Energy Commodities
MCX Natural Gas is high but avoid sell and holdNatural gas futures in MCX and NYMEX is touching new highs day by day and may create temptation for derivative traders to sell and hold by looking at the premium in price. Price may stay higher for quiet some time and may touch 900 in MCX. Fundamental factors and political stress are supporting NG price at this moment. So short term buying is better preferred and selling need a confirmation that will be published here on a later time.
#USOIL it's possible to sell#USOIL for Price trading the 4hr resistance area and waiting for bearish candlestick formation in resistance area and the next candle close below the previous candle its will move to the next level support
Why we like it
Price trading the 4hr resistance
moving to the next level support
waiting for bearish candlestick formation
Trading in channel
1st support:
82.68
Next Zone area & horizontal swing Low support
1st Resistance
99.68
Zone area & horizontal swing high resistance
Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern in Natural Gas - Daily TFA similar pattern can be seen in the Daily time frame as well. A basic estimate says that the target should be achieved by early November i.e. onset of Winter when the demand will begin to peak (common sense ;)).
This looks likely until Russia opens up its heart (read supply).
Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern in Natural gas -1hr time frameNatural gas is given the Inverse Head and Shoulder pattern. Price broke out from the neck line and has retraced. This pattern will become more sustainable and powerful if we see another rally on the upside thereby confirming the greater chances of successful completion of the pattern. Fundamentally, natural gas prices are bound to go up given the shortage of it in European Markets arising due to bottlenecks in production and supply of it from Russia. Hence, this could be a great opportunity to go long once the upside is confirmed.
Note: If prices go below the right shoulder before it goes up, this pattern can be ignored.
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices fell on Wednesday, taking a breather from a near 4% surge the previous day, on receding fears of an imminent output cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, a group known as OPEC+. Global benchmark Brent crude futures fell 40 cents, or 0.4%, to $99.82 a barrel, after rising 3.9% on Tuesday. The U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures contract was down 27 cents, or 0.29%, at $93.47 a barrel, having jumped 3.7% the previous day. Both contracts soared on Tuesday after the energy minister of de facto OPEC leader Saudi Arabia flagged the possibility of supply cuts to balance a market it described as "schizophrenic", with the paper and physical markets becoming increasingly disconnected.
Short Term Technical View: In daily chart XTIUSD is trading below 200 SMA & in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing bullishness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 92.75 as per today 1-hour chart, my view is buy on dip strategy is good for XTIUSD. Buy range of XTIUSD is 92.75 to 92.50 and there is very strong support zone at 91.50.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 91.50 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 90 with the stop loss of 92.75. (Note: Crude oil inventories at 8 PM IST)
Natural Gas Support and resistance level for 24.08.2022Plot the the levels in your chart. Draw fib level from support and resistance . Please refer chart for fib level. Fib level range should be 9 am to 11:30 PM.
If price crosses fib trendline(Dash line) will consider as upside break out. If price reject from there will consider to fall below.
if one support or resistance line broken maximum target will be 1.272 or 1.1618 fib level. Moving above 1.618 fib level is very rare scenario.
Effect of crude oilBrent crude oil has crossed the mark of 99 , since we know that the rise in oil prices leads to pressurization in paint prices,
Asian paint looks weak though. enter as previous day low breaks for the target of 3281 and 3188.
I am not sebi registered , you are responsible for your profits and losses.
NATURALGAS ELLIOT WAVE COUNTSNATURALGAS has almost completed wave B of wave 2, possibly next wave C is ready to start unfolding soon, which can be confirmed by breaking support trendline, which could be aa good trigger point, Once it breaks support trendline then it can slide towards south directions near $ 7.500 zones, where wave C can complete equality with wave A.
Negative divergence in both rsi and macd on hourly time frame
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However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
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Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
#USOIL it's possible to sell#USOIL for Price trading the 4hr resistance area and waiting for bearish candlestick formation in resistance area and the next candle close below the previous candle its will move to the next level support
Why we like it
Price trading the 4hr resistance
moving to the next level support
waiting for bearish candlestick formation
Trading in channel
1st support:
82.68
Next Zone area & horizontal swing Low support
1st Resistance
99.68
Zone area & horizontal swing high resistance
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices dipped on Friday after two days of gain, as market participants weighed worries about global economic slowdown - that could dampen fuel demand - against expectations of tighter supplies toward year-end. Brent crude futures fell 36 cents, or 0.4%, to $96.23 a barrel after settling 3.1% higher on Thursday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $90.29 a barrel, down 21 cents, or 0.2%, following a 2.7% increase in the previous session. Still, the benchmark contracts headed for weekly losses of about 1.5%. U.S. CRUDE inventories fell sharply as the nation exported a record 5 million barrels of oil a day in the most recent week, with oil companies finding heavy demand from European nations looking to replace crude from warring Russia.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing Weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 89.15 as per today 1-hour chart, my view is sell on rise strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 90 to 90.25 and there is very strong resistance zone at 91.50.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 91.50 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 93 with the stop loss of 89.
#USOIL it's possible to sell#USOIL for Price trading the 4hr resistance area and waiting for bearish candlestick formation in resistance area and the next candle close below the previous candle its will move to the next level support
Why we like it
Price trading the 4hr resistance
moving to the next level support
waiting for bearish candlestick formation
Trading in channel
1st support:
82.68
Next Zone area & horizontal swing Low support
1st Resistance
99.68
Zone area & horizontal swing high resistance
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices little changed on Thursday as investors grappled with falling stockpiles in the United States, rising output from Russia and worries about a potential global recession. Brent crude futures climbed 15 cents, or 0.2%, to $93.80 a barrel. U.S. crude futures gained 4 cents, or 0.1%, to $88.15 a barrel. Prices rose more than 1% during the previous session, although Brent at one point fell to its lowest since February. Futures have fallen over the past few months, as investors have pored over economic data that has spurred concerns about a potential recession that could hurt energy demand. British consumer price inflation jumped to 10.1% in July, it is highest since February 1982, intensifying a squeeze on households.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading at middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing Weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 87 as per today 1-hour chart, my view is sell on rise strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 88.25 to 88.50 and there is very strong resistance zone at 89.50.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 89.50 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 90.50 with the stop loss of 88.50.
USOIL US OIL CMP 87.45$
Looking at the structure,
it seems crude is ready to complete it corrective phase
Also here A=C in terms of pips
But yet to touch channel bottom...
if we start a new journey
Crude can gradually move towards 125+$
above 95$ , recent low as sl .. and I would be only buying dips
Chart is for study purpose only!!
Vedang :)
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices rose over $1 on Wednesday, rebounding from six-month lows hit the previous day, as an unexpectedly large drop in U.S. oil and gasoline stocks reminded investors that demand remains firm, if overshadowed by the prospect of a global recession. Brent crude futures were last up 82 cents, or 0.9%, to $93.16 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures also rose 85 cents, or 1%, to $87.38 a barrel. The contracts slumped about 3% on Tuesday as weak U.S. housing starts data spurred concerns about a potential global recession. U.S. crude and fuel stocks fell in the latest week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading at middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing Weakness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 87.50 as per today 1-hour chart, my view is sell on rise strategy is good for XTIUSD. Sell range of XTIUSD is 87.50 to 87.75 and there is very strong resistance zone at 89.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 89 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 91 with the stop loss of 87.50. (Note- Crude oil inventory at 8 PM IST)
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices fell on Tuesday as bleak economic data from top crude buyer China renewed fears of a global recession. Brent crude futures fell 73 cents, or 0.8%, to $94.37 a barrel by. WTI crude futures dipped 44 cents, or 0.5%, to $88.97 a barrel. Oil futures fell about 3% during the previous session. China's central bank cut lending rates to revive demand as the economy slowed unexpectedly in July, with factory and retail activity squeezed by Beijing's zero-COVID policy and a property crisis. China's fuel product exports expected to rebound in August to near a year high after Beijing issued more quotas, adding pressure to already-cooling refining margins. Market participants awaited industry data on U.S. crude stockpiles due later on Tuesday. Oil and gasoline stockpiles likely fell last week, while distillate inventories raised, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.
Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading at middle line of Bollinger band indicator. As per RSI Indicator showing bullishness in 1-hour chart, XTIUSD pivot level is 88.40 as per today 1-hour chart, my view is buy in dip strategy is good for XTIUSD. Buy range of XTIUSD is 87.50 to 87.25 and there is very strong support zone at 86.
Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 86 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 84.50 with the stop loss of 87.50.
WHAT TO DO NEXT IN OILOil has given the movement as expected in our previous chart
we expect the oil to touch the box I have drawn
from there onwards we start our buying in oil
it can go further down. we are taking a stop loss of 65
but it is impossible to catch a falling market
so we will start buying the movement it touches our zone
TVC:USOIL