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Elliott Wave

OFSS: Setting Up for a Relief Rally?🔍 Introduction This analysis starts from the 1-hour timeframe, where price action shows signs of exhaustion at the tail end of a 5-wave decline. A classic ending diagonal in wave c, along with bullish RSI divergence, points toward a potential short-term reversal — possibly the start of Wave B in a larger A-B-C corrective structure. We then zoom out to place this setup within a broader W-X-Y correction that began from the 13,220 high. 🕐 1H Chart: Ending Diagonal + RSI Divergence into Key Zone Following the peak at 9775, price has been declining in what appears to be a ABC zigzag correction. Subwave 5 (within wave c) exhibits ending diagonal behavior, with overlapping internals and weakening thrust. Importantly, RSI has been printing higher lows, diverging strongly against lower price lows — a signal of potential bottoming. Price is also testing the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. A decisive breakout above the upper trendline would confirm a likely transition into Wave B. 🟢 Watching closely for a decisive breakout / close above the channel. 📆 Daily Chart: W-X-Y Structure from 13,220 High Zooming out, ORACLE FIN SERV is unfolding a W-X-Y correction from its 13,220 high: Wave W completed as a zigzag down to 7038. Wave X unfolded as a zigzag rally, peaking at 9775. Notably, Wave C of X did not reach 100% of Wave A — signaling internal weakness. Wave Y is now developing as a red A-B-C structure, with Wave A possibly ending near the 8930 level. 🧠 Conclusion & Key Levels to Watch Wave A of Y appears to be nearing completion, supported by: Ending diagonal structure in wave C (1H) RSI bullish divergence Price stalling at 1.618 extension A breakout above the channel could mark the start of Wave B — potentially retracing 38–61.8% of the drop from 9775 📌 This setup offers both short-term and structural clues. I’ll post follow-ups as this unfolds. ⚠️ Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
NSE:OFSSLong
by WaveXplorer
Bank Nifty Weekly Analysis for June 30, - 04, July - 2025The Bank Nifty index, as of June 28, 2025, shows a bullish outlook based on recent market data and technical analysis, though traders should remain cautious due to potential volatility and resistance levels. Here's a detailed analysis for today: Market Performance and Sentiment Recent Performance: The Nifty Bank index closed at 57,443.90 on June 27, 2025, with a gain of 237.20 points (+0.41%), indicating continued bullish momentum. The index has been trading near its 52-week high of 57,475.40, reflecting strong sectoral leadership. Posts on X suggest that Bank Nifty has outperformed the Nifty 50, which is 2.5% below its all-time high, with a target of 59,000. Market Sentiment: Positive global cues, including a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, falling crude oil prices, and dovish signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve, have boosted risk appetite, supporting the banking sector's rally. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net buyers for four consecutive months, further fueling bullish sentiment. However, significant open interest (OI) buildup in the last two days suggests potential for abnormal volatility in the near term. ~~~ Technical Analysis ~~~ Current Levels and Trends: The index is closing at around 57,443.90, with a gain of 0.41%. The advance/decline ratio is positive at 8:4, indicating broader participation in the uptrend. The index is trading above key exponential moving averages (20-day, 50-day, and 200-day EMAs), confirming a strong upward trend on the weekly timeframe. # Support and Resistance: Support: Strong support is noted around 57,000, which has held well in recent sessions. A break below this could drag the index to 56,400–56,000. Additional support lies at 55,500, a critical level for maintaining bullish bias. Resistance: Immediate resistance is at 57,500–57,800. A decisive break above 57,800 could push the index toward 58,000–58,400. Call options at 56,500 and 57,000 show significant open interest, reinforcing these as key resistance levels. Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe is at 67.31, showing a reversal toward the upside, indicating strengthening momentum. However, a bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart remains unresolved, suggesting a potential correction toward 52,000 if the bullish structure weakens. -- Bullish trend, next target 61,000 if we break and close above 57,800 on weekly timeframe -- Chart for reference. - Disclaimer -- This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. #Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by renderwithme
Ola Electric: Charging Toward a Bottom or Just Burning Out?From the darling of India’s EV⚡️revolution to a stock that's lost nearly 70% of its value, Ola Electric Mobility Ltd has had quite the ride — and not the smooth kind. But with price approaching critical technical levels and management throwing around words like “EBITDA breakeven,” a big question looms: Is Ola Electric bottoming out — or is more pain on the road ahead? 📉 The Rise... and the Faceplant Launched in 2017 with bold ambition, Ola Electric quickly captured market share, becoming India’s #1 e-scooter maker with a commanding 31% grip on the E2W sector. The hype translated to a stock price that once touched ₹158. Now? It’s chilling at ₹43, down over 70%, and recently hit an intraday low of ₹43.16 after a 6.3% drop on June 23. What triggered that? ➡️ Block deal worth ₹107 Cr — 2.41 Cr shares changed hands at ₹44. ➡️ Earlier this month: ₹731 Cr block trade — Hyundai Motor Company exited. That’s some heavy institutional shuffling. 📉 Technicals: A Reversal Setup Brewing? Ola’s chart paints a classic A-B-C Zigzag correction, with Wave C still unfolding. The final leg could be nearing completion based on these clues: ✅ C wave targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension — a textbook end zone ✅ Daily RSI showing bullish divergence — a sign of momentum loss in selling ⚠️ But price is still ~60% above that extension level (~₹15.29), so caution reigns “Ola’s plunge has brought it into its final support shelf. The real question: will demand step in near the 1.618 extension — or even earlier?” We’re seeing divergence whispering potential — but the big move is still loading. 🔍 Fundamentals: Great Product, Brutal Numbers Let’s not sugarcoat it — the financials are as ugly as the technicals are hopeful. Net loss (FY25) : ₹-2,276 Cr Revenue YoY : Down 62% ROE : -108% | ROCE : -28.1% EPS : -₹5.16 P/B Ratio : 3.7 (expensive for a loss-making firm) On the bright side: ✅ Debt has been reduced ✅ Guidance says: ₹800–850 Cr revenue + margin expansion + Roadster rollout Optimism? Sure. Execution? TBD. 👀 Sentiment Shift or Smart Exit? Public holding rose to 52.14% in Mar 2025. Meanwhile, Hyundai just noped out with ₹731 Cr worth of shares. FII & DII stakes are falling. This leaves retail holding the EV bag — again. ⚖️ The Two-Sided Story 🟢 Bull Case Strong brand, dominant market share Reversal signals flashing technically Management optimism around margin turnaround 🔴 Bear Case Fundamentals still bleeding RSI divergence coming too early Major support (~₹15) still distant 🛑 Final Thoughts Ola Electric is approaching a key decision point — for the stock and the company. Technically, a reversal setup is forming. Fundamentally, the story still needs a lot of work. If buyers show up before ₹15.29, this could be a rebound play. If not, we may just be coasting toward another breakdown. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:OLAELEC
by WaveXplorer
2
TATA TECH: Messy But Intentional — Diagonal at Work?After tagging the all-time low at 597, price started a steady climb. The structure unfolding looks like a potential leading diagonal, not a typical impulsive sprint. Wave 1 pushes up to 731.75, followed by a sharp drop to 640 — a classic deep Wave 2, but still holding above the origin. From there, Wave 3 stretches to 777.4, slightly longer than Wave 1, keeping things in check. Then comes the messy drop — choppy, overlapping, three-legged, as Wave 4 of a diagonal. It lands right into the golden retracement zone, finding support between 0.5 and 0.786. Now the price is bouncing back and is above 715, nudging towards the upper channel. If it sustains, Wave 5 could unfold next, aiming to breach the 797 high. But — and this is crucial — if price falls below 640, this structure breaks down. That would kill the diagonal count and force a rework. RSI is curling up from oversold, hinting at renewed strength. Price, structure, and momentum — all are beginning to align. Let's see how the price strcuture unfolds in the coming week.
NSE:TATATECHLong
by WaveXplorer
Bitcoin - Interesting Price Action in 1 HTFTRADERS AND INVESTORS, The Bitcoin chart presents an interesting setup on the 1-hour timeframe (1 HTF). Here's a breakdown of recent price action: Initial Resistance & Downtrend : Bitcoin's chart indicated potential trend changes, with significant selling pressure at the $106,000 mark establishing a clear resistance level. Downtrend Confirmation & Support : This was followed by a series of lower highs, confirming a downtrend. Subsequently, Bitcoin found support and bounced from the $98,000 level. Potential Reversal Signal : The recent upward movement cleared sellers' stop-losses, which could be an early indication of a potential trend reversal. WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN NEXT? Currently, Bitcoin is re-testing the crucial $106,000 resistance level. Bullish Scenario : A confirmed breakout and sustained move above $106,000 could signal the continuation of an uptrend. Bearish Scenario : Conversely, a strong rejection from this level might lead to a decline, potentially targeting the $101,000 support. Current Stance : At present, this area appears to be a no-trade zone due to the indecisive price action. Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Trader_Saurav
Natural Gas Futures: Triangle Breakout and New Impulse UnfoldingNatural Gas Futures (MCX) is showing an interesting Elliott Wave structure unfolding. After completing a corrective Y wave near 133.6, prices started a well-defined impulsive advance. The initial advance took shape as a 5-wave structure (yellow degree), completing wave 1 at 261.2, followed by a healthy correction into wave 2 at 156.7. The subsequent rally carved out another 5-wave pattern (green degree), pushing prices toward 407.8, marking a likely completion of wave 3. The corrective wave 4 unfolded as a typical contracting triangle (ABCDE), finding support around 297.3. This triangle structure respected the Elliott guidelines quite well and indicates a potential setup for the next impulsive leg higher. Post-triangle, the initial move up to 359.2 can be counted as wave i of the next larger impulse. The ongoing retracement has pulled back close to 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci levels, a common zone for wave ii corrections. The RSI continues to print higher lows, supporting the underlying bullish sequence. The invalidation zone is clearly marked around 297.3. As long as price remains above this level, the possibility of an ongoing bullish impulse remains valid, with eventual targets extending much higher toward the 1.618 projection zone near 503. This remains a developing wave count, with structure still unfolding. Monitoring how price reacts around current levels will provide further clues whether the larger bullish sequence resumes or deeper correction emerges. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Long
by WaveXplorer
Bank Nifty Weekly Analysis for June 24 –June 28 June , 2025~~ Technical Outlook ~~ Current Trend: The Nifty Bank Index is in a positive trend, with a closing value of 56,252.85 on June 20, 2025, reflecting a 1.22% gain. The index has entered a bullish phase in the last trading session, supported by strong buying in key constituents like HDFC Bank (+1.44%), ICICI Bank (+1.07%), Canara Bank (+2.25%), and Federal Bank (+1.62%). #Support and Resistance Levels: Support: Immediate support lies at 55,781, followed by 55,308 and 54,726. A critical long-term support is around 51,500; a break below 51,000 could signal weakness. Resistance: Resistance is seen at 56,900, with potential upside targets at 56,600, 57,000, and a new all-time high around 57,267–57,500 if momentum sustains. the Long-term Target is around 60,500 !! Market Sentiment Domestic and Institutional Activity: Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have been strong buyers, purchasing ₹8,207 crore on June 18, while Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net buyers with ₹1,482 crore, indicating robust domestic support. Sectoral Performance: The banking sector led gains, with 11 of 12 constituents in the green on June 20. Private banks like HDFC and ICICI Bank limited downside pressure, while public sector banks (PSU Banks) showed relative weakness, with the Nifty PSU Bank Index down 0.9% on June 16. # Due to geopolitical tension, the market may be sideways or volatile. -- Disclaimer -- This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. #Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by renderwithme
Sonata Software - Bullish OpportunityWe have a bullish opportunity for Sonata Software - positional long: - Trend seems to be upwards on Monthly and Weekly TFs - On 1 Day TF, we have price reacting upwards from nearest 1-D Demand Zone - As per Elliott Wave model, price is forming bullish impulse wave upwards as shown in the chart. Currently, it seems to be forming a good solid 3rd Wave upwards on 1-D TF - Entry can be done at 620-625ish and Targets can be 650, 688, 700 for immediate swings. If the momentum carries forward, we will revisit for exact target of when 3rd wave completes later.
NSE:SONATSOFTWLong
by champvimal
1
R-Power Bullish opportunitySince, there is a good flow of news on this stock, let's analyze it from technical standpoint for positional long bet. In the chart (Weekly): - We seem to be in primary impulse 3rd wave of which we have created sub impulse waves 1-2-3-4 (colored in yellow) - The yellow colored 3rd may have either terminated at 50 and is coming towards 34 for completing yellow colored 4th wave OR the price may go up from here itself and touch yellow 3rd wave of target of 60ish and then some consolidation may happen - Also, note we have a good strong weekly demand zone at 32-34ish and price if enters here again, can be a good long bet with excellent risk reward
NSE:RPOWERLong
by champvimal
Insecticides India - Bullish OpportunityWe have a bullish opportunity for Insecticides India - positional long: - Trend seems to be upwards on Monthly and Weekly TFs - On 1 Day TF, we have price reacting upwards from nearest 1-D Demand Zone - As per Elliott Wave model, price is forming bullish impulse wave upwards as shown in the chart. Currently, it seems to be just starting to initiate a 5th wave upwards on 1-D TF - We will wait for proper impulse formation until price crosses 855ish and then time an entry on hourly or 75 Mins TF chart. As of now, this is on my radar/watchlist.
NSE:INSECTICIDLong
by champvimal
CDSL: Moving as expected, what's next?As predicted, CDSL is in wave 4 now. Wave 4 is Zig-zag correction in nature. Currently, it looks like we are in wave C of zigzag. The targets for this wave C are minimum 61.8% , next targets will be 100% at both these levels we have cluster of fib levels. At these levels wave 4 may complete. It means, at these levels we can have buying opportunity for wave 5. But buying is only if there is any bullish candlestick pattern is formed. For educational purposes only.
NSE:CDSL
by theprofityogi
End of the Drop? Tata Motors Sets Stage for Wave 3Tata Motors has completed a clear five-wave advance from the April low of 535.75 to a high near 742, which is being marked as wave 1. After that peak, the stock entered a corrective phase and has now dropped into what appears to be an a-b-c structure (expanding flat), likely forming wave 2. The recent decline has reached the 1.618 extension of wave a, with wave c possibly ending near 672. This 1.618 level is often where deeper corrections tend to exhaust, and price has also moved below the lower edge of the Bollinger Band, which can signal short-term pressure easing. These two conditions together suggest that the current downmove may be ending. If this count is correct, the next move should be a fresh upward rally in the form of wave 3. For this idea to stay valid, wave 2 must not fall below the April low at 535.75, which serves as the key invalidation level. Until then, the setup remains constructive, with early signs pointing to a possible bounce from here. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TMPVLong
by WaveXplorer
XAG/USD (Silver Spot vs. US Dollar) Analysis - Monthly Chart ~~ XAG/USD (Silver Spot vs. US Dollar) Analysis ~~ #Current Price and Recent Performance As of June 18, 2025, the XAG/USD spot price is approximately $37.00 per troy ounce at the time of posting, reflecting a 13-year high. Silver has surged nearly 30% year-to-date in 2025, driven by heightened safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and global economic uncertainties. Over the past month, silver prices have risen by 12.43%, and year-over-year, they are up 23.33%. -- Key Drivers of Recent Trends Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating conflicts, such as Israel’s military actions in Iran, have boosted demand for safe-haven assets like silver and gold. This has been a significant catalyst for silver’s rally, with prices climbing in tandem with gold. US Dollar Weakness: A softer US dollar, influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and softer inflation data, has supported higher silver prices. Since silver is priced in USD, a weaker dollar makes it more affordable for foreign investors, increasing demand. Industrial Demand: Silver’s dual role as a precious and industrial metal (used in electronics, solar panels, and medical devices) accounts for ~56% of its demand. Growing industrial applications, particularly in green technologies, continue to support price growth. Supply Constraints: A persistent supply deficit of 150–200 million ounces annually (10–20% of total supply) and declining above-ground inventories by nearly 500 million ounces in recent years have tightened the market, pushing prices higher. Speculative Activity: Futures and spot market trading on exchanges like COMEX and the London Bullion Market, coupled with speculative interest, contribute to price volatility. The market is also influenced by “paper silver” (futures, ETFs), which some argue suppresses physical silver prices. ~~Technical Analysis~~ Current Levels and Trends: Silver is trading above the key support zone of $34.90–$35.15, maintaining a bullish outlook. Recent suggest a strong bullish trend, with a breakout above a downward trend line and minor resistance on the 4-hour chart. Support and Resistance: Support: Key levels include $34.99, $33.70, $32.67, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at ~$35.00. Resistance: Immediate resistance lies at $37.85, with further targets at $38.00 and potentially $40.34–$44.21 in the coming weeks or months. -- Disclaimer -- This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. #Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by renderwithme