EUR/USD Analysis: Potential Buy Opportunity at Key Demand ZoneThe EUR/USD is currently testing a strong demand zone on the daily timeframe, located around 1.1000 - 1.1050. This area has consistently acted as a key support level in recent price action, offering potential for a bullish reversal if market conditions align.
Key Technical Factors:
Demand Zone: The price is approaching the major support region after multiple retests, suggesting that buyers could step in soon.
Bullish Setup Confirmation: Wait for clear reversal patterns such as a bullish engulfing or pin bar on lower timeframes (H4 or H1) to confirm entry. Only initiate a BUY position once a strong reaction is seen.
Trade Plan:
Entry : On confirmation of a bullish price action pattern.
Stop Loss: Below the 1.0950 level to manage risk.
Target: First target at 1.1150, with potential for further upside depending on momentum.
This setup aligns with the market's technical structure, but patience is key for a safer entry. Let's see how the price reacts!
FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD
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EURUSD: Bears seek confirmation from “Double Tops” and US NFPEarly Thursday, EURUSD prints a five-day losing streak, reaching its lowest point in three weeks. The Euro pair traders are holding their breath for the September US employment report, especially after strong data from ADP and hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Sellers approach key supports
In addition to strong US data and hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Powell, softer inflation in the Eurozone is adding pressure on the EURUSD pair. A clear drop below the 50-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) keeps bearish sentiment alive. Plus, the lack of an oversold RSI (14) and bearish signals from the MACD suggest further weakness ahead.
Important levels to watch
With the EURUSD pair breaking below the 50-EMA and facing bearish technical and fundamental factors, it looks poised to test the previous monthly low around 1.1000. However, a six-month-old support line will likely challenge sellers around 1.0980. Importantly, the convergence of the 100-EMA and an ascending support line from late June, near 1.0960, is a crucial level to monitor. A drop below this level could push prices toward the target of the “Double Tops” pattern, around 1.0800.
Alternatively, the 50-EMA around 1.1045 serves as the immediate barrier for any recovery in the EURUSD pair. If the bulls can break through this level, they’ll face further resistance at 1.1100 and the “Double Tops” around 1.1200. A push above 1.1200 would challenge the current bearish trend and open the door for buyers to target the 2023 peak of approximately 1.1275.
Bears reign is about to be challenged
Overall, the EURUSD pair looks bearish in the short term, but there’s limited downside potential before reaching crucial technical levels. This means upcoming data and events will play a vital role in determining the next move.
The Dollar Takes the Lead, Euro StrugglesHello everyone! Let's discuss the movements of the EUR/USD pair today!
EUR/USD continues its downward slide today, dropping for three consecutive weeks as the USD strengthens. Investor sentiment has shifted towards safe-haven assets after Fed Chairman Powell's hawkish remarks and escalating tensions in the Middle East. This has put pressure on the Euro.
Technical analysis suggests that if EUR/USD holds the support level at 1.101, the pair could potentially rebound and test the resistance level of 1.118. However, given the current geopolitical tensions, the likelihood of EUR/USD breaking through this resistance and maintaining an upward momentum is quite limited. On the other hand, if it fails to surpass 1.118, EUR/USD may reverse and even break below the support level of 1.101.
What an unexpected day! This is Alisa's take, what about yours?
EUR/USD Breakout Towards 1.1300Currently, EUR/USD is in a consolidation phase after a recent rally. The price is fluctuating between support at 1.10835 and resistance at 1.12106.
The price has broken below the 34 EMA and is testing lower levels, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
Technically, key support is at 1.10835, representing the recent low. Resistance is at 1.12106, marking the nearest high.
A breakout scenario may occur around the 1.11438 region. If the price breaks through this level and continues past resistance at 1.12106, there is a high chance of a strong rally up to 1.1300.
Recently released inflation data will significantly impact EUR/USD. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could support the Euro's rise.
The New Week Begins with Positive Signals for EUR/USDHello everyone. Let’s take a look at the movement of the EUR/USD pair in this Monday morning trading session.
The EUR/USD pair opened the new week at 1.1159, indicating an upward trend. The weakening of the US dollar, driven by expectations of the Fed easing monetary policy, has supported the Euro’s rise. Additionally, recent economic data from the Eurozone has also shown positive signs.
The currency pair is displaying an upward trend within a price channel. With solid support at 1.115, breaking through the resistance level at 1.120 will confirm the uptrend and open opportunities for higher price targets. Once the old resistance level is broken, it will become new support, reinforcing the upward momentum.
What about you? What are your targets for EUR/USD in the near future? Share your thoughts with me!
EURUSD Fluctuates, Downside Risks Increase!Hello everyone, today let's take a moment to reflect on the movements of EURUSD. Will it rise or fall? Here are some detailed insights and analysis from Alisa regarding this currency pair.
Currently, the uptrend of EURUSD has weakened, with the price fluctuating at 1.1159, down 0.15%. With the upcoming Fed meeting, the market is very cautious. If the Fed signals an interest rate hike, this could put pressure on the Euro and push the pair lower.
Looking at the chart, the trend seems to be shifting to a sideways move and possibly a decline. With support at 1.114, the pair will test resistance at 1.119. If it fails to break this resistance, the pair is likely to drop further.
That’s my analysis, what do you think?
EUR/USD: Break $1.12009 Resistance or Correct?The EUR/USD chart from September 26 reveals a dramatic race between buyers and sellers. After reaching $1.11540, all focus is now on the tough resistance at $1.12104 — the barrier that will determine whether EUR/USD can continue to break out.
The support level at $1.11172 acts as a strong shield, maintaining the upward momentum.
If this resistance is broken, the pair could unlock potential for new highs.
In this context, any shifts from Fed statements or Eurozone economic data could dramatically alter the outcome.
EUR/USD Likely to Decline: Is This an Opportunity for Investors?Hello everyone, I’m Alisa. Today, let's take a look at the situation of the EUR/USD currency pair!
Today, EUR/USD was unable to maintain its recovery momentum and continued to fall to the 1.1140 level. This pullback during the short-term consolidation occurred as the market pivoted, driving the U.S. dollar higher.
Looking at the technical chart, it's highly likely that the price will hit the support level at 1.100 and then rise to test the resistance at 1.118. If it fails to break through this resistance, the price may reverse and fall again. Investors should closely monitor technical indicators and economic events to find trading opportunities.
So, what do you think about the outlook for the EUR/USD pair in the near future? Will the Euro recover or continue to weaken? Feel free to share your thoughts!
EURUSD: Bulls need validation from 1.1200 and Fed Chair PowellEURUSD is gaining support after falling from a 14-month high, as buyers wait for comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell.
Upside remains favored
The EURUSD pair is holding above a two-week rising support line and the 200-SMA, along with an upward trend line from late June, which keeps buyers optimistic. The steady RSI (14) also indicates a slow upward movement.
Technical levels to watch
Even with key support levels helping the EURUSD pair and the RSI suggesting an upward trend, the bulls may struggle to break through the horizontal resistance around 1.1200. If they succeed, the next targets could be the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extensions (FE) of the pair’s August-September moves, respectively near 1.1215 and 1.1265. The previous yearly high around 1.1275 is a crucial point for the bears; if that breaks, prices could reach the 2022 peak of 1.1495.
Meanwhile, EURUSD sellers should look for a clear drop below the immediate rising support line around 1.1125 to enter the market. However, the 200-SMA and a three-month trend line near 1.1080 and 1.0950 will be important obstacles for sellers. If the price stays below 1.0950, it could fall further toward the previous monthly low of 1.0780.
Charts, Powell in the spotlight
Along with the technical factors, comments from Fed Chair Powell will be important for EURUSD bulls. The recent rise is driven by market expectations of two more 0.50% rate cuts from the US central bank in 2024. If Powell dismisses these expectations, which seems unlikely, a downward reversal in Euro prices could happen.
EUR/USD: Break $1.1253 Resistance or Await a Pullback?EUR/USD is currently climbing around $1.11950, strongly supported by two solid "fortresses" at EMA 34 and EMA 89, located at $1.11390 and $1.11107.
A clear uptrend has formed, with solid support at $1.10864, ensuring the momentum remains intact.
The key focus now is on the critical resistance at $1.1253 — the gatekeeper determining whether the uptrend can break through to new highs.
With significant economic factors from the US and Europe on the horizon, including key Fed speeches and PMI data, the market may experience sharp volatility.
Traders should be ready for action: will you seize the breakout opportunity or wait for a pullback to enter at an optimal level? Opportunity favors the prepared!
Weakening of the USD: Will EUR/USD continue its uptrend?Hello everyone, Alisa here! Today, let’s analyze the EUR/USD currency pair together!
The weakening of the Greenback, amidst growing speculation about a significant rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) in November, has strongly supported the EUR/USD pair, pushing it up to 1.1193.
Looking at the technical chart, we can see that both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 have experienced a crossover, which is a positive sign that the uptrend may continue. Additionally, with support at 1.115, this pair could break through the resistance at 1.119 and continue to rise. However, if it fails to break this resistance level, the price may reverse back to the nearest support level.
This is my opinion, what about you? Do you think this pair will rise or fall?
EMAs Support Bullish MomentumEUR/USD is showing signs of recovery, with the price trading near the resistance at 1.1200. The 34 EMA and 89 EMA have both undergone a crossover phase, which is usually a positive signal, suggesting that the bullish momentum could continue. The current chart shows the pair breaking out from lower levels, heading towards the resistance levels above.
Based on the current EUR/USD chart and the bounce from recent support levels, the prediction is that the pair could continue to rise in the short term. The crossover of the 34 EMA and 89 EMA, coupled with the price currently testing the resistance zone around 1.1200, suggests that the bullish momentum could continue. If the price successfully breaks above 1.1200, the next target could be the 1.1250 area.
Disappointing PMI Data: EUR/USD Loses Upward MomentumHello everyone, it's Alisa here. Today, let's explore how the EUR/USD currency pair is fluctuating!
The EUR/USD pair has ended its upward momentum, continuing to decline today. This drop occurred after the release of PMI data, which showed that economic activity in the Eurozone is slowing down, while the U.S. data was only slightly better.
On the 1-hour chart, the pair might gain upward momentum from the support level at 1.109. However, it is likely to soon reverse due to resistance around 1.113, along with confirmation of a reversal by the EMA 34 and 89. Therefore, the downtrend could continue.
That’s Alisa’s analysis. What about you? What do you think?
EUR/USD: Breakout or Pullback Amid Volatility?EUR/USD is "hovering" around 1.11636, with a significant "barrier" at 1.11826 and a key "support" at 1.11034.
The widening Bollinger Bands signal that a wave of volatility could strike at any moment.
RSI is at 59.09, indicating strong buying pressure, but still has room before entering overbought territory.
If EUR/USD breaks past 1.11826, it could continue its upward surge, but failure to do so might lead to a pullback towards 1.11034.
The "winds" of inflation data and interest rates from the Eurozone and the US will shape the next move!
EUR/USD: The Game Speeds Up Ahead of Fed’s Crucial HourEUR/USD is currently in a “pressure-cooker” phase as the price climbs to 1.11677, approaching the critical resistance level at 1.11916.
The bullish momentum is like an arrow shot straight upward, but will it have enough strength to break through and reach 1.12444? Or is this the moment when the market prepares for a “reversal” towards the support at 1.11225?
The EMA 34 and 89 are still holding the bullish trend intact, but don’t forget that this afternoon’s Fed meeting is a “ticking time bomb” for major volatility. With each interest rate announcement, the EUR/USD pair could either be “propelled” higher or experience a sharp “reversal.”
Traders need to buckle up, as this event could trigger a strong breakout or potentially signal the end of the current upward movement.
EUR/USD Awaits Fed Signals, Potential for CorrectionEUR/USD paused its short-term rally on Tuesday, remaining hesitant above 1.1100 as traders anticipate Wednesday’s Fed meeting.
EURUSD is currently trading around 1.11302 after peaking at 1.11455.
If it fails to break the strong resistance at 1.11455, the price may correct towards the support level at 1.10741, before recovering back to 1.11135.
The EMA 34 (1.11029) and EMA 89 (1.10841) continue to support the uptrend, but indicators show signs of weakening.
MACD convergence signals a potential short-term correction.
EURUSD: Bulls struggle to keep control on FOMC DayEURUSD picks up bids to reverse the previous day’s retreat from a month-old horizontal hurdle as traders prepare for the all-important US Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision. In doing so, the Euro pair defends last week’s U-turn from a 200-SMA while making rounds to a four-week-long bearish channel’s top line.
Buyers are cautious
Along with the strong rebound from the 200-SMA, a positive RSI (14) supports the bullish outlook for the EURUSD pair. However, the key resistance area, a potential bearish signal on the MACD, and the cautious market sentiment ahead of the FOMC meeting may challenge any upward momentum.
Key technical levels
For EURUSD bulls to take charge, they must break above the key horizontal resistance zone around 1.1145-55, especially if the Fed signals a dovish stance. If they succeed, the focus will shift to the yearly peak near 1.1200. After that, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) levels of August-September moves at 1.1215 and 1.1265 will be next, followed by the previous yearly high of 1.1275.
Conversely, any pullback in EURUSD should find strong support at the 200-SMA level around 1.1045. Even if it falls below this, the monthly low of 1.1000, the lower boundary of the bearish channel near 1.0980, and an upward trend line from late June around 1.0930 will likely hold the bears back before they gain control.
Sellers have a long and bumpy road ahead…
Even if buyers face challenges, EURUSD sellers still have a tough road ahead before taking control. Key obstacles include the Fed's potential consecutive rate cuts in 2024 and a rising support line around 1.0930, which are both important factors to watch.
EURUSD: Bears Eye 1.0980 as ECB Interest Rate Decision LoomsEURUSD prints its first daily gain in five days as traders recover from a month-long low, preparing for the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming policy announcements. Despite the recent slowing of US inflation and speculation about possible significant rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve in late 2024, the Euro bulls remain cautious due to the ECB's dovish stance and economic concerns in the Eurozone.
EURUSD sellers keep control
Even though the Euro is recovering before the key event, the overall bearish outlook for the pair remains intact. It continues to show weakness with the 20-EMA breakdown early in the week, bearish MACD signals, and a steady RSI (14) line.
Key technical levels to watch
Among the key technical levels, sellers are particularly focused on the convergence of the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a previous resistance line around 1.0980. Following that, an ascending support line from late June near 1.0900 is also important to monitor. If the price remains below 1.0900, it could drop further to the previous monthly low around 1.0790.
On the other hand, for EURUSD buyers to regain control, they need to see the price break above the 21-day EMA at around 1.1050 and a falling resistance line at about 1.1070. Additionally, a hawkish rate cut from the ECB would support this move. If the price manages to rise past 1.1070, it could test the monthly high of 1.1155 and the yearly peak around 1.1200.
Downside bias gains acceptance
Looking ahead, there's uncertainty about the ECB’s upcoming rate decision. Some traders anticipate a 0.50% cut, while most expect a smaller 0.25% reduction. If the ECB surprises the market with a more aggressive or unexpected rate move, it could lead to significant volatility. Therefore, EURUSD traders should hold off on new trades until the ECB's decision is announced. They should set a stop-loss to manage their risk if they are currently holding short positions.
EURUSD 1.1032: Resistance at 1.1300, Pressure from ECB & FEDEURUSD is currently fluctuating around the support level of 1.10320, where it has bounced several times. If this level holds, the price could rise towards the resistance level of 1.1300.
The RSI is at 39.81, indicating strong selling pressure, but potential buying interest may emerge at this support. The short-term downtrend remains intact as the price is below both the EMA 34 and EMA 89.
In terms of news, the ECB is expected to adjust its monetary policy this week to tackle high inflation in the Eurozone. Meanwhile, the USD is strengthening due to expectations that the FED will continue its tight monetary stance. These factors from the ECB and FED will significantly impact EURUSD’s next moves.