Should land in wave 4 of one lesser degreeNifty should land in wave 4 of one lesser degree @ 24,444 i.e 23.6% retracement . We will see after that .
Elliott Wave
#Banknifty directions and levels for the 2nd week of October.Current View:
The current view based on the RSI data is as follows:
* The RSI divergence is likely to occur in the sub-wave 5. The structure suggests there is a 5th sub-wave forming. Once the market starts to bounce back, we can close the 5-wave structure in the 1st leg of the correction, leading into the 2nd leg.
* The ideal 2nd leg is a three-wave structure, which could take a minimum of 38% to 61% bounce back from the previous swing.
> In rare occasions, it could reach 78%. Structurally, it won’t go beyond this level; however, if it does, the overall trend will turn bullish.
* Once the three-wave structure (2nd leg) completes, the 3rd wave will begin. The 3rd wave is a correctional wave; if it rejects and cuts below the EMA20 line, we can assume that the downtrend may continue further. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
* The alternate view suggests that if the week starts with a negative candle, it may evolve into a diagonal structure.
* A diagonal is a time adjustment pattern, so the correction could continue with some minor bounce backs.
* However, the diagonal also indicates a sub-wave of the 5th. Once the diagonal pattern breaks upwards, the previous sentiment will apply here as well, meaning we can expect a minimum of a 38% bounce back from the previous swing.
#Nifty directions and levels for the 2nd week of October.Good evening, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for the 2nd week of October.
Global Outlook:
In the previous week, the global market closed where it started, indicating that the past two weeks have seen global markets in a range-bound market. Structurally, this is a moderately bullish trend, so we can expect the continuation of this range during the week. Once the range breaks, the trend is likely to continue. In the meantime, there are some important economic data releases this week, including FOMC minutes, Balance of Trade, Inflation Rate, Initial Jobless Claims, and PPI, so we should watch these closely.
Our Market:
Last week, both Nifty and Bank Nifty fell drastically due to F&O-related factors. Structurally, this indicates a clear bearish trend, but the RSI is suggesting a slight bounce back due to the occurrence of divergence. If this happens, we can expect a minimum of a 38% bounce back in the minor swing. We can discuss this in more detail in the charts. Additionally, we have a major event this week: the RBI Policy announcement.
Current View:
The current view based on the RSI data is as follows:
* The RSI divergence is likely to occur in the sub-wave 5. The structure suggests there is a 5th sub-wave forming. Once the market starts to bounce back, we can close the 5-wave structure in the 1st leg of the correction, leading into the 2nd leg.
* The ideal 2nd leg is a three-wave structure, which could take a minimum of 38% to 61% bounce back from the previous swing.
> In rare occasions, it could reach 78%. Structurally, it won’t go beyond this level; however, if it does, the overall trend will turn bullish.
* Once the three-wave structure (2nd leg) completes, the 3rd wave will begin. The 3rd wave is a correctional wave; if it rejects and cuts below the EMA20 line, we can assume that the downtrend may continue further. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
* The alternate view suggests that if the week starts with a negative candle, it may evolve into a diagonal structure.
* A diagonal is a time adjustment pattern, so the correction could continue with some minor bounce backs.
* However, the diagonal also indicates a sub-wave of the 5th. Once the diagonal pattern breaks upwards, the previous sentiment will apply here as well, meaning we can expect a minimum of a 38% bounce back from the previous swing.
SUZLON good to buy or further fall pending?Irregular Flat Correction in SUZLON ENERGY.
The minimum target of wave C is completed,
which gives a risky buying level of around 72.50 to 74.50.
If the level of 72.10 is broken below, wave C will extend
to its next target of 67.45.
This analysis is for educational purpose only.
CAN MARKETS SURPRISE US??? BANK NIFTYIndian markets are at an all-time high. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty are trading near their resistance levels.
Technically, a correction is due. I'm not expecting any big upside move in Indian indices.
I won't be surprised if Bank nifty corrects by 3000 points in the coming days.
This would correspond to the length of wave 3 as well as 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
Trade with appropriate stop-loss.
PS: MARKET is always RIGHT!
#nifty directions and levels for October 4th."Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 4th.
Market Overview:
The global market is still maintaining a moderately bullish sentiment, while our local market indicates a bearish trend. A gap-down opening is expected today, with SGX Nifty showing a negative move of around -90 points at 8 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty continued their corrections. So, what about today? GIFT Nifty is indicating a negative start, suggesting further continuation of the downtrend. However, if you look at the chart, there's an RSI divergence, which could signal a minor reversal. This means we can't hold positions without caution today. Let’s take a look at the charts.
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support level, we can expect a bounce back of around 23% to 38% in the minor swing. This is our first scenario. For additional confirmation, you can refer to the 20 EMA
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests a breakout trade. If the market breaks or consolidates around the support level, we can take a breakout entry and set the target at the next support level. Since I'm uncertain about the trend continuation, I’ve set the target conservatively at the next support level.
#banknifty directions and levels for October 4th.Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support level, we can expect a bounce back of around 23% to 38% in the minor swing. This is our first scenario. For additional confirmation, you can refer to the 20 EMA
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests a breakout trade. If the market breaks or consolidates around the support level, we can take a breakout entry and set the target at the next support level. Since I'm uncertain about the trend continuation, I’ve set the target conservatively at the next support level.
DLF... 25% upside potentialDLF has come out of 7 months of consolidation and has broken the resistance trendline.
A decent upmove of about 25% is expected over the next 2 to 3 months.
Stoploss below the trendline.
TATA CHEMICALS.... IN ACCUMULATION The stock price has been consolidating for quite some time.
Technically, by the Elliot wave pattern, the 5th wave is likely to begin, and one can expect about a 30 to 35% rally in this stock.
Safe entry will be above the resistance trendline, though the current level looks attractive for investment purposes.
ONGC still pending a down move?According to Elliott Wave analysis, ONGC looks into last phase of its short term down move.
After trending impulse, the stock is into Flat Correction. Wave C of Flat correction should have 5 moves in it. And we can see 4 moves until now. So we can say ONGC is in wave 4 of wave C of Flat correction.
ONGC may go further down a little more to form wave 5 of wave C. This level may come at 61.8% retracement of the previous impulse.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
EW Breakdown of USDCHF: Eyeing a Move Toward 0.8620I have analyzed the wave count by examining a consolidation area with significant trading activity following a sharp decline in USDCHF. Observing the slope of the fall, it appears that this congestion area could represent a correction on the 4-hour timeframe. The wave count indicates that wave B has formed a contracting triangle, with wave (e) of wave B completing at 0.8396 .
We are at wave (C), which has can be move forward after breaching a strong resistance of 0.85154 . The currency may have some pullback for the public participation, but it shouldn't exceed the low of wave B. The setup can be formed after the breakout of wave B, for the distance up to 0.8618.
Fibonacci Calculations are given below:
Wave C = 1.618 of Wave A
Wave C = 0.786 of the previous impulse
Wave C = 1.618 of the previous impulse
Additional information will be provided shortly.
#Nifty directions and levels for October 3rd.Current View: If the market opens with a gap-down, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are expected to continue in a bearish structure, with some minor consolidation. Even if there’s a pullback, this type of correction typically won’t break the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. This is our first scenario.
Alternate View: If the market initially rejects around the immediate support level and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it could shift into a range-bound market. In this case, targets are expected around the 78% Fibonacci level in the minor swing.
#Banknifty directions and levels for October 3rd.Current View: If the market opens with a gap-down, both Nifty and Bank Nifty are expected to continue in a bearish structure, with some minor consolidation. Even if there’s a pullback, this type of correction typically won’t break the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. This is our first scenario.
Alternate View: If the market initially rejects around the immediate support level and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it could shift into a range-bound market. In this case, targets are expected around the 78% Fibonacci level in the minor swing.
Classical example of Elliott waveClassical example of Elliott wave.
Wave 2 retraced to 61.8% forming Flat correction.
Wave 3 extended to 161.8% forming a normal or trending impulse.
Then wave 4 retraced to 23.6% in Zig-zag form. (This fulfilled the Rule of Alternation)
Wave 5 retraced exactly to its minimum target of 127% retracement. Where cluster of 200% extension was also there. Wave 5 formed in typical Ending diagonal format.
Here bigger wave 1 completed.
Now fall will come in NUVAMA forming bigger wave 2.
#Nifty directions and levels for October 1st.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 1st.
Market Overview:
The global market is maintaining a moderately bullish sentiment, but our local market is leaning bearish. Today, the market may open neutral to slightly gap-down, with SGX Nifty indicating a negative 5-point move at 8 AM.
On the previous day, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a sharp decline. Structurally, we can expect further correction. However, the global market saw a solid pullback in the previous session, indicating a minor bounce-back initially. however, If the market sustains a bearish sentiment with solid red candles, the correction is likely to continue. Let's look at the charts for more details.
Nifty Current View:
This current view suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up or finds support around the immediate support level, it could pull back up to 23% to 38%. Structurally, it might not sustain beyond that, so it may undergo some consolidation between the current low and the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. . Afterward, we can follow the direction—whether it breaks the previous low or the 38% Fibonacci level. This is our first variation
Alternate View:
The alternate view indicates that if the initial market declines, then 25,695 will act as a strong support level. If it consolidates or breaks that level, the correction is likely to continue, meaning we can expect a correction only if it solidly breaks 25,695. On the other hand, if it rejects solidly, we can follow the direction of the current view. This is the alternate view.
#Banknifty directions and levels for October 1st.ank Nifty Current View:
The current view is similar to the Nifty sentiment; if the market opens with a gap-up or takes support around the immediate support level, it could retrace a maximum of 23% to 38%. Structurally, it won't sustain there, so it may undergo some consolidation between the current low and the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. . Afterward, we can follow the direction—whether it breaks the previous low or the 38% Fibonacci level. This is our first variation
Alternate View:
The alternate view states that if the initial market declines and sustains, we can expect a minimum correction to the levels of 52,722 to 52,629, which are major support levels. If it rejects at this level, we can expect a minor swing bounce-back of 23% to 38%. On the other hand, if it breaks or consolidates below these levels, the correction will likely continue.
HDFCLIFECurrent chart HDFCLIFE looks like the Second wave of the last (5Th) lag is completed and will be make a new high in coming days.
#Nifty directions and levels for September 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 30th.
Market Overview:
The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment, and our local market reflects the same moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a gap-down due to the SGX Nifty indicating a negative 80 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed negatively, and the SGX Nifty also suggests that this trend may continue. Even though the overall structure indicates a negative trend, there are no key points suggesting a substantial continuation of this trend, which is why I have categorized it as a range-bound market. However, if the gap-down solidly breaks the immediate support level, then a correction is likely to continue. Let's analyze this further through the charts.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support level (26073), we can expect a range-bound market between the previous high and the upcoming low. This is our first variation. This sentiment represents a slightly bullish bias, meaning that after this consolidation, if it breaks the previous high, the rally is likely to continue.
Alternate View:
The alternate view indicates that if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support level, then the correction is likely to continue down to the minimum Fibonacci level of 23%
#Banknifty directions and levels for September 30th.Bank Nifty Current View:
Bank Nifty reflects the same sentiment as Nifty. If the market finds support around the immediate support level (23%), we can expect a minimum bounce back of 38% to 61%. It looks like a range-bound market. If this occurs, the next movements will be determined by whether it breaks the previous high or the downside Fibonacci level of 23%. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support level, then the correction is likely to continue down to the minimum level of Fibonacci 53389 to the 38% Fibonacci level.
