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Elliott Wave

Infosys: Technicals Align with H-1B HeadwindsInfosys (NSE: INFY) has been moving within a larger corrective structure after topping near ₹2006. The weekly Elliott Wave count suggests a possible W–X–Y correction, where the Y-leg may be unfolding as a 3-3-5 flat. With prices currently hovering in the mid-1500s, the bigger picture hints at unfinished business on the downside. Weekly Chart – The Bigger Picture The weekly count shows: Wave W completed near ₹1185, A strong bounce into Wave X topping at ₹2006, And now Wave Y in play, potentially forming a flat correction. Key levels to watch: ₹1307 – the low of Wave 3, which remains the immediate bearish target. ₹1185 – the critical level that decides whether this becomes a Running Flat (if held) or an Expanded Flat (if broken). In simple terms: holding above ₹1185 keeps this a controlled correction, but breaking below it could mean a deeper and more extended decline. Fundamental Note – U.S. H-1B Visa Shock Adding to the technical picture, fundamentals just turned heavy. Infosys ADR fell nearly 4% on Friday-Sep 19, after U.S. President signed an executive order imposing a $100,000 fee on new H-1B visa petitions. Since North America contributes one-third to two-thirds of Indian IT revenues , this sudden spike in visa costs introduces a policy headwind. While not an existential threat, it raises uncertainty for future growth and could act as a catalyst for the bearish structures already visible on the charts. News source: in.tradingview.com Daily Chart – Zoomed In On the daily timeframe, the larger Wave 4 looks complete near ₹1649. Infosys has since begun its Wave 5 decline. Within this drop, price found a low at ₹1414.20, which likely marks the end of a smaller Wave 3. The current bounce is best viewed as a smaller Wave 4 inside this ongoing Wave 5. Price is still capped below the SMA100 and SMA200, both acting as strong resistance. RSI at ~58 shows mid-range momentum, leaving room for the final Wave 5 leg to extend lower. The key structural invalidation remains ₹1649. Any sustained move above this level would negate the bearish count. As long as the stock stays under 1649, the expectation is for Wave 5 to resume down, aligning with the weekly flat structure. Summary & Key Levels The weekly and daily charts together point to a bearish bias in Infosys. The larger corrective W–X–Y flat is still in play, and the stock has already rolled into Wave 5 down. Short-term: A smaller Wave 4 bounce is underway, but unless price clears ₹1649, the expectation is for a continuation lower. Medium-term: A retest of ₹1414.20 is likely, with scope for an extension toward ₹1307. Long-term pivot: Holding above ₹1185 keeps the structure a Running Flat; a break below it would confirm an Expanded Flat. In short: 1649 is the bearish invalidation, 1414.20 is the immediate watch level, and 1185 is the big-picture decider. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:INFYShort
by WaveXplorer
Invest With My NeoWave ChartsNamaskaram Everyone This is an educational post in which i will describe how to read and trade with my wave Charts. So first lets start by seeing a wave Chart. First you will be seeing a S1 series called Short Term Trend. Than a group of S1 is denoted by M1 series called Medium Term Trend. Than a group of M series is marked by L series called Long term trend. All this means is that smaller trend makes a bigger trend and than more bigger trend and than more. This is how a wave structure become. All these Short, medium and long term trend are called Degree. You can think of them as a car gear like bigger the gear greater the speed of price and consolidation. In my charts i used total 10 gears but i am showing you 9 degree. See the below 3 images. Degree List 1 Degree List 2 Degree List 3 Now there are few more things left- Like you will be seeing some coding with C keyword like MC1,LC1, and a,AA,BB. These are consolidation or correction counting. Mean after a rally market rest or consolidate before resume another rally. We represent these consolidation period with LC1,AA,BB Like this. Now see some examples by which you can judge how much time and price a particular degree or gear can consume- Multiyear Trend This is an Bank Nifty chart, if you see that multiyear cycle is running for past 25 years. Each leg cover around 10 years. Super Trend Complete Cycle take 8 year, from 2012 to 2020 just imagine if you can think of an possibility in advance that next 8 years are going to bullish or bearish. Namaskaram
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by IIntelligentinvestor
Power Grid Corporation: Fibonacci Support Meets Trendline HurdleAfter months of consolidation, Power Grid Corp. finds itself at a decisive juncture. The stock has completed an expanded flat (3-3-5) correction from the highs of ₹362.50, ending at ₹247.30. From there, price staged a clear 5-wave impulse up to ₹322.00 — marked here as Wave 1/A . The subsequent decline has been corrective in nature, unfolding as a W-X-Y double zigzag that retraced precisely to the 0.618 Fibonacci level at ₹272.25 , with RSI oversold at the same point. This makes a strong case for Wave 2/B being in place . Currently, price is consolidating just below a long-standing trendline resistance . The technical map is straightforward: Bullish Case A convincing breakout above the trendline would confirm that Wave 2/B has ended at ₹272.25. That would open the door for a powerful Wave 3/C advance , with momentum likely to accelerate beyond ₹301.35 and eventually challenge the prior high of ₹322.00. Risk to the View Until the breakout is confirmed, risks remain. Failure to clear resistance keeps the door open for further choppiness, and only a decisive drop below ₹272.25 would suggest a deeper retest toward ₹247.30. In short: Power Grid is compressing between Fibonacci support and trendline resistance. A breakout here could ignite the next major trending move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:POWERGRIDLong
by WaveXplorer
Reliance Industries – Short-Term Bounce, Bigger Zigzag UnfoldingWave Structure The decline from the all-time high at 1608.80 to 1114.85 unfolded in a clean 5-wave impulse. Rather than a completed W–X–Y correction, this is best viewed as Wave A of a higher-degree zigzag (5-3-5). The subsequent rally into 1551 was a clear 3-wave move, marking Wave B . With this structure, the larger Wave C is now favored to be unfolding to the downside. Current Setup The drop from 1551 is impulsive, not corrective, which supports the case that Wave C is already in progress. Price is testing the MA200 and printed bullish RSI divergence (higher lows on RSI vs. lower lows on price), suggesting near-term exhaustion. This favors a short-term Wave 2 bounce before further downside unfolds. Outlook Short-term (bullish): Relief rally toward 1390–1420 possible as Wave 2 plays out. Medium-to-long term (bearish): Once Wave 2 completes, downside is expected in Wave 3–4–5 of C, with potential targets revisiting 1100 or lower. Invalidation: A sustained break above 1551 negates the bearish outlook and would suggest the correction has already ended. Summary Short-term: Bounce likely. Big picture: Bearish zigzag not yet complete. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:RELIANCEShort
by WaveXplorer
BPCL – Wave 2 Correction in PlayBPCL has completed a clear 5-wave advance from the 234.01 low to the 358.45 high, marking higher degree Wave 1. Price is now unfolding a corrective Wave 2, with Wave (a) already in place. Wave (b) is likely to take shape as a flat or a triangle before a final Wave (c) down . The retracement zone (0.5–0.618) from the Wave (1) start to Wave (5) high lies between 296–281, which is quite typical for second waves. RSI remains weak , suggesting that further downside into this zone is probable before the next leg higher begins. Invalidation : The bullish count fails if price drops below 234.01 (start of Wave 1). Overall, the setup favors a corrective pullback completing within the 296–281 zone, before a potential strong Wave 3 rally unfolds. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BPCLShort
by WaveXplorer
Titan - Potential up movement in future swingsHi everyone Welcome to intelligent investor, we provide market insights by synchronising and combining all the price action waves from different time frames and gives you single trend. Keynotes ## Titan is at good retracement levels. ## Trade with risk management that is 1 percent rule, not even 2 percent because with neowave or wave counts you gets plenty of swings to add more that is after confirmation of price action. ______________________________________________________ If you see different keyword in charts, here is the meaning and an explaining video will be made in some time how to read and trade with these waves charts. Still if you have any query , you can leave a comment, i will be happy to answer your query. Keyword Mean- S- Short Term Trend M- Medium Term Trend L- Long Term Trend 1,2,3,4,5 are wave bullish or bearish wave count C- mean consolidation or correction X- Like a joint in a trend or consolidation.
NSE:TITANLong
by IIntelligentinvestor
Nifty Neowave Counts updateHello Everyone Welcome to intelligent investor, we provide market insights by synchronising and combining all the price action waves from different time frames and gives you single trend. If you see different keyword in charts, here is the meaning and an explaining video will be made in some time how to read and trade with these waves charts. Still if you have any query , you can leave a comment. Keyword Mean- S- Short Term Trend M- Medium Term Trend L- Long Term Trend 1,2,3,4,5 are wave bullish or bearish wave count C- mean consolidation or correction X- Like a joint in a trend or consolidation.
NSE:NIFTY
by IIntelligentinvestor
Power Finance Corporation – Complex Correction Still in PlayAfter topping out near ₹580, Power Finance Corporation (PFC) has been locked in a prolonged corrective structure. The price action since mid-2023 suggests a triple correction (W-X-Y-X-Z) , with the final leg (Wave Z) now unfolding. Technical View Price broke down from a rising channel and is currently retesting the underside of that channel – a classic setup to watch for continuation. Wave (c) of Z appears to be in progress, keeping the near-term bias tilted bearish unless price crosses above ₹438.35 (invalidation level). A potential termination zone lies around ₹250–225, aligning with the highlighted support cluster. RSI is hovering in the mid-40s, showing lack of upside strength and leaning toward further weakness. Summary Bias remains bearish while below ₹438.35. A deeper leg into the ₹250–225 support cluster cannot be ruled out before this complex correction completes. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:PFCShort
by WaveXplorer
US 10Y Yield – Wave 4 Pause Before the Final SurgeDisclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. The Setup The US 10-year yield has been consolidating after topping near 5.021%. Price action since then has formed a contracting structure that looks very much like a Wave 4 triangle . At present, yields hover near 4.0% — a crucial pivot. Triangle view: Wave 4 is complete, setting the stage for Wave 5 higher. Flat view: If yields break below 4.0%, Wave 4 may stretch deeper into a flat correction, potentially testing 3.6–3.7%. Either way, the Elliott script points to one more advance: Wave 5 up . What Wave 5 Could Mean If the US 10-year yield really enters Wave ⑤ up, buckle up: Bond prices tank → inverse relation, so Treasuries bleed. Equities feel the heat → higher yields = expensive valuations, especially for growth stocks. Dollar flexes → global FX could see USD strength. Borrowing costs bite → mortgages, corporate loans, government debt servicing all tighten. In short: Wave ⑤ = a macro “stress test .” Why India Should Care A breakout in US yields rarely stays a US-only story. For India, it means: FII outflows as global funds chase safer US returns INR under pressure , increasing imported inflation risks Indian bond yields rising , even without RBI action Equity market stress , especially in IT and rate-sensitive sectors Final Thoughts The triangle scenario points to an imminent breakout above 5.0%. A deeper flat only delays it. For traders and investors, this is the chart to watch — because Wave 5 in US yields isn’t just a bond market story, it’s a global macro shockwave .
TVC:US10YLong
by WaveXplorer
BASF India – 53% Correction Nearing Wave 5 SupportBASF India, a leading chemicals producer, has witnessed a sharp correction from its euphoric highs of ₹8,750. In just a few months, the stock retraced nearly 53%, wiping out more than half its gains. Wave count From the ATH, price unfolded into a 5-wave impulse decline, bottoming near ₹4,065. This completed the Wave A of the zigzag. The subsequent recovery to ₹5,424 shaped up as a clear A-B-C corrective rally. Since then, the stock has been carving out another 5-wave decline, now progressing towards its final leg (Wave 5 and eventually Wave C of the zigzag). The support zone around ₹4,000 remains crucial — a likely area for Wave 5 to bottom. Momentum Check RSI sits near 43, showing weakness. No strong bullish divergence yet, which hints at the possibility of one last dip before a reversal attempt. Outlook If Wave 5 completes around the ₹4,000 zone, this could complete the ABC zigzag and BASF India could set the stage for a larger rebound sequence into 2026. If price breaks below 4000 convincingly and continues the downtrend, then we are in for a further deep correction. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BASFShort
by WaveXplorer
Birlasoft: Running or Expanded Flat Correction [3-3-5] in PlayAfter completing a strong rally to ₹861.85(identified as Wave B), Birlasoft has been locked in a corrective structure that is shaping up as a flat . At this stage, it remains open whether this develops as a Running Flat or an Expanded Flat . The Structure So Far Wave A bottomed at ₹251.90, setting the first leg of the correction. Wave B extended sharply to ₹861.85, exceeding the prior Wave 3 peak. Wave C has unfolded in five waves, with Wave (iii) bottoming at ₹331 — exactly the 100% Fibonacci extension of Wave (i) projected from Wave (ii). Key Levels to Watch ₹251.90 → If price holds above, Wave 4 qualifies as a Running Flat . If broken below , Wave 4 shifts into an Expanded Flat . ₹452 → The Wave (iv) high acts as the bearish invalidation level . RSI Context The RSI remains weak , Wave 4 often ends with bullish divergence in its fifth wave , which could trigger the start of the next impulse — Wave 5. Moving Averages A weekly 50/200 MA crossover confirms broader weakness, but such crossovers often come late in the cycle, which might suggest that Wave 4 may be nearing exhaustion. Outlook Birlasoft’s correction is in its final stages. A bullish divergence on RSI, combined with price stability above ₹251.90, could set the stage for Wave 5 rally to new highs . Conversely, a break below this critical level confirms an Expanded Flat and delays the bullish sequence. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:BSOFTShort
by WaveXplorer
Nifty 50 – Textbook Correction vs Triangle SetupNifty’s recent move can be read in two ways: Scenario 1: Textbook W–X–Y correction Price already topped at 25,153 (wave X) and is now heading lower in wave Y. The downside focus is on the 24,337 support. Scenario 2: Triangle setup in X Instead of a direct fall, price is forming a contracting triangle. After completing ABCDE inside X, the market can still break lower toward 24,337. This path is slower, with more sideways chop. Invalidation and Bullish Alternative If Nifty breaks above 25,153, both the textbook and triangle counts are invalid. In that case, the bullish alternative takes over—where the rally from 24,337 was wave 1, the dip to 24,404 was wave 2, and the current move is wave 3 higher. Key levels to watch: Support: 24,337 Resistance / Invalidation: 25,153 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WaveXplorer
Titan Company Limited – Fundamentals Meet Elliott WavesTitan Company, a jewel in the Tata Group crown, is best known for its dominant jewellery business , contributing nearly 90% of its revenue through brands like Tanishq, Mia, Caratlane, and Zoya. Watches and eyewear remain smaller segments, though they strengthen Titan’s brand presence. The company remains India-centric, with ~96% of revenues generated domestically. On the numbers side, Titan continues to deliver steady revenue growth — ₹637B (TTM) with net income at ₹37B and EPS near ₹42. Margins, however, are modest: net margin hovers around 6–7% , while returns on equity stay robust at ~30%. Despite these positives, Titan trades at premium valuations — P/E ~88×, P/S ~5×, and EV/EBITDA above 50×, levels that price in a lot of growth. Dividends are token (~0.3% yield, ₹11/share), as the company reinvests heavily to fuel expansion. The Elliott Wave Picture On the weekly chart, Titan appears to have completed a W–X–Y corrective Wave 4 near ₹2,925. From there, Wave 5 has started unfolding: Subwave 1: ₹2,925 → ₹3,665 Subwave 2: pullback to ₹3,307 Price is now pressing against resistance around ₹3,665–₹3,886. A clear breakout above this zone would likely confirm the onset of a powerful Wave 3 of 5 rally , projecting targets between ₹4,047 (1.0× extension) and ₹4,504 (1.618× extension) . Stop-loss / Invalidation: Below ₹3,307. Momentum indicators back the case: RSI shows a rising trendline, hinting at strengthening bullish energy. Putting It Together Fundamentals: Strong brand, steady growth, high ROE — but expensive and reliant on Indian jewellery demand. Technicals: Structure supports the case for a Wave 3 rally, provided price breaks out convincingly. Balance: Titan remains a growth stock priced at perfection . If the breakout sustains, technicals could offer near-term upside, but stretched valuations mean risks shouldn’t be ignored. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:TITANLong
by WaveXplorer
SBI Life Insurance – Rising Channel Breakdown with RSI WeaknessThe stock completed a clear 5-wave impulse from ₹1,382.65 to ₹1,833.90 . Since then, the structure has turned corrective, unfolding as a possible W–X–Y pattern. Price action: Price broke below the rising channel , signaling fading momentum. Immediate support lies at ₹1,783 , followed by ₹1,720 , and a deeper level near ₹1,640 . RSI observation: RSI has been sliding inside a falling channel since May, confirming weakening strength. Current reading is ~43.7, suggesting momentum is fading further. Trade bias: As long as price remains below ₹1,890 (stop-loss / invalidation), the structure favors further downside. Breakdown continuation could lead toward the ₹1,640 zone, which aligns with the projected end of Wave Y. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:SBILIFEShort
by WaveXplorer
Varun Beverages Ltd – Wave 2 Setup at Trendline SupportVarun Beverages Ltd. (VBL), PepsiCo’s second-largest global bottling partner, has been through a long and exhausting corrective phase. On the Elliott Wave chart, this stretched out as a W–X–Y–X–Z sequence, finally bottoming out at ₹449.3 . On the current chart you may not clearly see the entire W–X–Y–X–Z sequence, as it plays out on a slightly smaller scale — but it has been marked. From that final low of ₹449.3, price started a fresh impulse : Wave 1 up, then a tiny Wave 2 ending at ₹450 (just above the start of Wave 1). A smooth, non-overlapping Wave 3, 4, and 5 followed, with Wave 5 topping at ₹534.20. This whole structure completes a higher-degree Wave 1 . The current decline from ₹534.20 is unfolding as a classic ABC zigzag , which fits perfectly as a Wave 2 correction . Why this zone matters Fibonacci retracement: Price is now testing the 0.786 retrace of the entire rally (449.3 → 534.2). Trendline support: Aligns with a long-term rising trendline. Invalidation: As per Elliott rules, Wave 2 cannot break below 449.3 (start of Wave 1). That level is the final stop-loss. Trading roadmap Entry Zone: Around 467–470 (Fib + trendline confluence). Stop-loss: 449.3 (Wave 1 origin). Targets: A move above 534.20 would confirm Wave 3 is in progress, with further Wave 4 and Wave 5 projections to be plotted as price action evolves. This makes the setup very attractive from a risk–reward perspective : a tight stop vs. potentially large upside. Fundamentals lining up VBL just incorporated its joint venture with White Peak Refrigeration Pvt. Ltd . for visi-coolers and refrigeration equipment. Q2 CY2025: despite a 3% volume dip, revenue grew 2.5% and net profit rose 5% , aided by efficiencies and lower finance costs. International volumes (esp. South Africa, +16%) remain strong. So, while the chart points to a possible Wave 2 bottom , the fundamentals also provide support. (Source: in.tradingview.com) Conclusion If support holds at current levels, Varun Beverages could be setting up for a strong Wave 3 rally . If ₹449.3 is breached , the bullish impulse count is invalid and the structure must be re-evaluated. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:VBLLong
by WaveXplorer