Energy Commodities
Natural Gas Futures Breakout: Key Levels to Watch Above 250 INRThis chart shows the weekly price action for Natural Gas Futures on the MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange) with some key technical indicators:
Analysis:
Trendline Breakout: The price has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential bullish reversal. A breakout from this pattern often leads to further upward movement, especially if it’s supported by strong volume.
Key Resistance Levels: With the price near 250, it’s approaching the next resistance levels at approximately 254 and 278. If these levels are surpassed, the next target could be around 305 INR/MMBtu.
Volume Confirmation: The volume is relatively strong, adding credibility to the breakout. A sustained increase in volume would reinforce the bullish outlook.
Trade Plan for Natural Gas Futures:
Entry:
Enter around 250 INR after the breakout confirmation.
Targets:
Target 1: 278 INR
Target 2: 305 INR
Stop Loss:
Set a stop loss below 240 INR to limit downside risk.
Risk Management:
Consider booking partial profits at 278 INR and trail stop to breakeven.
This trade plan is built on the breakout with targets at 278 INR and 305 INR, while managing risk with a stop loss below 240 INR. Watch for volume to confirm momentum, and adjust your stop or book profits as key levels are reached.
Crudeoil MCX positional IMP level postionalHello Everyone,
MCX Crude trading at 58 40-50 at very crucial support or ema 200 and trendline with breakut retest set up, Buy on dips till 5600 with positional Stop loss 5450 upside possible 6200,6550,6970,7300++ If Breaks of support 5220,5030,4850 possible.
Reliance Industries Weekly Chart Analysis#Reliance
Key Levels:
Temporary Stop-Loss: ₹1,277.05
Averaging Zone: ₹1,277 - ₹1,144
Strong Stop-Loss: ₹1,130
The Reliance Industries stock is currently trading at ₹1,283.75, witnessing a decline of 4.10% in recent weeks. The key support level to watch is ₹1,277.05, which serves as a temporary stop-loss. If the stock price continues to fall within the range of ₹1,277 - ₹1,144, this zone is considered suitable for averaging. The strong stop-loss level is set at ₹1,130, indicating a critical point for traders to exit if the price breaks below this threshold.
OIL INDIA LTDOil India Ltd #OIL
Resistance 530. Watching above 531 for upside movement...
Support area 520. Below 525-520 ignoring upside momentum for intraday
Support 520.Watching below 519 for downside movement...
Resistance area 530
Above 525-530 ignoring downside move for intraday
Charts for Educational purposes only.
Please follow strict stop loss and risk reward if you follow the level.
natural gas longNatural gas has been in an uptrend on the daily charts for a while and after some correction on the daily time frame it has broken put from a head and shoulder reversal pattern on the hourly time frame. It is now re-testing the neckline support. This is a great entry point for a long in the commodity to capture the trend on the longer term time frame with a reasonable stop loss at the low below the right shoulder.
USOIL AT GOOD SUPPORT LEVELThis level of support is strong if we get any REVERSAL PATTERN here then we should go long till Resistance zone simply target is of last session high but if it breaks this level of support and closes below then we can see the low level of 69.100 or 68.700 , wait for the candlestick pattern formation to get good trade.
Crude Oil Trading Idea for Monday Session (21-10-2024)Crude oil price is currently Strong Resistance zone and it seems it'll break this zone if it breaks the level then then we can see the surge to 71.200 level or more from the zone in todays session and change in trend with minor pullback but if it fails to breach this zone then we can see a short to 69.000 to 68.600 level and if this level doesn't sustain the momentum of price then we will see a new low level in upcoming session.
Crude Oil may go for uptrend on 17-102024Crude touched 69.650 in last trading session an now it seems to go for uptrend on todays session (17-10-2024) it may touch the level of 72 to 72.200 if it crosses 71.400 in todays session but for this first it have to break the level of 70.900 currently its hovering near to this level , lets see how it goes....
Navigating Change: The Impact of SEBI's F&O PolicySEBI's new rules for F&O traders will take effect on November 20. The changes include increasing the contract size for index derivatives from Rs 5-10 lakh to Rs 15-20 lakh, which i believe is not a good idea. They are also reducing the number of weekly expiry options for index derivatives, which i see as a positive change. However, the decision to eliminate weekly expiry for Bank Nifty options is viewed negatively.
It's hard to understand what SEBI is trying to achieve. i think the chairman believes she is making smart decisions, but it feels quite the opposite. It seems like they want to take more money from retail investors while claiming to act in their best interest. Increasing taxes, raising contract sizes, and removing Bank Nifty weekly expiration's doesn’t seem helpful for the stock market or retail traders. Retail investors and traders play a crucial role in providing liquidity for institutional investors, generating tax revenue for the government, and maintaining market vitality. However, it appears that SEBI primarily favors large traders and investors, which may seem unfair to the retail segment.
Instead of educating retailers, there appears to be a focus on restricting their earning opportunities in the stock market. In the future, this may leave only major players able to trade in India's stock market. SEBI should realize that there are many stock markets in different countries, and if retail investors and traders face restrictions here, they will move on to Forex or US stocks, which often offer higher leverage and lower brokerage fees. Retail traders will trade regardless.
The solution should be to educate investors and give them the freedom to make their own choices. I hope that in the future, SEBI will have a knowledgeable chairman who understands these issues better.
Oil India Cmp 584.55 by Daily Chart views*Oil India Cmp 584.55 by Daily Chart views
- Support Zone 535 to 545 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 615 to 625 Price Band
- Volumes are flattish need to increase for a fresh upside
- Daily basis Support at 545 > 498 > 455 with Resistance at 625 > 668 > 704
- Breakout from the Falling Price Channel and attempts to cross the Falling Resistance Trendline
MCX Natural Gas Analysis for medium termMCX:NATURALGAS1! looks bullish.
If we look at the daily chart carefully, we will see it retraced a lot and tested 125. Then it is mostly a range bound from 140 to 280.
Now this 280 level is also the 23% Fib retracement level.
Around this level the price hits already 5 times, after breakdown almost one and half year back. However this time it has created a W pattern. (or one can say a rounding bottom pattern).
After testing the 280 level in one week back, it retraces back a bit and most likely creating a nice Cup and Handle pattern.
Here are the expectations:
NG will test 280 level once more.
After that if it able to brakes it out 280, it will go to test the next resistance.
The next resistance is 400 level, positionally.
Also fundamentally, per the estimation of International Energy Agency (IEA) Global Gas Security Review, the Natural Gas demand is forecasted to rise by over 2.5 per cent in 2024, with similar growth expected in 2025. And it will be steady for next few years even with 1.5 degree Paris Weather convocation.
So stay alert. Above 280 sustains means it's a Buy on Dip on Natural Gas. Till then: Wait and Watch.
MCX CRUDEOIL - POSITIONAL LONG TRADESymbol - CRUDEOIL (MCX)
CRUDEOIL is currently trading at 5690
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side.
Buying CRUDEOIL Futures at CMP 5690
I will be adding more if 5550 comes & will hold with SL 5420
Targets I'm expecting are 6320 - 6585
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!