#Banknifty directions and levels for July 19th.Banknifty:
Bank Nifty is still maintaining its range, so it might continue today as well. However, if it breaks the range, we can expect a move of a minimum of 50% to 78% to the upside. On the downside, if the market breaks the 50% Fibonacci level, we can expect a downside move to 78% to the swing low.
Elliotwaveanalysis
#Nifty directions and levels for July 19th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 19th:
In the last session, the Dow Jones fell drastically, indicating a negative bias. Our local market has a mixed bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by the Gift Nifty, which shows a +10 points.
Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing different structures. Nifty has a solid bullish structure, while Bank Nifty is in consolidation. Let's look at this one by one.
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty had a huge movement at the end of the day, making a new high with a solid handle. What’s next? I will explain step by step to help you easily understand.
Point 1: If you roughly look at the chart, it shows a solid bullish structure. You can expect the rally to continue if it breaks the previous high. This is the basic structure.
Point 2: But even if made a new high with solid candle The RSI did not break the previous high in 4H, 1H, or even 15min. At the same time, the Dow Jones also fell drastically.
Point 3: And if u look at the Bank Nifty it did not participate in this rally. but it has a consolidation. If it breaks the consolidation, it may help continue the rally. The probability is uncertain.
Considering these three points, it’s complicated to conclude the direction. Here’s my opinion: if the market breaks the previous high and Bank Nifty supports it, we can enter a long position, which may yield better results. Alternatively, if there is a solid breakout candle, you can enter, but the decision is yours. This is our bullish variation.
Bearish view:
Alternatively, if the market declines initially, we could wait for the 38% Fibonacci level breakout. If it breaks, we can expect a correction of a minimum of 50% to 78%. On the other hand, if it doesn’t break 38%, then it will maintain the bullish bias.
Nifty Trade Setup: Wave 4th Selling Opportunity, 1:7 RR Nifty Wave Analysis: July 18th 2024
Nifty is going up in extension after the June 4th crash. It clearly looks like Wave 3, and Wave 4 is about to begin.
Short Entry : 24587
Stop Loss : 24680
Expected Destinations:
23862 (23.6%)
23370 (38.2%)
And max 50%
Wave 4 could be a sharp correction, but we can't ignore the possibility of a time-wise correction. Therefore, selling monthly CE with a hedge is safer or Short Nifty Future.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not for trading. Please do your own analysis before making any decisions.
#Nifty directions and level for July 18th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 18th:
The global market has a bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones). Our local market has a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start because the Gift Nifty indicates a 20-point decrease.
Nifty:
In the previous trading session, Nifty opened with a gap-up but did not rise much higher. Structurally, it is showing consolidation, which is likely to continue in the same direction. However, this will only happen if it breaks the previous high.
Given that Gift Nifty suggests a gap-down opening today, the scenario changes slightly.
So, If the market declines initially, we can expect a 23% to 38% level of correction. After that, if it finds support at these levels, the consolidation may continue. For a continuation, it must break the 38% Fibonacci level solidly.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and the market pulls back, we can expect consolidation until it breaks the previous high. If it breaks the previous high with a solid candlestick structure, a rally continuation is expected, with some consolidations around the resistance levels. On the other hand, if it doesn't break with a solid candlestick structure, the market may continue in a diagonal pattern, meaning it won't generate much premium today. (I have plotted a bow and tie pattern).
Note: You can follow the same sentiment if it opens with a gap-up movement.
#Banknifty directions and level for July 18th.Bank Nifty:
For the second consecutive trading day, Bank Nifty has consolidated. This pattern may continue today, meaning even if the market opens with a gap-down or gap-up, it may consolidate between the levels of 52722 to 52263.
A rally may occur only if it breaks the level of 52722, and the downside correction will continue only if it breaks the level of 52263.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 16th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty maintained a range market in the previous session and may continue that today. We can try a range breakout trade: that's if the market breaks the previous day's high, we can expect a swing high to 52,878. On the other hand, if it declines, we should wait for a breakout below 52,263. If that happens, it may fall further to a swing low of 52,088.
Even if it breaks either upside or downside, the premium might not increase much. So please take your positions based on your knowledge.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 16th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 16th:
Global markets are maintaining their range (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market has a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open neutral to slightly gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 13 points at 8:00 am.
Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures: Nifty indicates a moderately bullish bias, while Bank Nifty indicates a range-bound market. Let's look at each one.
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty maintained a gap-up sentiment, but there was no big movement. Based on the wave structure, it could be a 5th wave, meaning a distribution wave. So, today we might see an initial correction. This is our first variation.
Alternatively, if the market pulls back and consolidates or breaks the supply zone, we can expect the rally to continue. in this case, If the market doesn't break the supply zone, it may consolidate between the supply zone and the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing.
> Without breaking this 38% level, it may maintain a bullish bias. A correction is expected only if it breaks the 38% level in the minor swing.
> that means, If it sharply rejects around the supply zone and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing, it may turn into a correction.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 15th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 15th:
The global markets are showing a slightly bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones). Our local market is maintaining a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open neutral or with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 50 points at 8:00 am.
Nifty and Bank Nifty have different structures: Nifty indicates a two-way move, while Bank Nifty indicates a range-bound market. Let's look at each one.
Nifty has closed above the all-time high after seven consecutive consolidation sessions. This suggests a solid rally ahead on a normal trading day. However, with the upcoming budget event, even if the market breaks the all-time high again, it is unlikely to go much higher due to current sentiment rather than technical factors.
> Based on this sentiment, if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a minimum of 24608 to 24644. After that, if the market rejects around the supply zone, we can expect a reversal of 38 to 78% in the Fibonacci sequence. This is our first variation. On the other hand, if the market doesn't reject there and consolidates, the rally will likely continue further.
> Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, it may range between the previous day's high and the 4th wave demand zone. In this sentiment, there is no big correction. The correction will continue only if it breaks 24420.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 15th.> Bank Nifty has a range-bound sentiment. If the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a range between the previous day's low and 52666. In this case, the rally will continue only if it breaks the level of 52666.
> Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, the same range-bound market may occur. If the initial market declines, it may continue the range between the previous day's high and 52090 or 78%. Here, the correction will continue only if it breaks the 78% Fibonacci level.
ULTRACEMCO - ELLIOT WAVE 5 IN MAKINGHi All,
This idea is about Ultratech Cement
Mkt Cap - 3L Cr
ROE - 12%
ROCE 15.3%
P/BV - 5.56
MktCap/Sales - 4.7
FCF - 2k Cr
Technicals
Price action being published is on a 1 hour TF. As can be seen by the pattern, Elliot waves are in motion. Wave 1 was an impulsive wave followed by Correction wave (Wave 2).
Ideally Wave 2 should correct to 50-60% as per Elliot theory & that is what happened during Wave 2 formation.
Wave 4 corrected again by 30% and point 4 above point 1 which all points to the validation of Elliot theory.
Wave 5 is about to commence which is as per the theory strongest impulse wave.
Cement Sector as a whole is doing well due to boost in infra sector.
Happy Trading,
Thanks,
Stock-n-Shine
KPIL KPIL
High Risky Stock is 3.06x as volatile as Nifty
News
Mumbai | Thursday, 11 July 2024: Kalpataru Projects International Limited (KPIL), one of the largest
Engineering & Construction companies listed in India along with its Joint Ventures (JVs) and international
subsidiaries have secured new orders/notification of awards of ₹ 2,995 Crores.
The details of the aforesaid new orders are as follows:
• Orders in the Transmission & Distribution (T&D) business in overseas markets
• EPC Order in the Water business in JV
• B&F orders in India
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 23.1%
Technically study "bullish" look into chart say...
some reasons
1) "W" patterns
2) well support of "fibo"
3) Elliott correction wave (ABC ) that main in this
4 ) news
5) all time high with volume spike .
targets are already opens with SL .
for MORE check in my Tv-id " in.tradingview.com "
If You LIKE👌👌 MY Idea ......Boost.🔥🔥🔥.. its.
"Disclosure : I am not Sebi-registered." This channel is for only educational purpose. Any profit/loss, I am not responsible.
Before taking any trade on our charts / calls, please consult your financial advisors. Thanks
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 12th.Yesterday, there was significant movement in Banknifty. What about next? As per the pullback, the market may go further up with minor consolidation. GiftNifty also indicates that. If the market opens with a gap-up, we can expect minor rejection around the immediate resistance level. If this happens, it may retrace up to 23 to 38%. After that, if the market finds support at the 38% level, it may continue the rally with minor consolidation. This is our basic structure.
In this case, we have to discuss something simple and not too complicated:
> 1st one, There is no need to reject around the immediate resistance level. If it happens, we can expect a minor retracement.
that menas If the market consolidates or breaks it with a solid candle structure, the rally will likely continue further(around the immediate resistance).
> 2nd one, Is there any correction possible? Yes, correction is also possible. If the retracement breaks the 38% Fib level, it may continue to range.
> This sentiment is also applicable for an initial market decline. This means that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market declines sharply initially, we can follow the same sentiment.
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 11th.BankNifty had a solid correction in the previous session with not much of a pullback compared to Nifty. The structure indicates that if the market breaks the previous day low, then the correction will likely continue because the previous day's minor consolidation indicates that. This is our first variation, meaning if the gap-up doesn't sustain or the market takes a decline initially, then we can expect the correction to continue if it breaks the previous day's low.
The alternate variation is similar to Nifty: if the gap-up sustains and consolidates around the 23% or 38% fib level or breaks the 23% or 38% fib level with a solid candle, then the rally will likely continue.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 11th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 11th:
There are no significant changes in the global markets, which are still showing a moderately bullish trend. However, our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 40 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty and BankNifty structures differ from one another. Let's look at them one by one.
Nifty had a huge swing in the previous session. However, the structure is obviously a range market. Today, GiftNifty indicates a slightly positive start. If it rejects around the immediate resistance, then we can expect a correction, meaning the range market will likely continue. For this correction to happen, it should break the 38% fib level in the current swing. If it doesn't break the 38% fib level, it may go a little bit further up.
This sentiment also applies to the initial market decline.that means If the gap-up doesn't sustain or the initial market takes a decline, then use the same sentiment.
The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-up sustains and consolidates around the 78% fib level or breaks the 78% fib level with a solid candle, then the rally will likely continue.
XAUUSD wave analysisXauusd currently near the resistance of 2365-2370
Two scenario from here :
Bullish scenario :
XAUUSD after making low of 2286 moving 3-3-3 waves till now
(a) wave completed from 2286 to 2368 (moved in 3 zigzag move up)
(b) wave completed from 2368 to 2293 (moved in 3 zigzag move down)
now
(c) wave started from 2293 to till now made high near 2365 ( internal wave a=wave b target done .
wave (c) can be 3 zigzag move abc which seems completed or it can be 3-3-5 up move
if wave (c) is in 5 wave than upside target is 2393.
Bearish scenario:
XAUUSD after making low of 2286 than moving 3-3-3-3-3 waves in triangle pattern.
of which wave abc completed
and wave d can be down in zigzag move for target of 2320-2310
Note : if it is bullish than gold should not go below 2340.
for bearish scenario one should wait for sturcture to change from HH-HL TO LH-LL
YESBANK (fibo )YESBANK
SL compulsory.
This Elliott Wave theory and understand how to effectively trade using this technique. Ralph Elliott discovered a very important pattern in the markets in early 20th century.
yes bank move with high volume with breakout still wait for retext .
targets and sl asper fibo .
for MORE check in my Tv-id " in.tradingview.com "
If You LIKE👌👌 MY Idea ......Boost.🔥🔥🔥.. its.
"Disclosure : I am not Sebi-registered." This channel is for only educational purpose. Any profit/loss, I am not responsible.
Before taking any trade on our charts / calls, please consult your financial advisors. Thanks
WELPSUN CORP - BULLISH - 3X CANDIDATE - LONG TERMHi Folks,
Fundamental Analysis
1. High top line growth - Sales growing at high growth.
2. High capex since 3 years. Operational leverage will play out in coming years.
3. PAT increasing constantly at a very decent growth.
4. PE is still undervalued, rerating will soar price multifold.
5. High free cash flows/ Cashflow from operations at its peek.
6. OPM is stable and increasing constantly.
Technical Analysis
1. A very big cup and handle visible, retesting breakout levels.
2. Elliott wave analysis - A fresh new larger impulse is visible.
3. Price shall follow marked channel upwards.
4. Targets are marked on cup and handle breakout.
5. Elliot wave targets are also marked basis on fib projections.
Not a trade recommendation. Do your own due diligence.
Globus Spirits Wave Counting and Next Targets 1700 and 2350!Here is why we are super bullish on Globus Spirits:
1. This stock has corrected deeply from the top (61.8% Fib).
2. Falling wedge pattern (proper buying angle).
3. Hidden bullish divergence.
4. Wave analysis: The stock has completed Waves A and B, and is now ready for Wave C.
5. Ichimoku turning positive.
We see great risk-to-reward in this stock. It has the potential to hit our targets and could rally even further.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bull Run Over? Will Nifty Return to 19K? | Nifty50 Wave AnalysisWave has already shared the Nifty wave counting (2020-24) earlier. Please refer to the following links:
Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis 2020-24 With Subordinates Counting
Strong Wave 5th is Happening: Nifty Wave Analysis in DTF
The big wave 5th of the impulse, which started from the 2020 COVID bottom, has hit 261.8%, and we have to go for a degree correction.
Three possibilities:
1. Rally Continues : Wave 5th can go in extension further if Nifty can sustain weekly candles above 24,127. It can hit 26,000, but the possibilities are very low due to many factors like divergences, Ichimoku gaps, Yearly CPR etc.
2. Time-wise Correction: Nifty can stay in a big range (4,000-5,000 points) for one or two years.
Who can benefit from this? Option sellers, for sure.
3. Price-wise Correction: Nifty can see a sharp fall to the demand zones we mentioned.
Who can benefit from this? Option buyers, directional options and future sellers.
Note: Edge is compulsory for any trades to avoid unexpected events since it's going to be a positional trade.
Entry Points:
Current Market Price is 24,302, and a 1-hour candle close below 24,170 is our short entry.
Stop Loss:
The safest SL is 24,610, but if this SL is too big for swing/intraday traders, they can keep the stop loss above 24,450.
Targets:
We have mentioned three demand zones in the chart based on Fibonacci retracement:
First Demand Zone: 22,000-22,500
Second Demand Zone: 20,030-20,960
Third Demand Zone: 18,000-18,500
Where is Nifty 50 Headed Next? Is the journey coming to an end? Date: 3rd July 2024
Nifty Elliot Wave Analysis - Daily Time Frame
General Trend:
Since March 2023, Nifty 50 has surged in a remarkable uptrend, skyrocketing from around 17,000 to an impressive 24,300—a spectacular leap of 7,300 points. So, has Nifty 50 reached its limit? Is the journey coming to an end?
Here is our previous analysis, which we posted on June 18th, and we are still using the same wave count.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Applying the Ichimoku cloud to the chart, we see that Nifty 50 is trending above the Monthly, Weekly, Daily, and Hourly clouds. This suggests that Nifty 50 still has more ground to cover. No sign of reversal yet in Ichimoku and Price action.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
Applying Elliott wave analysis to the entire leg of Nifty 50’s journey from March 2023 suggests that we are currently in subwave 3 of Wave 5.
The Wave 5th has already completed its minimum target at 127% (23,898) and is now looking to hit 161.8% (24,600). If this is surpassed, we could see 25,000+ which corresponds to the 200% Fibonacci ratio.
The Nifty trend will change only if the daily candle closes below 23,898.
Disclaimer:
We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
A Breakout in HDFC can take Bank Nifty to one more High? July 243rd July, 2024: Bank Nifty Elliott Wave Analysis
The impulse that started on June 4th after the election day crash is still ongoing and progressing through waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5.
Bank Nifty has completed waves 1, 2, and 3, and currently, we are in wave 4 (at present, we're not considering further extension scenarios of wave 3).
HDFC Bank & Bank Nifty:
HDFC Bank has a 28.38% weightage in the Bank Nifty index, and currently, HDFC is standing at a multi-year breakout level.
We shared the HDFC Bank analysis a few weeks ago; please check the link below.
[ Link to HDFC Bank Analysis ]
Buy Entry Points:
Wait for a good dip near the 51600-51800 range and check if the price forms a W pattern and gives a breakout above the TS, KS & Cloud in Ichimoku.
Exit Points:
We have to wait for the wave 4 low point to determine the wave 5 target. We will update the status here and in our Telegram group: t.me
Stop Loss:
100-150 points below the wave 4 low point. We will update once we get confirmation.
The risk-to-reward ratio will be great because wave 5 is expected to cross 53K.
Note: This trade is not active yet. Confirmation is always good for entry and exit.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.