Eurodollar
EUR/USD Trade Setup - The Euro still looks bullish when compared to the USD
- The USD has shown some huge downside, now we can expect some relief and bounce back
- The Euro still shows signs of bearishness IMO.
- The Euro can rip your longs if you are looking for one, prefer setting up long-only bias once the base is set and the trend in intact.
EURUSD bulls have multiple challenges in keeping the reinsEURUSD braces for the biggest weekly gain since November 2022 while poking the 16-month high as markets await more clues to confirm the nearness of the Fed’s policy pivot. It’s worth noting, however, that the overbought RSI conditions and an ascending resistance line from November 2022, around 1.1250 by the press time, challenge the buyers of late. Even if the quote remains firmer past 1.1250, the 1.1300 round figure will act as additional checks during the further upside. Following that, the Euro bulls will put their eyes on the previous yearly high of around 1.1500.
On the contrary, pullback moves remain elusive unless the EURUSD remains firmer past the previous resistance line from February, near 1.1180 at the latest, as well as the April 2023 high of around 1.1100. A clear break of which can direct the Euro sellers towards February’s high of around 1.1030 and then to the previous monthly high of around 1.1010, quickly followed by the 1.1000 psychological magnet. In a case where the Euro bears dominate past 1.1000, a convergence of the 50-DMA and the 100-DMA, near 1.0850, will be a tough nut to crack for them.
Overall, EURUSD remains on the bull’s radar despite witnessing bullish exhaustion.
FTSE100 indexIs the UK index or the FTSE100 index ready for a big rally in the coming days ??charts show a highly bullish breakout and also sustaining above the resistance of 7600 levels , index has almost 20% upside open before any major hurdles , 6 days to go for monthly candle closing and a closing above 7600 levels can give a confirmation of coming rally , view invalid if monthly candle closes below
EURUSD bears need to break 1.0730 to regain commandA clear downside break of 200-SMA and a six-week-old ascending trend line allowed EURUSD bears to cheer the biggest weekly loss since September 2022, not to forget the snapping of the two-week uptrend. Although the Euro bears are well-set to revisit the previous monthly low of around 1.0790, an oversold RSI may help the sellers to take a breather. As a result, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-March around 1.0740-30, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s March-April upside, becomes crucial support to watch. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0730, the odds of witnessing a fresh Year-To-Date (YTD) low, currently around 1.0480, can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, EURUSD recovery remains elusive unless the quote remains below a convergence of the 200-SMA and a one-week-long descending resistance line, close to 1.0960. Even so, the previous support line stretched from early April, near 1.1010 at the latest, may test the buyers before giving them control. Following that, the current yearly high marked in the last month around 1.1095 and the 1.1100 round figure will be in focus as a break of which could challenge the April 2022 peak of around 1.1185.
Overall, EURUSD is likely to witness further downside but the bears have multiple challenges and need back-up from the key EU data/events to retake control.
EURUSD teases sellers on US inflation dayAfter multiple failures to cross the 1.1100 hurdle, EURUSD broke a five-week-old ascending support line as US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April looms. The major currency pair’s bearish signal also gains support from the downbeat MACD and RSI conditions. However, the 50-DMA and 100-DMA levels, respectively near 1.0850 and 1.0785, can check the Euro bears before giving them control. Even so, tops marked during late 2022 around 1.0710 may act as the last defense of the buyers before directing prices towards the YTD lows of around 1.0515.
Meanwhile, a corrective bounce remains elusive unless rising back beyond the previous support line stretched from early April, close to 1.1000 by the press time. Even so, a three-month-old upward-sloping resistance line, close to 1.1100, appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD bulls to regain their power. Following that, a run-up towards the late March 2022 high of near 1.1185 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, EURUSD bulls have finally stepped back after multiple attempts to conquer the 1.1100. However, their defeat isn’t confirmed yet as the US inflation data and the key support can surprise markets. Hence, there prevails a need to be cautious while trading this key event.
EURUSD portrays bullish consolidation ahead of ECBEURUSD recently pierced a three-week-old symmetrical triangle as the European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision looms. That said, the Fed-inspired run-up impresses the Euro bulls as the pair trades successfully beyond the 200-SMA amid a firmer RSI (14) line and bullish MACD signals. As a result, the quote is well set for rising to the fresh high since late March 2022, currently around 1.1095. The same highlights the 1.1100 round figure as a lucrative stop ahead of the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s moves from April 03 to May 02, near 1.1130. Following that, the 78.6% FE and March 2022 peak of around 1.1180 and 1.1185 respectively could lure the pair buyers.
Meanwhile, EURUSD sellers will need validation from the 200-SMA support of around 1.0915 to retake control. Even so, lows marked during April 10 and 03, close to 1.0830 and 1.0790 in that order, can check the bears before giving them control. In that case, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the Euro pair’s March-April upside, surrounding 1.0735, may act as the last defense of the buyers before directing them to the YTD low marked in March around 1.0515.
Overall, EURUSD buyers remain in the driver’s seat as they await the key central bank decision.
EURUSD is Bearish with Target of 1.08In my view EurUsd is showing un winding of long positions, clear distribution signs in price action with strong resistance line holding on with RSI divergence indicating more down side in eurusd this week towards target of 1.08 for any demand to be tested. with crude turning bullish its sure demand for Dollars and Sell in EURUSD for medium term......
EURUSD bears take a break ahead of ECBEURUSD posted the biggest daily slump in six months as Credit Suisse headlines fanned risk aversion on Wednesday. The fall, however, needs validation from the 1.0555-50 support confluence, comprising the 100-DMA and 14-week-old ascending support line, as well as the European Central Bank’s (ECB) Monetary Policy Meeting. That said, a clear break of 1.0550, accompanied by a disappointment from the ECB could quickly drag the major currency pair towards the 200-DMA support of 1.0320. However, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s September 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 1.0460, could act as an intermediate halt during the anticipated slump.
On the contrary, recovery moves require hawkish commentary, as well as a rate hike decision, from the ECB to aim for the 50-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.0725. Following that, the mid-February swing high of around 1.0810 could test the EURUSD bulls ahead of directing the run-up towards the previous monthly high, as well as the 2023 peak, of near 1.1035.
Overall, EURUSD is on the bear’s radar but the quote’s further downside hinges on the key fundamental events and important support zone break.
EURUSD has bumpy road to north even as bulls keep the reinsA two-month-old ascending trend channel backs the EURUSD pair’s upside bias, despite multiple failures to cross the 1.0880 horizontal hurdle in the last week. That said, the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA restrict immediate downside around 1.0790 and 1.0700 respectively. Following that, the stated bullish channel could be at the test and hence the 1.0575 support will gain major attention. Should the quote drops below 1.0575, a slump toward the monthly low near 1.0480 appear imminent while any further downside won’t hesitate to challenge the lows marked during November.
Meanwhile, a successful break of the one-week-old horizontal resistance near 1.0880 isn’t an invitation for the bulls as the top line of the aforementioned channel, close to 1.0910, will act as the last defense of the EURUSD bears. In a case where the pair rises past 1.0910, it could quickly rise to the 1.1000 round figure. It’s worth noting that January 2022 low and the late March 2022 high, respectively around 1.1125 and 1.1185, might probe the pair buyers before giving them full control.
Overall, EURUSD stays inside a bullish chart formation and the oscillators are positive too. However, the upside momentum lacks acceptance and hence buyers should remain cautious.
EURUSD bulls have a long way ahead to take control as ECB loomsEURUSD fades a week-long recovery mode ahead of the key European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. The pullback could also be linked to the pair’s inability to cross the 100-SMA amid RSI retreat from overbought territory, which in turn suggests the further weakness of the quote. However, a weekly support line, now resistance, joins the 100-SMA near 1.0230 to challenge intraday sellers, a break of which could quickly drag the quote towards the previous Wednesday’s peak surrounding 1.0120. In a case where the major currency pair drops below the 1.0120 supports, the odds of its slump towards the parity level can’t be ruled out. However, bullish MACD signals probe the bears targeting the fresh yearly low, currency around 0.9950.
Meanwhile, a sustained trading beyond the 1.0230 resistance confluence can direct short-term buyers towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of June 09 to July 14 downside, at 1.0265. Iff the EURUSD prices cross the 1.0265 resistance, a five-week-old horizontal area including the 50% Fibonacci retracement, near 1.0360-65, could challenge the buyers. It’s worth noting that a convergence of the 200-SMA and a downward sloping trend line from June 09, close to 1.0400, appears the last defense of the pair bears, a break of which could give control to the bulls.
To sum up, EURUSD sellers seem flexing muscles ahead of the ECB’s widely known 0.25% rate hike and hence the region’s central bank should do more to defend the Euro buyers.
The dollar index Resumes Bear MarketAfter 2 failures to hold on to the upward trend and corrective rallies, it is clear that this bull has no bones. The dollar index has been in a bear market since 2018 and each attempted rally has failed. This time is no different. The dollar bulls are about to make the most classic giving up of their opinion and they will do it all at once. It will be a meltdown of mammoth proportions.
EURUSD still struggles to break 1.21500 resistance
Euro against Dollar pair have been trending below 1.21500 area right from start of the February , and even in the 3rd week its quite remains the same, currently seller have dominated and it might continue this week too
Analysis only for education purpose
EURO USD 60 minIn relation to earlier long term outlook and daily outlook,
now refer to 60 min chart to under behaviour.
the 60 min chart has a swing bottom
emerge from the daily chart 23.6% retracement.
Further weakness is below the swing bottom of 60 min
1.1950.
A correction of the rise from 1.1950 to 1.2050.
If immediately is rushes up then expect a swing to be
in progress.
Retracement if happens to 1.20117
1.999/1.9870 could be opportunity.
RSI is now in overbought zone therefore
correction to retracement could provide better entry
consider the long term (c) structure to have resumed.
Current movement could be ii of (c).
It could be possible that 1.19 is not violated
and test the retracement of 1.2011-1.999-1.9870
and moves higher that
iii of (c) would begin for rally as mentioned in earlier
monthly picutre outlook
euro usd dailyThe daily chart shows a correction to retracement
level of 1.16845/1.14849/1.12854.
The correction can end either by hitting oversold
zone on RSI or by exiting RSI 50 mark now.
The 23.6% offer support and if the same is not violated
then expect a swing bottom process to test back
the recent peak to higher level as mentioned
in earlier macro update.
EURO USDResistance is at 1.219-1.256
It is also the supply zone.
Recent peak of 1.235 was formed and reacted
towards the 23.6% retracement of the
rise from 1.063 to 1.235.
Support is at 1.192.
Further correction is below 1.192
to test 38.2% retracement or below.
It looks to be long term
(a)(b)(c) structure.
A (c) structure may have opened up.
Correction can be ii of (c) to eventually
cross the resistance at some point of time.
When ever breakout above 1.235 is witnessed then expect
rally towards 1.289-1.428
or test 38%/50%/61.8% pullback of the historical fall
from 1.60 to 1.03 as shown in the chart.
💡 Don't miss the great sell opportunity in EURUSDTrading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (1.2285). if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Technical analysis:
. EURUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of downtrend is expected.
.The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 40 .
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.2175
TP2= @ 1.2065
TP3= @ 1.1990
TP4= @ 1.1915
TP5= @ 1.1765
SL: Break Above R2
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