EURUSD-2
EURUSD rebound is elusive, ECB’s Lagarde, US Retail Sales eyedEURUSD struggles to defend the previous day’s corrective bounce from a three-month low early Thursday. In doing so, the Euro pair seesaws around the key 1.0730-20 support zone comprising levels marked since early November. It’s worth noting that the RSI (14) line’s gradual recovery from the oversold territory joins the bearish MACD signals and the early February’s downside break of the key technical levels to keep the sellers hopeful. That said, a fresh selling needs validation from the latest trough surrounding 1.0695 before directing the quote toward the November 10 swing low of around 1.0655. Following that, the early October 2023 swing high of around 1.0640 will be the last defense of the buyers before giving control to the bears.
On the flip side, the support-turned-resistance line stretched from early October, around 1.0770 by the press time, guards the immediate recovery of the EURUSD pair. Even if the quote manages to cross the 1.0770 hurdle, it won’t be capable of luring the bulls as the 100-SMA hurdle of around 1.0800 will test the upside momentum. It’s worth noting, however, that any upside momentum must stay beyond the 1.0825-30 resistance confluence comprising the 200-SMA and a five-week-old falling trend line to convince the markets of a bullish trend.
Overall, the EURUSD pair remains well beneath the key support-turned-resistances and hence any recovery below 1.0830 remains unconvincing.
XAUUSD ShortFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
EURUSD slides beneath key support as Fed’s Powell defends hawksEURUSD dropped to the lowest level in two months after Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell firmly pushed back the March rate cut. The same allowed the Euro pair to keep the previous day’s downside break of a 1.0810 support confluence comprising the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a four-month-old rising trend line. Additionally keeping the sellers hopeful are the bearish MACD signals. However, the below 50.0 level of the RSI (14) line raises doubts about the downside momentum and hence the bears need validation from December’s low of around 1.0720 to tighten the grips. Following that, October’s high of 1.0695 and early November swing low surrounding 1.0655 will be in the spotlight.
Alternatively, the EURUSD rebound needs acceptance from the support-turned-resistance confluence of around 1.0810 and the US ISM Services PMI. Even so, a downward-sloping resistance line from early January, close to 1.0875 at the latest, quickly followed by the 1.0900 threshold, will act as the final defense of the Euro sellers before giving control to the bulls. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s successful trading above 1.0900 enables the buyers to aim for the 1.1000 psychological magnet and November’s peak near 1.1020.
Overall, EURUSD teases bears on hawkish Fed concerns but the road toward the south appears long and bumpy.
eurusd analysis feb 1 2024 latest analysis it would start soon .Trade Idea:
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 2
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!
eurusd analysis date (1st feb )Trade Idea:
📍 Entry: 🎯 Target: ⛔ Stop Loss: (MARKED IN CHART)
💡 RISK REWARD 1 : 2
💰 Risk 1% of your trading capital.
⚠️ Markets can be unpredictable; research before trading.Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Elliott Wave analysis and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions.Informational onLY !!!!
EURUSD: bullish or bearish?Dear friend, EURUSD continues its losing streak this week, with the price of this currency pair trading around the 1.081 level and struggling to find any significant support on the chart. The primarily influencing factors are market news and investor sentiment, along with the volatility of the USD.
If sellers regain control, EUR/USD could potentially return to the lows around 1.075 and possibly even 1.066. These are two significant support levels to watch. Conversely, if conditions favor EURUSD, it could bounce back from those levels and move higher.
EURUSD: Continue to be restrainedHello, it's great to see you all again for today's discussion on EURUSD!
Currently, in the early trading hours of Thursday, the EURUSD currency pair continues its downward trend, with the trading level at the time of writing being 1.081. The strengthening of the US dollar has sparked new selling pressure on EUR/USD, pushing it down to its lowest level in the weekly range near the psychological area of 1.0800.
The selling side seems to be showing a clear determination to push this currency pair down towards the testing area at 1.073, which is the final support level according to the Fibonacci measurement.
EURUSD: Continuing to search for new bottoms!The EUR/USD pair is recovering some lost ground below the 1.0800 level in early Asian trading on Tuesday. The pair's recovery is driven by the modest decline of the US dollar and lower US Treasury bond yields.
In the short term, there are expectations of an increase, but when looking at the longer-term trend, the weakness of this currency pair has not yet stopped. It has just surpassed the support level of 1.085 and still aims to find momentum around the 1.075 level. If that price level continues to be broken by the bearish side, EURUSD still has another opportunity at the 1.066 level as it is a significant support level that has helped EURUSD rebound strongly in the recent past. The currency market is fully priced in.
EURUSD tests falling wedge ahead of Eurozone GDPEURUSD stays pressured within a three-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation as the pair traders await the first readings of German and the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 2024 early Tuesday. In doing so, the quote fades the previous day’s corrective bounce off the stated pattern’s bottom line while portraying a third consecutive weekly loss so far. It’s worth noting, however, that the recently downbeat RSI and MACD signals suggest weakness in the bearish trend and hence a quick run-up on the upbeat prints of GDP can’t be ruled out. In that case, the previous support line stretched from early November, now resistance around 1.0880, will restrict the immediate upside of the Euro pair. Following that, the falling wedge’s top line surrounding 1.0900 and the 200-SMA level of 1.0935 will be crucial to watch as the final battle points for the bears before giving control to the buyers.
Alternatively, the aforementioned wedge’s lower line of around 1.0800 puts a floor under the EURUSD price. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the November-December upside, near 1.0760, will precede the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio surrounding 1.0650 to act as the last defense of the pair buyers. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0650, the pair’s lows marked in November and October, respectively near 1.0515 and 1.0450, will lure the sellers.
To sum up, EURUSD portrays a bullish chart formation ahead of the bloc’s key growth data.
EURUSD: Price wedge widening, what is the next trend?Dear readers, EUR/USD has once again dropped to a low of 1.0850 as the currency pair continues to fluctuate within familiar levels this week. The downward price trend has pushed the Euro lower against the US Dollar following the ECB's decision to maintain interest rates and better-than-expected US GDP data.
On the 4-hour chart, the currency pair is trading near the lower end of an ongoing consolidation process around the 1.0890 level, indicating a period of consolidation. Support is seen at 1.080. On the other hand, upward price movements may attempt to reach the 1.090 level, but prices could decline further from this area as it completes a test of the EMA 34, 89.
EURUSD: discount?Dear friends, overall EURUSD is not receiving much support as the main trend is downward, surpassing the psychological support level of 1.090.
The prevailing risk aversion sentiment, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, is causing traders to favor the US dollar (USD), putting downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair, which is trading near 1.083 today.
This week, we will have several important news releases, particularly the US Housing Price Index and Consumer Confidence data, which will be released on Tuesday, providing more detailed information about the market. This careful consideration is expected to strengthen following the upcoming statement from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Wednesday.
EURUSD: Buy or Sell?Hello dear friends, today EURUSD continues to decline as widespread forecasts of weak US PMI data have weakened market sentiment and pushed EUR/USD lower as investors anticipate the momentum of the day and retreat to the safe haven of the US Dollar (USD).
The price is currently trading within a downtrend channel, while it has completed a correction at the resistance level of 1.093. The chart shows a convergence between EMA 34, 89, and resistance, indicating a high likelihood of further price decline with a target set at the support level of 1.0756.
EURUSD fades bounce off 11-week-old support on ECB dayWith the US Dollar’s failure to cheer upbeat PMI details, the EURUSD pair managed to rebound from an upward-sloping support line from early November, especially when the activity data from Germany and the Eurozone came in positive. The recovery moves, however, failed to cross the 50-SMA hurdle on a daily closing basis and tease sellers ahead of the all-important monetary policy meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB). While the bloc’s central bank is likely to keep the monetary policy unchanged, the focus will be on the signals for future rate cuts as market players expect the first rate cut before June but the policymakers appeared hesitant for the same of late.
That said, any hawkish clues will allow the Euro pair to cross the immediate upside hurdle, namely the 50-SMA hurdle surrounding 1.0920. However, the support-turned-resistance line stretched from November 01, close to 1.0985 at the latest, will precede the 1.1000 psychological magnet to challenge the pair buyers before giving them control.
Meanwhile, the downbeat RSI conditions and the limited odds of favoring the ECB hawks suggest further weakening of the pair. The same highlights the aforementioned nine-week-old ascending trend line support line, near 1.0830 by the press time. It’s worth noting that the monthly low of 1.0820 and the previous monthly low of around 1.0720 will act as additional downside filters before a smooth sailing toward the late October swing high of near 1.0700.
EURUSD declines? What is the reason?Dear friends, it's RKarina again. Are you curious about the next trend of EURUSD? Here are some insights I have about this currency pair.
Looking at the daily chart, we can see that the previous upward momentum of EURUSD is gradually weakening, especially as it started to decline from the near 1.111 level. The trend seems to be shifting sideways and may even decrease further, especially as the RSI indicator and candlestick patterns are showing divergence, indicating a gradual decrease in buying pressure.
Furthermore, the recent weakness of the US dollar (USD) has not generated significant momentum for EUR/USD, and has even added downward pressure on this currency pair.
For these reasons, RKarina sets a target and expects EURUSD to decrease to the support level of 1.076.
EURUSD: DowntrendThe EURUSD continues to show no change in its bearish trend from yesterday until now, further damaging the European currency and pushing EUR/USD to new lows in weeks around the 1.0820 level.
The continued strong buying interest in the greenback has reduced risk appetite and pushed the US Dollar Index (DXY) to new yearly highs around 103.80, supported by higher US bond yields, particularly at the long end of the maturity spectrum. This serves as a strong psychological arrow to traders, prompting them to sell EURUSD massively and pushing this currency pair down to near the support level at 1.0777.
EUR/USD Amid Technical and ECB UncertaintiesThe EUR/USD pair struggled in the early week's trading session, remaining stable below 1,0900 due to technical factors like EMA and resistance. Investors' hesitation reflects uncertainties surrounding the ECB. If it drops past the year's low of 1,0844, EUR/USD may continue to descend to 1,078, following its current downtrend. What about you? What are your goals with EUR/USD?
EURUSD: stuck in a downtrendHello dear friends, let's discuss the previous week's performance of EURUSD with RKarina and talk about strategies for the upcoming week!
Last week, EURUSD was trapped in a downward trend, closing below the support level of 1.090 and currently trading around 1.089.
As a result, there was a slight price recovery during the correction, but it is expected to encounter resistance at the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.5 - 0.618.
The possibility of further price decline for this currency pair remains high as it is still in a long-term downtrend, with a short-term target of 1.078.
EURUSD: buy or sell?Hello dear friends, are you curious about the trend of EURUSD?
Today, EURUSD continues to fluctuate below the resistance level of 1.0900 and still maintains its short-term upward momentum on the 1H chart. However, when looking at the overall trend, this currency pair is still moving sideways within the price range below the resistance level of 1.090 and the support level of 1.084.
The USD index (DXY) is still maintaining its upward trend and is further supported by comments from R. Bostic (Atlanta), which continue to put pressure on the EURUSD pair. Another evidence for this downward price movement is that it continues to trade below the exponential moving averages (EMA) 34 and 89.
Karina still highly regards the Sell strategy today with the idea of trading the double top pattern displayed on the analysis chart.
EURUSD: Price increasing but ambiguousIt's great to see you again and talk about the EURUSD price today!
Yesterday, the EURUSD received some upward momentum. However, this price increase is considered only as a correction within the downtrend wave of DOW, as this pair has been experiencing weakness since the beginning of the new week.
Accordingly, the hawkish stance of the ECB has pushed back expectations of an early interest rate cut, providing additional support for the currency pair. However, the 4-hour chart is currently showing a further downward trend in the very near future as the EURUSD approaches the Fibonacci retracement levels of 0.618 - 0.5. Breaking below the level of 1.0844 will not receive significant support until reaching the level of 1.0773.
EURUSD rebound needs validation from 1.0940 to convince bullsEURUSD extends recovery from a five-week low while defending the previous day’s bounce off a one-month-old falling wedge’s bottom line. The Euro pair’s recovery also traces the RSI (14) line, as well as justifies the impending bull cross on the MACD indicator, which in turn suggests further advances of the major currency pair. However, the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 1.0920 guards the immediate upside of the quote. Following that, an ascending resistance line stretched from early November, previous support near 1.0940, will join the top line of an aforementioned bullish chart pattern, namely the falling wedge, to challenge the buyers. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.0940, the 1.1010-15 region and the previous monthly high of near 1.1140 could act as intermediate halts during the run-up towards the theoretical target of the falling wedge, close to 1.1240
On the flip side, EURUSD sellers remain off the table unless they witness a clear rejection of the falling wedge chart pattern, via a downside break of the stated formation’s bottom line surrounding 1.0840. In that case, the early November swing high and the previous monthly low, respectively near 1.0755 and 1.0720, will lure the Euro bears. It should be noted that the quote’ sustained weakness past 1.0720 will make it vulnerable to slump toward October 2023 bottom near 1.0450.
To sum up, EURUSD pares recent losses but the bulls are far from taking control.