Naturalgas 1 weekSL 1Hr candle close only, Target Trigger Price
All detail for chat. good entry at mark price only. and must stoploss minimum risk and good profit. risk ratio 1:1 to manage modified SL. This is not call, Just my idea. Please understand your risk and take full responsibility of your actions
Elliott Wave
IDFCFIRSTB LONGElliott Wave analysis shows that the stock has completed wave i in black circle. Currently, the stock is undergoing correction wave ii shown in black circle. wave (ii) will move in (a), (b), and (c) in a daily time frame in blue color.
Wave (a) in blue colour is completed and the stock is currently in wave (b).
Wave (b) will unfold in three sub-waves (a-b-c) shown in red colour on the chart.
Wave a and b (red colour) of wave (b) is completed and the stock is in wave c of wave (b).
Wave level is shown on the chart.
Level of Invalidation
The starting point of Wave c has been identified as the invalidation level at 62.40. If the price falls below this level, it can indicate that the expected Elliott Wave pattern is not as it seems.
I am not a registered Sebi analyst. My research is being done only for academic interests.
Please speak with your financial advisor before trading or making any investments. I take no responsibility whatsoever for your gains or losses.
Regards
Dr Vineet
#Nifty directions and levels for Friday, December 27th:Good Morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for Friday, December 27th:
Market Overview
The global market shows a moderately bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones), but our local market is leaning toward a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open neutral or slightly gap-up, as the Gift Nifty indicates a 40-point positive start.
In the previous session, Nifty and Bank Nifty moved in different directions; however, by the end of the day, both closed near the middle of their respective ranges. We are still in a range-bound market, and until the range is broken, we cannot expect any significant directional movement.
What about today?
It’s a bit difficult to say because Nifty is showing signs of a pullback move, while Bank Nifty is indicating a downtrend. How can we interpret this? Whenever the market exhibits such conflicting signals, it mostly leans toward consolidation. However, if both indices move in the same direction and a proper signal occurs, we can consider taking a position.
This is the basic structure. Let’s analyze the chart for more insights.
Nifty Current View
The current view suggests that if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a pullback toward 38% on the upside. After that, if rejection occurs at this level, a correction can be expected. On the other hand, if the pullback has a solid structure and is followed by a range breakout (above 38%), the pullback is likely to continue further.
Alternate View: If the market declines after the gap-up, the range-bound scenario will likely persist. In this case, the corrective targets are expected to reach a minimum of 23,609.
#Banknifty directions and levels for Friday, December 27th:Bank Nifty Current View
The Bank Nifty's current view indicates that if the market declines after the gap-up, we can expect the correction to continue, accompanied by some consolidation. The corrective targets are expected to reach a minimum of 50,851, based on the Elliott Wave structure.
Alternate View: If the gap-up sustains, Bank Nifty could rise to a maximum of 51,571, which acts as a major resistance. Here, it is important to note that we are in a corrective wave. Until the previous high is broken, further continuation cannot be expected.
If the previous range breaks, we can anticipate targets around 51,943 to 52,174. Conversely, if the market does not break 51,571, some consolidation before the correction is likely.
BTC headed down to $86,000 by mid Jan 2025 before reversing upBTC completed Wave 3 of its impulse wave in mid December. The wave started back in August 2024 (see orange numbers).
It is now pulling back in Wave 4 in a typical ABC correction, having completed sub wave A and more than halfway through sub-wave B. Once it tops sub wave B by first week of Jan, it will move down in Wave C all the way down to $86,000. (see blue letters)
Once Wave 4 is completed, it will reverse to complete Wave 5 with a top of 115,000 by mid February 2025
ETH will fall to $2,900 by mid January 2025 and then reverse upETH started an impulse wave in early August and completed wave 5 in mid December (shown in orange numbers)
It has been in an ABC correction since mid December and has completed Wave A and about to complete a relief Wave B before heading down to a Wave C that will take it to 2,877 by mid January. (shown in grey letters)
Once the ABC correction wave ends, it may start a new impulse wave.
Bottomline: expect ETH to move down to $2,877 by mid Jan 2025 before starting a new impulse wave towards 4,000.
gold mcx daily tf - holds a strong support at 72800 till 72500 gold is in bull run in a higher tf, in daily tf we can see strong support is placed in the range of 72800 till 72500. we may see those levels if the correction continues.
gold is currently in a corrective pattern. looks like abc is going to happen
#Nifty directions and levels for December 24th.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 24th.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market is also displaying a moderately bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a 15-point negative sentiment.
In the previous session, there was no directional movement, even though it opened with a long gap-up. Structurally, today might continue this sentiment as we are progressing into the 4th sub-wave. We already discussed this in the previous post, so more or less, it will move based on this. Let’s explain this in the charts.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty are currently showing the same structural sentiment.
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the initial market takes a pullback after some decline or if it opens with a gap-up, then we can expect a continuation of the pullback. Structurally, the 38% retracement could be a major resistance in this variation. As per the wave structure, it is unlikely to go beyond this level. If you find any reversal confirmation, we can consider entering a short position. Conversely, if the pullback breaks the 38% level, it could extend to the next resistance level. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down sustains, we can expect a correction to the previous bottom. Until the bottom is broken, the market sentiment could remain range-bound. If it breaks, we can consider that a 5th correctional wave.
#Banknifty directions and levels for December 24th.Current View:
The current view suggests that if the initial market takes a pullback after some decline or if it opens with a gap-up, then we can expect a continuation of the pullback. Structurally, the 38% retracement could be a major resistance in this variation. As per the wave structure, it is unlikely to go beyond this level. If you find any reversal confirmation, we can consider entering a short position. Conversely, if the pullback breaks the 38% level, it could extend to the next resistance level. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down sustains, we can expect a correction to the previous bottom. Until the bottom is broken, the market sentiment could remain range-bound. If it breaks, we can consider that a 5th correctional wave.
TCS Buying Opportunity▎Analysis of TCS Stock using Elliott Wave Theory
Overview:
TCS (Tata Consultancy Services) has recently formed an Ending Diagonal pattern in the 75-minute timeframe, indicative of a terminal impulse wave. This pattern suggests that the stock may be nearing the end of its current trend, and a reversal could be imminent.
Elliott Wave Theory Context:
According to Elliott Wave Theory, an Ending Diagonal typically occurs in the final wave of a trend (Wave 5). This pattern is characterized by converging trendlines and can signify exhaustion in buying or selling pressure. Traders often look for a reversal after such formations, particularly when combined with Fibonacci retracement levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Following the completion of the Ending Diagonal, TCS has retraced approximately 61.8% of its previous upward move. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level is considered a significant area for potential support, where aggressive traders might start to accumulate positions in anticipation of a reversal.
For those who prefer a more conservative approach, waiting for the 81% retracement level could provide an additional margin of safety before entering a trade. This level often acts as a strong support zone and can offer better risk-reward ratios.
Entry Points:
• Aggressive Entry: Near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
• Conservative Entry: Around the 81% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop Loss:
As indicated in the accompanying chart, it is crucial to place a stop loss just below the recent swing low or beneath the 81% retracement level. This helps to manage risk effectively should the market move against the anticipated direction.
▎Conclusion:
The current technical setup for TCS presents potential buying opportunities based on the Ending Diagonal formation and Fibonacci retracement levels. Traders should consider their risk tolerance and trading style when deciding on entry points and stop loss placements. As always, it is essential to conduct further analysis and confirm signals with additional indicators before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Trade Idea on AMD: The Case for a Sweet Double BottomAssumption & Context
Let’s address the elephant in the room: the $118 level. Technically, it's a lower low, just 3% below the previous $122 low. However, in my view, it’s not a lower low in the traditional sense. Why? Because this area likely attracted a ton of stop-loss orders, creating what I call (Wyckoff ripped me off) a "selling climax" — a quick 3% shakeout that wiped out the obvious players. It's like AMD decided to yell, "Gotcha!" before flipping.
This leads me to my current trading hypothesis: $118 could be the sweet spot for a double bottom, precisely the entry point that many savvy traders have been waiting for.
I’m betting AMD will leave NVIDIA eating its dust in the short to mid-term. Why? AMD’s upside potential is like spotting a rocket on the launch pad, while NVIDIA feels more like a plane that’s already cruising at 35,000 feet. And let’s face it, semiconductors + GPUs ?? — you can’t go wrong with them these days.
#Nifty directions and levels for December 23rd.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 23rd.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment due to the solid pullback in the previous session (based on the Dow Jones). Meanwhile, our local market is displaying a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a 170-point positive sentiment.
In the previous session, the US market had a strong pullback, which might reflect in our market today. Gift Nifty is also pointing toward this possibility. So, how should we approach this?
If the gap-up sustains, we could interpret this as a sub-wave 4. Usually, the 4th wave is characterized by a three-wave structure, which we refer to as a consolidation wave. Therefore, we can expect some consolidation between the previous low and the 38% mark. This is the basic structure; let's look at it on the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty are currently showing the same structural sentiment.
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up of less than 100 points and then declines initially, we can expect a slight further correction due to some sub-waves bending. However, if this occurs, the minor demand zone will act as strong support.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up opens with more than 150 points and sustains, then the pullback could continue to the 38% level, with some consolidation as we discussed. This pullback could be interpreted as a 4th wave.
#Banknifty directions and levels for December 23rd.Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up of less than 200 points and then declines initially, we can expect a slight further correction due to some sub-waves bending. However, if this occurs, the minor demand zone will act as strong support.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up opens with more than 300 points and sustains, then the pullback could continue to the 38% level, with some consolidation as we discussed. This pullback could be interpreted as a 4th wave.
NIFTY PREDICTIONS.... BEARISH OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER 2024. I'll try explaining my Nifty chart analysis through Elliot waves.
Nifty, again, is likely correcting in a 5-wave pattern. After reaching an ATH of 24274, Nifty's downside waves/correction started towards the end of September.
Wave (1) moved in a 5-wave pattern and ended around 24700, as marked in the chart.
Wave (2) had a zig-zag pattern and ended around 25200.
Wave (3) also had a 5-wave pattern, falling 1.23 times wave 1 to end around 23300 levels.
Wave (4)- Nifty is currently in this wave, which is probably in a zig-zag pattern. Wave (4), as usual, notoriously has violent moves on either side, giving challenges to traders.
Probable levels of termination of wave (4) are 24800 {0.5 of waves (1-3)}and 25150 {0.618 of waves (1-3).
Wave (5) - Assuming wave (4) termination around 25150, we can expect a big correction in Nifty to 22700 levels. This wave (5) alone can cause approximately 10% fall in Nifty.
Remember,
THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT.
Trade with appropriate stoploss.
Possible Wave counts of TSLA Hourly & DailyDaily Time Frame Chart
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Just a random Elliot Wave analysisJust a random Elliot Wave analysis of BTCUSDT on the 1-hour timeframe. Key levels are highlighted: resistance at $99,618 and support zones at $94,531 and $91,247, with a major support at $82,800. The chart depicts completed impulse (1-5) and corrective (ABC) waves, followed by another wave cycle in progress. The EMA (21) aids trend direction. Watch for potential reactions near the support levels as the price approaches wave 5.
Short trade Ethereum.A trade idea based on my trading knowledge and market behavor.
I'm anticipation a retest on what what the double tiop previous support at 3480-3640 area.
Once we test it as resistance we will start a last wave downwards toward 3000-3100 area where I will anticipate we will start to go sideways untill the end of year.
#Banknifty directions and levels for December 20th.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 20th.
Market Overview:
Both the global and local markets are maintaining a bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down start, as the Nifty is indicating a negative 80 points at 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a minor pullback after the long gap-down. Although the structure remains bearish, we can expect a continuation only if it breaks the previous day's low with solid movement. If this happens, we can anticipate a target of 78% in the minor swing.
On the other hand, if the market initially pulls back without breaking yesterday's low, or if it finds support at the immediate support level with gradual movements, then we can expect a pullback of 23% to 38%. This is the basic structure. Otherwise, we can follow the same sentiment that we discussed in the previous session, as nothing has changed.
#Nifty directions and levels for December 20th.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 20th.
Market Overview:
Both the global and local markets are maintaining a bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down start, as the Nifty is indicating a negative 80 points at 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a minor pullback after the long gap-down. Although the structure remains bearish, we can expect a continuation only if it breaks the previous day's low with solid movement. If this happens, we can anticipate a target of 78% in the minor swing.
On the other hand, if the market initially pulls back without breaking yesterday's low, or if it finds support at the immediate support level with gradual movements, then we can expect a pullback of 23% to 38%. This is the basic structure. Otherwise, we can follow the same sentiment that we discussed in the previous session, as nothing has changed.
Insecticides India - Bullish OpportunityWe have a bullish opportunity for Insecticides India - positional long:
- Trend seems to be upwards on Monthly and Weekly TFs
- On 1 Day TF, we have price reacting upwards from nearest 1-D Demand Zone
- As per Elliott Wave model, price is forming bullish impulse wave upwards as shown in the chart. Currently, it seems to be just starting to initiate a 5th wave upwards on 1-D TF
- We will wait for proper impulse formation until price crosses 855ish and then time an entry on hourly or 75 Mins TF chart. As of now, this is on my radar/watchlist.
R-Power Bullish opportunitySince, there is a good flow of news on this stock, let's analyze it from technical standpoint for positional long bet.
In the chart (Weekly):
- We seem to be in primary impulse 3rd wave of which we have created sub impulse waves 1-2-3-4 (colored in yellow)
- The yellow colored 3rd may have either terminated at 50 and is coming towards 34 for completing yellow colored 4th wave OR the price may go up from here itself and touch yellow 3rd wave of target of 60ish and then some consolidation may happen
- Also, note we have a good strong weekly demand zone at 32-34ish and price if enters here again, can be a good long bet with excellent risk reward