XAUUSD — Gold is pulling backXAUUSD — Gold is pulling back, but the bigger structure still needs confirmation
Gold is starting to correct after the latest push into the highs, and the current move is no longer behaving like a clean continuation leg.
At this stage, the chart is shifting from expansion into reaction, and that makes the next few levels much more important than the last rally itself.
For Kelly, this is not the place to chase direction emotionally.
This is the place to read whether the pullback is only a reset inside strength, or the beginning of a deeper structural retracement.
Technical structure
From the chart, gold completed a strong upside leg into the 4800 area and then quickly gave back part of that move.
The rejection from the top was sharp enough to break short-term momentum and push price back below the most recent recovery shelf.
That matters because once a market finishes an impulsive leg and starts losing hold above fresh highs, the next phase often becomes correction before continuation.
Right now, the first technical reference sits around the 4655–4650 sell zone.
This is the nearest recovery ceiling and the area where sellers may continue to defend the lower-high structure if gold tries to bounce.
Below current price, the chart highlights two important support layers:
4554 as the first short-term reaction level
4483 as the stronger support and liquidity floor
If both levels fail to stabilize price, the broader correction can extend toward the deeper target zone around 4300.
What the chart is saying
The current decline is not random.
It comes after a completed upside sequence, a fast rejection from the high, and a return below the local trend support.
That usually suggests the market is no longer trading in clean breakout mode.
Instead, it is testing how much of the previous rally can hold once momentum starts to fade.
The key question now is whether gold can build a base above 4554–4483, or whether every rebound continues to get capped under 4655–4650.
If price keeps failing below that sell zone, then the downside path remains active and the chart becomes more vulnerable to a deeper correction.
Kelly’s trade map
For Kelly, the structure now favors patience and reaction-based decisions.
Scenario 1 — Stabilization above support
If gold holds around 4554 or 4483 and buyers respond with stronger candles, the market may start building a temporary base.
That would reduce immediate downside pressure, but buyers still need to reclaim 4650–4655 to weaken the bearish tone meaningfully.
Scenario 2 — Correction extends lower
If rebounds remain weak and support begins to crack, then the correction has room to continue toward the 4300 area.
That would fit the idea of a deeper reset after the completed move into the highs.
Kelly’s read
This is no longer a chart in clear bullish expansion.
It is a chart in post-rally correction.
The broader macro backdrop may still keep gold supported on deeper dips, but technically the market has already lost momentum from the top, and that changes the tone of the setup. The current geopolitical backdrop can keep volatility elevated, but volatility alone does not guarantee trend continuation.
For Kelly, the better read is simple:
as long as gold stays below 4655–4650, the market remains vulnerable to further retracement.
Only a clean reclaim of that zone would suggest the pullback is losing control.
Conclusion
Gold is correcting after a strong upside leg, and the chart is now testing whether support can absorb the reset.
As long as price remains below 4655–4650, the structure stays vulnerable, with 4554 and 4483 as the first key supports and 4300 as the deeper correction target if pressure expands.
The rally has paused. Now the market is deciding whether this is only a reset — or the start of a deeper unwind.
Ellottwave
BTC Wave 4 Bounce Looks Like a Trap! Is it?BTC is still moving inside a clear corrective channel, with the current bounce likely forming wave 4 before one final drop toward the 1.618 extension near 79,650 . The highlighted red zone shows a potential trap area where price may lure traders into thinking a reversal has started. Until BTC breaks above the channel convincingly, the broader structure still favors a wave 5 decline. The wave count from 1–2–3 supports this final leg down before any major recovery.
Stay Tuned!
@Money_Dictators
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Massive Breakout?Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs. We will update you soon!
No more ruling the skies of the aviation sector!! - INDIGOInterglobal Aviation (INDIGO) has shown several bearish patterns recently, indicating potential downward trends in its stock performance.
Weekly : Bearish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern.
Daily : Three Outside Down with very weak volume
Each candlestick pattern confirms a bearish trend, suggesting a short trade. Additionally, global factors are expected to impact the aviation sector.
Entry: 4425
Stop Loss: 4740
Target: Open/Mentioned.
Let me know if you found this interesting.
Happy trading! 😄
VEDL can break multiyear consolidation.NSE:VEDL
VEDL is consolidating for near 13 years now. For these many years consolidation means complex correction in Elliott Wave Theory. I label the counts on chart it's clear that VEDL is on last phase of WXY corrective wave. But wave Y is not yet completed I think.
I think VEDL will go near demand zone at least for completion of wave Y which is also near 200 day exponential moving average.
Wave 3 is always strongest in price movement and in volume. So, after wave Y wave 3 of Supercycle wave will start to form.
In most of cases after this many years of consolidation stock moves sharply in it's main direction and in VEDL it will be bullish.
Good For Long Term
My targets for VEDL are:-
1) 800/- which is 1.618 reverse retracement of Supercycle wave 1.
2) 1300/- which is 2.618 reverse retracement of Supercycle wave 1.
ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS 11.07.2021BUY : 271 TO 243
TARGET : 323
Reason For Buying This Script :
In this script it is forming Elliott Wave in monthly time frame . So we can go for buy try to accumulate .
Once the price close above 323 in monthly time frame and the next target up to 446 .
Note :
Above given levels are based on monthly & weekly time frame . So be patience it will take some days to achieve the target.
ALL THE BEST ..
Its an ABC or 123 / Ichimoku CloudIts is above the cloud but span A and B are flat . As per Elliott wave trend channel is along the cloud. It seems to be a wave 4 correction. If trend channel along with the cloud are breached it may be a long flat correction down . Use Price action to trade it. Regards.
UEducation














