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GBPUSD: Testing key support as Cable traders await major UK dataGBPUSD pokes a three-month support region as pressure builds ahead of the UK employment and inflation data, as well as the US Retail Sales, set to release this week. Pound Sterling bears flex muscles Despite several technical levels testing the GBPUSD sellers, a potential bear cross between the 100-bar and 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) keeps the bears optimistic. The weakening bullish momentum in the MACD and a steady RSI support the downside outlook. Additionally, a sustained break below an ascending support line from early August, now acting as resistance, favors the bears. Key technical levels to watch The GBPUSD pair is currently held up by a three-month support zone around 1.3040-30, just above the psychological level of 1.3000. If it drops below 1.3000, a quick decline to the late July swing high around 1.2940 and then to early August peaks near 1.2870-60 could follow. In a case where the Pound Sterling remains bearish past 1.2860, it becomes vulnerable to slump toward August’s bottom of near 1.2665. On the flip side, GBPUSD recovery remains elusive below the 100 and 200 EMAs, currently near 1.3145 and 1.3150. A seven-week horizontal resistance zone near 1.3230-40 and a previous support line around 1.3330 also pose challenges for Cable buyers. If bulls can push past 1.3330, a rally toward the last monthly high near 1.3435 is possible. Sellers stay in control While robust technical support is challenging GBP/USD sellers, a dovish outlook for the Bank of England and anticipated weak UK data, alongside rising hawkish sentiment from the Fed, may keep bears in control. Upcoming data could create some volatility, but the bearish sentiment remains strong.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD: “Rising Wedge” signals selling pressure on PoundGBPUSD experienced its biggest decline in a week the previous day as the US Dollar strengthened ahead of the September jobs data. The Pound Sterling tested a bearish rising wedge pattern but managed to bounce back from the lower line of this formation. Despite this slight recovery, traders are cautious and watching closely as they await the US ADP Employment Change report on Wednesday, followed by the important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday. Sellers flex muscles… Besides the US Dollar’s rebound before the key US data, bearish MACD signals also keep the GBPUSD sellers hopeful. However, the nearly oversold conditions of RSI (14), the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 200-SMA, and downbeat expectations from the US statistics suggest a long and bumpy road for the bears. Technical levels to watch… If GBP/USD falls below 1.3240, it will confirm a bearish rising wedge pattern, making this level critical for traders. Another important support level is the 200-SMA at 1.3180. Should the pair break below this, it may target the horizontal support zone around 1.3030, with 1.3000 serving as a psychological level. Further declines could lead to August's low near 1.2665 and possibly down to the wedge's target of 1.2370. On the upside, the GBPUSD pair faces resistance at 1.3310 and 1.3360, with the latest peak around 1.3435. If the pair breaks above 1.3435, it will encounter the top line of the rising wedge near 1.3465. Successfully moving past 1.3465 could set the stage for a rally toward the February 2022 high of about 1.3645. Expect a price pullback, but not a significant drop Overall, the GBPUSD buyers appear to be losing momentum, with sellers positioned near the bottom of the wedge and the 200-SMA. However, potential weakness in US data and several support levels make it challenging for sellers to gain full control.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold: Edges higher within bullish channel, focus on $2,530 & NFPGold buyers are gearing up for potential weekly gains as the metal rebounds from a resistance-turned-support level that's been holding steady for seven weeks. With the crucial US August jobs report, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), on the horizon, traders are cautious before the release. A smoother road for bulls Gold's recent bounce from past resistance and a 2.5-month-old bullish trend channel suggest more gains ahead. That said, supportive RSI and weakening bearish MACD signals also favor buyers. Important technical levels to watch A 13-day-old descending trend line, close to $2,530 at the latest, guards immediate upside of the gold price ahead of the all-time high surrounding $2,532 marked in August. Following that, the aforementioned bullish trend channel’s upper line, close to $2,558, and the $2,600 round figure will gain attention of the buyers. On the contrary, sellers will wait for a clear downside break of the multi-day-old previous resistance line, near $2,470 as we write, for taking fresh entries. Even so, a convergence of the 50-SMA and bottom line of previously stated bullish channel, near $2,439, will be a tough nut to crack for the bears before taking control. It’s worth noting that the 100-SMA level around $2,388 acts as an additional downside filter. What Next? Gold buyers are poised for potential new highs, but gains might be limited before the key US jobs data is released.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD: Sellers stay optimistic, watching 21-EMA & US dataThe EURUSD pair has lost momentum after briefly recovering from the 21-EMA support level. Traders are now focused on upcoming US job reports, including the Initial Jobless Claims, ADP Employment Change, and ISM Services PMI. This cautious mood is making it hard for the Euro to gain traction. Multiple catalysts lure Euro bears The EURUSD pair has been stuck in a trading range for a week, with the RSI (14) showing no strong trend. However, a bearish chart pattern and bearish MACD signals keep sellers hopeful. Optimism about strong US data and concerns about an economic slowdown in the Eurozone add to the negative outlook for the Euro. Technical levels to watch EURUSD pair’s repeated bounces of 21-EMA support of 1.1050 highlights the numbers as a tough nut to crack for short-term sellers. Following that, a three-month-old resistance-turned-support near 1.0980 will lure the bears. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0980, a gradual decline toward the rising wedge confirmation’s theoretical target near 1.0700 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, EURUSD buyers need validation from 1.1080 to regain control. Even so, the aforementioned rising wedge’s bottom line surrounding 1.1210 will be a crucial resistance to watch for the bulls. Following that, the pair’s gradual run-up toward the previous yearly high of 1.1275 appears more likely. Looking ahead… A slew of US employment and activity data will decorate Thursday’s economic calendar and direct EURUSD traders. However, the quote’s failure to cheer the US Dollar’s weakness can please sellers should the scheduled statistics favour the Greenback’s run-up by dimming the odds of heavy Fed rate cuts.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold buyers have various obstacles to tackle, including US NFPDespite posting a Doji candlestick on Thursday, the Gold price appears well set for the second consecutive weekly gain as traders await the US employment details for June. In doing so, the XAUUSD defends the mid-week breakout of a month-old descending resistance line, now immediate support around $2,350, backed by upbeat RSI conditions and the bullish MACD signals. Also keeping the bullion buyers hopeful is the quote’s ability to stay beyond the 50-SMA level. However, a slew of upside hurdles and likely upbeat prints of the US jobs report, including the top-tier Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), test optimists ahead of the key data. Among the resistances, a fortnight-old horizontal area surrounding $2,365-68 caps the immediate upside of the precious metal. Following that, a region comprising multiple tops marked since mid-April, near $2,387-92, will challenge the advances before the last defense of the bears, namely a three-month-old horizontal region around $2,431-34. It’s worth noting that the $2,400 threshold and the all-time high marked in May around $2,450 are extra filters toward the north. Meanwhile, the Gold sellers will need validation from strong US employment data and a daily closing beneath the resistance-turned-support line surrounding $2,350. In that case, the 50-SMA level of $2,339 will grab the attention of short-term XAUUSD bears. Should the quote remain weak past $2,339, it will quickly drop to $2,318 but a convergence of a three-month-old rising trend line and 50% Fibonacci ratio of March-May upside, near $2,297-96, will be a tough nut to crack for the sellers afterward. If the bullion bears manage to keep the reins past $2,296, the early April swing low of near $2,265 and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of $2,261 can flash on their radars. Overall, Gold remains bullish ahead of the top-tier data but the upside room appears limited.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD defends week-start recovery as UK employment data loomsGBPUSD stays defensive above 1.2700 as traders await the UK’s monthly employment data early Tuesday. In doing so, the Pound Sterling keeps the previous day’s recovery from a seven-week-old rising support line and the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Monday’s rebound also justifies an uptick in the RSI (14) line but fails to gather momentum amid bearish MACD signals. As a result, the Cable pair is likely to mark another attempt to cross a descending resistance line from July 2023, close to the 1.2800 threshold at the latest. However, any further upside appears lacking acceptance, which if takes place could challenge the yearly high marked in March around 1.2895 and the 1.2900 round figure. Should the buyers keep the reins past 1.2900, the 1.3000 psychological magnet and late 2023 peak of 1.3142 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, the 21-day EMA level of 1.2710 and the aforementioned rising support line, close to the 1.2700 mark, restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair. It’s worth noting, however, that the Pound Sterling’s sustained weakness beneath 1.2700 will direct sellers toward the early May swing high of nearly 1.2635 and then to the 50% Fibonacci ratio of the pair’s July-October 2023 fall, near 1.2590. Following that, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of around 1.2455 and an upward-sloping trend line from October 2023, near 1.2400, will act as the final defense of the bulls. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is likely to extend the latest recovery ahead of the UK employment data but the upside room appears limited, which in turn suggests the need for strongly positive statistics to defend the buyers.
by MTradingGlobal
“Golden Cross” directs Gold buyers toward $2,400 as US NFP loomsGold braces for the first weekly gain in three even as it seesaws at the highest level in a fortnight early Friday. That said, the precious metal’s latest inaction could be linked to the cautious mood ahead of the US monthly employment data including the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Even so, the quote’s capacity to reverse from a month-old rising support line, backed by the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line, keeps the buyers hopeful. Apart from that, the 50-SMA also crosses the 200-SMA from below and portrays a bullish moving average crossover known as the “Golden Cross”, which in turn also suggests the XAUUSD’s upside. With this, the bullion is almost certain to hit an 11-week-old previous support line, now immediate resistance near the $2,400 threshold. However, a horizontal area comprising tops marked since early April, around $2,431-33, quickly followed by the all-time high of $2,450 flashed in May, will challenge the bulls afterward. On the contrary, a strong US jobs report and a firmer US Dollar could drag the Gold price back toward the aforementioned SMAs, close to $2,346-45 by the press time. Following that, a one-month-old ascending support line near $2,320 and the $2,300 round figure will lure the XAUUSD bears. It’s worth noting that May’s low of nearly $2,277 acts as the final defense of the buyers, a break of which will give control to the bullion sellers targeting late March swing high surrounding $2,222. Overall, the Gold price is likely to extend the previous run-up but the upside room is limited.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls need validation from 0.6720 to keep the reinsAUDUSD bulls struggle to keep command at the highest level since January as a jump in the Aussie Unemployment Rate supersedes upbeat Employment Change data from the Pacific major and challenges the previous day’s run-up. That said, the risk-barometer pair marked the biggest daily rise in six months on Thursday after softer US inflation and Retail Sales numbers drowned the US Dollar. The Aussie pair’s upside also took clues from hopes about more stimulus from China. Technically, the upbeat RSI (14) and the bullish MACD signals join the AUDUSD pair’s upside break of a four-month-old horizontal resistance, now immediate support near 0.6645-40, to keep the buyers hopeful. However, a downward-sloping resistance line from early February 2023, near 0.6720 by the press time, challenges the quote’s immediate upside. Following that, the pair’s quick run-up toward the yearly high of 0.6839 and then to the late 2023 peak surrounding 0.6870 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the March 2024 peak of near 0.6665 acts as immediate support for the pair traders to watch ahead of the aforementioned resistance-turned-support near 0.6645-40. It’s worth noting that a one-month-old rising support line of around 0.6610, quickly followed by the 0.6600 threshold, will act as the final defense of the AUDUSD buyers before giving control to the sellers. Overall, the AUDUSD pair remains on the bull’s radar but the pair’s further upside hinges on a daily closing beyond 0.6720.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD pokes nine-week-old resistance as key UK/US data loomGBPUSD regains upside momentum, after posting the first weekly loss in three, as buyers defend the previous week’s reversal from the 20-SMA to poke a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from early March, close to 1.2560 at the latest. The Cable pair’s recovery also takes clues from the bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI conditions, not overbought. With this, the Pound Sterling is likely to cross the immediate upside hurdle and aim for the 100-SMA resistance of 1.2633. Following that, the 1.2700 threshold and late March’s swing high near 1.2800 could test the buyers before directing them to the yearly top surrounding 1.2895. Meanwhile, the quote’s pullback needs validation from the 20-SMA support of 1.2495 to convince sellers. Even so, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci ratios of the Cable pair’s run-up from October 2023 to March 2024, respectively near 1.2460 and 1.2365, will challenge the bears. It’s worth noting that the yearly bottom marked in April, close to 1.2300, appears the last defense of the GBPUSD buyers, a break of which will open doors for the pair’s gradual fall toward the late 2023 swing low of near 1.2030 and then to the 1.2000 psychological magnet. Overall, GBPUSD remains on the front foot despite last week’s failure to cross the aforementioned resistance line. However, the technical formation also needs support from the UK employment report and the US inflation clues to convince the bulls.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold grinds within the falling wedge ahead of the US NFPGold price brace for the second consecutive weekly loss despite downbeat US Dollar performance. In doing so, the precious metal seesaws between the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA while posting mild intraday losses within a two-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation. That said, cautious sentiment ahead of the monthly US employment report and sluggish oscillators restrict the XAUUSD’s immediate moves within the bullish chart pattern. It should be noted that a downside break of the 200-SMA level of $2,289 will direct the sellers toward the stated wedge’s bottom line surrounding $2,278, a break of which will defy the bullish chart formation and can drag the commodity prices toward the early April swing high of around $2,265. On the contrary, a convergence of the 50-SMA and the previously stated falling wedge’s top line, close to $2,319-20, appears a tough nut to crack for Gold buyers. Following that, the late April swing high of around $2,353 and the $2,400 threshold will lure the XAUUSD bulls. In a case where the Gold buyers remain confident past $2,400, the theoretical target of the falling wedge confirmation, near $2,440, will be in the spotlight. Overall, Gold portrays bullish consolidation ahead of the key US employment data, despite the US Dollar’s downbeat performance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD extends recovery on mixed data but stays on bear's radarAUDUSD prints mild gains around mid-0.6400s despite mixed outcomes of the Aussie employment report and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) quarterly Bulletin. In doing so, the risk-barometer pair also cheers the US Dollar’s pullback, as well as cautious optimism in the market, while defending the previous day’s rebound from 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside. It’s worth noting, however, that bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the support-turned-line stretched from early November, close to 0.6510 at the latest, challenge the buyers. Even if the pair manages to remain firmer past 0.6510, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.6550 and a 3.5-month-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding 0.6640-50 will be crucial for the bulls to cross before retaking control. Meanwhile, the AUDUSD pair’s fresh selling could aim for the retest of 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 0.6380. Following that, the nearly oversold RSI (14) and an ascending support trend line stretched from late 2022, around 0.6350 at the latest, will be the key test for the bears. Should the quote remain weak past 0.6350, the odds of witnessing a slower grind toward the previous yearly low of 0.6270 and the year 2022 bottom of 0.6170 can’t be ruled out. Overall, the AUDUSD pair’s latest rebound could be considered an opportunity for fresh selling. However, the fundamentals need to be watched carefully before taking positions.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD keeps rebound from 1.0725-20 support as EU/US data looomEURUSD recovered from a two-month-old horizontal support the previous day while teasing buyers with the biggest intraday gains in a week ahead of today’s top-tier data from the Eurozone and the US. The corrective bounce from the said support crossed a one-week-long descending resistance and gained support from the firmer RSI (14) line to lure the Euro bulls. However, a convergence of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s fall from December 2023 to February 2024 and the 50-SMA, around 1.0800 by the press time, will challenge the pair buyers. Following that, the previous week’s peak of around 1.0865 and the downward-sloping resistance line from late December 2023, near 1.0910, could restrict the quote’s further upside. On the flip side, the resistance-turned-support line stretched from last Tuesday, close to 1.0760 at the latest, limits the EURUSD pair’s immediate downside ahead of the previously stated horizontal support zone near 1.0725-20. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) conditions and the yearly low of near 1.0700-695 might raise the bars for the Euro bears past 1.0720. In a case where the sellers keep the reins below 1.0695, the odds of witnessing a southward trajectory toward the May 2023 low of near 1.0625 can’t be ruled out. To sum up, EURUSD is likely to witness further recovery in prices as traders await the Eurozone inflation and the US ISM Services PMI, as well as the US ADP Employment Change. However, the upside room for the prices appears limited unless the scheduled data disappoints the US Dollar bulls and favors the Euro’s latest advances.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD hovers above 1.2770 resistance-turned-support on key dayGBPUSD regains 1.2800 after snapping a six-day losing streak, making rounds to 1.2820 heading into Tuesday’s European session. In doing so, the Cable pair portrays the market’s cautious mood ahead of the all-important UK employment data and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. That said, the overbought RSI (14) line joins the pre-data anxiety to test the Pound Sterling buyers. However, a seven-month-old resistance line, now support around 1.2770, challenges the immediate downside of the quote. Even if the pair drops beneath the resistance-turned-support of 1.2770, the 50-SMA level of 1.2690 and convergence of the 100-SMA and 200-SMA, close to 1.2585, will act as the final defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears. Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair’s sustained run-up needs strong UK data, as well as softer US inflation to entertain the keep the Pound Sterling buyers on board. Even so, the yearly high marked on last Friday, around 1.2895, will be a tough nut to crack for the Cable buyers. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.2895, backed by the positive fundamentals, the quote could aim for the tops marked in July 2023 near 1.2995 and 1.3140 in that order. To sum up, the GBPUSD pair buyers keep the reins on the day of releases of the key employment and inflation data from the UK and the US.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold eases from record top, focus on $2,150, US NFPGold price snaps seven-day winning streak while retreating from the all-time high (ATH) of nearly $2,165 to $2,156 early Friday. In doing so, the precious metal portrays the consolidation of recent gains ahead of the all-important US employment details for February amid the overbought RSI (14) conditions. It’s worth noting, however, that the bullion still trades above the immediate resistance-turned-support, namely the previous record high marked in 2023 around $2,150. Hence, the XAUUSD sellers need validation from the US jobs report as well as the $2,150 to retake control. Following that, a quick fall toward the late December 2023 peak of around $2,090 and the $2,065-64 support zone can’t be ruled out. Even so, the commodity bears need to remain cautious unless the quote offers a daily closing beneath three-week-old rising support and the 100-SMA, respectively near $2,050 and $2,022. On the flip side, the Gold buyers stay in the driver’s seat and can aim for a 10-month-old ascending resistance line, close to $2,185 by the press time, during further upside. Should the quote manage to ignore the RSI conditions and remain firmer past $2,185, the $2,200 round figure will act as an extra filter toward the north. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD’s successful trading above $2,200 enables buyers to aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of its moves between 2018 and 2022, around $2,336. Overall, Gold price remains on the bullish trend but a pullback appears imminent unless the scheduled data fail to inspire US Dollar’s rebound.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls jostle with multi-month-old resistance lineGBPUSD rose to the highest level in a month the previous day but failed to offer a daily closing beyond a downward-sloping resistance line from July 2023. In addition to the inability to cross the key trend line resistance, softer prints of the UK PMIs and sluggish MACD signals also challenged the Cable pair buyers. However, the quote’s capacity to remain firmer past the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the firmer RSI (14) line push back the bears. Hence, the Pound Sterling bulls are likely to keep the reins and can overcome the immediate resistance line, close to 1.2700 by the press time, but its further advances need validation from the late 2023 swing high of around 1.2830 and the MACD signals to confirm the bullish trend. In that case, tops marked on July 23 and 13, respectively around 1.3000 and 1.3140, will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, the GBPUSD pair’s pullback moves remain elusive beyond a one-month-old rising support line, close to 1.2600. Following that, the Cable bears will need confirmation from the 200-EMA level of 1.2530 on a daily closing basis to retake control. Should that happen, the quote’s gradual downward trajectory toward highs marked in November and October of 2023, around 1.2430 and 1.2335 in that order, can’t be ruled out. Overall, the GBPUSD pair remains on the bull’s radar despite the latest struggle with the key resistance line. Apart from the technical details, the cautious mood ahead of the US ADP Employment Change and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Testimony also appear crucial to determine near-term moves of the Pound Sterling.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold again retreats from 200-SMA but bears need validationGold price fades bounce off a two-month-old rising support line, failing to cheer the US Dollar’s weakness, as the 200-SMA hurdle again challenges the metal buyers ahead of the second-tier employment clues from the US. Not only the 200-SMA resistance surrounding $2,040 and the pre-data anxiety, steady RSI and sluggish MACD signals also challenge the XAUUSD buyers. Even if the quote manages to cross the $2,040 upside hurdle, a five-week-long horizontal resistance zone of around $2,065 will be a tough nut to crack for the bullion buyers before retaking control. Following that, a run-up toward the late December 2023 peak of near $2,088 will be quick to witness on the chart. Meanwhile, an ascending support line from early December, close to $2,020 by the press time restricts the short-term downside of the Gold price. In a case where the XAUUSD remains bearish past $2,020, the mid-January swing low of near the $2,000 threshold will return to the charts. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s weakness past $2,000 makes it vulnerable to slump toward the two-month low of nearly $1,973 before challenging the November 2023 trough surrounding $1,930. Overall, Gold Price remains pressured on a short-term basis but the sellers need validation from technical and fundamental perspectives.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls flex muscles ahead of UK employment, US inflationGBPUSD picks up bids to extend the previous day’s rebound from a six-week-old rising support line as traders prepare for the UK jobs report and the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair also justifies a recovery in the RSI (14) line. However, a fortnight-old descending trend channel joins the sluggish MACD signals to challenge buyers. Should the quote manage to cross the 1.2580 immediate hurdle, its run-up toward a downward-sloping resistance line from late November, near 1.2690, will be imminent. Following that, the previous monthly high of near 1.2735 and a seven-week-long rising resistance line, close to 1.2870, will be in the spotlight. Meanwhile, a downside break of the aforementioned support line, around 1.2540 by the press time, isn’t an open invitation to the GBPUSD sellers as the bottom line of the previously stated channel and the 200-SMA, respectively near 1.2470 and 1.2420, will challenge the fall. Also acting as the downside filter is the mid-November swing low surrounding 1.2370, a break of which will make the Pound Sterling vulnerable to dropping toward the November 10 trough near 1.2185. Overall, GBPUSD is likely to reverse the previous week’s losses unless the UK/US data recall the pair sellers.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD fades bounce off 21-SMA, UK inflation, US inflation eyedGBPUSD snaps a two-day winning streak with mild losses around 1.2270 as traders await the UK employment and the US inflation data on early Tuesday. In doing so, the Cable pair fades bounce off the 21-day SMA. However, the absence of an overbought RSI (14) line, bullish MACD signals and the quote’s defense of the early-month resistance breakout keeps the buyers hopeful. With this, the tops marked in October around 1.2290 and the monthly high of near 1.2340 could lure the Pound Sterling bulls during a fresh run-up. However, the 200-day SMA level surrounding 1.2440 appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls, a break of which won’t hesitate to direct the prices toward the August month’s swing low of around 1.2550. It’s worth noting, however, that the fundamentals are against the bullish technical signals considering the UK’s economic weakness vis-à-vis the US. Even so, the 21-day SMA and the previous resistance line, respectively near 1.2200 and 2120, restrict the short-term downside of the GBPUSD pair. In a case where the Pound Sterling bears dominate past 1.2120, a five-week-old horizontal support near 1.2070, the previous monthly low of near 1.2035 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet could test the sellers before giving them full control. Overall, the GBPUSD pair is likely to edge higher unless the scheduled data posts too disappointing numbers.
by MTradingGlobal
Rising wedge confirmation favors USDCAD bears at 13-day lowUSDCAD posted the biggest weekly loss in more than seven months amid broad-based US Dollar weakness and the upbeat performance of WTI crude oil, which is Canada’s biggest export earner. In doing so, the Loonie pair also confirmed a two-month-old rising wedge bearish chart formation. Also strengthening the downside bias are bearish MACD signals and an absence of oversold RSI. With this, the quote is likely to extend the latest south-run towards the theoretical target of rising wedge confirmation, i.e. 1.3220. That said, the 50-SMA restricts the immediate downside of the pair to around 1.3630 while a convergence of the 100-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-November upside, near 1.3490, will act as an extra filter toward the south. Meanwhile, the USDCAD pair’s corrective bounce appears less impressive unless it stays below the aforementioned wedge’s bottom line, close to 1.3760 by the press time. Even if the Loonie pair crosses the 1.3760 immediate upside hurdle, the wedge’s top line and the recent peak, respectively near 1.3890 and 1.3900, should check the bulls before giving them control. Additionally, the previous yearly top surrounding 1.3980 and 1.4000 psychological magnet will also prod the quote’s upside. Overall, the USDCAD pair is likely to remain bearish during the trading week comprising lesser data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bears again approach 0.6285 key supportAUDUSD extends the previous day’s retreat from the weekly top towards the bottom line of a three-week-old descending triangle surrounding 0.6285, tested twice in October. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is nearly oversold and hence challenges the Aussie bears around the key support. The same highlights the probability of witnessing a bounce from 0.6285 support but the recovery remains elusive unless the quote confirms the aforementioned bullish triangle, by crossing the 0.6390 upside hurdle. Even so, the 200-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from early August, close to 0.6400 and 0.6440 respectively at the latest, will test the Aussie bulls before giving them control. Meanwhile, a downside break of the stated 0.6285 key support will need validation from the November 2022 low of around 0.6270 to keep the AUDUSD bears on the table. In that case, the 0.6200 round figure and the previous yearly low of around 0.6170 could lure the pair sellers. In a case where the pair remains weak past 0.6170, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the April 2020 bottom of around 0.5980. That said, softer Australia Employment Change and Participation Rate join the broad US Dollar recovery to weigh on the AUDUSD pair. However, the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD recovery hopes to stay valid beyond 1.2430GBPUSD consolidates losses made in the last three consecutive weeks ahead of the UK’s employment report. Adding strength to the recovery momentum is the RSI (14) line’s rebound from the oversold territory, as well as a six-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation, which in turn suggests an immediate run-up to cross the 1.2600 round figure. However, the upward trajectory needs validation from the stated wedge’s top line, close to 1.2640 by the press time, to highlight the theoretical target of around 1.3190. During the theoretical run-up, the 50-SMA level of around 1.2750, June’s high surrounding 1.2850 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet will act as intermediate halts. Meanwhile, the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s March-July upside, near 1.2470, limits the immediate downside of the GBPUSD pair. That said, a convergence of the 200-SMA and the wedge’s bottom line, close to 1.2430, appears a tough nut to crack for the Cable pair sellers. It’s worth noting that a clear downside break of the 1.2430 support confluence won’t hesitate to quickly drag the Pound Sterling to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 1.2315 before testing the mid-March swing high of around 1.2200. Overall, GBPUSD buyers are in the driver’s seat ahead of the UK employment data.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD remains vulnerable to refresh yearly low past 0.6400A daily closing beneath a nine-month-old rising support line, now resistance around 0.6480, keeps the AUDUSD bears hopeful of witnessing further downside even as the oversold RSI conditions prod the immediate declines. That said, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6380, checks the bears while the last November’s bottom of around 0.6270 can challenge the Aussie pair’s downside afterward. In a case where the quote remains weak past 0.6270, the previously yearly low marked in October around 0.6170 will be in the spotlight. On the contrary, AUDUSD recovery needs validation from the multi-day-old previous support line, close to 0.6480. Even so, the 10-DMA level surrounding 0.6515 can challenge the buyers before directing them to the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s successful trading beyond 0.6600 enables it to aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6670 ahead of targeting May’s peak of near 0.6820. Above all, AUDUSD stays on the bear’s radar unless crossing the double tops marked in July close to 0.6900. Overall, AUDUSD is less likely to return to the buyer’s radar any time soon.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD closing in key support ahead of UK employment dataGBPUSD remains on the back foot as the Cable bears attack the bottom line of a six-week-old bullish triangle after staying successfully beneath an ascending support line from early March, now resistance around 1.2830. That said, the bearish MACD signals keep the Cable sellers hopeful. However, the below 50.0 conditions of the RSI (14) line join a convergence of the 100-DMA and bottom of the stated triangle, around 1.2610, quickly followed by the 1.2600 round figure, to challenge the Pound Sterling’s downside. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.2600, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the 200-DMA support of around 1.2350 can’t be ruled out. On the contrary, an upside break of the stated triangle confirms the GBPUSD pair’s bullish breakout and theoretically suggests a run-up towards 1.3700. However, the multi-day-old support-turned-resistance around 1.2830 and the late July swing high around the 1.3000 psychological magnet can test the Pound Sterling bulls. Also acting as an upside hurdle is the yearly high of around 1.3145. Overall, GBPUSD bears approach the short-term key support confluence surrounding the 1.2600 round figure as the UK employment data looms. It’s worth noting, however, that the downbeat prints of the British jobs report may allow the bears to keep the reins and prod the 200-DMA support while the road towards the north appears bumpy in case the scheduled data offers a positive surprise.
by MTradingGlobal