EURUSD bulls approach 1.0970 hurdle ahead of ECBEURUSD prints a four-day winning streak while refreshing the monthly high around 1.0915 as traders await the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy announcements on early Thursday. The Euro pair’s latest recovery takes clues from the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish halt, as well as the upbeat RSI and MACD signals. Adding strength to the upside bias is the quote’s successful trading beyond the 100-SMA. With this, the major currency pair is likely to extend the previous week’s recovery toward the 1.0970 resistance confluence comprising a downward-sloping resistance line from July and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-October fall. Apart from the 1.0970, the 1.1000 psychological magnet and the previous monthly high of around 1.1020 also act as additional upside filters, a break of which will allow the bulls to challenge the yearly peak of 1.1275 marked in July.
On the flip side, the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci ratios, surrounding 1.0865 and 1.0760 respectively, restrict the immediate downside of the EURUSD pair. Following that, the 100-SMA and the 50-SMA will challenge the Euro bears near 1.0750 and 1.0730 in that order. It’s worth noting, however, that a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since late May, close to 1.0670, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers to break afterward.
Overall, the EURUSD pair appears all set to poke the 1.0970 hurdle but the quote’s further upside hinges on the ECB’s hawkish move, which is less likely to happen.
Euro
EUR/USD Trade Setup - The Euro still looks bullish when compared to the USD
- The USD has shown some huge downside, now we can expect some relief and bounce back
- The Euro still shows signs of bearishness IMO.
- The Euro can rip your longs if you are looking for one, prefer setting up long-only bias once the base is set and the trend in intact.
EURUSD rebound appears elusive below 1.0930EURUSD floats above 100-SMA on early Monday, after posting the first weekly loss in three. However, the quote remains well below the key resistance confluence surrounding 1.0930, which comprises the 50-SMA, the bottom line of a monthly bullish channel and a downward-sloping trend line from November 29. It’s worth noting that the RSI rebound from the oversold territory allows the Euro pair to lick its wounds but the bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below the key upside hurdle keep the sellers hopeful. Even if the quote crosses the 1.0930 resistance, a fortnight-old rising trend line and the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.1050 and 1.1130 in that order, will test the pair buyers.
On the contrary, the 100-SMA and a 13-day-old horizontal support zone, respectively near 1.0870 and 1.0830, restrict the short-term downside of the EURUSD pair. Following that, the early November swing high of around 1.0750 will act as the final defense of the Euro buyers before opening the door for the bears to aim for the October swing high of around 1.0670. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0670, it becomes vulnerable to drop towards the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0515.
Overall, EURUSD bears are in command despite the pair’s latest consolidation. However, the RSI conditions and this week’s US jobs report will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
EURUSD licks its wounds with eyes on ECB’s Lagarde, Fed’s PowellEURUSD portrays a corrective bounce from the weekly low, snapping a two-day losing streak, as the pair traders await speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, scheduled late Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair reverses pullback from a five-month-old horizontal resistance as the RSI (14) line returns to normal territory after a brief move in the overbought region. However, the bearish MACD signals and failure to cross the key resistance area surrounding 1.1010-1000 push sellers toward a 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October downside, near 1.0860 at the latest. It should be noted, though, that a convergence of the 200-SMA and previous resistance line stretched from late September, close to 1.0820-15, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair bears, a break of which will enable them to poke the mid-September peak of near 1.0700.
Meanwhile, the late August swing high of 1.0945 and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of near 1.0960 restrict the immediate upside of EURUSD. Following that, the aforementioned resistance region surrounding 1.1010-1000 will regain the market’s attention. In a case where the Euro buyers manage to keep the reins past 1.1000, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of around 1.1000 will act as the final defense of the bears before directing prices toward the yearly high of 1.1275 marked in July.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to stay pressured but the bears shouldn’t be hopeful of further downside unless they witness a sustained trading below 1.0820-15.
EURUSD bulls prod golden Fibonacci ratio amid overbought RSIEURUSD hovers near the highest level in 14 weeks, recently picking up bids to reverse the previous day’s pullback from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July-October downside, also known as the Gold Fibonacci ratio. Apart from the key Fibonacci ratio surrounding 1.0965, the overbought conditions of the RSI (14) line also challenge the Euro buyers. It should, however, be noted that the pair’s successful trading above the 200-SMA and the bullish MACD signals keep the bulls hopeful of crossing the immediate hurdle, which in turn opens the door for the pair’s rally toward the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio and the yearly high marked in July, respectively near 1.1100 and 1.1275.
On the flip side, the EURUSD pair’s pullback could aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 1.0865 but the bears need validation from the 200-SMA level of 1.0800. Following that, the early-month swing high of around 1.0750 could test the Euro sellers. Above all, the pair buyers remain hopeful unless they witness a daily close beneath a convergence of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and a seven-week-old upward-sloping support line, close to 1.0650.
Overall, EURUSD bulls approach the key upside hurdle ahead of the US Durable Goods Orders and the weekly employment data, making it the key pair to observe ahead of Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday.
EURUSD edges higher within bear flag, central bankers eyedEURUSD consolidates the previous losses within a six-week-old rising channel, forming part of a multi-day-long bearish flag chart formation, currently between 1.0760 and 1.0590. It’s worth noting that the firmer RSI (14) line, not overbought, joins the bullish MACD signals to favor the Euro pair’s further recovery towards the 1.0760. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, around 1.0800, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls afterward. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0800, the bearish bets will be off the table and will enable the buyers to challenge the late August swing high of around 1.0950.
Meanwhile, the 50-SMA level of around 1.0620 acts as an immediate downside support to watch during the EURUSD pair’s fresh downside. Following that, the stated bearish flag’s bottom line of near 1.0590 will be crucial as a break of which will theoretically confirm the pair’s gradual fall toward the sub-1.000 region. However, the yearly low marked in October around 1.0445 and the August 2022 peak of around 1.0380 could test the Euro bears on their way.
Overall, the EURUSD is likely to remain in the recovery mode but the upside room appears limited. That said, today’s speech from the European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chair Jerome Powell will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
EURUSD challenges bullish channel formation on Fed daySofter prints of the Eurozone inflation joined the overall risk-off mood and slightly upbeat US data to drag the EURUSD pair down on Tuesday. Adding strength to the bearish bias are the hopes of witnessing one more rate hike from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) during 2023, as well as the bearish MACD signals and steady RSI. However, a one-month-old ascending trend channel, currently between 1.0710 and 1.0540, provides headwinds to the Euro sellers. In a case where the major currency pair breaks the 1.0540 support and defies the bullish chart pattern, the yearly low marked in October 1.0450 and the August 2022 peak of around 1.0370 will lure the bears afterward.
On the flip side, the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) surrounding 1.0615 guards the immediate recovery of the EURUSD pair ahead of the stated channel’s top line, close to 1.0710. It’s worth noting that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s August-October downside, near 1.0750, will act as an additional upside filter for the bulls before taking control. Following that, a quick run-up towards the late August month’s high of around 1.0950 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD challenges the four-week-old recovery as markets await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting results on Wednesday.
EURUSD stays in bear’s jaws ahead of US Retail SalesEURUSD stays within a three-month-old bearish trend channel despite rising the most in October the previous day. Adding strength to the bearish bias is the looming bear cross between the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, as well as the steady RSI (14) line. However, three-week-long horizontal support surrounding 1.0500 joins the bullish MACD signals to restrict the immediate downside of the Euro pair. Following that, the monthly low of around 1.0450 will act as the final defense for the bulls before driving prices down towards the aforementioned channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0350 by the press time.
Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery needs to defy the bearish channel pattern, by clearly crossing the 1.0600 hurdle, to convince the short-term buyers. Even so, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since May, near 1.0620-35, will be a tough nut to crack for the bulls. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 100-day SMA and the 200-day SMA, near 1.0830 at the latest, holds to key to the bullish trend.
To sum up, the EURUSD remains within a bearish trajectory as markets await the Eurozone/German ZEW data and EU EcoFin Meeting, as well as the US Retail Sales. The same suggests that the outcome favoring the US Dollar, or weighing on the Euro, will have a clearer response than the otherwise.
EURUSD recovery fades below key resistance surrounding 1.0630EURUSD bulls struggle at a weekly high while waiting for inflation clues from Germany and the US, as well as the Fed Minutes, on Wednesday. That said, an upside break of the 21-day SMA and bullish oscillators keep Euro buyers hopeful. However, a three-month-old falling resistance line and a horizontal region comprising multiple levels marked since late May, around 1.0620-35, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Should the upcoming data fail to inspire the US Dollar bulls and allow the quote to cross the 1.0635 hurdle on a daily closing basis, a run-up toward the mid-September swing high of near 1.0770 can’t be ruled out. Following that, the 200-day SMA surrounding 1.0825 will be the last defense of the bears.
On the contrary, the EURUSD pullback needs validation from the 21-day SMA level of 1.0600 and the scheduled data/events. Should the Euro sellers return, a fortnight-long horizontal support zone of around 1.0500 can test the bears before directing them to the yearly low of near 1.0450. In a case where the quote remains weak past 1.0450, the August 2022 peak of near 1.0370 and the late November 2022 low of near 1.0220 can lure the sellers.
Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely to consolidate the previous monthly losses but the road towards the north is long and bumpy.
EURUSD pares losses within five-week-old bearish channelEURUSD stays defensive within a short-term bearish chart pattern after recovering from the Year-To-Date (YTD) low in the last two consecutive days. The corrective bounce also crossed a two-week-long falling resistance line and gains support from the bullish MACD signals, as well as the upbeat RSI (14) conditions, to suggest the Euro pair’s further advances. However, the top line of a downward-sloping trend channel established since August 30, close to 1.0575 by the press time, guards the immediate recovery of the pair. Following that, an 11-week-old descending resistance line and the 200-SMA, respectively near 1.0660 and 1.0700, will act as the final defense of the bears before giving control to the buyers.
Meanwhile, the resistance-turned-support line stretched from September 20, surrounding 1.0530, puts a floor beneath the EURUSD price for the short term. In a case where the Euro pair drops below 1.0530, the 1.0500 round figure and the yearly low marked on Tuesday around 1.0450 will test the bears. Also acting as a downside filter is the bottom line of the aforementioned bearish trend channel, close to 1.0420 at the latest. Should the major currency pair remain bearish past 1.0420, and also break the 1.0400 threshold, a gradual south-run toward the late November 2022 swing low of around 1.0220 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to witness further recovery but the bearish trend prevails unless the quote stays beneath 1.0700.
EURUSD bounces off 10-month-old support but remains bearishEURUSD pares weekly losses ahead of the key inflation data from the Eurozone and the US. In doing so, the Euro pair rebounds from horizontal support comprising lows marked since November 2022, around 1.0485-80, as the RSI (14) takes a U-turn from the oversold territory. The same joins the looming bull cross on the MACD to direct the pair towards the nine-month-old previous support line, close to 1.0650 at the latest. However, the mid-September highs of around 1.0765-70 and the convergence of the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA, surrounding 1.0830, will act as tough nuts to crack for the buyers before retaking control.
On the contrary, the EURUSD pullback remains elusive beyond the immediate horizontal support line surrounding 1.0480. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of September 2022 to July 2023 upside of near 1.0400 will precede the late November 2022 bottom of around 1.0220 to test the Euro bears. In a case where the major currency pair remains bearish past 1.0220, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of around 1.0200 will act as the final defense of the pair buyers.
Overall, EURUSD remains bearish below 1.0830 but the corrective bounce may recall 1.0650 for a while on the chart.
EURUSD stays defensive near key support line on Fed dayEURUSD fades bounce off an ascending support line stretched from early January as market players brace for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcements on Wednesday. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is nearly oversold and the MACD flags bull cross, which in turn favors the Euro pair’s sustained trading beyond the stated support line, close to 1.0640 by the press time. That said, the quote’s weakness past 1.0640, will make it vulnerable to decline towards March’s bottom surrounding 1.0515 before testing the yearly low of around 1.0480.
Alternatively, the EURUSD pair’s recovery moves will initially aim for the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of January-July upside, near 1.0790. However, a two-month-old descending resistance line and the 200-day SMA, respectively near 1.0815 and 1.0830, could challenge the Euro buyers past 1.0790. In a case where the pair manages to remain firmer past 1.0790, as well as cross the 1.0800 round figure, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards the late August swing high of around 1.0940 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD remains bearish even if the oscillators challenge the downside bias.
EURUSD pares US inflation-induced losses ahead of ECBEURUSD braces for the first weekly gain in nine as markets await the key European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate announcement. In doing so, the Euro pair extends the previous week’s rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of March-July upside, near 1.0680 by the press time. The corrective bounce also gains support from a looming bull cross on the MACD indicator, as well as the gradually rising RSI (14) line from the oversold territory. It’s worth noting, however, that the 1.0800 appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers as it comprises the six-month-old previous support line, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio. Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from late July and the 100-EMA, respectively near 1.0855 and 1.0865, will act as the final defenses of the pair sellers.
On the contrary, the EURUSD pair’s fresh downside could aim for the latest swing low of around 1.0700 before poking the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 1.0680. In a case where the Euro pair remains bearish past 1.0680, May’s bottom of 1.0635 may act as a buffer during the quote’s slump targeting March’s low of 1.0516. It’s worth observing that the yearly low marked in January around 1.0480 could test the pair sellers past 1.0516 before giving them control.
Overall, EURUSD builds upside momentum but the recovery moves need validation from the hawkish ECB signals, especially after the previous day’s US inflation numbers challenged the pair buyers.
EURUSD remains on the back foot within bearish channelEURUSD braces for the eighth consecutive weekly loss despite the latest hesitance of the bears surrounding the bottom line of the 1.5-month-old descending trend channel. It’s worth noting that the nearly oversold RSI line and sluggish MACD signals suggest a corrective bounce of the Euro pair, which in turn highlights the previous support line stretched from late June, close to 1.0750 by the press time. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 1.0750, September’s peak of around 1.0885 and the aforementioned channel’s top line surrounding 1.0900 will lure the pair buyers. It should be observed, however, that the bullish bias remains elusive unless the quote stays below the 200-SMA hurdle of 1.0925, a break of which could challenge July’s peak of 1.1275 gradually.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s weakness might dwindle around the stated bearish channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0695 by the press time. Following that, the lows marked in May and March, respectively near 1.0635 and 1.0515 could lure the Euro sellers. Should the pair bears remain in control past 1.0515, the yearly bottom of around 1.0480 will act as the final battle point for the buyers before giving the throne to the sellers.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to remain bearish but a corrective bounce can’t be ruled out.
EURUSD recovery remains unconvincing below 1.1040EURUSD extends recovery from the 200-DMA, as well as an upside break of a fortnight-old descending resistance line, as markets await the Eurozone inflation data and the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, namely the US Core PCE Price Index. That said, the looming bull cross on the MACD and upbeat RSI (14), not overbought, also keep the Euro buyers hopeful. However, a clear run-up beyond the previous support line stretched from October 2022, now resistance around 1.1040, becomes necessary to confirm the bullish trend. Following that, the yearly high of 1.1275, marked earlier in the month, will be in the spotlight.
On the contrary, the two-week-long resistance-turned-support of around 1.0880 restricts the immediate downside of the EURUSD pair ahead of the 200-DMA level of 1.0810. In a case where the Euro pair drops below 1.0810, and also breaks the 1.0800 round figure, sellers can aim for May’s bottom of 1.0635 before targeting the yearly low marked in January surrounding 1.0480. It’s worth noting that the downside moves need strongly disappointing Eurozone HICP and CPI numbers, as well as an extremely positive US Core PCE Price Index, to reverse the latest uptrend.
Overall, EURUSD remains in the recovery mode as the key Eurozone and the US data loom.
EURUSD drops within bearish channel with eyes on Jackson HoleEURUSD prepares for the sixth consecutive weekly fall as ECB and Federal Reserve bosses prepare for the annual showdown at the Jackson Hole Symposium. That said, the Euro pair remains pressured within a one-month-old descending trend channel amid downbeat RSI and MACD conditions, which in turn suggest less downside room and highlights the stated channel’s bottom line of around 1.0785 as the key support. In a case where the sellers dominate past 1.0790, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of May-July upside, near 1.0770, will act as the final defense of the buyers, a break of which will direct the prices toward May’s bottom of 1.0635.
On the contrary, a fortnight-long falling resistance line, close to 1.0880 at the latest, guards immediate EURUSD recovery within the bearish channel formation. Following that, the mentioned channel’s top line of near 1.0980 and the 200-SMA surrounding 1.1015-20 could test the Euro buyers before giving them a charge. In that case, the monthly high of 1.1065 and the late July peak of 1.1150 may check the upside moves ahead of directing the quote to the yearly top of 1.1275.
Overall, EURUSD bears appear running out of steam but the buyers need strong reasons to retake control, which in turn highlights the central bankers’ speeches at the key event for the pair traders to watch.
EUR/USD Wave Analysis:LONG
📈🌍 Uncover the intricacies of EUR/USD price action through an insightful wave analysis. We dissect the evolving wave patterns to reveal the potential opportunities that lie ahead. Join us as we delve into the afterwaves of 12345 and prepare for the upcoming correction wave, setting the stage for a profitable journey through Wave ABC!
🔍 Key Points:
Deconstructing Wave Sequence: Embark on a journey through the recent EUR/USD price movements, meticulously breaking down the quintessential five-wave pattern (12345). Gain a comprehensive understanding of each wave's characteristics and its contribution to the overall market trend.
Approaching the Correction Wave: Unveil the significance of corrective waves within the realm of forex trading. We examine the various scenarios and projections for the impending Wave ABC, shedding light on potential price levels, patterns, and timing.
Profitable Potential: Learn to harness the power of correction waves for profitable trading. We lay out strategies that empower traders to identify optimal entry and exit points, enabling them to capitalize on the market's risk-reward dynamics.
Capturing Wave BC: Dive into the heart of Wave BC, the second phase of the corrective pattern. Understand the external factors influencing its formation and acquire the insights needed to align your trading strategy for potential gains.
Risk Management Mastery: Master the art of risk management during correction waves. Explore effective techniques to safeguard your trading capital while maximizing profit potential, ensuring a balanced approach to your trading endeavors.
Leveraging Technical Indicators: Discover an arsenal of technical indicators and tools that bolster your EUR/USD analysis. Utilize these tools to validate your insights and fine-tune trading decisions during this pivotal phase.
Real-life Case Studies: Immerse yourself in historical instances of correction waves within the EUR/USD pair. Draw parallels between past patterns and outcomes to enhance your decision-making prowess.
📊💰 As EUR/USD takes center stage, equip yourself with the knowledge and strategies required to navigate these exciting waves of opportunity. Embark on a journey of profit potential during the correction wave – Wave ABC has the potential to unlock lucrative trades. Stay informed, trade with confidence, and make well-informed decisions with our comprehensive analysis!
(Note: Trading carries inherent risks, and historical performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not replace professional financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking guidance from financial experts before executing trading decisions.)
long EUR/JPYthe pair is trading above the key support level after breaking out from a continuation pattern. The uptrend is fairly well established, the breakout has taken place after a good consolidation and now we have a re-test of the breakout level. This makes it a good entry point to enter the trend and ride it for as long as possible.
EURUSD sellers tighten grips ahead of a busy weekIn addition to posting the fourth consecutive weekly losses, the EURUSD also ended the week on a negative note while piercing a 10-week-old rising support line, now immediate resistance around 1.0950. Also keeping the Euro sellers hopeful are the bearish MACD signals. However, the RSI (14) line is below 50.0 and suggests bottom-picking, which in turn highlights the monthly low of around 1.0910 as short-term key support. Following that, July’s bottom surrounding 1.0830 and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of May-July upside, near 1.0770, can check the downside moves targeting May’s trough close to 1.0635.
Meanwhile, a corrective bounce needs to cross a convergence of the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA to convince the intraday buyers of the EURUSD pair. Even so, a fortnight-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 1.1045-50 could test the bulls before giving them control. Even so, the tops marked during late July may offer breathing space to the buyers near 1.1150. In a case where the Euro pair remains firmer past 1.1150, the odds of witnessing a run-up towards challenging the yearly top marked in July around 1.1275 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, EURUSD is on the bear’s radar as traders await more details of EU/US growth and inflation.
EURUSD sellers prepare for entry, 1.0930 and US inflation eyedEURUSD bears appear running out of steam during the fourth weekly loss as it grinds near the key support confluence within a five-month-old bullish channel ahead of the US inflation. In doing so, the Euro pair seesaws between a three-week-old falling resistance line and a confluence of the 100-DMA and a rising support line from November 2022, respectively near 1.0970 and 1.0930. It’s worth noting that the MACD and RSI signal the return of the buyers but a clear downside break of 1.0930 could quickly challenge the bullish channel by poking the 1.0760 mark comprising the stated channel’s support line. In a case where the Euro bears ignore oscillators and break the 1.0760 support, May’s low of 1.0688 may act as an intermediate halt before dragging the quote toward the lows marked in February and January of 2023, close to 1.0515 and 1.0480 in that order.
On the flip side, a clear upside break of the aforementioned three-week-old descending resistance line, close to 1.0970 at the latest, becomes necessary for the EURUSD bull’s return. Following that, the tops marked in February and April, near 1.1035 and 1.1095 in that order will gain the market’s attention. In a case where the Euro buyers dominate past 1.1095, the yearly high marked in July around 1.1275 and the previously stated bullish channel’s top line, close to 1.1285, should lure the bids.
Overall, EURUSD is hitting strong support ahead of the key event that’s likely to underpin the US Dollar pullback, which in turn requires sellers to remain cautious before taking a fresh short position.
EURUSD bears have further downside to track, focus on 1.1000 EURUSD stays on the back foot ever since it reversed from a multi-month high the last week, despite the latest corrective bounce. The Euro pair’s south run also conquered the resistance-turned-support stretched from early February and gains support from the RSI’s pullback from overbought territory. Adding strength to the downside bias is the looming bear cross on the MACD. With this, the major currency pair is likely to decline further, suggesting a retest to the previous monthly high of around 1.1010. Following that, the 1.1000 psychological magnet and a two-month-old rising support line, close to 1.0940 by the press time, will test the bears. It should be noted that the 100-DMA acts as the final defense of the short-term pair buyers around 1.0885.
On the contrary, the ascending trend line from February, near 1.1140 at the latest, restricts the immediate recovery of the EURUSD pair. Following that, 1.1200 and 1.1250 may check the Euro bulls before directing them to the latest peak of around 1.1275. In a case where the buyers remain dominant past 1.1275, the 1.1300 round figure may act as a validation point for the rally targeting the previous yearly of around 1.1500. During the run-up, the 1.1400 threshold can also provide an intermediate halt.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to remain bearish as markets await the key central bank meeting decision, including the ECB and the Fed.
EURUSD bulls have multiple challenges in keeping the reinsEURUSD braces for the biggest weekly gain since November 2022 while poking the 16-month high as markets await more clues to confirm the nearness of the Fed’s policy pivot. It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought RSI conditions and an ascending resistance line from November 2022, around 1.1250 by the press time, challenge the buyers of late. Even if the quote remains firmer past 1.1250, the 1.1300 round figure will act as additional checks during the further upside. Following that, the Euro bulls will put their eyes on the previous yearly high of around 1.1500.
On the contrary, pullback moves remain elusive unless the EURUSD remains firmer past the previous resistance line from February, near 1.1180 at the latest, as well as the April 2023 high of around 1.1100. A clear break of which can direct the Euro sellers towards February’s high of around 1.1030 and then to the previous monthly high of around 1.1010, quickly followed by the 1.1000 psychological magnet. In a case where the Euro bears dominate past 1.1000, a convergence of the 50-DMA and the 100-DMA, near 1.0850, will be a tough nut to crack for them.
Overall, EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar despite witnessing bullish exhaustion.
#EURUSD. 🔴 M15. Short. (#EuroUSDollar).
The Entry Price is higher than the Market Opening Price.(✔️)
M15 imbalance on the potential of the H1 range. (✔️)
Below the level of the First Seller of stock options. (⚠️)
ps since the price is in search of a new range, we can try to sell from this reversal structure in order to pick up the corrective movement. But perhaps there will be a change of trend in this place. We'll see.
According to my entry point, the first target has already worked out, and now the imbalance is retested.
entry: 1.10066 (on imbalance test)
stop: 1.10322
tp-1: 1.09799
tp-2: 1.09276