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Energy Commodities

What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was up on Thursday morning in Asia as U.S. demand stays strong and China demand may rebound with COVID-19 curbs easing. Brent oil futures rose 0.26% to $123.90 by 11:44 PM ET (3:44 AM GMT) and WTI futures edged up 0.18% to $122.33. Wednesday’s U.S. crude supply data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration showed a build of 2.025 million barrels for the week ended June 3. EIA data also suggested that U.S. gasoline stockpiles dropped by 812,000 barrels to 218.18 million barrels last week, indicating fuel demand resilience during peak summer despite soaring prices. Crude supply data from the American Petroleum Institute released the day before showed a build of 1.845 million barrels. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading near middle line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing bullishness in 1-hour chart of XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above today pivot level 119.50. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 119.50 to 119, and there is very strong support zone at 117.50. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 117.50 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 115.75 with the stop loss of 118.75.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was up on Wednesday morning in Asia, supported by tight supplies and recovering fuel demand as China continued easing COVID-19 curbs in top cities. Brent oil futures edged up 0.12% to $120.73 and WTI futures rose 0.23% to $119.70. Tuesday's U.S. crude supply data from the American Petroleum Institute showed a build of 1.845 million barrels for the week ended June 3. Global crude and oil product supplies remain tight as the West poise sanctions on oil exports from major producer Russia. Most refineries globally are at a stage close to their maximum capacities to meet rising demand from pandemic recovery and replace lost Russian supplies. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading near upper line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing bullishness in 1-hour chart of XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above today pivot level 117.29. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 117.50 to 117, and there is very strong support zone at 116. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 116 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 114.55 with the stop loss of 117.25.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
Monthly rising channel favors Brent oil buyers despite inactionBrent oil prices grind higher around late March tops, staying above 10-DMA inside a monthly bullish channel formation. Given the firmer RSI backing the black gold’s gradual north-run, the quote is likely to overcome the immediate hurdle, namely the late March swing high around $124.40. However, the stated channel’s upper line near $127.50, which if ignored could propel the energy benchmark towards the yearly high marked in March at around $140.50. During the run-up, then likely overbought RSI may interrupt the upside momentum around $130.00 and the $135.00 intermediate halts. Meanwhile, pullback moves may remain elusive until staying beyond the 10-DMA level surrounding $119.60. Following that, the support line of the bullish channel, close to $117.00 by the press time, will be crucial to watch. In a case where Brent oil sellers manage to conquer the $117.00 support and reject the bullish formation, there are multiple supports around $115.50 and $115.000 before directing the quote towards May’s low near $101.90. Overall, oil prices remain firmer inside a bullish chart pattern and are likely to rise further. However, the upside momentum will be shaky and hence needs the trader’s discretion.
VELOCITY:BRENT
by MTradingGlobal
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil was up on Tuesday morning in Asia over expectations of demand recovery in China and doubts about higher output targets from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+). Brent oil futures rose 0.62% to $120.25. WTI futures jumped 0.71% to $119.34; the benchmark hit a three-month high of $120.99 on Monday. Easing travel restrictions in China are likely to boost oil demand in the coming weeks, ANZ Research analysts said in a note. Beijing and the commercial hub Shanghai are easing COVID -19 curbs and allowing more mobility. Beijing has reopened restaurants and cinemas in most parts. OPEC+ decided last week to increase output for July and August by 648,000 barrels per day, or 50% more than previously planned. However, not all members could ramp up output, including Russia, which faces Western sanctions. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing weakness in 1-hour chart of XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below today pivot level 117.53. As per my view, sell on rise is good strategy for XTIUSD, sell range is 117.50 to 117.75, and there is very strong resistance zone at 118.75. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 118.75 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 121 with the stop loss of 116.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
YR 2022 Idea #63: Long on OIL This is a public swing trade idea and is only for Learning and observational purpose. Please understand your risk and take full responsibility of your actions. I might trail my stoploss after I get an entry but even if my original Stoploss hits, i exit the trade with pre-planned loss (risk). At target, I book usually 75% positions and trail stoploss for rest. Our objective to help anyone who wants to learn technical analysis using charts by demonstrating my real trade entries. You can post your queries in comment section here and we will try to answer them asap.
NSE:OILLong
by onerighttrade
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil futures jumped on Monday, with Brent rising above $120 a barrel after Saudi Arabia hiked prices for its crude sales in July, signaling tight supply even after OPEC+ agreed to accelerate output increases over the next two months. Brent crude was up 91 cents, or 0.8%, at $120.63 after touching an intraday high of $121.95, extending a 1.8% gain from Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 93 cents, or 0.8%, at $119.80 a barrel after earlier hitting a three-month high of $120.99. It gained 1.7% on Friday. Saudi Arabia raised the official selling price (OSP) for its flagship Arab light crude to Asia to a $6.50 premium versus the average of the Oman and Dubai benchmarks, from a $4.40 premium in June, state oil producer Aramco said on Sunday. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above middle line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing bullishness in XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above today pivot level 117. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 117 to 116.75, and there is very strong support zone at 115. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 115 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 113 with the stop loss of 116.75.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices moved in a thin range on Friday as markets shrugged off the decision of OPEC+ to increase production and questioned whether the incremental output could make up for lost supply from Russia and meet China's growing demand amid easing COVID restrictions. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures dropped 29 cents to $116.58 a barrel, while Brent crude futures were down 15 cents at $117.46 a barrel. A decision on Thursday by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, together called OPEC+, to boost output by 648,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July and August, instead of by 432,000 bpd as previously agreed, seen as hardly enough for a tight market. Government data on Thursday showed U.S. crude stockpiles fell much more than expected in the week to May 27 and gasoline inventories fell, defying expectations for an increase. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above middle line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing bullishness in XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above today pivot level 114. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 114 to 113.75, and there is very strong support zone at 112.50. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 112.50 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 110.50 with the stop loss of 114.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil prices fell on Thursday as investors cashed in on a recent rally ahead of a key producers meeting later in the day, with some speculation that Saudi Arabia may boost oil production in response to urging by the United States. Brent crude was down $2.08, or 1.8%, at $114.21 a barrel, having risen 0.6% the previous day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped $2.25, or 2.0%, to $113.01 a barrel, after a 0.5% rise on Wednesday. The benchmarks have marched higher for several weeks as Russian exports have squeezed by EU and U.S. sanctions against Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine, actions that Russia calls a "special operation". The Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday that some OPEC members were considering suspending Russia from the agreed production plan, to allow other producers to pump significantly crude, as sought by the United States and European nations. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing weakness in XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below today support level 112.50. As per my view, Sell on rise is good strategy for XTIUSD, Sell range is 113 to 113.25, and there is very strong resistance zone at 115.40. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 115.40 and sustain above in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 117.40 with the stop loss of 113.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil prices gained slightly on Wednesday after European Union leaders agreed to a partial and phased ban on Russian oil and as China ended its COVID-19 lock down in Shanghai. Brent crude for August delivery was up 28 cents, or 0.2%, at $115.88 a barrel. The contract settled down 1.7% on Tuesday. The front-month contract for July delivery expired on Tuesday at $122.84 a barrel, up 1%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 30 cents, or 0.3%, to $114.97 a barrel. Both benchmarks ended May higher, marking the sixth straight month of rising prices. EU leaders agreed in principle on Monday to cut 90% of oil imports from Russia by the end of this year, the bloc's toughest sanctions yet on Moscow since the invasion of Ukraine three months ago, which Moscow calls a "special military operation". Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below lower line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing weakness in XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below today pivot level 114.50. As per my view, Sell on rise is good strategy for XTIUSD, Sell range is 114.50 to 115, and there is very strong resistance zone at 116.50. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 114.50 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 116.50 with the stop loss of 113.50 .
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil prices extended gains on Tuesday after the EU agreed to slash oil imports from Russia, fueling worries of a tighter market already strained for supply amid rising demand ahead of peak U.S. and European summer driving season. Brent crude for July, which expires on Tuesday, raised $1.13 to a fresh two-month top of $122.80 a barrel. The more active August contract raised $1.34 to $118.94. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were trading at $118.25 a barrel, up $3.18 from Friday's close. There was no settlement on Monday due to a U.S. public holiday. Both benchmarks have posted daily gains since Wednesday. European Union leaders agreed in principle to cut 90% of oil imports from Russia by the end of 2022, resolving a deadlock with Hungary over the bloc's toughest sanction yet on Moscow since the invasion of Ukraine three months ago. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading upper line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing strength in XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above resistance level (2) 117.40. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 116 to 115.75, and there is very strong support zone at 114.50. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 114.50 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 112.50 with the stop loss of 115.75.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil was up on Monday morning in Asia, hitting two-month highs as investors wait and see if the European Union can reach an agreement on a sixth package of sanctions against Russia for its war in Ukraine. Brent oil futures rose 0.73% to $116.and WTI futures rose 0.85% to $116.05, extending the previous week’s gains. The EU will meet on Monday and Tuesday to discuss a sixth package of sanctions against Russia for its invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24. Also adding to a tight market, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies (OPEC+), which includes Russia, are set to rebuff Western calls to increase their oil output additions when it meets on Thursday. The cartel will stick to its plan to add 432,000 barrels per day in July 2022; six OPEC+ sources told Reuters. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading upper line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing strength in XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading near today resistance level 114.70. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 113 to 112.75, and there is very strong support zone at 111.75. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 111.75 and sustain below in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 110.25 with the stop loss of 113.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil prices hovered around a two-month high on Friday, with Brent crude on track for its biggest weekly jump in 1-1/2 months, supported by the prospect of an EU ban on Russian oil and the coming summer driving season in the United States. Brent crude futures for July dipped 9 cents to $117.31 a barrel after rising to as high as $118.17 earlier in the session. The benchmark was on track for a gain of about 4% this week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 18 cents, or 0.2%, at $113.91 a barrel. WTI set for a weekly gain of about 0.7%. "Ahead of peak U.S. driving season, refined products remain in alarmingly short supply in the West, which should keep a high floor on oil prices through the summer." OPEC+ is set to stick to last year's oil production deal at its June 2 meeting and raise July output targets by 432,000 barrels per day, six OPEC+ sources told Reuters, rebuffing Western calls for a faster increase to lower surging prices. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading upper line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing strength in XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above today pivot level 111.55. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 111.50 to 111, and there is very strong support zone at 110. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 110 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 108 with the stop loss of 111.50
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC