it, you don't really know what you are doing and emotions will have the best of you.
Fear, greed, hope, excitement, anxiousness, boredom and frustration will drive your hard earned capital away from you.
Results of these emotions are : trading too much, letting your losers run and cutting winners short, revenge trading, overleveraging etc...
I could write an entire post about each of the emotions and how they can affect you while trading, but it would make this post too lengthy. Just know that emotions are your biggest enemy when trading, for best results you should be in a stoic state when trading.
🕺 EGO
•
"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.". If you want to prove the market that you are right, you are doomed to fail. The market is always right, no matter what happens, so you better learn to accept that your analysis or prediction of what would happen was wrong and cut your losses. Fast!
📚 LACK OF EDUCATION
•
It takes many years to learn a skill or a profession, trading is no different. If you think about making lots of money without putting the time in to learn and test, you pretty much guarantee yourself to fail.
You wouldn't want a lawyer without education to defend you in court, or a self-proclaimed surgeon who learned on YouTube to operate on you, would you?
💰 STARTING CAPITAL TOO LOW
•
If you're starting with a low capital, you will tend to try and make it grow fast, resulting in taking too many trades, too high of a risk, too high leverage. If you start with a low capital, you'll have to be OK with the fact that it will grow slowly and that it will take (a lot of) time to build up a sizeable account.
🚦 BUYING OR FOLLOWING SIGNALS
•
"There is no such thing as easy money." You might think that you don't have the time to learn about trading, making and backtesting a trading plan. So why not follow signals?
Ask yourself what you know about this service? How profitable is it (and don't just go from the claims they make)? Do you know anything about the reason for a signal, why was it triggered?
Have you talked to other users who used the service, what do they think about it? Why is this person/company selling signals if they are so successful as they claim? Philanthropy ? 🤔
📉 INDICATORS OVERLOAD
•
Indicators can help you make decisions for trading, but too many indicators can and will lead to opposite signals or "analysis paralysis.
Most indicators are derived from price, so it makes sense to learn how to read price action and discover the story behind the candles.
🆕 THE NEXT SHINY OBJECT SYNDROME
•
You took the time to develop a trading plan and even tested it, but you run into a drawdown... Rather than counting on your experience and the expectancy that you know is there, you look for a new shiny method of trading, until the same thing happens again with this new method ... Rinse & repeat, never giving the chance for your original method, which you know was working when you tested it, to prove its worth ...
Alright, I think I have provided the main reasons why new or inexperienced traders fail. Knowing why they (or you) fail is one thing, doing something about it is not a small feat. But with enough dedication, persistance and the right mindset, you can prove these statistics wrong!
Feel like reasons are missing, let me know in the comments below.
So what is your story?
Are you a successful trader now but recognize these reasons for failure?
Are you a new trader? Was this helpful?
What did/will you do to overcome this?
What did/do you struggle most with?
Help the TradingView community by commenting below.
"Trading is a ruthless business that does not take any hostages, so you better come prepared." - Nico Muselle
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Double Top Pattern* A double top is a strong bearish reversal pattern. It occurs when an uptrend fails to make a higher
high and instead, makes an equal (or near equal) high.
* The psychology behind the pattern is that the failure to make a higher high could be an early sign
that the momentum is leaving the uptrend. The equal high is an indication that the previous high
is being tested and confirmed as resistance. All this means that a reversal is likely to happen.
* As you can see from the image above, two horizontal lines are drawn off the double top. The top
line is the resistance line. The second line marks as support line where you can enter in trade after breakdown.
*To get your profit target for this pattern, you measure from the resistance line to the breakout
line. Then you take that measurement.
Kindly Let me know if you have any Questions.
Thank you .
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FLAG pattern Definition:
A FLAG pattern is a continuation chart pattern, named due to its similarity to a flag on a flagpole.
A flag is a relatively rapid chart formation that appears as a small channel after a steep trend, which develops in the opposite direction.
After an uptrend, it has a downward slope. After a downtrend, it has an upward slope.
IMPULSE Definition:
A “flag” is composed of an explosive strong price move forming a nearly vertical line.
This is known as the "IMPULSE" or ”flagpole”.
The sharper the spike on the flagpole, the more powerful the bull flag can be.
Corrective Wave Definition:
After an uptrend, it has a downward slope. After a downtrend, it has an upward slope.
This downward or upward slop known as "Corrective Wave".
Flag patterns can be bullish or bearish:
A bullish flag is known as a Bull Flag.
A bearish flag is known as a Bear Flag.
How to Trade FLAG Patterns:
When the trend line resistance on the flag breaks, it triggers the next leg of the trend move, and the price proceeds ahead.
Breakouts happen in both directions but almost all flags are continuation patterns.
This means that Flags in an uptrend are expected to break out upward and Flags in a downtrend, are expected to break out downward.
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After a significant drop in Bitcoin price , the price is in a correction wave.
What makes the chart interesting today is that:
. Bitcoin is likely to challenge the 18042 ~ 18227 resistance area.
. A break above 18227 could push the pair to the 19487 area .
. A resistance rejection , however could lead to another retest of the lower supports.
Will the Bitcoin see a rejection from the resistance area or an upside breakout?
No one knows it! We have to wait and see!
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Descending Triangle Definition:
A Descending Triangle is a type of triangle chart pattern that occurs when there is a support level and a slope of lower high.
It is defined by two lines:
. A horizontal support line running through valleys.
. A Downtrend line drawn through the peaks.
The lower highs indicate more sellers are gradually entering the market and selling pressure increases as price consolidates moving further towards the apex.
A Descending Triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern .
If price can break through the support level, that level will now act as a resistance level.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically, downward breakouts are more likely to occur, but upward ones seem to be more reliable.
In most cases, the sellers will win this battle and the price will break out past the support. But Sometimes the support level is too strong, and there is simply not enough selling power to push it through. Therefore you should be ready for movement in EITHER direction.
ENTRY:
We would set an entry order below the support line and above the slope of the lower highs.
TARGET:
Target is approximately the same distance as the height of the triangle formation.
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Ascending Triangle Definition:
An ascending triangle is a type of triangle chart pattern that occurs when there is a resistance level and a slope of higher lows.
It is defined by two lines:
. A horizontal resistance line running through peaks.
. An uptrend line drawn through the bottoms.
The higher lows indicate more buyers are gradually entering the market and buying pressure increases as price consolidates moving further towards the apex.
An ascending triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern.
If price can break through the resistance level, that level will now act as a support level.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically, upward breakouts are more likely to occur, but downward ones seem to be more reliable.
In most cases, the buyers will win this battle and the price will break out past the resistance. But Sometimes the resistance level is too strong, and there is simply not enough buying power to push it through. Therefore you should be ready for movement in EITHER direction.
ENTRY:
We would set an entry order above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows.
TARGET:
Target is approximately the same distance as the height of the triangle formation.
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Head and Shoulders Definition:
A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation.
It is formed by a peak (left shoulder), followed by a higher peak (head), and then another lower peak (right shoulder).
A “ Neckline ” is drawn by connecting the lowest points of the two troughs. Neckline support does not need to be strictly horizontal.
. This illustrates that the upward trend is coming to an end.
. When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in an uptrend, it signifies a major reversal.
. The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline support
In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
ENTRY:
we put an entry order below the neckline.
TARGET:
We can also calculate a target by measuring the highest point of the head to the neckline.
This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
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Inverted Head and Shoulders Definition:
A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation.
It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder).
A “ Neckline ” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal.
This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end.
When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in a downtrend, it signifies a major reversal.
The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance.
In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
ENTRY:
we put an entry order above the neckline.
TARGET:
We can also calculate a target by measuring the lowest point of the head to the neckline.
This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
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